COULD GOLD (XAU/USD) BOUNCE TO THE UPSIDE OR DROP?GOLD (XAUUSD) is currently being held by a strong support trend line which is is struggling to breakthrough.. however, it is currently in a new downtrend and could continue to fall to the downside.
If The support trendline has been broken, this will be a great sell opportunity.. if it struggles to break, then it will be a great buy opportunity. Keep an eye!
Trade ideas
POSSIBLE XAUUSD SHORT SETUPANALYSIS
>Mon purged and reverted off last week high
>Tue price action formed the FRD(first red day )also closing below Mon lower high(swing low)
>Wed closed in breakout
>Thurs anticipation: purge and revert off wed high tapping into the FVGOB(fair value gap order block ) thats @ the FVG partition (4196.86 - 4179.29)
XAUUSD IDEAMarket Context
Gold price (XAUUSD) will move sideways (consolidate) between 4160 and 4018 until November 6, 2025.
This means price is stuck in a range not trending strongly up or down and traders are waiting for a breakout (a strong move beyond one side of the range) to decide the next big direction.
📌🔽▶️ Sell Scenario (Your main plan)
If the price goes up to 4122 -4125, you plan to open a sell position.
You expect the price to drop from there toward your take-profit levels.
Entry: 4122–4125
TP1: 4050 the first support area (where price may bounce).
TP2: 4018 next key support and the lower end of the range.
Logic: You believe sellers will take control again once price fails to stay above 4125.
If price breaks below 4050 and stays under it, that confirms a bearish breakout, so you’ll hold the sell to your second target (4018).
🔼🇲🇻 Buy Scenario (Backup plan)
If the price fails to break below 4050 and instead bounces back up, it means buyers are still defending that support zone.
Then you’ll switch your plan:
Buy Entry: near 4050
Target: 4122–4160 (the upper side of the consolidation)
Logic: You expect the range to continue, with price moving back up from the bottom of the zone.
⁉️▶️👀 Risk Management
You should place a stop-loss above 4133 when selling, or below 4018 when buying, to protect your trade if price breaks out against you.
The breakout direction (either above 4160 or below 4018) will decide the next major move , so after the breakout, you’ll follow that direction.
Gold Defends the 4000 Zone Again — Eyes on 4160 Break for 4350 RGold Defends the 4000 Zone Again — Eyes on 4160 Break for 4350 Retest”
Yesterday, gold tested the 4000 price level for the second time and bounced back up, showing that the market is not ready to fall below that old psychological level.
Bullish optimism is rising again and the chances of gold rising further are also increasing.
The fact remains that the Gold continues to be manipulated, but this is the current market, take it or leave it. Since yesterday afternoon, gold has risen by almost 3.15% from 4010 to 4136.
If the price manages to break through 4160, then there is a good chance that it could retest the high near 4350 - 4380.
Overall, nothing has changed since yesterday. It's just that the market is hesitating to push the price up aggressively as before.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4125.9
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4093.5
My Stop Loss - 4146.0
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold: Double Bottom or Five-Wave Decline?After rising to the MA60 area on the 4-hour chart, gold faced significant selling pressure, and the price has now pulled back to around 4050, which lies near the short-term support zone. Over time, the MA20 support on the daily chart has moved up to around 4055, while the MA30 currently sits near 3942.
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend appears not yet complete, so pay attention to the next two closing candles. For now, key support levels to watch are 4014–4000, followed by 3978–3937.
If the price stabilizes around 4000, a double-bottom pattern could potentially form. However, if it falls further toward the MA30, a head-and-shoulders pattern may come into play. In case the rebound fails to break above resistance, be cautious of a five-wave decline, as that could trigger another sharp correction, with a high likelihood of filling the gap near 3887.
In terms of trading strategy, the focus should still be on finding buying opportunities.
For medium-term setups, you can hold positions patiently; for short-term intraday trades, pay close attention to the key supports mentioned above, and use the MA20/60 on the 30-minute chart as reference points for resistance.
Review of Gold's Performance This Week📝This week, the gold market experienced severe volatility, showing an overall trend of a sharp decline followed by a volatile rebound. The details are as follows:
📈Price Movement:
On Monday, gold prices fluctuated between 4,218.32 and 4,354.88.
On Tuesday, gold plummeted by 6.3% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013.
On Wednesday, it continued to fall, hitting a low of 4,003.43.
On Thursday, gold fluctuated within the range of 4,065.47 to 4,154.52.
On Friday, gold prices fell again, dropping below 4,060 at one stage with an intraday decline of over 1%, and finally closed at 4,110.55.
💡Influencing Factors:
✔The main reasons for the sharp volatility in gold prices this week include the following:
After a rapid rise in early stages, gold was in an overbought state, creating technical correction pressure. Meanwhile, investors had a strong sentiment to take profits, leading to a large number of sell-offs.
✔In addition, the cooling of risk aversion, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the fact that Federal Reserve officials entered a blackout period ahead of the interest rate decision that are resulting in a lack of remarks supporting interest rate cuts in the market also reduced the appeal of gold.
✔However, factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided certain support for gold prices.
💎Outlook for the Future:
From a technical perspective:
If gold breaks through 4,161, it may pave the way for a test of 4,200. If it continues to rise, traders may push gold prices above 4,250, or even target 4,300 and higher record highs.
But if gold falls below 4,040, the next target will be the October 22 low of 4,004.
Gold. October 26-31, 2025🟡 Technical Analysis
Gold maintains an overall bullish structure, although it is currently undergoing an active correction from the highs around 4,380–4,400 USD.
The general pattern suggests a consolidation phase resembling a flag or triangle, with a clear formation of higher lows.
Key technical levels:
• Major support between 4,050 and 4,000 USD, where institutional demand may concentrate.
• Immediate resistance between 4,160 and 4,200 USD, which has capped several breakout attempts.
• On the 1-hour chart, lateral volatility can be observed between 4,080 and 4,150 USD — typical of a pre-breakout stage.
• On the 15-minute chart, long lower wicks indicate selling absorption at support zones.
👉 In summary: Gold is in a reaccumulation phase after the correction, and a breakout with volume above 4,160 USD would confirm bullish continuation.
⸻
🧭 Fundamental Analysis
1. Monetary Policy (Fed):
The Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates, but the latest inflation data (CPI and PPI) came in lower, reinforcing expectations of a rate cut by December or January. This weakens the dollar and supports gold.
2. Domestic Policy:
The federal shutdown risk and lack of budget consensus in Congress create uncertainty, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Geopolitics:
Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and trade talks between China and the U.S. sustain demand for safe havens.
4. Upcoming Data:
The PCE index will be the week’s main catalyst, along with Powell’s statements and GDP revisions.
⸻
📈 Probable Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Moderate Bullish
Gold holds support between 4,050 and 4,080 USD and manages to break the 4,160–4,200 USD resistance with strength and volume.
Upside targets: 4,250–4,300 USD initially, with potential extension toward 4,350–4,400 USD.
This scenario would be favored by weak dollar data, rate-cut expectations, or political progress reducing shutdown risk.
⸻
Scenario 2 – Corrective Bearish
If gold fails to hold above 4,050 USD and drops below 4,000 USD, a technical correction could activate toward 3,950–3,850 USD.
This move is more likely if PCE prints higher, the Fed maintains a hawkish tone, or the DXY strengthens.
⸻
Scenario 3 – Sideways
Price remains within the 4,080–4,160 USD range without clear direction, awaiting the PCE release.
This reflects a typical indecision phase before a key macroeconomic event.
⸻
🎯 Recommended Technical Levels
Bullish scenario:
• Ideal buy zones: 4,050–4,080 USD
• Targets: 4,250 USD (TP1), 4,300 USD (TP2), 4,400 USD (TP3)
• Suggested stop loss: 3,980 USD
• A close below 3,980 would confirm bearish reversal.
Bearish scenario:
• Ideal sell zones: 4,160–4,180 USD
• Targets: 4,000 USD (TP1), 3,950 USD (TP2)
• Stop loss: 4,220 USD, invalidating the setup if price breaks above 4,200 USD.
Sideways scenario:
• Buy near support (4,050 USD) and sell near resistance (4,160 USD), aiming for 40–60 USD range profits.
• Stop loss: ~30 USD outside the range.
• Reversal confirmation if price breaks beyond range limits.
⸻
📋 Final Summary
• The primary trend in gold remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,000 USD.
• Key catalysts this week: the federal shutdown situation, PCE data, Powell’s remarks, and geopolitical tensions.
• General recommendation: look for buy setups on pullbacks to support zones, apply active risk management, and take partial profits at resistance levels.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour, I have marked my area of interest for a potential scalp trade. I am leaning towards a slight push up after the decent move down. That is just speculation, and not based on price action, what is happening at the time I am at the charts. So, I can see a possible scalp buy to grab 30 to 50 pips, but I don't want to rush or force a trade. We have Pre NY volume starting in i hour and 15 minutes from this writing ( 7:20am est). So, for me, I am going to wait and see if I can jump in if the NY session corrects what was done overnight. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Friday.
XAUUSD Geoplolitical move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Has buyers area at 4000 demand zone buy possible from that🚀 GOLD BULLISH OUTLOOK (1H Timeframe) 🏆
📉 Price showing strong demand zone support around 4000 — buyers stepping in with momentum!
💰 Buying Opportunity: 4000 zone
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 4074
2️⃣ 4156
📊 Structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4000 zone. Watch for confirmation candles before entry ✅
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #BullishMomentum
GOLD Analysis: Watching for Reaction Near Buyer ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been in a strong bullish trend for quite some time, forming a clear upward channel structure. Each impulse has been followed by a short consolidation phase (range), allowing the market to gather liquidity for the next push higher. However, after reaching the key Resistance Level near 4368, the price entered a Seller Zone where heavy supply emerged, triggering a sharp correction. This move broke the short-term market structure and pushed the price down towards the Buyer Zone — an important support area that previously acted as a base for a strong rally. Currently, Gold is trading near the bottom of a descending correction channel, approaching a crucial decision point. I expect the market to make a small corrective move to retest the Resistance Line of this channel, and if rejection follows, it could open the way for another bearish leg toward my TP around 4020. From a broader perspective, this decline still looks like a healthy correction within a major uptrend, so I’ll be watching closely how the price reacts inside the Buyer Zone — it might offer great opportunities for the next bullish impulse later on. Thank you for reading! Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀















