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Idea: Can Gold Bulls Rise? Next Week…

Powell's speech dampened expectations of interest rate cuts, the dollar rebounded, and geopolitical risks eased, leading to a significant weakening of safe-haven buying.
XAUUSD
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GOLD
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If the Asian session continues to rise on Monday, consider shorting around 4030-4040, with a profit target of 4000-3970.
Idea: Continued adjustment. Be aware…

With a flood of data coming next week, is there still a chance for the bulls to turn things around?
XAUUSD
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XAUUSD
GOLD
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However, if the price falls below 3,900, there is a risk of a sell-off, potentially dragging it down to around 3,750.

Gold Trading Strategy for Monday
XAUUSD
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XAUUSD
GOLD
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Latest gold analysis and trading strategies:
I. Core View
Trend Judgment: Gold is expected to show oscillatory and back-and-forth movements next week, generally biased towards rushing higher then pulling back. Momentum is limited after the strong rise, with significant overhead pressure, warranting vigilance against correction risks.
Key Drivers:
Bullish Factors: The Fed's rate cut has enhanced gold's appeal.
Bearish/Uncertainty Factors: Fed Chair Powell's hawkish signals, suggesting a December rate cut is not guaranteed, are capping the upside potential for gold prices. Market分歧 between bulls and bears is intensifying.
II. Technical Analysis Essentials
Current Pattern: A "bullish engulfing" candlestick formed on the daily chart, but the failure to maintain strength on Friday indicates weakening bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Strong Resistance Zone: 4030 - 4060 area. A break above could lead to a further test of the 4080 - 4090 area, which represents trendline resistance and is an ideal level to consider short positions.
Core Support Zone: 3970 - 3960 area. A break below this zone targets the 3940 - 3950 area.
Medium-Term Pivot Point: 3915 - 3920 area. A decisive break below this zone would confirm a bearish trend, opening the door for a larger decline towards 3885 - 3890.
III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
Primary Approach: Focus on selling high (going short) on rallies.
Short Strategy (Primary):
Entry Zone: Look to initiate short positions in batches within the 4030 - 4060 range during price advances.
Ideal Shorting Level: If the price rallies to the 4080 - 4090 zone, it presents a better risk-reward opportunity for short entries.
Target: Aim for 3970 - 3960, and hold towards 3940 if broken.
Stop Loss: Place above key resistance levels (e.g., above 4060 or 4090).
Long Strategy (Secondary):
Entry Zone: Consider light long positions near the 3970 - 3960 support area to capture a bounce.
More Robust Long Level: A pullback to the 3940 - 3950 zone can be viewed as a safer opportunity for short-term long trades.
Target: Look towards 4010 - 4030.
Stop Loss: Place below key support levels (e.g., below 3950).
IV. Risk Warning
Closely monitor subsequent speeches from Fed officials and US economic data. Any clear signals regarding the interest rate path could trigger significant market volatility.
If gold breaks strongly above 4090 and sustains, a reassessment of the short strategy is necessary, as it could indicate renewed upward momentum.
If gold directly breaks below the key 3915 - 3920 support, follow the bearish trend.
Summary: Exercise caution in gold trading next week, avoid chasing rallies or selling panics. The preferred strategy is to look for shorting opportunities when prices rebound to key resistance levels, trade swiftly, and strictly use stop losses to control risk.

49.5 (slight beat ) on PMI Jolts (7.65 million) slight miss don’t forget