Trade ideas
XAUUSD STRCTUREGold continues to show consistent bullish momentum, maintaining clean rebounds from its ascending trendline structure. The price action remains well-respected within the current bullish channel.
Recently, price broke above the key resistance level at 4200, confirming continued buying strength. With this breakout, upside targets are now seen around the 4260–4280 region, where the next potential resistance zone lies.
If price breaks and holds above 4240, it could signal renewed bullish momentum, paving the way for a further move toward higher resistance zones. However, failure to sustain above 4240 could lead to a short-term pullback toward 4200–4180 for possible re-entry opportunities.
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Gold's high-level volatility pattern remains unchangedGold's high-level volatility pattern remains unchanged, with bulls still in the driver's seat, supported by both fundamentals and technical factors.
Fundamental Background Analysis
Recently, heightened global economic and political uncertainty, renewed tensions in the Sino-US trade situation, and ongoing geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East have significantly heightened risk aversion in the market, leading to continued inflows into gold. Meanwhile, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have further strengthened, fueled by investors' fear of missing out (FOMO), leading to a strong upward trend in gold prices. Tonight, the market will release key data such as US weekly initial jobless claims, September's producer price index (PPI), and the monthly retail sales rate. These data may trigger short-term fluctuations in gold prices and warrant close attention.
Daily Trend Review
Gold prices generally fluctuated at high levels today. After opening slightly, they dipped back to a low of $4,199.58 per ounce, then surged to $4,242 before falling back to around $4,203, close to the morning opening level. Gold prices have now rebounded to around $4,240, indicating continued competition between bulls and bears at high levels, but the overall market structure remains positive.
Technical Analysis Perspective
Trend Structure
On the 4-hour chart, the moving average system is bullish, and gold prices continue to trade above the 5-day moving average, indicating that short-term upward momentum remains solid.
The Bollinger Bands are opening upward, and gold prices are trading above the middle band, further confirming that bulls are currently in control.
After breaking through the key round number of $4,200, gold prices have effectively opened up upside potential, and the overall trend remains bullish.
Key Price Levels
Support Area: Primary support lies in the 4200-4210 range, with deeper support at 4160 and 4120, respectively.
Resistance Target: If the upward trend continues, the initial target could be the 4260-4280 area.
Trend Pattern Prediction
Strong Unilateral Upward Attack: If the market rises directly in the early trading, it may quickly test the 4260-4280 area. In this case, it is recommended to wait for a pullback before entering the market.
Upward Oscillating Trend: If the trend becomes more subdued, the area around 4200 will become important support and an ideal entry point for long positions.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
Key Concept: Follow the bullish trend and prioritize buying on dips, avoiding contrarian top speculation.
Specific Operations:
We recommend establishing long positions in the 4210-4200 range, and consider adding to positions if the price drops to 4180.
Set a strict stop-loss below 4170 to mitigate potential pullback risk.
Upward targets include 4230 and 4250, with further targets targeting 4260.
Risk Warning: Despite the current strong trend, be wary of potential sentiment shifts on Thursday, a potential "turnaround day." In the event of an unexpected pullback, 4160 and 4120 will become key defensive levels, offering opportunities for buying on dips.
Summary: Gold maintains a clear overall bullish outlook, supported by both fundamentals and technicals. Investors should pay attention to the immediate impact of the release of US economic data in the evening on market sentiment, strictly follow the principle of trend trading, seize opportunities to intervene in pullbacks, and at the same time do a good job of position management and risk control.
Gold experienced a technical pullback after reaching a record hiGold experienced a technical pullback after reaching a record high, but its long-term trend remains supported.
I. Fundamental Drivers Analysis
On Tuesday (October 14th), spot gold retreated from its all-time high of $4,179.47 per ounce and is currently trading around $4,141. This pullback is primarily driven by the following factors:
Recovering risk sentiment: The US President's shift in stance on tariffs boosted market risk appetite, prompting some profit-taking in gold.
A temporary rebound in the US dollar: Dip-buying of the US dollar index has exerted short-term pressure on gold prices.
Policy Expectations Support: Market expectations for two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year continue to rise, limiting the dollar's upside and providing underlying support for gold.
Risk Warning: Economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and geopolitical conflict risks caused by the US government shutdown remain. Gold's safe-haven value remains strong, and blind short selling is not recommended.
II. In-depth Technical Analysis
Trend Positioning
Gold's year-to-date gain has exceeded $1,600, a record high, maintaining a strong bullish trend.
The current technical outlook is severely overbought, and any pullback is a healthy technical correction that does not alter the long-term bull market fundamentals.
Key Price Levels
Resistance: $4170-4180 (historical highs)
Support: $4100-4090 (primary support), $4065 (key defense)
Trend Characteristics
Recently, the market has exhibited a typical "Monday opening jump" pattern, which has proven effective for several consecutive weeks.
Be wary of the potential for a technical pullback on Tuesday (reflecting historical trends, single-day pullbacks can reach $80).
III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
Operational Strategies
Main Direction: Build a long position after a pullback stabilizes
Secondary Strategy: Test short positions with a small position on a rebound to resistance (short-term)
Specific Layout
Long Position Strategy:
Ideal Entry Zones: $4100-4090, $4065
Stop-Loss: Below $4050
Target Level: $4150-4170
Risk Management Tips:
Avoid chasing gains and selling losses; patiently wait for key support levels to stabilize.
If an ideal entry level is not provided, it is better to miss out than to open a position blindly.
Strictly limit risk per trade to no more than 3% of principal.
IV. Special Reminders
Current market volatility has increased significantly; it is recommended to reduce position size appropriately.
Watch for potential market turning signals during the evening US trading session.
Long-term investors may consider adopting a phased position building strategy.
GOLD 11% DROP 2nd times the charmLast call resistance but i guess with the global sinking in all assests that took place it decided to go higher as everyones safest bet amid such bearish unsion within all sectors, instruments, nations
so this time im expecting the tank if not here ill update where to again
XAUUSD Analsis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Intraday AnalysisGold continues to move inside a well-defined ascending channel, with price currently testing the upper boundary near 4145 – 4150. The bullish momentum has remained consistent since the recent rebound from the midline support zone around 3980 – 4000, supported by higher highs and higher lows across the 1H timeframe.
Technical Outlook
Trend: Strong bullish momentum within ascending channel
Support zone: 4090 – 4085
Resistance zone: 4215 – 4220
EMA confluence: 20 EMA remains below price action, acting as dynamic support
RSI: Approaching overbought levels (>70), signaling potential short-term exhaustion
Trading Strategy
If the price sustains above 4140, short-term buyers may aim for 4215 – 4220 as the next resistance target. However, failure to break cleanly above 4150 could trigger a corrective pullback toward 4090 – 4100, where fresh buy setups may appear along the lower channel line.
Buy Zone: 4090 – 4100
Stop Loss: 4080
Take Profit: 4215 – 4220 (partial), open above breakout
Market Sentiment
The bullish structure remains intact as long as gold trades within the channel. Traders should watch for a breakout above 4220 for confirmation of continued upside, or a channel breakdown below 4080 to confirm short-term reversal pressure.
Gold remains fundamentally supported by inflation expectations and global risk aversion, keeping the medium-term bias bullish.
Note: Monitor price reaction around 4150 — a decisive breakout could extend momentum sharply, while rejection may trigger temporary consolidation.
If you find this setup valuable, follow for more daily gold trading strategies.
GoldRiders, are you ready for another golden day?Today’s Range as of now: 4,375 – 4,318
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
Entry: Above 4,356
Targets: (4,368–4,372) – (4,379–4,381) – 4,390 – (4,398–4,402) – 4,415 – 4,423 – 4,430 – 4,450
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Entry: As long as the price remains below 4,330 – selling opportunities prevail.
Targets: (4,322–4,318) – 4,310 – 4,305 – 4,294 – 4,282 – 4,271 – 4,260 – 4,247 – 4,232 – 4,219 – 4,204 – 4,191 – 4,176
GoldRider Notes:
Extreme volatility continues — traders are chasing every move.
Stick to your risk management plan, avoid emotional trading, and always follow GoldRider’s key levels and updates.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves high risk, and all decisions are the trader’s sole responsibility.
GoldGold 🥇 | Comprehensive Technical Analysis - Setting a Significant Rejection Zone
Current Price: Around $4,353 | Timeframe: Daily - Weekly
Date: October 21, 2025
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📊 Overview On the Market:
Gold has completed an exceptional bullish cycle, reaching new all-time highs above 4,400, which I believe represents the local high for the current phase.
However, several technical factors now point to an imminent correction before any potential continuation.
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🔍 Key Technical Notes:
▪️ Price Zone:
The stock is currently trading in a bullish zone—an area where institutional investors historically tend to take profits and open short positions.
▪️ Market Sentiment:
Fear and Greed Index: 78/100 (Extreme Greed)
These extreme readings in bullish zones precede corrections in 85% of historical cases.
▪️ Structural Analysis:
- Overall Structure: Bullish (higher timeframes)
- Internal Structure: Showing signs of weakness and bearish divergence
- A potential Change in Personality (CHoCH) is forming on medium timeframes
▪️ Supply and Demand Zones:
Multiple untested resistance zones below, as well as unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets.
▪️ Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
Price is analyzed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, 1-day, 1-week, etc.) using advanced order flow techniques and proprietary market structure mapping tools—all of which point to a potential upcoming correction.
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🎯 Expected Scenario (High Probability):
Stage 1 - Initial Correction:
📍 Target 1: $3,777-$3,816
(Balance Zone)
📍 Target 2: $3,688-$3,749
(Discount Zone - Optimal Entry)
Stage 2 - Deeper Correction (Moderate Probability):
📍 Target 3: $3,465-$3,580
(Strong Institutional Demand - Buy Orders)
In addition to unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets.
Note: Additional Confirmation Required
After Reaching the Discount Zones:
The possibility of a continued uptrend exists, but is not currently highly likely. The situation will be reassessed upon reaching the demand zones.
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⚡ Why this analysis?
This analysis is based on:
✓ Advanced order flow analysis techniques
✓ Professional tools for mapping market structure
✓ Premium/Discount Zone Theory
✓ Detecting institutional order blocks
✓ Market sentiment analysis
✓ Liquidity level mapping
These are not traditional retail trading tools; they are institutional analysis techniques used by professional traders.
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📚 Previous Record:
Some may remember my previous analysis of gold in August 2023:
📌 Analysis for August 13 2023:
- Expectations: Rise from 1780
- Targets: 2500 → 2800 → Over 3800
- Result: ✅ 100% Success Rate
- Actual Movement: Reaching over 4400 (147% Profit)
- Update (April 2024): "Trade Closed at Target"
This analysis is based on the same institutional framework applied to this current situation. The methodology is effective because it tracks actual cash flow—not trader sentiment.
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⚠️ Risk Management (Mandatory):
Regardless of your confidence level, risk management is non-negotiable:
✓ Don't risk more than 1-2% of your capital on each trade.
✓ Always set a stop-loss before entering.
✓ Avoid excessive leverage.
✓ Maximize your profits. Steps
✓ Research yourself (DYOR)
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⚖️ Disclaimer:
This is educational technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
Trading carries a significant risk of capital loss.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trade at your own risk.
Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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💬 Share your opinion with us:
What do you think of gold at these levels?
📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like and follow it for more analysis.
🔔 Turn on notifications to receive updates as soon as this setting develops.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its powerful ascent, extending gains and printing new all-time highs in nearly every session.
Price is currently trending near 4,235 — an intraday resistance level — while momentum remains firm, showing sustained buyer dominance.
If price reclaims and holds above 4,235, the next resistance sits at 4,257, followed by 4,280 as an extended upside target.
Immediate support is seen at 4,205, and if a deeper pullback develops, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,176–4,150) for potential re-entry opportunities.
The broader bias remains bullish with MA50 and MA200 continuing to provide dynamic trend support.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4235
4264
4280
Support:
4205
4176
4150
4112
4082
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later, boosting gold’s appeal as lower yields reduce the cost of holding the metal. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown is adding another layer of uncertainty, freezing data releases and shaking confidence in fiscal management.
Tensions between the U.S. and China, along with political instability in parts of Europe and Asia, continue to weigh on global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, central banks and large funds keep accumulating gold as a hedge against debt, inflation, and a weakening dollar.
Together, these forces have created an environment with no clear ceiling for gold, as every dip is met with strong buying and momentum keeps pushing prices to new record highs.
XAU…Full TP taken on original longs…. 🥂
We close to tapping in handles here, I’d say 30min or so for some direction…
Does she want $4160? We’ll soon find out.
We don’t want this 4h closing above $4150 or she may charge out $4191.
Needs to rip back $4139 for closure.
Definitely looking to short & claim back $4108-4 for starters, and if we settle below!!!
$4011 on call and further!!!
Many opps here, can try breakdown the timeframes where it stands OR just let it roll and base a profile from $4108.
We be there, that’s a fact!!!!
🗣️
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3894
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3939
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3979
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4025
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4066
BEARISH TARGETS
3839
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3741
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3688
3648
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Pressure Building!Gold's sideways move the past four months is finally about to change, the longer the sideways move, the bigger the resulting move, each small pullback flushed out the weak hands, some calling to short gold.
We are in a clear wave four correction, wave five up will follow, in precious metals, wave fives are the most dramatic.
Our target is $4000, could go even higher and overshoot to $4200ish...by October/November.
The Dow is very bullish at this time as the final rally concludes.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good trading and God Bless you all!
Gold Targeting #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 ahead of #4,500.80 markAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).'
My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3907 and a gap below at 3880. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 .
Today market is creepy We have to be very careful.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven.
2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270.
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .
Bull Market Momentum Extends After 0.618 BreakoutGold continues its parabolic uptrend, extending beyond the all-time high breakout and surpassing the 0.618 Fibonacci extension with a strong engulfing candle. This confirms that buyers remain in full control of the current market phase.
Key Technical Points:
- Immediate Support: $4,920
- Extension Target: $5,162
- Trend: Strongly bullish
Momentum remains firmly bullish as price consolidates above the previous extension zone. The next measured move target lies at $5,162, aligning with the next Fibonacci expansion, which could mark a potential short-term top before correction.
However, market structure continues to favor higher highs and higher lows, and pullbacks are likely to be shallow as long as $4,920 holds firm.
In summary, Gold remains in a powerful bullish trend, with $5,162 acting as the next major target before any meaningful retracement occurs.
Gold rebounds in a V-shape, a resounding rebound from support!
The gold market is currently influenced by a mix of bullish and bearish factors. On the one hand, expectations of aggressive interest rate hikes from major central banks (particularly the Federal Reserve) continue to put pressure on gold prices, as higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold. The continued strength of the US dollar also limits gold's upward potential. On the other hand, growing geopolitical concerns are providing significant safe-haven support for gold prices. The market is closely watching inflation data and central bank policy signals amidst persistent risks and concerns about a global recession. Any sign of a slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes could trigger a strong rebound in gold prices. Overall, based on fundamentals, gold prices are more likely to experience a volatile pattern in the short term, but safe-haven buying below provides solid support.
From a technical perspective, gold prices have established a significant short-term support level near 4160. This level is not only the low point of multiple recent pullbacks but also near a key psychological support level. The current price, near 4181, is just above this support level, showing signs of stabilization. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) may have rebounded from oversold territory, suggesting weakening downward momentum and the need for a technical rebound. An initial upside target could be 4210, the intersection of the recent rebound high and a minor resistance level. Setting a stop-loss at 4161, just below the support level, effectively manages risk. If support breaks, gold prices could see further downside potential.
Gold recommends a long position around 4181, with a stop-loss at 4161 and a target of 4210.
Gold: Scaling Back at 4090 - Awaiting Key Dip-Buying EntryFederal Reserve Chair Powell is scheduled to speak at 16:20 GMT on Wednesday, addressing the National Association for Business Economics on the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy.
This speech comes at a time of heightened global market volatility, driven by renewed trade tensions and sharp corrections in digital asset markets. Powell’s remarks may shape expectations around the pace of rate cuts and broader monetary policy, influencing whether the current downward trend in crypto deepens or stabilizes.
Gold pushed to extreme highs during the Asian and European sessions, reinforcing our stance: it’s wise to remain bullish but avoid chasing the rally. Instead, wait for pullbacks to establish long positions.
With the retracement we’re now observing, the timing to enter long positions appears opportune.
4090 serves as the key intraday support and trend-defending level
4060 acts as the broader swing bullish/bearish divider
After a day of observation, we can now align with the overall uptrend by using these two levels as references.
Execute repeated long positions near 4090, with an initial target of 10–15 points for partial closing. Let remaining positions run toward further highs.
This approach allows you to build long exposure from a solid base — avoiding the risk of buying at extreme highs or getting whipsawed in volatile intermediate price zones.
🟡 Trading Strategy
Enter long on dips toward 4090
Add on retests near 4060 if reached
Partial take profit at +10/15 points
Let runners advance toward new highs