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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 17Gold Technical Analysis Daily Resistance: 4500, Support: 4059 4-Hour Resistance: 4380, Support: 4176 1-Hour Resistance: 4380, Support: 4280 Gold continued to rise by over $100 yesterday, reaching a high of 4380 in today's Asian session. At this rate, the next move is 4500. Of course, this won't be the final target of this market rally. In the short term, although there was a sharp drop of $100 in Friday's Asian session, it was quickly recovered, resulting in a V-shaped reversal, indicating that bullish sentiment has not subsided. The probability of setting a new high today, or even reaching 4400, remains high. Operationally, continue to look for buying opportunities today. If the decline can be halted around 4330 or 4300, then continue to enter the market. BUY:4330near BUY:4300near BUY:4280near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Market Breakdown 1. BOS + ChoCh (Shift in Structure): The market confirmed a bullish change of character, followed by multiple Break of Structure signals, showing institutional interest. 2. FVG 1H (Fair Value Gap): The 1H FVG was highlighted perfectly as an inefficiency left by strong bullish momentum. This is a key area where price often retraces before continuation. 3. OB-15M (Order Block): Price tapped into the 15M OB, a strong demand zone where liquidity was collected and rebalanced. 4. Fake Out + Rejection: The setup anticipates a liquidity grab (fake out) below the structure, followed by a sharp rejection, which is typical institutional behavior before expansion. 5. Distribution Phase: After rejection, projection shows price entering a distribution move toward the target 4,180. 6. Trade Setup: • Entry: 4,113 • Stop Loss: 4,093 • Target: 4,180 • Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 → strong and professional setup. 🌟 Motivational Note “Every FVG, BOS, and rejection tells the story of institutional flow. 📊 We don’t rush entries—we wait for the OB mitigation and the liquidity grab. 🎯 That’s where the edge lies: patience and precision. 🚀🔥” GOOD LUCK TRADERS…. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
XAUUSD EXTENDS BULLISJH MOMENTUM TOWARDS $4350 & $4450 TARGET.Technical Overview Current Price: $4,292.85 Support Zone: $4,000 – $4,050 Resistance Zone: $4,450 – $4,500 Trend: Bullish (ascending channel) 🔹 Chart Analysis The price is moving steadily inside the upward channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines. A short-term retracement may occur near the $4,350 zone (first target), aligning with mid-channel resistance before continuing toward the final target around $4,432–$4,450. The market shows strong bullish candles, confirming buying pressure with limited corrective dips. The support base near $4,150 remains strong — as long as this zone holds, the bullish trend is expected to continue. 🔹 Price Targets First Target: $4,350 Final Target: $4,432 – $4,450 Stop-Loss (if trading): Below $4,200 (trendline support)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zickey_11
1
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold), 4H timeframe — here’s the detailed breakdown 👇 --- Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup — XAU/USD Market Context Gold has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price has recently broken above the previous resistance zone, signaling bullish continuation. --- Key Technical Points 1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Zone The chart highlights an FVG area around 4,060–4,080, which now acts as a potential retracement zone. Smart money often drives price back into these imbalances to mitigate orders before continuing the move up. 2. Retest Opportunity Expect a pullback into the FVG zone, followed by bullish confirmation (rejection candle or structure shift). This creates a high-probability long entry zone aligned with the prevailing bullish order flow. 3. Key Support Level The 3,940–3,970 zone below acts as a major support / demand area, reinforcing the overall bullish bias. 4. Target Point The projected target point is around 4,250, based on the measured move from the FVG breakout structure. This aligns with liquidity resting above previous highs — a likely take-profit zone for institutional traders. --- Trade Plan Entry: Wait for price to retrace and show bullish confirmation inside the 4,060–4,080 (FVG zone). Stop Loss: Below 4,040 (beneath imbalance / last swing low). Take Profit: 4,250 target zone — completion of the bullish leg. --- Market Logic This idea follows Smart Money flow principles: Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish control. Retracement to FVG provides a discounted entry. Target liquidity above prior highs for exit. --- Mr SMC Trading point Summary: Gold remains in a strong bullish phase — look for retracement entries into the FVG for continuation toward 4,250. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold breaks $4,100 as JPMorgan’s Dimon hints at $10K potentialJP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon , speaking at Fortune’s Most Powerful Women conference in Washington, said there is “some logic” in holding gold even at its current record high price. He acknowledged that in the current macro environment, gold “could easily go to $5,000 or $10,000 .” Gold reached record highs above 4,100 per ounce the past week. Dimon also cautioned that asset valuations appear “kind of high across almost everything at this point,”.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
XAUUSD: Correction failure, aiming for higher priceAfter a sizable dip following the retest of 4057, gold recovered quickly and broke higher after President Donald Trump said he is considering raising tariffs on Chinese imports up to 100%, a headline that jolted broader risk assets and added to geopolitical uncertainty. Given gold’s safe-haven character and the recent instability across financial markets, a deep correction is unlikely for now. Instead, looking for potential buy entry during slight corrections is safer in the current situation. Latest update: In today’s session, President Trump told reporters on Sunday (Oct 12) that the war in Gaza “has ended.” 📊 Trading Plan ⇒ With the news situation still unclear for us to know whether gold will decrease or continue to increase strongly, so in today's trading session we should only scalp trade when the price moves to support and resistance zones. Key Levels Margin Zone Resistance: Resistance: , => These resistance zones are derived from concentrated CME Long-call positioning and may elicit reactions if tested. Margin Zone Support: Support: , Strong Support: Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
XAUUSDGold is currently trading near $4,229, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish run within a rising wedge pattern. The price has recently broken below the wedge support, and a bearish divergence is visible on the RSI, indicating weakening momentum. 🔹 Key Zone: The grey area around $4,220–$4,230 may act as a short-term retest zone. 🔹 Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the wedge support, a continuation move toward the $4,107 support zone is likely. 🔹 Further Support: Below that, next key level sits around $4,015. 🔹 Bias: Short-term bearish correction expected unless price breaks back above $4,235 with strong momentum
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trader1mran
Gold Trade Plan 13/10/2025Dear Traders, 🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4H Timeframe 📅 October 13, 2025 Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its bullish market structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the price is hovering around $4,070, near the midline of the channel. 🔹 The next key resistance zone lies between $4,120 – $4,130. A breakout above this level could push the price toward the $4,210 – $4,220 region, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and may act as an overbought or reversal area. 📉 On the other hand, a rejection from the $4,120–$4,130 resistance could trigger a corrective move back toward the lower channel boundary around $3,980 – $4,000. The RSI indicator has bounced back to the 60 level, suggesting short-term bullish momentum remains intact. However, traders should watch for potential bearish divergences once RSI approaches the overbought zone (above 70). 📊 Summary: Overall Trend: Bullish Key Resistances: 4,120–4,130 / 4,210–4,220 Key Supports: 4,000 / 3,950 Potential Scenario: Price may rise toward 4,120–4,130, and if rejected, a pullback to the lower channel support is likely. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Decision Zone Ahead | Bulls Holding DemandTVC:GOLD Market Overview Gold has shown repeated rejections from the demand base, confirming aggressive buyer interest. Every retest of the yellow box created higher lows, showing accumulation before a potential expansion toward new highs. If bulls hold above 4 200, continuation toward the 4 228–4 235 zone (previous all-time-high region) is expected. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 4 218 | 🎯 Target 2 4 230 | 🎯 Target 3 4 240 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Rejection from decision zone → Retest of 4 185 then 4 165 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 4 218 – 4 230 Support 🟢 4 185 – 4 165 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by vipblueprintfx
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $4,165 in the Asian session. The chart highlights a support zone at $4,157–$4,163 and a resistance zone at $4,216–$4,221. As long as price holds above support, bulls could attempt another push toward resistance. A breakout above $4,221 would signal continuation of the rally, while a break below $4,154 could trigger a pullback. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,157–$4,163 (buy near support) Stop Loss: $4,154 Take Profit 1: $4,184 Take Profit 2: $4,216 Take Profit 3: $4,221 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 6.82 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Support Zone: $4,157–$4,163 Resistance Zone: $4,216–$4,221 Trend Bias: Bullish above $4,157 🌍 Macro Background Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally above $4,150, supported by renewed US–China trade tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer warned that President Trump could impose 100% tariffs on China as early as November 1, escalating the trade war. Meanwhile, both countries announced additional port fees on ocean shipping, turning maritime logistics into another battleground. On the monetary front, Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that the Fed is on track to deliver another 25 bps rate cut in October, with markets pricing in an additional December cut. Lower rates continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Traders will closely watch today’s Fed speakers, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, for further guidance. Any hawkish surprise could lift the USD and weigh on gold temporarily, but the broader backdrop remains supportive for safe-haven demand. 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains bullish above $4,157 support zone. Pullbacks into this zone may offer attractive buying opportunities, with upside targets at $4,184–$4,221. A break below $4,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and risk a correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold's Historic Rally: Why It HappenedGold approaches $4,500 per ounce for the first time in history. Up more than 50% in less than a year. Everyone's asking the same question: Is this a historic breakout, or the setup for a massive crash? The answer requires looking at three things: what brought us here, where we are technically, and what could go wrong. PART 1: THE MACRO STORY Gold doesn't just rally because people are "scared." It rallies because of structural shifts in how the world's largest institutions view money, risk, and trust. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Pace Here's a number that should get your attention: Central banks bought 1,045 tons of gold in 2024. That's the second-highest annual total on record. In 2025, the buying hasn't slowed down. Poland alone has accumulated 67 tons year-to-date. Turkey, India, Kazakhstan, and others are following suit. But here's what's really happening: This isn't about inflation hedging. If it were, Western central banks (US, Europe) would be buying too. They're not. Instead, emerging market central banks are diversifying away from the dollar. Why? Because they watched what happened in 2022 when the US froze Russian reserves. When you hold dollar-denominated assets, they can be weaponized. Gold can't be sanctioned. Gold can't be frozen. Central banks don't panic sell on a 5% dip. When they buy, they hold. This creates a structural price floor. Every pullback gets accumulated. What this means: Central bank buying is the foundation of this rally, not a temporary catalyst. The Federal Reserve is Cutting Interest Rates According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a level of certainty that the Fed would cut rates in October 2025, with markets pricing in another cut in December this year. When interest rates fall, something important happens to gold: its "opportunity cost" decreases. Here's the simple version: Gold pays no interest. So when bonds also pay almost nothing (after inflation), holding gold looks pretty reasonable. But when real yields are high, bonds look better and gold looks worse. Right now, the market is pricing in lower real yields ahead. That's bullish for gold. If the Fed doesn't cut as much as the market expects, that changes everything. What this means: Rate cuts fuel the rally. Geopolitical Instability & Currency Debasement Global tensions remain elevated: Middle East instability, US-China friction, and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. But that's not the real driver here. The real driver is the loss of faith in government money. Gold is at an all-time high, not just in US dollars. It's also hitting all-time highs in euros, yen, and yuan. This isn't a dollar story. This is a global reassessment of what "money" actually means. Meanwhile, the US national debt is over $35 trillion. Debt-to-GDP is at World War II levels. Other countries (Japan, Europe) are in similar situations, printing money and running massive deficits. When governments print excessively, investors need a hedge. Gold can't be printed. What this means: As long as deficits remain high and geopolitical chaos persists, gold has structural demand that goes beyond cycles. The Bottom Line Three powerful forces are all pushing in the same direction: Central banks structurally accumulating gold (de-dollarization) The Fed cutting rates (lower real yields = gold support) Global monetary instability (currency debasement = safe-haven bid) This combination hasn't existed in most traders' lifetimes. That's why this rally feels different. And why it's lasted this long.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JinDao_Tai
Gold keeps on risingHi traders, Last week gold went up, up, up and after that a downmove. The corrections on gold are very small. So it could go up again now from the bullish Daily FVG. Or next week we see a correction up and another downmove for the finish of a bigger correction. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3894 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3939 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3979 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4025 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4066 BEARISH TARGETS 3839 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3741 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3688 3648 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
35
XAUUSD Bullish Structure Break and Demand Zone Reaction Pair/Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Indicator Used: Ichimoku Cloud Structure Analysis: Market structure with BOS (Break of Structure) and CHOCH (Change of Character) Timeframe: Intraday (likely M15 or M30) 📊 Price Action Summary Initial Uptrend: The price was moving upward, creating higher highs and higher lows within a channel (highlighted in yellow). CHOCH (Change of Character): A downward move broke the short-term structure, signaling a possible shift in momentum. BOS (Break of Structure): After the CHOCH, buyers regained control and broke above previous highs, confirming bullish continuation. Demand Zone (Yellow Box): The highlighted yellow area shows a demand zone where price reacted strongly to the upside—suggesting strong buying interest. SSS (Sell-side Stop Sweep): Price took out liquidity above recent highs, likely triggering stop losses before a small retracement. Ichimoku Cloud: The price remains above the cloud, showing bullish momentum and support from the cloud area. ✅ Conclusion Trend: Bullish continuation structure Key Support Zone: 4,207–4,220 Resistance Zone: Around 4,242 Bias: Price is currently bullish, but may retest the yellow demand zone before continuing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LUCIFER_EARNING_CLUB