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Pressure Building!Gold's sideways move the past four months is finally about to change, the longer the sideways move, the bigger the resulting move, each small pullback flushed out the weak hands, some calling to short gold. We are in a clear wave four correction, wave five up will follow, in precious metals, wave fives are the most dramatic. Our target is $4000, could go even higher and overshoot to $4200ish...by October/November. The Dow is very bullish at this time as the final rally concludes. Appreciate a thumbs up, Good trading and God Bless you all!
TVC:GOLD
by Fractal777
14
October 19th Gold Weekly ReviewOctober 19th Gold Weekly Review In-Depth Analysis of the Gold Market | Technical Correction and Trend Outlook After Reaching a Record High I. Core Market Review Milestone Breakthrough: Spot gold hit a record high of $4,380 on Friday (October 17th), with its total market capitalization exceeding $30 trillion for the first time, highlighting global capital demand for safe-haven assets. Technical Pullback: Gold prices subsequently retreated to around $4,220, with a single-day fluctuation exceeding $190, primarily due to a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking, but the weekly chart still recorded its ninth consecutive week of gains. II. Analysis of Multiple Driving Factors 1. Macroeconomic Policy Support Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The market is betting on 25 basis point rate cuts in October and December, respectively (with a 96.8% and 81.3% probability). The low interest rate environment continues to weaken the dollar's appeal. Increasing Fiscal Risks: The continued US government shutdown and regional bank risk events (Zions Bancorp and Western Union Bank) are fueling risk aversion. 2. Geopolitical Tensions Trade Friction Escalates: Trump's tariff rhetoric and countermeasures against China on rare earth metals have raised uncertainty, but expectations of a high-level meeting have temporarily eased market anxiety. Global Growth Concerns: Under the dual pressures of the trade deadlock and geopolitical conflicts, demand for gold as the "ultimate safe-haven asset" has surged. III. In-Depth Technical Analysis Trend Positioning Long-Term Pattern: The daily moving average system is bullish, and the $30 trillion market capitalization confirms structural capital inflows, maintaining the bull market's foundation. Short-Term Adjustment: The 4-hour RSI has retreated from the overbought zone to 53, and the price is testing support at the 21-period moving average ($4,230), indicating a healthy technical correction. Key Price Levels Resistance: $4275-4280 (Neckline Conversion), $4379 (All-Time High) Support: $4180-4160 (Bull Resistance), $4090 (Key Level for Deep Pullbacks) Market Signals The 4-hour chart shows a double top formation at $4379. If it falls below the $4180 support level, a deep pullback to the $4090 area could occur. If it holds above $4230 at the beginning of the week and reclaims $4280, the uptrend is expected to resume, with a target of $4500. IV. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Guide Operational Logic Primary Strategy: Short positions in batches upon a rebound to the $4275-4280 area, with a stop-loss of $8 and a target of $4230-4180. Secondary Strategy: After a pullback to the $4175-4180 area and stabilization, try a small long position with a stop-loss of $8 and a target of $4230-4250. Risk Management Key Points Position Management: Open a single position ≤ 20% of your total position to avoid excessive risk exposure; Stop-loss Discipline: Strictly set physical stop-losses to guard against unilateral fluctuations; Cycle Adaptation: Short-term traders focus on 4-hour momentum, while medium- and long-term investors focus on the integrity of the daily trend. V. Response Plans for Special Market Conditions Position Unwinding Recommendations Deeply trapped positions (>$100): If a trend reversal signal is confirmed, decisively reduce your position and stop loss, freeing up funds to participate in rebound opportunities; Shallowly trapped positions (<$30): Use support/resistance levels to cover your position to increase the average price, or hedge and lock in your position to wait for a technical correction. Beginner's Guide Avoid blindly chasing gains and losses; instead, consider trading based on fundamental and technical signals. For first-time traders, a three-step transition model is recommended: simulated trading, light positions, and regular copy trading. VI. Market Outlook Despite short-term technical correction pressure, the three core drivers of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, global debt inflation, and the normalization of geopolitical risks continue to support the long-term bull market for gold. Investors should focus on the defensive strength of the 4180-4160 area. If effective support forms here, gold prices could potentially reach a new high of $4,500. If you're facing: 🔴 Deeply trapped positions and feeling overwhelmed 🔴 Repeated losses and a lack of a trading system 🔴 Missing out on key market opportunities 👉 Please send a private message with "Solution" to receive: Account Diagnostic Report Personalized Trading Plan Next Week's Key Gold Trading Positions Professionalism Makes Trading Simple | We Focus on Building a Sustainable Profitable System
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by gold_liz
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold? Hello traders community, XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems to have no end, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital. This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave. 📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow The market is being driven by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven. Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" are the most notable highlights. While XAUUSD continuously peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historical high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level is breached, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow towards Gold. "Doping Boost" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the US government facing a potential shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates to support the slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets. Global Uncertainty: Not to mention the trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions. In a risk-laden environment, Gold is always the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure. Ascending Channel: Price is moving very disciplined within a steep ascending channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area. Main Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and old structural zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for pullbacks to join the main trend. Resistance and "Breakout": Price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up further upside potential, aiming for higher liquidity zones. Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone for Sellers and also the expansion target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may emerge. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Watch for buying opportunities when price pulls back to key support zones. Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance areas. Scenario 1: Buy the Trend (Priority) 📈 Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400. Scenario 2: Sell the Rally (High Risk) 📉 Entry Zone: Watch for selling at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470. Stop Loss: $4476. Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388. Summary Gold's rally is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although prices are in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is entirely accurate at this moment. Minor pullbacks, potentially to the EMA or lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day! Follow me for the earliest strategies
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Uptrend Intact: Gold Eyes 4,400 After Sharp Pullback1. Market Overview After reaching a new all-time high at 4,382, gold experienced a sharp correction down to 4,279, a drop of more than 100 USD/oz in a short time. However, strong dip-buying demand quickly emerged, helping the price rebound and trade back around 4,375, indicating that bullish sentiment remains dominant in the market. The main drivers are expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates earlier than expected, along with rising geopolitical tensions between major economies — reinforcing gold’s status as a safe-haven asset. 2. Technical Analysis • Immediate Resistance: 4,382 – 4,390 (all-time high) • Near-term Support: 4,340 – 4,320 • Major Support: 4,279 (recent correction low) • EMA 50–100: Still trending upward, confirming that the main trend remains bullish. • RSI (H1/H4): The overbought condition has been temporarily relieved after the correction, suggesting room for a new upward leg if price holds above 4,340. 3. Outlook Gold is currently consolidating after a correction phase. If the price remains steady above 4,340, it is likely to continue toward 4,400 – 4,420. Conversely, a break below 4,320 may trigger short-term profit-taking pressure. 4. Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,348 – 4,342 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4,335 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4,425 – 4,428 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4,431
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Breaks Out Above 4270, Targeting 43301️⃣ Market Overview During the U.S. session, gold (XAU/USD) surged sharply, breaking above the key resistance zone of 4270–4280 and reaching 4323, its highest level of the week. The main drivers were a weaker U.S. dollar and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates sooner than anticipated. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Trump’s latest remarks on Ukraine have strengthened safe-haven demand for gold. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis • Main trend: Strong uptrend, breakout from the 4250–4280 consolidation zone • Resistance: 4330 – 4345 – 4360 • Support: 4290 – 4275 – 4250 • EMA20 (H1): Strong upward slope, acting as dynamic support • RSI (H1): Around 68, showing continued bullish momentum with a possible short-term correction • Candlestick pattern: A bullish engulfing on the H4 timeframe confirms continuation of the uptrend. 3️⃣ Outlook The current rally shows that buyers remain firmly in control, though after a strong breakout, gold may experience a technical pullback to 4290–4300 before advancing further toward 4330–4345. As long as the price holds above 4290, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. 4️⃣ Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4299 – 4302 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4295 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4330 – 4333 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4337
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Healthy PullbackGold is taking a short breather after a strong rally. Price recently tapped near the $4,230 zone before showing its first meaningful pullback in days. The 33 EMA (pink line) is acting as dynamic support, if the price holds above it, we could see another leg higher toward the $4,280–$4,320 range. However, if that level breaks cleanly, the next strong demand sits around $4,020, where both the 100 EMA and previous accumulation zone align. In simple terms, this is a healthy correction within a bullish trend. A bounce from either the 33 EMA or 100 EMA could easily trigger the next push upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by unichartz
XAUUSDGold on the 30-minute timeframe. The chart illustrates a bullish trend with a rising trendline supporting price action. A potential pullback zone is marked around the 4,290 level, suggesting a retracement before a possible continuation upward toward the 4,380 resistance area, highlighted by a shaded blue zone. The chart analysis indicates a buy setup after a corrective dip, aligning with trendline support. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pintu_sahu01
Gold squeeze.. breakout pending. We are currently seeing gold getting squeezed in this ascending wedge. A break either way could see impressive moves.. ill be waiting for confirmation on a breakout trade. If we break down corrections as we have see recently can be quick but large. We we break up its more of a steady move but fairly consistent. Recently we have only made higher lows, ill be looking for a change of character in price action where we get a lower low, a pullback up and then a break below that new lower low.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by donkeykongshlong
2
Xau/Usd- Technical Outlook Range Bound with Breakout PotentialCurrent Price Movement: The price is fluctuating just above the Support zone (marked in gray) and near the Resistance zone (marked in green). It’s oscillating between these two zones, suggesting a consolidation phase or a potential breakout. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance is indicated by the green area, where price has previously faced upward rejection. If the price breaks this resistance level, it could signify further bullish movement. Support is marked by the gray area, suggesting that if the price drops to this level, it has historically found buying interest, preventing further downward movement. Price Target: The chart marks target points above and below the current price levels. The arrows indicate expected price movement. The top arrow suggests an upward target if the price breaks above resistance, while the bottom arrow indicates a downward target if the price falls through support. Trend Indication: There is a slight upward trend in the price, as seen in the shape of the moving averages. This could indicate bullish momentum, but the market remains in a range (bound by support and resistance). Key Focus for Traders: Traders should monitor if the price breaks through the resistance or support levels. A breakout from the range could lead to a sharp move in the direction of the breakout. Depending on how the price reacts at the support and resistance levels. Keep an eye on the breakout direction to confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Hamza_Gold
Is Gold XAUUSD due for a Retrace? VWAP & Volume Profile Plan🏆 Gold (XAUUSD) Market Update 🏆 Gold (XAUUSD) has rallied strongly and is now pushing into new highs 📈. In my view, price looks overextended — when applying the VWAP indicator, we can clearly see that price has stretched three deviations away from VWAP ⚖️. I’m also analyzing the Volume Profile to identify value areas that could serve as key support zones on any retracement 🔍. While my overall bias remains bullish, I’d like to see price return to equilibrium — roughly the 50% retrace of the recent price swing (on the 4-hour timeframe, measured from the order block low) 📊. Additionally, I’m observing a potential Three-Drive Pattern forming, which could hint at a short-term correction before any continuation higher 🔄. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
Gold Reached Its Final Peak? A 50-Year Cycle May End Here🟡 Gold Macro Structure — The End of a 50-Year Bullish Epoch Symbol: XAU/USD (OANDA Data) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly Candles) Published by: Ping Tech Academy 🕰️ The Story of Gold — Between Faith, Fear, and Cycles Gold has never been just a commodity — it is the mirror of human belief in value. When trust in fiat weakens, gold rises; when confidence returns, it retreats. Since the dollar was detached from gold in December 1971, every cycle has reflected the rhythm of fear and faith across the global economy. Now, after more than half a century of expansion, gold stands at what appears to be the final chapter of its generational bull cycle. 🔹 Historical Context (1971–2009) From December 1st, 1971, gold traded within a long-term ascending channel, with its lower boundary near $43.50 and its upper boundary reaching around $1,195.40. That upper structure was broken and retested on November 2nd, 2009, marking the beginning of a new macro bullish channel that defined the modern era of gold movement. 🔹 The Second Channel (2005–2024) The base of the current macro structure was established on July 1st, 2005, at $417.90, while its top expanded to around $2,663.50, reached on September 2nd, 2024. This high was broken and retested — a textbook continuation signal — leading gold to its recent peak near $4,165 (October 2025). ⚠️ Critical Resistance Zone — Structural Completion Based on price symmetry and long-term channel geometry, gold has reached its final structural target of the 50-year ascending cycle: 📍 $4,166.66 (OANDA XAU/USD) Allowing for a technical deviation, the potential reversal range stands between: 📉 $4,166.66 – $4,294.43 This area represents a major exhaustion zone, likely to act as the macro top of the cycle before a multi-year correction begins. 🧭 Long-Term Downside Targets (Macro Correction Path) If the market confirms rejection within the 4.16–4.29k range, the following structural targets may unfold sequentially: $3,940 $3,730 $3,415 $3,072 $2,791 → Key Level $2,535 → Critical Foundation Zone 🔹 This region is viewed as the potential final structural base for gold — a level where a new long-term accumulation phase could begin. However, breaking below $2,535 would indicate the start of a deep macro revaluation, potentially driving gold to unexpectedly low levels, but such a move would likely require a period of global economic stability and geopolitical peace — a rare alignment that historically marks the end of systemic fear cycles. $2,438 $2,227 $2,089 → Final macro target if bearish continuation persists 🧠 Market Psychology & Cyclic Behavior Each gold supercycle follows a familiar psychological rhythm: Accumulation (Smart Money Phase): Institutions accumulate quietly when sentiment is exhausted and prices are undervalued. Expansion (Public Awareness): Momentum builds; narratives like inflation, rate cuts, or war become surface-level catalysts. Euphoria (Public Participation): Retail investors flood in at new highs, while institutions distribute positions into strength. Distribution → Correction: Price weakens, volatility expands, optimism fades — the new cycle begins where fear returns. Gold currently displays late-euphoria characteristics, suggesting the distribution phase of the macro cycle is well underway. 🧩 Conclusion Gold appears to be completing a 50-year structural expansion that began in 1971 — a cycle that reshaped global perceptions of value. While minor overshoots beyond $4,294 remain possible, the risk-to-reward profile now favors defensive or profit-taking strategies. A multi-year corrective phase is expected before a new generational accumulation begins. ⚖️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All price levels and projections are based on historical modeling and macro-technical analysis. Financial markets involve risk — past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct independent analysis or consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📘 Ping Tech Academy “Trade Smart. Trade Fearless.” © 2025 – All Rights Reserved.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PingTechAcademy