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XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Success in forex trading requires a disciplined combination of education, strategy, and risk management. First, thoroughly understand how currency markets work, including technical and fundamental analysis, and stay updated on global economic events. Develop a clear trading plan with defined entry and exit points, and stick to it consistently to avoid emotional decisions. Use proper risk management, never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade, and always set stop-loss orders to limit losses. Practice patience, as consistent profits come over time rather than quick wins, and continuously review and refine your strategies based on performance and market changes.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by HavalMamar
Who Is Really Controlling the Market?👋Hello everyone, it’s great to see you again in today’s conversation. Today, we’ll dive into a very interesting topic: “❓Who is really controlling this market? Are you just a juicy prey, a pawn following the path laid out by the big institutions?” To answer this question, we need to look deeper. The market in general, and XAUUSD specifically, is like an immense ocean with many currents flowing in different directions. At the top of the chain, we see that trends are most influenced by economic factors, global political events, wars, and so on. Can you imagine how much influence central banks and large investment funds have? Their decisions can create massive waves, shaking the entire global financial market. You know why we only trade until Friday, right? Because most of these major institutions are closed on Saturdays and Sundays. For example, when the Fed decides to hike interest rates, or when big funds buy millions of ounces of gold, immediately, gold prices will either surge or plummet. (To gain a better understanding of how it works, take a look at my previous post ) However, big institutions cannot always control the market as they wish. Surely, you've seen sudden reversals or significant price fluctuations within just one day. And this is where the role of you and other traders comes into play. Let’s think about it. In today’s modern financial market, where information spreads at the speed of light, you – a retail trader – can influence significant price movements if you know how to seize the right moment and turn it into your profit. Think about the times when you’ve seen gold prices spike due to certain news, like a Fed decision or a political crisis. That wasn’t the result of a big institution, but rather the market’s response. And when you and thousands of other traders act in the same direction, you’re creating waves – even if they’re small – but they are enough to shift the market's flow in the short term. The market is a psychological reaction, where emotions, expectations, and fear drive the actions of all participants. Yet, we cannot deny that the influence of central banks and global market fluctuations is immense and overwhelming. At times, our actions may just be a reaction to FOMO , inadvertently turning ourselves into prey without realizing it. The only way out is to equip yourself with the knowledge and experience necessary to navigate the market. If not, from the moment you step into trading, you’re essentially a pawn being controlled. The market is a vast ocean. Central banks and large investment funds are like islands within it, but each one of us is an essential part of that ocean. Even if you’re just a grain of salt, many grains of salt together make the ocean salty. We are all connected, no matter where we are or what platform we use. TradingView, for example, is one place where we can all link up. Trust in your own value, take action, learn, and share your insights so that both the trading community and TradingView itself can continue to grow. I wish you happy trading. Don’t forget to support me by liking this post!🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Kevinn_Nguyen
13
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Market Breakdown 1. ChoCh (Change of Character): Market shifted from consolidation into bullish control, confirming the presence of institutional buyers. 2. BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS signals show strength, with price breaking highs and validating bullish momentum. 3. OB-15M (Order Block): The 15M OB is clearly identified as a liquidity zone where institutions may rebalance before continuing upward. 4. Fake Out + Rejection: You’re projecting a liquidity grab (fake out) into the OB-15M followed by a rejection. This aligns with typical SMC patterns. 5. Distribution & Target: After mitigation and rejection, the plan points toward distribution with a new target at 4,180. • Entry: 4,147.42 • Stop Loss: 4,133 • Target: 4,180 • R/R: Around 1:2 (well-balanced for this setup) 🌟 Motivational Note “Every BOS and rejection tells the story of institutional flow. 📊 We don’t chase the market—we wait for the liquidity grab and let the setup come to us. 🎯 Patience is the trader’s real edge. 🚀🔥” GOOD LUCK TRADERS.. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
Gold Reached Its Final Peak? A 50-Year Cycle May End Here🟡 Gold Macro Structure — The End of a 50-Year Bullish Epoch Symbol: XAU/USD (OANDA Data) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly Candles) Published by: Ping Tech Academy 🕰️ The Story of Gold — Between Faith, Fear, and Cycles Gold has never been just a commodity — it is the mirror of human belief in value. When trust in fiat weakens, gold rises; when confidence returns, it retreats. Since the dollar was detached from gold in December 1971, every cycle has reflected the rhythm of fear and faith across the global economy. Now, after more than half a century of expansion, gold stands at what appears to be the final chapter of its generational bull cycle. 🔹 Historical Context (1971–2009) From December 1st, 1971, gold traded within a long-term ascending channel, with its lower boundary near $43.50 and its upper boundary reaching around $1,195.40. That upper structure was broken and retested on November 2nd, 2009, marking the beginning of a new macro bullish channel that defined the modern era of gold movement. 🔹 The Second Channel (2005–2024) The base of the current macro structure was established on July 1st, 2005, at $417.90, while its top expanded to around $2,663.50, reached on September 2nd, 2024. This high was broken and retested — a textbook continuation signal — leading gold to its recent peak near $4,165 (October 2025). ⚠️ Critical Resistance Zone — Structural Completion Based on price symmetry and long-term channel geometry, gold has reached its final structural target of the 50-year ascending cycle: 📍 $4,166.66 (OANDA XAU/USD) Allowing for a technical deviation, the potential reversal range stands between: 📉 $4,166.66 – $4,294.43 This area represents a major exhaustion zone, likely to act as the macro top of the cycle before a multi-year correction begins. 🧭 Long-Term Downside Targets (Macro Correction Path) If the market confirms rejection within the 4.16–4.29k range, the following structural targets may unfold sequentially: $3,940 $3,730 $3,415 $3,072 $2,791 → Key Level $2,535 → Critical Foundation Zone 🔹 This region is viewed as the potential final structural base for gold — a level where a new long-term accumulation phase could begin. However, breaking below $2,535 would indicate the start of a deep macro revaluation, potentially driving gold to unexpectedly low levels, but such a move would likely require a period of global economic stability and geopolitical peace — a rare alignment that historically marks the end of systemic fear cycles. $2,438 $2,227 $2,089 → Final macro target if bearish continuation persists 🧠 Market Psychology & Cyclic Behavior Each gold supercycle follows a familiar psychological rhythm: Accumulation (Smart Money Phase): Institutions accumulate quietly when sentiment is exhausted and prices are undervalued. Expansion (Public Awareness): Momentum builds; narratives like inflation, rate cuts, or war become surface-level catalysts. Euphoria (Public Participation): Retail investors flood in at new highs, while institutions distribute positions into strength. Distribution → Correction: Price weakens, volatility expands, optimism fades — the new cycle begins where fear returns. Gold currently displays late-euphoria characteristics, suggesting the distribution phase of the macro cycle is well underway. 🧩 Conclusion Gold appears to be completing a 50-year structural expansion that began in 1971 — a cycle that reshaped global perceptions of value. While minor overshoots beyond $4,294 remain possible, the risk-to-reward profile now favors defensive or profit-taking strategies. A multi-year corrective phase is expected before a new generational accumulation begins. ⚖️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All price levels and projections are based on historical modeling and macro-technical analysis. Financial markets involve risk — past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct independent analysis or consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📘 Ping Tech Academy “Trade Smart. Trade Fearless.” © 2025 – All Rights Reserved.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PingTechAcademy
XAUUSD Pullback in Play Focus on 4330 SupportXAUUSD shows early signs of bearish correction after failing to hold above 4380. The pair is forming lower highs on intraday charts, signaling a potential swing move toward 4330 if momentum continues to favor sellers. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 4365 Take Profit: 4330 Stop Loss: 4380 Reasoning: Technically, the structure has shifted to the downside, with bearish candles confirming pressure under 4380 resistance. A break below short-term support suggests the start of a corrective leg toward 4330. Fundamentally, gold remains under pressure as U.S. dollar strength and firm Treasury yields weigh on investor sentiment. Traders await key U.S. inflation data, which could further influence gold’s short term direction. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and follow your individual plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near $4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD. According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend. However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week. A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices. 🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating around the $4,320–$4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone. Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure. The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward $4,305–$4,260 may attract new buyers. ⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View) BUY SCALP Setup Entry: 4,302 – 4,300 (½ volume) Stop Loss: 4,292 Take Profit: 4,310 → 4,315 → 4,320 → 4,330 → 4,340 → 4,350+ BUY ZONE (Swing) Entry: 4,260 – 4,258 Stop Loss: 4,252 Take Profit: 4,265 → 4,270 → 4,280 → 4,290 → 4,300+ 📈 Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above 4,260. Intraday sell reactions near 4,360–4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities. ⚡️ Key MMFlow Zones CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: 4,360 ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,448 Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: 4,305 End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: 4,260 Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above 4,370–4,380 🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped. The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift. ⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure 🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal. 🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by InsideTradeVision
XAUUSD: Strong recovery, will gold continue to make new highs?OANDA:XAUUSD had a significant correction in the trading session at the end of last week, for most of yesterday's trading session we have not seen too strong bullish momentum. However, during the New York Session, gold rose sharply under the push of large cash flows and with the emergence of some unsettling news, typically the fact that China could pay 155% tariffs if there is no agreement before November 1 (President Trump). Looking at the options market in today's trading session, most traders are still apprehensive as the price is trading above the peak of 4350 – 4370 (calculated through the price of CFDs). However, most of the market is involved by longcall contracts, so I assess that in today's trading session, the price will continue to above $4400/ounce. Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session: Resistance: , Support: Support: Strong support: Margin Zone support: Fair value gap (FVG): Margin Zone + Strong suport + FVG => This will be a strong support zone in today's trading session Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones => Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely. Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold Trading Strategy | October 20-21✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Since rebounding from the 4186.62 low, gold has continued to strengthen, currently trading around the 4340–4350 zone and approaching the upper resistance area. The moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have formed a golden cross, while MA20 is turning upward, indicating that the short-term trend has shifted from weak to strong. Both MA60 and MA120 remain in an upward slope, confirming that the medium-term structure is still bullish. The Bollinger Bands show the upper band near 4369, the middle around 4265, and the lower near 4160. The price has regained the middle band and is now approaching the upper band, suggesting the market has shifted from previous consolidation to a rebound recovery phase. If gold breaks through the 4365–4375 area, it may further test the previous high at 4379.52, and potentially challenge the 4400 level. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis: After rallying from its recent low, gold has formed a clear upward channel. The upper Bollinger Band is around 4356, the middle near 4278, and the lower around 4200. The price is trading near the upper band, showing strong short-term bullish momentum, though caution is warranted near the 4350–4370 resistance area where profit-taking may occur. The short-term trend remains strong; however, if gold fails to break 4355–4375, it may face a mild consolidation. Key support lies around 4320–4300. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4355–4375 / 4400 🟢 Support Levels: 4320–4300 / 4265 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If the price breaks and stabilizes above 4375, consider light long positions, targeting 4400–4415, with a stop loss below 4350. 🔰 If the price rebounds to 4350–4375 and faces resistance, consider taking partial profits or short-term selling opportunities. 🔰 If the price pulls back to 4320–4300 and stabilizes, consider re-entering long positions for another upward move. 📊 Gold’s overall trend remains bullish, with the short-term rebound still in progress. The 4-hour chart indicates the medium-term bullish structure remains intact, while the 1-hour chart shows strong short-term momentum. If gold breaks above 4375–4380 during the U.S. session, it could re-enter a strong upward trend channel; however, if it faces resistance and falls below 4320, it may return to a high-level consolidation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
Gold price analysis October 20GOLD UPDATE – Breakout Confirms Uptrend Gold price has officially broken the 4267 accumulation zone, opening up an upward momentum towards the next resistance zone around 4317. The 4377 zone is currently considered a potential ATH resistance zone and is also an area where the market may have a notable reaction in the near future. The current strategy still prioritizes BUY following the trend, taking advantage of the support rebounds to increase buying positions. Trading plan: ✅ BUY immediately at 4277 🔁 BUY Trigger when there is a price rejection signal at the 4267 support zone 🎯 Target: 4317
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold corrective pullback supported at 4203The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4203 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4203 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 4365 – initial resistance 4420 – psychological and structural level 4450 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4203 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 4160 – minor support 4114– stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4203. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
XAUUSD: Has gold made a peak?OANDA:XAUUSD had a strong correction day at the end of last week with strong selling pressure, the rhythm of recovery does not make too much sense when the price is still sideways in the range of 4220 – 4270. In previous corrections, we have seen that the price has always recovered strongly immediately, however in the current situation, the price has not made any attempt to rise again => Reinforce the fact that the price has made a peak and started a short-term correction. In the Options market, there has been a large number of Longput contracts and Longcall contracts are gradually being withdrawn from the market , so I think the price will not be able to rise in today's trading session. Some key levels are important in today's trading session: Resistance: , Strong support: Daily balance: Daily balance is the temporary equilibrium level of the market in today's trading session, if the price breaks this balance, the price will look for lower value areas. Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones and take profit when price moves 10 to 20 prices from support and resistance zones. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – October 20, 2025 (1H Chart)Gold continues to move within a steady ascending channel, maintaining a clear bullish structure across multiple timeframes. After a sharp correction from the upper trendline, the market found support near the confluence of EMA100 and EMA200, signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control. At the moment, price is stabilizing around the EMA50 zone and showing early signs of recovery. A confirmed break and close above 4265 could trigger a new bullish leg targeting the upper boundary of the channel around 4470 – 4480. Technical Overview Trend: Overall bullish; the market continues to form higher highs and higher lows. EMA structure: 20 > 50 > 100 > 200, confirming long-term bullish alignment. Price behavior: Recent rejection from EMA200 and strong recovery momentum. Fibonacci retracement: The 0.5–0.618 zone aligns with 4250 – 4240, acting as a key re-entry point for buyers. Trading Plan Primary bias: Buy on pullback continuation Entry zone: 4255 – 4265 Stop loss: below 4210 Take profit: 4465 – 4480 This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:3, suitable for both intraday and short-term swing trades. Key Levels 4250 – 4265;EMA20 + Fibo 0.618 zone;Major Support 4210 – 4220;EMA100/200 confluence;Short-term Resistance 4330 – 4340;Previous local high;Major Resistance 4470 – 4480;Channel upper boundary Market Outlook The overall bias remains bullish. The recent pullback is viewed as a healthy correction before the next potential upward move. A confirmed close above 4270 would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario, while a break below 4210 would invalidate it. Keep monitoring the 4250 – 4260 area closely; it may serve as a critical launching point for the next upward swing. Stay tuned for further market updates and strategy insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Analysis and possible path of goldHi traders One-hour structure of gold: The structure of the one-hour time frame and above is still the bullish structure and the movement that can be imagined this week. The liquidity points and three resistance / support are marked on the chart. They are the market reaction points that can be triggered to enter at these levels in the lower time. The area of ​​4202 is the choch-hunt line that can act as a support pullback and even the main positive reaction can be formed from this area, but ideally the current bottom is collected once again and rises from one of the three supports below the bottom. Have a good week
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza