Gold (XAU/USD) – 2 Sept 2025With spot gold anchored at $3493, today’s price action is unfolding within a well-defined technical framework. Institutional flows continue to dominate, and liquidity engineering in recent sessions has created precise execution zones. Below is the validated map of opportunity for the day, built upon a multi-timeframe confluence model.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3472 to $3480
The most compelling area of interest sits between $3472 and $3480, an untouched 4H demand zone that aligns seamlessly with the Fibonacci golden pocket retracement of the prior bullish impulse. Liquidity was engineered below New York session lows, and this pocket now rests just above anchored VWAP support.
Stop Loss: $3466 (beneath order block invalidation)
Take Profits: 3493 / 3503 / 3513 / 3523 / Open trail
Zone Strength: 9/10 – Institutional Grade (Golden Zone)
This area represents today’s highest-probability setup. Should price hold above $3472, we anticipate continuation into $3520+ with strong order flow participation.
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3450 to $3456
A deeper liquidity pocket exists around $3450–$3456, where Asia accumulation lows and equal-lows liquidity converge. This zone coincides with a 4H bullish order block and weekly anchored VWAP.
SL: $3442
TPs: same as above
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
This is a backup zone, valid only if the market aggressively hunts liquidity below the Golden Zone before resuming higher.
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3510 to $3518
On the upside, supply remains stacked at $3510–$3518, an unmitigated 4H supply block sitting above last week’s NY high. The zone also aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an ATR exhaustion band.
SL: $3525
TPs: 3500 / 3490 / 3480 / 3470 / Open
Strength: 8/10 – Strong Zone
If bulls overextend, this pocket offers a high-probability short back into mid-range liquidity.
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3530 to $3538
A broader liquidity cluster rests higher at $3530–$3538, defined by a daily supply zone, weekly VAH/POC, and liquidity pools above equal highs at $3535. With speculative positioning heavily net-long in COT data, this area may serve as a distribution zone.
SL: $3544
TPs: same as Primary Sell Zone
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
⚜️ Executive Summary
Today’s Golden Zone is the Primary Buy Zone ($3472–$3480). With multi-timeframe demand, engineered liquidity sweeps, VWAP confluence, and Fibonacci overlap, this zone stands out as an institutional-grade opportunity (9/10).
Execution should remain patient and disciplined: wait for price to tap the Golden Zone, confirm via BOS/CHoCH on lower timeframes, and then scale profits progressively at each 100-pip interval.
In short: $3472–$3480 defines today’s battleground. If defended, bulls control toward $3520+. If breached, deeper liquidity hunts await at $3450 and $3530.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
XAUUSD | Fibonacci Retracement Long Setup (Intraday).Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a bullish opportunity.
I have taken a long entry from 3490, with a stop loss at 3484 and a target near 3508 (recent high).
🔎 Technical Reasoning:
Applied Fibonacci Retracement (1H TF) from the last swing support to recent resistance.
Price has already broken below the 23% retracement, which often signals a deeper pullback.
I expect price to test the 50% retracement zone, which aligns with a short-term demand area.
From that level, continuation of the bullish trend is highly probable.
As the saying goes: “Trend is your friend.”
This setup follows the ongoing uptrend structure, but always keep risk in check.
⚠️ Note: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Please use proper risk management.
If this update adds value, please like, comment & share to encourage me to post more setups for the community.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #Bullish #RiskManagement
Gold Strategy Analysis: Price Breakout UnstoppableGold prices have been clearly bullish recently. Since Powell's speech sparked expectations of a rate cut, gold prices have found an opportunity to break out, triggering a powerful daily rebound with consecutive gains. The continued upward trend has been remarkably consistent, demonstrating unstoppable momentum.
Currently, three key factors—expectations of rate cuts, tariff disruptions, and the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine—have been supporting gold prices. Whenever gold prices fall into consolidation, news always emerges to pull them out of trouble.
Summary: Currently, bulls are still in the driving force. If gold prices fall back, it's still advisable to open long positions.
Gold Strategy
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and diverge in a bullish pattern. The 1-hour moving average remains in a standard bullish trend. Continue to open long positions in the event of a decline. Opening points: 3437/3423.
Gold: Overextended at Upper Rail — Fade or Break?Why:
Price just hit the upper rail of a rising channel after a strong Rally-Base-Rally, typical mean-revert toward the midline/base before the next leg.
DXY Overlay: Red DXY line is weak overall but sitting near minor support, a dollar bounce often = gold dip.
Watch for shooting star / bearish engulfing at the roof to confirm the pullback.
Only flip aggressively bullish if we close above the channel and retest it from above (classic pullback-after-breakout).
Key levels
Resistance: current highs at the upper rail.
Support: channel midline / last base (buy-zone on dip); deeper lower rail if momentum cools.
Trading idea (use your risk rules)
- SELL near the upper rail, TP: midline/base, SL: just above the roof.
- BUY the dip at midline/base, TP: upper rail/new highs, SL: below the base.
Invalidation: H1/H4 close above the channel + successful retest → target an extension equal to channel height.
GOLD ShortA decrease in gold prices is anticipated, considering the ideal Crab pattern on the four-hour timeframe.
This pattern, considered one of the reliable harmonic patterns in technical analysis, may indicate a trend reversal and price correction.
but for final confirmation, other technical and fundamental factors need to be examined as well.
Gold may usher in a reversal next week?The gold price is stable at 3400, and the current price is 3418, and it is about to test the previous high of 3438. It is worth noting that 3445 belongs to the entry point of butterfly mode, at which time you can wait for the opportunity to deploy empty orders near 3438-3345.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis 29.08.2025Gold has been trading in a bullish trend, moving higher without any significant retracement yesterday. Currently, price is holding around 3405–3407 after rejecting higher levels.
Looking at the chart, a potential retracement zone lies at 3393–3396, which aligns with a demand area and prior consolidation. If price retraces into this zone, it may provide a strong opportunity to join the ongoing bullish trend.
The upside target remains at 3415, which corresponds to the next resistance area, while invalidation of this setup lies below 3386 support.
Trading Idea:
Entry (Buy Zone): 3393–3396
Stop Loss (SL): 3386
Take Profit (TP): 3415
Risk-to-Reward ratio: ~1:2
Plan: Wait for retracement into the 3393–3396 zone, and find confirmatoin before entering long.
Gold bullish run continuation supported at 3376The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3376 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3376 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3420 – initial resistance
3430 – psychological and structural level
3440 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3376 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3365 – minor support
3353 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3376. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold AnalysisThe pattern is a falling wedge → historically this is a bullish reversal pattern.
RSI at 24 = oversold → normally market tries to bounce from here.
MACD still negative, but momentum is slowing = selling pressure is losing strength.
If price holds above 3405 support and breaks 3410 with volume, it will likely turn bullish toward 3415–3420.
If 3405 breaks, then it can dip to 3395–3390 = short-term bearish.
👉 So right now:
Bias = bullish, but confirmation needed above 3410.
If it fails and breaks 3405, then short-term bearish.
XAU/USD Scalping Execution ChecklistXAU/USD Scalping Execution Checklist
🔴 Short Setup (Primary Play – Liquidity Sweep)
✅ Wait for price to spike into 3420–3430 liquidity zone.
✅ Look at 1M candles → must show rejection (long upper wick, volume spike).
✅ Entry 1: First bearish rejection candle.
✅ Entry 2 (Scaling): Add on 1M structure break (3416 / 3412).
✅ Entry 3 (Aggressive): Add on retest of 3420 after rejection.
✅ Stop-Loss: 3442 (just above liquidity sweep high).
✅ Take-Profits:
TP1 → 3410 (scalp exit)
TP2 → 3400 (fills micro FVG)
TP3 → 3385 (trendline support)
TP4 → 3355 (H4 FVG)
✅ Trail stops if momentum strong.
🟢 Long Setup (Secondary Play – Breakout Continuation)
✅ Only valid if H4 closes above 3440 with strong volume.
✅ Entry 1: Retest hold of 3438–3440.
✅ Entry 2 (Scaling): Add on higher lows (e.g., 3445, 3450).
✅ Stop-Loss: 3425.
✅ Take-Profits:
TP1 → 3450
TP2 → 3475
TP3 → 3500
⚡ Risk Management Rules
Never scale into a losing trade.
Cut trade if entry doesn’t move in your favor within 3–5 minutes (on 1M).
Always trade towards FVGs / liquidity magnets.
Maximum risk per position = 0.5% – 1% account.
📌 Summary Bias:
Focus on shorting the liquidity sweep (3420–3430) into FVGs.
Only switch to longs if clear breakout above 3440 with strong volume.
Do you want me to turn this checklist into a visual flowchart (decision tree) so you can glance at it quickly during live scalping?
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to capture a potential short move. Price action is unfolding within an ending diagonal pattern, and I am anticipating the final leg down as wave (v).
Additional confluence is provided by the red-shaded supply zone, which coincides with the projected entry area and strengthens the probability of a reversal at this level.
I am entering at 3335.37, with a Stop Loss at 3345.30 serving as the invalidation level. My Take Profit is set at 3307.64, targeting the next key support area.
Good luck and trade safe.
XAU/USD Technical & Fundamental Outlook🔹 Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Support Zone Defense (3260–3280) 🛡️
Gold tested this area multiple times and each time buyers reacted strongly.
This shows institutions and smart money are accumulating long positions at this demand zone.
2️⃣ Liquidity Grab (Fake Break) 🌀
Price dipped below support, taking out sellers’ stop-losses.
This was a liquidity sweep, a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) move, which often precedes a sharp reversal.
3️⃣ Market Structure Shift 🔑
Downtrend produced Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
But now, a Higher Low (HL) has formed → the first sign of trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
4️⃣ Trendline Break 📈
The downward trendline has been broken.
Break of structure (BOS) confirms that momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.
5️⃣ Price Action Outlook ⚡
As long as gold holds above 3340–3360, bullish structure remains valid.
Next upside targets → 3400 → 3440 resistance zone 🚀.
🔹 Fundamental Analysis
1️⃣ Weaker US Dollar (DXY) 📉
Recent data shows signs of economic slowdown in the US.
Fed leaning toward rate cuts in upcoming meetings.
Lower interest rates weaken the USD and support gold prices.
2️⃣ Safe-Haven Demand 🛡️
Ongoing geopolitical tensions 🌍 and global uncertainty drive investors into gold.
Gold acts as a hedge against risk, inflation, and volatility.
3️⃣ Bond Yields Falling 📉
Declining Treasury yields make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Investors rotate into gold as real returns on bonds decrease.
4️⃣ Central Bank Buying 🏦
Several central banks (China, BRICS nations, etc.) are accumulating gold reserves.
This long-term demand provides strong support for gold prices.
🎯 Conclusion (Pro Trader View)
Technical:
Support zone held.
Higher Low formed.
Downtrend line broken.
→ Clear bullish structure.
Fundamental:
Weak USD, falling yields, safe-haven demand, and central bank buying all support gold.
👉 Outlook:
Gold is bullish. As long as price holds above 3340–3360, buyers will aim for 3400–3440 resistance 🚀.