Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones.
Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur.
After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected.
FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested.
OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate.
Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD
When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break),
→ open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday).
Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD.
Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD.
➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction
When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD ,
and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again),
→ open buy orders in line with the main trend.
Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD.
➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone.
Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones.
Keep light volume when trading against the main trend.
Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone.
If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing.
The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear.
Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD SELL PENDING ORDER - Day 9 Withdrawal ChallengeXAUUSD SELL PENDING ORDER - Day 9 Withdrawal Challenge
LAST DAY OF THE CHALLENGE
1:1 RR
looking for sells below 4140.50
Tp1 4135.50 (set SL to BE and secure some)
TP2 4125
Sell is invalid and pending orders cancelled if price makes a newer high (above 4156)
Gold Trade Plan 13/10/2025Dear Traders,
🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4H Timeframe
📅 October 13, 2025
Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its bullish market structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is hovering around $4,070, near the midline of the channel.
🔹 The next key resistance zone lies between $4,120 – $4,130. A breakout above this level could push the price toward the $4,210 – $4,220 region, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and may act as an overbought or reversal area.
📉 On the other hand, a rejection from the $4,120–$4,130 resistance could trigger a corrective move back toward the lower channel boundary around $3,980 – $4,000.
The RSI indicator has bounced back to the 60 level, suggesting short-term bullish momentum remains intact. However, traders should watch for potential bearish divergences once RSI approaches the overbought zone (above 70).
📊 Summary:
Overall Trend: Bullish
Key Resistances: 4,120–4,130 / 4,210–4,220
Key Supports: 4,000 / 3,950
Potential Scenario: Price may rise toward 4,120–4,130, and if rejected, a pullback to the lower channel support is likely.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD IMPULSIVE UPDATE 📘 Educational only — not financial advice.
🕒 Africa/Cairo (+03:00) — Tue 14 Oct 2025 — 08:45.
───────────────────────────────────────────────
🟡 YALLA XAUMO — IMPULSIVE UPDATE (MegaBar Live)
───────────────────────────────────────────────
🎯 Context:
Gold just printed a **Mega Bear** at **4,179 → 4,127** (Δ = −2.22K, Vol ≈ 37.5K)
immediately after a **Mega Bull** spike at **4,172 → 4,179** (Δ = +535, Vol ≈ 13.4K).
This sequence = **Stop-flush candle** with **exhaustion top** — textbook XAUMO “Bull Trap”.
Notice how the delta collapsed from +535 → −2,220 in one rotation = liquidity vacuum.
🔍 Key Levels (Cairo 08:45 snapshot)
• High: **4,179.6** (failed breakout)
• Low: **4,127.2**
• Spot: **4,131.7** (−0.87%)
• VWAP: **≈4,153**
• VAH: **4,176** | POC: **4,152** | VAL: **4,132**
🧭 XAUMO Read:
• 15m momentum flipped Bearish after MegaBear bar.
• Delta divergence confirms short-term sellers in control.
• Expect “reversion drift” toward **4,120–4,109** unless buyers reclaim **4,146** fast.
• Recovery invalidation = 15m close **>4,160** with **RVOL>1.25**.
📊 Bias Update:
• 15m → 🔴 61% downtrend
• 1h → 🟡 Neutral/holding
• 4h → 🟢 intact swing trend (major uptrend still alive)
Composite → **Short-term correction inside bullish regime.**
⚙️ Trade Logic (educational)
**Scenario A — Correction short (scalp):**
Entry: 4,144–4,152 rejection
SL: 4,160
TP: 4,127 → 4,112 → 4,102
Probability: 68% while <4,152
**Scenario B — Recovery long (fade the flush):**
Entry: 4,127–4,131 (if delta neutralizes)
SL: 4,115
TP: 4,146 → 4,160 → 4,176
Trigger: 15m RVOL>1.10 + bullish absorption bar
🧮 XAUMO Alert:
MegaBar pattern = **“Trap & Flush”**, typical pre-London fakeout.
Be patient for retest 4,146–4,152 → decision zone.
⚠️ Checklist:
MegaBear printed below VAH
Delta negative continuation
RVOL normalization ≥1.10 → required for rebound
Watch 09:00–10:00 Cairo for London confirmation
---
🇪🇬 **ملخص بالعربي (سريع):**
الذهب عمل "شمعة مصيدة" — **Mega Bear** عند 4,179 → 4,127.
دلتا نزلت من +535 لـ −2,220 = تصفية قوية قبل لندن.
الشراء المؤقت ما يتفعلش غير فوق **4,146–4,152** ومع **RVOL > 1.10**.
لو السوق فضل تحتها، احتمال نشوف **4,120–4,109** قريب.
إلغاء السيناريو: إغلاق 15د فوق **4,160**.
---
🏆 Winners trade with XAUMO indicators
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: -
💰TP: -
⛔️SL: -
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals continue to demonstrate impressive results. As a result, we are seeing new all-time highs. It's difficult to find any potential buy or sell levels for gold, but we can highlight an area around 4200-4250, where sell trades, especially mid-term, are highly likely to be liquidated. This assumption is based on a 25% price move from the start of the current rally since August, as well as the point of control (POC) of the same rally around 3650. We should likely expect the end of the US shutdown, after which we could see a correction in metals.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
XAUUSD: Targeting New Highs After PullbackKey Observations:
Recent Momentum: The market has shown strong recent bullish (upward) momentum, indicated by a series of large green candles leading up to the current price level.
Current Price: The current price is around $4,102.61.
Continuation Pattern: The analysis shows a bullish continuation pattern overlaid on the chart (the black curved line and green arrow). This suggests the trader anticipates a brief pullback followed by a strong move up to the target. The anticipated pattern resembles a potential bull flag/pennant or an "S-curve" retest before continuation.
Entry/Pullback Zone: The immediate blue zone below the current price (around $4,085 - $4,090) and the lower blue zone (around $4,060 - $4,067) represent likely support areas where a pullback might occur before the rally resumes.
Trading Setup Details:
Target (Take Profit): $4,130.20 (A clear horizontal resistance or projected high).
Stop Loss (Risk Limit): $4,045.45 (Placed well below the lower support zone, indicating a protective measure against a reversal of the bullish trend).
Conclusion:
The analysis is strongly bullish. The setup is based on expecting the current upward trend to continue after a minor technical correction/retest of a key support level.
XAUUSD: Correction failure, aiming for higher priceAfter a sizable dip following the retest of 4057, gold recovered quickly and broke higher after President Donald Trump said he is considering raising tariffs on Chinese imports up to 100%, a headline that jolted broader risk assets and added to geopolitical uncertainty.
Given gold’s safe-haven character and the recent instability across financial markets, a deep correction is unlikely for now. Instead, looking for potential buy entry during slight corrections is safer in the current situation.
Latest update: In today’s session, President Trump told reporters on Sunday (Oct 12) that the war in Gaza “has ended.”
📊 Trading Plan
⇒ With the news situation still unclear for us to know whether gold will decrease or continue to increase strongly, so in today's trading session we should only scalp trade when the price moves to support and resistance zones.
Key Levels
Margin Zone Resistance:
Resistance: ,
=> These resistance zones are derived from concentrated CME Long-call positioning and may elicit reactions if tested.
Margin Zone Support:
Support: ,
Strong Support:
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Gold Price Forecast and Strategy for October 20:
Core Trend Judgment: Short-term topping signals have strengthened, marking the start of a deep technical correction. Core Strategy: Prioritize selling on rallies, with counter-trend bounces at key support levels as a secondary approach.
I. Key Pivot Levels
Core Resistance Zone: 4280 - 4290 USD
This area is the previous key neckline and now acts as a strong pressure zone following Friday's sharp decline. It is the optimal defensive and entry area for shorts.
Core Support Zone: 4200 - 4220 USD
The initial support zone formed after Friday's plunge. A decisive break below this level will confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
Ultimate Support Zone: 4170 - 4180 USD
The final key defensive line for bulls, coinciding with the low point of Friday's drop. The first touch of this zone is expected to trigger a significant technical rebound.
II. Detailed Trading Strategy
1. Primary Strategy: Sell on Rebound
Entry Point: When the price rebounds to the 4280-4290 zone and shows signs of weakness (e.g., bearish reversal candlestick patterns like Evening Star, Bearish Engulfing).
Stop Loss: Place above 4300 USD (positioned above the key resistance zone).
Take Profit Targets: First Target 4230-4220 → Second Target 4200 → Final Target 4180.
2. Secondary Strategy: Buy at Key Support (Counter-trend, Extreme Caution Advised)
Entry Point: When the price experiences its first deep pullback to the 4170-4180 zone and shows clear bullish reversal signals (e.g., Hammer, Bullish Engulfing candlestick patterns).
Stop Loss: Place below 4160 USD (to exit promptly if key support fails).
Take Profit Target: Short-term target 4230-4250 zone. Exit immediately upon reaching the target; trade quickly.
III. Analysis and Rationale
Technical Turn Bearish:
Topping Pattern: A Double Top bearish pattern formed on the 1-hour chart around 4379 USD, triggering a nearly 200-dollar sell-off.
Bearish Momentum: The daily chart formed a large bearish candle engulfing the previous bullish one, and the 4-hour chart shows consecutive strong bearish candles, indicating extremely strong selling pressure.
Key Level Broken: The price has broken below the previous crucial support zone of 4280-4300, which has now converted into strong resistance.
Fundamental Support and Risks:
Supportive Factors: High market expectations for Fed rate cuts in October and December, alongside geopolitical risks, provide medium-to-long-term bottom support for gold, limiting the downside.
Risk Factors: Any news regarding eased trade tensions, resolution of the US banking crisis, or hawkish comments from the Fed could intensify short-term selling pressure on gold.
IV. Risk and Discipline Reminders
Expect Volatility: Following historic price swings, market sentiment is highly unstable. The market is prone to reversals and "choppy" action. Ensure light positioning.
Strict Stop-Losses: It is mandatory to set unconditional stop-losses to prevent losses from escalating on any single trade. This is especially critical for counter-trend long positions.
Follow the Trend: Until the price convincingly breaks above and holds steady at 4300 USD, "selling short on rebounds" is the predominant theme. Buying the bounce is a counter-trend operation; it requires strict position control and a quick exit strategy.
Summary: Technical bearish signals are clear. Traders are advised to patiently wait for the price to rebound into the 4280-4290 resistance zone to establish short positions, offering the best risk-reward ratio. Long positions should only be considered as a short-term bounce strategy at the 4170-4180 strong support zone and require extreme caution.
Is the bull market over for now? Monday's outlook analysis.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold experienced significant fluctuations back and forth this Friday, which is relatively rare in the entire trading market. There are many traders in the market who are trapped after chasing high prices, or their accounts are blown up because they do not have a reasonable trading plan. This is when the importance of following a good mentor becomes even more apparent. After all, no one's money comes from the wind.
On Friday, Trump said his plan to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports was "unsustainable". Subsequently, Wall Street stock index futures pared losses as Trump confirmed that the meeting with China "will still take place as scheduled", temporarily easing investors' concerns about global trade tensions.
But concerns about the prolonged trade standoff remain one of the key drivers of gold's recent gains. This is accompanied by the continued shutdown of the US government and the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points twice in a row at its monetary policy meetings in October and December, which will continue to provide strong support for the rise in gold prices.
From a technical perspective, Friday's volatility was very large, but it is obviously premature to blindly speculate that the market has reached its peak in the short term. After all, the fundamentals have not yet created the conditions for a major market crash. Combining the hourly chart and the 4H chart, the short-term support is around 4190-4180. If this position is not broken, it may be difficult to open up the downward space. Otherwise, the gold price will enter a correction rhythm. The upper range of 4275-4285 forms short-term suppression, which is also the watershed between the bulls and bears of gold. Only when gold stands above this range will it be possible to return to the bull market.
As for the short-term trading rhythm, we can try to go long on gold if it directly falls back to the support level of 4190-4180, with SL, and the profit target will be 4225-4235. If gold continues to rebound on Monday and touches 4275-4285 for the first time without breaking through, you can short it with a light position. The target will be adjusted in real time according to the strength of the pullback. You can exit the market when you earn $10-30. If a second rebound breaks through resistance, we can look for opportunities to go long after the correction.
M-shaped adjustment holds on to 4300-4280 and there are new high#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Hey my friend, is everything okay?
Today's gold market may be exhausting for many people, and the market's back-and-forth washout continues to suppress the mentality of traders. I have witnessed too many people entering the investment market with high hopes, but later suffered heavy losses and became afraid to enter the market. They lost so much that they didn't even have the confidence to encourage themselves. They even suspected at one point that they might not be suitable for this market.
Many investors are unhappy about staying in the investment market, but unwilling to leave. This may be the current situation faced by them. The road to success is not crowded because there are not many people who persevere. I want to tell you all this to let you know that short-term fluctuations cannot affect us. Just stick to your own judgment and try your best to do well in every order.
In the early morning, I told everyone that 4380 would be a resistance level. When it is touched, you can consider shorting and wait for a pullback correction. This morning I made the judgment that the short-term market will form an M-shaped double top. So far, it seems to be moving in the direction of my expectations. There are many voices in the current market telling you to go long at 4340-4330, but in my opinion, the risk and return here are not proportional.
Keep in mind that today is Friday, and every Friday is prone to shifting fundamentals in the market. Therefore, we should be cautious when trading. Given the M-shaped structure, once it is established, after breaking through the 4313 support, gold will inevitably continue its downward trend to test the 4300-4280 support below. This is both the previous trend line suppression position and the low point of the intraday retracement, as well as the 50% golden section line position. Therefore, we can consider waiting for the market to stabilize before placing long positions and maintaining a cautious trade.
No matter how bad your current trading situation is, time will not stop for you. Shake off your frustrations, stand up again, and move forward. The fact that you're reading this now signifies a connection between us. If you're willing to share your experiences with me, I'd be happy to help you solve your problems. Look to Garrick, your market guide. For more real-time updates, please visit my homepage.
GOLD (XAU/USD) BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUP AFTER RETESTChart Overview
Timeframe: 1H (Hourly)
Current Price: Around $4,338
Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel
Structure: Price broke slightly above the channel top and is now retesting the resistance level as potential new support
🔍 Detailed Analysis
1. Trend Structure
Gold has been moving in a strong upward channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The breakout above the resistance channel suggests bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback or retest is expected before another leg up.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Level: Around $4,350 – $4,370, now acting as support.
Entry Zone: Around $4,313 – $4,338 (highlighted region).
Stop Loss: Below $4,274 – $4,268 zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Point: Around $4,509 – $4,513, which aligns with the projected move from the breakout zone.
💹 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup)
Entry: Wait for price to test and hold above $4,313 (confirmation candle or bullish rejection).
Stop Loss: $4,274 – $4,268 (below recent swing low).
Take Profit: $4,509 – $4,513.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is excellent for a continuation trade.
⚠️ Market Sentiment Notes
If gold fails to hold above $4,313, the move could turn into a deeper correction toward $4,250 – $4,200.
Watch for strong bullish candles near the entry zone for confirmation.
The setup remains bullish-biased, but patience for a clean entry is key.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Setup Type: Pullback continuation
Buy Zone: $4,313 – $4,338
Target: $4,509 – $4,513
Stop: $4,268
#XAUUSD LONG Setup
A clear reversal pattern is forming on the chart, suggesting a potential move to the upside.
Trade Idea:
· Direction: Long
· Target: 30-50 Pips
· Key Level: Respecting support at ~4202 - 4185
Always use a stop loss and proper risk management. #Gold is reacting to key levels, and we're following the momentum.
#Trading #Forex #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView #Finance
10.16 Gold maintains the upward trend in the Asian session!!!From a multi-period analysis perspective, first observe the monthly chart's rhythm. From a long-term perspective, 3130 represents a watershed in the long-term trend. Above this level, consider a long-term bullish approach. From a weekly perspective, the current bull-bear watershed is 3585. Above this level, consider a medium-term bullish approach. From a daily perspective, focus on the 3997 support area for now. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. From a four-hour perspective, which we've consistently emphasized, support currently lies at 4175. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. On an hourly basis, prices are also currently bullish, but short-term divergence is occurring. Therefore, be mindful of short-term bullish risks in the event of further upward movement. Meanwhile, today's early trading session saw another surge in gains, with the early morning low serving as a watershed for the day. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. Focus on the 4235-4266 area as an upward move.
Gold's Asian session low of 4199.73 marks the intraday watershed. Above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue. (Also, a divergence is occurring in the hourly chart, so be aware of the risks associated with a short-term rally.)
XAUUSD: Scalp & Swing Setup (Clear and direct)
🎯 SCALP TARGET: 20 Pips
· Quick momentum play on the lower timeframes.
· 🎯 SWING TARGET: 100+ Pips
· A larger move targeting the next key resistance on the 4H/Daily chart.
· 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT:
· A stop loss is crucial. Place it logically below the recent structure. (Always manage your risk!).
Checklist Before Entry:
✅ Price respects the support zone.
✅ Momentum confirms the move.
✅ Overall market context (DXY, etc.) is considered.
Join the Conversation:
What's your take on Gold? Bullish or Bearish? Let me know in the comments!
---
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#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #Forex #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #Finance #myshare_finance
GoldRider strikes again — perfect forecast to $4191!GoldRider nailed it again — another forecast right on target!
Gold extended its rally exactly as expected, reaching a new all-time high at $4191 earlier today.
Yesterday, I mentioned that once gold “enters the highway,” acceleration would be fast — and that’s exactly what happened.
Congratulations to everyone who followed the analysis and managed their trades wisely.
Today’s bullish momentum was fueled by a mix of fundamental drivers:
- Renewed U.S.–China trade tensions following fresh tariff headlines.
-Expectations of a 25-bps Fed rate cut in October, with more easing possible before year-end — as hinted by Chair Powell yesterday.
- Discussion about a potential balance-sheet reduction by the Fed.
-And finally, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk, which continues to boost safe-haven demand.
However, with gold now showing clear overbought signals, traders should be cautious with new long positions and focus on well-defined setups only.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy)
Entry: Above 4192 (or speculative entry from 4182–current level)
Targets: 4199 → 4206 → 4217 → 4228 → 4250 → 4264 → 4279 → (4295–4302)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell)
Entry: Below 4167 (or early entry near 4172)
Targets: 4162 → 4156 → 4144 → 4133 → (4120–4117) → 4098 → 4080 → 4073 → 4055 → 4040 → 4020
Note:
If you found this analysis helpful, I’d truly appreciate your support by sharing it with others.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market view and observations. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading carries high risk, and all decisions are solely the trader’s responsibility.
Gold hits new high at $4180, correction risk rising1. Market Overview
During the mid-day session on October 14, gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their upward momentum, reaching $4180/oz, setting a new all-time high.
The main drivers remain expectations of a Federal Reserve policy easing and strong safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions.
However, after breaking above $4175 and testing $4180, the market is showing signs of mild profit-taking, indicating that bullish momentum is temporarily slowing.
2. Technical Analysis
• Strong Resistance: $4180 – $4192
• Near Support: $4165 – $4158
• Deep Support: $4142 – $4130
• RSI (H1): 81 – Clearly overbought
• EMA20 (H1): $4158 – Acting as dynamic support
• Candlestick Pattern: Consecutive long upper wicks near $4175–$4180 → signal short-term correction pressure.
3. Outlook
Gold continues to hold a very strong bullish trend, but the risk of a technical correction is rising as the market becomes heavily overbought across multiple timeframes.
The $4180–$4192 zone now serves as a key short-term resistance area that may trigger selling pressure.
If the price fails to close an H1 candle above $4180, a pullback toward $4165–$4155 is likely.
Conversely, a break above $4192 with strong volume could push gold toward $4205–$4215 in the short term.
4. Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $4158 – $4155
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4152
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $4190 – $4193
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4196