Trade ideas
Gold Might Have Taken a Hit from the US–China DealGold started the week on a bearish note following reports that the US and China reached a new trade agreement. The pennant formation is currently being tested to the downside. If it breaks, the first target will be the 4000 support level, with the potential for further declines.
Key support levels to watch are 4045, 4000, 3930, and 3775. Traders should be ready for a volatile week filled with central bank meetings, the Trump–Xi summit, and developments related to the US government shutdown.
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
PivotL 4,016.90
1st Support: 3,791.73
1st Resistance: 4,131.50
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BULLS READY TO TAKE CHARGE AGAINChart Overview
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold / USD)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Current Zone: Around 3960–4015
Type of Structure: You’ve drawn a descending wedge / falling channel pattern.
📉 Pattern Explanation
Your drawing shows:
Sharp impulsive drop → heavy selling pressure earlier.
Consolidation inside a wedge → price making lower highs and lower lows, but the slope is narrowing.
Circle area (highlighted) → likely key reaction zone / breakout area.
That means you’re expecting:
The market to retest the lower boundary once more.
Then reverse upward from support near 3920–3940.
Targeting breakout toward 4010–4040 zone.
XAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance ZoneXAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance Zone 🎯
Welcome back, everyone, Steven Trading here with the new week's Gold analysis!
The market is clearly showing selling pressure after a strong rejection from the peak. Technical analysis on the H4 frame confirms the downtrend remains dominant. We will focus on seeking SELL opportunities when the price recovers to the strong supply zone.
1. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4 Technical Analysis)
Main Trend (Bearish Structure): The Bearish structure on H4 has been clearly established.
Volume Signal: The Volume Profile indicates accumulation by the Sellers at high price zones, reinforcing the search for SELL opportunities.
Ideal SELL Zone (High-Prob Zone): Gold tends to retest the important Resistance zone around $4235 - 4237. This is an extremely important technical convergence point:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price imbalance zone acts as a magnet.
Fibonacci 0.382: Provides high-quality SELL signals.
2. 📰 Macro Context (Context)
The Gold market is being influenced by two streams of information:
Short-Term Downward Pressure 📉: Optimism about US-China trade and the market's focus on the upcoming FOMC meeting have strengthened the USD, creating downward pressure on Gold. The psychological mark of $4200 is key.
Long-Term Support 📈: Global Central Banks are still buying Gold in record volumes, creating a solid price foundation, preventing prices from falling too deeply in the long term.
3. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan (Action Plan)
The current range is quite narrow. We prioritize trading according to the downtrend.
🔴 Main SELL Scenario (Trend-following priority)
We wait for the price to recover to the supply zone to execute a Sell order.
Entry Zone: $4235 - 4237
Stop Loss (SL): $4243 (Set a tight SL to manage risk)
Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: $4212
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4177
TP4: $4145
🟢 Counter BUY Scenario (Higher risk - Defensive)
This scenario is triggered if the price drops deeply into the strong Liquidity zone.
Entry Zone: $3955 - 3958
Stop Loss: $3950
Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: $3975
TP2: $3998
TP3: $4025
TP4: $4060
4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note)
Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the small predetermined risk.
Capital Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account per order.
Psychology: No FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or trying to "revenge" the market. Waiting is a trading skill.
Do you agree with this Gold strategy? Please Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next analyses!
XAUUSD: A strong rebound toward 4,235 looks highly likelyHey everyone, it’s Erik here.
I’m closely watching a potential reversal zone on XAUUSD, which I’ve highlighted on my chart. Based on the current market structure, I expect price to face some rejection before continuing its move upward toward the 4,235 level.
This area could be a key decision point for the market. If buyers manage to hold the support, we could see a strong rebound and a continuation of the bullish momentum. But if price breaks below this zone, it could open the door for a deeper move down as liquidity builds beneath.
Should we get a clear bullish impulse, the next area I’ll be watching is T2. From there, we might see a period of accumulation or another sharp reaction, depending on the broader market sentiment at that time.
I’m simply sharing my personal view of the chart — this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your own setups and manage your risk with patience and discipline.
Gold analysis with trading ideasAfter nine consecutive weeks of strong gains, gold has entered a sharp correction phase. Driven by intense selling pressure, its nearly three-month winning streak has officially come to an end. However, given the persistently high levels of global geopolitical and economic uncertainty, the likelihood of a significant further decline in gold prices remains low, as safe-haven trading activity remains robust and dynamic. Currently, trade negotiations between the U.S. and China are still ongoing, while President Trump has announced the termination of all trade talks with Canada. Meanwhile, due to the U.S. Congress’ prolonged failure to pass an appropriations bill, the release of economic data continues to be disrupted, shifting traders’ focus back to central bank policies once again.
From a technical perspective, following the formation of a "double top" pattern on the 1-hour chart, gold has been oscillating under the resistance of the pattern’s neckline. Despite the bullish CPI data last Friday, gold bulls failed to push prices above the 4,160 level, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is still under significant pressure and gold is likely to remain in a wide-range consolidation. Looking at the 4-hour chart, after prices fell from the "double top" pattern, they rebounded with support from the acceleration line: the lower boundary of the range was reclaimed last Thursday, followed by a second bottoming-out and rebound on Friday—signaling that the short-term support at the lower boundary has been basically confirmed.
The key range currently lies between 4,060 and 4,170, and these two levels can be regarded as the dividing lines for short-term bullish and bearish trends. A break above 4,170 would suggest strengthened rebound momentum, potentially leading to a further test of the upper channel edge around the 4,300 area. Conversely, a break below 4,060 may trigger a continued decline toward the 4,000 support level—this forms the core framework for the current market movement.
Today’s trading strategy will revolve around the 4,000–4,170 range, prioritizing short positions at higher levels and long positions at lower levels. If prices break above 4,170, it will indicate that gold bulls have regained control, requiring a timely strategy adjustment to enter long positions on pullbacks.
XAU/USD Gold support breakdown strong bearish trend📉 GOLD (XAU/USD) Sell Setup Alert 💰✨
🔹 Current Trend: Bearish momentum continues on the 1H timeframe
🔹 Support Breakdown Possible: from $3935 zone
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ TP1: $3894
2️⃣ TP2: $3826
⚠️ Watch for confirmation candles & volume before entry
📊 Always follow your risk management plan — protect your capital!
💬 What’s your view on this setup?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments!
📈 Like | 🔁 Share | 💬 Comment | 🔔 Follow for more live trade updates & insights!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SellSetup #RiskManagement #TraderMindset
Gold as of the momentGold continues its bullish run, pushing toward the $4,050 mark — momentum remains strong as investors rally behind the trend.”
Gold is eyeing $4,050, extending its bullish momentum! Market sentiment stays optimistic as demand strengthens.”
“Bullish energy in the gold market! Prices are climbing toward $4,050, reflecting growing investor confidence.”
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters
Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed.
Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins.
✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders:
They accept losses without revenge trading.
They follow rules, not impulses.
They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight.
💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit
Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea.
📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control:
Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one.
Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better).
Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners.
Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time.
🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline
Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily:
Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session.
Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results.
Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment.
Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit.
💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve.
⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift
Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital.
Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally.
🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.”
📊 Conclusion
To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market.
Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success.
Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘♂️
GOLD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4068.0
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 4087.0
Safe Stop Loss - 4058.5
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Smart Money Buy Setup from Demand Zone 📝 Description:
Gold is showing a potential reversal structure from the lower demand zone after a liquidity grab near $3,962.
The price is now reacting bullishly from the mitigation block and aiming toward the supply zone at $3,984–$4,019.
Trade Plan:
Entry: From $3,972–$3,975 demand zone (after liquidity sweep)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,962 (structure invalidation)
Target: $4,019 (supply zone / PDH area)
Bias: Bullish – expecting continuation toward previous highs
R:R: ~1:3 setup
If price cleanly breaks above $3,984, expect further continuation to $4,029 (Previous Day High).
A failure to hold above $3,962 would invalidate this bullish setup.
XAU/USD 1H – Bearish Liquidity Sweep Toward BPR Zonepotential shift from a bullish (upward) to a bearish (downward) trend, outlining a clear trade entry area and target:
Prior Trend: The price action leading up to the structural change shows an upward move, indicative of a bullish phase.
Bearish CHOCH (Change of Character): This is the critical signal of a potential trend reversal. The price has broken below a previous significant Higher Low (HL), which signifies that the bulls are losing control and the market's 'character' is changing to bearish.
BOS (Break of Structure): In this bearish context, a Break of Structure would confirm the continuation of the new bearish trend by breaking a new Lower Low (not explicitly marked after the CHOCH but implied as the next step in a downtrend).
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This shaded zone marks a specific area where the price is expected to retrace to before falling further. A BPR is an area of overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and acts as a high-probability supply/resistance zone where institutional sell orders are likely to be activated.
EQH (Equal Highs) / BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): The line marked "EQH" (Equal Highs) is a liquidity target that was swept, suggesting the market cleared out buy stop-loss orders before initiating the main move down (liquidity hunt).
Target - SSS (Sell-Side Stop-loss Sweep / Sell-Side Liquidity): The final horizontal line marked "SSS" is the ultimate profit target. This area represents a pool of liquidity (stop-loss orders placed by traders who were short or who bought at that level) that the market is expected to hunt or "sweep" to fill large institutional sell orders.
In summary, the trade plan suggests:
Entry: A short (sell) trade within the BPR zone after the bearish CHOCH is confirmed.
Target: The lower SSS level.
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TringleXAUUSD has recently completed a breakout from a long-term ascending triangle, showing strong bullish momentum that pushed prices above the key resistance area near 2,400, turning it into a solid support zone. After reaching a new high near the 4,300 level, gold has started a corrective phase, which appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. The market structure remains positive as long as price stays above the 3,900–3,950 demand zone, where fresh buying interest is expected to emerge. This correction could be the final consolidation phase before the next bullish wave targeting the 4,500–4,700 levels in the coming weeks.
From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported by global macro uncertainty and central bank demand. Weakening U.S. dollar sentiment, persistent geopolitical tensions, and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may initiate rate cuts in early 2026 continue to fuel investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, strong accumulation from emerging market central banks and inflation concerns sustain the bullish outlook for precious metals.
Technically, as long as XAUUSD holds above 3,900, the bias stays strongly bullish. Traders are watching for a potential retest of broken resistance turned support before continuation higher. A clear bullish rejection from these levels would confirm renewed momentum toward new record highs, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup for long-term buyers.
Gold Compresses Before the Fed Storm– Sideways or a Sudden Drop?Good day, fellow traders,
Looking at the current XAUUSD chart, this is truly a highly sensitive phase. After last week’s sharp decline, gold has been narrowing its range within a contracting triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, with lower highs and higher lows — a clear sign that the market is “building pressure” before a potential breakout.
At the moment, price is hovering around 4,070 USD/oz, just below the EMA34 and EMA89 lines — indicating that sellers still hold a slight upper hand. The key support zone lies around 4,040, while the strong resistance level sits near 4,220, where a bearish reaction could occur if price retests that zone.
Combining this with the latest news — the USD continues to strengthen while the market awaits the upcoming FOMC meeting — I lean toward a sideways-to-slightly-bearish scenario over the next 24 hours. Price could fluctuate between 4,060–4,100, then drift lower to retest 4,040 or even 3,950, unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish tone.
In summary, XAUUSD is in a compression phase , awaiting a major catalyst. Without fresh bullish factors, the short-term trend remains sideways-bearish, with mild downside risk before any potential technical rebound.
XAUUSD Short term SwingThis probably will be a good setup, since its bearish now i suspect price will bounce around recent high to recent low to continue the trend.
Its also near the premium zone of 1H and its near breakout zone in 1D.
So we just need to wait a small liquidity grab inside 5m OB and CHOCH, and that is my entry.
If everything work accordingly, this can be 6R trade.
If there is any constructive feedback, please do so, i am still learning
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure.
The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday)
Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105
Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110
Target 1: 4050
Target 2: 3980
Stop Loss: 4135
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
⚙️ Technical Indicators
Trendline Resistance: 4115
Support Zone: 4050 / 3980
Momentum: Bearish bias
Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance
💬 Analyst View
Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially.
If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
Structure Neutral Until Breakout Confirmation”Currently, price is moving between two key zones
the upper OB (4040–4045) acting as resistance and the lower OB (3960–3980) serving as strong support.
Two Possible Scenarios...
Bullish Case: A break and hold above 4000 could push price toward the upper OB (4045 zone).
Bearish Case: A rejection from the mid-level 3980
may drag price back toward the lower OB / support zone (3960).
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4045
Support-1: 3998
Support-2: 3960
Wait for clear confirmation from either side before entering. This zone is no-trade territory until breakout.
Gold 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis(Nuclear testing Resumed)Gold appears to be setting up for another potential short opportunity. Despite yesterday’s rate-cut announcement, price action showed limited bullish momentum, even after Chair Powell signaled the likelihood of an additional cut in December. This lack of upside response suggests continued bearish sentiment.
Additionally, geopolitical risk remains elevated. Reports indicate former President Trump may push to resume nuclear testing, in response to President Putin’s recent strategic posturing and threats involving advanced weapons systems. While such developments typically support safe-haven assets, gold has yet to reflect meaningful bullish follow-through following these headlines.
Overall, current structural behavior on the 4-hour chart continues to favor bearish movement unless a significant shift in fundamentals or market sentiment emerges
XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS RESULTS4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep.
• TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: Above 3,976
💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup.






















