If $GOLD is at its peak, is $BTC next?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart.
The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles:
The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011.
Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020.
Today, history paints a similar picture once again.
The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles.
Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again.
Note: The Bitcoin / Gold pair is developing in the opposite direction.
Trade ideas
Gold 1day trade idea buy at Fib 0.32 target ATHThis is just a trade idea seperate from my weekly tradeing chart.
We are looking for a retracement to a good support level which is Fibonacci 0.382 and retrace back to the all time high for a 930 pips move.
With these sort of trades be prepared to increase your stop loss so i would advise to use your own risk management.
method trend lines and fibonacci levels.
Ill update this tomorrow AM
2008 Crisis and How the Banking System Has Changed Since:
⚠️These headlines serve as a reminder that despite the Basel I, II, and III global banking regulations, we have not been spared from systemic risks originating within the financial system itself
🏦After the 2008 crisis, banks became heavily overregulated. As a result, many of their most lucrative investment and financing activities shifted into affiliated offshore hedge funds — entities that remain very much part of the same global financial machinery. They are simply no longer called “banks,” and therefore escape almost all regulation.
💵These hedge funds lend, repackage loans, buy and sell exotic financial instruments, re-hypothecate, and re-collateralize. They use questionable collateral to issue risky loans , which are then resold, repackaged, and used again as collateral again.
💰 Exotic derivatives, curreny swaps, REPO operations, outright fraud,risky options market-making, — you name it — all thrive offshore , far from regulatory oversight yet just a click away for clients. And make no mistake: these so-called “non-banks” are deeply interconnected with the global financial system. If they fail, the shockwaves will be felt everywhere.
📈 The next financial tsunami will begin offshore — but it’s the onshore world that will be hit the hardest . So don’t keep large sums of money in the bank, guys. Once your funds are in the bank, they’re no longer truly yours — they belong to the bank. Your account can be frozen, blocked, seized, taxed, or even converted into shares (as happened in Spain in 2011).
⚠️And remember: banks can fail. They will fail. And when they do — the government won’t save you.
Yours truly,
Greg🌹
Analysis Wed 22 Oct Let's see what the market will do today!
Big dropped yesterday, Sellers won!
Let's see for today!
Expecting Buyers to get in and bring the price higher, creating an hourly trend up.
Till where?! We will see
Stay tuned for the next update before the New York session.
Observation Session - No Trade before the chart gives more data.
@TeamWePrint
Gold’s Reaction Here Could Set the Next Big Move!Price rallied to the upside, retracing the previous drop and reaching the area where sellers had previously taken control.
If price rejects this zone with strong bearish candles, it would confirm seller presence and could mark the start of a new leg down, targeting the previous lows around 3,950.000.
However, if buyers manage to break above this level with momentum, it could invalidate the bearish setup.
Gold Hits New Record as U.S.–China Tensions and Rate-Cut Bets FuGOLD – PREMIUM UPDATE | Gold Hits New Record as U.S.–China Tensions and Rate-Cut Bets Fuel Rally
Gold hit a fresh record high at $4,218, driven by escalating U.S.–China trade tensions, renewed rate-cut expectations, and rising geopolitical uncertainty.
Investors continue to increase exposure to bullion as a hedge against risk, while Fed Chair Powell’s dovish comments in Philadelphia strengthened rate-cut bets, putting additional pressure on the U.S. dollar and reinforcing gold’s bullish tone.
Key Levels
Pivot: 4,202
Resistance: 4,224 · 4,250 · 4,267
Support: 4,174 · 4,162 · 4,140
Trading Plan
Buy Setup: Long positions remain valid above 4,162, targeting 4,224 / 4,250 / 4,267.
Sell Setup: Shorts correction valid below 4211, targeting 4,175 / 4,162.
Premium Takeaway
Gold maintains strong bullish control above $4,162, with momentum favoring another leg higher toward 4,250–4,267.
Only a decisive break below 4,162 would trigger a short-term correction, while sustained strength above 4,211 keeps the uptrend intact and opens the path toward a new ATH above $4,300.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we had a bias level and bullish above 3740 and a red box break we wanted to see above the 3765 level. We managed to swoop the low, not into 3740 but not far off, then break above and managed to complete all of the red box targets on that day.
During the week, we then released our updates confirming the move and managed to track it all the way, near enough to the top, where we suggested caution on longs and expected the move down, which worked very well.
All in all, another successful week in Camelot, not only on Gold but across the other pairs we trade and analyse as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We had a 60% recovery on Friday which Is a good sign for bulls, however, there is a bias level here and that’s the 4003-6 region. We’ll use that as the guide for a break above or below for the opening, and say that if it holds, we should be looking for a completion of the move into the 4030-3 levels and above that 4060. If we do reach 4050, we will have flipped and any RIPs will be temporary from what we can see with potential for price to attempt the 4100 level and potentially a little above, which is where we feel there may be an opportunity to short again.
Now, if we can break below the 4003 level, bulls will need to play caution as the first main key level below starts at 3955 which is where we may get a temporary bounce, but based on the flip below 3995 will become the new resistance level.
We’re expecting potential gaps on market open so we’ll leave this report as subject to change for now and as always, we’ll update traders with our red box strategy levels and what to look for.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 4003
Bearish below 4003
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 4630 for 4645, 4660, 4663 and 4672 in extension of the move
Break below 4620 for 4610, 4603. 3998, 3990, 3985 and 3960 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD - High volume Control🔶 XAUUSD Trading Card
🔑 Pivot Zone: 3860 - 3880 (Major Demand)
📊 Context: Bullish continuation - ATH discovery | Current 4274
⚠️ Key Levels:
Immediate Support = 4230 - 4240
Lower Support 1 = 4180 - 4200
Lower Support 2 - Strong = 4125 - 4150
Lower Support 3 - Very Strong = 4030 - 4050
────────────────────────────────────
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Bias Flip: Already active - ATH discovery mode
Trigger: Hold above 4230 + continuation momentum
🎯 T1 = 4300 (Projected)
🎯 T2 = 4350 (Projected)
❌ Invalidation: Back below 4230
────────────────────────────────────
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Bias Flip: Clear breach below 4230
Trigger: Close below 4230 + bearish momentum shift
🎯 T1 = 4180 - 4200
🎯 T2 = 4125 - 4150
🎯 T3 = 4030 - 4050
❌ Invalidation: Back above 4240
Gold tests below $4,300 amid strengthening USD October 21Joint statement Ukraine – EU – Trump – Europe:
=> Call for an immediate ceasefire and start peace negotiations.
=> The market reacts risk-on, money flows out of gold => gold drops sharply.
echnical analysis: H1 is in the process of correction after continuously setting the ATH peak, gradually forming a head and shoulders pattern, buyers right at the 4178-4180 area are quite clear.
BUY GOLD : 4180 - 4178
SL: 4172
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
SELL GOLD : 4320 - 4322
SL: 4330
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
Trade according to price trends, do not trade predictions, manage and be responsible for your account !
Bias Compression: Breakout or Breakdown Incoming.XAU/USD Final October Outlook — Structure, Pressure Zones, and Bias Control
As October draws to a close, Gold continues to respect its technical framework, maintaining a disciplined corrective structure after the mid-month rejection from the upper resistance zone. The chart now reveals a series of pressure zones, each represented by a triangular formation — a visual depiction of directional bias and momentum buildup.
The green triangle reflects the current buy pressure zone, where price is attempting to stabilize after the recent sell leg. A sustained move within this area could trigger a short-term rebound, leading price back toward the Major Benchmark at 4,369. A confirmed breakout above this level would signal a structural shift, opening the path toward the Initial Monthly Target at 4,619.
Conversely, the red triangle represents the sell pressure zone, where bearish continuation remains dominant. As long as price action remains inside this red triangle, selling pressure is expected to persist, promoting further downside momentum through the Sell Continuation phase. However, an exit above the red triangle would invalidate the bearish structure, signaling exhaustion in the current downtrend and potential reversal strength building into early November.
The Sell Continuation Target at 3,374 stands as the completion point for this corrective wave should bearish momentum remain intact.
In summary, each triangle serves as a visual boundary of market intent — buyers defending the green zone, sellers maintaining control within the red. October’s final sessions will determine which side ultimately dictates November’s opening structure.
Final October note: Structure remains intact, pressure zones are clearly defined, and momentum balance will dictate the next major move.
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall to the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,168.43
1st Support: 4,108.32
1st Resistance: 4,242.14
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XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 .
Today market is creepy We have to be very careful.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven.
2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270.
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .
ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK Gold retraced down on Friday to create a higher low and tested a major zone around 4190 area, if it closed below 4190 it would have triggered more sells but it didn't and got rejected thereby closing above 4200 and this is a sign of bullish resumption and as a trader with fair understanding of the market the next thing to look for is a buy and the first best place to buy is at 4235-30 and hold it but if you want to really manage your trade, i suggest you close at 4335-40 and if it closes above 4365 then you target a buy again at 4365-60 area and hold for ever,
price could be rejected at 4340 or anywhere within the upper rectangular block and sell to close below 4190 for it to sell more for some days, so to prevent losing gained profits you can close at 4340 in order to be at the safer side incase the market decides to change to long term sells, if you have the courage to hold, then you can hold because the trend is bullish overall and i will update it too, if it decides to change direction i will signal it early before it becomes late.
Clue: if Monday closes with a bullish candle especially above 4365 then we are buying from Tuesday going, but if it closes bearish on Monday (D1) then we will definitely sell from Tuesday going especially if it closes below 4190.
2
XAUUSD | Gold Holds Firm as Buyers Dominate the MarketGold continues to demonstrate a strong and orderly bullish structure, with momentum sustained by a combination of market confidence and macroeconomic positioning. The metal’s consistent upward drive reflects ongoing demand for safety amid lingering inflationary concerns and uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery. Institutional accumulation remains visible, suggesting that investors are positioning ahead of potential policy adjustments and currency fluctuations.
The recent moderation phase appears to be a controlled pause rather than weakness, indicating that buyers are maintaining control while the market digests prior gains. Should current stability in yields persist and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, gold could extend its advance in the medium term, reaffirming its role as a key hedge within diversified portfolios.
The Fundamentals That Could End the Debasement TradeThe “debasement trade” has emerged as one of the key market themes: a strategy based on the loss of value of fiat currencies amid unlimited monetary creation, rising public debt, and the erosion of purchasing power. In this context, investors have turned to so-called “tangible” assets—gold and silver—viewed as safe havens against monetary dilution.
But while this narrative has dominated much of the year, several fundamentals could gradually bring it to an end by late 2025.
First, the end of the U.S. government shutdown would restore confidence in American fiscal management and reduce the political risk premium. In the same vein, clearer fiscal consolidation and a return to minimum budget discipline could signal that governments are regaining control over the trajectory of deficits and debt. This mere shift in perception could be enough to ease fears of U.S. dollar “debasement.”
At the same time, if central banks maintain or raise real interest rates, fiat currencies would regain competitiveness against non-productive assets. Positive real yields restore the value of cash and reduce the appeal of inflation hedges. This is even more true if inflation expectations decline: less fear of price surges means less need to seek protection through gold or other precious metals.
A stable or stronger dollar would reinforce this dynamic—it is, in fact, the most important factor signaling the end of the debasement trade.
Historically, a firm greenback weighs on precious metals while signaling renewed confidence in monetary stability. At the same time, a better global growth environment could redirect capital toward risk assets at the expense of “hard assets.”
Another key element is the tightening of liquidity conditions. Less money in circulation and less speculative excess would dry up flows into safe-haven assets. Similarly, a geopolitical de-escalation would reduce demand for protective values. If, in parallel, institutions reallocate toward bonds—attracted by once again appealing yields—that would mark the end of the great flight from the fiat system.
Finally, the real turning point will come with the return of political and monetary credibility. When markets once again perceive authorities as capable of managing debt, inflation, and growth without resorting to the printing press, the engine of the debasement trade will naturally shut down. Once confidence is restored, the risk premium on tangible assets will decline, placing the dollar, real yields, and macroeconomic discipline back at the center of the game.
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GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase.
The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040.
Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.






















