GOLD PLAN TODAY | BULLISH TREND | XAUUSD OCT 17.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 17 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Market Structure Overview
🔤On H1–H4, gold remains in a strong bullish structure, forming continuous BOS (Break of Structure) → clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
🔤The most recent FVG around 4325–4335 has already been tapped, showing that institutional demand is still holding.
🔤The 4220–4240 zone stands out as the main demand + FVG area, likely to act as major support if price retraces deeper
💡 Trading Plan
🔼 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation Buy
🔤 Conditions: Wait for a small retracement toward FVG 4330–4340, then a bullish CHoCH on M5/M15 to confirm buyers’ defense.
🔤 Entry: 4333–4336
🔤 Reasoning: The last BOS remains intact; structure is bullish. A continuation setup aligned with smart money flow — low-risk, trend-following.
🔼 Scenario 2 – Deep Pullback Buy (Liquidity Sweep)
🔤 Conditions: If price sweeps below 4300, tapping into Demand + FVG 4275–4285, and forms a CHoCH bullish signal.
🔤 Entry: 4280–4285
🔤 Reasoning: This is the area where institutional orders likely remain open — a premium entry for patient traders waiting for confirmation.
🔽 Scenario 3 – Short-Term Sell (Liquidity Grab Short)
🔤 Conditions: If price spikes into 4400–4420 (supply zone), forms a bearish CHoCH on M15/H1, and leaves a small FVG down.
🔤 Entry: 4405–4415
🔤 Reasoning: This zone could act as short-term distribution before the next leg up — a scalp or intraday short setup only.
Trade ideas
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3907 and a gap below at 3880. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold in consolidation before another push higherGold is consolidating between 4120 and 4155. An hourly candle close above 4155 can take us to 4180, 4190 and 4200 next.
Be cautious and have a smaller position since Gold is a bit over-extended in the short term. However, it still has a bullish outlook in 2025 and 2026. Analysts indicate it will reach $5,000/oz by the end of 2026. I am watching signs for a correction within the next 2 weeks before another push higher. Corrections will be a great opportunity for buy setups.
SINAL TYPE BUY GOLD ASSETBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry: Active
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
XAUUSD – Structure Holds, Buyers in Control | Bullish OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Continuation Update | Post-$4,000 Breakout 🚀
Five days ago, I shared my bullish setup on Gold calling for continuation above the $4,000 mark and it played out perfectly.
Price didn’t just hold it exploded past the $4,000 ATH and reached as high as $4,165, fully validating the Trendline + FVG Rejection + Volume Confirmation strategy.
Now, the market continues to show strong bullish momentum:
• Price keeps rejecting from multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), confirming clear buyer dominance and well-structured continuation.
• Volatility remains elevated, with the main trendline still acting as a powerful dynamic support, guiding the move upward.
• Volume expansion during rallies signals that institutional money remains active on the buy side.
As long as Gold holds above the 3,950–3,980 zone, my bias stays firmly bullish.
The previous upside target of 4,080–4,150 has been reached and I now expect further extension toward 4,220–4,300, possibly even new record highs into year-end if macro conditions stay supportive.
From a broader perspective, with rising rate-cut expectations, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and softer USD flows, the environment continues to favor Gold’s strength into Q4 2025.
I anticipate a record-breaking year-end close, with Gold likely testing higher territory as investors seek safety and yield alternatives.
Macro factors dovish Fed tone, geopolitical risks, and softer USD continue to support the move.
Bias: 🔺 Bullish | Setup: Trendline + FVG rejections + Volume confirmation
Next Move Possibilities, Can Gold move till 4300..Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is Flying at the All Time High (ATH). According to the gold structure it is strong bullish so it is possible that it can tested the below support areas. Gold can retest the support area around 4220/4208 and then it will fly further high.. In condition gold break support then it will reach the major support around 4185/4176.. Gold will fly till the first target 4260 and then will reach the second target around 4300..
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 4236
1stTarget 4260
2nd Target 4300
Support area 4220/4208
Major Support 4185/4176
Farewell to 4200 — The 4300 Era Begins!Gold has currently reached a high near 4295, just shy of 4300. Given the current upward momentum, it's easy for gold to continue its upward trend and test 4300. Because gold continues to hit new highs and break through the trend channel, there's currently no clear resistance zone above it, making it difficult to enter a short position in gold. Furthermore, a break above 4300 could significantly ignite bullish market sentiment and increase expectations for continued gold gains, pushing the price higher.
Therefore, we're primarily focusing on relatively significant support areas below. As gold's center of gravity continues to shift upward, its lows are gradually rising. Short-term support is concentrated in the 4265-4255 area, while further strong support lies in the 4240-4230 area. These two areas will be the long entry areas that we will focus on next.
Therefore, in short-term trading:
1. If gold first retreats to the 4265-4255 area, we can consider starting a long position in gold.
2. If gold continues to retreat to the 4240-4230 area, we can consider increasing our long position in gold.
3. If you still want to try to profit from the pullback, you can consider shorting gold in the 4298-4308 area. You must set a protection level (SL: 4300-4310) for counter-trend trading.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
💬 Like & Follow for real-time updates and in-depth gold insights.
📈 Follow me for real-time gold insights &to my traders' channel for exclusive setups in bio!
XAU asiaAlrighty, $4191 has been the biggest hurdle for gold recently. In & out this handle constantly since TP/first interactions…
Today I’m looking for Uncle Ling the plug to launch us out this area settling above $4233 where this will play crucial to delivering full target of $4318
OR a nose dive back into $4140s.
Major point of interest will be $4191 and should be tracked on a 4h closure…
Hopefully NY has tagged this area enough to let Asia set the bar… again!!!
Zero tolerance here. I wouldn’t want to see any pricing below $4170.
Let’s Goooo Traders!!!! 🤝🏾
10.17 Gold Short-Term Operation Technical Guide!!!Recently, as the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has become more and more intense, and there is an expectation of an increase, the loose atmosphere, coupled with the expectation of inflation and the impact of the economic and trade turmoil, gold has once again become the darling of the market. Every day, it witnesses new highs in history, and the trend has become more and more crazy. There is no top in sight, and it is also impossible to say when a dive will come. Today, the Asian session hit a high near 4378 and then fell back quickly to touch around 4278, a range of US$100, and then quickly rebounded to above 4370 again. Subsequently, the European session jumped back and forth. Today, Friday, we need to be wary of the possible profit-taking trend in the market. In terms of operation, the rebound depends on shorting at 4360/70, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 4300. If it falls below 4300, we will see adjustments. Otherwise, we will continue to see bullish fluctuations if it falls back.
Gold price analysis October 15GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still with the buyers
Gold prices continue to maintain an impressive upward momentum and are currently trading around the historical peak (ATH). The upward momentum is still very strong, showing that the buyers are completely in control of the market.
In that context, every correction in today's session can be seen as a great opportunity to "catch the wave" following the main trend.
Trading strategy:
Priority: Only wait for BUY
BUY Trigger: When the price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 and 4145
Target: 4230
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the "buy the dip" strategy is still the most reasonable choice.
This is a professional critique that focuses on the facts.XAUUSD
XAUUSD is showing a scalp setup on the 15M chart, but I am advising caution on this long signal.
My Analysis:
· Unreliable Support: The proposed long entry zone around 4100 lacks confluence and does not appear to be a structurally strong support level on higher timeframes. Entering here carries a high risk of a false breakout.
· Lack of Higher TF Confluence: The 15M chart is noisy. Before taking any scalp, it's crucial to check the higher timeframes (H1/H4). The broader trend may not support this long bias.
· Risk vs. Reward: A 20-pip scalp target is minimal and requires a very high win rate to be profitable, especially when the foundational level is weak.
Conclusion: I am avoiding this long position. A safer approach would be to wait for a confirmed bullish rejection at a more significant support level or for the H1/H4 trend to align.
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#Gold #XAUUSD #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement
XAUUSD Short ideaOutlook:
The technical setup suggests XAU/USD is primed for a pullback to $3,950-$4,000 this week, driven by overbought conditions, resistance rejection, and potential profit-taking. A deeper correction to $3,900 or $3,830 is possible if $4,000 breaks, particularly with options-driven volatility or a stronger DXY. However, the broader uptrend remains intact, supported by long-term bullish factors (e.g., central bank buying, debt concerns). Traders should monitor $4,125 for a potential trend resumption and $4,060-$4,000 for support. Key catalysts like U.S. economic data or geopolitical updates could amplify moves, so stay alert for volatility.
Gold flying further high, Next move till 4240..Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is flying high and high and now currently it has break the resistance and now forming more bullish candles.. the level of resistance is 4180/4169.. according to me Gold will move further high because going with trend is more better then go against the trend. Gold will move further high till the target area around 4240.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 4184
Target 4240
Stop Loss 4165
Resistance 4180/4179
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Gold could hit $5k before this year is over. I have marked my area to watch. We have no news today or tomorrow. I can see the potential of some quick, 50 pip scalp trades in either direction. I am watching the 4 hour and 1 hour chart. And as we get closer to the NY open, I will be monitoring the various time frames and will post if I get into a trade. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
Profit Both Ways — Double the Trades, Double the Thrill !After gold hit above 4210, it showed obvious signs of stagflation. First, after gold touched around 4218, it retreated to around 4164; secondly, after gold touched around 4212 during the rebound, it retreated again to around 4179.While the two pullbacks were limited, they also indicate that after gold's strong rally, the market is beginning to diverge and diverge.
We can use the ABC rule to determine the position of D. Based on the chart composition, D is around 4160. That is to say, in the short term, gold has the need to retreat to around 4160 again, and this area is also a strong defense line for bulls. If this defense area is broken, gold may continue its downward trend and test the bull-bear dividing line of 4140-4130.
So after a clear rejection signal appears, I think we can continue to try to short gold in the 4205-4215 area. The retracement target area is first located in the 4180-4160 area; and once gold retreats to the 4160-4150 area, we can wait for an opportunity to rejoin the gold long trade!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That didn't go to badly! We wanted price to attempt that low, give us the push up and although we had highlighted a little higher, the red box did not break and our hot spot gave a lovely RIP from the level. We then broke the 4030 level at the bias and completed all the bias level targets.
I would love to say we caught the top, but is this the top?
For now, we have support at the 3950 level and below that 3930. If we get a continuation downside, we will be looking below for a potential long, otherwise, upside into 3990 levels is important for the break. I would like to see more downside here at least to target the daily mean which is well overdue.
Price: 4039
RED BOXES:
Break above 4047 for 4050✅, 4055✅, 4061, 4075 and 4085 in extension of the move
Break below 4030 for 4020✅, 4010✅, 4006✅, 3997✅, 3980✅ and 3977✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG