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Gold Price Analysis September 12Gold continues to maintain a strong upward momentum in recent sessions and has not yet shown clear signs of a significant correction. Today's strategy still prioritizes looking for buying opportunities, especially in breakout areas - where buyers' money is waiting to push prices to the historical peak (ATH). In the Tokyo session, the price broke the downtrend line on the H1 frame and completed the DOW pattern, opening up new upward momentum with a target of 3690. 📌 Important observation area: Key Level 3340: If the price closes below this area, selling pressure will return and the market may enter short-term corrections. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY at the newly formed DOW area BUY when the price rejects support at 3640 BUY DCA when breaking resistance at 3660 🎯 Target: 3690
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
September 11th Gold AnalysisSeptember 11th Gold Analysis Waiting for CPI Data to Break the Deadlock Market Dynamics Yesterday's gold market exhibited typical pre-data volatility. Following a series of emotional speculation, bulls and bears reached a stalemate, with gold prices fluctuating between $3,618 and $3,657 throughout the day, ultimately closing slightly higher. This narrow consolidation pattern reflects the market's conflicting sentiment: on the one hand, expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks are supporting gold prices; on the other hand, gold prices are already at historical highs, and further upward momentum requires new catalysts. Gold has risen over 39% so far this year, an astonishing performance that makes it one of the best-performing asset classes in 2025. Focus Event: US CPI Data Today's US August CPI data will serve as a bellwether for the market. Market expectations are for the unadjusted CPI to be 2.9% annualized (previous reading: 2.7%) and 0.3% monthly; the core CPI is expected to be 3.1% annualized and 0.3% monthly. This data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its September 17-18 meeting. The market currently places a 100% probability on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but the strength of the CPI data will influence the subsequent policy path. A strong reading could push gold below the $3,600 support level; conversely, a weak reading could see gold prices test or even break through all-time highs. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating at a high level, with a tendency toward sideways trading. On the upside, watch for short-term resistance around 3,655-60, while on the downside, focus on support around 3,625-20. The performance of the previous two trading days suggests that gold bullish sentiment is waning. A break below the 3,620-25 support level could trigger a short-term counterattack by bears, potentially testing support around 3,605-00, and even a pullback to 3,570. However, such a deep correction would require support from negative fundamental factors. Tonight's US CPI data and the ECB's interest rate decision could contribute to this situation, but the market's current dominant sentiment remains focused on expectations of a Fed rate cut next week. Trading Strategies and Risk Management Prior to the data release, gold prices are likely to remain volatile at high levels. Consider adopting a light-weight strategy of buying low and selling high, and then following the market trend after the data is released. Long: We recommend a light-weight long position in the 3620-3628 area, with a stop-loss below 3615 and a target of 3650-3660. Short: We recommend a light-weight short position in the 3630-3640 area, with a stop-loss below 3655 and a target of 3620. If the price falls below the 3620 support level, you can increase your short position and target lower support levels. The market is volatile, especially on trading days with major data releases, when volatility and uncertainty can increase significantly. Investors should respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions, ensure proper risk management, and make prudent decisions. Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357583
1
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone, The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand. On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge. My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone. In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region. What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
5
Gold Buys And Magic levelsLast week the buy levels i shared here gave us 700 Pips profit. now this week I'm expecting price to go down before testing ath again, this is a usual pattern so don't be a Bear and get all excited and start targeting 3300s and all . the area 3638-3643 and 3653-3658 gold closed between these levels on friday and breakout on either will give a solid entry. If it breaks below than expect it to go down to levels 3594-3600 and if it goes down further thana very solid support area 3573-3581.I'm expecting a solid rejection at these levels for Buys and if we get it than expect it to retest Ath. On Monday if it breaks above area 3653-3658 than it'll most probably test Ath and the upper side levels i've given.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Ats9
1
Swing TradeBased on 4H analysis w e have Lower high/Previous high formation within the "Range 3670.9 - 3655.0". It is a sighn where Mkt can reach TP 1 Range 3624.1 - 3620.0 and only when Mkt breakes this range and close below it we can expect a movement which will be considered as retracement. During the retracement period we can expect Mkt to reach TP 2 & TP 3 Targets. In this TP 2 is solid. Please wait for Mkt to take a side and take any position accordingly. By today tomorrow we might get a clear idea on which side market has desided to continue.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KTSV
2
Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Long and Continue to Attack Gold continued its strong performance today, essentially stabilizing and fluctuating upward. Each low has been higher. Buy gold directly at 3635, and gold has surged as expected, achieving two consecutive victories. Although gold has recently fluctuated within a large range, we have consistently emphasized that gold is still in a bull market. As long as there is no downward breakout, the current fluctuations in gold are merely adjustments to the upward trend. Once it breaks upward, gold will continue its new round of gains. Trade: Gold bulls remain strong, and the 1-hour moving average will cross upward to form a golden cross, leading to a fluctuating upward trend. If gold falls back to around 3645-3650, continue to buy on dips. As always, we will keep you updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage our active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments, and follows; we really appreciate it!
TVC:GOLD
by justin33xx
1
Gold 16 Sep 2025Chart Analysis (XAUUSD – Gold vs USD, 1H) Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1). Elliott Wave Structure: The previous correction is labeled (A)–(B)–(C). After that, the market started an impulsive wave: (1) → (2) → (3) → now likely in (4) and preparing for (5). Key Levels: Swing High (Resistance): around 3699.48. Swing Low (Support): around 3677.83 – 3674.54 → potential area for wave (4). Next support if broken: 3656.82 – 3645.88. Main Scenario (Bullish): Price is currently in a wave (4) correction. If it holds above 3677 – 3674, then wave (5) upside continuation is expected. Target wave (5): 3710 – 3720 (above the swing high). Alternative Scenario (Bearish): If the price breaks and closes below 3674, the correction could extend toward 3656 – 3645. This would delay the wave (5) formation. 📝 Trading Plan: Buy on Dip: wait for a pullback to 3677 – 3674 area, look for confirmation (rejection candle / bullish engulfing). 🎯 Target: 3710 – 3720 🛑 Stop Loss: below 3670 Sell Short: if price breaks and closes strongly below 3674, 🎯 Target: 3656 – 3645 🛑 Stop Loss: above 3685
FX:XAUUSDLong
by BgAjie
1
GOLD Sideway Waiting for a Strong Breakout on Interest Rate News📊 Timeframe: H1 💡 Technical Analysis: Gold is currently moving in a sideways structure within a clearly defined range, forming a mild descending channel on the chart. The market shows signs of a short-term correction, likely to retest key Fibonacci support levels before a potential breakout. Two important Fibonacci levels to watch: 0.5 (3,593) and 0.618 (3,574) – this could be the final corrective wave before a strong upward move. Upcoming interest rate news today may act as the catalyst for a significant rally. 🟢 Suggested Trade Plan BUY zone: 3,593 – 3,690 Stop Loss (SL): 3,580 Take Profit (TP): Target 1: 3,615 Target 2: 3,630 Target 3: 3,640 Target 4: 3,650 🎯 New ATH: 3,675+ if the channel high is broken 📌 Key Notes Watch for price reactions near the Fibonacci support zones, especially before and after the interest rate announcement. Manage your position sizing carefully—avoid over-leveraging during potential high-volatility news events. This is a personal analysis for sharing trading ideas only, not financial advice. 💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and add your perspective so we can trade more effectively together on TradingView! 📈✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
2
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – September 16, 2025After several weeks of printing new highs, gold is finally showing the first signs of a potential correction 🔄. We have been patiently waiting for this opportunity, and now sellers seem to be stepping in. However, keep in mind that the primary trend remains bullish – and with the upcoming FOMC speech, this correction could simply set the stage for further upside. 📌 Key Short Entry Zone: 3675 – 3685 🎯 Target 1: around 3600 (approx. 800 pips move) ⚠️ Important: This order should be activated before the news event – once price reaches the 3570 area after the announcement, the probability of a deeper drop becomes much lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SineHeidari
1
Gold tests key resistanceGold is approaching a key resistance zone around 3,656 – 3,675, where the market could ignite a new directional move. At this stage, a decisive breakout or a breach of support will likely determine the next path for XAUUSD. On the H4 chart, price has shown a strong upward sequence and is now consolidating just beneath resistance at 3,674. The immediate support to watch lies between 3,600 – 3,575. Should gold hold this area, buying interest may soon return and push price above 3,674, opening the way for further upside. Conversely, a break below 3,575 would increase corrective pressure, potentially dragging price towards the liquidity zone near 3,512 – which also aligns with the FVG (Buy Zone). This level is seen as a critical area where the market could re-establish balance before setting a clearer trend. Further down, the 3,451 – 3,440 zone also remains an area where buyers may look to step in.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Gold (XAUUSD) – Watch for Break or Rejection at Key Resistance Gold is trading around $3,641 per ounce, just shy of its recent highs and pressing resistance zones. Price action suggests we’re in a squeeze between strong resistance up top and support below, waiting for a clean breakout or pullback. Possible Short / Long Trade Setup: • Entry (Long): Consider going long if Gold breaks & closes above $3,655-$3,658 with good follow-through and buyer strength. • Entry (Short): Could consider a short if price rejects that resistance zone ($3,655-$3,658) and shows bearish structure, with confirmation below ~$3,630. Target Levels: • 🎯 1st Target Long → $3,670+ • 🎯 1st Target Short → $3,620-$3,616 Invalidation / Risk Zones: • A sustained close above $3,658 for long trades • A break below $3,600 would weaken bullish bias and favor more downside Please hit the like 👍 and comment 💬 to support my post! Your engagement gets me to drop more setups like this. Best Regards, KeswanTrades 🕊️ Disclosure: This is educational only, not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Keswantrades
2
XAUUSD – Week 3: Can Fibo 2.618 Hold Firm?XAUUSD – Week 3: Can Fibo 2.618 Hold Firm? Good day traders, Gold has rallied for three consecutive weeks, repeatedly setting fresh all-time highs. This has made trading conditions more complex, particularly for short-term participants. The main challenges are: Buying: Difficult to identify a reasonable entry point. Selling: Highly risky, as it goes against the prevailing strong uptrend and can be extremely dangerous. Market Structure and Key Levels Gold has reached the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and reacted there, before consolidating sideways around 3643, the closing price for this week. The development of a sideways formation suggests the market requires additional time before attempting a decisive breakout. The current trading range sits between 3675 – 3616, and it is likely that price will continue consolidating within this 60-dollar band, compressing further. Bullish Scenario Should the upper boundary be broken, the next objective would be 3800, with a longer-term expectation towards 4000 in the year ahead. Bearish Scenario Attention should be paid to liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540. The major long-term buying zone is around 3500, where liquidity testing would largely be completed. Trading Strategy Patience is essential. Traders are advised to wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That moment will offer more reliable opportunities to establish positions. This is the scenario I propose for gold in the coming week. You may take it as a reference point and combine it with your own analysis to refine your trading plan. For those actively engaged in gold trading, you are welcome to follow me and join the community for timely updates as market conditions evolve. Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful trading week ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
How to Use Fibonacci Levels in Gold Trading. Best Ratios For XAU I will teach you a simple but efficient way of using Fibonacci levels for Gold analysis. You will learn the strongest Fib.retracement levels and a proven strategy for XAUUSD trading. First, let me show you the most powerful Fibonacci retracement levels that you should use for trading Gold. The most significant ones are: 382, 50, 618, 786. To use these Fib.Retracement levels properly, you will need to find the strongest 3 impulse legs. Please, note that you can execute Fibonacci analysis of Gold on any time frame, for the sake of the example, we will do that on a daily. Here are 3 impulses that I found. I was simply trying to identify the price waves with the strongest impact. I underlined them from their lows to their highs. We will draw Fibonacci Retracement levels based on these 3 movements. We plot Fib.Retracement of a bullish impulse from its low to its high. We plot Fib.Retracement of a bearish impulse from its high to its low. That is how it looks. After that we will need to find a confluence - zones or levels where Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses match . Such zones will be significant liquidity clusters where market participants will place huge volumes of trading orders. The first 2 confluence zones that I spotted on a Gold chart will be specific. They are based on 1 and 0 Fib.Retracement levels that match. These 2 areas are both completion and starting points of our impulse legs. The fact that significant price movements completed and started after tests of these zones indicates their significance . Confluence zones 3/4/5/6 are based on a convergence of at least 2 Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses. Probabilities will be high that these zones will attract the market liquidity. After we found all confluence zones, I recommend removing Fibonacci levels from the chart to keep it clean . That is how our complete Fib.Analysis will look. From these zones, we will look for trading opportunities. The areas that are above current price levels will be significant supply areas , and we will look for sell signals from them. The zones that are below Gold spot price will be demand areas. Chances will be high that a strong buying reaction will follow after their test. Confluence zones that we spotted on Gold chart provide unique perspective. Integrating them in your XAUUSD analysis, you will increase the accuracy of your predictions and trading decisions. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1