XAUUSD – Favor the BULLISH scenario, trade the price channelMacro backs the bulls: Gold just broke above $4,200/oz on expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, while geopolitics and renewed US–China trade tensions are sending flows back into safe havens. Such capital typically doesn’t “flip” quickly, so the uptrend still has room.
H1 technicals: Price is moving cleanly inside an ascending channel with clear push–pause rhythms. The lower trendline is providing solid support; the 4.22x area is the nearest footing, with an overhead supply zone at 4.28x–4.30x.
Reference trade plan:
Wait for a pullback to 4,228–4,222 to buy the continuation.
SL: below the channel floor around 4,196–4,200 to avoid noise.
TP1: 4,250, TP2: 4,272, TP3: 4,295–4,305 (scale out into the supply zone).
Trade ideas
How to Analyze Daily Time Frame on Gold. 5 Important Things
There are 5 important things that you should analyze on Gold on a daily time frame to accurately predict long term, midterm and short term movements.
In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for daily time frame analysis that you can apply on Gold or any other financial instrument.
1 - Identify the market trend
When you analyze a daily time frame, you should identify long term, midterm and short term market trends.
Long-term trend is based on the analysis of one year long price action.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a long term bullish trend because the price keeps setting new higher high and new higher lows during the year.
Midterm trend is based on the analysis of a price action for the last 4–5 months.
Above, we can clearly see that a mid-term trend is bullish because again, the price sets new higher highs and higher lows over time.
Short-term trend is based on the analysis of price movements for the last 2 months.
Short-term price action is also bullish on Gold, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
According to the trend analysis, long-term, mid-term and short-term trends are bullish.
2 - Identify the directional bias
The directional bias defines a highly probable future direction on the market.
In our example, we can anticipate that Gold will keep growing among all the dimensions: long-term, mid-term and short-term.
3 - Execute structure analysis
Identify important historic horizontal and vertical structures.
That will be the points from where you should look for trading opportunities.
When you analyze key levels, identify the structures that are lying close to the current price levels.
Make sure that all the structures that you spotted were respected by the market in the past.
4 - Look for price action patterns
Price action patterns are the language of the market.
Proper identification of the patters will help you correctly understand the intentions of the market participants.
You can see that a bearish breakout of a rising channel triggered a correctional movement on the market.
Gold started to fall steadily within a bullish flag pattern and after it tested a key support, the price violated the resistance of the flag.
5 - Analyze candlesticks
Candlestick patterns can provide extra clues and confirmations.
You can see that the market formed multiple rejections from key support, an inside bar formation and bullish engulfing candle.
Violation of the inside bar to the upside with a strong bullish candle is an important bullish signal.
Combining trend analysis, structure analysis, price action and candlestick analysis, and you can make predictions and look for trading opportunities.
You can also make your analysis even more sophisticated, for example, analyzing fundamental analysis or applying technical indicators.
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Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,379 → ~$4,252 — higher close vs. last week’s pullback finish.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; dip buyers continue to control rhythm.
🛡 Supports: $4,180–$4,140 → $4,100–$4,050 → $4,000 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,260 / $4,300 / $4,350 → stretch $4,380–$4,420.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip > $4,140–$4,200; momentum regain targets $4,300–$4,380+. Invalidation < $4,050 → risk $4,000/3,980.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Fed: Markets lean to another cut into Oct 28–29; softer real yields buoy gold.
• FX: DXY under pressure = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: ETF interest & CB buying remain supportive on dips.
• Geopolitics: Tariff/trade and regional risks keep safe-haven bids live.
🎯 Street view: Several houses float $5,000/oz by 2026 scenarios on easing policy & reserve diversification narratives
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,260–$4,280 near-ATH supply / immediate ceiling from close
• $4,300–$4,350 extension target band
• $4,380–$4,420 stretch zone toward prior spike high and measured extensions
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,220–$4,200 first retest band just below close
• $4,180–$4,140
• $4,100–$4,050 deeper pullback shelf; $4,000 remains the big psych
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect shallow pullbacks into $4,220–$4,140 to be bought, followed by rotation back into the $4,260–$4,300 resistance stack for an ATH retest.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,280 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380–$4,420 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Fed cut expectations into late Oct(lower real yields = gold tailwind
• USD softness / DXY sub-100 tone supports metals
• Ongoing central-bank bullion demand; ETF inflows stabilizing
• Geopolitics & trade/tariff headlines keeping safety bids active
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,140–$4,200
• Bearish below: $4,100–$4,050 risk expands under $4,000
🧭 Strategy
Accumulate dips above $4,140–$4,200.
On breakout > $4,280, target $4,300–$4,350+. Maintain tight risk under stepped supports; invalidate momentum below $4,050–$4,000.
________________________________________
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Hmm, a decent day and a frustrating end of the day! We managed to complete our Excalibur targets on gold hitting 4 in a row and then started this range and witnessed a 400pip candle. We decided earlier we're not going to attempt any longs up here now unless we see price settle into a range. So for now, we're not going to give a path, instead, we'll give the two levels of interest to look for during the sessions to come.
If we continue to hold 4180 it's likely we will engulf upside, but that 4230 is sticking out at the moment!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation - Breakout - Momentum TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD recently made new all-time high inside a steep upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum. The structure suggests a healthy correction phase forming a short-term range above the 4,280 support zone. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline, the bullish structure remains intact with potential continuation toward 4,450 and higher. The ongoing range formation may serve as consolidation before the next impulsive breakout higher.
⚠️ Risks:
A sustained break below 4,280 could trigger a deeper correction.
Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed comments may weigh on gold prices.
Reduced geopolitical tension could cool safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
What to Do When the Market Is in an Uptrend?Hello everyone,
When the market is rising , most traders get excited. Every price push feels like a wave of enthusiasm – everyone believes they are on the winning side. But in reality, even in the most favorable conditions, not everyone makes a profit . The simple reason: a rising market does not automatically mean a win; it’s about knowing when to buy and when to wait . I’ve seen many traders jump into positions just because the price is going up, only to be surprised when the market pulls back . An uptrend is not a straight line up, but a series of higher highs – pullbacks – higher highs , and the winners are those who know how to choose the right timing.
Confirm the Trend – Don’t Confuse Uptrend with a Technical Rebound:
Before placing a trade , the first step is to confirm whether the market is truly in an uptrend . A proper uptrend should have higher highs and higher lows , with the price staying above moving averages like EMA 20, EMA 50, or above the Ichimoku Kumo cloud . If the price just bounced from a low after a sharp decline, it may only be a technical rebound , and confusing the two can make you buy at the top . For example, when gold keeps forming new highs at 1,920 – 1,940 USD/ounce, while the lows remain higher than the previous ones, the money flow clearly supports the uptrend .
Buy on Pullbacks – “Buy the Dip” Is a Smart Entry:
Once the uptrend is confirmed, the next step is to choose the right entry point . Don’t rush to follow the price when the market is flying , as every uptrend has pause phases . Each minor correction or pullback is a chance to buy the dip . Watch important support zones , such as Fibonacci 0.5 or 0.618 or unfilled FVG areas . When the price touches these levels and shows a reversal signal , it is usually the highest probability entry point .
Note: even in an uptrend , the market may experience shakes due to profit-taking or short-term adjustments . This is normal and should not cause panic. In fact, the pullback is an opportunity to buy at a better price . Wait for a confirmation signal from candlestick reversals or indicators like RSI not oversold . For example, if gold rises from 1,900 to 1,940 and then pulls back slightly to 1,915 – 1,920, this can be a good entry , instead of chasing at the peak .
Risk Management – Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Even when the market is rising , risk management is crucial. Place Stop Loss below higher lows or the nearest support zone to protect against sharp pullbacks. Take Profit can be set at the next resistance zone , or use trailing stop to lock in profits as the price continues upward. For example, buying gold at 1,915 USD/ounce , you could place SL below 1,905 and TP near the resistance at 1,950 USD.
Monitor Macro News – Don’t Let Big Waves Sweep Away Profits:
A strong trend always has a reason behind it: monetary policies , inflation data , or global capital flows . Staying informed helps you avoid being caught off guard.
I’ve covered this part, you can click here to read more.
Patience and Discipline – Two Weapons to Survive an Uptrend:
One of the biggest challenges for traders is… standing still . When the market keeps rising , FOMO (fear of missing out) can make you jump in immediately, but most hasty trades end up buying right before a pullback . I’ve made this mistake many times – buying when the price is flying , then watching the position turn red in a few hours. Later, I realized that in an uptrend , patience to wait for a pullback is the key to winning. Wait for the price to return to a support zone , wait for a confirmation signal , then enter.
Discipline is not only about entry timing but also risk management . Place Stop Loss below the nearest low , Take Profit at the next resistance zone , and if the price continues upward , move SL favorably – trailing stop protects profits without exiting too early. Emotions are the biggest enemy of a trader ; greed or rushing leads to wrong decisions. Following your plan and discipline avoids unnecessary losses.
An uptrend is a perfect time to increase profits , but it can also make traders complacent . If you can identify the trend , wait for the right entry , and maintain discipline , you will not only ride the wave but also survive it. Is the market rising? The question is not whether to buy or not , but whether you have enough patience to wait for the right moment .
Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe..Gold (XAU/USD), 4H timeframe — here’s what the technical setup indicates:
Current price: around $4,107
Structure: Rising channel (uptrend), but price recently rejected the upper boundary.
Indicators: There’s a clear blue arrow pointing downward, suggesting a short-term correction.
Support zones:
First near $4,050 – $4,030 (mid-channel support)
Second near $4,000 – $3,995 (cloud & lower trendline support — also marked “Target Point” on my chart)
✅ Short-term Target: $4,000 – $3,995
If the bearish momentum continues, it might test the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud near $3,975.
⚠ Invalidation:
If price closes above $4,145, the bearish correction setup fails and the bullish channel continues.
So, my target zone = $4,000 ±10.
XAUUSD Maintains Uptrend – Potential Retest AheadHello everyone,
Today, observing the H1 gold chart, I notice that buying pressure remains strong, but recent minor pullbacks indicate the market is seeking balance before the next move. XAUUSD continues a clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, alongside multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) forming and filling. The Ichimoku cloud lies beneath the price, sloping upward, creating a solid buffer, while volume slightly narrows near peak candles, signalling a healthy retest before a breakout.
Key support zones around 4210–4205 and 4190–4185 could allow minor retracements to “clean” liquidity before challenging resistance at 4238–4245 and moving toward 4268–4275. Conversely, if these supports weaken, selling pressure could drag the price down to 4168–4160 before the uptrend resumes.
On the macro side, Fed rate-cut expectations remain the primary support for gold. Recent statements by Chair Powell were dovish, and the Beige Book shows slower growth in some regions, usually pulling yields down and softening the USD. US–China geopolitical tensions and the risk of a prolonged government shutdown also drive safe-haven demand, while central bank and ETF net purchases continue, reinforcing the trend through pullbacks. Positive USD/yield data may only trigger technical retracements before the broader trend persists.
What do you think — will XAUUSD retest successfully or undergo a deeper pullback before breaking higher?
GOLD → The aggressive trend continues. Focus on 4240FX:XAUUSD continues to break records, testing the $4,240 level amid a weakening dollar and sustained demand for safe-haven assets. The risks of a correction are growing as economic news releases approach.
Key supporting factors: Statements by US officials about China's “seizure of supply chains” and retaliatory measures are keeping markets on edge. US shutdown: The government shutdown is costing the economy $15 billion a week, increasing uncertainty. The probability of a rate cut in October and December is ~95%, which is putting pressure on the dollar. However, statements by Fed officials may adjust market expectations.
The bullish trend for gold remains unchanged. Any corrections will be seen as a buying opportunity. Key benchmarks are the development of the trade conflict and negotiations on the resumption of the US government.
Support levels: 4212, 4203
Resistance levels: 4234, 4235, 4250
Within the uptrend, it is worth waiting for a correction to support in order to open positions more profitably. There are no reasons for a trend reversal, and the fundamental background is bullish. We expect a retest of support before growth. However, a breakout of the 4234-4239 zone could trigger further growth!
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Have Chance to Growth a New zone 4225 to 4260 ?Gold prices surged to new all-time highs today, breaking above the $4,200 resistance before retracing slightly toward support. As seen before, the pullback attracted fresh buying interest, suggesting that bullish momentum remains intact.
Market sentiment continues to be supported by rising trade tensions — reports indicate that Trump is considering a ban on Chinese vegetable oil imports, while China is said to be preparing reciprocal port fees. These developments have increased safe-haven demand for gold.
Additionally, with the Federal Reserve maintaining its dovish stance, the overall macro backdrop remains supportive for further upside in gold prices.
A false breakout pattern appears to be forming, indicating a potential technical pullback before the next leg higher. The broader trend remains bullish, with no strong fundamental reasons for a deep correction at this stage. so from the current situation we could expect next target zone would be 4225 to 4260,
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies,
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
This is an extended 4H chart idea, continuing from our previous analysis, now with the added Goldturn levels above, allowing us to continue to track ongoing movement.
After completing the 4212 move, price continued to push upward, leaving a small gap near 4383 before facing rejection. We’re now seeing price retest the lower Goldturn levels for support, with a current test around the 4212 Goldturn. The 4212–4154 zone remains a key weighted area, and as long as price holds above this zone, we may see a potential bounce.
We’ll return on Sunday with our multi-timeframe roadmap and trading plans for the week ahead. Thank you all once again for your continued support, likes, and comments, we truly appreciate it.
Mr. Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Ready for continue growth Target 4152 / 4180Gold prices remain elevated, with a key resistance area forming near 4,190. From this zone, a potential short-term correction could occur, possibly pushing prices toward 4,090, forming an intermediate bottom.
Expectations of two U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts before year-end continue to support gold prices. Meanwhile, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown has increased demand for safe-haven assets, further underpinning gold’s strength.
Technical Outlook:
The bullish pattern in gold remains intact despite recent price declines. After the pullback, prices are showing signs of recovery, suggesting a possible continuation of the uptrend.
If the price breaks above 4,142, we could see further bullish momentum toward the 4,152–4,180 zone. However, if it fails to hold above 4115 / 4,100, the price may retest lower supports before resuming the upward trend.
You may Find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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#XAUUSD:$4200 Almost Hit, Our New Target Is $4500! Dear Traders,
Gold has been extremely bullish since our previous analysis. The US has imposed a 100% tariff on China which has caused fear within the global trading community. Our next move is to wait for the price to retest whether minor or major. Once we have confirmation, we can target our next move.
Team Setupsfx
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has seen a sharp and powerful rally over the past few weeks and continues to trade in a bullish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are still no major signs of weakness, as macro factors continue to support gold’s long-term uptrend.
However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term correction appears increasingly likely.
On the 4-hour chart, gold has recently broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
If price pulls back to retest the broken trendline and then breaks below the 4180 support level, we could see a deeper move toward the next support zone.
Volatility in gold has been extremely high in recent days, with sharp intraday swings.
It’s advisable to avoid aggressive entries at the moment and wait for clearer confirmation signals before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold Analysis: Break Above $4,293 Could Trigger a New HighHi guys!
Gold has been moving inside a clear ascending channel, respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Recently, we saw a double top formation near the upper trendline , which triggered a corrective move down to the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, an area that has already shown strong buying interest.
After the rebound from this support, the price is now aiming toward the $4,293 resistance.
👉 If the price breaks and holds above $4,293 , it’s likely to continue the bullish momentum and head toward a new higher high inside the channel.
Overall, the structure remains bullish as long as the price stays above $4,190 , with the next key resistance at $4,293 being the level to watch for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Gold’s bullish bias remains supported by the ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty over global interest rate paths, and softening U.S. dollar. Investors are also increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid concerns about economic slowdown and central bank gold purchases remaining strong.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Price consolidation to downside side What's should Next ?Gold prices have reached a new record high as investors continue to bet on the U.S. Federal Reserve maintaining its path toward lower interest rates. Ongoing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S. are also supporting gold’s safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook:
The price recently tested a new high zone near 4,380, which formed after a downside correction If the price fails to break above 4,365, we could see a short-term selling pattern develop In that case, a potential retracement could target the 4,308 – 4,280 area.
However, a confirmed break and close above 4,365 could invalidate the short-term bearish setup and suggest further upside momentum. With the upcoming U.S. session and major economic events ahead, traders should expect increased volatility and one-sided movement once direction Formed
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks For Supporting.
XAUUSD Long: Path to 4280 After Successful RetestHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a powerful and sustained bullish phase, with the market structure being clearly defined by a major ascending trend line. This uptrend has demonstrated significant strength, breaking through multiple key resistance levels such as 3820 and 4055, confirming that buyers are in full control of the market.
Currently, the auction has entered an acceleration phase. The price has broken out above its long-term ascending trend line, a significant event that suggests the bullish momentum is increasing. The market is now in a clear expansion phase, trading in new high territory after leaving the prior structure behind.
My scenario for the development of events is a classic breakout and retest of this major trend line. I believe the price will make a corrective pullback to test the broken trend line from above, confirming it as new support. In my opinion, a successful bounce from this line would validate the acceleration and trigger the next impulsive wave higher. The take-profit is therefore set at 4280. Manage your risk!
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold holds firm near $4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today.
After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts.
The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids.
Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week.
• Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement.
• Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area.
• If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249
SL: 4255 – 4257
TP targets: 4210 → 4195
🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186
SL: 4174
TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup.
• Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen.
• Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186.
Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment.
The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
XAUUSD: Rally can Reach new ATH - $4520 pointsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has been in a very strong and complex uptrend. We saw the price break out of an initial range and then establish a major Trend Line that has guided it higher, breaking through key levels like Support 2 at 3670 and Support 1 at 4020.
Currently, the most significant event is that the price has broken out above its main Trend Line. After this powerful move, the market has entered a natural corrective phase and is pulling back towards this broken line for a classic retest. This is a critical area to watch.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction down to this main ascending trend line. The key signal for me would be a confirmed and strong bounce from this dynamic support, which would tell me the pullback is over and the primary trend is ready to accelerate.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. My new target for the next impulsive wave higher is 4520, which would represent a new ATH.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4333 and a gap below at 4225. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4333
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4333 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4494
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4494 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4572
BEARISH TARGETS
4225
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4225 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3985
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4122 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3985
3857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3857 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3741
3632
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After Opening
Just a quick follow-up for my Friday's publication for Gold.
I do believe that we will see a bullish market opening with
a highly probable test of 4039 level.
Taking into consideration the latest news, the price may
establish a new ATH and continue rising.
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