"XAUUSD Bullish Setup Toward 3800–3810"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour analysis.
Price is currently trading around 3769 after a bullish move.
A support trend line is holding price momentum, suggesting buyers are still active above this level.
Immediate support is seen near 3753, while the trendline also aligns with this support zone.
If price respects the support trend line, a bullish continuation is expected.
The upside targets are marked at 3800 as the next key level, and 3810 as a potential new all-time high (ATH).
The projection indicates a possible short-term pullback to the trend line before resuming upward movement.
Overall, the setup suggests a bullish outlook, as long as price stays above the support and trend line.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Expecting gold to go down tomorrow and bounce backSo I believe it’s Gonna go down due to the news tomorrow ADP non-farm. The actual is gonna be more than the forecast and then if you look at the data which is expected to come out from the ADP, the government one that will weaker the dollar hence gold would go up again in my opinion
Gold in a Bullish Trend but at a Complex Stage – Both Scenarios Gold in a Bullish Trend but at a Complex Stage – Both Scenarios Explained
Gold has been extending its strong bullish trend for quite some time, largely ignoring fundamental factors. Overall, the current situation is not worse than what we experienced during the Covid-19 period.
In this analysis, I outline how gold could develop in the coming days, or even today. Stay cautious and position yourself according to the scenario that best fits your trading style and comfort level.
You May Watch The Analysis For Further Details!
Thank You!
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, it's great to be back! Let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Gold continues to maintain a strong uptrend, supported by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recently, statements from the Fed about maintaining accommodative monetary policy and expectations of further rate cuts are creating a favorable environment for gold.
Technically, gold is maintaining its strong uptrend, supported by a long-term upward trendline. After a small correction, the price is now returning to an important support level near 3,730 USD. This presents a potential buying opportunity if gold holds above the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
Technical indicators, including short-term and long-term EMAs, show stable growth. If gold breaks through the resistance at 3,785 USD, the next target could be 3,8xx USD.
💬Do you agree with this outlook? Please leave your comments below!
Good luck!
GOLD (XAU/USD): Waiting for BreakoutUpdate for ⚠️Gold:
It has been observed that the market is currently trading within a significant ascending parallel channel on a 4-hour chart.
Upon analyzing the hourly timeframe, a cup and handle formation has been identified, with a neckline situated between 3858 and 3864.
It is anticipated that a trend-following movement may commence shortly.
To validate this, it is advisable to await for a bullish breakout of the designated blue area.
Confirmation would require an hourly candle to close above that level.
Subsequently, the market is expected to rise to at least 3900.
For the time being, it is recommended to exercise patience and await the breakout before proceeding.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levelsH4 structure and levels
Bias: Still bullish (higher highs/lows), price above EMAs.
Supply/resistance: 3774, 3781–3806 (primary supply), 3830, 3874.
Demand/support: 3750–3745 (pivot/EMA confluence), 3738–3735, 3730–3720, 3707, 3685.
Volatility context: Typical H4 range about $12–$20; your $5 stop is ~25–40% of that—usable, but it demands precise triggers.
Setup 1: Buy 3766
Context: Long below major supply (3781–3806); limited clearance overhead.
Probability:
Taken as marked (3766 with 50‑pip/$5 stop): 40–45% due to frequent pullbacks before any breakout.
Improves to ~58–65% if you only take it after H4 acceptance above 3781 (close above, then a held retest of 3778–3781).
Alternative long with same stop: buy a pullback at 3750 ±0.5 with SL 3745; ~55–60% since you’re buying demand, not into supply.
Targets and R:R (risk = 50 pips = $500/lot):
T1 3774: +80 pips ≈ 1.6R
T2 3791: +250 pips ≈ 5.0R
T3 3806–3830: +400–640 pips ≈ 8–12.8R
Setup 2: Sell 3752
Context: Counter‑trend into layered demand (3738 → 3720) with EMAs below.
Probability:
As marked (3752 with a 50‑pip stop): 35–40% while H4 holds above 3745.
Improves to ~55–60% only after a clean H4 breakdown/close below 3738–3735 and a failed retest (sell 3738–3742, SL 3743–3745).
Higher‑quality short that fits the stop: fade 3781–3806 on H4 rejection (enter 3800–3805, SL 3805–3810); ~56–62%.
Targets and R:R (risk = 50 pips):
T1 3738: +140 pips ≈ 2.8R
T2 3730: +220 pips ≈ 4.4R
T3 3707: +450 pips ≈ 9.0R
Which ideas best match a 50‑pip/$500 max stop
Longs: Prefer 3750–3745 pullbacks or post‑acceptance above 3781. Avoid chasing 3766 into supply without confirmation.
Shorts: Prefer H4 rejection inside 3781–3806, or breakdown/retest short after an H4 close below 3738.
Entry filters and management
Long filter: Either H4 close >3781 and hold retest, or wick‑down into 3750–3745 that quickly reclaims 3755+.
Short filter: H4 long‑wick rejection in 3781–3806 with lower close, or H4 close <3738 and failed retest into 3738–3742.
Move to breakeven after +80–120 pips or once the nearest opposing level is cleared (e.g., long above 3774; short below 3738).
Scale partials at first objective (3774 for longs, 3738 for shorts); let runners aim for 3791/3806 or 3730/3707.
Week‑ahead catalysts (verify exact dates on your calendar)
Likely in the coming week: ISM Manufacturing (early week), JOLTS (early week), ADP (mid‑week), ISM Services (later), and NFP/Unemployment/Average Hourly Earnings (Fri, Oct 3).
Implications:
Strong labor/earnings or firm ISM Prices Paid → higher yields/stronger USD → bearish gold. Favors shorts from 3781–3806 or breakdowns below 3738.
Softer data → weaker USD/real yields → bullish gold. Favors buy‑the‑dip at 3750 or break‑and‑hold above 3781.
Tactics: Avoid initiating fresh breakouts within 12–24h of NFP; if in profit pre‑data, consider partials and protective stops at BE or just beyond structure.
Position sizing
Lot size = Account risk $ / (50 pips × $10). Example: risking $500 → 1.00 lot; risking $250 → 0.50 lot.
Bottom line
Buy 3766: 40–45% as marked; 58–65% after acceptance above 3781 or from a 3750 pullback.
Sell 3752: 35–40% into demand; 55–60% after a 3738 breakdown/retest or on a rejection from 3781–3806.
With a strict 50‑pip/$500 stop, the cleanest plays are: buy 3750–3745 or post‑acceptance above 3781; sell rejections in 3781–3806 or breakdowns below 3738.
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, including the 3470 DEMAND 2 and 3675 DEMAND levels, turning them into new support.
Currently, the price action is continuing its ascent within the upper portion of this ascending channel, indicating that the bullish initiative remains firmly in control. The market is in a clear expansion phase, with very little sign of significant selling pressure, suggesting that any pullbacks are likely to be minor and short-lived.
My scenario for the development of events is a direct continuation of the current bullish momentum. I believe that the price will only make a shallow correction from the current levels before the next impulsive wave higher begins. In my opinion, the underlying trend is strong enough to carry the price to a new high within the channel. The take-profit is therefore set at 3835 points, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Manage your risk.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Next Goal - 3900
Gold looks bullish again today,
following a completion of a correctional movement after an update of the ATH yesterday.
The market was accumulating for some time within a horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH indicates its highly probable completion.
The price will most likely continue rising now.
Goal - 3900
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DeGRAM | GOLD is correcting 📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD tested resistance at 3871 within an ascending channel and showed rejection, signaling a short-term corrective phase.
● Price structure suggests a pullback toward 3825–3785 support before a potential re-test of upper channel levels.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar strength is reinforced by hawkish Fed commentary and firm bond yields, weighing on gold’s near-term outlook.
✨ Summary
Gold faces rejection at 3871, with downside targets near 3825 and 3785. Short-term bias remains bearish while under resistance.
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Lingrid | GOLD NFP Positioning Trend Extension SetupOANDA:XAUUSD is holding its structure inside the upward channel, recently rebounding from the trendline support near 3845. Price action is developing higher lows with bullish momentum, while the breakout of equal highs signals strength toward 3923. Holding above 3844 keeps the bias intact for continuation toward the resistance zone. Further upside momentum could push price into the 3940–3960 target area within the channel.
⚠️ Risks:
A drop back under 3845 may trigger a deeper correction.
Strong NFP data could pressure gold.
Geopolitical risk fading could reduce safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Continues to Challenge Record Resistance Levels👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
As of this writing, gold continues its upward momentum, having reached new highs as investors increase their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the near future. The concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and global economic instability have further strengthened gold’s position as a safe haven asset.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar is under pressure due to expectations of monetary easing, which is paving the way for further gains in gold.
Technically, gold is currently consolidating in a range, repeating patterns seen in the past. The current support level is around $3,815, while the immediate resistance is near the $3,900 mark. If the price breaks this resistance, the next target could be higher record levels.
Overall, the short to medium-term outlook still favors the bulls. Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Continues to Probe for New Highs.👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, reaching a new record high near 3800 USD. Persistent geopolitical tensions, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, and signs of weakness in major economies in Europe and the U.S. seem to be sustaining investor interest in the precious metal.
At the time of writing, gold is hovering around 3765 USD, undergoing a slight pullback, but the overall trend still supports further gains. From a technical perspective, I believe that after this correction, we could see higher price movements. The immediate target is to reclaim the 3790 USD level, followed by 3800 USD, and if conditions remain favorable, we could push even higher, as long as no deep corrections occur.
💬What do you think about gold? Feel free to share your views in the comments, I'm looking forward to your feedback!
Good luck!
XAUUSD: Rally will Continue after CorrectionHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
The prior Upward Channel has been broken, and the price is now trading below a major Trend Line, indicating that the strong bullish momentum has paused and the market has entered a corrective phase.
Currently, this corrective phase has taken the form of a horizontal Range or consolidation above the Support 2 level. The price has been oscillating between local support and resistance, and is now making another move down towards the bottom of this Range for what I see as a critical test.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction down into Support zone. A confirmed bounce from this area would be the first signal that the pullback is over. The next key step would be a breakout from the top of the current Range.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful breakout from the Range would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is 3825, which aims for a retest of the major broken Trend Line from below.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (15m timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bullish Gold Setup
Chart Pattern: Price broke out of a triangle consolidation after retesting the order block (OB, yellow zone). This signals accumulation before continuation.
Order Block (OB): The zone around 3,836 – 3,840 acted as a strong demand area. Price respected it and bounced back.
EMA Support:
50 EMA (red) is sitting just above the OB, providing short-term support.
200 EMA (blue) is trending upward, confirming underlying bullish bias.
Projection: The breakout is expected to expand higher toward the measured move target.
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Target Point
3,883.44 is the projected upside target.
This aligns with the breakout projection and prior liquidity grab zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Pullback toward 3,836 – 3,840 OB for confirmation.
Target: 3,883.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,816 (200 EMA) would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest deeper retracement.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Comprehensive analysis of gold!As I just checked Gold price Action in last weeks period this is my note :
1. price has completed strong uptrend.
2. price left strong liqudity on 3896 which is highest High.
3. this will make trader think about another upward trend.
4. corrections were weak and now I think there would be a downtrend or correction in major till filling gaps.
*TRADING NOTE*
3870 is my stoploss for sells.
now sell this price and keeping it till first value level which is 3793.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Technical OutlookAnalysis
Gold (XAU/USD) has broken out of the descending channel and is now trading inside an ascending channel. The breakout was supported by strong bullish momentum.
Key zones:
🔵 Demand zones around 3765 – 3755 where price could find support on a pullback.
🔴 Supply zone around 3795 – 3805 where price may face resistance.
Outlook:
As long as the price holds above the demand zones, bullish continuation within the ascending channel is possible. A clean break below 3755 would weaken the bullish structure.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal : 3746
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3767 - 3793 area
Support 2: 3690 - 3736 area
Support 3: 3613 - 3644 area
Support 4: 3560 - 3580 area
Resistance 1: 3898 - 3902 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Support 1 and Vertical Support 1 will compose an important contracting demand zone.
There will be a high chance to see a bullish movement from that.
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Adjustment direction before the non-farm payroll data: Sell!
Gold prices rose from 3825 to 3871 in the Asian session today, before quickly selling off in the European session and breaking down to 3808.
The 4H chart has weakened, and a volatile downward trend is currently expected. Short-term resistance is 3825-3832, with strong resistance at 3840. Short-term support is 3808-3800, with strong support at 3790 and the daily MA5-3780.
Operationally, short selling is recommended before the non-farm payroll data release, with specific pre-market guidance.
Sell near 3832, with a target of 3800-3790-3785. Hold if the price falls below.
XAU/USD – Bulls Eyeing Breakout Toward 3,820From my point of view, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength after rejecting support levels multiple times. The chart highlights a clear horizontal range where buyers have consistently stepped in around the 3,713 – 3,720 zone. This area is acting as a strong base, signaling that demand is present whenever price dips lower.
On the other side, resistance near 3,780 has been tested several times, and each rejection has been weaker than the last – which often signals that sellers are losing control. A breakout above this zone could unleash a strong impulsive rally.
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger.
Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being.
From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.