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Price rejects the 3,660 resistance → correction toward 3,560 → 3XAU/USD Chart Analysis (H1 timeframe) Here’s the English version of the breakdown: 1. Main Trend Gold has been in a strong uptrend, moving from the 3,330 → 3,660 USD zone. The red trendlines form a steep ascending channel. However, around the 3,660 resistance level, price shows signs of stalling. 2. Chart Pattern A Rising Wedge pattern can be identified. This is typically a bearish reversal signal once price breaks below the lower trendline. The blue arrows highlight a potential move: strong push up → rejection → pullback to retest support. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Key retracement levels: 0.236 ≈ 3,360 0.382 ≈ 3,420 0.5 ≈ 3,480 0.618 ≈ 3,520 0.786 ≈ 3,560 Currently, price is testing the 0.786 zone (3,560–3,580). A break lower could trigger a deeper correction. 4. Short-Term Scenarios Scenario 1 (preferred): Price rejects the 3,660 resistance → correction toward 3,560 → 3,520 → 3,480. Scenario 2 (less likely): If price breaks above 3,660 with strong volume, it may extend toward 3,700. 5. Trading Strategy (for reference) Short entries: 3,640–3,660 Stop Loss: above 3,680 Take Profit: 3,560 → 3,520 → 3,480 Long entries: Only if price sustains above the trendline and breaks 3,660 with strong bullish momentum. 👉 Summary: Gold is facing heavy resistance at 3,660. The broader trend is still bullish, but short-term signals suggest a potential pullback toward the 0.618–0.5 Fibonacci zones (3,520–3,480).
TVC:GOLD
by AstronautPioneer
CBDCs, Cryptocurrency, & the coming Redenomination RevolutionDisclaimer: this is not financial advice - this is strictly speculation and scenario planning, and totally not drawn on privileged information from powerful people. Please consume responsibly. Let's set aside memecoins, rugpulls, and corpo coin acquisitions to focus on what actually matters: macro. I'm married to the money, so I follow macro wherever it goes. And it's going into CBDCs and cryptocurrency. You could say it started in the past 12 mos with the GENIUS bill, tariffs, BRICS' concept coins, etc but the truth is more devious than that. The macro perspective is much more than the flow of money, its the sentiment and interest of policy makers, national actors, and IGOs. In other words, groups that make money through passive taxation create macro conditions to control or create outcomes that influence how you make or spend money. They are interested in strategic payoff over cashing out. This means the way they look at crypto is different than retail and investors. As groups, you seek legitimacy for a profit payoff, they seek strategy for a power payoff. Fiat currency is not some platonic ideal willed into being by the laws of nature, it's entirely an instrument of the national interest. In other words, it exists only so long as policymakers find it strategically useful. So let's look at their strategy. For almost three years now, your world leaders and central bankers have been preparing for a reserve currency transition scenario. They've made sudden pivots to programmable currency R&D, they've been hoarding gold into CBs and taking extra steps to keep it quiet, they've been making strange comments about fantastical banking crisis scenarios, adjusting payment options for hydrocarbons (the USD is an international soft-peg), signaling the desired end of the dollar reserve (or oddly making protecting the dollar reserve part of their political platform), and building cross-border systems (BRICBridge/mBridge) to facilitate non-SWIFT or SWIFT legacy exchange/insurance/settlement capabilities. Certain essential economic entities in the West have been prepped as well but are not yet in position to disclose. Meanwhile, Ray Dalio is already identifying our monetary order as the primary vulnerability. He's not the only old rich person to notice. Buffet is done with markets by EOY. You could say that value investing is retiring. Contrary to popular opinion, this reserve currency transition will not take place as an Orwellian CBDC takeover or some BTC moon shot, but will instead be pitched as a redenomination opportunity - likely while GSIC banks are closed to customers (including ATM withdrawals and transfers and social payments or welfare services). Before I get into the why this will happen, let's briefly look at the fragility of the modern monetary system under fiat. If you think of the economic macrosystem as a living body, then you can understand, especially from recent memory, how a global infection could quickly bring just about everything to a halt. The lifeforce of the economic-being is the free-flow of USD. Powell has sufficiently proven this. In fact, you could almost argue the last 5 years have been the perfect demonstration of this gameplay loop. But you can't mistake the heart for the entire circulatory system. Liquidity is a digital dependency today. If the power goes out, there is no liquidity. If Window's crashes, there is no liquidity. If Crowdstrike gets hacked, liquidity is grounded (and air travel canceled). Liquidity is a luxury. It has been a luxury for all of human history. Only in times of conventional peace and American-led globalization have people begun to delude themselves otherwise. It will not work they way most think in tough times. Especially in our just-in-time widget meets server-based-bookkeeping era. The boardgame of money has never been flatter or more fragile. In an age of infinite KYC and a Bigger Brother, a major ATM corralito will not look like your Great-Grandfather's breadlines. Accounts will be electronically frozen (thus no withdrawals or personal payments) and social payments will be halted for several days or even up to several weeks (thus no welfare). Due to incredible complexity risk, capital controls will be applied like circuit breakers to shut everything down. This is how it will be done in major countries and how it has been done in small countries in recent years. M1 M2 M3 will be iced by natsec nitwits and placed under conservatorship. They will give you any and every excuse. Power outages, Russians, 4chan hackers, Iran, North Korea, Powell, Biden, a virus, weather, a disaster, Chyna, anything. They might even blame me. To be truly forward in global macro, having an understanding of financial securities is not enough. National securities are a necessary intersect. If the NYSE went down unexpectedly for a few days, it would in effect generate a "stroke" for the velocity of the USD. Only one link in the financial accounting chain needs to be halted to warrant shutting down the entire electronic transaction system. There is no fractal redundancy, so to speak - everything is connected and dependent on that largely centralized and live bookkeeping data feed, otherwise the whole body gets hospitalized. This is the great weakness of centralized finance and merchant services and I'm sure I'm preaching to the choir here. Only M0, select banking accounts (some community/credit & a chosen GSIC or two - IE, not Deutsch Bank), and alternative banking through cryptocurrency, will operate in that short window until your country's cartel sets a withdrawal rationing figure and initiates redemption options for the redenomination process. This process would likely involve the favorite GSIC (in the US) JP Morgan & the Post Office - giving national coverage to all area codes. You would convert your fiat, likely in cash and at a flat rate exchange that would be difficult for the layman to valuate, and receive the new notes. It could take several days to over a week before the rationing window is brought online. And even longer for the redemption system to be in place to convert federal notes to treasury notes (TL: CBDCs). These treasury notes will be backed by national assets - varying by nation, but always playing to their strengths. In the US, this means energy commodities, PMs, and the strategic crypto reserve and associated coins that service cross-border activity. The latter is the big money play, and has specifically been legalized through GENIUS to facilitate the merchant/business level transition when that occurs (the business-level redemption process will be aided by current crypto capability - which we will get in the DD section). I don't know if this board cares about PMs, but as a general standard, most nations that go through redenomination (a figure in the 100s) will opt to double or triple PM reserves (current standard is 20%), and will be interested in cross-border cryptocurrency (mBridge and/or crypto for BRICs, most of the G88, and potentially Eurozone). The reserve currency system under the US will come to an end at this point without any legal moves necessary to close the Federal Reserve. Initially, this will seem like a huge problem for the US alone. In reality, the opposite will be true. If you're a shoemaker in that pitiful collection of tourist destinations we call the EU, this is especially for you - because the fight over a national versus a continental currency solution could paralyze you all further. To wit, for the US and the world: it will likely mean the end of the housing market as a game of musical chairs, which will be the end of the global monetary system under its current paradigm for all major nations. Now I'm not trying to create fear and panic, even though that's the main thing this website does. No one will starve or get sent to the streets during a cash crash in a developed country in the contemporary era. The situation will start as a misunderstood market event. But there will be a Bretton-Woods tier recalibration at a national (likely international) level to follow shortly after. The "forum building" stage of this event has already begun. Tariffs are revealed to be part of broad but messy geopolitical strategy, the escalation of which will engage the monetary system itself (goods>ports>share listings>national bonds). You will see that sequence begin to play out in the months to come, especially after the Rio Reset dud and the Swiss paper metal tariff. Trump's "deals" with certain countries keep getting delayed or reneged. He will continue his holding pattern on this matter, switching between punitive and TACO to extend the tariff negotiation horizons. 1.Global Blocks The CCP are positioning to replace their dependency on the US-led Rules Based Order. When foreign policy suits and grey moustaches say 'RBO X' or 'US superpower Y', they mean reserve currency and maritime system dominance. It all comes down to coins and boats, as it always has. For our purposes, only the former is of interest (but buy all your high end electronics soon, because further tariff escalation will draw in shipping and port strategies - even if we freed up Panama beforehand). This isn't the right board for the investor note from hell, but all indications are a go for a reserve currency challenger framework to be officially announced Q4 or H1 of 2026. Most ongoing projects intend to connect commodities to currencies. This is necessary to build an alternative SDR. Certain nations and entities in the ME will be likely facilitators and front men for this framework (particularly to ease or lobby the G88). This is battlelines over bucks. Your favorite loose lips sink ships guy already came out rambling about it when he posted out of the blue about BRICs challenging the USD. I hope you all understand by now that when it wasn't a topic on Fox and Friends, then it's because he repeats what he is told in private. When China introduces a settlement CBDC (with Russian, various Eurasians + some MENA, and potentially Brazilian support), their international accounting will require reserves to be interchangeable with other CBDCs. These reserves will be similar to the Special Drawing Rights, but include commodities (particularly those favorable to the majority of partners; aka what they produce or already hold). This means more gold and possibly silver, to start (imagine going from 20% standard gold reserve holdings to 40/60 + 10 in silver). Later platinum, lithium, uranium, and other frontier tech minerals which will be increasingly valuable and likely included. Regardless, this transition will push Chinese investors (retail and institution) out of UST (even if the tariff threat has ended). It's not a reserve for them any more, it may even be illegal to hold UST over a certain amount. That could happen overnight. The inevitability of this sequence shouldn't be underestimated. Many of the big holders of US bonds, aka those with a stake in the ticker we call USD, are not friendly at best. Others are always looking for ways to hedge their risk. This is not the free-market as you understand it. It's being Eli Lilly but your biggest stakeholder is RFK Jr. You know that's not gonna last, right? For Europe, the reactive risk is closely related to disaster or conflict risk. Tariffs might be enough too. I'm leaning towards Germany or the UK accelerating the contagion for the broader continent. German manufacturing and energy are critically vulnerable. German PMI has been in effective contraction for 27 of the last 30 some months, and last year saw a record-breaking number of bankruptcies in the country. Both UK or Germany would handle an economic downturn poorly due to rising populist movements jumping on alternatives ( = national bond credit risk = currency vulnerability). The possibility of a second Brexit event following a commanding populist return is not priced in. Likewise, another pandemic or an expansion of Russia's war would lead to a tap out of EU economic unity. Annoyingly, the French and Germans are unlikely to search for an economic relief package of a conventional nature or one that is associated with American interests. In other words, they will be working with ME and Asia if the EU does not guarantee European continental harmony on a new Bretton-Woods framework (which I don't think they will). Japan also falls into the reactive risk category. The question is the cause package. They have no cushion and all it takes is a little shove. Yes they has a high savings rate, but purchasing power and their import dependencies (high-pop island country) negates any security they think that will provide. It's unlikely 3rd world exporters will keep the basic necessities flowing (think in terms of virtual water exports) for the next GFC or summer famine/disaster. 3rd world imports and access to cheap food underpins much of the shadow economy for Asia (see local news over rice cost) - so consumption would crash along with rising unemployment (uncaptured but real) - and the BOJ has no room to stop unemployment without sacrificing their national corporate champions (RIP Buffett) (and thus more unemployment in their zero-entrepreneurial environment). All of this is a pretzeled way of saying that conventional economic shocks could trigger the cash crash, or vice versa. Unconventional risk - like MENA cyberwar risks (who knows what blowback we might face after Iran), or even geophysical concerns like another "1000 year event" (happening every month now) but this time in a major financial area like Tokyo or SF (do you buy or sell disaster bonds in that scenario?). Suffice to say, the unconventional supporting fuel will be there. No one ever signals the big deflationary event to the greater public. But rest assured my fellow stallions, the leading signal flares for the USD are the health of the CNY, JPY & EUR. The rest is just conversation. As mentioned, the ensuing crash will be salvageable at a policy level, and thus not an inevitable depression, but only after the Bretton-Woods process comes to surface and settles, which could take most of 2026/27. This will be your golden crypto opportunity. 2.Opportunity DD Unlike the last global financial crisis, cryptocurrencies and blockchain tech are now an available solution for short term cash access and long term platform use. They are already a wedge in the US economy. People will vote with their wallets to protect their purchasing power by moving into liquidity (cryptocurrencies). Thus the demand for respective nations/regions to produce their own national digital currency to offset will rise. This isn't to say that physical coins (especially silver) won't be in a state of colossal demand (silver at 180 by 2029). But because most consumer and business transactions, debts, liabilities, taxes, etc still happen by digital bookkeeping, then cryptocurrencies (stablecoins in particular) will take priority until a national/international alternative is released. Which will come very quickly - likely by late summer of 2026. Crypto will remain bid as a trust arbitrage trade afterwards. I am providing this ahead of time, because a gradual buy in is the safest and most reasonable way to leave a mark on the market. TO OWN (in the interests of crypto): 1.PMs - physical ideally or by exposure to miners and mining ETFs. I have an 8,000$ price target for gold by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). I have 180$ price target for silver by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). Platinum = higher. I could go on and on about PMs. Decades ago I had a simple question: do prime mines sell gold and aggregates to government customers without reporting it? To answer that question, I am happy to report that I am still alive today. If you don't believe in internet magic money or virtual math money is too complicated, this asset is your first stop. It's a Golden Age. Take the hint. See KGC, GLD, GOLD & GDX. 2.Commodities - Lithium. Copper. Aggregates. Historically a great way to make money if you like buying Russian billionaires their yachts, creating nightmare company towns in central Africa, or funding "mining" companies that are fronts for the military industrial complex (MLM & MP = strong buy). 3.JVs - sophisticated only (which is a legal definition, not an aspiration). Not RE though (even utility related). All those watch-collecting power plant andy's on CNBC will make some money, but not as much as they think. 4.C-Word - WSB has the F-Word, Trump has the N-Word, and we have the C-Word. Again I'm preaching to the choir here, but it needs to be said anyway. As mentioned in the next section, there will be a valuation wild west period in which the shelf-stable stablecoins, other coins, and blockchain platforms will be used by developing countries and rich countries alike to fill in interoperability gaps and as a natural solution based on cost, availability, and immediacy for retail and small business needs. Only the most totalitarian countries, see Europe and China, will gatekeep over this. I strongly suggest buying and holding any digital currency currently settling it's legal hearings in the Southern District of New York. Or any digital coin holding company recently sued by the SEC (the Big Long will be the movie this time). And any that are based in the US via a foundation or corporation (IE, not BTC, which is owned and created by a British national), or start with letter X. Because {X} marks the spot, that's the DD. It is not a coincidence or accident the very first crypto Trump mentioned for the national crypto reserve was XRP - a coin he likely had never even heard off until hours before making that tweet. There was no BTC or ETH mentioned until spaces like this hurt themselves in confusion. Why? Because BTC was created by a British national who also owns a commanding share. ETH does not have the business or banking relationships or the payment efficiency edge - and again, founder residency (Russian/Canadian) and controlling organization (Swiss) are foreign. The XRP Ledger is strategically useful and the leading contender for cross-border activity. Cardano is of interest (and in relationship) to banks and governments around the world for tokenizing assets under the redenomination era. Virtually every traditional financial asset will be tokenized for legal, tax, and accounting purposes. That includes home and car ownership. Solana is a further potential where speed and cost matter most. Finally, though unmentioned by the tweet, XLM already has a CBDC use-case track record and should be considered as well. What else do XRP, ADA, SOL, and XLM have in common? American founders, with USA-based organizations. This isn't about jingoism, this is about strategy. You need to leave the history, anonymity, and grassroots community aspect behind for now. I agree that those attributes made crypto special in earlier eras, but it doesn't mean it will make you money in the redenomination era. It does not matter if your favorite Goonercoin has a better white paper or more airdrops. What matters is which coins are all-in on their chosen nations, and their efforts to generate relationships with banks, businesses, and governments associated with that respective nation. That is all that matters. You can rinse and repeat with your own countries, but I would focus on these aforementioned first, and then exchange to your local equivalent later. TO NOT OWN: 1.RE - will take the world's biggest beating when the EUR, USD, CNH, and JPY lose 30-40% of their value. The Reserve Recession event will be particularly painful for the elderly (pension+property) - thus adding to the pressure for CBDC solutions as a retirement welfare solution. In sum, the 30 year lending architecture will no longer exist. Many pensions will convert to digital currency systems. I wonder if that 401(k) inclusion recently has anything to do with this? 2.Sectors: all sectors except healthcare and industrials. Be wary of consumer staples and utilities, especially if you want to derisk your poorfolio from geopolitics. 3.Cash Accounts: don't be that guy who keeps 25k in his savings account. If you don't have a credit card, that's fine, but for everyone else, that money needs to be in physical assets, or intelligently invested. Remember, you aren't trading market volatility, you're hedging against monetary-systemic risk. 4.Other Currencies tied to the old monetary system - especially NIRPers. You could long the AUD/JPY, for instance, but don't own either via futures or ETFs (IE: FXE, FXY, etc - not even as a short). 5.Inflated Assets: in general, anything boosted by cost of money engineering (the modern monetary system function) will deflate. Lots of discretionary goods, luxury, travel, etc (Veblen goods). Investor Note: Do not expect cash to disappear. Those that engage in these cash crash predictions tend to be conspiratorial or hold prepper-mindsets. Those fear biases rarely align with reality. Besides a short ATM shock, cash will exist as usual during and alongside any monetary system transition, it will simply be a losing hedge. Ease of use redemption options at post offices and big banks will not be the only incentive for most people. Businesses and merchants will lead the way. As of this July, stablecoins are effectively legal in the US, when backed by the amorphously defined US Dollar (who's definition could change overnight with the right EO). This was a key green light to industry, giving them the option to navigate outside the conventional monetary architecture if need be - effectively defanging many potential capital controls for businesses. During the transition, businesses will quickly opt for the decentralized and reliable digital alternatives due to accountability, transparency, and availability - many options already exist to serve enterprises (unlike 07-08 monetary challenge), so this "free market" movement won't be entirely retail or consumer led. As mentioned before, don't be surprised if there is a prepared and proactive solution from the GSICs this time (unlike 08, which was reactive). 3.Outsider Information, Bessent, and the Golden Age: To summarize, crypto on the 'TO OWN' list will platform and support the CBDCs to come. Those free-market coins will present massive investment opportunities for several years to come. Eventually, you can and many of you will likely have to convert them to the digital winners of tomorrow, which will all be CBDCs. And yes, the US will eventually have a state-backed digital currency under the treasury via the redenomination process. It won't be called a CBDC because it won't be backed by a central bank, but a consortium of banks under the US Treasury, who's reserves will be required (gold) at far higher ratios than many CBs (2-3x current), but still held at the US Treasury. Will it be a golden dollar to serve the so-called Golden Age? Before he became president, Trump had a long record of statements and publicized deals that supported gold as an investment, in settlement, and as a part of a monetary system. If investors studied his ramblings the same way they study Powell's statements, they would see this. Either way, there will be an American CBDC at minimum, even if it's wrapped in golden foil and comes with QR codes on red hats. The Secretary of Fake Teeth knows this, and he and his foreign country comparables have planned for it. With all due respect to him, he was part of an all-star team of FX traders, the best of the best. They understand what makes or breaks nations from a currency standpoint and they have a track record of macro mania to prove it. He was the analytics mastermind behind Black Wednesday (NOT Druckenmiller or Soros). He's literally the currency guy (though gold was almost always his biggest position), and now in command of the top currency and the entire mirage of the modern monetary infrastructure as soon as Powell is out. He's the one who pitched the idea of a shadow Fed Chair. I don't know if he'll get that, but I do know he will get the next best thing: being remembered as the trader that successfully margin called the Federal Reserve. That's why he was chosen, he's going to oversee the biggest currency revolution in modern history. Simply put, over 88% of global GDP will be functional within a CBDC currency architecture according to the Atlantic Council's CBDC tracker, BIS industry research, and my own review - likely by the Q2 2026. That's a lot of imminent coverage for a reserve currency system replacement that wouldn't be needed for 20-40 years, according to modern economists (TL: wagies). Is it possible the people who facilitate cross-border cash flows in the billions know something consumers don't about the near-future status of our dollar reserve system? Or a matter of curiosity that a tracker like this is hosted on the preeminent US/EU think tank? Instead of, for instance, ronpaulgold.com-? The transition between the known reserve and liquidity system (USD dominance) to the upcoming digital cash systems of many qualities and styles (programmable currency playground) will constitute the largest global valuation crisis window ever. Even if, at first, only the M3 or M2 is replaced or two-tracked (in the USA). Even if they use some kind of national AI to help balance the exchange markets and oversee a new lending and credit model (spoiler: that's coming). Maybe it will be great in your country, maybe not. Ultimately, it's not a depression or a problem, not if you're prepared for it. That's my recommendation - to be prepared for an unexpected currency swap on a national or international scale unlike anything crapitalism has ever seen before. Upside to any downside: you make enough money and its hard to be depressed. Yes, there will be inflation, and everything will appear to fall (rise for room temp IQs) as the fiat cost of money paradigm goes offline and confusion around the redemption under redenomination structure is common for general consumers. But in purchasing power, certain commodities and cryptos will crab market instead of play dead for great vol plays, and in some cases, represent the last great financial investment opportunities. They are on the functionality shelf that some solution-makers will draw from, so rumor over their potential incorporation will drive tremendous spikes that will mint more millionaires from the lower classes than any other time in history. Some of you reading this will be in that cohort, I guarantee it. There is much more to be said about CBDCs, credit systems & lending, taxation changes, debt forgiveness, UBI/prebates, SWFs, and such - as all will fold into a new paradigm under programmable currency. It warrants another giant reddit thread that few will read, but you should have the right to know what neo-feudalists are planning with your money systems. From the Vineyard to the Hamptons to Jupiter Island, the dumb rich has become the dumb majority. Many of them will find out just how dumb the hard way. Wouldn't it be nice to know ahead of time? To not be caught off guard for once? The cypherpunks designed crypto for a scenario like this. It's the failsafe for when fiat inevitably fails. You may very well be able to hold most of your liquid wealth in cryptocurrencies over CBDCs. Maybe it depends on the year of adoption, or maybe your countries policies. But doing nothing is the only bad option, and its the choice most will make. Why take the flat risk of a programmable purgatory of software patches, invasive KYC, geofenced value, and conditionalized capital controls? Some of these CBDC solutions will not be sound, depending on your country. It's entirely possible they all lean authoritarian in implementation or inefficient and deflationary in practice. Don't comply without question. Thinking is still free. I'll give the same advice I'd give anyone in any era in any place on Earth: sound money = sound mind. I started retail trading before most of you were born, back when Metatrader was an advanced piece of software and worked with an IP from the isle of Dominica. I understand the appeal. Doing your own research, "working" your own hours, drawing an income from anywhere in the world. Of only being responsible for your own wins or your own loses. You had the choice between life as a broke serf or a broke merchant, and you chose the latter. Historically speaking, some of you made a smart bet. Lifelong wagies will never know what a privilege this has been. Win or lose, you took your own risks - you set fear aside to try your hand at making a fortune. There's a big trillion dollar bank account floating around out there and you only need to press the right buttons to withdraw as much as you like. That's the trading market. How cool is that? It's the pirate's life and I sincerely hope it continues. I don't want to log on to this board 10 months from now and see one big cleanup on aisle 9. That's why I'm here to do the needful for free. Thank you for reading my ZH parody. See you on the margins.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CountofCoins
World gold price todayGold prices rose steadily in the first trading session of the week in the US, hitting a new contract/historic peak, extending the growth cycle as expectations grew that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will make three 0.25 percentage point interest rate cuts before the end of 2025. Friday's jobs report showed the US labor market continued to "cool" in August, with non-farm payrolls increasing by just 22,000 jobs, much lower than the forecast of 75,000 jobs and down sharply from the revised 79,000 jobs in July. The US unemployment rate inched up to 4.3%, the highest since 2021, indicating a slowdown in hiring momentum. The market interpreted the data as meaning the Fed will cut interest rates by at least 0.75% for the rest of the year. Low interest rates are typically supportive of commodity markets, thereby boosting demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold All Time High and want to Hitting Resistance PointsGold prices are trading near all-time highs as investors continue to rush into safe-haven assets. While the uptrend remains strong, the risk of profit-taking is increasing, which could trigger short-term pullbacks. Nonetheless, the metal is likely to remain close to record levels, supported by underlying demand. The rally reflects market expectations of a more dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, a weaker U.S. dollar, and robust central bank purchases year-to-date. These factors provide a solid fundamental backdrop for gold despite elevated prices. Technical Outlook Immediate key level: 3558 – If price breaks above 3558, the next resistance is seen near 3620. Support levels to watch remain at recent breakout areas, which may act as buffers if profit-taking emerges. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of Luck, Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
11
XAU/USD 9/08/2025XAUUSD (Gold) – 15m Chart Signal 📍 Pair: Gold Spot / USD 📊 Timeframe: 15m ✅ Entry Zone 1: 3612.00 ✅ Entry Zone 2: 3607.00 🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3630.00 🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3650.00 ⛔ Stop Loss (SL): 3604.00 Setup Breakdown: • Market printed a new Higher High (HH) and retraced to form a Higher Low (HL). • Price is retesting demand zones around 3612–3607 with bullish structure intact. • Clear liquidity sweep below minor lows before push-up expected. • TP1 aligns with intraday resistance and TP2 targets the extended bullish continuation zone. 📌 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as 3604 holds.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by StonkTrade_Wave
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 08 - Sep 12]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price increased sharply, from 3,436 USD/oz to 3,600 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,586 USD/oz. The reason for the sharp increase in gold price this week is due to the conflict between the Trump administration and the FED increasing when Mr. Trump announced the dismissal of FED Governor Lisa Cook. Previously, Mr. Trump repeatedly attacked FED Chairman Jerome Powell for not reducing interest rates and also threatened to fire Mr. Powell. In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for August dealt a further blow to the already weak job market, as employers added just 22,000 jobs, far below economists' forecasts of 75,000. The dismal figure followed an equally worrying July report of 73,000 new jobs, while revisions reduced the number by 258,000 jobs from the previous two months. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. The worsening jobs picture has reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates at its meeting on September 16-17. Market participants now see a 0.25% rate cut as a near certainty, with some economists even suggesting the Fed could cut rates by as much as 0.5%. Next week, the US will release two important inflation figures, CPI and PPI. If the monthly core CPI increases by 0.5% or more, it may cause investors to reassess the probability of multiple rate cuts by the FED this year. This will support the USD, which will be detrimental to gold prices next week. On the contrary, if the core CPI increases by only 0.3%, it may cause the USD to fall, supporting gold prices to continue to rise next week. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, if the gold price maintains its uptrend, it will move up to the next resistance level determined at the Fibonacci extension Fibo261.8 level around the threshold of 3,680 USD/oz. In case of a correction, the support level should be noted around the hard resistance level as well as the dynamic resistance level at the area of ​​3,450 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,574 – 3,550USD Resistance: 3,600 – 3,613USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3681 - 3679⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3685 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3449 - 3451⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3445
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook ( Sept 8th - 13th )Hello Traders, 🔥 Gold has powered into $3600 — right on track with our plan. If you didn’t ride the full wave, no worries — price action always gifts new entries and exits. Now comes the big question: Do we run straight to $3700, or pull back toward $3550 first? This week’s spotlight: Inflation data (PPI & CPI). Hot prints → stronger USD → possible gold correction Soft prints → weaker USD → fuel for further upside Technical : Weekly RSI >70 → momentum is strong, but conditions are stretched, making retracements possible. Macro: Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven demand keep the bigger bullish picture intact. 👉 Our stance: Still bullish, with targets now extended to $3745. Here is the breakdown : Weekly Price Map & Scenarios Bullish Scenario Base Case: Gold consolidates around $3,600, building on the breakout. Upside Target: Move toward $3,689–3,700 by week’s end, aligned with algorithmic and institutional forecasts. Extended Target: If momentum accelerates, institutional optics suggest extension toward $4,000+. Sideways / Neutral Expect range-bound trading between $3,600–3,650 early in the week. This gives way to breakout moves in response to macro cues (employment data, Fed tone). Bearish Risk Though unlikely given current momentum, a hawkish Fed or strong U.S. data could stall the trend. In that scenario, look for pullback levels near $3,550–3,570 as support. 🔑 Key Levels Support (demand zones): 3550–3530 → Bulls’ lifeline (EMA support). 3525–3480 → Strong base if deeper retrace. 3375–3325 → Mid-range defence, breakout base. Resistance (supply zones): 3620–3640 → First ceiling. 3665–3700 → Major supply cluster. 3810–3860 → Extended bullish target if CPI comes soft. 📌 Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Path Hold above 3550 → push toward 3620–3665. Break & hold above 3700 → unlocks 3810–3860. 🔴 Bearish Path Rejection at 3620/3665 → correction into 3550–3520. Hot CPI/PPI → break below 3525 → opens 3375–3325. ✅ Action Plan Above 3550 = bullish continuation bias. Below 3525 = correction bias.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
H1 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Full Map (Sep 8–12, 2025)Hello traders, gold trades around 3585–3600. The H1 chart now gives us the full structural map: all supply levels stacked above price, and all demand levels layered below. This is the tactical roadmap for the week 👇 🔑 H1 Structural Supply Zones (Upside Resistance) Immediate Supply (3618–3628) H1 OB + bearish FVG Liquidity above Friday’s wick Fib 127% extension Primary Supply (3668–3678) Refined H4 supply Fib 161.8% extension Gap inefficiency Extended Supply (3725–3735) Next liquidity pocket H1 imbalance zone inside rally Target only if CPI fuels expansion Extreme Supply (3790–3805) HTF fib 200% extension Last clean H1 OB before weekly resistance cluster 🔑 H1 Structural Demand Zones (Downside Support) Immediate Demand (3562–3552) H1 OB + EMA21 Fib 61.8% retracement Gap-fill from breakout Primary Demand (3528–3515) OB + EMA50 support Unfilled FVG Fib 78.6% retracement Secondary Demand (3488–3475) Previous accumulation base Micro OB + gap imbalance Aligned with EMA100 Deep Demand (3445–3430) Institutional block Strong HTF liquidity pool Only tested on aggressive USD rally 📌 Scenarios Bullish Path 🟢 Hold Immediate Demand (3562–3552) → retest 3618–3628. Break above this → continuation toward 3668–3678. If macro stays supportive, 3725–3735 may unlock later. Bearish Path 🔴 Rejection at 3618–3628 sends gold back to 3562–3552. Losing this opens 3528–3515, then deeper 3488–3475. Strong CPI/PPI could flush into 3445–3430. ✅ Conclusion & Action Plan The full H1 map frames this week clearly: Supplies stacked: 3618–3628 → 3668–3678 → 3725–3735 → 3790–3805. Demands layered: 3562–3552 → 3528–3515 → 3488–3475 → 3445–3430. Between these zones is the battlefield — trade reactions, not guesses. Let PA confirm (BOS, rejection, slowdown) before execution. ✨ Which zone do you expect to trigger first — the Immediate Supply 3628 or the Immediate Demand 3552? Drop your view 👇,please 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
H4 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – September 8–12, 2025Hello traders, gold ended last week at 3585–3600, breaking into fresh highs. The H4 chart now sets the battlefield for this week: we refine the institutional zones into clear swing areas where liquidity and reactions are most likely. With PPI (Sep 10) and CPI (Sep 11) ahead, these zones will shape the flow 👇 🔸 H4 Structure & Trend Trend: Strong bullish → higher highs and higher lows continue. EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) → perfectly aligned, EMA21 supports short-term structure. RSI: Near 68, showing momentum strength but stretched into premium levels. Bias: Bullish, but with room for correction into lower demand zones. 🔑 H4 Structural Zones Upside Supply / Resistance 3615–3635 → First H4 supply, immediate test zone above 3600. 3665–3685 → Main H4 supply of the week, strong resistance cluster. 3735–3755 → Extended upside supply, only unlocked if CPI/PPI favor gold. Downside Demand / Support 3565–3545 → Nearest H4 demand, aligned with EMA21. 3525–3505 → Secondary demand, key support base if 3550 fails. 3465–3445 → Deeper H4 demand, liquidity zone and EMA100 alignment. 📌 Weekly Scenarios Bullish Path 🟢 If gold holds above 3565–3545, buyers can defend and attack higher levels. Break above 3615–3635 unlocks 3665–3685. Macro momentum (weak CPI/PPI) could drive extension into 3735–3755. Bearish Path 🔴 Rejection at 3615–3635 may drag gold back into 3565–3545. Losing this zone opens 3525–3505. If macro favors USD, deeper test into 3465–3445 becomes possible. ✅ Conclusion & Action Plan The H4 map with wide zones gives clarity for the week: 3565–3545 → key demand lifeline. 3615–3635 → immediate ceiling. 3665–3685 → decisive zone for continuation or reversal. Expect sideways early in the week, then breakout volatility around Wednesday’s PPI and Thursday’s CPI. ✨ Will bulls break 3615–3635 early, or do we dip into 3545–3525 first? Share your thoughts , 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for weekly precision outlooks 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds