XAUUSD EXTENDS BULLISJH MOMENTUM TOWARDS $4350 & $4450 TARGET.Technical Overview
Current Price: $4,292.85
Support Zone: $4,000 – $4,050
Resistance Zone: $4,450 – $4,500
Trend: Bullish (ascending channel)
🔹 Chart Analysis
The price is moving steadily inside the upward channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
A short-term retracement may occur near the $4,350 zone (first target), aligning with mid-channel resistance before continuing toward the final target around $4,432–$4,450.
The market shows strong bullish candles, confirming buying pressure with limited corrective dips.
The support base near $4,150 remains strong — as long as this zone holds, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
🔹 Price Targets
First Target: $4,350
Final Target: $4,432 – $4,450
Stop-Loss (if trading): Below $4,200 (trendline support)
Trade ideas
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold), 4H timeframe — here’s the detailed breakdown 👇
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Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup — XAU/USD
Market Context
Gold has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Price has recently broken above the previous resistance zone, signaling bullish continuation.
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Key Technical Points
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Zone
The chart highlights an FVG area around 4,060–4,080, which now acts as a potential retracement zone.
Smart money often drives price back into these imbalances to mitigate orders before continuing the move up.
2. Retest Opportunity
Expect a pullback into the FVG zone, followed by bullish confirmation (rejection candle or structure shift).
This creates a high-probability long entry zone aligned with the prevailing bullish order flow.
3. Key Support Level
The 3,940–3,970 zone below acts as a major support / demand area, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
4. Target Point
The projected target point is around 4,250, based on the measured move from the FVG breakout structure.
This aligns with liquidity resting above previous highs — a likely take-profit zone for institutional traders.
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Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for price to retrace and show bullish confirmation inside the 4,060–4,080 (FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Below 4,040 (beneath imbalance / last swing low).
Take Profit: 4,250 target zone — completion of the bullish leg.
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Market Logic
This idea follows Smart Money flow principles:
Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish control.
Retracement to FVG provides a discounted entry.
Target liquidity above prior highs for exit.
--- Mr SMC Trading point
Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase — look for retracement entries into the FVG for continuation toward 4,250.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gold breaks $4,100 as JPMorgan’s Dimon hints at $10K potentialJP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon , speaking at Fortune’s Most Powerful Women conference in Washington, said there is “some logic” in holding gold even at its current record high price. He acknowledged that in the current macro environment, gold “could easily go to $5,000 or $10,000 .”
Gold reached record highs above 4,100 per ounce the past week. Dimon also cautioned that asset valuations appear “kind of high across almost everything at this point,”.
XAUUSDGold is currently trading near $4,229, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish run within a rising wedge pattern. The price has recently broken below the wedge support, and a bearish divergence is visible on the RSI, indicating weakening momentum.
🔹 Key Zone: The grey area around $4,220–$4,230 may act as a short-term retest zone.
🔹 Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the wedge support, a continuation move toward the $4,107 support zone is likely.
🔹 Further Support: Below that, next key level sits around $4,015.
🔹 Bias: Short-term bearish correction expected unless price breaks back above $4,235 with strong momentum
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Decision Zone Ahead | Bulls Holding DemandTVC:GOLD
Market Overview
Gold has shown repeated rejections from the demand base, confirming aggressive buyer interest.
Every retest of the yellow box created higher lows, showing accumulation before a potential expansion toward new highs.
If bulls hold above 4 200, continuation toward the 4 228–4 235 zone (previous all-time-high region) is expected.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 4 218 | 🎯 Target 2 4 230 | 🎯 Target 3 4 240
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Rejection from decision zone → Retest of 4 185 then 4 165
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 4 218 – 4 230
Support 🟢 4 185 – 4 165
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $4,165 in the Asian session. The chart highlights a support zone at $4,157–$4,163 and a resistance zone at $4,216–$4,221. As long as price holds above support, bulls could attempt another push toward resistance. A breakout above $4,221 would signal continuation of the rally, while a break below $4,154 could trigger a pullback.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,157–$4,163 (buy near support)
Stop Loss: $4,154
Take Profit 1: $4,184
Take Profit 2: $4,216
Take Profit 3: $4,221
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 6.82
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $4,157–$4,163
Resistance Zone: $4,216–$4,221
Trend Bias: Bullish above $4,157
🌍 Macro Background
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally above $4,150, supported by renewed US–China trade tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer warned that President Trump could impose 100% tariffs on China as early as November 1, escalating the trade war. Meanwhile, both countries announced additional port fees on ocean shipping, turning maritime logistics into another battleground.
On the monetary front, Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that the Fed is on track to deliver another 25 bps rate cut in October, with markets pricing in an additional December cut. Lower rates continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Traders will closely watch today’s Fed speakers, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, for further guidance. Any hawkish surprise could lift the USD and weigh on gold temporarily, but the broader backdrop remains supportive for safe-haven demand.
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains bullish above $4,157 support zone. Pullbacks into this zone may offer attractive buying opportunities, with upside targets at $4,184–$4,221. A break below $4,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and risk a correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders,
Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management.
If you find our analysis valuable please engage with it. Follow us for further insights.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx
XAUUSD analysis – 1H OB SetupThe overall market structure remains bullish, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, price is showing signs of a controlled pullback after a strong impulsive leg, and the most probable scenario is a retest of the 1H Order Block around 4110–4130.
That zone holds unmitigated buy orders and sits right below local equal lows — a perfect liquidity pocket before continuation.
We’ll wait for price to sweep that area and confirm a new bullish leg through a lower timeframe confirmation (BOS + FVG + OB alignment) before entering longs.
If the zone reacts cleanly, the next target will be the recent highs (around 4270–4300).
Only a clean break below 4100 would invalidate the bullish scenario for now.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Gold: Market led by fearUncertainty brought the price of gold to new all time highest level at Friday's trading session at the level of $4.380. This was the ninth consecutive week of gold gains and almost daily ATHs. Investors agree that such a behaviour of one asset is highly unusual on financial markets, and that correction eventually has to come. One technical analyst found that the similar movement occurred in 1978 with the price of gold, however, the magnitude of the uptrend is now higher. Movements from US equity markets, crypto market and gold market are just screaming that something is not right. And it is not. Uncertainties coming from switch-on-switch-off tariffs, Government which is not functioning, macro data which are not available are all situations which are highly unusual, so investors are seeking a place where to safeguard their funds. For several hundred years in the past, this safe-haven asset was gold, so it is today.
Under such circumstances technical analysis is not quite useful in order to estimate probabilities of future moves. It comes from the fact that this market is currently led by fear, and the level of fear will determine the next level of the price of gold. This market is currently not led by macro data or other relevant fundamentals, where technical analysis can provide relevant estimates. Still, a stronger pullback on Friday showed that the level of fear is slowly coming down. The price closed the week at $4.250, or 1,75% lower. At the same time we have seen some recovery on US equity markets and the crypto market. Is this the start of a major correction in the price of gold? No one knows. The week ahead will show if the level of fear is indeed coming down or it was just a Friday's short break. What is certain is that the correction will eventually come in the future, at the moment when all current uncertainties are settled.
Gold's Historic Rally: Why It HappenedGold approaches $4,500 per ounce for the first time in history. Up more than 50% in less than a year. Everyone's asking the same question: Is this a historic breakout, or the setup for a massive crash?
The answer requires looking at three things: what brought us here, where we are technically, and what could go wrong.
PART 1: THE MACRO STORY
Gold doesn't just rally because people are "scared." It rallies because of structural shifts in how the world's largest institutions view money, risk, and trust.
Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Pace
Here's a number that should get your attention: Central banks bought 1,045 tons of gold in 2024. That's the second-highest annual total on record.
In 2025, the buying hasn't slowed down. Poland alone has accumulated 67 tons year-to-date. Turkey, India, Kazakhstan, and others are following suit.
But here's what's really happening: This isn't about inflation hedging. If it were, Western central banks (US, Europe) would be buying too. They're not. Instead, emerging market central banks are diversifying away from the dollar.
Why? Because they watched what happened in 2022 when the US froze Russian reserves. When you hold dollar-denominated assets, they can be weaponized. Gold can't be sanctioned. Gold can't be frozen.
Central banks don't panic sell on a 5% dip. When they buy, they hold. This creates a structural price floor. Every pullback gets accumulated.
What this means: Central bank buying is the foundation of this rally, not a temporary catalyst.
The Federal Reserve is Cutting Interest Rates
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a level of certainty that the Fed would cut rates in October 2025, with markets pricing in another cut in December this year.
When interest rates fall, something important happens to gold: its "opportunity cost" decreases.
Here's the simple version: Gold pays no interest. So when bonds also pay almost nothing (after inflation), holding gold looks pretty reasonable. But when real yields are high, bonds look better and gold looks worse.
Right now, the market is pricing in lower real yields ahead. That's bullish for gold. If the Fed doesn't cut as much as the market expects, that changes everything.
What this means: Rate cuts fuel the rally.
Geopolitical Instability & Currency Debasement
Global tensions remain elevated: Middle East instability, US-China friction, and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. But that's not the real driver here.
The real driver is the loss of faith in government money.
Gold is at an all-time high, not just in US dollars. It's also hitting all-time highs in euros, yen, and yuan. This isn't a dollar story. This is a global reassessment of what "money" actually means.
Meanwhile, the US national debt is over $35 trillion. Debt-to-GDP is at World War II levels. Other countries (Japan, Europe) are in similar situations, printing money and running massive deficits.
When governments print excessively, investors need a hedge. Gold can't be printed.
What this means: As long as deficits remain high and geopolitical chaos persists, gold has structural demand that goes beyond cycles.
The Bottom Line
Three powerful forces are all pushing in the same direction:
Central banks structurally accumulating gold (de-dollarization)
The Fed cutting rates (lower real yields = gold support)
Global monetary instability (currency debasement = safe-haven bid)
This combination hasn't existed in most traders' lifetimes. That's why this rally feels different. And why it's lasted this long.
Gold keeps on risingHi traders,
Last week gold went up, up, up and after that a downmove. The corrections on gold are very small.
So it could go up again now from the bullish Daily FVG.
Or next week we see a correction up and another downmove for the finish of a bigger correction.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
GOLD Continue To Upside ,Should We Buy It After Great Breakout ?Here is My 30 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4059.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4059.00, and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
XAUUSD Bullish Structure Break and Demand Zone Reaction
Pair/Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Indicator Used: Ichimoku Cloud
Structure Analysis: Market structure with BOS (Break of Structure) and CHOCH (Change of Character)
Timeframe: Intraday (likely M15 or M30)
📊 Price Action Summary
Initial Uptrend:
The price was moving upward, creating higher highs and higher lows within a channel (highlighted in yellow).
CHOCH (Change of Character):
A downward move broke the short-term structure, signaling a possible shift in momentum.
BOS (Break of Structure):
After the CHOCH, buyers regained control and broke above previous highs, confirming bullish continuation.
Demand Zone (Yellow Box):
The highlighted yellow area shows a demand zone where price reacted strongly to the upside—suggesting strong buying interest.
SSS (Sell-side Stop Sweep):
Price took out liquidity above recent highs, likely triggering stop losses before a small retracement.
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price remains above the cloud, showing bullish momentum and support from the cloud area.
✅ Conclusion
Trend: Bullish continuation structure
Key Support Zone: 4,207–4,220
Resistance Zone: Around 4,242
Bias: Price is currently bullish, but may retest the yellow demand zone before continuing higher.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3894
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3939
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3979
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4025
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4066
BEARISH TARGETS
3839
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3741
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3688
3648
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX