XAU/USD/ Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of analysis Gold (XAU/USD), 2H timeframe:
Trend Context: Price is moving inside a descending channel, showing continued bearish pressure.
Key Resistance Zone: The yellow highlighted area around $3,340 – $3,347 is acting as a supply zone / resistance, aligned with the 200 EMA, reinforcing bearish bias.
Rejection Signals: Multiple rejections (red arrows) confirm sellers are defending this zone.
Bearish Setup: Price is expected to reject from resistance and continue lower within the channel.
Target Point: The projection suggests a decline towards $3,302, aligning with previous swing levels and channel support.
RSI: Currently mid-level (~51), showing no strong momentum shift yet, but still leaves room for downside pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary Idea:
Gold is respecting the bearish channel and supply zone. As long as price stays below $3,347, the setup favors a bearish continuation targeting $3,302.
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GOLDMINI trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - Jackson Hole - UpdateEnd of week update from us here at KOG:
Earlier this week we released this report giving our thoughts and idea for the Jackson Hole Symposium. Even though it's been a difficult month on the markets and this week has especially been aggressive, we've managed to fine tune the levels with the red box indicator and pin point the movement together with the other tools we have.
The report suggested what to look for, and yesterday we said we wouldn't discount the undercut low, and wow....What a move! We got a pin point tap and bounce from the level and then a move upside exactly to where we wanted it. Now, as you can see we're facing reaction at the level but due to it being late session and Friday, we'll call it a week here.
A decent end to a frustrating week indeed!
We'll be back on Sunday with the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (16.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3318
2nd Support – 3308
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Gold Setup: Bearish Rising Wedge Signals Imminent ReversalHello everyone, I'm back with the latest update on OANDA:XAUUSD !
On the H1 chart, we can see a "Bearish Rising Wedge" pattern forming, signaling a potential downtrend. After a strong rally, gold has continued to create higher highs, but buying momentum is weakening, indicating a divergence between price and volume in the market.
This rising wedge pattern often leads to a reversal, and if gold fails to break through the important resistance at 3,400 USD, the chances of a sharp decline are high. The next support levels around 3,372 and 3,368 USD will be key areas to watch. If these levels are broken, the downtrend will be further confirmed.
Looking at the technical factors, as selling pressure increases, the price could decline even further. This presents an opportunity for traders to consider short positions as the market is likely heading into a significant correction.
What do you think about XAUUSD? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold continues to rise despite September rate cut📊 Technical Trend & Pattern
Gold is consolidating after a strong bullish impulse, forming a Bullish Pennant pattern, which typically signals continuation of the uptrend. Price has broken out of the pennant, suggesting potential for further upside momentum.
🔎 Key Levels
Entry Area: 3,371 – 3,375
Support / Stop Out Zone: 3,358
Target Zone / Take Profit: 3,425
⚡️ Fundamental Outlook
Gold remains supported by global economic uncertainty and safe-haven demand. Market participants are closely monitoring U.S. data and interest rate expectations, which could add fuel to bullish momentum.
📈 Trading Idea
Bullish bias above 3,371, with potential continuation toward the 3,425 target. A failure to hold above support may trigger stop-out below 3,358.
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💬 What’s your view? Drop your comments and ideas below!
XAUUSDI'm observing a bullish structure on XAUUSD, currently at an all-time high. While I acknowledge the prevailing bullish trend, I also recognize that momentum eventually exhausts. I plan to capitalize on short entries within lower time frames not for long-term holds, but to take advantage of potential intraday pullbacks. I anticipate price will close with a rejection at the level I've identified but only a valid closure will pursued me to take the position.
Retrace before continuationTRADENATION:XAUUSD
Gold is forming a HH (highhigh) and LH (lowerhigh) momentum. I would try and look if gold respects the 3370 support, if not the other support is at 3360. Lets be patient and see how gold moves.
For it to be legit we need a strong bullish candle to close after hitting 3370 or 3360 supports, then we can place a trade aiming for 3390-4100.
Gold Supported by Ichimoku Cloud, Upside Bias in PlayHello everyone, looking at the 12H XAU/USD chart, I see gold is consolidating right at the upper edge of the sideways range. Price has held firmly above the Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) and left behind two clear demand FVG zones: 3,345–3,355 and deeper at 3,330–3,345. These often act as a “cushion” for price to rebalance before continuing higher. On the upside, a supply FVG is still hanging around 3.38x and further at 3.40x — making 3,380 the key “wall” that gold needs to break.
The fundamental backdrop looks quite supportive:
After Jackson Hole, Mr. Powell signalled that the Fed could cut rates in September. The probability of a cut via FedWatch has risen sharply, dragging yields lower and cooling the USD.
At the start of the week, the USD staged a technical rebound as the market “reset” risk ahead of a heavy data calendar, causing choppy intraday swings in gold but without breaking the structure above the cloud.
This week’s US calendar is packed: Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods Orders, preliminary GDP, Jobless Claims, and especially core PCE at the end of the week. If data comes in weak, rate cut expectations will be further reinforced.
The PBOC continues to inject large liquidity to support the CNY, easing global cash stress and creating a more favourable environment for gold.
Gold ETF (GLD) holdings remain elevated, showing that investor positions have not weakened significantly. At the same time, US consumer confidence is softening, adding another reason for the Fed to “soften its tone.”
As long as price stays above the Kumo and with the demand FVG 3,345–3,355 right below, I favour the upside scenario. If 3,350 holds, my near-term target is 3,390, with extension to 3,405 (overlapping with the higher supply FVG). This view only weakens if a 12H candle closes below 3,335 — in which case the risk of a deeper pullback to retest the lower FVG increases.
What do you think about the scenario of gold being “backed by the Ichimoku cloud” and heading towards the 3,390–3,405 zone?
Gold near 3500, Who Wins—Bulls or Bears?Today, after gold touched around 3437 during the retracement, it was pushed up to around 3490 again by market sentiment. The bullish momentum was extremely strong and it is currently in a strong bullish trend. According to the current gold trend, there may be room for continuation above. However, in the transaction, I have made it clear that I will no longer aggressively chase the rise of gold!
First, gold has risen sharply under the influence of fundamentals, and it is difficult to follow up in time on the technical level, resulting in a technical pullback demand for gold; in addition, gold has shown obvious signs of acceleration during the rise, and the market often easily has turning points after acceleration, and although gold is in an obvious bullish trend, it is still under considerable pressure before breaking through the previous high of 3500. These are the reasons why I am unwilling to continue chasing the rise in gold. The most important point is that since the market expectations of interest rate cuts have increased, a large amount of buying has appeared to push up gold prices before the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate cut. It is very likely that the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts" will occur.
Therefore, in the current transaction, I do not advocate continuing to chase gold at high levels. On the contrary, in the 3475-3495 area, I will consider creating as many short positions as possible as a swing trade, and be ready to welcome gold to retreat to the 3435-3415 area at any time.
Of course, because swing trading requires a certain period of time, we can still participate in intraday short-term trading during the execution of swing trading, follow the mainstream trend and try to go long on gold with the support area. The support area we must first pay attention to is in the 3460-3450 area. If gold first touches this area during the retracement process, we can consider going long on gold in intraday short-term trading.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Gold Intraday Analysis 27 Aug, 2025Gold continues to trade inside an ascending channel, holding bullish structure as long as the trendline support remains intact. Price is currently consolidating near the midline, with immediate support seen at 3375–3377. A successful retest and hold of this zone would confirm continuation toward the channel highs.
Upside targets remain at 3401, aligning with the upper boundary of the structure, while downside risk is limited to a break below 3366, which would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door for a decline toward 3351.
Trade Idea:
Buy from 3375–3377
TP 3401
SL 3366.
Gold Holds Near Highs, Wedge Pattern Signals Possible ShiftGold Holds Near Highs, Wedge Pattern Signals Possible Shift
XAUUSD remains in a bullish trend since August 22, now trading around $2,370, just below a two-week high. The price is forming a Wedge pattern, often signaling a potential reversal.
Analysts suggest monitoring key levels:
- Rebound from the upper edge or
- Break below the lower edge could trigger a Sell opportunity.
Markets currently price in an 80% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. Political uncertainty adds to the bullish tone after President Trump moved to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook, raising concerns over central bank independence.
If political pressure on the Fed or trade tensions with India and China escalate, demand for gold could strengthen further.
1:2 RR Trade on gold NOW📊 Gold Trade Idea – 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Setup
You're eyeing a clean 1:2 RR trade on gold (XAU/USD), likely based on a high-probability setup. Here's a crisp breakdown for your TradingView post:
🟡 Trade Setup Summary
- Entry Zone: Near recent support or breakout level
- Stop Loss: Tight, just below structure or key moving average
- Target: 2x the risk, aligned with resistance or Fibonacci extension
- Bias: Momentum favors bullish continuation (or reversal, if countertrend)
- Confirmation: Price action + volume spike or indicator confluence (e.g., RSI, MACD)
💬 "Executing a disciplined 1:2 RR trade on gold. Clean structure, tight risk, and clear target. Let’s see how it plays out."
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)I'll warn you all again, don't blindly ignore this 'Scenario 2 Bullish Analysis' as it might catch you off guard!👀 Gold has failed to take out the Wave 2 low ($3,245) multiple times now.
As long as Gold remains above Wave 2 low ($3,245), this Gold bullish bias remains an option. As traders we always have to be prepared to adapt to different market conditions.
Gold - Buy around 3400, target 3420-3450Gold Market Analysis:
We've been buying gold and making consistent profits. We've bought at 3368, 3370, 3371, 3374, 3385, and 3397, capturing every profit from this rally. Thinking is crucial in trading; with the right thinking, you'll be able to trade with ease. Maintaining a calm mindset is crucial. We haven't had any losses this week, and today, Friday, our goal is to avoid any losses. Today's gold market strategy remains bullish. Buying has already reached 3400 and broken through 3408. Breaking through these two levels is highly significant and historically alters previous patterns. Gold has experienced six dips above 3400. If it holds this time, it's a safe bet that a bullish trend is opening up. While we shouldn't speculate on the top, we shouldn't discount the possibility of a seventh dip above 3400. When trading, if you see a dip or impending decline, don't intercept it; follow the trend. The short-term uptrend channel remains intact, and the 4-hour chart is also showing steady progress. The upward trend will continue today. Currently, there are no signs of a peak or weakness. Today's strategy is to continue buying based on the minor support at 3398. Barring any unexpected events, both the daily and weekly charts close positively, and buying will continue to rise next week.
Support is 3398, with strong support at 3384 and 3371. Resistance is at 3423, and the market's strength-weakness dividing line is 3398.
Fundamental Analysis:
There are no major data releases or fundamental indicators this week; the data is largely standard.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold - Buy around 3400, target 3420-3450
GOLD NEW TRADE IDEA - SHORTExpecting Gold to go short if there will be a candle confirmation engulfing M15 or H1 after manipulation the high of the current day and candle close below the Asia high.
SL - Above engulfing candle or 100 pips.
TP - TP1 - 1OO pips, TP2 - 200 pips, TP3 - The low of yesterday.
IMPORTANT!
NO CONFIRMATION = NO ENTRY!
GOOD LUCK!
XAU/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
CAUTION - USA LABOR DAY: Public Holiday Today
Keynote:
Gold is seriously due for a correction...but from where?
Keynotes:
3500 will serve as a psychological barrier.
Or will the fact that NYSE is closed today, force a correction without the $?
Monthly candle close took out most wicks to the left.
We'll have to wait see to what extend this is respected.
Gold remains the ENIGMA of our Industry.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.