GOLD XAUUSDGOLD ,layer by layer GOLD is crazy now ,it could touch 4400-4416 if it swings again.
global reset of the price of GOLD ...5000 gold is not far.
#gold #xauusd #dollar #dxy
Trade ideas
XAUUSD – Why I’m Preparing for a Long SetupI’m not randomly calling buys here — the chart is clearly building the case for another bullish leg. Let me walk you through the logic behind the anticipation:
🔹 1. Overall Trend Structure Is Still Bullish
Price has been consistently printing:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
Respecting the ascending trendline cleanly
Until there’s a confirmed break of structure to the downside, my bias remains bullish.
🔹 2. Liquidity Sweep Above the Highs
We’ve just seen a session-based liquidity sweep above the recent highs:
No bearish follow-through
Price is reacting but not reversing aggressively
That sweep gives the algorithm liquidity to push higher once price rebalances.
🔹 3. Clean Pullback Zones Are Lined Up
I’m not chasing price — I’m waiting for price to retrace deeper into:
H1 Imbalance
OTE Discount Zone
Demand / Reaccumulation Block
Previous structure support
The red zone you marked aligns with:
61–79% retracement
Structural demand
Stop raid liquidity below
That’s the kind of area smart money loves to load longs.
🔹 4. Still Untapped Buy-Side Liquidity Above
Look at what rests above:
Previous daily high (PDH)
Session highs not fully cleared
External liquidity pools waiting to be targeted
The bullish delivery objective hasn’t been satisfied.
🔹 5. No Bearish Displacement or BOS
Even after the sweep:
No strong bearish displacement
No market structure break
Just corrective price action
Until we see a clean shift down, the pullback is treated as accumulation.
🔹 6. Projected Delivery Model
Your blue projection shows the exact logic:
Liquidity grab ✅
Retracement into demand ✅
Reaction + continuation ✅
Final target = buy-side liquidity above ✅
This is textbook smart money buildup.
✅ Summary for Followers
“The overall structure is still bullish, price has swept liquidity without breaking structure, and I’m waiting for a retracement into the H1 OTE/demand zone. Once price dips into that zone, I’ll be looking to take a long toward the external buy-side liquidity around and above PDH.”
XAUUSD Builds Upward PressureGold continues to trade within a strong upward trajectory,showing consistent momentum and firm buyer engagement.The market structure indicates ongoing accumulation,with price maintaining stability after minor corrective movements.Buy-side activity remains dominant,reflecting confidence among institutional participants as the metal sustains its trend within an orderly channel.While short-term pullbacks may occur for liquidity rebalancing,the broader outlook remains decisively bullish as long as momentum persists and demand continues to support higher valuations.
Gold: Scaling Back at 4090 - Awaiting Key Dip-Buying EntryFederal Reserve Chair Powell is scheduled to speak at 16:20 GMT on Wednesday, addressing the National Association for Business Economics on the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy.
This speech comes at a time of heightened global market volatility, driven by renewed trade tensions and sharp corrections in digital asset markets. Powell’s remarks may shape expectations around the pace of rate cuts and broader monetary policy, influencing whether the current downward trend in crypto deepens or stabilizes.
Gold pushed to extreme highs during the Asian and European sessions, reinforcing our stance: it’s wise to remain bullish but avoid chasing the rally. Instead, wait for pullbacks to establish long positions.
With the retracement we’re now observing, the timing to enter long positions appears opportune.
4090 serves as the key intraday support and trend-defending level
4060 acts as the broader swing bullish/bearish divider
After a day of observation, we can now align with the overall uptrend by using these two levels as references.
Execute repeated long positions near 4090, with an initial target of 10–15 points for partial closing. Let remaining positions run toward further highs.
This approach allows you to build long exposure from a solid base — avoiding the risk of buying at extreme highs or getting whipsawed in volatile intermediate price zones.
🟡 Trading Strategy
Enter long on dips toward 4090
Add on retests near 4060 if reached
Partial take profit at +10/15 points
Let runners advance toward new highs
Gold: Maintain Long Positions, Await Pullback OpportunitiesDespite several pullback attempts this week, gold regained upward momentum during the U.S. trading session driven by safe-haven demand, closing near the weekly highs. Persistent geopolitical uncertainties continue to underpin the metal, leaving it in a technically strong position.
On the weekly chart, gold has recorded eight consecutive bullish closes, confirming the intact broader uptrend. Key support rests around 3944, with stronger support at this week’s low of 3884. Immediate resistance is seen near 4040, followed by major resistance around this week’s peak of 4059. Should prices fail to clearly break above 4059 in the near term, the market may enter a phase of consolidation—though a deep correction remains unlikely.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s session concluded with a bullish hammer-like candle, characterized by a long lower wick, signaling strong buying interest near recent lows. This provides a constructive signal for the medium-term outlook. Given the current technical structure and fundamental backdrop, the primary approach remains buying on dips—unless a clear reversal pattern emerges.
Heading into next Monday's market open, monitor whether gold can extend its recovery. That said, be mindful of a potential retreat if prices test recent highs but fail to break through. The daily chart may show alternating bullish and bearish sessions or a period of sideways action before the next leg higher.
XAUUSD 15M 13.10.2025 Price has reached the Fibonacci level 1, so there’s a chance it may pull back first.
maybe just to take IDM, or drop deeper to the POI zone
IDM = 4073
POI buy = 3900-4000
GOLD XAUUSD WATCH KEY SUPPLY ROOF @ 4258-4260
WATCH 4288-4290-4300 ZONE WITH GOOD risk management.
the trade reason.
the fib level resistance says sell at 4285-4288-4290 and i extend it to whole number 4300
the rsi divergent has two rejection in a zone tested multiple times ,creating a high rejection probability.
the ascending trendline was a broken demand floor which turns it into supply roof now and above price and creating a double confluence with the fib level
the ema+sma guiding price indicating bulls after break of London high 4242-4240 suggesting liquidity + newyork/londeon session volatility
NOTE MANAGE YOUR RISK,ANAY ANALYSIS CAN FAIL BECAUSE TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY.
I WISH YOU GOODLUCK.
LIKE AND SHARE FOR MORE .
Gold Silver ratioI'm expecting gold to outperform silver on it's way to $8000 US/oz. The ratio is consolidating below the .5 bull fib level, and it will be nice to see a breakout from this level, and possibly a run for the 1-level fib. If history repeats, then a revisit to the top of the fib channel.
Nothing is baked in stone. They may find a new us for silver, where it suddenly has value, but right now, it's just a rock. Gold is outperforming silver, and has been for a long time. Silver bugs are a special breed.
Keep an eye on the chart though, because it's good to know. You never know unless you see it in the candles.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Correction Within Ascending ChannelPrice: around $4,077.2.
The price is moving inside an ascending channel, and it has just touched or slightly broken the upper resistance line.
A pullback from this resistance level is likely, as shown by the blue arrow on your chart.
The target (TAEGET) zone is highlighted between $4,020–$4,040, where price may correct before deciding next direction.
Major support lies around $4,006.41 (blue horizontal line).
📉 Possible Short-Term Scenario
Expect a pullback from the top of the channel toward the target zone (around 4,020).
If the correction deepens, price could test the 4,006 level, which aligns with previous horizontal support and Ichimoku cloud support.
A bullish rebound from 4,020–4,006 would confirm continuation of the uptrend.
However, a break below 4,006 would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and may trigger a deeper drop
XAU murdered with fashion Pinpoint accuracy 📍 🔪
Gold smashing out major handle @ $4318!!!!
Secured the daily on close.
Pay attention to this handle….
She should be hunting $4245 and I believe this is a job for Uncle Ling the plug in the Asian session.
This is super crucial and will decide if we are on a continuous path to $4484.74 OR if we are ready to take back some grounds on $4140-$4011!!!!
Both handles above demand the same amount of respect and it should be decided upon the interactions with $4245.
If we make a high today, it will put us in a strong position for $4484.74 & will be looking into some long profiles to shoot off from $4245!
Stay Sharp, & enjoy your weekend!!!! 🫡
XAUUSDGold hit a high of 4180 before plummeting 90 points in a remarkably short period of time, a clear sign of a major market manipulation. September's gains were very stable, with limited room for pullbacks. We must be wary of a sharp and rapid decline in October. Excessive gains will inevitably lead to a market shakeout, a risk we've repeatedly discussed.
After breaking through yesterday's high, the daily chart suggests a continuation of the trend today, with an intraday surge. However, after the sharp drop, a return to strength may not be imminent; a period of consolidation is needed. Therefore, the US market is expected to see volatility initially. With prices deviating significantly from the short-term moving average, a correction is needed to bring prices closer. An uncorrected rise is unhealthy. A return to bullish strength after a correction indicates the trend is continuing.
XAUUSD | m15 frame gold drops sharply by 50 points ? 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just set a historical peak (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD region, following a steep upward trend over multiple sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of upward structure (BoS) – a sign indicating that bullish momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , which is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price area that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deep demand zone with large liquidity confluence, likely to become the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD region without breaking through,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario is suitable for short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, open a trend-following buy order .
Target: the 4,125 → 4,145 USD region or the old peak of 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone doesn't hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD area will be an ideal zone for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritize trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD region.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when prices react at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed upward signal.
Gold Breaks Out: Strong Uptrend Continues!With the current XAUUSD chart, gold is showing a strong upward trend. On October 13th, gold broke the 4,100 USD/ounce mark, setting a new record due to the ongoing US-China trade tensions and expectations of a Fed rate cut. Politically, President Donald Trump's reignition of the trade war with China has driven investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset.
Furthermore, the 97% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25% in October and 100% in December strengthens the appeal of gold, as gold typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
According to the chart analysis, gold may continue to climb towards the next resistance levels at 4,100 USD and 4,230 USD, if the current uptrend continues. In the short term, this bullish trend is expected to remain strong.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 14thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4200, Support: 3945
4-Hour Resistance: 4180, Support: 4060
1-Hour Resistance: 4145, Support: 4090
From a technical perspective, after yesterday's surge to 4100, gold continued its upward trend today, challenging 4200, reaching a high near 4180. This also indicates that the market is entering a period of acceleration, and a significant downward correction is imminent.
As a result, gold and silver prices began to fall sharply in the Asian market today, with gold prices quickly falling from 4180 to 4090, a $90 drop in just one hour. While a $90 correction may seem significant, it's not an exaggeration compared to the period of the upward trend.
Of course, it's too early to say whether gold will continue to fall sharply. After all, several key levels (last week's high of 4060 and low of 3945) have not yet been broken. For now, the upward trend can only be considered a pause. As long as key support remains, the trend will not easily change.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4090near
BUY: 4060near
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert
📈 Buy Entry: 4202
🎯 Targets: 4225 – 4240 – 4253 (Final Target)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 4185 (Adjust based on your risk level)
Analysis:
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum from the 4202 support zone. If buyers hold above this level, we expect an upward move toward the 4253 resistance area. Watch for volume confirmation and candle strength before entering the trade to ensure breakout validation.
XAUUSD LONGA long position on gold could be confirmed if the 1-minute trendline breaks. However, waiting for a double bottom pattern on the 1-minute chart would make the buy setup more reliable.
GOLD: Pullback risk needs to be guarded against📈At the opening of trading today, gold’s performance aligns perfectly with our judgment yesterday. After breaking through 4100 the previous day, gold has continued its upward trend today. within just one trading day, it has surged toward the extended target range of 4170, peaking at around 4179 before encountering resistance near 4180 and pulling back. If the market breaks above the resistance zone of 4180-4183, attention should then shift to the key 4200 level above. Once gold firmly holds above 4200, it cannot be ruled out that it will accelerate its advance toward the 4280-4300 area.
📝However, we can see that today’s price is close to the upper edge of the upward channel—a zone that usually faces significant resistance. Today’s price action of surging higher and then pulling back also reflects, to a certain extent, the suppressing effect of the upper edge of the upward channel on the price, with short-term upward momentum weakening somewhat.
💡In the short term, due to overbought conditions on the technical side and pressure from profit-taking, London Gold may undergo a certain degree of correction. Nevertheless, the medium-to-long-term upward trend remains intact. Investors need to pay close attention to the speeches by Federal Reserve Governor Bowman and Fed Chair Powell tonight; their remarks could alter market expectations for interest rate cuts, which in turn may trigger sharp short-term fluctuations in gold prices.
💎Buy 4120 - 4125
TP 4150 - 4160 - 4170
SL 4100
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAU/USD 14 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.935
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.
During the bullish run, price has printed two very insignificant bearish CHoCH's before price continued bullish.
Due to the insignificance of the bearish CHoCH's I have left them unmarked.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
We are now trading within an established internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.135.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
XAUUSD 15/10/2025Yesterday we saw XAUUSD drop a small wave after reaching TP 4174 and now in accumulation zone. Expected if price breaks the upper trend line then rise to 4260. In case of breaking the lower trend line then fall to 4065 and wait for another setup.
Gold: Breaks through 4200 to hit a new all-time high📈Gold has once again refreshed its all-time high, supported by escalating concerns over U.S.-Asia trade and expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice more within the year.
📝The strong rally of gold this time is mainly driven by two key factors:
First, global trade worries have intensified. U.S. President Trump stated on Tuesday that he might suspend edible oil trade with Asian countries—a move that triggered a sharp surge in market safe-haven demand. In response, Asian countries have warned of retaliatory measures, further worsening trade tensions.
Second, expectations for Fed rate cuts have heated up. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at another 0.25-percentage-point interest rate cut this month, and the market generally expects two rate cuts to be implemented within the year. The low-yield environment has significantly reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets, providing sustained support to the precious metals market.
In today’s early session, gold bulls stabilized in the 4140 zone and gained momentum again. As of now, gold has broken through the $4,200 mark to reach a new all-time high. For gold’s current trend, we remain bullish, with upside targets at 4,300 and 4,500. Do not attempt to predict the top until there are clear signs of a peak. Undoubtedly, the primary trading strategy remains "buying on dips." Key support levels to watch include today’s intraday low and the short-term uptrend support that has been in place since 4,090. If this support holds, the bullish momentum will remain strong and gold will continue to hit new highs. Key resistance zones to focus on above are 4,210–4,215, followed by 4,245–4,240.
Nevertheless, investors must closely monitor changes in geopolitical situations and signals from the Federal Reserve, adjust strategies flexibly, and strictly control risks.
💎Buy 4160 - 4165
TP 4180 - 4190 - 4200
SL 4150
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAU updatedUncle ling as anticipated….
Nice roll on entry, in & out and now faces the hurdle of 233 mentioned on previous post…
If she can sustain here on higher tf closures we should get our targets very easily…
Protect yourself, roll some, take some, reduce some? 🤷
Let’s gooo!!!
GOLD GOLD EMA+SMA+FIB+MARKET STRUCTURE THE EMA provided a clear buy support in line with the demand floor and defended buyers, as long as we stay above 4000 ,keep buying gold .
if we retest fib+structure supply roof at 4179-4175 sell from that zone ,however break and close above 4179 wait till high zone is printed and take the correction profit.
