Trade ideas
XAUUSD – Why I’m Preparing for a Long SetupI’m not randomly calling buys here — the chart is clearly building the case for another bullish leg. Let me walk you through the logic behind the anticipation:
🔹 1. Overall Trend Structure Is Still Bullish
Price has been consistently printing:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
Respecting the ascending trendline cleanly
Until there’s a confirmed break of structure to the downside, my bias remains bullish.
🔹 2. Liquidity Sweep Above the Highs
We’ve just seen a session-based liquidity sweep above the recent highs:
No bearish follow-through
Price is reacting but not reversing aggressively
That sweep gives the algorithm liquidity to push higher once price rebalances.
🔹 3. Clean Pullback Zones Are Lined Up
I’m not chasing price — I’m waiting for price to retrace deeper into:
H1 Imbalance
OTE Discount Zone
Demand / Reaccumulation Block
Previous structure support
The red zone you marked aligns with:
61–79% retracement
Structural demand
Stop raid liquidity below
That’s the kind of area smart money loves to load longs.
🔹 4. Still Untapped Buy-Side Liquidity Above
Look at what rests above:
Previous daily high (PDH)
Session highs not fully cleared
External liquidity pools waiting to be targeted
The bullish delivery objective hasn’t been satisfied.
🔹 5. No Bearish Displacement or BOS
Even after the sweep:
No strong bearish displacement
No market structure break
Just corrective price action
Until we see a clean shift down, the pullback is treated as accumulation.
🔹 6. Projected Delivery Model
Your blue projection shows the exact logic:
Liquidity grab ✅
Retracement into demand ✅
Reaction + continuation ✅
Final target = buy-side liquidity above ✅
This is textbook smart money buildup.
✅ Summary for Followers
“The overall structure is still bullish, price has swept liquidity without breaking structure, and I’m waiting for a retracement into the H1 OTE/demand zone. Once price dips into that zone, I’ll be looking to take a long toward the external buy-side liquidity around and above PDH.”
XAUUSD Builds Upward PressureGold continues to trade within a strong upward trajectory,showing consistent momentum and firm buyer engagement.The market structure indicates ongoing accumulation,with price maintaining stability after minor corrective movements.Buy-side activity remains dominant,reflecting confidence among institutional participants as the metal sustains its trend within an orderly channel.While short-term pullbacks may occur for liquidity rebalancing,the broader outlook remains decisively bullish as long as momentum persists and demand continues to support higher valuations.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert
📈 Buy Entry: 4202
🎯 Targets: 4225 – 4240 – 4253 (Final Target)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 4185 (Adjust based on your risk level)
Analysis:
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum from the 4202 support zone. If buyers hold above this level, we expect an upward move toward the 4253 resistance area. Watch for volume confirmation and candle strength before entering the trade to ensure breakout validation.
XAUUSD Bull and Bear Game1. Solid safe-haven demand: The ongoing US government shutdown, heightened global trade tensions, and escalating geopolitical risks all contribute to gold's safe-haven fundamentals.
2. Favorable Federal Reserve Policy: Market expectations for an October rate cut by the Fed are extremely high (with a 97% probability), which continues to suppress the US dollar and is bullish for gold.
3. Technical Correction Needs: The RSI indicator has shown an overbought signal. The rapid price increase has accumulated profit-taking pressure, raising the possibility of a short-term technical correction.
Long Strategy:
· Ideal Entry: After the support range of $4060-4050 stabilizes (e.g., a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern or a hammer candlestick pattern appears), you can place long orders in batches.
· Target: Retest of the $4130-4150 area.
· Stop-loss: A break below $4050.
· Short Strategy (Short-Term):
· Suitable only for aggressive traders. Try a small short position when the price rebounds to $4130-4150 and a stagflation signal (e.g., a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern or a dark cloud cover pattern) appears.
· Target: $4080-4060.
· Stop-loss: A breakout of $4170.
Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000, $4.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
WE ARE SELLING If you couldn't enter around 3am then you can still sell around 4340-45 and target tp at 4250 if you don't want stress and if it's able to close below 4190 then you targets another sell at 4195-4200 and hold, if you like to hold from 4340-4345 too, you can hold till it moves below 4190 then you add another position but it could fail to move below 4250 or any of the rectangular block below so manage it though it looks like it's going to sell more for some days but still it best to manage it by locking profits if it reaches 4250 or closing it.
GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase.
The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040.
Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.
GOLD XAUUSD WATCH KEY SUPPLY ROOF @ 4258-4260
WATCH 4288-4290-4300 ZONE WITH GOOD risk management.
the trade reason.
the fib level resistance says sell at 4285-4288-4290 and i extend it to whole number 4300
the rsi divergent has two rejection in a zone tested multiple times ,creating a high rejection probability.
the ascending trendline was a broken demand floor which turns it into supply roof now and above price and creating a double confluence with the fib level
the ema+sma guiding price indicating bulls after break of London high 4242-4240 suggesting liquidity + newyork/londeon session volatility
NOTE MANAGE YOUR RISK,ANAY ANALYSIS CAN FAIL BECAUSE TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY.
I WISH YOU GOODLUCK.
LIKE AND SHARE FOR MORE .
Gold Silver ratioI'm expecting gold to outperform silver on it's way to $8000 US/oz. The ratio is consolidating below the .5 bull fib level, and it will be nice to see a breakout from this level, and possibly a run for the 1-level fib. If history repeats, then a revisit to the top of the fib channel.
Nothing is baked in stone. They may find a new us for silver, where it suddenly has value, but right now, it's just a rock. Gold is outperforming silver, and has been for a long time. Silver bugs are a special breed.
Keep an eye on the chart though, because it's good to know. You never know unless you see it in the candles.
XAU murdered with fashion Pinpoint accuracy 📍 🔪
Gold smashing out major handle @ $4318!!!!
Secured the daily on close.
Pay attention to this handle….
She should be hunting $4245 and I believe this is a job for Uncle Ling the plug in the Asian session.
This is super crucial and will decide if we are on a continuous path to $4484.74 OR if we are ready to take back some grounds on $4140-$4011!!!!
Both handles above demand the same amount of respect and it should be decided upon the interactions with $4245.
If we make a high today, it will put us in a strong position for $4484.74 & will be looking into some long profiles to shoot off from $4245!
Stay Sharp, & enjoy your weekend!!!! 🫡
XAUUSDGold hit a high of 4180 before plummeting 90 points in a remarkably short period of time, a clear sign of a major market manipulation. September's gains were very stable, with limited room for pullbacks. We must be wary of a sharp and rapid decline in October. Excessive gains will inevitably lead to a market shakeout, a risk we've repeatedly discussed.
After breaking through yesterday's high, the daily chart suggests a continuation of the trend today, with an intraday surge. However, after the sharp drop, a return to strength may not be imminent; a period of consolidation is needed. Therefore, the US market is expected to see volatility initially. With prices deviating significantly from the short-term moving average, a correction is needed to bring prices closer. An uncorrected rise is unhealthy. A return to bullish strength after a correction indicates the trend is continuing.
Pressure Building!Gold's sideways move the past four months is finally about to change, the longer the sideways move, the bigger the resulting move, each small pullback flushed out the weak hands, some calling to short gold.
We are in a clear wave four correction, wave five up will follow, in precious metals, wave fives are the most dramatic.
Our target is $4000, could go even higher and overshoot to $4200ish...by October/November.
The Dow is very bullish at this time as the final rally concludes.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good trading and God Bless you all!
Gold tests below $4,300 amid strengthening USD October 21Joint statement Ukraine – EU – Trump – Europe:
=> Call for an immediate ceasefire and start peace negotiations.
=> The market reacts risk-on, money flows out of gold => gold drops sharply.
echnical analysis: H1 is in the process of correction after continuously setting the ATH peak, gradually forming a head and shoulders pattern, buyers right at the 4178-4180 area are quite clear.
BUY GOLD : 4180 - 4178
SL: 4172
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
SELL GOLD : 4320 - 4322
SL: 4330
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
Trade according to price trends, do not trade predictions, manage and be responsible for your account !
Can gold continue to rise?The 4276 level can be considered a short-term watershed, primarily because last week's upward movement peaked at 4380. The initial decline occurred at this level, and after rebounding below 4380, the price fell again, breaking below this level and reaching below 4200. This week's opening price also saw an upward move to around 4276 before declining, but this trend was lacking. The price broke through this level and rose again in the US market. Therefore, regarding future trading strategies, I remain optimistic about continued upward movement in gold prices and recommend waiting for a pullback before continuing to invest in bullish positions.
In short, 4276 serves as a watershed between bulls and bears, and also serves as a protective level for future trading. The recommended entry point is around 4300, with an eye on the potential for resistance from the previous high of 4380.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 14thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4200, Support: 3945
4-Hour Resistance: 4180, Support: 4060
1-Hour Resistance: 4145, Support: 4090
From a technical perspective, after yesterday's surge to 4100, gold continued its upward trend today, challenging 4200, reaching a high near 4180. This also indicates that the market is entering a period of acceleration, and a significant downward correction is imminent.
As a result, gold and silver prices began to fall sharply in the Asian market today, with gold prices quickly falling from 4180 to 4090, a $90 drop in just one hour. While a $90 correction may seem significant, it's not an exaggeration compared to the period of the upward trend.
Of course, it's too early to say whether gold will continue to fall sharply. After all, several key levels (last week's high of 4060 and low of 3945) have not yet been broken. For now, the upward trend can only be considered a pause. As long as key support remains, the trend will not easily change.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4090near
BUY: 4060near
Gold Ready to Launch from 4330-The Road to 4400 Begins!After touching around 4381, gold fell again and has now fallen below the 4340 area. Will gold break through multiple integer levels again and retest the support strength around 4180?
In fact, I believe that a slight pullback after gold hit its previous high near 4381 would be more favorable for a push towards 4400. Yesterday's rally from 4220 to 4381 showed no clear signs of a pullback. Therefore, after a single-day gain of $171, and considering the need for a technical pullback, I believe a short-term pullback in gold doesn't mean a return to 4180. Instead, it will stimulate market liquidity after a healthy short-term pullback, helping gold build upward momentum and potentially break through 4400.
Therefore, we shouldn't be afraid of gold's pullbacks, but rather focus on identifying entry points for long positions. From the current perspective, the W-shaped double bottom structural support below still plays a key supporting role, so if gold holds above 4330-4320 during the retracement process, gold still has the potential to set new highs again!
Therefore, for short-term trading, it is obvious that during the gold pullback period, you can appropriately consider going long on gold with the 4330-4320 area as support!
XAUUSD 4D Market Outlook
- Gold extended its record-breaking rally on Thursday, hitting an all-time high of $4,319 per ounce, as investors rushed to safety amid escalating U.S.–China tensions, a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
- Gold did 60% year-to-date gain; its strongest annual performance in decades. The surge is being driven by robust central bank purchases, weakening Treasury yields, and broad-based risk aversion.
- Renewed trade friction between the U.S. and China intensified after Washington condemned Beijing’s expanded rare earth export controls, sparking fears of global supply disruptions. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown, now in its third week, continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
- The Treasury estimates the shutdown is costing $15 billion per week, fueling anxiety over economic stability and fiscal credibility conditions that historically favor gold.
Fed Rate Cut Bets Deepen as Yields Slide
- Markets are now pricing in a 98% probability of a 25 basis-point rate cut in October, with a second move expected in December. The Federal Reserve faces additional uncertainty due to a data blackout caused by the shutdown, while the latest Philadelphia Fed survey plunged 36 points to -12.8, reinforcing the dovish outlook.
Technical Outlook:
- Analysts warn that while short-term corrections are possible, the bullish structure remains intact. Unless prices close decisively below recent swing lows, the path of least resistance remains higher.