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XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours! After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051. Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 . The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
100
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please check out our updated Weekly Chart Route Map, featuring updated revised key levels after completion of our last long term weekly chart idea for precise level-to-level tracking. Price action has successfully filled EMA5 detachment (highlighted with a circle) and we are now seeing price play between 4059 (resistance) and 3821(support). To determine the next directional move, we’ll need a decisive test and break of either boundary level. On the broader horizon, 3006 stands as the long-range pivotal swing zone, which may come into play if a major correction unfolds. 🔹 Note: The key distinction between a retracement range and a swing range is that swing ranges typically produce larger bounces and wider price reactions compared to standard retracement ranges. We’ll continue to update this outlook throughout the week as the structure develops. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet. It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way. There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area. Fundamental context Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets. Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
5
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a rising bottom📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is trading inside a descending channel, forming a short-term rebound from the support line near 3,945, signaling a potential breakout attempt. ● A move above the 4,025–4,040 resistance zone would confirm a channel break and open the path toward the 4,138 level. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold finds demand amid geopolitical uncertainty and weaker U.S. Treasury yields, while markets await key inflation data that may limit dollar strength. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 3,945; target 4,040–4,138. Channel bottom rebound supports a short-term bullish recovery scenario. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
3
XAU/USD – Gold Faces Key RejectionXAU/USD – Gold Faces Key Rejection Zone Near 4,050 Ahead of Month-End Gold prices (XAU/USD) are attempting a short-term rebound from the 3,900 support area after an extended bearish leg last week. However, the recovery momentum is now testing a critical resistance zone around 4,020–4,050, which previously acted as a major breakdown point. From a technical standpoint, the overall structure remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,050. The recent move appears to be a retracement toward the 38.2% Fibonacci zone, aligning with the EMA dynamic resistance and prior supply area. A clear rejection from this region could trigger renewed selling pressure toward 3,908–3,880, while a confirmed breakout above 4,050 would open the door for a corrective push toward 4,180 and 4,390. Key Levels: Resistance: 4,050 / 4,180 / 4,390 Support: 3,908 / 3,880 / 3,792 Trading Strategy: Scenario 1 (Bearish bias): Watch for bearish reversal signals at 4,020–4,050. A rejection candle or RSI divergence could validate short entries toward 3,908. Scenario 2 (Bullish breakout): If gold closes firmly above 4,050 on H1–H4 timeframe, short-term buyers may target 4,180 before reassessing momentum. Overall, sellers still hold control unless bulls reclaim 4,050 convincingly. Traders should monitor today’s U.S. data releases and Fed commentary for volatility triggers. Remember to follow for more daily trading setups and technical insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
4
XAUUSD – “A Tailwind from the Fed” Ignites Gold’s Rally!Hey traders, After the Fed officially cut interest rates , gold reacted sharply, jumping nearly 2% on October 30. This isn’t just a short-term boost for the bulls — it’s a clear signal that capital is flowing back into safe-haven assets , especially as the U.S.–China trade uncertainty continues to linger. On the 4H chart, price action remains within a medium-term descending channel , but the 3,950 – 4,000 zone is turning into a strong accumulation area . Buyers are clearly defending this zone before a potential breakout toward the 4,150 resistance. If price holds above 3,950 and breaks through the upper boundary of the channel, a bullish reversal could be confirmed, paving the way toward 4,200 and beyond. Trading plan (for reference): Buy on dips around 3,950 – 3,970. Targets: 4,150 – 4,200. Stop loss: Below 3,930. The Fed has just turned on the green light, and the market seems ready — gold may be gearing up for its next leg higher. Buckle up, because the XAUUSD train might be about to depart!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kairo_Vexen
6
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) (Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown) Gold (COMEX) Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030) Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691) → The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally. Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 58% long / 42% short 📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price. 🔹 Seasonality Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods. 📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes. 🔹 Price Action After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution. Current structure shows: Key resistance: 4,250–4,300 Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900 RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave. 🎯 Main Scenario: Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone. From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength. ⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
Continue to accumulate along the 4058 trend line⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) faces renewed selling pressure after an early Asian uptick toward $4,046, pausing this week’s rebound from its lowest level since October 6. The US Dollar (USD) holds near a three-month high following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, weighing on the non-yielding metal. Additionally, optimism over easing US–China trade tensions dampens safe-haven demand. Still, lingering worries about the prolonged US government shutdown could limit USD strength and offer some support to gold prices. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: market accumulation time, sideways around 4000. ended october with volatility ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4058 - 4060 SL 4065 TP1: $4050 TP2: $4040 TP3: $4020 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3887 - 3885 SL 3880 TP1: $3900 TP2: $3910 TP3: $3925 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold 1979 vs 2025 — When History Whispers and Markets Listen 🌕 1. The Echo of 1979 In 1979, the world watched Gold do the impossible. The metal surged from $226 to over $850 per ounce in less than a year, a 275% explosion that turned fear into fortune. The triggers were seismic. 🇮🇷 The Iranian Revolution disrupted global oil flows. 🏛️ The U.S. Embassy hostage crisis fueled geopolitical panic. ⚔️ The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan reignited Cold War fears. 💸 And double-digit inflation in the U.S. shredded faith in the dollar. By early 1980, panic replaced logic. Every newspaper screamed, “Buy Gold before it’s too late!” Then came Paul Volcker’s shock therapy as interest rates jumped above 15% and COMEX doubled margin requirements. Within eight weeks, Gold fell more than 40%, marking the end of one of the most dramatic speculative manias in modern history. 🔁 2. Fast-Forward to 2025: The Parallels Are Uncanny The world of 2025 looks hauntingly similar. 🕰️ 1979 🔮 2025 Iranian Revolution and Cold War tensions Gaza war, U.S.–China decoupling, and regional instability Oil shock and inflation Energy disruptions and persistent post-pandemic inflation Dollar under pressure Record U.S. debt and fiscal erosion Panic buying of Gold Central bank accumulation and retail FOMO Fed under Volcker turns hawkish Fed under Powell trapped between cuts and control By late August 2025, gold sat quietly near $3,415, then erupted into a seven-week vertical rally above $4,300, a mirror image of 1979’s euphoric climb. But just like back then, euphoria was the prelude to exhaustion. ⚠️ 3. The Anatomy of the Current Crash On October 17, 2025, Gold plunged $250 in one day, a shocking 5–6% drop that broke its parabolic structure and sent fear rippling across markets. What triggered it? 🏦 A hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve’s language as officials hinted rate cuts might be delayed. 💰 Real yields surged, breaking the inverse correlation that had fueled gold’s climb. 🏛️ Institutional profit-taking hit record levels, confirmed by rising COMEX open interest and volume. 🗞️ Sentiment flipped overnight as headlines shifted from “Gold to $5000” to “Gold crashes $250.” The move marked the first true break of structure (CHoCH) since the rally began, historically the signal that smart money is quietly exiting. 🔍 4. Lessons from 1980 — The Signs of a Top Before gold crashed in 1980, five clear warning signs appeared. ⚙️ 1979–1980 Signal 💡 2025 Equivalent 🧭 Status Fed turns hawkish Powell signals “pause / higher for longer” ⚠️ Emerging Rising bond yields vs. flat Gold Real yield divergence ✅ Confirmed Parabolic candles Daily range above $100 ✅ Seen Media frenzy “Gold to $5000” hype ✅ Seen Margin hikes and record OI Record COMEX participation ⚠️ Rising Four out of five signals are already flashing. History teaches that when everyone believes Gold can only rise, it’s often about to fall. 🧭 5. What Smart Traders Should Do Now 🟡 Phase 1 – Immediate Protection (Next 24 Hours) If you’re long, secure 50–75% of gains and protect above $3,950. If you’re short, trail stops to $4,200 and look for targets at $3,950 → $3,800 → $3,600. If you’re flat, stay patient and wait for at least two daily candles of stabilization before acting. 🟠 Phase 2 – Stabilization (Next 3–5 Days) Watch for: 🕯️ Long lower wicks on daily candles show buyer absorption. 📉 Shrinking COMEX volume indicates exhaustion of sellers. 📊 Flat or falling real yields confirming support. 🔵 Phase 3 – Re-evaluation (Next 1–2 Weeks) If gold reclaims $4,000+ with strength and Fed tone softens, a controlled re-rally may begin. If Gold stays below $3,800, the correction likely extends toward $3,500, the same 30–40% retracement seen in 1980. 🧘‍♀️ 6. Beyond the Chart — Discipline Over Drama When a $250 candle appears, instincts scream, “Do something!” But professionals know the truth: reaction destroys capital, observation preserves it. The coming days are not about prediction but about posture. Stay liquid, track sentiment, watch real yields, and remember that even in 1980, Gold’s crash didn’t end its story — it simply reset the cycle for the next era of accumulation. ✨ History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. In 1979, Gold taught us that fear creates bubbles. In 2025, it’s reminding us that even truth needs a pullback before it shines again. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
74
GOLD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD Price has reached a horizontal supply area after a corrective move upward. Bears are likely to step in, targeting the previous low for liquidity. ------------------- Stop Loss: 4,052$ Take Profit: 3,997$ Entry: 4,027$ Time Frame: 2H Setup Risk: High ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
3
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
24
XAUUSD: The Bullish ABCD Pattern Signals Potential Price SurgeHey everyone, it's Erik! The price has decreased within the bullish ABCD pattern, a pattern that often indicates that the sellers have exhausted their strength, with their momentum weakening near the bottom. Recently, the price broke above the upper trendline, signaling that buyers are starting to intervene, shifting the market dynamics in their favor. If the price stays above this recently broken level, we could see a significant rise. My target is for the price to reach around 4,130, a reasonable level based on the current setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
5
XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$. While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone. Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone. Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure. Key Levels: • Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone) • Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$ • Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish — buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure. However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Upcoming Gold Correction WaveLong XAUUSD Trading Position on 4H timeframe Take Profit: 2300.00 SL: 3,886.5 Opportunity of +3,700 Point 🔎 Chart Breakdown Elliott Wave Context: After the 5-wave impulse, the structure suggests a potential A–B–C correction forming. Trendlines: Price is currently respecting the long-term ascending support (yellow lines), just newly above the trending channel (red). Entry Zone: A possible entry has been identified near the lower boundary of the channel, where risk-to-reward is more favourable. Risk Management: The red zone highlights the invalidation level — if price breaks and closed below, the setup is no longer valid. Target Projection: A breakout from the channel could trigger a move toward the green zone, aligning with the Take Profit (TP) level, which is inside the last 4H FVG 📊 Trading Plan Bias: Short-term correction before resumption of trend. Entry: Near support / channel bottom. Stop-Loss: Below the invalidation zone. Take Profit: Toward the upper resistance / green target zone. ⚠️ Note This is a technical outlook based on my POV to the chart, Elliott Wave structure and support/resistance confluence. Always manage risk carefully and adapt if market conditions change I would be grateful to get your feedback on this idea if you have any opinions to share. ✽ Improve your awareness to seek a great analysis ⌁↝✔ @AbdullahTech ♾
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by AbdullahTech
6