Who Is Really Controlling the Market?👋Hello everyone, it’s great to see you again in today’s conversation.
Today, we’ll dive into a very interesting topic: “❓Who is really controlling this market? Are you just a juicy prey, a pawn following the path laid out by the big institutions?”
To answer this question, we need to look deeper. The market in general, and XAUUSD specifically, is like an immense ocean with many currents flowing in different directions.
At the top of the chain, we see that trends are most influenced by economic factors, global political events, wars, and so on. Can you imagine how much influence central banks and large investment funds have? Their decisions can create massive waves, shaking the entire global financial market. You know why we only trade until Friday, right? Because most of these major institutions are closed on Saturdays and Sundays. For example, when the Fed decides to hike interest rates, or when big funds buy millions of ounces of gold, immediately, gold prices will either surge or plummet.
(To gain a better understanding of how it works, take a look at my previous post )
However, big institutions cannot always control the market as they wish. Surely, you've seen sudden reversals or significant price fluctuations within just one day. And this is where the role of you and other traders comes into play.
Let’s think about it. In today’s modern financial market, where information spreads at the speed of light, you – a retail trader – can influence significant price movements if you know how to seize the right moment and turn it into your profit.
Think about the times when you’ve seen gold prices spike due to certain news, like a Fed decision or a political crisis. That wasn’t the result of a big institution, but rather the market’s response. And when you and thousands of other traders act in the same direction, you’re creating waves – even if they’re small – but they are enough to shift the market's flow in the short term. The market is a psychological reaction, where emotions, expectations, and fear drive the actions of all participants.
Yet, we cannot deny that the influence of central banks and global market fluctuations is immense and overwhelming. At times, our actions may just be a reaction to FOMO , inadvertently turning ourselves into prey without realizing it. The only way out is to equip yourself with the knowledge and experience necessary to navigate the market. If not, from the moment you step into trading, you’re essentially a pawn being controlled.
The market is a vast ocean. Central banks and large investment funds are like islands within it, but each one of us is an essential part of that ocean. Even if you’re just a grain of salt, many grains of salt together make the ocean salty. We are all connected, no matter where we are or what platform we use. TradingView, for example, is one place where we can all link up.
Trust in your own value, take action, learn, and share your insights so that both the trading community and TradingView itself can continue to grow.
I wish you happy trading. Don’t forget to support me by liking this post!🚀
Trade ideas
Gold prices plummeted, analysis for next week!Gold market analysis for next Monday:
Gold finally experienced a sharp pullback. Yesterday, gold hit a high of 4379, then fluctuated back and forth, rising to a low of 4278 before rebounding to the intraday high. This is a typical extreme move driven by a short-term sell-off at high levels. This week, there seemed to be a series of one-way plunges of more than 80 points, followed by a rebound to offset the decline. While the Asian session rebounded, the US market presented a different picture! After the Asian session's correction, there was a V-shaped rebound, followed by a one-way decline after a high. The US market continued its decline, with a relatively wide range. The low reached 4186, a maximum difference of 193 points from the high of 4379. The 1-hour chart saw a second upward move, but pressure was applied at 4379, forming a double top. A sharp sell-off in the US market lowered the price to 4186. The daily chart recorded a large, real-body bearish candlestick. While a single candlestick pattern alone is insufficient to signal a reversal, the rapid pace of the previous rally suggests a technical correction is needed. The weekly chart support is far from support, so a short position at 4379 is still a viable option.
I saw a significant bearish trend on the daily chart, with a single bearish candlestick covering a bullish candlestick. The 4-hour chart also saw three large bearish candlesticks, resulting in a $170 drop. This indicates the presence of upward pressure, and this week's bullish rally has also led to a technical correction. Gold's pullback in the US market did not lead to a rebound, but instead broke down and fell. Short-term resistance has formed at 4280. If gold rebounds and finds pressure at 4280, short-term short positions are warranted. Gold may begin to adjust.
Yesterday, we repeatedly emphasized the importance of the 4280 area for gold. If it falls below this level, a direct short position could target the 4200-4180 area. Indeed, gold plummeted. This is the rhythm. Next Monday, consider shorting gold at the neckline resistance level of 4275-80. Overall, our short-term trading strategy for gold next Monday is to prioritize shorting on rallies, with a secondary focus on long positions on pullbacks. Focus on resistance at 4275-4280 in the upper short term, and support at 4180-4090 on the lower side. Be sure to keep up with the market. Specific price levels will be determined by real-time intraday data. Welcome to discuss real-time market trends.
Next Monday's gold trading strategy:
Selling strategy:
Short (sell) 20% of your position in batches when gold rebounds near 4275-4280, targeting the 4230-4200 range. A break below targets the 4180 level.
Buying strategy:
Buy (buy) 20% of your position in batches when gold pulls back near 4175-4180, targeting the 4230-4250 range. A break below targets the 4275 level.
Gold price correction is within expectations, waiting for layout
News:
When it comes to long-term gold trading, attempting to find a "perfect low" is often unrealistic. While Friday's drop of nearly $200 in gold may seem dramatic, it's only half of last week's gains, making the correction still within reasonable bounds. After hitting 4186, prices quickly stabilized and rebounded to 4247, forming a typical bottoming-out pattern. This level is the 0.5 retracement support level of this week's upward trend.
Specifically:
Opportunities often lurk amidst sharp declines. After Friday's pullback to key support, bullish sentiment has stabilized. We maintain a bullish outlook for the start of the week and recommend placing long positions in batches above Friday's low.
Based on recent trends, the market is expected to trade sideways and rise slowly at the beginning of the week, with a focus on the 4220-4210 support zone. If the Asian session can break through and hold the 4275-4285 pressure zone, then you can follow up with long orders in the European and American sessions; if it maintains volatility, then wait patiently for opportunities to accumulate at low levels and stick to the long strategy on pullbacks.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4225-4220, SL: 4210, TP: 4275-4300
Beware of false gold price drops and real gold price rises
News:
Although gold prices quickly stabilized and rebounded after the ceasefire agreement in Gaza, briefly approaching all-time highs, the easing of geopolitical tensions dampened safe-haven buying to some extent, leading some bulls to take profits. Meanwhile, the strong US dollar, which hit a two-month high, caused gold to fall sharply under short-term selling pressure. However, gold prices stabilized and recovered nearly half of their losses, indicating that market expectations of Fed rate cuts and the continued US government shutdown continue to attract bargain-hunting and safe-haven buying, providing support for gold prices.
Looking ahead, despite a short-term pullback in gold prices due to easing tensions in the Middle East, the medium- to long-term bullish outlook remains clear. The Fed has begun its interest rate cut cycle, leading to lower real interest rates and reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. Furthermore, the potential for resurgence in Middle Eastern tensions, the ongoing US government shutdown, continued central bank gold purchases, and high uncertainty in the global economy and trade are all factors that could support further price increases.
Specifically:
The four-hour lifeline is currently around 4000, serving as the dividing line between volume and rhythm. Below this level, focus on the range from the lifeline to the lower band (4000-3940). Above this level, focus on the range from the lifeline to the upper band (4000-4040).
The upper double-line support on the hourly chart, in conjunction with the ascending channel, forms an upward trend. The upper double-line support is at 3995, and the channel range is 4040-3940.
Yesterday, the price fell below 4000, falling back into the ascending channel, extending the decline. After breaking below the upper double-line support, the price confirmed resistance at the upper double-line support in the 3995-4000 range in early trading today, continuing to suppress the decline and searching for the 3975-65 range. The upper double-line support is currently at 3990, and the dividing line remains at 4000. The upper channel band is at 4045, and the lower channel band is at 3935.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 3975-3960, SL: 3945, TP: 4000-4030
XAUUSD NEW OUTLOOK Axxording to H1 analysis Gold market continuously in flyiing pressure
market break the RESISTANCE ZONE and make RBS (RESISTANCE BECOME SUPPORT )
now market will be falling and touch the SUPPORT ZONE and it will flying high so be careful use money management
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200
The XAU/USD chart shows that gold recently climbed above the $4,200 mark for the first time. The upward momentum has been supported by the ongoing US government shutdown, central bank demand (with reports highlighting a sharp rise in reserves at the Reserve Bank of India), and market focus on US–China trade developments.
According to Trading Economics, on Tuesday President Donald Trump accused China of “economically hostile” behaviour, citing a halt in soybean imports, and warned of potential retaliatory measures.
After an 8% gain since the start of October, the market appears overbought, as reflected by the RSI, creating vulnerability to a correction. Today’s sharp drop from record levels (highlighted by the red arrow) may be seen in this context, yet bullish positions remain solid for several reasons.
Analysing gold price action (highlighted with bold lines), we can identify a rising channel that has remained relevant since late September. Signs of strong demand include:
→ persistent moves towards the channel’s upper boundary;
→ a steeper growth channel forming since 10 October;
→ the local $4,155 level shifting from resistance to support.
It is also notable that previous bearish attempts failed — each short-term plunge was followed by a strong rebound. Today’s correction could similarly precede further gains in gold.
Key levels to watch:
→ Psychological resistance at $4,250;
→ Boundaries of the orange channel and the blue median line.
In summary, the gold market currently appears extremely bullish, and it would likely take extraordinary events to reverse this pronounced trend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
We’ve just released our new Monthly Chart idea, which we’ll now be tracking following the successful completion of our previous long term monthly chart idea. That one played out beautifully, and now it’s time to shift focus to the next big setup.
Currently, price is trading above the channel midline, and we’ve also seen an important EMA5 cross and lock above 3099, with a candle body close confirming a long term gap above at 3557.
While this confirms the bullish long term structure, we’re also mindful of the potential for a short term retracement, particularly around the EMA5 detachment zone (highlighted with a circle on the chart). This would offer a healthy dip opportunity, aligning perfectly with our strategy to buy into weakness on the way up.
For the bigger structure to remain intact, we’ll be looking for 3099 to continue holding as key structural support. As long as that level is respected, the long term gap toward 3557 remains firmly in play.
This is a higher timeframe idea that we’ll be building on as structure continues to unfold.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Accurate Buy & Sell Reversal Entry DetectedTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
Bullish Reversal SCENARIO: 3889
➕ Volume engagement detected below POC
➕ Cluster Shield holding with clean rejection
➕ Delta shift showing early buyer interest
➕ Liquidity swept beneath intraday lows
➕ Session bias aligning with reversal logic
📍 Buy limit placed near lower edge of cluster – expecting retest & volume response.
🔴 Bearish Reversal - 3972 SCENARIO:
➕ Price rejected upper cluster zone sharply
➕ POC flipped into resistance with heavy delta pressure
➕ Liquidity taken above prior highs
➕ Volume decreasing on push-up (distribution signs)
➕ Session structure favoring downside continuation
📍 Sell limit positioned near upper cluster edge – waiting for confirmation wick or retest.
Both sides armed — cluster structure formed a dual zone of opportunity.
We let price decide which side triggers first.
The logic remains the same: Volume + POC + Delta Control = Precision Entry.
Gold continuation breakout The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3985 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3985 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4085 – initial resistance
4126 – psychological and structural level
4160 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3985 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3945 – minor support
3910 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3985. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold ready for #6,100.80 mark extensionAfter excellent Profits realized on current Bull run, Gold (due Friday’s Profit taking from Short and Medium-term Investors) Gold delivered (# -2.00%) decline to cool down critically Overbought levels. Personally I haven’t Traded yesterday as I was Highly satisfied with my already made Profits (just few #10.00 Aggressive Scalps (Buy orders) cca #30.000€ Profits, not more). I expect Gold to find Bottom now, direct Support zone which will engage Long-term Buying extension towards #6,100.80 psychological benchmark extension. Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
Gold prices have not "fallen", only "adjusted"
News:
During Tuesday's Asian session (October 14th), spot gold retreated sharply from its all-time high of $4,179.47 per ounce, now fluctuating around $4,125 per ounce, near the lower limit of its intraday range. US President Trump's shifting stance on tariffs continued to boost market risk appetite, and coupled with dip-hunting in the US dollar, this prompted profit-taking in gold amidst severely overbought conditions.
As Democrats and Republicans continue to blame each other for the government shutdown that began on October 1st, the impasse over the reopening of the US government is expected to continue into its third week.
US President Trump reignited the trade war last Friday, threatening 100% tariffs, which continued to provide support for safe-haven gold.
In geopolitical terms, the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine has become another factor contributing to the precious metal's record highs.
Specifically:
From a technical perspective, the rally over the past seven weeks or so has consistently followed an upward-sloping trendline.
Furthermore, after breaking through the $4,055-4,060 resistance area, gold prices have surged past the $4,100 mark, solidifying the short-term bullish outlook for gold.
However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already showing severe overbought signals, suggesting a period of consolidation before further gains are possible.
Any meaningful technical pullback currently could be seen as a buying opportunity. The $4,090-4,078 area provides strong support, but a break below this support level could trigger a technical sell-off. Conversely, if gold successfully forms a double bottom in the $4,090 area, the short-term correction in gold could be over, potentially ushering in a new round of gains.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4090-4110-4115, SL: 4078, TP: 4125-4150-4175
Has the gold price peaked? Not yet! Buy on dips to 4500Good afternoon, bros. On Friday, the gold market experienced a rare sharp intraday fluctuation. Many traders who blindly chased rising and falling prices suffered heavy losses that day. However, I believe that those who followed Allen's trading rhythm and executed order transactions throughout the process will all reap great rewards.
As for Friday's market, although there has been a significant correction, we cannot blindly believe that gold has peaked in the short term. After all, the fundamentals do not present conditions conducive to a sharp drop in gold prices. The worsening geopolitical situation over the weekend, coupled with the ongoing US government shutdown and trade tensions, as well as expectations that the Federal Reserve will support two interest rate cuts this year, are all providing some support for the gold market. Therefore, the medium- and long-term bullish pattern has not been effectively changed, and the short-term pullback can be regarded as a technical correction.
Combining the hourly and 4H charts, gold retreated to a low of around 4186 on Friday night and then rebounded again, indicating that there is still strong support from below in the short term and the market bulls still have a certain rebound potential. On Monday, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance range of 4280-4300 above. If it cannot be broken through directly and effectively, gold may maintain a wide range of fluctuations after the opening, and then return to the bull market rhythm after digesting the short-term selling pressure. The support below can still continue to focus on 4200-4180. As long as this support range is not broken, our bullish attitude remains unchanged. If it falls back to the support range first, we can still consider arranging long orders in batches with light positions.
For more real-time signals, please follow my updates. Thank you for your likes and support. Thank you to all users who read my strategy!
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold → How to operate at nightToday, we highlighted the risks in gold’s upward movement. We also guided everyone to enter short positions on gold at high levels based on the intraday trend, and all these positions yielded solid profits. Currently, gold is trading within the 4,090–4,180 range. It has tested the lower end twice but failed to break below the 4,090 support level—this indicates strong buying interest (support) at lower prices, and the sharp drop during the Asian session was likely just profit-taking by funds that entered at high levels.
Keep an eye on Fed Chair Powell’s speech in 10 minutes. As mentioned earlier, if Powell echoes the current rhetoric in favor of rate cuts, the bullish momentum will continue, and gold will keep hitting new highs. Conversely, if Powell expresses further resistance to rate cuts—causing market expectations for a Fed rate cut to plummet—gold will test the 4,090 support again. A break below this level may trigger a wave of profit-taking sell-offs, and gold’s bull market will come to a complete end.
Trading Strategy
Enter a light short position on gold around the 4,180 level, with a 3-point stop-loss. PS: Stop-losses are a must for news-driven markets; without them, you could easily get trapped if the price breaks out sharply. On the downside, focus on the 4,090 support. If this level is broken, continue to enter short positions on any rebound.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
xauusdSelf explanatory really, possibly done after extension which targetted 4170 area as per previous chart. Bias is short for swing, seems should make this clear for those not so educated ;0). 38% retrace level alternative to a possible triangle/flag scenario i have published. This is such scenario would be fast!. Before resuming bull!. Lets see ;)
10.14Gold bulls continue to exert their strength!!!Gold is currently stabilizing after a broad range-bound consolidation on the 4-hour chart. It experienced an unexpected intraday plunge, but the momentum has been minimal. A rapid intraday rise followed by a sustained decline could present an opportunity for a short position. The price has rebounded after retracing to previous support levels, and the K-line charts are still trading above the short-term moving average, suggesting a relatively strong trend in the short term. There are currently no significant technical patterns on the hourly chart. On the smaller timeframes, pressure is building on the short-term moving average, maintaining a weak trend. There may be some room for correction in the short term. Focus on the support level around 4005 in the short term.
GOLD BEARISH CORRECTION TOWARDS SUPPORT ZONEChart Overview:
Timeframe: 15-minute
Price Range: 4,170 – 4,360 USD (visual scale)
Current Price: 4,240 USD
Trend Channel: Uptrend channel (yellow) with a recent breakdown from the midline.
🧠 Technical Analysis:
1. Previous Move:
Gold experienced a strong bullish run within an ascending channel, reaching the resistance zone near 4,360.
The momentum formed a rounded top pattern, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
2. Pattern Development:
A head-and-shoulders–like formation is visible at the top of the structure.
Price broke below the neckline and tested lower support near 4,215 before rebounding slightly.
3. Current Structure:
Price is retesting the broken support (now resistance) area near 4,260.
The black curve projection shows a potential lower high forming — a bearish continuation setup.
Oct 17, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4390 – Bullish target
• 4381 – Resistance
• 4372 – Resistance
• 4360 – Resistance
• 4354 – Resistance
• 4342 – Key resistance
• 4330 – Support
• 4325 – Support
• 4318 – Support
• 4312 – Support
📈 Scalping Strategy:
BUY: If price holds above 4342 → target 4345, with further upside toward 4350, 4354, 4358
SELL: If price breaks below 4330 → target 4325, with further downside toward 4318, 4312, 4300
4300 is just the beginning, it is expected to reach 4500Affected by the continued impact of the US government shutdown, gold in the US market rose strongly. After hitting a high of 4292, it quickly fell back and rebounded, setting a new historical high of 4298. But judging from the current trend, this is obviously not the peak of gold prices. If the short-term rise continues, it is expected to test the pressure of the 4,300 integer mark.
As the short-term trend line is broken, the previous resistance is gradually transformed into support. Pay attention to the short-term support range of 4275-4260 below. If this range can be held, gold will set a new high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Oct 16, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
I’ve been feeling unwell recently and couldn’t update my strategy on time — Sorry 🙏
Bullish momentum remains intact, and the long-term plan is still to buy pullbacks into support.
In the short term, there are no extremely clear levels, but I’ve listed the most important ones below:
If they hold, look for buying opportunities.
If they break, selling opportunities may arise.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4240 – Bullish target
• 4228 – Resistance
• 4210 – Support
• 4200 – Key support
• 4190 – Support
• 4180–4182 – Support zone
• 4164 – Support
• 4153 – Support
📈 Short-Term Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4218 → target 4215, with further downside toward 4211, 4206, 4200
BUY: If price holds above 4224 → target 4228, with further upside toward 4235, 4240, 4245