GOLD - Ascending Triangle into new All Time HighMarket Context
Gold has been steadily climbing, forming an ascending triangle pattern over the past few months. Buyers continue to defend higher lows, while sellers repeatedly reject price near resistance. This type of structure often signals building pressure, with volatility likely to expand once a breakout occurs.
Consolidation Phase
The range between the ascending support trendline and the horizontal resistance has created a textbook consolidation. Each bounce off support shows accumulation, while the repeated touches of resistance highlight where liquidity is building. The longer price compresses within this pattern, the more explosive the eventual breakout is expected to be.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If price manages to break above resistance and sweep the all-time high, it would likely trigger a wave of liquidity from trapped shorts and breakout buyers entering. This move could fuel momentum into fresh price discovery, validating the ascending triangle as a bullish continuation pattern. The sweep of liquidity above ATH could serve as the catalyst for acceleration toward new highs.
Bearish Retest Scenario
On the other hand, if resistance holds once again, a deeper retracement back toward the ascending trendline is likely. This would test the conviction of buyers and determine whether the trendline support continues to act as the foundation for the structure. A clean break below support would weaken the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Final Words
Patience here is key — ascending triangles often test traders’ resolve before making their decisive move. Let the market reveal its hand before committing to either direction.
If you found this breakdown helpful, a like would be much appreciated! Drop a comment and let me know: are you expecting the breakout to bring new highs, or do you see sellers defending this level once again?
GOLDMINI trade ideas
GOLD Overview: Rose sharply and broke important resistanceIf we zoom out and take a look at how the price moved on GOLD, we can see the following:
The price repeatedly tested the area of resistance while setting consecutively higher lows.
The highs around the resistance price formed a horizontal line. Then, it recently broke it with strength.
This forms a confirmed ascending triangle.
Ascending triangles form due to accumulation in an uptrend. There isn’t enough bullish momentum to break through the area of resistance, but bulls are buying up on each dip.
But this important resistance just got broken.
This recent bullish breakout above the resistance area, meant the completion of a bigger ascending triangle pattern.
Now this is good news. Why?
Because if we measure the distance between the resistance area and the lowest low at the start of the pattern and add that to the resistance zone, to calculate the profit target, it means that we can see quite a move to the upside.
So we could look for a break-and-retest right here.
BUT, when a breakout like this one fails, either initiating a reversal or more sideways move, then we can see a correction and caution is advised.
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has been moving within a medium-term ascending channel and recently managed to break above a major resistance area that had previously rejected price multiple times.
Currently, the price is facing a psychological and technical barrier at the $3500 level, acting as the next resistance.
Price is expected to consolidate slightly below $3500 before attempting another push higher.
As long as price holds above the broken resistance and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A successful breakout above $3500 could open the path toward targets at $3600 – $3700-$3900 in the medium term.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD → One step away from 3500. Consolidation. What next?FX:XAUUSD has been rallying towards 3500 since the opening of the session, and the market has every chance of testing this level. Consolidation or correction may form before the next breakout...
Gold resumed its growth at the beginning of the week, reaching five-month highs around $3480 amid declining risk appetite and expectations of Fed policy easing. Trading activity remains low due to holidays in the US and Canada.
Key drivers : Weak Asian markets and uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade policy are supporting interest in gold. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90% after last week's PCE data.
Overall, the market maintains its momentum towards record levels ($3500), but low liquidity may increase volatility.
Technically , gold is strongly bullish. The price is striving to test the ATH - 3500. Before that, consolidation or a retest of the 3469-3460 zone may form. The dollar is weak at the moment and continues to trend downward, which generally supports gold.
Resistance levels: 3484.8, 3500
Support levels: 3469.5, 3460
Undoubtedly, after consolidation or correction, gold may reach its target. However, continued growth beyond 3500 may be questionable due to a lack of energy, as the market has spent it to reach 3500. Accordingly, a false breakout of the ATH could trigger a strong profit-taking phase, which in turn could lead to a sell-off and correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Ready for the Next Breakout?Hello, let’s take a broader look at OANDA:XAUUSD together.
Last Friday, gold surged strongly. The precious metal is now moving around 3447 USD and has become more attractive than ever.
So, what’s next for gold?
From an economic and market perspective, gold is benefiting from ongoing uncertainties, global conflicts, and speculation about the FED’s upcoming rate cuts. The weakening USD has been the driving force behind gold’s continued rally at this stage.
Technical outlook: Gold has just broken higher and is now facing its all-time highs. The formation of an ascending triangle is approaching its climax, and XAUUSD may break out to test higher levels. The answer is only a matter of time. A candle close above the resistance zone will be something to watch for, with the first psychological target at the 3500 USD round level.
Given the current setup, I’m waiting for XAUUSD to push through resistance.
What about you—what do you think will happen? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Road to ATHGold has been consolidating within a wide horizontal range since the end of May,
on a daily timeframe, and we see a test of its resistance at the moment.
A decisive breakout above the daily resistance cluster would clearly signal a bullish continuation.
I anticipate that the market will soon reach the All-Time High.
Gold in Focus: Pullback Sets Stage for Next MoveGOLD has been moving within a rising parallel channel. And recently price just pulled back sharply from the channel’s top and touched the lower boundary, where it was strongly rejected. That rejection wick indicates that buyers stepped in already.
If momentum picks up again, the channel top could even break and extend the rally further. I would target the top of the channel, taking into account the market context, it's achievable.
The risk, however, comes if price closes strongly below the channel’s lower boundary. In that case, the bullish structure breaks and the move could start downwards short term.
Gold will continue to grow inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been neatly contained within a well-defined upward channel. The price action for XAU has been respecting the boundaries of this channel, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after being rejected from the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction movement. This pull-back is guiding the price back towards a significant confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel converges with the horizontal support zone near the 3485 current support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will defend this area and maintain the integrity of the uptrend. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary bullish trend. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3610 points, representing a new structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAU/USD | Breakout in Progress – Are You Ready for the Next ATH?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our analysis two days ago, the price began its bullish move from the $3383 zone and successfully hit all four targets at $3393, $3398, $3404, and $3409 — but it didn’t stop there! Gold continued its rally beyond those levels.
As anticipated in yesterday’s outlook, we closely watched the $3419–$3429 supply zone for a potential bearish reaction. When price reached $3424, it dropped to $3404, validating our second scenario as well. Although the drop could’ve extended further, the combined result of both scenarios delivered over 500 pips of total profit!
After hitting $3404, gold gained demand again — and with the release of the U.S. Core PCE data, this bullish trend strengthened, pushing price up toward its all-time high (ATH) near $3500. Gold is now trading around $3447, just 500 pips away from that historic level.
Given the increasing odds of a Fed rate cut in September, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. In my view, a new ATH for gold could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.
Hope this analysis helps you ride the wave — make the most of it! 💰📈
THE LATEST ANALYSIS 👇🏼
Will $3500 be the next stop for gold? 👀
👇 Drop your thoughts below & don’t miss the next update!
Gold may make correction, after strong upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The prolonged period of consolidation for Gold has decisively resolved to the upside, following a powerful breakout from a multi-week symmetrical wedge. This event signalled a clear shift in market control to buyers, invalidating the prior ranging environment and initiating a new, impulsive bullish phase. The price action for XAU since the breakout has been characterised by a strong, high-momentum rally that has pushed the asset to new highs. Currently, this upward movement appears to be overextended, suggesting that the market may be due for a healthy corrective pull-back. The primary working hypothesis is a short, counter-trend scenario designed to capture this anticipated correction. The expectation is that the current rally will soon find a peak, exhaust itself, and undergo a sharp decline back towards the breakout point. This corrective fall would be a natural part of a healthy uptrend, allowing the market to test the old resistance as new support. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at the 3420 level. This target is highly significant as it corresponds precisely with the current support level and the support area where the breakout originated. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3458 and a gap below at 3439. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold: Is Market Manipulation Driving the Move?Gold: Is Market Manipulation Driving the Move?
Gold hit 3509 today but quickly dropped back below 3500. As long as it stays under this level, a sell-off remains likely. I don’t expect any major news to trigger this move—it could simply unfold without a clear reason, just like the recent bullish wave did.
If today’s candle closes as a pinbar, we might see a small Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 60-minute chart, which could push prices lower.
The key level to watch is the neckline, around 3470. A break below that could trigger further downside.
💵 Dollar Strength vs. Gold
The DXY and USD were strong today, and that strength showed up in the indices—but not in gold. It’s possible gold could drop during the U.S. market open. If it doesn’t, and instead starts rising, it might suggest that manipulation is playing a bigger role than expected.
It’s strange how gold reflects all the major USD-related news—like inflation and interest rates—but doesn’t seem to react to USD strength, which is a clear strength. The whole situation feels highly manipulated and disconnected from fundamentals.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend ContinuesGOLD is currently exhibiting a robust bullish trend, having recently reached a new higher high.
Following this upward movement, the market entered a phase of consolidation within a narrow parallel channel on the hourly time frame.
The recent violation of the resistance indicates a likely continuation of this upward trend.
Given these technical indicators, I anticipate that GOLD will reach the significant psychological level of 3560, reflecting sustained bullish momentum in the market.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Outlook: $3500 Target in FocusThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly outlook . OANDA:XAUUSD surged to $3,447 this week, successfully breaking through critical resistance zones that had capped prices since April. The breakout above the $3,420 level represents a significant technical milestone, with the metal now eyeing the all-time high of $3,500. The TVC:DXY 2.19% weekly decline provided crucial tailwinds, despite posting its strongest monthly gain (+4.78%) since April.
Chart reveals gold has completed a classic triangle consolidation pattern and is now trading within an upward channel. The recent price action shows a decisive break above the descending resistance trendline, with strong ETF inflows supporting the rally alongside growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The monthly timeframe confirms the long-term bullish trajectory remains intact, with the market demonstrating remarkable resilience after testing lower support levels earlier in the cycle.
The technical picture shows gold emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, with the upward channel providing a clear roadmap for future price movement. Price action suggest institutional accumulation continues, while the break above the triangle formation indicates potential for sustained momentum. Market sentiment has shifted decidedly bullish following the resistance breakthrough.
Key support now sits at the former resistance zone around $3,400 - 3,420 zone, while the immediate target remains the psychological $3,500 level. The combination of technical breakout momentum, weakening dollar dynamics, and institutional accumulation suggests gold's uptrend has room to extend further into September.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold rises strongly – Flooded in green👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at what’s special about OANDA:XAUUSD !
Yesterday, gold continued its strong rally, climbing over 300 pips by the end of the session, fully drenched in green and now trading around $3,447.
The bullish momentum gained further support as the Core PCE m/m index—anticipated in our previous analysis —was released yesterday. The result came in at 0.3% , exactly in line with forecasts and the previous reading.
Since the data matched expectations, the market was not surprised. The USD didn’t surge, leaving room for gold’s stability. The main trend remains bullish, and any pullback could present an opportunity to accumulate more gold.
📈From a technical perspective: Gold is repeating last Friday’s strong rally. If the trend continues, upside momentum is still supported, though a correction is expected beforehand. The 3425 retracement level and 3405 USD support are key areas to watch as potential springboards for the next upward move.
📍Risks to note:
Short-term RSI above 70
Profit-taking from investors
Deeper-than-expected corrections (support levels)
I remain optimistic in this analysis. What about you? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would continue with the chart we shared for Jackson Hole as it was going to plan and the move was expected to continue. We said we would be looking for the red box to be tapped and as long as it didn’t break, a move downside into the lower red box defence was likely. This move worked nearly to the pip giving traders a nice short trade. We then said, as long as we’re above the defence box, we’ll continue the range and look for more upside, which as you can see again played well between the boxes and then the break occurred, giving us the move upside.
A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and apply the algo to.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Many traders will be looking at this and thinking we’re too high and stretched here to attempt a long, which is the right plan for now. Having said that, we’re not discounting a move upside during the early session, with the first level above being the 3455-60 region. It’s this region, if rejected, that can give traders the potential opportunity to attempt the short trade initially into the 3440-35 region which is the level that needs to be watched if attacked for a break.
Above, that key level 3460 is the region bulls need to push us over with volume in order for us to then look at targeting higher pricing with levels above 3468 and above that 3485-90
There isn’t a lot on the fundamental front this week apart from NFP on Friday so expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and ranging towards the middle of the week pre-event.
KOG’s bias of the week:
No bias for the week, we’ll release the daily bias instead and play level to level
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3450 for 3455, 3462, 3468 and 3480 in extension of the move
Break below 3440 for 3436, 3430 and 3422 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → False breakout at 3500. What next? 3400 or 3600?FX:XAUUSD updates its ATH on the spot market to 3508.5 and forms a false breakout, provoking liquidation and profit-taking. The imbalance in the market is changing, and a deeper correction is possible...
Gold updated its historical maximum above $3500, but faced a correction amid a short-term strengthening of the dollar. The market's attention is focused on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which may determine further dynamics.
Key drivers: The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90%, which supports gold. Pressure on the USD continues due to concerns about the independence of the Fed (pressure from Trump) and geopolitics. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (new strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory) is increasing demand for defensive assets.
Ahead of the ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast — growth to 49 (but remains in the contraction zone). If the data turns out to be weaker, it will strengthen dollar sales and push gold to new records.
Resistance levels: 3485, 3500
Support levels: 3467.6, 3441, 3423
Technically, gold may enter a longer consolidation or correction. If the bears keep the price below 3490-3485, then in the short term, we can expect a decline to the specified support zones. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3500-3505, but at the moment I do not see the potential for the market to continue growing (in the short term!).
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Approaching Major Psychological LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching major psychological resistance zone after a strong bullish surge from the consolidation base. The structure is determined by an upward channel with momentum directed towards the 3,500 level, but rejection signals are forming near the upper boundary, as markets do not usually break through strong levels on the first test. If price confirms rejection below 3,510, a pullback toward the 3,440 zone becomes likely. The broader pattern shows extended bullish momentum but overbought conditions raise the risk of a correction.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection at 3,510 resistance
Sell zone: 3,500–3,510 range
Target: 3,440 zone
Invalidation: A close above 3,510 with continuation toward 3,560
💡 Risks
Unexpected USD weakness could extend gains beyond resistance.
Strong macroeconomic releases may fuel volatility.
Global risk sentiment shifts could sustain gold’s safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Market Live Update Bulls Broke 3500 USD S/R💰 Gold Prices Live Update
• Spot gold consolidating $3,535–$3,545/oz, after a decisive breakout above the multi-month range ($3,300–$3,450).
• Fresh all-time highs were set this week, with spot hitting $3,575 and U.S. futures spiking to $3,602 intraday.
• Current pullback appears mild and orderly, suggesting profit-taking post-breakout rather than trend reversal.
________________________________________
📰 Fresh headlines
• Gold powers to record highs on safe-haven demand.
• Breakout above $3,500 confirms bullish momentum.
• Futures hit $3,600+ as central banks, ETFs add to positions.
• Weekly close strong despite pullback, as rate-cut bets intensify.
• ETF holdings surge to highest since 2022; central banks remain active buyers.
• Analysts eye $3,600–$3,900 near-term targets.
________________________________________
🔧 What’s driving the breakout
• Technical breakout: Months of range-bound trade ($3,300–$3,450) built a strong base; breach above $3,500 unleashed momentum buying.
• Macro tailwinds: Fed rate-cut expectations and falling real yields are lifting gold’s appeal.
• Haven demand: Political tensions and policy uncertainty amplify defensive flows.
• Institutional support: ETF inflows accelerating, GLD holdings climbing.
• Official sector: PBoC and other central banks continue steady accumulation.
• Physical drag: India demand subdued at elevated prices; local imports hit multi-year lows.
________________________________________
🌍 Regional quick read
• 🇨🇳 China: PBoC extends buying streak; local ETFs resilient.
• 🇮🇳 India: Imports at 2-year low, physical discounts widen as prices bite.
• 🇺🇸 U.S.: Futures volumes surge on breakout; non-farm payrolls eyed for near-term volatility.
________________________________________
🧭 Key levels
• Immediate support: $3,500 (psychological + breakout retest).
• Secondary support: $3,430 (prior range top).
• Deeper pullback zone: $3,150 (major base support if correction extends).
• Upside targets: $3,600 already tested; $3,750–$3,900 in play if flows persist.
• Positioning: Open interest + volumes confirm breakout conviction; current dip orderly.
________________________________________
🔭 Q4-2025 outlook
• JPMorgan: avg $3,675, path to $4,000 in 2026.
• Goldman Sachs: $3,700 by year-end.
• BofA: $3,356 baseline, $4,000 stretch case.
• Citi: Near-term $3,500+, but warns of risks if demand fades.
• Consensus: $3,500–$3,750 base case; bullish tail $3,900, bearish tail $3,250–$3,400.
________________________________________
🧱 Risks & swing factors
• U.S. payrolls + Fed meeting: Short-term catalysts for volatility.
• ETF flows + lease rates: Critical to sustaining momentum.
• Geopolitical noise: Keeps haven demand sticky.
• Physical demand weakness: Especially in India, could cap rallies.
________________________________________
⚡ Key takeaways
• 💥 Breakout confirmed: Gold shattered the $3,300–$3,450 range, powered through $3,500, and tagged $3,575 — clearing multi-month resistance.
• 📈 Pullback healthy: Current drift lower looks like mild profit-taking, not distribution.
• 🏦 Flows remain bullish: Central banks + ETFs underpinning the rally.
• 🧭 Q4 outlook intact: $3,500–$3,750 base case; $3,900 bullish tail / $3,300 bearish tail.
• 🇮🇳 Physical demand soft: Indian weakness may keep rallies from overheating.
Gold Continues to Create New HistoryHello, it’s a pleasure to see you again in today’s discussion about OANDA:XAUUSD . In this analysis, I have chosen the D1 chart for evaluation.
At the time of writing, gold continues to rise higher. The metal has reached the highest level in history, trading at 3535 USD. Previously, we had expected the 3500 USD level to be filled, and that target has now been achieved.
After a strong breakout, a clear candle close has made the Bulls even stronger, as gold continues its upward search with no new peak yet established. The previous resistance has now turned into new support. If a correction occurs, I believe that will be the area for buyers to step in. After that, the medium-term target will be in the range of 3600 – 3700 USD.
And you, how do you evaluate the next move of XAUUSD? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
Events to watch this week:
Wednesday, Sep 3: JOLTS Job Openings
Thursday, Sep 4: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday, Sep 5: Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate
These are all key U.S. economic data releases with the potential to create strong volatility in gold.