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Bull Market Momentum Extends After 0.618 BreakoutGold continues its parabolic uptrend, extending beyond the all-time high breakout and surpassing the 0.618 Fibonacci extension with a strong engulfing candle. This confirms that buyers remain in full control of the current market phase. Key Technical Points: - Immediate Support: $4,920 - Extension Target: $5,162 - Trend: Strongly bullish Momentum remains firmly bullish as price consolidates above the previous extension zone. The next measured move target lies at $5,162, aligning with the next Fibonacci expansion, which could mark a potential short-term top before correction. However, market structure continues to favor higher highs and higher lows, and pullbacks are likely to be shallow as long as $4,920 holds firm. In summary, Gold remains in a powerful bullish trend, with $5,162 acting as the next major target before any meaningful retracement occurs.
TVC:GOLDLong
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1
Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe..Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe — here’s what the technical setup indicates: Current price: around $4,107 Structure: Rising channel (uptrend), but price recently rejected the upper boundary. Indicators: There’s a clear blue arrow pointing downward, suggesting a short-term correction. Support zones: First near $4,050 – $4,030 (mid-channel support) Second near $4,000 – $3,995 (cloud & lower trendline support — also marked “Target Point” on my chart) ✅ Short-term Target: $4,000 – $3,995 If the bearish momentum continues, it might test the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud near $3,975. ⚠ Invalidation: If price closes above $4,145, the bearish correction setup fails and the bullish channel continues. So, my target zone = $4,000 ±10.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
8
Bulls are facing resistance, and the market continues to adjust. We successfully capitalized on a strong pullback in gold during the Asian session, placing a short position at 4263-4265, targeting 4235. We took profit perfectly before the European session. Currently, gold is still range-bound, and bulls have yet to show interest in a resurgence. If the rebound fails to break through, the range-bound fluctuations will persist. After all, there is still room for adjustment below. Since the European session opened, the price has continued to fluctuate. We continue to monitor short-term resistance at 4275-4280, the Asian session high. If the rebound doesn't break through, we will continue to short. The support below the range remains valid! Therefore, we will continue to trade within the range. The recent bullish momentum has shown signs of weakness as of last Friday, so we will continue to trade within the range today. If your current trading is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid investment pitfalls. We welcome your communication! Looking at the 4-hour market trend, the current short-term resistance level at 4280-4293 is being monitored from above, with a focus on 4315-4323. On the downside, the support level at 4185-4193 is being monitored. If bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakout, a period of volatile market correction is imminent. Trading strategies should prioritize range-bound trading. In the middle, be cautious about buying orders and wait patiently for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned. Sell gold lightly at 4280-4293, target 4215-4220. Hold if it breaks through! Buy gold on dips to 4200-4208, and buy on dips to 4185-4193. Target 4275-80. Hold if it breaks through!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PalmerRobert6064
Some thing about gold 📈 Market Overview Gold continues to advance near the $4 250 level as traders digest the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields alongside growing expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve. Mixed U.S. macro data this week has reinforced a mildly dovish market tone, with investors pricing in potential rate cuts by early 2026. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, holds steady as participants await the next catalyst. Attention today turns to the U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims reports — both could fuel short-term volatility. A stronger-than-expected release might trigger profit-taking in gold. Conversely, softer data could reignite safe-haven demand and extend the current rebound toward $4 380+. Expect possible liquidity sweeps before a clean directional move, as institutions adjust exposure near the week’s range highs and lows. 🔎 Technical Outlook (1H – SMC Perspective) Structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the continuation after an accumulation phase. A brief Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates a short-term correction — likely a liquidity grab before another impulsive leg higher. Liquidity below $4 200 has already been collected, aligning with the discount zone $4 196 – $4 198. The market is shaping a potential re-accumulation; buyers may seek lower-timeframe confirmation (M15 BOS / ChoCH) within that demand zone. Upside targets rest near $4 375 – $4 380, coinciding with a premium supply area where profit-taking or new shorts could emerge. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔴 Potential Short Setup Interest Zone: $4 378 – $4 376 Protective Stop: $4 386 Reaction Targets: $4 325 → $4 260 🟢 Potential Long Setup Interest Zone: $4 196 – $4 198 Protective Stop: $4 190 Reaction Targets: $4 250 → $4 370 → $4 380 + (All setups are for educational illustration; execution should follow confirmation and personal risk tolerance.) ⚠️ Risk-Management Guidelines Wait for lower-timeframe BOS / ChoCH confirmation before considering entries. Avoid executing around key U.S. data releases — spreads can widen and volatility spike briefly. Take partial profits at nearby liquidity pools; trail stops only after structure reconfirms trend continuation. ✅ Summary Gold keeps a bullish bias above $4 200 after clearing downside liquidity. A short-term pullback toward $4 196 – $4 198 could invite fresh long opportunities, as long as price action respects structural support. Only a decisive break below $4 190 would challenge the broader bullish view.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK Gold retraced down on Friday to create a higher low and tested a major zone around 4190 area, if it closed below 4190 it would have triggered more sells but it didn't and got rejected thereby closing above 4200 and this is a sign of bullish resumption and as a trader with fair understanding of the market the next thing to look for is a buy and the first best place to buy is at 4235-30 and hold it but if you want to really manage your trade, i suggest you close at 4335-40 and if it closes above 4365 then you target a buy again at 4365-60 area and hold for ever, price could be rejected at 4340 or anywhere within the upper rectangular block and sell to close below 4190 for it to sell more for some days, so to prevent losing gained profits you can close at 4340 in order to be at the safer side incase the market decides to change to long term sells, if you have the courage to hold, then you can hold because the trend is bullish overall and i will update it too, if it decides to change direction i will signal it early before it becomes late. Clue: if Monday closes with a bullish candle especially above 4365 then we are buying from Tuesday going, but if it closes bearish on Monday (D1) then we will definitely sell from Tuesday going especially if it closes below 4190. 2
TVC:GOLDLong
by EVANABEK1
1
GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase. The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040. Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sherrynjoto
Gold setup: The retracement that could spark the next rallyOANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade confidently within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining a clear and healthy bullish structure. After testing the upper boundary, the price pulled back to the mid-zone, where a strong rejection candle appeared, confirming that buyers are still defending key levels with conviction and keeping the upward momentum alive. This kind of market behavior often signals renewed strength before the next move higher. If the bullish momentum holds, the price could break above the upper boundary of the channel and push toward new highs. Given the current technical setup and positive sentiment across the market, a move toward 4,500 seems both realistic and consistent with the ongoing trend. Even so, caution remains important. A daily close below the lower boundary of the channel would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a short-term correction before the trend resumes. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook for gold continues to be supported by geopolitical tensions, global uncertainty over interest rate policies, and the weakening US dollar. With central banks maintaining strong demand for gold as a hedge against economic instability, the precious metal remains one of the most attractive safe-haven assets in today’s volatile market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
1
GOLD bounces back, hopes of policy reversalOANDA:XAUUSD reversed dramatically in the trading session on October 14, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sent a clear dovish message, indicating that the Fed is ready to continue its rate-cutting cycle despite political uncertainty and the US government shutdown. As of the time of writing, gold quickly recovered to $4,178 per ounce, up 0.89% on the day. The main driver came from expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 0.25% in October, a signal that Powell reinforced in his speech at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting. Powell said the outlook for jobs and inflation “has not changed materially” since the September meeting, when the Fed began easing. But he stressed that risks to the labor market are rising, hiring has slowed, and unemployment could soon rise again after a long period of deep decline. “We are at a point where further deterioration in the labor market could start to show up in the unemployment rate,” Powell said, hinting at the possibility that the Fed may have to act more quickly to protect the expansion. The announcement is seen as a turning point in policy direction, especially after Powell admitted that the Fed is considering ending the process of shrinking its balance sheet, a factor that has tightened global liquidity over the past year. Many organizations such as TD Securities believe that the Fed could announce the end of this program as early as the October meeting, paving the way for a clearly easing monetary environment from November. The reaction in financial markets was immediate: the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.03%, the DXY index fell 0.25% to 99.00, showing that the Dollar is under new selling pressure. At the same time, safe-haven flows returned to the gold market, reinforcing the rapid recovery of this precious metal. Markets saw Powell’s message as not only reassuring after a period of intense volatility, but also as opening up the possibility that the Fed is preparing for a prolonged easing cycle. Broadly, the Fed is shifting its focus from containing inflation to protecting growth and jobs, a strategic shift. With global growth slowing, geopolitical risks spreading, and US-China trade tensions rising, Powell appears to prioritize maintaining liquidity and financial stability over further tightening. Gold prices have risen more than 57% year-to-date, supported by safe-haven demand, strong central bank buying, and large inflows into gold ETFs. Institutions such as Bank of America and Société Générale are now raising their gold price forecasts to $5,000/ounce by 2026, in a scenario where the Fed ends its tightening cycle and the dollar enters a period of structural weakness. If the Fed confirms its dovish stance at its October meeting, investors expect this could be a turning point in global monetary policy, with gold continuing to serve as a “confident gauge” of Powell’s management ability and the resilience of the US financial system. Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Trend Overview • Main Trend: Strongly bullish, price remains in an ascending channel, a series of long-bodied candles shows that buyers are in control. • Technical Momentum: RSI in overbought zone (>75), momentum is still there but signals a risk of a short-term correction. Important levels on the chart • Near resistance: $4,213 (Fib 0.618). Next extension zone $4,286 – $4,378. • Near support: $4,100 (psychological level), followed by $4,060 and $4,000 (strong support/low MA). Short-term scenario & warnings • Preferred scenario (trend-follow): maintain medium-term bullish view if price holds above 4,000–4,060. • Correction warning: due to overbought RSI, a pullback of $50–$120 may occur to “digest” the momentum before continuing the trend. Macro news (Powell, employment data, geopolitical news) may trigger strong volatility. Risk Management • Smaller order sizes than usual due to high volatility. • Don't chase prices past strong resistance; prioritize buying on signs of a successful retest. The uptrend is still intact; a reasonable strategy is to buy with the trend on corrections or buy breakout confirmations. However, overbought RSI and macro/geopolitical news risks could cause significant pullbacks, so prioritize risk management and tight SL. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4242 - 4240⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4246 →Take Profit 1 4234 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4228 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4145 - 4147⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4141 →Take Profit 1 4153 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4159
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
Time is over. XAUUSDThey’ll tell you gold is going to $5,000 or $10,000, but the reality this week is different. The market was dominated by downward pressure on Friday, signaling that this bearish momentum could continue into next week. We may see a short retracement on Monday or Tuesday, followed by a potential drop toward $4,000. This could be an opportunity to rotate capital from gold into cryptocurrencies, potentially creating some psychological pressure on the metals sector. The “banana rally” has hit gold: nine consecutive weeks of gains historically precede corrections of 10–30% in the following weeks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SGsauragestion
2
Gold: Oscillated - Plummeted - ReboundedFrom an intraday trend perspective, gold surged to near 4379 – 4380 in the early hours of the morning , the morning session saw gold oscillate between 4350 and 4370. It then experienced a sharp drop, falling to around 4280 at one point, before rebounding again. Overall, after hitting a new all-time high, gold traded in a high-level range during the day due to technical correction needs and complex market sentiment. For the short term, focus should be on the support zone around 4280 – 4300. If it breaks below 4280, further downside may follow. On the upside, the key resistance level to watch is 4380; a strong break above this level is expected to push gold to 4395 – 4410 during the day. Buy 4320 - 4330 TP 4350 - 4360 - 4370 SL 4300 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
XAUUSD – Why I’m Preparing for a Long SetupI’m not randomly calling buys here — the chart is clearly building the case for another bullish leg. Let me walk you through the logic behind the anticipation: 🔹 1. Overall Trend Structure Is Still Bullish Price has been consistently printing: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) Respecting the ascending trendline cleanly Until there’s a confirmed break of structure to the downside, my bias remains bullish. 🔹 2. Liquidity Sweep Above the Highs We’ve just seen a session-based liquidity sweep above the recent highs: No bearish follow-through Price is reacting but not reversing aggressively That sweep gives the algorithm liquidity to push higher once price rebalances. 🔹 3. Clean Pullback Zones Are Lined Up I’m not chasing price — I’m waiting for price to retrace deeper into: H1 Imbalance OTE Discount Zone Demand / Reaccumulation Block Previous structure support The red zone you marked aligns with: 61–79% retracement Structural demand Stop raid liquidity below That’s the kind of area smart money loves to load longs. 🔹 4. Still Untapped Buy-Side Liquidity Above Look at what rests above: Previous daily high (PDH) Session highs not fully cleared External liquidity pools waiting to be targeted The bullish delivery objective hasn’t been satisfied. 🔹 5. No Bearish Displacement or BOS Even after the sweep: No strong bearish displacement No market structure break Just corrective price action Until we see a clean shift down, the pullback is treated as accumulation. 🔹 6. Projected Delivery Model Your blue projection shows the exact logic: Liquidity grab ✅ Retracement into demand ✅ Reaction + continuation ✅ Final target = buy-side liquidity above ✅ This is textbook smart money buildup. ✅ Summary for Followers “The overall structure is still bullish, price has swept liquidity without breaking structure, and I’m waiting for a retracement into the H1 OTE/demand zone. Once price dips into that zone, I’ll be looking to take a long toward the external buy-side liquidity around and above PDH.”
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by fxbeckz
WE ARE SELLING If you couldn't enter around 3am then you can still sell around 4340-45 and target tp at 4250 if you don't want stress and if it's able to close below 4190 then you targets another sell at 4195-4200 and hold, if you like to hold from 4340-4345 too, you can hold till it moves below 4190 then you add another position but it could fail to move below 4250 or any of the rectangular block below so manage it though it looks like it's going to sell more for some days but still it best to manage it by locking profits if it reaches 4250 or closing it.
TVC:GOLDShort
by EVANABEK1
2
GOLD XAUUSD WATCH KEY SUPPLY ROOF @ 4258-4260 WATCH 4288-4290-4300 ZONE WITH GOOD risk management. the trade reason. the fib level resistance says sell at 4285-4288-4290 and i extend it to whole number 4300 the rsi divergent has two rejection in a zone tested multiple times ,creating a high rejection probability. the ascending trendline was a broken demand floor which turns it into supply roof now and above price and creating a double confluence with the fib level the ema+sma guiding price indicating bulls after break of London high 4242-4240 suggesting liquidity + newyork/londeon session volatility NOTE MANAGE YOUR RISK,ANAY ANALYSIS CAN FAIL BECAUSE TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY. I WISH YOU GOODLUCK. LIKE AND SHARE FOR MORE .
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD sets new record amid global risk waveSpot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to break out in the Asian trading session on Thursday morning (October 16), hitting a record high of $4,239.07/ounce, as investors increasingly sought the precious metal as a safe haven from increasingly complex fluctuations in the global economy. In the previous session, gold closed at $4,207.85/ounce, up $65.94 (equivalent to 1.59%), and continued to increase by more than $25 today. Since the beginning of the week, gold prices have increased by nearly 5%, continuing a strong upward trend since mid-August. The rise in gold prices comes as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signals it will maintain its easy monetary policy path. Speaking this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank is “on track” to cut its benchmark interest rate by another 0.25% later this month, in response to signs of weakening growth and external uncertainty. Lower borrowing costs typically increase the appeal of non-yielding gold compared to bonds and currencies. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s latest comments have added to the market’s tension. Responding to a reporter’s question about trade relations with China, Mr. Trump said: “Yes, we are in a trade war right now.” This statement, quoted by Bloomberg News, has raised concerns about long-term damage to the global economy, a factor that often drives capital flows to safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, the risk of a US government shutdown and the “downdraft effect” when investors simultaneously sell bonds and foreign currencies to switch to holding gold and safe-haven assets, further strengthening the precious metal’s price increase. Strong central bank gold buying has also played a significant role in the rally. Personally, I believe that much of this year’s rally has been “driven by physical demand”, as many central banks “aggressively add to reserves to hedge against sovereign debt risks and expansionary monetary policies”. So far, gold prices have risen more than 60% in 2025, reflecting a clear shift in global investment thinking, where gold has once again asserted its central role as a source of financial confidence in times of political and monetary uncertainty. Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Spot XAUUUSD continues to maintain a strong uptrend, currently trading around $4,239/ounce, up nearly 0.75% on the day and approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance zone at $4,213 – $4,286, corresponding to the top of the short-term rising channel. Trend Structure • The medium-term uptrend remains solid, with a series of steadily rising candles and the MA50 maintaining a strong upward slope, reinforcing the bullish momentum. • The uptrend channel remains effective, with prices currently hovering at the upper boundary of the channel, indicating that the buying momentum is too strong in the short term. • The RSI remains above 70, indicating a technically overbought state, but there is no clear reversal signal yet; this usually signals a slight correction before the uptrend continues. Key Technical Zones • Resistance: 4.286 (0.786 Fib) and 4.378 (100% extension target). • Support: 4.162 (0.5 Fib), 4.059 (old confluence – dynamic support), further 3.947 (balance). Intraday Scenario • The main trend remains bullish, but the risk of a short-term correction increases as prices approach the Fibonacci resistance zone. • Day traders can wait for a buyback around $4,160 – $4,180, the confluence between the 0.5 Fib and the midline of the rising channel, where bottom-fishing buying is likely to emerge. • The short-term target is $4,280 – $4,300/oz, corresponding to the upper boundary of the rising channel. • Technical stop-loss should be placed below $4,050 (psychological support and short-term MA). Overview Speculative money still dominates, but the market is showing signs of needing a “technical breather” to consolidate the new price base. In the context of the Fed easing signals and escalating geopolitical tensions, the main uptrend of gold is not yet threatened, but short-term trading should prioritize the strategy of buying on corrections instead of chasing high prices. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4298 - 4296⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4302 →Take Profit 1 4290 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4284 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4144 - 4146⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4140 →Take Profit 1 4152 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4158
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2