XAUUSD - 1HXAUUSD – 1H Technical Outlook (October 25, 2025)
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within a short-term bullish corrective structure after forming a higher low near the Previous Day Low (PDL) around the 4,060 zone. The recent rebound shows clear signs of accumulation, with multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirming short-term bullish intent.
Key Market Structure Observations:
Liquidity Sweep: The market swept liquidity below PDL and immediately showed a bullish reaction, suggesting that Smart Money may have absorbed sell-side liquidity before pushing price higher.
ChoCH → BOS Sequence: The shift in market structure to the upside aligns with a potential intraday reversal.
Equilibrium Zone: The price is currently trading around the equilibrium level (~4,100–4,115), indicating a balanced area where both buyers and sellers are active.
Weak High & PDH: The Previous Day High (PDH) around 4,155 is a weak high, meaning it’s a likely liquidity target before any meaningful pullback occurs.
Premium Zone: Above PDH lies the premium imbalance area (~4,180–4,220), which may serve as the final liquidity target for this upward leg.
Momentum & Indicator Check:
The stochastic oscillator recently pulled back from the overbought zone but remains above the midline, showing healthy bullish momentum. As long as the oscillator doesn’t break below the 40–50 zone, bulls maintain control.
Trading Plan:
Buy Zone: 4,090 – 4,100 (Equilibrium retest)
Target 1: 4,155 (PDH liquidity)
Target 2: 4,219 (Premium zone)
Stop-Loss: Below 4,077
Market Bias:
Bullish intraday bias – favoring buy setups on pullbacks toward the equilibrium zone. A break and close above 4,155 would confirm continuation toward 4,200+.
Trade ideas
Silence Between Trades: The Missing Edge“The best traders don’t trade all the time.
They wait until silence turns into clarity.”
Most traders believe progress means constant activity —
always analyzing, clicking, reacting, entering.
But true consistency begins in the space between trades .
In that quiet gap where no button is pressed and no candle matters.
Why Silence Matters
The human mind craves noise.
When the chart slows down, the mind gets restless.
You start doubting your bias. You scroll timeframes. You force entries.
That’s not trading — that’s trying to escape stillness.
But silence is where observation deepens.
It’s where the impulsive trader becomes the patient one.
Stillness is not absence of action — it’s control of it.
What to Do Between Trades
Journal — note what you felt after your last trade, not just the result.
Observe price structure without bias. Let the market show its next intent.
Breathe — step away, let your nervous system reset.
Review your setups — refine your plan instead of forcing a new one.
The Hidden Edge
When others jump into random trades, your patience will look like inactivity —
but it’s actually precision.
The longer you can stay calm in uncertainty,
the closer you are to mastery.
Stillness isn’t waiting for the market to move —
It’s waiting for yourself to settle.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Does silence make you uneasy, or do you find strength in it?
Share your reflection below — the quietest traders often have the loudest growth.
GOLG BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP TARGETING 4030 AFTER STRUCTURAL SHIFEntry Point: Around 3,994 – 4,000 USD — where price retested the demand zone after BOS.
Stop Loss: Below 3,978 USD, just under the last higher low to protect from fakeouts.
Target Zone 1: Around 4,011 USD — short-term resistance and first liquidity area.
Target Zone 2: Around 4,034 USD — strong supply zone and next liquidity pool (EQH zone).
Smart Money Concept (SMC) Insights:
Liquidity Sweep: The chart shows that equal lows (EQL) were swept before bullish structure formed — a common SMC pattern indicating accumulation.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price may fill a small imbalance before continuing higher.
Strong High Zone: Around 4,034, which could act as the final liquidity target before a potential pullback.
Trade Idea:
Setup: Bullish continuation after market structure shift.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 R/R ratio.
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3,978 – 3,980 zone.
Today's gold trading strategyThe foundation for a rebound after negative news fades: The core policies of the Federal Reserve, including the 25BP interest rate cut in October and the termination of quantitative tightening in December, have been implemented. Previously, the market's divergent reactions to the "hawkish actions + dovish guidance" gradually subsided. Powell emphasized that the 12-month interest rate cut "is not a certainty" and although this dampened expectations for aggressive easing, the liquidity easing brought about by the termination of quantitative tightening (full re-investment of maturing bonds) is a definite positive factor. Currently, the gold price has not fully priced in this long-term support, and there is short-term room for expectation correction.
Dual support from interest rates and liquidity: The federal funds rate has dropped to the range of 3.75%-4.00%, coupled with the easing of liquidity pressure in the money market after the termination of QT in December, the holding cost of non-interest-bearing assets has further decreased. Historical data shows that within 1-2 weeks after the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of gold rising was 68%. This time, in addition to the rate cut, the termination of quantitative tightening also occurred, and the easing intensity was greater than that in the same period in 2019, providing stronger support.
The rational return of market expectations: The expectation of a December interest rate cut has narrowed from over 90% to 60%-70%. Excessive optimistic expectations have been corrected. The current expectation level is more in line with the policy orientation of the Federal Reserve based on "data dependence". After the negative news is cleared, funds will once again focus on the substantive positive impact of the termination of quantitative easing, driving the gold price to rebound.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:4005-4015
tp:4035-4045
sl:3995
XAUUSD- Trend reversal - New ATH incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD has turned bullish on the daily timeframe after holding key dynamic support and reclaiming the volatility ribbon. The structure now supports continuation toward higher Fibonacci levels, provided price remains above the $3,940 support zone.
Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers, and with strong absorption of previous selling, the bias now leans toward further upside movement.
Bullish Confluences:
Structure Shift: Price has broken above the short-term descending channel, confirming a bullish structure change after forming a higher low near the mid-band support.
EMA / Volatility Ribbon Reclaim: Candles have closed back inside the green volatility ribbon, signaling renewed bullish momentum and a shift in trend sentiment.
Strong Daily Rejection: The recent candle shows a clear rejection wick from the lower volatility band (blue zone), indicating that buyers absorbed selling pressure and stepped back in.
Momentum Turn: Oscillators and momentum tools (if used) confirm upward acceleration, consistent with previous bullish continuation setups.
Support Confirmation: The previous base around $3,920 – $3,940 held firmly as support, creating a foundation for an upward leg.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Upside)
Measured from the latest swing low to swing high:
Target 1 (38.2%) → $4,091
Target 2 (61.8%) → $4,143
Target 3 (100%) → $4,210
Gold heading towards my Targets / #5,100.80 mark aheadTechnical analysis: As I announced that correction is over on Gold (Fed or not), Price-action has recovered half of the post Fed losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as DX and global futures are still on Higher levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX as I did for past few fractals. Technically the Hourly 4 chart was isolated within invalidated / former Descending Channel on it’s Higher Low’s, as Resistance currently has to give away since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong Bullish move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bearish Fundamental outcome on announcements this week (Fed Rate cut was Bullish however hawkish stance from Powell had much more after-effect on Gold), Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that this and last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week is coming to a close, is that the consolidation since yesterday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,975.80 - #3,988.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially all lesser charts turning Bullish now. Interestingly, the Weekly candle percentage will be flat almost on zero percent if Gold continues to soar. I remain fully Bullish on the Short and Medium-term, in addition my Technicals are showcasing Bullish signs as I expect Gold to continue rising (Buying every dip) on Buying pressure from DX on expected spiral downtrend, Bond Yields as well struggling to make Bullish comeback).
My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 31Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 4090, support: 3890.
4-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3915.
1-hour chart resistance: 4030, support: 3988.
After a double bottom yesterday, gold prices rebounded again, even briefly reaching 4040 today. However, this momentum was short-lived, and prices fell back again during the Asian session. Currently, it's around 4000.
Today is Friday, the end of both the weekly and monthly charts. Various indicators suggest that the gold correction is far from over, so this rebound is merely a small pause in the downtrend and cannot be considered a reversal.
Today's trading strategy is to deal with the market within a range, focusing on support at 3988-3950 and resistance at 4030/4050/4100.
SELL: 4050 near
BUY: 3988 near
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XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Rebound from SupportGold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the buy entry at 3,893.61, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,794.38, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,060.49, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAU/USD – Gold awaits confirmation before the next big moveAfter moving into the new day, the market’s behavior remains within expectations, showing no significant change in the overall structure. On the H1 chart, gold continues to fluctuate around $3,940, facing a clear short-term resistance near $3,990–$4,000 and a higher resistance zone around $4,070–$4,120.
From a technical perspective, the price is attempting a short-term pullback. If buyers manage to hold above the intraday support zone of $3,920–$3,910, a corrective rally toward $4,000–$4,070 could unfold. However, failure to sustain above that area could trigger another leg down, targeting $3,870 and possibly $3,820.
The RSI remains neutral, showing no strong momentum shift yet, while EMA lines suggest bearish pressure remains dominant until a breakout above $4,070 occurs.
This makes the current phase a liquidity-building zone before a decisive move either way.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 1: $3,990–$4,000
Resistance 2: $4,070–$4,120
Support 1: $3,920–$3,910
Support 2: $3,870–$3,820
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 (Bullish): Wait for a confirmed break and retest above $4,000 to aim for $4,070–$4,120.
Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price rejects the $4,000–$4,070 zone, consider short positions toward $3,870 with tight risk control.
Gold traders should remain patient and let price action confirm direction before committing to new entries. Remember, clarity often comes after liquidity sweep — stay disciplined and react to confirmation, not prediction.
October 30, 2025 - XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3984 – Resistance
• 3971 – Resistance
• 3968 – Resistance
• 3945 – Support
• 3934 – Support
• 3927 – Support
• 3916 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3938 → target 3934, with further downside toward 3927, 3922, 3917
BUY: If price holds above 3964 → target 3971, with further upside toward 3975, 3982, 3988
Gold Trading Strategy | October 29-30✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold remains within a medium-term bearish trend channel. The price has repeatedly been rejected around the MA10/MA20 levels, indicating that short-term rebounds are limited and sellers still dominate the market.
The Bollinger Bands have opened downward, and the middle band (around 4003) is pressing lower, showing that recent rebounds are merely weak corrective moves rather than a trend reversal. Candlesticks have failed multiple times to stand above the middle band, facing pressure on every rebound — a typical weak, oscillating, downward structure. The support near 3886 is an important short-term defense level; if broken, price may further test the 3860–3840 region.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, gold briefly rebounded to the 4030 area before retreating sharply and breaking below the cluster of moving averages, showing heavy selling pressure above. Candles are currently running below the MA5 and MA10, with both sloping downward, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum. The Bollinger middle band is also turning lower, strengthening the current downward pressure. Rebounds are repeatedly capped around the middle band, and there is a high chance of testing the lower band near 3888.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3853 / 3980–3990 / 4000
🟢 Support Levels: 3920–3915 / 3886 / 3855
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3980–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3920–3886
🔰 If gold drops to 3885–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3950-3960.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Watch for support at 3990-3980 to consider going long on gold.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices have repeatedly tested the 4030 level without a successful breakout. Gold has now begun to decline, with short-term bears gradually releasing their momentum. Further downside is expected, with support expected in the 3990-3980 range. If gold prices can pull back to this range in the short term, we can consider going long on gold in anticipation of a rebound. Target range: 4030-4050






















