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GOLG SMC BUY IDEA 4160 DEMAND ZONE📌 SMC Buy-Side Idea (XAUUSD) — Entry 4160 Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 15m 🔍 Market Structure Market has broken previous structure with a clean BOS, confirming bullish order flow. Price retraced back into the 15m Demand Zone (IDM). 4160 is sitting inside discount pricing, aligned with HL formation. 🟦 Entry Plan Buy Limit: 4160 zone (inside 15m Demand) Stop Loss: Below HL / Below the demand rejection Take Profit: Three partial exits 🎯 Targets (3-Stage TP Distribution) TP1: 4175 TP2: 4185 TP3 (Final): 4200 💡 Why Buy at 4160? 4160 = Perfect discount level Confluence with 15m demand + IDM Bullish BOS already printed Liquidity above HH targeting 4200 📈 Expectation If bulls defend 4160 demand, price should move toward 4175 → 4185 → 4200, sweeping all buy-side liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Pulse6
XAUUSD – Key Support Reaction & Potential Breakout ZoneThis chart highlights a short-term support area around 4148 where price showed a strong reaction. If price continues to hold above this zone, it may attempt a move toward the next resistance region near 4170. The structure shows a possible shift in momentum, but confirmation would require a clean break above the marked resistance line. The lower horizontal level is used as an invalidation point for the idea. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is based on chart structure, support/resistance levels, and market behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wolfpips123
XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the...XAUUSD – H1 in a downtrend channel, prioritize selling at the channel top – buying at the trendline & Fibonacci On H1, gold is sliding in a clear downtrend channel after peaking around 4.22x–4.23x. In this context, I do not enter trades in the middle of the channel but only trade at two extreme zones: Sell at the resistance/channel top. Buy at the trendline + Fibonacci below. 🎯 Today's trading plan 1️⃣ SELL Scenario – Watch for shorting at the resistance zone 4.203 Sell: 4.203 SL: 4.225 (aggressive) 4.249 (safer for swing) TP: 4.183 – 4.161 – 4.143 Zone 4.203 is: Resistance of the H1 downtrend channel. Near the supply zone where price was previously sold off strongly. If the price retests 4.203 during the day, I prioritize selling according to the downtrend channel, with the first target near the bottom at 4.183, further at 4.161–4.143 – corresponding to the demand zone in the middle of the channel. 2️⃣ BUY Scenario – Buy at the channel bottom: trendline + Fibonacci Buy: 4.142 SL: 4.119 (aggressive) 4.098 (safer) TP: 4.170 – 4.198 – 4.205 Zone 4.142 is a confluence of the long-term uptrend line + Fibonacci + old support zone. If gold is sold off to this area and a good price reaction appears (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see this as an opportunity to buy against the corrective phase, expecting the price to return to the middle of the channel and resistance 4.20x. 1️⃣ Basic Context USD is trying to recover from the lowest bottom since late October, creating short-term corrective pressure on gold. However, the USD's upward momentum is limited by expectations that the Fed will soon shift to a dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling down, with growth slowing. The labor market shows signs of weakening in November. This increases the probability of the Fed cutting 25bps at next week's FOMC, keeping the medium-term picture for gold positive, even though it is currently undergoing technical correction. In summary: short-term has room to decline in the H1 channel, but medium-term gold is still supported by rate cut expectations. 2️⃣ Technical & Market Sentiment View The H1 downtrend channel represents a distribution/correction phase after the previous strong rally. Every time the price touches the upper edge of the channel, selling pressure appears, indicating that shorts are still taking advantage of high areas to enter. Conversely, the lower edge of the channel + long-term trendline around 4.14x is where medium-term buying power is likely to appear – those waiting for a discount to re-enter the larger trend. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prioritize selling at resistance, buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: wait for the deeper 4.14x zone to accumulate gradually, instead of FOMO at the 4.20x zone. 3️⃣ Execution Plan Do not enter trades in the middle of the channel, only act at: 4.203 for the SELL scenario. 4.142 for the BUY scenario. Each trade limits risk to 1–2% of the account, choose one of the two SL levels (aggressive/safer) depending on the trading timeframe. If the price decisively breaks the downtrend channel (H1 candle closes above 4.249 or below 4.098), I stop all current scenarios and reassess the structure. If you find this perspective useful, follow the TradingView account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Liquidity Grab Done, Bearish Continuation ExpecteGold (XAUUSD) – Bearish Retracement After Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep Price has tapped into a major buy-side liquidity zone, clearing the previous highs and triggering liquidity grab. After the sweep, market structure shifted and price started forming a clean descending channel, showing controlled bearish momentum. Currently, price has pulled back into the premium retracement zone, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary — a strong confluence for a potential short setup. If the bearish structure continues, I am expecting: Short-term retracement + bearish continuation Targeting the next demand imbalance zone marked on the chart A deeper drop toward the 4,155 – 4,160 zone where strong buy orders may appear Reasons for Bearish Bias: • Buy-side liquidity already cleared (reversal signal) • Clear bearish channel structure • Retest of broken structure + premium zone • Multiple imbalance zones below waiting to be filled This idea remains valid as long as price stays below the highlighted rejection area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Adrian_Trades_
2
XAUUSD: Will It Continue to Decline?Last week, I had been continuously suggesting going long on gold, and the market aligned with my analysis by breaking through the $4,200 level rapidly. However, not every trader followed my strategy to go long. There are likely still many traders who chose to go short and thus incurred losses. A downward correction is expected next week, which may be your last chance to exit . I send out accurate signals every day after the market opens, so don’t miss out.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by AntonioWatt
Going back to all time high?Gold has maintained a strong bullish trend, and recent price action continues to confirm this bias. After tapping into our higher-timeframe H4 POI from November 18, price reacted cleanly and established bullish continuation structure. On the H1 timeframe, the reaction from the H4 zone created two well-defined demand levels. Price has recently tapped into the second H1 demand, showing renewed buying interest. This aligns with our bullish expectation as long as demand continues to hold. Dropping to M15, price action shows a clear change of character (CHOCH), signaling a shift in momentum back to the upside. The strong bullish candle confirm that liquidity was collected before pushing upward. At this stage, we anticipate continuation to the upside as long as structure remains intact and price respects our demand zones. Given the current momentum and reaction from higher-timeframe POIs, Gold shows the potential to push toward its all-time high again if bullish structure continues. Our entry was from an H1 engulfing candle from the M15 demand zone Key Bias: Long Confluences: H4 bullish continuation from November 18 POI Two H1 demand levels formed Price reacting from second H1 demand CHOCH on M15 H1 engulfing entry from M15 demand Strong potential for retesting all-time high Looking for bullish continuation setups from refined demand zones on lower timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gerbucks
How Much Upside Potential Is There This Week? Strategy Update Gold continued its upward trend. Despite the early closure of the US market on Thursday and Friday for Thanksgiving, and the technical glitch on Friday causing insufficient market liquidity and abnormal gold prices, our bullish momentum continued. Gold's sharp rise on Friday not only successfully broke through and held the key $4200 level but also reached a new high in nearly two weeks, providing a strong conclusion to the week. We repeatedly advised buying in the $4165-75 range, emphasizing the perfect buy-on-dips strategy, and gold ultimately rebounded as expected. You can check our historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. News: As the week draws to a close, market focus shifts to the upcoming "data deluge week." From Monday to Friday next week, major global economies will release a series of key economic indicators, the most anticipated being the US September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, to be released next Friday (December 5th). As the Federal Reserve's most important indicator for measuring inflation, this data will be released before the Fed's December interest rate meeting, and its impact is self-evident. This Week's Gold Market Analysis: Based on last week's closing price, we continue to focus on the 4185-95 support level at the open. Our strategy is to buy on dips that hold above this level, with the core strategy being to build positions in batches based on key support levels. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the key resistance level to watch is 4235-45; avoid chasing highs. This is the overall strategy, and we will update it again based on the specific market conditions at the open. Market fluctuations are normal; maintain a calm attitude towards rises and falls. Let's work together next week to flexibly and steadily pursue greater profits in this unpredictable market. I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that rises or falls forever, only the right entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you cannot execute trades precisely, try my method: first test the market with a small position, then add to your position on pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you need to recover significant losses or obtain precise trading signals, please contact me. There may be delays in article updates; you can find the channel entry here.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FIGONRXS
Double Top: The Pattern That Warns You Before the Crash📘 Mastering the Double Top Pattern: A Complete Educational Guide for Traders The Double Top is one of the most powerful and reliable reversal patterns in technical analysis. When understood and applied correctly, it helps traders catch the early phase of a trend reversal — often leading to high-reward opportunities with strong risk control. 1 . Understanding the Structure of a Double Top A Double Top consists of three essential components: 🔸 First Top - Price pushes upward in a strong bullish trend. - It forms a peak at a key resistance zone. - Price then retraces downward → creating the neckline. 🔸 Second Top Price rises again but fails to break above the first peak. This failure indicates: + weakening bullish momentum + growing selling pressure This is the first warning of a potential reversal. 🔸 Neckline Breakout (Confirmation) - When price breaks below the neckline, the pattern is confirmed. - This confirms that buyers have lost control and sellers have taken over. - This is where professional traders begin to look for short opportunities. 2. What the Double Top Really Tells You (Market Psychology) A Double Top is psychology in motion: - Buyers attempt to break resistance twice - The first attempt succeeds (forming Top 1) - The second attempt fails (forming Top 2) - This failure shows exhaustion - Once the neckline breaks → confidence shifts to sellers - A new downtrend is likely to start This pattern is especially powerful after a strong uptrend, because a reversal has more room to move. 3. Requirements for a High-Quality Double Top To filter out fake signals, look for: ✔️ A strong bullish trend before the pattern ✔️ Two tops of similar height ✔️ Second top usually forms with weaker volume ✔️ Clear and decisive neckline breakout ✔️ Retest of the neckline increases probability This helps you avoid low-quality setups and false reversals. 4. How Professional Traders Trade the Double Top 1️⃣ Entry Strategy - The safest and highest-probability entry: SELL on the neckline retest after the breakout. Entering early (at the second top) is risky — no confirmation yet. 2️⃣ Stop Loss Placement SL should be: - above the second top or above the structure that failed - This protects you from false breakouts and liquidity grabs. 3️⃣ Take Profit Strategy To project your target: - Measure the height from the top → neckline - Project the same distance downward - This becomes your TP zone Simple, clear, and effective. 5. Pro Tips to Avoid Traps ⚠️ DO NOT enter just because price forms a second top ⚠️ Wait for the neckline break ⚠️ Watch for decisive bearish candles ⚠️ Combine with: - RSI divergence - Trendline breaks - FVG imbalance - Liquidity sweeps These confluences dramatically increase your win rate. 🧠 Final Thoughts The Double Top is a classic pattern for a reason — it reveals clear market psychology and provides precise entries when used correctly. Mastering it allows you to catch early reversals with confidence and discipline. If this lesson helped you, let me know in the comments 🚀📉📘
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDEducation
by RexTraderSignal
XAUUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above EMAsXAUUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above EMAs Gold continues to trade in an upward structure, with price respecting both the 7-EMA and 21-EMA on the 15-minute chart. Momentum remains constructive as buyers maintain control above the intraday trendline and volume supports the ongoing push. The setup highlights a potential continuation zone, with price consolidating above key EMAs and forming higher lows. As long as structure holds, the market may look for liquidity toward the next intraday highs. This idea focuses on the current price behavior, EMAs alignment, and bullish market sentiment—not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
1
GOLD bounces back amid Fed signals and political turmoilOANDA:XAUUSD opened the Asian trading week with strong upward momentum, reflecting rising confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as early as December. Spot gold reached $4,256.31/oz, gaining $37 within just a few hours — the highest level in five weeks. Shifting rate-cut expectations remain the dominant driver. A series of dovish comments from Fed officials, combined with weakening economic data following the U.S. government shutdown, has led the market to price in an 87% probability of a rate cut, according to FedWatch. As the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, capital is rapidly flowing into non-yielding safe-haven assets. Long-term support remains intact: accelerating purchases by central banks and significant inflows into gold ETFs helped push prices to a historical peak of $4,380/oz in October. With an almost uninterrupted rally since the start of the year, gold is on track for its strongest annual performance since 1979. However, the monetary-policy outlook is clouded by political uncertainty. President Trump announced he had chosen a successor to Chairman Jerome Powell and asked the nominee to commit to a more aggressive rate-cutting cycle. Kevin Hassett, a senior White House economic advisor, is now estimated by markets to have a 64% probability of being appointed — a sharp rise from last week. A more politically influenced Fed could increase volatility across asset markets. On the geopolitical front, early signs of reconciliation between the U.S. and Ukraine have temporarily reduced safe-haven demand, but not enough to slow gold’s upward momentum. Washington’s decision to send envoy Steve Witkov to Moscow this week signals a new diplomatic phase, though risk levels remain elevated. Today’s main focus is the ISM Manufacturing PMI. A stronger-than-expected reading may support the USD in the short term, slowing gold’s advance. Conversely, weaker data would reinforce rate-cut expectations and continue to support the metal’s upward trend. With rapidly changing policy expectations, firm technical momentum, and persistent geopolitical risk, the gold market enters December with a clearly bullish structure — but also heightened sensitivity as the Fed and the White House reshape policy direction simultaneously. Technical Analysis & OANDA:XAUUSD Outlook • Trend structure: Price is maintaining a medium-term ascending channel, continuously forming higher lows and higher highs, indicating that the primary uptrend remains intact. • Key level has been reclaimed: Price closed above the 4,128–4,216 USD resistance zone (Fib 0.236 and horizontal resistance), while also holding above the short-term MA21. This satisfies both the necessary condition (holding above support/trendline) and the sufficient condition (breaking and confirming a key resistance zone) for an uptrend cycle to be considered underway. • Momentum indicators: RSI has recovered above the mid-range and is not yet overbought, suggesting there is still room for upside momentum. • Technical conclusion: With a close and sustained move above 4,216 USD, the bullish structure is confirmed. The next immediate technical target is to retest the all-time high around ~4,380 USD/oz, with the next extension zone near 4,500 USD in a strong capital-inflow scenario. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4331 - 4329⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4335 →Take Profit 1 4323 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4317 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4191 - 4193⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4187 →Take Profit 1 4199 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4205
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold Continues Bullish Trend – Waiting for Pullback to BUY📊 Market Overview Gold maintains a strong upward trend as: • USD weakens and expectations rise that the Fed may adopt a softer tone in upcoming statements. • Safe-haven demand increases amid financial market volatility. • Large institutional buying continues to keep the price above the 4180 level. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: 4194 – 4200 • Stronger Resistance: 4212 – 4218 • Nearest Support: 4178 – 4182 • Stronger Support: 4162 – 4168 • EMA 09: Price is above EMA09 → dominant uptrend. • Momentum & Candles: Buying pressure remains strong; quick price rallies after small pullbacks indicate buyers control the market. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook Gold is likely to continue rising in the short term if the price holds above 4178–4182. • Pullback to 4178–4182 → good BUY opportunity. • Break above 4200 → target extends to 4212–4218. • SELL should only be considered at strong resistance 4194–4200 and 4212–4218 with clear reversal signals. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4178 – 4182 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4175 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4215 – 4218 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4221
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Confirmation of the upward trend of gold prices(I) Macroeconomic Policy: Rate-Cut Expectations Near 90%, Strengthened Certainty of Easing The market's probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 87% . Multiple dovish officials have explicitly voiced support for a rate cut. Coupled with signs of a slowdown in U.S. economic data, such as sluggish consumer spending and lackluster manufacturing performance, this has further consolidated the rationale for monetary easing . More crucially, expectations regarding the personnel change of the Federal Reserve Chair have heated up, with a dovish candidate likely to take office. This is expected to undermine the long-term credibility of the U.S. dollar and provide policy-driven supportive dividends for gold. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold's holding costs keep declining amid a low-interest-rate environment, making it a core asset for hedging policy uncertainties. (II) Geopolitical Risks: Escalating Conflicts on Multiple Fronts, Rigid Safe-Haven Demand The global geopolitical situation remains tense. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has reached a stalemate, with both sides adopting tough postures; Vladimir Putin has threatened to intensify strikes on Ukrainian facilities, pushing up the geopolitical risk premium in Europe. Meanwhile, the United States plans to launch ground strikes against drug cartels in Latin America, which may trigger regional unrest and a chain of reactions. Although the Middle East situation has seen a phased easing, the underlying risks of long-term conflicts persist. A report from the World Economic Forum indicates that armed conflicts between countries have become one of the top risks of the year, continuously boosting the safe-haven demand for gold. (III) Capital Flows: Joint Support from Institutions and Central Banks The global central bank gold-purchasing spree persists. Global central banks recorded a net gold purchase of 634 tons in the first three quarters of 2025. The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 12 consecutive months, and 95% of central banks plan to continue increasing their gold reserves in the future, forming a rigid long-term support for gold prices. Institutional capital has followed suit. Holdings of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, have remained at a high level (1,048.3 tons as of December 2). The capital inflow into China's leading gold ETFs has exceeded 50 billion yuan in the past month. Although the non-commercial net long positions in COMEX gold futures have decreased slightly, long-term allocation capital has not withdrawn, which limits the room for a pullback in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thorne-