Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/16/2025Gold went another day without much retrace for buying opportunities. It didn't touch my selling point of 4234 as well. Looking at the 1hrly TF, it seems like this yellow metal is not going to retrace either today. It could directly go up to 4239 or even 4265 and drop from there back to 4200. Let's see how the market plays out today.
Trade ideas
Gold Trade Plan 17/10/2025( Looking for 10000 Pips Profit !!!!)Dear Traders,
Gold, influenced by geopolitical factors, has continued its bullish trend without any significant correction and is currently trading around 4300. In my opinion, from this point onward, we should follow a bearish scenario — the price is expected to enter a corrective phase by the end of October. The best zone for entering a long-term position would be between 4420–4475, with a target of at least 10,000 pips from the top. There’s also a high probability that the correction will begin before reaching this zone.
Invalidation Level : 4650 !
regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD have two zones of BUYXAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern although consolidation zone from 4190-4230
What are my conditions For Today's session?
✳️ Currently market is bit tricky for scalpers and retailers
- if H1-H4 candle closes above the mentioned upper zone 4235-4245 then
My target will be $4274 & 4290 In extension !!
✳️ if Market remains low 4235 then we'll have Retracement towards 4190 in the Rangebound market
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips
OR
XAUFrom the outside looking in!!!!!
Excellence….
Weeks ended!!! All to plan zero errors!
What happens from here, I don’t care!!!! 🤷
See yous all next week. Pricing is in a blender if you tryna make moves at this point….
You missed, well…. You missed 🤣
Call it a day.
Let’s see what best week got for us!!!
Stay tuned!!!!! For some real shxt!
Jupahduhhhhh🪐
GOLD at Immediate support? Cut n reverse area??#GOLD... perfect move as per our last analysis and idea regarding Gold,
Now market made a new supporting area that is around 4308 as deep supporting area and immediate supporting area is 4324-25 now.
Keep close both areas and if market holds than we can expect further boucne.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 4308bon confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold: Go long around the 4205–4210Gold has risen for the fifth consecutive day, briefly breaking through the all-time high of 4241.99, before pulling back to around 4210 as the U.S. Dollar Index regained lost ground.
From the 4-hour chart perspective, focus on the short-term support range of 4196–4200 in the near term, with key emphasis on the critical support zone of 4160–4180. Based on its recent performance, all pullbacks are traps set by bulls. Currently, bullish momentum remains intact as prices consolidate above 4230. The only viable approach is to wait patiently for retracements before entering long positions.
For intraday gold trading, we recommend entering long positions around the 4205–4210 range, with targets set near 4230 and 4250. Given the strong bullish trend, there is no clear top in sight. Operationally, prioritize buying on dips; avoid trading in the middle range and refrain from chasing rallies recklessly. Exercise patience and wait for entries at key levels.
Buy 4205 - 4210
TP 4230 - 4250
SL 4195
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context:
Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown.
Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset.
During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154.
As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241.
Key Zones to Watch:
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242
ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200
OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139
Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.141 – 4.139
SL: 4.134
TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.114 – 4.112
SL: 4.106
TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150
🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 4.240 – 4.242
SL: 4.248
TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200
Summary:
The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone.
Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand.
Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions.
📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
Sell the Rip, Buy the Dip —Double Profit on Gold’s MoveGold currently hit a high of around 4218 and is currently retreating slightly. However, it quickly rebounded to above 4200 after just retreating to around 4164. It can be clearly seen that it is still far from the level of panic selling, so the current retreat is only regarded as a healthy technical retreat.
The market has a high degree of recognition and participation in the current continued rise in gold prices, and expectations for a pullback in the short term should not be too large. With the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, and the resonance of news and technical factors, the market's bullish sentiment is high. It is not ruled out that every effective technical pullback in gold is a good time to participate in long trading.
Judging from the current morphological structure, gold is under pressure from the resistance zone of the trend channel and has not been able to stand above 4200 in the short term. There is a technical need for a retracement, so gold is likely to continue to fall and test the support of the 4155-4145 area. If gold fails to fall below this support area during its downward exploration, gold may continue to rebound based on this support area and hit the area around 4230.
So for short-term trading:
1. First, we can try shorting gold in the 4185-4195 area, initially targeting the 4160-4150 area.
2. After gold retraces to the 4155-4145 area, we can try going long again, initially targeting the 4200-4210 area.
We first consider shorting gold, and after gold effectively retreats, we will wait for an opportunity to go long on gold. In this way, we can capture every volatile profit as much as possible and avoid profit loss!
XAU/USD 20 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys,
Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you.
These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching:
🔵SELL level: 4285.9
🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 4264.8
🟢 TP2: 4232.1
🟢 TP3: 4185.0
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05
If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
The Market is a Mirror — Not a Battlefield“Most traders fight the market.
The wise quietly observe — and realize they were fighting themselves.”
Every trader begins with the same illusion:
That the market is an opponent.
That success means winning against it.
But the truth is deeper — and quieter.
The market doesn’t fight you, test you, or trick you.
It simply reflects you : your fear, greed, patience, and discipline.
Why Most Traders Struggle?
When you call the market your enemy, you create conflict.
You start reacting emotionally to every candle.
You chase wins to heal your losses.
You overtrade to prove your worth.
And every chart becomes a battlefield of ego.
The Mirror View
Every loss points to your impatience.
Every missed entry points to your need for control.
Every winning trade tests your ability to stay humble.
That’s not punishment — it’s reflection.
When you begin to see this, your mindset changes:
You stop forcing trades.
You stop fighting.
You start listening.
How to Practice This
Pause before every trade and ask: “What am I feeling?”
Journal not just your entries, but your state of mind.
Watch your reactions more than your P&L.
Let silence between trades sharpen your awareness.
Trading mastery isn’t found on the chart —
It’s found in the mirror .
The moment you stop fighting the market,
you begin to understand it.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
If this perspective resonates with you, share your reflection below —
What do you see in your market mirror?
Gold: Today's predictions and operations have been verified👏Today, our predictions and operations for gold have been verified by the market. We accurately predicted key price levels and risks, and avoided potential losses from the decline in advance:
✔1-Trend Direction Prediction: We clearly stated that "if gold breaks below $4,280 today, it will trigger a further decline". The subsequent market trend was consistent with this judgment—after touching the key support level, gold fluctuated downward as expected.
✔2-Risk Factor Prediction: We took into account the market characteristic of "traders closing positions early to exit on Fridays" in advance, and predicted that the superposition of multiple factors would make the downward trend uncontrollable. The subsequent market sentiment and fluctuation rhythm confirmed this risk.
✔3-Effectiveness of Operational Decisions: We reminded everyone early to "take profits in advance around $4,350 and stop trading", which successfully helped avoid the potential margin call losses caused by the subsequent uncontrolled trend. This decision was fully in line with the market trend.
🎉Today, we have successfully concluded this week’s trading and work. Next week, we will continue to provide you with more accurate market interpretations and operation references from a professional analytical perspective. Finally, we wish you all a relaxing and pleasant weekend in advance!
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.
XAU.usd watch $4313-39: Gold about to hit Double Golden fibsGold continues its relentless climb into new highs.
Nearing Double Golden fibs at $4313.98 - 4339.07
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest entries.
IF there is a top anywhere near here,
then THIS will be the ideal spot for it.
.
See "Related Pubications" for previous plots such as this PERFECT DIP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Gold shows strength again on Monday💎Gold has broken through the previous high of 4059, and the strong bullish momentum continues. Every Monday sees a sharp rise,those who review historical market data will notice this cyclical pattern.
📈Today, as a Monday, gold is surging toward the key 4100 level. Amid such a strong bull trend, any attempt to predict the peak will be crushed by the trend itself. Investors who fail to understand the principle of "trading with the trend" are bound to end up with disastrous results.
📈After breaking above 4080 today, the upward room has opened up again. Focus on the 4125-4170 range on the upside, as this is the extended target zone following the breakout. Given the current volatility, gold may even reach this range in a single trading day. The market is currently in a state of bullish enthusiasm, and we remain bullish on the trend. However, we must also guard against correction risks and adhere to the strategy of "being bullish but not blindly chasing upward moves." It is advisable to let the market develop further; a pullback to form a low will also provide a defensive entry point.
Buy 3080 - 3085
TP 4000 - 4010
SL 3075
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD Technical Analysis: Golden Crossroads at 4,246.86Executive Summary (1D & 4H Timeframes):
Gold is at a critical juncture. The daily chart reveals a battle between a dominant Head and Shoulders top pattern and a potential Elliott Wave 4 corrective pullback. The neckline at 4,220 is the line in the sand. A decisive break below confirms the H&S pattern, targeting 4,150. However, the 4H chart shows consolidation above this level, with the 200-EMA (4,235) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement providing immediate support. The RSI is bearish but not oversold, suggesting room for a move in either direction. The overarching trend from the last major low remains intact until 4,220 gives way.
Swing Trading Strategy (4H/Daily):
BEARISH SCENARIO (Below 4,220 ): Sell on a confirmed break and close below 4,220. Initial Target: 4,180 (H&S Measured Move). Final Target: 4,150. Stop Loss: 4,265 (above recent swing high).
BULLISH SCENARIO (Above 4,265 ): A hold above 4,235 (200-EMA) and a break above 4,265 invalidates the immediate bearish structure, targeting a retest of 4,300. Buy on a bullish reversal candle above 4,235. Stop Loss: 4,210 .
Intraday Trading Plan (1H/30M/15M):
SHORT SETUP: Look for price rejection at the 4,255 - 4,260 resistance zone (aligned with 4H VWAP and 50-EMA) with bearish candlestick confirmation (e.g., Bearish Engulfing). Sell Entry: 4,255. Target 1: 4,240. Target 2: 4,225. Stop Loss: 4,268.
LONG SETUP: Only valid if price holds above 4,235 and shows strength. A bounce from 4,235-4,240 with a bullish candle (Hammer, Bullish Engulfing) offers a long opportunity. Buy Entry: 4,238. Target 1: 4,255. Target 2: 4,265. Stop Loss: 4,225.
Key Market Drivers & Alerts:
Geopolitical & Macro Watch: Monitor USD strength (DXY) and real yields. Any escalation in global tensions could trigger a safe-haven rush, invalidating technical bearishness.
Indicator Cluster: The convergence of the 200-EMA, Fibonacci support, and the H&S neckline creates a high-probability zone for the next significant move.
Final Word:
The path of least resistance is bearish below 4,220. Intraday traders can fade rallies towards 4,255-4,260, while swing traders await the decisive break. Always manage risk; a close above 4,265 flips the script to bullish.
Trade safe and follow the price action. Like and follow for continued high-quality analysis!
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold surged to a fresh record near $4,380 before retracing lower, now consolidating around $4,320–$4,330. The support zone sits at $4,301–$4,290, while the resistance zone is located at $4,368–$4,377. Price action shows a sharp pullback from highs, but bulls still hold ground above the key support. A rebound scenario could see a push back toward the resistance, while a decisive break below $4,285 would invalidate the bullish setup.
🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: $4,301–$4,290 (near consolidation & above support)
Stop Loss: $4,285
Take Profit 1: $4,350
Take Profit 2: $4,368
Take Profit 3: $4,377
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 4.91
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,350 / $4,368 / $4,377
Support: $4,301 / $4,290
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains supported by Fed rate cut bets, US-China trade frictions, and prolonged US government shutdown fears.
Fed Policy: Powell and Waller signalled two more cuts this year, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
US-China Tensions: Additional port fees and tariff threats fuel safe-haven demand.
US Government Shutdown: Entering its third week, weighing on the USD and indirectly boosting gold.
Geopolitics: Some easing in Ukraine risks could cap upside, but macro drivers remain gold-positive.
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend despite intraday corrections. A long setup near $4,301–$4,290 with stops under $4,285 offers a favourable risk-reward toward $4,368–$4,377. Safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations continue to support bullish momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
October 19th Gold Weekly ReviewOctober 19th Gold Weekly Review
In-Depth Analysis of the Gold Market | Technical Correction and Trend Outlook After Reaching a Record High
I. Core Market Review
Milestone Breakthrough: Spot gold hit a record high of $4,380 on Friday (October 17th), with its total market capitalization exceeding $30 trillion for the first time, highlighting global capital demand for safe-haven assets.
Technical Pullback: Gold prices subsequently retreated to around $4,220, with a single-day fluctuation exceeding $190, primarily due to a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking, but the weekly chart still recorded its ninth consecutive week of gains.
II. Analysis of Multiple Driving Factors
1. Macroeconomic Policy Support
Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The market is betting on 25 basis point rate cuts in October and December, respectively (with a 96.8% and 81.3% probability). The low interest rate environment continues to weaken the dollar's appeal.
Increasing Fiscal Risks: The continued US government shutdown and regional bank risk events (Zions Bancorp and Western Union Bank) are fueling risk aversion.
2. Geopolitical Tensions
Trade Friction Escalates: Trump's tariff rhetoric and countermeasures against China on rare earth metals have raised uncertainty, but expectations of a high-level meeting have temporarily eased market anxiety.
Global Growth Concerns: Under the dual pressures of the trade deadlock and geopolitical conflicts, demand for gold as the "ultimate safe-haven asset" has surged.
III. In-Depth Technical Analysis
Trend Positioning
Long-Term Pattern: The daily moving average system is bullish, and the $30 trillion market capitalization confirms structural capital inflows, maintaining the bull market's foundation.
Short-Term Adjustment: The 4-hour RSI has retreated from the overbought zone to 53, and the price is testing support at the 21-period moving average ($4,230), indicating a healthy technical correction.
Key Price Levels
Resistance: $4275-4280 (Neckline Conversion), $4379 (All-Time High)
Support: $4180-4160 (Bull Resistance), $4090 (Key Level for Deep Pullbacks)
Market Signals
The 4-hour chart shows a double top formation at $4379. If it falls below the $4180 support level, a deep pullback to the $4090 area could occur.
If it holds above $4230 at the beginning of the week and reclaims $4280, the uptrend is expected to resume, with a target of $4500.
IV. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Guide
Operational Logic
Primary Strategy: Short positions in batches upon a rebound to the $4275-4280 area, with a stop-loss of $8 and a target of $4230-4180.
Secondary Strategy: After a pullback to the $4175-4180 area and stabilization, try a small long position with a stop-loss of $8 and a target of $4230-4250.
Risk Management Key Points
Position Management: Open a single position ≤ 20% of your total position to avoid excessive risk exposure;
Stop-loss Discipline: Strictly set physical stop-losses to guard against unilateral fluctuations;
Cycle Adaptation: Short-term traders focus on 4-hour momentum, while medium- and long-term investors focus on the integrity of the daily trend.
V. Response Plans for Special Market Conditions
Position Unwinding Recommendations
Deeply trapped positions (>$100): If a trend reversal signal is confirmed, decisively reduce your position and stop loss, freeing up funds to participate in rebound opportunities;
Shallowly trapped positions (<$30): Use support/resistance levels to cover your position to increase the average price, or hedge and lock in your position to wait for a technical correction.
Beginner's Guide
Avoid blindly chasing gains and losses; instead, consider trading based on fundamental and technical signals.
For first-time traders, a three-step transition model is recommended: simulated trading, light positions, and regular copy trading.
VI. Market Outlook
Despite short-term technical correction pressure, the three core drivers of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, global debt inflation, and the normalization of geopolitical risks continue to support the long-term bull market for gold. Investors should focus on the defensive strength of the 4180-4160 area. If effective support forms here, gold prices could potentially reach a new high of $4,500.
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