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#4,200.80 mark almost tested / #4,100.80 achieved alreadyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.' My position: So far so good as my both Targets on current Bull run are met earlier than I expected and as soon as I spotted that Gold tested #4,100.80 benchmark, I established my Support zone on #4,088.80 - #4,092.80 and started Buying Gold (aggressive Scalps) and when #4,103.80 was tested I stopped, waiting for pullback. On #4,092.80 test, I have Bought Gold aggressively (two times #25 Lots) with #4,127.80 Target which was hit, delivering excellent Profits over-night however now it seems that I have set my Target much Lower as Gold tested #4,180's. However, I am very satisfied with my Profits on current multi-Month Bull run and will continue Buying Gold until #4,200.80 mark is realized from my key re-Buy points. I repeat, I receive many messages of Traders getting trapped or liquidated in attempt to Sell Gold, do not Sell at all cost regardless the Technical opportunity to do so.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook - Strategic Entry & Exit Plan🟡💰 XAU/USD — “Gold Rush or Police Trap?” ⚡ Thief Strategy Playbook 🎯 Asset: XAU/USD “Gold vs U.S. Dollar” Market Type: Crypto / Metals Cross (Swing / Day Trade) Bias: Bullish 🟢 🔓 Thief’s Entry Game Plan (Layer Method) This isn’t your typical sniper-entry… this is the Thief Strategy™ — a layering style method using multiple limit orders for flexible accumulation. 💎 Layer Entries: 4000.00 ✅ 4025.00 ✅ 4050.00 ✅ (You can increase or adjust the layers based on your risk appetite & setup.) 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): @3950.00 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my SL; it’s just my escape route. Trade smart, take your profits, and move at your own risk.” 🎯 Target Zone — “Police Barricade Ahead 🚨” The 4200.00 zone acts as a strong resistance + potential trap area — heavy liquidity and overbought conditions live there. Be wise, secure the bag 💼, and slip out before the market cops show up. 📊 Key Technical Notes Momentum shows gold buyers reclaiming upper zones after liquidity grabs. Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish unless 3950.00 breaks cleanly. RSI divergence & volume spike hint at layered re-accumulation potential. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations 💵 TVC:DXY — Inverse correlation; stronger dollar → gold pullback risk. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — Occasionally follows gold sentiment under risk-off conditions. 💹 TVC:SILVER (XAGUSD) — Often moves in tandem; can confirm metal-sector strength. 💱 FX:USDJPY — Watch for safe-haven flows; yen strength = gold demand uptick. ⚙️ Market Sentiment (London Session Focus) 📈 Bullish tone continuing through European hours. 🔍 Institutions layering bids near 4000–4050 liquidity pocket. ⏱ Short-term pullbacks expected before breakout continuation. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun & educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — steal profits, not peace. 🕶️ #XAUUSD #Gold #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #LayerEntry #Forex #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStrategy #GoldTrading #XAU #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LondonSession #TradingViewIdeas
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
find new ATH 4074 , price increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) extends gains for a second day, reaching a new record high near $4,060 in Monday’s Asian session. Persistent economic uncertainty from the prolonged US government shutdown, renewed US-China trade tensions, and growing expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to support the safe-haven metal. Markets now anticipate two additional rate cuts this year, pressuring the US Dollar and bolstering Gold. However, President Trump’s softer tone on China tariffs has improved overall risk sentiment, capping the metal’s upside for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Tariffs, adding momentum for gold prices to continue growing, creating new ATH this week ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4074 - 4076 SL 4081 TP1: $4060 TP2: $4050 TP3: $4040 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4000-$4002 SL $3995 TP1: $4010 TP2: $4020 TP3: $4030 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
GOLD leveled off after its strongest rally since 1979OANDA:XAUUSD Falls After Trump's 'Softening' Comments on China Gold Spot gold fell nearly 2% on Friday (October 17), ending a long rally after hitting a new record, as a stronger US dollar and President Donald Trump's soft remarks dampened demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold ended the session at $4,250.91 an ounce, down 1.74%, after peaking at $4,379.94 earlier in the session. The US dollar index rose 0.2%, making gold more expensive for foreign investors. Earlier, gold recorded its biggest weekly gain since the Lehman Brothers crisis in 2008. Trump Calms Trade Tensions, Gold Loses Safe-haven Momentum Speaking at the White House, Trump admitted that 100% tariffs on Chinese goods were “unsustainable” and confirmed plans to meet President Xi Jinping in the near future. The comments quickly changed market sentiment, easing expectations of an escalation in the trade conflict and pulling safe-haven demand away from gold. FXStreet commented: “Gold prices fell about 2% from a historic peak as Trump eased his tone with Beijing. The recovery in risk sentiment kept the dollar strong and gold under pressure.” The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 3 basis points to 4.01%, while real yields rose nearly 2.5 basis points to 1.72%, further pressuring non-yielding assets like gold. Medium-term outlook remains positive Despite the short-term correction, gold prices have risen more than 64% year-to-date, boosted by expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle. The market is now pricing in a 25 basis point cut at its October meeting, and another in December. HSBC has raised its 2025 average gold price forecast by $100 to $3,455 an ounce, and expects prices to reach $5,000 by 2026. Some fresh concerns about credit risks emerged after two regional US banks reported $50 million in bad loans, but White House Senior Advisor Kevin Hassett reassured that the banking system remains liquid and “credit conditions are generally stable.” Goldman Sachs: Gold Price Rally “Real-Based,” Not Speculative Bubble Gold prices continued to hit records this week, surpassing $4,300 an ounce on October 16, marking a four-session winning streak and a gain of about 65% year-to-date, the strongest since 1979. However, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc., this is not a speculative frenzy, but reflects real demand from institutions and central banks. “The current momentum in gold is not driven by euphoria,” Goldman Sachs said in a video conference. “Central banks continue to buy at record levels, while private investors are only gradually rebalancing their portfolios as the Fed accelerates the pace of rate cuts.” After years of low asset allocations to gold, the market is now returning to a more reasonable balance, not a “gold bubble,” Goldman Sachs said. Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900 an ounce, highlighting two key drivers: strong inflows into Western gold ETFs and sustained net buying by central banks, particularly in Asia and the Middle East. Echoes of the 1970s: History Repeats in a New Way Let’s compare the current cycle to the “gold rush” of the 1970s, when the US ended the Bretton Woods system, inflation soared and the oil crisis pushed the price of gold many times higher. “Back then, budget deficits and policy uncertainty led investors to seek refuge outside the official monetary system. And now, similar factors are emerging, from US fiscal risks to geopolitical divergence, making gold continue to be a popular hedge.” According to Goldman Sachs, the gold market is still relatively small compared to the scale of global capital flows, so each shift in capital flows greatly amplifies price fluctuations. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD The daily chart of gold is still in a medium-long term uptrend, as shown by the price remaining above the MA21 and still in the uptrend channel despite the correction. After reaching a historical peak of 4,379, the price has dropped to around 4,250 USD/ounce, corresponding to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382. • Current candlestick structure: a strong correction candle appears but has not broken the bullish structure. • Important technical support zones: o 4.216 – 4.160 (Fibo 0.382 – 0.5): potential short-term support zone. o 4.110 (Fibo 0.618): stronger support, if this zone is broken, it can move into a deep correction phase. • RSI: still above 70, showing that the market is still in the overbought zone, prone to strong short-term fluctuations but has not confirmed a reversal. => Conclusion of the main trend: Gold is still in the main uptrend, currently only in a technical correction phase after reaching the peak, there is no signal of a medium-term reversal. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4309 - 4307⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4313 →Take Profit 1 4301 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4295 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4160 - 4162⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4156 →Take Profit 1 4168 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4174
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD 15M - Playing the bounce in the risk zone. SL is the key · XAUUSD 15M Analysis: Price is approaching a key demand/buy zone. Looking for a confirmed bullish reversal pattern to enter, targeting a move back towards recent highs. Stop loss is clearly defined below support. The plan is set. · Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Idea: Entering on a retest of the buy zone with a stop below the recent swing low at 2115. This provides a favorable risk-reward setup on the 15-minute chart. · Execution Plan for XAUUSD: The trend is up on higher timeframes, now waiting for a pullback into the identified value area. Risk is managed, now we need patience for the price to come to us. Cautious & Strategic (Highlights the warning in the image) · "Be cautious in killing time of New York" - A good reminder. For XAUUSD, we have our levels set. Now we wait patiently for price to confirm our bias in the buy zone. No forcing trades. · Timing is everything. With the New York session warning in mind, the plan for Gold is simple: wait in the buy zone, manage risk with the SL, and only enter on a clear signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Myshare_finance1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3907 and a gap below at 3880. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3907 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3937 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3965 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3993 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4019 BEARISH TARGETS 3880 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3848 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3819 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3781 3743 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
43
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: That didn't go to badly! We wanted price to attempt that low, give us the push up and although we had highlighted a little higher, the red box did not break and our hot spot gave a lovely RIP from the level. We then broke the 4030 level at the bias and completed all the bias level targets. I would love to say we caught the top, but is this the top? For now, we have support at the 3950 level and below that 3930. If we get a continuation downside, we will be looking below for a potential long, otherwise, upside into 3990 levels is important for the break. I would like to see more downside here at least to target the daily mean which is well overdue. Price: 4039 RED BOXES: Break above 4047 for 4050✅, 4055✅, 4061, 4075 and 4085 in extension of the move Break below 4030 for 4020✅, 4010✅, 4006✅, 3997✅, 3980✅ and 3977✅ in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
GOLD bounces back, hopes of policy reversalOANDA:XAUUSD reversed dramatically in the trading session on October 14, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sent a clear dovish message, indicating that the Fed is ready to continue its rate-cutting cycle despite political uncertainty and the US government shutdown. As of the time of writing, gold quickly recovered to $4,178 per ounce, up 0.89% on the day. The main driver came from expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 0.25% in October, a signal that Powell reinforced in his speech at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting. Powell said the outlook for jobs and inflation “has not changed materially” since the September meeting, when the Fed began easing. But he stressed that risks to the labor market are rising, hiring has slowed, and unemployment could soon rise again after a long period of deep decline. “We are at a point where further deterioration in the labor market could start to show up in the unemployment rate,” Powell said, hinting at the possibility that the Fed may have to act more quickly to protect the expansion. The announcement is seen as a turning point in policy direction, especially after Powell admitted that the Fed is considering ending the process of shrinking its balance sheet, a factor that has tightened global liquidity over the past year. Many organizations such as TD Securities believe that the Fed could announce the end of this program as early as the October meeting, paving the way for a clearly easing monetary environment from November. The reaction in financial markets was immediate: the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.03%, the DXY index fell 0.25% to 99.00, showing that the Dollar is under new selling pressure. At the same time, safe-haven flows returned to the gold market, reinforcing the rapid recovery of this precious metal. Markets saw Powell’s message as not only reassuring after a period of intense volatility, but also as opening up the possibility that the Fed is preparing for a prolonged easing cycle. Broadly, the Fed is shifting its focus from containing inflation to protecting growth and jobs, a strategic shift. With global growth slowing, geopolitical risks spreading, and US-China trade tensions rising, Powell appears to prioritize maintaining liquidity and financial stability over further tightening. Gold prices have risen more than 57% year-to-date, supported by safe-haven demand, strong central bank buying, and large inflows into gold ETFs. Institutions such as Bank of America and Société Générale are now raising their gold price forecasts to $5,000/ounce by 2026, in a scenario where the Fed ends its tightening cycle and the dollar enters a period of structural weakness. If the Fed confirms its dovish stance at its October meeting, investors expect this could be a turning point in global monetary policy, with gold continuing to serve as a “confident gauge” of Powell’s management ability and the resilience of the US financial system. Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Trend Overview • Main Trend: Strongly bullish, price remains in an ascending channel, a series of long-bodied candles shows that buyers are in control. • Technical Momentum: RSI in overbought zone (>75), momentum is still there but signals a risk of a short-term correction. Important levels on the chart • Near resistance: $4,213 (Fib 0.618). Next extension zone $4,286 – $4,378. • Near support: $4,100 (psychological level), followed by $4,060 and $4,000 (strong support/low MA). Short-term scenario & warnings • Preferred scenario (trend-follow): maintain medium-term bullish view if price holds above 4,000–4,060. • Correction warning: due to overbought RSI, a pullback of $50–$120 may occur to “digest” the momentum before continuing the trend. Macro news (Powell, employment data, geopolitical news) may trigger strong volatility. Risk Management • Smaller order sizes than usual due to high volatility. • Don't chase prices past strong resistance; prioritize buying on signs of a successful retest. The uptrend is still intact; a reasonable strategy is to buy with the trend on corrections or buy breakout confirmations. However, overbought RSI and macro/geopolitical news risks could cause significant pullbacks, so prioritize risk management and tight SL. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4242 - 4240⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4246 →Take Profit 1 4234 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4228 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4145 - 4147⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4141 →Take Profit 1 4153 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4159
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
Pressure Building!Gold's sideways move the past four months is finally about to change, the longer the sideways move, the bigger the resulting move, each small pullback flushed out the weak hands, some calling to short gold. We are in a clear wave four correction, wave five up will follow, in precious metals, wave fives are the most dramatic. Our target is $4000, could go even higher and overshoot to $4200ish...by October/November. The Dow is very bullish at this time as the final rally concludes. Appreciate a thumbs up, Good trading and God Bless you all!
TVC:GOLD
by Fractal777
14
XAUUSD | Gold Holds Firm as Buyers Dominate the MarketGold continues to demonstrate a strong and orderly bullish structure, with momentum sustained by a combination of market confidence and macroeconomic positioning. The metal’s consistent upward drive reflects ongoing demand for safety amid lingering inflationary concerns and uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery. Institutional accumulation remains visible, suggesting that investors are positioning ahead of potential policy adjustments and currency fluctuations. The recent moderation phase appears to be a controlled pause rather than weakness, indicating that buyers are maintaining control while the market digests prior gains. Should current stability in yields persist and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, gold could extend its advance in the medium term, reaffirming its role as a key hedge within diversified portfolios.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Bullish Analysis XAU/USD (15M) The market has shown a Change of Character (CHoCH) and respected the 1H Order Block (OB), creating a strong bullish impulse after mitigating the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Following this move, a Break of Structure (BOS) has occurred, forming a New Higher High (HH), which confirms institutional intention to drive price higher and capture liquidity. 🔑 Projected Scenario • A possible Fake Out + Rejection around the 4,294 support zone. • Entry at 4,294 with Stop Loss at 4,261 (Risk/Reward ratio: 1:3). • First target (TP1) at 4,357. • Second target (TP2) at 4,400. 📌 Key Takeaways • Institutions are likely to manipulate liquidity before continuation. • Patience is required for confirmation at the rejection zone. • Scaling out profits at TP1 and TP2 gives both security and flexibility in trade management. ✨ Motivational Note Smart trading is not about predicting; it’s about preparing. Patience and discipline are the strongest weapons of a professional trader. 🚀. GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
GOLD Analysis📊 Pattern Overview The chart shows a Bearish Harmonic Pattern – likely a Bearish Gartley / Bat completion near the top zone. You’ve marked the key structure points X–A–B–C–D, and the final leg D has completed near a precise Fibonacci confluence, indicating potential reversal. 🔍 Momentum & Confirmation Expect bearish divergence on RSI/MACD near point D. Watch for reversal candles — like bearish engulfing or shooting star — for entry confirmation. A break and retest below the $4,210 line adds conviction for a short setup. ✅ Summary Parameter Observation Pattern Bearish Harmonic (Gartley/Bat) Current Bias Bearish Reversal Likely Reversal Zone $4,210–$4,225 Confirmation Line $4,210 (as labeled) Targets $4,170 → $4,110 → $4,060 Stop-loss Above $4,235 (swing high) Conclusion Gold’s 1H chart is signaling a potential reversal from harmonic completion. Only if the price closes below $4,210 with momentum confirmation, we can expect a correction toward $4,100–$4,060 levels. Until then, the structure remains in a potential reversal zone, not yet active. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and technical research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always confirm trade entries using volume, price action, and your personal risk parameters.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders, Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management. If you find our analysis valuable please engage with it. Follow us for further insights. Sincerely, Team Setupsfx
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6