GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS – OCT 16, 2025Technical Overview (1H Chart)
Gold continues its strong bullish trajectory within the rising channel, with price currently hovering near $4,237/oz after testing the upper boundary of the trendline. The structure remains supported by a confluence of dynamic EMAs (20/50/100/200), confirming sustained buying pressure.
Key Support Levels:
$4,120 – $4,130: Short-term EMA cluster support zone
$4,048: Mid-term bullish defense area
$3,930 – $3,870: Major swing supports if deeper correction occurs
Key Resistance Zone:
$4,270 – $4,300: Immediate resistance / potential breakout target
Above this range, next psychological target sits at $4,350
Trading Outlook:
Price action suggests a potential minor retracement toward the EMA20/EMA50 area before resuming the next impulse leg upward. As long as price holds above $4,120, the overall structure favors continuation of the uptrend.
Strategy for Today:
Buy on dips near 4,180–4,120
Stop Loss: below 4,048
Take Profit: 4,270 – 4,300 – 4,350
Momentum and RSI remain supportive of further upside after short-term consolidation.
Market Sentiment:
The bullish bias stays dominant as gold benefits from risk-off sentiment and continued demand for safe-haven assets. Any pullback is viewed as a healthy correction within the ongoing bullish channel.
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GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅XAUUSD broke its main ascending trendline, and gold is now showing bearish structure with potential continuation toward the next downside target. Price has retested the broken trendline before extending lower and we are seeing a clear rejection.Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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Gold have chance for growth again what's should nextGold has entered a correction phase following a strong bullish move earlier in the month. The price action is currently consolidating within a range, suggesting the market is preparing for its next directional move.
Technically, gold recently reached a record high, prompting many traders to close long positions and take profit. This has led to a gradual shift in market sentiment, with short-term pressure toward the downside at present, the 4,000 level is emerging as a key support zone, where buyers may look to re-enter the market. If the price holds above this area, a bullish recovery could follow on the upside, the next resistance levels are seen at 4,100 and 4,150.
A sustained break above these zones could open the way for renewed bullish momentum.
However, the broader dynamics will depend heavily on upcoming fundamental catalysts, particularly developments in global trade negotiations and macroeconomic data influencing risk sentiment and the U.S. dollar.
You can find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely / Best of luck buddies.
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Gold suffers biggest crash since 2013: What’s next for metal?Gold just experienced its worst single-day crash since 2013, plunging over 8% from record highs after forming a double top.
What’s behind this dramatic move, and what’s next for gold?
After a strong rally driven by fiscal and trade uncertainty and delayed US economic data, gold suddenly tumbled to the $4,000s. This sharp drop comes amid technical overextension and ahead of a crucial US CPI report due Friday, with the government shutdown still adding to market uncertainty.
Overextended : Gold was heavily overbought on multiple timeframes (4-hour, daily, weekly, monthly), with a double top and weakening RSI signalling a correction was due.
Profit-taking ahead of CPI : Many traders secured profits before Friday’s CPI report, with consensus expecting inflation to tick up, potentially impacting Fed rate expectations and the US dollar.
Trade developments : De-escalation between the US and China, with Trump and Xi set to meet at APEC, reduced some risk premium that had supported gold.
Support and scenarios : Strong support levels remain, with a possible further downside to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (~$3,945), but a deeper drop to $3,735 is seen as unlikely unless catalysts turn more bearish.
Volatility is back in the gold market! Will this correction turn into a longer consolidation, or is it just a pause before new highs?
Watch the key levels and upcoming CPI data, and remember—trade smart, respect your risk, and cash out when needed!
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GoldRiders, are you ready for another golden day?Today’s Range as of now: 4,375 – 4,318
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
Entry: Above 4,356
Targets: (4,368–4,372) – (4,379–4,381) – 4,390 – (4,398–4,402) – 4,415 – 4,423 – 4,430 – 4,450
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Entry: As long as the price remains below 4,330 – selling opportunities prevail.
Targets: (4,322–4,318) – 4,310 – 4,305 – 4,294 – 4,282 – 4,271 – 4,260 – 4,247 – 4,232 – 4,219 – 4,204 – 4,191 – 4,176
GoldRider Notes:
Extreme volatility continues — traders are chasing every move.
Stick to your risk management plan, avoid emotional trading, and always follow GoldRider’s key levels and updates.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves high risk, and all decisions are the trader’s sole responsibility.
Gold- IS THE RETRACEMENT OVER?Our analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Gold price analysis October 16GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still in favor of the buyers
Gold continues to record new records during the day, showing that buying power is still absolutely dominant. In recent sessions, the simplest strategy – just “BUY” according to the trend – has brought good profits.
At the moment, the most important thing is to wait for the price to adjust to the support zones to establish a new buying position. If you are still trying to “catch the top” of gold, maybe it is time to temporarily remove the Sell button and go with the main trend of the market.
📈 Trading strategy:
BUY Trigger: When a price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 – 4215
Target: Aim for the 4300 mark
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/23/2025Gold yesterday was very volatile again. It can move 1k pips within hours. Interestingly, it bounced from 4020 three times and this level acts as a strong support. In lower TF, it seems gold is regaining bullish power. However, in daily, it is pretty bearish. But in 2D, bulls are still in control. Therefore, I am expecting an initial drop from 4124 for gold today to at least 4090 or even testing 4020 again.
If 4090 support holds, gold could go up to 4190. If it finds 4020 support again and bounce from there, we could see 4145 today. However, if 4020 is broken, gold could drop down to 3950 (in my opinion, low chance this will happen).
Gold Intra-day Analysis 22-Oct-25
A quick short video on Gold after the strong profit taking we saw yesterday.
We are focusing on higher time frame areas in interest to watch for the price action as we reach them.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
The chart shows a completed five-wave impulsive structure, with price forming a strong top around 4220–4230 before breaking the main ascending trendline on the 2H timeframe.
A short-term pullback toward the 2H Fair Value Gap (FVG) area between 4219–4223 is expected before the next bearish leg toward 4004, and possibly 3830–3833.
As long as price remains below 4230, the short-term outlook stays bearish.
📊 Fundamental View:
Gold is facing pressure as Fed rate-cut expectations fade and bond yields remain high.
Additionally, improved global risk sentiment and temporary easing of geopolitical tensions support the case for a corrective move lower in gold prices after the recent rally.
📅 Short-term Bias: Bearish
🎯 Targets: 4004 – 3830
⛔ Invalidation Level: Above 4230
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
Correct projection for GoldThe core conclusions of today's analysis on gold have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic:
1-Trend prediction verification: It was clearly stated this morning that "if it breaks below the key support level of 4280, it will enter a consolidation phase and may further drop to 4150". The current gold price is completely in line with this downward range, and the prediction is highly consistent with the actual trend.
2-Key level control: The previously emphasized resistance level at 4380 and support level at 4280 have both become the core boundaries of intraday price fluctuations.
3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", and there were no deviations in the judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
Gold Near $4,100 PRZ – Time for a Reversal?Just like we discussed last week, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved exactly as expected and hit its targets .
Now, as we start the new week, Gold is continuing to form a New All-Time High(ATH) and is currently near a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the $4,100 round number .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5, which could top out in this PRZ.
We’re also seeing a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two consecutive peaks , which suggests that Gold might start a correction soon.
I expect Gold to begin a correction and at least drop down to the lower line of the ascending channel after breaking the Support zone($4,061 – $4,041) .
Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of that ascending channel, we can expect further downside.
Note: Also, keep in mind that Powell speaks tomorrow, which could influence Gold’s movement. As I mentioned, a bullish DXY outlook could also help push Gold lower.
Second Target: $3,963
Stop Loss(SL): $4,153(Worst)
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Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAU/USD - High volume Control🔶 XAUUSD Trading Card
🔑 Pivot Zone: 3860 - 3880 (Major Demand)
📊 Context: Bullish continuation - ATH discovery | Current 4274
⚠️ Key Levels:
Immediate Support = 4230 - 4240
Lower Support 1 = 4180 - 4200
Lower Support 2 - Strong = 4125 - 4150
Lower Support 3 - Very Strong = 4030 - 4050
────────────────────────────────────
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Bias Flip: Already active - ATH discovery mode
Trigger: Hold above 4230 + continuation momentum
🎯 T1 = 4300 (Projected)
🎯 T2 = 4350 (Projected)
❌ Invalidation: Back below 4230
────────────────────────────────────
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Bias Flip: Clear breach below 4230
Trigger: Close below 4230 + bearish momentum shift
🎯 T1 = 4180 - 4200
🎯 T2 = 4125 - 4150
🎯 T3 = 4030 - 4050
❌ Invalidation: Back above 4240
XAUUSD on verge[ will again buy] Targeting $5500XAUUSD holding the trendline on D1& H4 from 4270- 4245 zone after the implusive drop. Market is drop after rejecting from Double Top ATH.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
Currently i took buy trade from 4265 zone as bait ,I'm expecting H4 and H1 Candle closing will be above 4270 and on retest then market will left again.
✳️Secondly my last buying area will be around 4245-4250 if H4 remains above trendline on that time.
Targets: 4310- 4345-4370
Additional Tip:
Keep in mind H4 closed below 4245 then stay away from Buy AND Keep watching drop towards 4080 in extension
I will buy in Dips and my Ultimate next target on long run is 5500.
4365 Achieved Excellent profits Booked [1350 PIPS Gained]Thanks to traders who followed and stay Active with me on bullish rally
As highlighted in yesterday’s session update:
My Position:
The ongoing bull rally has played out perfectly, with both of my targets achieved ahead of schedule. I identified strong support around $4,220 & 4190 along condition H4 Candle for bullish rally. Iinitiated aggressive swing buys from that zone. When $4,190 was retested, I held off for a healthy pullback before re-entering.
At $4205& $4,225, I scaled in aggressively (four entries) aiming for $4,345, which was reached — locking in solid overnight gains.
I’m pleased with the overall performance during this multi-month bullish phase and plan to keep accumulating on dips until the $4,490 level is reached from my main re-entry zones.
Additional Tip:
Once again, I caution traders — avoid counter-trend selling.
Many get trapped trying to short Gold in a strong uptrend. Stay aligned with the trend — it’s still firmly bullish.🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
H4:
H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward.
H1:
H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully.
M15:
M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation.
🔹 2. Wave Structure
H4 timeframe:
The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple).
The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y.
Wave Y may develop in three possible forms:
Zigzag
5-wave impulsive
Triangle
👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A.
👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X.
H1 timeframe:
The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime.
M15 timeframe:
Used mainly for entry timing.
Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart.
🔹 3. Trading Plan
Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum)
Strategy:
Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones.
Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish).
Buy setup (if wave 4 completes):
Buy zone: 4193 – 4190
Stop loss: 4180
Take Profit: 4236
🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios
If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451.
If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
SINAL TYPE BUY GOLD ASSETBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry: Active
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.