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Gold (XAUUSD)THIS IS NOT financial advice. For informational purposes only. Trade Idea: Bullish Bias on Gold Gold continues to display strong upward momentum, supported by multiple technical confirmations. The recent clean break above the 4140 level has opened the path for additional bullish pressure. This breakout not only signals strong buying interest, but also reinforces higher-timeframe bullish structure. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, the following upside targets remain in focus: 4280 – first immediate resistance and a logical short-term objective. 4380 – secondary target aligned with the next major liquidity pocket. 4800 – extended target if bullish momentum accelerates and broader market conditions remain supportive. A sustained hold above 4140, paired with strong momentum and continuation signals, favors a bullish continuation scenario. Always manage risk appropriately and consider your own analysis before taking any action.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Daymian
Gold market Structural Correction in PlayThe gold market reacted firmly at 4190’s, yet underlying imbalances between 4120 and 4090 remain unmitigated. This unresolved liquidity suggests a potential corrective sweep into these zones before bullish momentum can fully re-establish dominance. Additionally, gold has now broken the bearish trend stance at 4160’s, signalling an early shift in market structure. However, confirmation of bullish continuation will likely depend on how price interacts with the imbalance range below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ak_capitalist
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 03, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 03, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues its steady climb after reacting perfectly from Smart Money Buy Orders earlier this week. Price is now rotating upward toward major liquidity pockets and premium sell zones, keeping bulls in command despite light USD stabilization. The U.S. Dollar Index has cooled after post-election volatility, hovering near structural lows. Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and heavy central-bank accumulation, gold remains firmly inside a macro-bullish environment. With key U.S. data releases (ADP, ISM Services, PCE) lined up this week and the December 9–10 FOMC meeting approaching, markets are moving cautiously. Gold remains well-positioned inside a premium–discount rotation, respecting structure cleanly. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 88% probability of a December rate cut → lower yield competition boosts gold 💵 USD stabilizing but not strengthening → limited downside pressure 🌍 Geopolitical tensions elevated → increased safe-haven premium 🏦 Central banks remain net buyers (634t YTD) → strong long-term demand 📊 Core PCE at 2.9% → keeps Fed leaning dovish Gold’s strength is driven by a reliable cocktail of macro uncertainty + structural demand + institutional order flow. 📆 Key Events to Watch 🔸 Unemployment Data Today at 01:15 UK Time Weak unemployment figures signal labor softness, boosting expectations of a December rate cut. This typically drives gold into a bullish continuation toward upper sell zones. Stronger data, however, reduces dovish pressure and strengthens the USD temporarily. Expect a downward liquidity sweep into discount buy areas before any recovery. First move is often manipulation the real direction comes after liquidity is taken. 🔸 Geopolitical Landscape Geopolitical tensions remain a major volatility driver for gold’s intraday movement. Any escalation triggers an immediate safe-haven spike, sending price rapidly toward premium zones. Calm conditions allow mild USD recovery, creating controlled pullbacks into discount levels. Structure stays bullish, but momentum slows as markets wait for the next catalyst. Overall, geopolitics amplifies whichever trend smart money is already building 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect rising structure, reacting precisely from discount zones and rotating toward your institutional premium blocks. Price now sits directly beneath major supply. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4147 – 4167 This is the primary institutional demand block, loaded with nearly $19 million in buy-side liquidity. Expect: ✔️ Strong first-tap reactions ✔️ Accumulation + mitigation behavior ✔️ Discount long setups inside broader bullish channel A clean breakdown below 4147 opens liquidity toward 4108 → 4075. 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4240 – 4252 Short-term liquidity zone used for: ✔️ Quick reaction scalps ✔️ Intraday reversals before the major premium zone ✔️ Stop hunts before the bigger move Rejection here typically sends price back to 4200–4210 liquidity. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4264 – 4284 Your high-probability institutional distribution zone holding $29 million in sell-side orders. Expect: ✔️ Manipulation wicks into premium ✔️ Stop-run behavior ✔️ Swing-reversal setups near the top of the range A break & hold above 4284 = continuation toward 4310 → 4325. 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4147–4167 Smart Money Buy Zone holds, with price continuing to rotate cleanly between institutional premium and discount areas. With unemployment data set to trigger volatility, expect liquidity sweeps rather than major trend shifts. Stay patient, react only at key zones, and let smart-money footprints guide your next move. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought clarity to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Gold: Bullish fundamental trend remains unchangedPolicy Dimension: Rate-Cut Expectations Surge to 89%, Loosening Certainty Strengthened The probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December has soared from 50% a week ago to 89.2%, with major investment banks collectively shifting to the "rate-cut camp." The core support stems from a cooling labor market and dovish signals from officials. New York Fed President John Williams noted that "policy needs to move closer to the neutral range," while rumors that dovish candidate Kevin Hassett is a top contender for the next Fed chair have further reinforced market expectations for prolonged easing . As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold’s holding costs continue to decline in a low-interest-rate environment. Coupled with U.S. debt concerns and a pullback in the U.S. Dollar Index (falling to a two-week low), policy dividends provide strong support for gold prices. It is worth noting that some investment banks (e.g., Morgan Stanley, Standard Chartered) still hold the view of a "rate-hike pause," leading to potential short-term volatility driven by expectation (gaming) . Gold is in a critical phase characterized by "white-hot rate-cut expectations + geopolitical risk backstop + technical V-shaped reversal." The short-term core contradiction centers on balancing the "battle for the $4,200 mark" and "pre-meeting fund positioning." On Tuesday, gold experienced a V-shaped reversal—plunging to $4,163 before rebounding to $4,205—with an intraday fluctuation exceeding $40, verifying the resilience of buying interest at lower levels . The fundamental bullish trend remains intact, but volatility is prominent. The core trading strategy should prioritize "buying on dips while supplementing with position additions on breakthroughs," managing risks based on key support and resistance levels. Today's Gold Trading Strategy buy：4190-4200 tp:4210-4230-4260 sl:4180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thorne-
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 3,2025📌 MARKET ASSESSMENT Gold in yesterday’s session continued to face selling pressure, correcting down to the 4160 zone before bouncing back strongly with a range of roughly 500 pips. Currently, the market is opening above the 4205 level, in a context where gold seems to be widening its volatility range despite previously breaking the short-term uptrend. However, overall, this may simply be a compression phase of the market. For today’s session, gold is expected to fluctuate within the 4150–4220 range. Personally, I still prioritize a long-term bullish bias, so I recommend a buy limit around the 4150 zone. The target is a move back to 4250 or even higher in the near future.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Richard1000pipsandmore
XAUUSD: Breakout From ConsolidationAfter an extended period of sideways consolidation, the market finally broke out of the consolidation range with strong momentum and also broke through the descending trend line, confirming a clear bullish shift in structure. This breakout indicates that buyers have regained control after absorbing liquidity from both sides of the range. Following the breakout, price attempted to push further into the upper Fair Value Gap and toward the Upper Order Block but failed to sustain continuation, leading to a corrective move back into the previously broken structure. This retracement is normal and aligns with typical price behavior when retesting major breakout levels. Price has now reached the Lower Order Block, which acted as a major reaction zone earlier. The rejection from this OB, combined with the fact that it sits directly below the breakout structure, strengthens the likelihood that this zone will serve as the primary demand area for a potential continuation to the upside. As long as the Lower OB holds, the bullish outlook remains intact. If price maintains support above this Order Block, the next objectives become the upper FVG and the Upper Order Block, as both contain resting liquidity and unmitigated imbalances that the market may want to target. These zones stand as the next main areas of interest for bullish continuation. However, a break and close below the Lower OB would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the possibility for a deeper drop, as it would signal a structural failure of the current demand zone. Until that happens, the bias remains bullish with expectations of upward continuation following this retest.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by VaultX_Trader
ChatGPT đã nói: Gold May Climb on a Weaker USD and Fed Cut Hope📊 Market Overview: • Spot gold is currently trading around $4,224.65/oz. • The bullish momentum is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, a weaker USD, and renewed safe-haven demand. • Market sentiment remains “risk-off,” making gold a preferred defensive asset. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $4,270–4,280 • Strong resistance: $4,300 • Nearest support: $4,200 • Strong support: $4,155–4,160 • EMA: Price is holding above the EMA → bullish trend remains intact. • Candlestick / momentum: Upward momentum is stable with no strong reversal signals. A breakout above 4,280 may push gold toward 4,300. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to continue rising in the short term if USD weakness persists and Fed rate-cut expectations remain firm. However, strong US economic data that lifts bond yields could pull gold back to 4,200 or even the strong support at 4,155–4,160. 💡 Trading Strategy: 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,155–4,158 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,152 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,303–4,306 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1203 Gold (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan for EU/US SessionsHello there, The bearish butterfly pattern has been confirmed (Point D at 4260). The high liquidity during the London Session amplifies price fluctuations. For the EU/US sessions, focus on short positions when prices face resistance at key levels. Long positions are not recommended. Strictly adhere to pattern rules and stop-loss disciplines. I. Confirmation of Pattern and Market Environment 1. Core Structure of the Bearish Butterfly Pattern • The complete X-A-B-C-D structure has been formed. Point D (4260) serves as the pattern's reversal high, meeting the requirements of the 1.618 extension of the XA segment and the 1.618 extension of the CD segment. • Key Ratio Verification: The AB segment retraces 78.6% of the XA segment, the BC segment retraces 38.2% of the AB segment, and the CD segment precisely reaches the 1.618 extension of the BC segment, indicating high pattern validity. 2. Characteristics of the London Session • It is currently the post-opening period of the London Session. Market liquidity surges (daily trading volume exceeds 200 billion USD), leading to expanded price volatility and a higher likelihood of rapid stop-loss hunting. However, this also provides clear signals for pattern confirmation. • The London Session is the "direction-setting phase" for EU/US session trends. Focus on capital game signals at the pattern's key levels. II. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Combined with Pattern + Fibonacci) • Core Resistance: 4226-4242 range (0.382-0.5 retracement of the D-C segment, a critical resistance zone for pattern confirmation). • Primary Support: 4155 (Fibonacci 0.5 + pattern-equivalent support level of Point C). • Secondary Support: 4128 (Fibonacci 0.618 + 0.618 equivalent of the XA segment, a classic target level for the butterfly pattern). III. EU/US Session Short Trading Strategy (Sole Direction) 1. London Session Entry (Priority Option) • Entry Condition: Prices rebound to test the 4226-4235 range, accompanied by bearish signals such as bearish engulfing candlesticks or MACD divergence. • Entry Price: Enter positions opportunistically within the 4226-4230 range. • Stop-Loss Setting: 4270 (10 pips above the high of Point D to avoid pattern invalidation risks, in line with butterfly pattern stop-loss rules). • Target Plan: • Primary Target: 4155 (reduce 50% of positions upon reaching, and adjust stop-loss to break-even). • Secondary Target: 4128 (hold the remaining positions; do not exit early without additional signals). 2. London Session Direct Breakdown Entry (Supplementary Option) • Entry Condition: Immediately after the London Session opens, prices break below 4200 and confirm the trend continuation with a closing bearish candlestick. • Entry Price: Lightly chase short positions within the 4195-4200 range. • Stop-Loss Setting: 4215 (pullback resistance level after the breakdown to control stop-loss hunting risks during the London Session). • Target Plan: Consistent with the priority strategy (4155 → 4128). 3. US Session Entry (Complementary Option) • Entry Condition: No entry signals appear during the London Session; prices fluctuate between 4200-4226 before the US Session opens, and do not break above 4242 after the release of ADP data. • Entry Price: Enter positions within the 4215-4220 range. • Stop-Loss and Targets: Consistent with the priority strategy. IV. Risk Control and Response to Pattern Invalidation • Pattern Invalidation Criterion: If prices break above 4270, it indicates that the reversal at Point D is invalid and the butterfly pattern has collapsed. Immediately cease all short-position operations for the day and wait for the pattern to reorganize. • Data Risk Response: After the release of the evening ADP data, if gold surges and breaks above 4242, strictly exit short positions upon hitting the stop-loss; do not hold positions against the trend. • London Session Discipline: Avoid aggressive entries within the first 30 minutes after the opening. Wait for 1-2 4-hour candlesticks to confirm the direction and avoid false signals amid high liquidity. V. Position Management Rules • Position Control: The size of a single entry should not exceed 10% of total capital to avoid excessive concentration of risks. • Stop-Loss Execution: Immediately exit positions when the stop-loss level is hit; do not adjust the stop-loss to expand risks. • Target Adjustment: If the 4155 support holds and triggers a valid rebound, the remaining positions can be held until reaching 4128 without taking profit midway. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
XAUUSD – Channel Break + Liquidity Hunt Analysis🔥 XAUUSD Market Structure Update – Liquidity Grab + Bearish Reversal Setup Gold is currently trading inside a corrective channel after rejecting the major supply zone. The market has built clear liquidity pools above the recent highs, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bearish continuation. 📌 Key Points in This Setup: Price pushed into the upper supply zone, creating liquidity right above it. The rising channel shows weak bullish momentum, indicating a possible reversal. After liquidity grab, sellers may take control and push price back toward the support area marked below. Target scenario: Sweep liquidity → Reject from supply → Bearish impulse → Drop toward support area 🎯 Trading Idea Summary Bias: Bearish after liquidity sweep Entry Concept: Wait for a fake-out above liquidity and a strong rejection Targets: Support zone below Reasoning: Market is respecting supply zones, liquidity engineering, and channel structure confirming weakness
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adrian_Trades_
1
XAUUSD 15m – Bullish Continuation Towards Profit-Taking ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD Momentum remains bullish as long as price stays above the support and inside the rising channel. The earlier wave shows strong demand absorption leading to impulsive movement. A mild correction is expected before buyers target the next liquidity pocket at 4241–4246, which matches the previous rejection zone and the profit-taking region. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Pullback to 4220–4225 → continuation → 🎯 Target 1: 4241 → 🎯 Target 2: 4246–4250 (Final Liquidity Target) ❌ Bearish Case (Invalidation) Break & close below 4193 support → Would shift structure into a corrective decline. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4241 / 4246 Support 🟢: 4193 / 4181 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
The expectation of interest rate cuts remains the core support.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD ✅ From the daily chart, gold prices are still above the MA5 and MA10. A prudent approach is to wait for a pullback to buy, or continue to use a buy-low-sell-high strategy until key resistance is broken. With the moving averages rising, the first support level to watch today is 4205-4195. If the price finds support and stabilizes in this area and strengthens again, the first resistance level to watch is the 4260-4270 area. This level represents both the previous high and a key level determining whether gold can hold above the 4300 mark. ✅ It is worth noting that if the price breaks below the support range of 4205-4195, it may retest the 4160-4140 area. It is particularly important to note that repeated testing of the same support level often signals weakness, and a cautious approach is necessary.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Bull-Bear_Indicator
XAU/USD 03 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 December 2025. Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195. Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines. Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD – Top Sweep Completed, Price Now Distributing Inside the📊 Market Structure • After a strong bullish leg, Gold formed a clear Liquidity Sweep at the highs around 4,261 USD (Fibo Sell) , taking out all liquidity above that zone. • From that high, price gradually weakened and printed a bearish ChoCH (loss of buying pressure; short-term structure no longer clean). • Price is currently trading inside the premium zone between 4,190 – 4,241: – 4,241 = Fibo Sell / liquidity extreme . – 4,225 – 4,216 = lower premium zone , likely to react before retesting the highs. – 4,190 = Liquidity Sweep + short-term support : only if price breaks below and retests from underneath will this zone flip into resistance for SELL continuation. ⇒ Current picture: short-term bearish bias , but sells should come from the premium zones (4,216–4,241) or only after a confirmed break of 4,190 — avoid chasing mid-range. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo Sell Zone: around 4,241.451 → optimal extreme for hunting SELL setups. • Reaction Levels: – 4,225.474 – 4,216.171 • Liquidity Sweep Support: 4,190.485 → main short-term support. • Support / TP Zones: – 4,163.586 – 4,155.294 (old OB) – 4,142.755 – 4,116.058 (deeper low – extended target) 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL Priority From Premium 1️⃣ Primary SELL – Fibo Sell 4,241 & Premium 4,225–4,232 Ideal scenario: price retraces into the upper premium zone and prints a clear rejection signal (pin bar / engulfing / rejection volume). • Entry 1: 4,225 – 4,232 (first scale-in) • Entry 2: 4,235 – 4,241 (add if price sweeps higher) • Stop Loss: above 4,250 • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,163 • TP3: 4,155 • TP4: 4,142 • TP5: 4,116 → Classic “sell the premium” setup: wait for price to return to the swept highs — avoid FOMO in the middle. 2️⃣ SELL Continuation – After Breaking 4,190 Only valid if we get a clear H1 close below 4,190 , confirming the Liquidity Sweep zone has been violated and flipped into resistance. • Condition: H1 close below 4,190 → wait for a retest of 4,190–4,195 from underneath • Entry: 4,190 – 4,195 • SL: above 4,205 • TP1: 4,163 • TP2: 4,155 • TP3: 4,142 • TP4: 4,116 → This setup is only for traders who prefer clean continuation after a confirmed break of support. 3️⃣ Countertrend BUY – Only From Deep Zones • Aggressive: watch for reactions at 4,163 – 4,155 . If strong rejection appears, consider a technical BUY retracement toward 4,190 – 4,216 (scalp). • Conservative: wait for a deep test of 4,116 (stronger demand zone) before searching for BUY setups. → This is strictly countertrend; only take it if strong confirmation appears. Otherwise, skip and focus on SELL opportunities in premium zones. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is currently “hanging” within premium after a very clean top sweep. The safest strategy is to let price return to 4,225–4,241 before selling, or wait for a confirmed break of 4,190 to play continuation. Avoid selling directly at 4,190 while it still acts as support. “Sell the premium, respect the levels – liquidity never lies.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 02/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Trading Strategy Within a Range.Yesterday, gold experienced wide-ranging fluctuations, resembling a rollercoaster ride with poor trend continuity. On the daily chart, after retracing to test the 7-day moving average support at 4163, it rallied strongly, rising back above the 5-day moving average at 4200. The short-term 4-hour chart continues its oscillating trend, with the price consolidating around the middle Bollinger Band and the RSI indicator hovering near the midline. On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, and the moving averages are closely aligned. Gold is expected to continue its wide-range oscillation today. Short-term trading can focus on buying low and selling high, looking for buying opportunities based on the support levels of 4180/4163. Gold has now entered a oscillating phase, swinging within a large range. This oscillating trend adds more uncertainty to the upcoming unclear news events. This uncertainty makes both bulls and bears hesitant, requiring patience to wait for further developments in market news. Given the short-term oscillation in gold, it's advisable to avoid buying at highs or selling at lows. Key Levels: First Support: 4196, Second Support: 4165, Third Support: 4140 First Resistance: 4230, Second Resistance: 4255, Third Resistance: 4278 Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: BUY: 4170-4175, SL: 4160, TP: 4190-4200; SELL: 4235-4240, SL: 4250, TP: 4220-4210; More Analysis →
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wall_street_jun
XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POCXAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Short Sell Priority – Buy at POC Gold has just touched a new peak around 4,264 – the highest level in six weeks – and is entering a technical correction phase. The sell-side liquidity has been tested, but the medium-term uptrend remains, so I choose to trade both ways: Short sell when the price rebounds to the supply zone. Buy back at the POC zone – where buying flow is likely to return. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL AT POC ZONE 4,236–4,238 Sell: 4,236 – 4,238 SL: 4,244 TP: 4,220 – 4,202 – 4,180 – 4,145 On H1, the 4,236–4,238 zone is the POC + peak volume distribution zone, coinciding with the upper edge of the sideways price cluster after a steep rise. If the price bounces back to retest this zone, I prioritize scalping sell according to the current correction rhythm, targeting: Returning to 4,220 – 4,202: short-term support zone. Deeper to 4,180 – 4,145: near the bottom of the previous demand zone, also where it converges with the large uptrend line. This is a counter-trend medium-term order, so I keep the volume small and the SL must be firm at 4,244. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY AT BUY ZONE POC 4,156–4,158 Buy: 4,156 – 4,158 SL: 4,150 TP: 4,175 – 4,190 – 4,225 – 4,250 The 4,156–4,158 zone is the Buy Zone POC on the chart: Confluence with the uptrend line from the bottom. Price zone where the market previously accumulated strongly before exploding to 4.26x. If gold corrects deeply here and creates a good price reaction (wick candles, increased buying volume), I see it as a DCA opportunity following the medium-term uptrend, aiming to recover to the 4.19x – 4.225 zone, further to 4.25x. 1. Basic Context Gold and silver are both benefiting from expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, a weakening USD, and signs of a slowdown in the US economy. Gold increased by +6% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of gains, and has risen over 60% this year – on track to become the strongest year in 46 years. Economic-political instability continues to drive money towards safe assets, with silver further supported by industrial demand, indirectly reinforcing positive sentiment for the precious metals group. On December 2, the market focuses on: 08:00: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks. 22:00: Fed Governor Bowman testifies before the House Financial Services Committee. These two events could trigger strong intraday volatility, especially if the Fed's tone differs from the "easing" expectations. 2. Technical & Market Sentiment View After a steep rise to 4.26x, gold is gradually sliding along the H1 down channel, indicating a short-term sell-off phase to take profits. Sell POC 4,236–4,238 is the zone where sellers are trying to suppress, each time the price returns close, supply force appears. Below, Buy Zone POC 4,156–4,158 is the zone where buyers previously absorbed most of the sell orders and then pushed the price up; it is highly likely this will be where they protect the medium-term uptrend. Current sentiment: Short-term: the sell side dominates due to the profit-taking effect after creating a new peak. Medium-term: money flow still prioritizes holding gold, so I am not in a hurry to reverse the bias unless the 4,145 zone is completely broken. 3. Action Plan Short sell if the price rebounds to 4,236–4,238, SL 4,244, TP 4,220–4,202–4,180–4,145. Wait to buy back at 4,156–4,158 if there is a good reaction, SL 4,150, TP 4,175–4,190–4,225–4,250. Keep the risk of each scenario within 1–2% of the account, absolutely do not widen the SL when the market goes against. During the hours when Powell/Bowman speaks, prioritize reducing volume or staying out, avoiding being swept by spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD: Bearish Correction Targets $3822 amidst Uptrend.​Scenario: Bearish Corrective Move within a larger Uptrend. ​ Current Price (Approx.): $4,218.81 ​ Chart Context: Price has already retraced from the recent high of $4,381.73 and is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,249.74) and above the 0.4 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,158.02). ​Key Levels ​ Key Resistance Zone (Potential Reversal): $4,338 (Close to the recent high/start of the pullback). ​ Primary Target (Take Profit): $3,822 (Coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci Retracement level of the structure shown, indicating a full retracement of the move from $3,822.46 to $4,381.73).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by adham2022
Gold Market UpdateDespite my constructive outlook on the US dollar—which typically weighs on gold—I believe the yellow metal is showing resilience. • 📈 Trend Support: The market remains underpinned by the 55-day moving average on the daily chart. • ☁️ Technical Cushion: The Ichimoku cloud continues to provide decent support on the daily timeframe. • 📊 Longer-Term View: Weekly charts suggest consolidation rather than topping action, reinforcing the idea of an ongoing uptrend. • 🔑 Key Level to Watch: A close above the recent interim high at 4245 would be the first signal of renewed upside momentum. In my view, gold is not topping out—it’s consolidating within a broader bull trend. Once a breakout occurs, expect another measured upside target to emerge. For now, patience is warranted, but keep 4245 firmly on your radar. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is market commentary and not trading advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_STA