Trade ideas
Gold heading towards my Targets / #5,100.80 mark aheadTechnical analysis: As I announced that correction is over on Gold (Fed or not), Price-action has recovered half of the post Fed losses on the E.U. session opening as DX was taking big Daily candle hit. However the rise is still not proportional as DX and global futures are still on Higher levels. This leads me to believe that on the Short-term, there is a stronger connection of Gold to DX, rather than Bond Yields, so I will keep an eye for pressure zones on DX as I did for past few fractals. Technically the Hourly 4 chart was isolated within invalidated / former Descending Channel on it’s Higher Low’s, as Resistance currently has to give away since last couple occasions it provided rejection twice (#4,027.80). I am expecting strong Bullish move to take place throughout next week. Despite the Bearish Fundamental outcome on announcements this week (Fed Rate cut was Bullish however hawkish stance from Powell had much more after-effect on Gold), Gold continues to Trade near the #2-Week High’s. This indicates that this and last week's aggressive Buy-off on DX was largely a pre-pricing of those Fed Rate numbers. What's obvious, as the current week is coming to a close, is that the consolidation since yesterday’s session is just above the Daily chart’s Support Zone (#3,975.80 - #3,988.80) which lifts the probabilities for an aggressive Buying sequence ahead, especially all lesser charts turning Bullish now. Interestingly, the Weekly candle percentage will be flat almost on zero percent if Gold continues to soar. I remain fully Bullish on the Short and Medium-term, in addition my Technicals are showcasing Bullish signs as I expect Gold to continue rising (Buying every dip) on Buying pressure from DX on expected spiral downtrend, Bond Yields as well struggling to make Bullish comeback).
My position: I have been monitoring Gold from sidelines as mentioned throughout yesterday's session Highly satisfied with my Profit, as I spotted that #3,988.80 is showcasing strong durability, I have started Buying Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,988.80 - #3,992.80 many times with at least #15ish orders delivering excellent Profits. I do believe Gold will continue soaring as long as Support zone is intact with #4,052.80 mark as my next Short-term Target.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 31Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 4090, support: 3890.
4-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3915.
1-hour chart resistance: 4030, support: 3988.
After a double bottom yesterday, gold prices rebounded again, even briefly reaching 4040 today. However, this momentum was short-lived, and prices fell back again during the Asian session. Currently, it's around 4000.
Today is Friday, the end of both the weekly and monthly charts. Various indicators suggest that the gold correction is far from over, so this rebound is merely a small pause in the downtrend and cannot be considered a reversal.
Today's trading strategy is to deal with the market within a range, focusing on support at 3988-3950 and resistance at 4030/4050/4100.
SELL: 4050 near
BUY: 3988 near
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday’s analysis is playing out as expected — after breaking above the 3987 resistance, gold tested the 4042 level, but failed to sustain momentum and pulled back for a retest of 3987, now acting as short-term support.
We need to see a clear break of either level to confirm direction, otherwise price may continue to range within this zone before the next move.
A break above 4,042 could open the way for a push toward 4095 and 4137, while a break below 3987 would likely trigger a move back toward the Deeper Support Zone (3,944–3,884).
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4042
4095
4137
4178
Support:
3987
3944
3884
3820
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Rebound from SupportGold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the buy entry at 3,893.61, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,794.38, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,060.49, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAU/USD – Gold awaits confirmation before the next big moveAfter moving into the new day, the market’s behavior remains within expectations, showing no significant change in the overall structure. On the H1 chart, gold continues to fluctuate around $3,940, facing a clear short-term resistance near $3,990–$4,000 and a higher resistance zone around $4,070–$4,120.
From a technical perspective, the price is attempting a short-term pullback. If buyers manage to hold above the intraday support zone of $3,920–$3,910, a corrective rally toward $4,000–$4,070 could unfold. However, failure to sustain above that area could trigger another leg down, targeting $3,870 and possibly $3,820.
The RSI remains neutral, showing no strong momentum shift yet, while EMA lines suggest bearish pressure remains dominant until a breakout above $4,070 occurs.
This makes the current phase a liquidity-building zone before a decisive move either way.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 1: $3,990–$4,000
Resistance 2: $4,070–$4,120
Support 1: $3,920–$3,910
Support 2: $3,870–$3,820
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 (Bullish): Wait for a confirmed break and retest above $4,000 to aim for $4,070–$4,120.
Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price rejects the $4,000–$4,070 zone, consider short positions toward $3,870 with tight risk control.
Gold traders should remain patient and let price action confirm direction before committing to new entries. Remember, clarity often comes after liquidity sweep — stay disciplined and react to confirmation, not prediction.
October 30, 2025 - XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3984 – Resistance
• 3971 – Resistance
• 3968 – Resistance
• 3945 – Support
• 3934 – Support
• 3927 – Support
• 3916 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3938 → target 3934, with further downside toward 3927, 3922, 3917
BUY: If price holds above 3964 → target 3971, with further upside toward 3975, 3982, 3988
Gold Trading Strategy | October 29-30✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold remains within a medium-term bearish trend channel. The price has repeatedly been rejected around the MA10/MA20 levels, indicating that short-term rebounds are limited and sellers still dominate the market.
The Bollinger Bands have opened downward, and the middle band (around 4003) is pressing lower, showing that recent rebounds are merely weak corrective moves rather than a trend reversal. Candlesticks have failed multiple times to stand above the middle band, facing pressure on every rebound — a typical weak, oscillating, downward structure. The support near 3886 is an important short-term defense level; if broken, price may further test the 3860–3840 region.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, gold briefly rebounded to the 4030 area before retreating sharply and breaking below the cluster of moving averages, showing heavy selling pressure above. Candles are currently running below the MA5 and MA10, with both sloping downward, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum. The Bollinger middle band is also turning lower, strengthening the current downward pressure. Rebounds are repeatedly capped around the middle band, and there is a high chance of testing the lower band near 3888.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3853 / 3980–3990 / 4000
🟢 Support Levels: 3920–3915 / 3886 / 3855
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3980–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3920–3886
🔰 If gold drops to 3885–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3950-3960.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Watch for support at 3990-3980 to consider going long on gold.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices have repeatedly tested the 4030 level without a successful breakout. Gold has now begun to decline, with short-term bears gradually releasing their momentum. Further downside is expected, with support expected in the 3990-3980 range. If gold prices can pull back to this range in the short term, we can consider going long on gold in anticipation of a rebound. Target range: 4030-4050
Smart Money Concept (SMC)📊 XAU/USD Analysis (15M)
🔑 Key Points
1. Change of Character (CHoCH):
The price stopped creating lower lows and showed bullish intent after two CHoCH confirmations.
2. Support Zone & Order Block (OB-15M):
The area between 3,892 – 3,930 acted as support, with an Order Block (15M) that served as the key point for institutional mitigation and rejection.
3. Fake Out & Accumulation:
Before moving higher, the market created a Fake Out, sweeping liquidity and trapping sellers. This confirmed accumulation before the bullish move.
4. Entry & Risk Management:
• Buy: 3,930
• SL: 3,892 (below the OB/support)
• TP: 4,018 (Buy-Side Liquidity target)
• Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2.32
5. Target Hit:
Price reached 4,018, validating the liquidity-based strategy with OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 Conclusion
This trade was built on three SMC pillars:
• Identifying liquidity zones (Buy-Side).
• Using Order Blocks for precise entries.
• Confirmation through Fake Out and rejection.
Result: A clean winning trade with optimal RR and target achieved ✅
💡 Motivational Note
“In trading, patience and discipline always outperform rushing. Liquidity reveals the path — you just need to wait for it.” GOOD JOB TRADERS.. 🤗
What's Next for Gold Prices?After a historic rally driven by geopolitical and economic factors that pushed gold to an all-time high of $4,381 per ounce, the metal has recently declined by around 10%, reaching levels of $3,900–$3,880 per ounce.
This pullback came amid market optimism surrounding the upcoming meeting between the U.S. President and his Chinese counterpart on Thursday, with news suggesting positive developments and a potential trade agreement between the world’s two largest economies, the United States and China.
Here are some key highlights from the upcoming U.S.–China summit:
Preliminary Agreement: The United States and China have reached a general framework for a potential trade deal to be discussed between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping this week.
TikTok Deal: The agreement includes a final resolution for the operations of the TikTok app in the U.S.
China’s Export Restrictions: China will postpone tightening its export controls on rare earth minerals for one year.
Tariff Rollback: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Peasant stated that the 100% tariff threatened by Trump on Chinese goods is not expected to be implemented.
Soybean Purchases: China will resume large-scale purchases of U.S. soybeans.
The Upcoming Meeting: The meeting between Trump and Xi is scheduled for Thursday in South Korea.
Constructive Talks: Both sides described the discussions as “constructive” and said they had reached a “basic consensus” on key issues.
Trade War on Hold: The agreement aims to prevent a new escalation in the ongoing trade conflict between the two economic powers.
Background of the Dispute: Trump’s previous threat to impose 100% tariffs came in response to China’s tightening of export controls on rare earth elements essential for modern technology.
Importance of Rare Earths: China controls around 90% of global production of these minerals, giving it significant leverage in negotiations.
On the technical side, gold is currently trading in a downward trend, forming lower highs and lower lows, driven by profit-taking and overall market optimism about the U.S.–China meeting. The current rise is considered a corrective move toward $4,101.971, which represents a key resistance level, with a potential for prices to decline again and continue the downward trend toward $3,920 and $3,850.
However, if the price rises above $4,161.280 and closes a 4-hour candle above that level, the bearish scenario for gold would be invalidated.
Note:
Markets are closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting this Wednesday, October 29, where expectations point to a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing rates down to 4%. This decision is already fully priced in by the markets, so the main focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech and any hints regarding future rate decisions. His remarks could cause volatility, particularly in the U.S. dollar, gold, and U.S. indices.
Gold’s New Game — Higher Highs Again!In my view, gold has completed its correction from the previous rally and is now preparing to renew its all-time high.
On the chart, I’ve marked a 5-wave structure, which I believe represents the first wave of a much larger 5-wave sequence.
This suggests we could see gold far above $4600.
Honestly, I can’t even imagine how high it could go — or what might drive that kind of move.
It’s insane.
Bullish Setup , To the moon Description
Buy Zone : 3951–3938 (FVG retest near breaker)
SL: Below 3938 (invalidation if candle closes under 3938)
TPs: 4018 / 4040 / 4060 / 4100 (psychological zone)
💡 Why Buying:
Bullish ChoCH confirmed — price retesting discount FVG + breaker zone aiming toward premium OB above.
⚠️ Close below 3938 = setup invalidated.
✅ Wait for confirmation — trade smart, risk free mindset!
Will gold continue to fall on October 28?
I. Market Review and Fundamental Analysis
Gold successfully broke below the key psychological level of $4,000 during the U.S. trading session, declining continuously from the intraday high of $4,097 in the Asian and European sessions to a low near $3,971. The market is currently influenced by the rebound in U.S. bond yields (back above 4%), reflecting adjustments in investor expectations for a Fed rate cut and a temporary outflow of safe-haven funds from the gold market. The U.S. dollar index fell slightly by 0.14% during the day, but gold remains under pressure, with overall bearish momentum dominating.
II. Technical Analysis
Trend Structure:
The 4-hour chart indicates further downside potential for gold, with the $4,000 level now acting as a key resistance. A break above the $4,010 resistance level is required to open the upward channel, though the probability of an upward move remains low in the short term.
Key support below is located in the $3,945-$3,950 range. If this level holds, gold may transition into range-bound consolidation.
Short-Term Signals:
The 1-hour chart shows a "double top" pattern with a break below the neckline, and the moving average system is in a bearish alignment, indicating continued short-term downward momentum.
After breaking below the $4,004 support during the U.S. session, this level has now turned into resistance. Any rebound below this level can be seen as an opportunity to sell on rallies.
III. Trading Strategy and Approach
Main Approach: Focus on selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary strategy, while strictly managing risks.
Resistance Levels: $4,010-$4,020
Support Levels: $3,945-$3,950
Specific Strategies:
Short Strategy (Sell):
Entry: Sell in batches when gold rebounds to the $4,010-$4,020 range.
Stop Loss: $4,025-$4,030
Target: $3,960-$3,950, with a further target of $3,945 if broken.
Long Strategy (Buy):
Entry: Buy lightly (position ≤ 20%) when gold pulls back to the $3,945-$3,950 range.
Stop Loss: $3,935-$3,940
Target: $3,980-$4,000, with a further target of $4,010 if broken.
IV. Risk Warning
Market volatility has intensified, and it is essential to strictly control position sizes (recommended total position ≤ 30%).
Always set stop losses and avoid holding losing positions. Focus on the dynamic impact of U.S. bond yields and the U.S. dollar index on gold.
Note: If the price quickly breaks below the $3,945 support, pause the long strategy and monitor the support performance in the $3,920-$3,930 range before adjusting the strategy.






















