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Gold 1H – Will Dovish Fed Bets Keep Gold Above 4300?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold prices remain resilient near $4,365 as traders assess the shifting outlook for U.S. monetary policy. After softer inflation data earlier this week, market sentiment has turned cautiously dovish — investors are speculating that the Federal Reserve may cut rates sooner in 2026 if growth indicators weaken further. However, today's focus is on the U.S. housing and labor data, which could influence short-term volatility. A strong report may revive dollar demand and trigger profit-taking in gold, while weaker readings could boost safe-haven interest and push XAUUSD higher toward 4,400+. Expect intraday swings as liquidity hunts unfold before any decisive trend confirmation. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • The structure remains bullish, supported by consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a clean reaccumulation phase during the 4,230–4,270 consolidation. • Price recently tapped a premium supply zone near 4,400, where early sellers may attempt short-term reactions. • The discount demand zone at 4,300–4,302 aligns with a 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement and previous BOS support, offering a high-probability re-entry area for continuation. • Liquidity sweeps above 4,400–4,398 could attract institutional profit-taking before the next bullish leg resumes. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4400 – 4398 SL: 4410 TP targets: 4340 → 4315 🟢 Buy Setup: 4300 – 4302 SL: 4293 TP targets: 4345 → 4385 → 4410+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entering any setup. • Expect volatility during U.S. macro data releases — spreads may widen temporarily. • Use partial take-profits near intraday liquidity zones and trail stops once structure confirms bullish continuation. ✅ Summary XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure above 4,300. A short-term pullback toward the 4,300–4,302 demand zone could offer another opportunity for buyers to rejoin the trend. While profit-taking may occur at 4,400, the broader bias remains “Buy the Dip” unless a confirmed shift in structure occurs below 4,293.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold Holding Strong Above $4,100 — Bulls Eye $4,300 Next🌍 Market Update & Key Drivers Gold is holding above $4,100/oz, after a strong run. Safe-haven demand is still a major driver given global uncertainties (trade tensions, risk in U.S. fiscal policy). The U.S. dollar remains soft, which is favorable for gold. Fed rate-cut expectations are still elevated; major central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold positions. Some caution emerges: central banks and institutional funds may take partial profits, leading to short-term volatility. 📈 Technical Structure & Levels Support Zones First: ~$4,100 Then: ~$4,050 Deeper: ~$4,000 Resistance / Target Zones $4,200 → $4,300 If momentum is strong: $4,400+ The trend is strongly bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overextension. A cooling-off or sideways phase is possible before new highs. 🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy Directional Bias: Bullish overall, but expect short-term consolidation. Trade ideas: Buy on dips into recent support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100). Breakout trade: If gold convincingly breaks above $4,200 with strong volume, engage for a move to $4,300+. Scalp / Short pullback: If you see reversal signals near recent highs, play short-term moves back to support. Key risk factors include: hawkish surprises from the Fed, USD strength, or large profit-taking at extremes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
BUY ASSET GOLD-XAUUSDBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone. Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session. Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential. Entry: Active Stop Loss: Below recent swing low Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS Momentum is building as bulls step back into control! This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing. Market Snapshot Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent. Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control. Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin. Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection. Trading Outlook Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds. Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones. Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins. Trader’s Note This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by MARITradesGold
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading around a strong support zone, an area where buyers have previously shown solid interest. After a period of correction, price action is indicating signs of accumulation and a possible shift in momentum from sellers to buyers. If the price continues to hold above this support region and forms a bullish candle structure (like a hammer or bullish engulfing), it may confirm the start of a reversal to the upside. Volume analysis also suggests that buyers are gradually stepping back in, defending the key demand levels. As long as the market maintains its position above support, the overall structure remains bullish, and potential upward continuation can be expected in the short to medium term.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
XAUUSD – Buy the Dip | Targets: $4,200 → $4,400+XAUUSD – Buy the Dip | Targets: $4,200 → $4,400+ 🟡 Gold is offering a textbook dip-buying opportunity within a strong bullish structure. Price is holding above key Fibonacci retracement levels, with smart money accumulation signaling strength beneath the surface. The immediate target is $4,200, with an extended projection toward $4,400+ as momentum builds. 📌 Stay aligned with the trend. 🧠 Fundamentals + technicals are in confluence. #XAUUSD #Gold #BuyTheDip #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #Commodities #Investing
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
2
XAU/USD 16 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and has reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,242.380. Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook – Smart Money PerspectiveGold continues to break its all-time highs (ATH), with the previous peak at 4218. Shortly after, a liquidity grab occurred at 4163, roughly an hour later. This happened during the London session, a period often marked by institutional manipulation. These moves are typically executed by big players, institutions, and whales to liquidate weak hands or retail traders who entered buys near the ATH, resulting in nearly 500 pips of drawdown. To FOMO traders, this move appeared as a selling opportunity, but the whales regained control, causing the market to consolidate, leaving many confused. This is a classic trap strategy used by smart money to shake out emotional traders. BUYING SCENARIO (Bullish Bias): Watch the M30 Fair Value Gap (FVG) closely. If a 30-minute candle closes inside or above the FVG, it confirms that price is respecting the imbalance zone. This gives a high probability for price to continue upward and potentially break above the 4218 ATH, forming a new high. Confluences to consider: - M30 FVG respected and filled - Strong bullish candle close - Presence of bullish order block below --------------------------------------- SELLING SCENARIO (Cautious Bearish Bias): Although the overall market structure remains bullish, a short-term sell opportunity may occur if: - Price rejects both M15 FVGs (indicating sell-side reaction). - A 15-minute candle closes below 4169, confirming bearish intent. - There is a clear market structure shift (MSS) or a lower high formation on M5–M15. Key Reminders: Don’t sell blindly into a bullish trend, wait for strong confirmations. Look for liquidity resting below current lows as a potential target. 💡 Quote / Trivia for Traders: Did you know? In trading, waiting is a position. Patience is a form of execution. It's not just about entries and exits, the ability to wait for the right setup is what separates disciplined traders from impulsive ones.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mugiwara_kiyotaka
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (14/10/2025, U.S. SESSION)Gold continues to consolidate after a strong intraday rebound from 4,090. The market is showing compression between 4,125–4,144, forming a temporary equilibrium structure after Friday’s impulsive rejection from 4,179. Volatility is expected to increase as liquidity builds ahead of U.S. CPI data tomorrow. ⸻ 🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW • Trend Context: Macro bias remains bullish (D1 uptrend intact), but short-term distribution structure is visible below 4,144–4,150. • Liquidity Zones: • Buy-side liquidity resting above 4,150–4,165. • Sell-side liquidity below 4,093–4,072. • Market Cycle Stage: Reaccumulation or pre-breakout compression. ⸻ 🔍 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL OUTLOOK D1 – Macro Trend Context • Price action: Successive bullish candles above 20EMA and 50EMA. • RSI (81.9): Overbought but still supportive — structure points to controlled retracement before continuation. • MACD: Bullish momentum moderating, suggesting potential pause before trend expansion. • Key level: Daily resistance at 4,179.70 (weak high), immediate support 4,084–4,063. H1 – Intraday Structure • Clean Break of Structure (BOS) from 4,090 → 4,137, followed by consolidation. • Minor lower high confirmed at 4,144, forming temporary range. • RSI at 57 — neutral, showing balanced order flow. • MACD histogram contracting, indicating loss of bullish momentum. • Current structure favors a pullback toward the Golden Zone before next directional move. 15M–5M – Short-Term Precision View • Clear CHoCH observed below 4,132. • EMA cluster flattening (20EMA ≈ 4,130, 50EMA ≈ 4,125). • Short-term buyers defending 4,125–4,120, but volume divergence showing early exhaustion. • A break below 4,125 would confirm liquidity sweep and open the door for 4,093–4,072 retracement. ⸻ 📊 FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE ALIGNMENT • Swing High: 4,179 • Swing Low: 4,090 ➡️ Golden Zone = 4,124 – 4,136 This zone coincides with the 1H resistance confluence, trendline touchpoint, and intraday imbalance fill. It serves as the key decision zone for U.S. session traders. ⸻ 🎯 HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE SETUPS 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario • Confirmation: Break & retest above 4,144. • Entry: Buy on retest of 4,144–4,147 zone. • Targets: 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200 • Stop-loss: Below 4,125 (structure invalidation). • Rationale: Reclaiming prior supply + momentum expansion expected if DXY weakens. 2️⃣ Bearish Corrective Scenario • Confirmation: Rejection from 4,136–4,144 (Golden Zone). • Entry: Sell from 4,136–4,140 range with candle confirmation. • Targets: 4,110 → 4,093 → 4,072 • Stop-loss: Above 4,150. • Rationale: RSI divergence + MACD histogram contraction + liquidity sweep above previous highs. ⸻ 📅 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS • 🕐 No major U.S. economic data today, but traders are positioning ahead of tomorrow’s CPI report, which will define midweek volatility. • 🕐 DXY remains stable near 104.90, keeping gold capped intraday. • 🕐 Treasury yields flat; risk sentiment mixed — aligning with gold’s consolidation. ⸻ ⚠️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS • Major Resistance: 4,144 / 4,165 / 4,179 • Intraday Support: 4,125 / 4,110 / 4,093 / 4,072 • Extreme Levels: 4,050 support pivot / 4,200 macro extension. ⸻ 🧩 SENTIMENT & SUMMARY Gold is currently in a compression phase between intraday supply (4,136–4,144) and demand (4,110–4,125). Expect low volatility until a clear break of structure occurs. 📈 Above 4,144 → momentum resumes toward 4,165–4,179. 📉 Below 4,110 → corrective wave extends into 4,093–4,072 before potential bounce. The safest approach for institutional-style execution is to wait for confirmation at the boundaries of the Golden Zone rather than pre-positioning.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAUUSD: long-short battle hinges on 4060-4080📈Today's daily chart shows that after completing a "double bottom" last Friday, Gold stabilized and rebounded, which fully aligns with our weekend forecast. It closed with a long lower wick bullish candlestick, indicating robust buying interest at lower levels and that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains intact. 📈On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have started to contract, signaling that gold prices may enter a consolidation range of 3,930 - 4,070. Today, after breaking above 4,070, the price failed to hold this level and pulled back to around 4,069 for consolidation. This reflects strong resistance near 4,080, and in the short term, we need to be wary of a pullback risk triggered by profit-taking among bulls. 💡Intraday, focus on price fluctuations within the 4,060 - 4,080 range. If it breaks above 4,080, you can go long in line with the trend, with targets set at 4,100. If it pulls back below 4,030, be alert to the formation of a short-term top. Buy 4040 - 4050 TP 4060 - 4070 - 4080 SL 4030 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Gold in Tight Range — Waiting for the Next Break📊 Market Overview Gold is consolidating within a narrow range around $3990 – $4000, reflecting a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. After hitting resistance near $4006 and pulling back to $3991, the price is now testing the $4000 level again — a key technical pivot zone. 📈 Technical Analysis Short-term trend: Sideways, searching for direction Resistance: 4006 – 4015 Support: 3980 – 3965 EMA20/50 (H1): Price hovering near both averages → no clear bias RSI (H1): Neutral, no strong buy/sell signals Candlestick pattern: Multiple upper wicks near resistance → selling pressure visible 💡 Market Outlook Gold is tightening around resistance. If it holds above 3995–4000, a further rise could occur. However, if it fails and closes H1 below 3990, a correction toward 3965–3950 becomes likely. 🎯 Trading Signals 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 3985 – 3987 TP: 4015 / 4030 SL: 3982 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4012 – 4015 TP: 3980 / 3965 SL: 4018
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
2
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK AHEAD Gold retraced down on Friday to create a higher low and tested a major zone around 4190 area, if it closed below 4190 it would have triggered more sells but it didn't and got rejected thereby closing above 4200 and this is a sign of bullish resumption and as a trader with fair understanding of the market the next thing to look for is a buy and the first best place to buy is at 4235-30 and hold it but if you don't want to really manage your trade, i suggest you close at 4335-40 and if it closes above 4365 then you target a buy again at 4365-60 area and hold for ever, price could be rejected at 4340 or anywhere within the upper rectangular block and sell to close below 4190 for it to sell more for some days, so to prevent losing gained profits you can close at 4340 in order to be at the safer side incase the market decides to change to long term sells, if you have the courage to hold for then you can hold because the trend is bullish overall and i will update too to signal if it decides to change direction. Clue: if Monday closes with a bullish candle especially above 4365 then we are buying from Tuesday going, but if it closes bearish on Monday (D1) then we will definitely sell from Tuesday going especially if it closes below 4190.
TVC:GOLDLong
by evansabekah999
1
GOLD 30M - time to cool off after the rally?After a sharp rally, gold seems ready for a breather. The chart shows a break of the short-term trendline followed by a retest from below. The price is now hovering near $4250, testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a classic resistance area where sellers often step in. If the pullback continues, the next downside targets lie near $4185 and $4064. However, as long as the $4200 support holds, bulls still have a chance to regain control. Fundamentally , gold remains supported by global uncertainty and dovish central banks, but technically, a healthy correction was long overdue. Tactical plan: watch $4260 closely. If sellers hold, the drop could extend. If buyers reclaim the level - bears will have to retreat. Remember: don’t try to catch falling gold - it cuts both ways.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction. Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs. Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading: 1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace. 2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
XAUUSD is on retracement then again UPXAUUSD makes an Recovery as we were on buy from last coupleof week. XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern. What will I do Today? ✳️ We'll have two buy zones if market gives retracement. - 4080 & 4055 ✳️ Secondly if H4 candle closes above the mentioned upper zone I will took straight Buy . My target will be $ 4192 & 4220 In extension !! Additional Tip: -If H4 remains below 4145-4135 then market will drop towards 4080
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Go long on gold in batches in the 4080-4100 area!The recent upward trend of gold has been further confirmed by market trends. After a sharp correction in gold prices last week, I initiated a long entry signal at 3940. The market subsequently continued its steady upward trend, and my holdings saw increased returns. A few hours ago, after the market opened, we issued a long order recommendation again, suggesting a buy bullish trend near 4030, and clearly pointed out that the gold price is expected to start a new round of rise, breaking through the $4100 mark. The current market trend has fully confirmed the above judgment. From a fundamental perspective, Trump announced that he would impose a 100% tariff on exports from several Asian countries and planned to implement new software export control measures. Meanwhile, the U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its third week, and Congress has not yet reached an agreement on budget appropriations, leaving thousands of federal employees without pay. The above factors have exacerbated market concerns about economic slowdown and significantly increased investors' demand for safe-haven assets. In terms of geopolitics, Trump said he might provide Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles to enhance strategic deterrence against Russia, which once again escalated regional tensions. The combined effect of multiple factors constitutes the core driving force behind the rise in gold prices. Against this background, there are sufficient reasons to invest in gold, and it is advisable to adopt an active bullish strategy. From the technical analysis perspective, the daily line shows that the gold price has regained its footing above the five-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands still maintain an upward opening trend, reflecting that the medium- and long-term bullish force is still strong. It is recommended to continue holding medium- and long-term long positions. In terms of short-term trends, gold prices have seen a slight correction after hitting a new high, falling back to around 4100. In the short term, gold prices experienced a slight correction after reaching a new high, falling back to around 4100. For investors who haven't yet established a long position, this rebound from the previous high presents an ideal entry point. Long positions can be placed in batches between 4080 and 4100, with the target price still pointing to higher prices. Trading Recommendations: In the current market environment, it is advisable to avoid counter-trend trading. We recommend buying on dips and maintaining a cautiously optimistic trading approach. The above is personal investment opinion and is for reference only. We welcome your comments and insights. We welcome your continued discussion in the comments section. Gold trading strategies will be continuously updated.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Oct 13 - Oct 17]During this week, international OANDA:XAUUSD continuously set new record highs, surging from $3,884/oz to as high as $4,059/oz, before closing the week at $4,011/oz. Although the fundamental factors supporting gold’s uptrend remain solid, many analysts have expressed concerns about the possibility of a gold sell-off, similar to what occurred in 2011, as investment demand for gold has skyrocketed in recent months. According to data from the World Gold Council, global investment demand for gold-backed ETFs surged by 221.7 tons (worth nearly $26 billion) in the third quarter. This strong inflow pushed total ETF gold holdings up by nearly 2%, approaching the all-time high recorded in 2020. Moreover, within just one trading session following Donald Trump’s tariff announcement, about $1.5 trillion in U.S. stock market capitalization was wiped out, while the crypto market also lost roughly $280 billion. This raises concerns that investors might start taking profits on their gold positions—which are currently showing strong gains—to cover losses in stocks and cryptocurrencies. However, mounting fiscal pressure, rising public debt, and waning confidence in fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar, along with uncertainty surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and Trump’s recent threat to impose 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports, continue to support gold prices in the near term. For the upcoming week, gold prices are likely to fluctuate between $3,850/oz and $4,150/oz. 📌In terms of technical analysis, on the short-term chart H1, it is necessary to pay attention to 2 resistance levels: the resistance level around 4059, and the support level 3945. Next week, the gold price will continue to maintain its upward momentum when the 4059 level is broken. In case the price trades below the 3945 level, the gold price may be sold off, causing the price to adjust to around 3850. Notable technical levels are listed below. • Nearest resistance: $4,059 – this is the short-term top zone that needs to be overcome to extend the upside momentum. • Next resistance: o Fibonacci level 0.382 at $4,232, o Level 0.5 at $4,320, o And the 0.618 extension zone at $4,408 – potential targets if gold maintains the current momentum. • Short-term support: o $4,000 (strong psychological zone – now turned from resistance to support). o Deeper support at $3,896 – $3,871, coinciding with the confluence of MA20 + previous correction bottom. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4098 - 4096⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4102 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3908 - 3910⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3904
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2