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Gold Trend Shift (4hr) Time frameDescription ✅ Trend Shift : Price broke the previous bullish structure — short-term bearish momentum confirmed. 🔹 Breaker Level : Previous swing high now acts as potential resistance on any retrace. 🔹 Demand Zone : Strong buyer interest around 4,000–4,050 — watch for bullish reversal signals. 📈 Potential Move : 1. Price may drop toward the demand zone. 2. Buyers reacting here could push price back to the breaker level. 3. Reclaiming the breaker could signal continuation toward next order block: 4,300–4,350. ⚡ Key Takeaways: Monitor the demand zone for bullish confirmations. Breaker retest = high-probability buy setup. Risk management is essential — structure shows a clear shift from bullish → bearish. #DYOR
TVC:GOLDShort
by Champ_of_Gold
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold had a strong pullback on Friday following last week’s sharp rally and is now consolidating between 4,279 and 4,227. The retracement has allowed the market to cool off after consecutive all-time highs, while buyers are still defending the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192). Price remains above the MA200, maintaining the broader bullish structure, but continues to struggle reclaiming the MA50, which now acts as short-term resistance. A break above 4,279 could re-ignite bullish momentum toward 4,321 and 4,362, while a failure to hold 4,227 may invite deeper correction toward 4,151–4,117. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4279 4321 4362 4406 Support: 4227 4192 4151 4117 🔎 Fundamental focus: This week’s calendar features key U.S. data releases, including Flash PMIs, Durable Goods Orders, and Consumer Sentiment, though many reports risk delay due to the ongoing government shutdown. The blackout continues to cloud market visibility and reinforce safe-haven demand for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Potential long opportunity for XAUUSD XAUUSD is approaching a key demand zone on the 15M timeframe. The price is trading within a clear descending channel, and we are looking for a potential reversal near the confluence of the channel support and the identified LOW RISK / BUY ZONE (approx. 4121- 4147). 🎯 Key Levels: - Buy Zone: 4147 - 4120 - Target: Channel midline & upper bounds - Stop Loss: A clear break below 4095. #XAUUSD #GOLD #Trading #Forex #BuyZone #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Myshare_finance1
Gold at Decision Point – Break or Correction?On the 15-minute gold chart, price is testing the key resistance around $4,381. This level has acted as a ceiling several times, suggesting strong selling pressure. The 50-period SMA at $4,234 still supports the broader uptrend, but momentum appears to be weakening near resistance. In the short term, a close below $4,340 could trigger a pullback toward $4,280 and possibly $4,240. A reasonable stop loss for this scenario is above $4,385. In the longer-term view (over the next few sessions), if gold breaks and sustains above $4,381, we could see an upside move toward $4,400 and $4,460. The protective stop for this bullish setup should be below $4,275. Overall, gold is at a decision point — a breakout could signal continuation of the bullish wave, while rejection from resistance may lead to a short-term correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by isahebdadi
XAUUSD: $4,400 Target Next! Gold Bull Run ContinuesKey Observations: Massive Uptrend: The chart clearly displays a strong, multi-day uptrend, marked by a series of high-momentum green (bullish) candlesticks. Recent Price Action: Price has recently surged, followed by a minor retracement (the most recent red candle), but remains near the top of the move. This indicates the primary momentum is still firmly to the upside. Key Support/Demand Zones:Immediate Demand (Yellow Box): A small yellow box is marked around the $\$4,250$ area. This represents a very recent, short-term support or 'flip' zone where price broke out and could potentially retest before moving higher.Deeper Demand (Blue Box): A larger blue box (around $\$4,130$ to $\$4,190$) represents a more significant, underlying demand zone. Projected Price Action: The hand-drawn path suggests a direct continuation with potentially only a minor dip: The path shows a small pullback toward the $\$4,300$ area (not explicitly marked by a zone) or a brief sideways move. The black arrow points to an anticipated strong push up to the final target, resuming the dominant uptrend without necessarily hitting the marked yellow or blue zones. Target: A dotted blue line at $\$4,400.69$ is the clear final target for this trade setup.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold (XAUUSD) Short-Term Bearish Setup – 15-Min Chart AnalysisThis 15-minute chart of XAUUSD shows a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts and order block theory. After a clear bullish structure break (BOS), price entered a premium zone (highlighted in purple) and formed a weak high, indicating potential for a reversal. The projection suggests a short-term bullish retracement into the supply zone before a strong downward move. Target zones are marked within the deep demand area (blue boxes) below 4,200, with a possible final target near 4,180. This analysis anticipates a bearish shift in momentum during the New York session, aligned with liquidity grabs and order block rejection.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gray_Trade_Insight
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a strong demand zone, an area where buyers have previously shown clear dominance. After a corrective move, price action is now showing signs of stabilization and accumulation, suggesting that a bullish reversal could be forming. If the market continues to respect this zone and prints a bullish candle formation (such as a higher low, bullish engulfing, or rejection wick), it would confirm that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators also show signs of strength building on the buy side, indicating that selling pressure is fading and the market may be preparing for an upside move. As long as Gold maintains its structure above the support zone, the bias remains bullish. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation candle or structure break before entering to ensure alignment with market momentum.
TVC:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Institutional Daily 📘 EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE All times Africa/Cairo (+03:00) 🟡 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Institutional Daily — COMPREHENSIVE (Trader Training Edition) Version: Protocol 2025 (Approved) | Report time: Thu, 16 Oct 2025 — 06:40 Spot ref: 4,235.38 (+0.68%) | GC1: 4,253.3 | GC2: 4,284.5 → Term spread +0.73% (Contango) ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 1) SYNOPSIS — What’s happening today? • Gold trades above the 4.22x–4.24x band with a tactical bullish tilt. • DXY 98.528 (−0.14%), VIX 20.63 (−0.82%) — softer USD and calmer vol favor disciplined buy-the-dip, not chasing highs. • Pivot for the day: 4,229–4,233 and 4,241.9. 📈 EDU Notes: Wait for two consecutive 15-min closes above 4,241.9 to confirm control. On dips, study longs near 4,229–4,233 (POC/VWAP). 📊 Takeaway → Bullish while above 4,229; loss of 4,219 weakens the setup. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 2) MEGABAR by timeframe (15m / 1h / 4h / Daily) • 15m: Step-up advance; Uploading 4,229–4,233 & 4,206–4,215; Offloading 4,236–4,249; RVOL ≈ 1.0 • 1h: Gradual loading above 4,229 with KS support; stage targets 4,249/4,253 • 4h: Conditional up-trend above 4.22x; clean break below 4,206 forces reassessment • Daily: Gentle positive channel 📈 EDU: When loading % fades on 15m/1h, expect a VWAP pullback then a new try. 📊 Takeaway → Up-bias persists while VWAP slopes up and price holds >4,229. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 3) Upcoming Macro (Cairo time) • 15:30 — US Initial Jobless Claims (weekly, high impact). :contentReference {index=0} • 15:30 — US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (high impact). :contentReference {index=1} • 15:30 — US Producer Price Index (Sep) (high impact). :contentReference {index=2} • 16:15 — US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (medium). :contentReference {index=3} • 17:00 — US NAHB Housing Market Index (medium). :contentReference {index=4} ⚠️ Notes: Yesterday’s Fed Beige Book said activity “little changed” with rising signs of strain; Governor Stephen Miran flagged trade-tension risks and argued for faster cuts — both heighten gold’s sensitivity to today’s prints. :contentReference {index=5} 📊 Takeaway → Key time node at 15:30 (claims + Philly + PPI cluster). ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 4) Cross-Asset read • EURUSD 1.1663 (+0.14%) • USDJPY 150.86 (−0.11%) • USDCNH 7.1290 (+0.03%) • SPX 6,671.07 (+0.40%) • NASDAQ 24,752.3 (−0.20%) • VIX 20.63 (−0.82%) 📈 Soft USD + calmer vol → prefer disciplined dip-buys, avoid chasing highs. 📊 Takeaway → Macro tone supports “pullback then resume”. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 5) GC Futures Structure • GC1 4,253.3 • GC2 4,284.5 → Contango +0.73% 📈 Contango = stable upward curve; favors orderly pullbacks over disorderly squeezes. 📊 Takeaway → Futures curve aligned with spot; backdrop constructive. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 6) Volume Footprint • Buy zones: 4,229–4,233 (value/POC) and 4,206–4,215 (Uploading). • Sell zones: 4,236–4,249 (staged Offloading) with intraday high print 4,241.99. 📈 Positive delta inside 4,229–4,233 = value reload. 📊 Takeaway → Demand 4,229–4,233 / Supply 4,236–4,249. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 7) Value Map (VAL / POC / VAH / VWAP) VAL ~4,206–4.21x • POC ~4,229–4,233 • VAH ~4,241–4,249 • VWAP ~4.23x 📈 Above POC/VWAP = buyers in control; below = caution until delta flips. 📊 Takeaway → Value rising gradually, centered near 4.23x. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 8) Fibonacci (current leg) Working leg: 4,206 → 4,241.99 38.2% ≈ 4,229 • 50% ≈ 4,224 • 61.8% ≈ 4,219 • 100% = 4,241.99 📈 “Golden zone” 4,219–4,229; holding with positive delta unlocks 4,243/4,249. 📊 Takeaway → Watch 4,229 as decision axis. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 9) Ichimoku quick regime • Daily: mild positive above cloud elements • 4h: conditional up above 4.22x • 1h: TK up; KS supportive • 15m: TK up; Chikou nearly free; aligned with VWAP 📊 Takeaway → Multi-TF alignment modestly bullish; 15m for execution. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 10) Schabacker (classical context) • Accumulation band above 4.22x with stepping highs near 4,241.9. • No confirmed top unless 4,241.9 fails and 4,229 closes lost. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 11) Liquidity & Gates • Gates: 4,229 → 4,241.9 → 4,249 → 4,253 → 4,265 • Fast lanes: 4,236–4,241.9 and 4,249–4,253 📊 Takeaway → 4,241.9 = expansion trigger; 4,229 = daily decision line. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 12) XAUMO Trend Board (Confidence %) 15m: 66% • 1h: 64% • 4h: 62% • Daily: 60% → Composite ≈ 64% 📈 Confidence lifts with RVOL ≥ 1.0 and closes > 4,241.9. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 13) Session Map • Asia: organized loading from value. • London: Buy-the-Dip above 4,229 targeting 4,243/4,249/4,253. • New York (later): continuation only if highs hold above 4,253. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 14) MTF Retracement Lab (EDU) Anchors: VWAP ~4.23x • POC 4,229–4,233 • VAL 4,206–4.21x • VAH 4,241–4,249 A) Pullback Long • Entry: 4,229–4,233 | SL: 4,219 | TP: 4,243 → 4,249 → 4,253 • Why: POC/VWAP confluence + positive delta + steady contango. B) VWAP Touch Scalps • Entry: 4,231–4,233 | SL: 4,225 | TP: 4,241 → 4,246 • Why: touch-retrieve-impulse pattern with short-term momentum. C) Educational Counter-fade from supply • Entry: 4,246–4,249 | SL: 4,258 | TP: 4,241 → 4,233 → 4,229 • Why: failed breakout inside staged offloading. D) Break & Hold Continuation • Condition: hold > 4,253 | SL: 4,238 | TP: 4,265 → 4,273 ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 15) Execution & Discipline (EDU) ✅ Checklist: two 15m closes above gate • RVOL present • positive delta • no high-impact data imminent • pre-defined SL. ⚖️ Risk: ≤1.0–1.5%/trade • Max 3 trades/session • No chasing highs without a pullback. 📊 Takeaway → Protect capital; focus on structured pullbacks. ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 🏁 Final Take As long as price holds >4,229, the bullish path targets 4,243 → 4,249 → 4,253. A 15m close <4,219 invalidates and reopens 4,206.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD 1H Analysis(16th October 2025) ASIA/LONDON BUY/SELL SCENARIOS: BUYS: 1) Body candle close above the Previous Day High at the 4218.23level. 2) Retest the Previous Day's High at the 4218.23 level. 3) Create a 5/15m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4250.00 level. SELLS: 1) Body candle close below the 4199.67 level. 2) Retest the 1h bearish CHOCH at the 4199.67 level. 3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS toward the 4164.80 level Trade Smart, Trade according to plan. Cheers!
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by paulsmith007
Gold looks like it wants to break the upper resistance again. Gold's momentum don't stop. the move is slow and sort of choppy if you look a the low time frame. Can history repeat itself and poke through the line one more time? Or do liquidity dry up right before it reach and start dumping? I am bullish overall, at least until we reach the upper trend like. We might break above that line and retest and break out again. That would be my dream scenario, but as a future trader, I am only trying to capture that small momentum from point A to point B. Which is slightly above the upper line in my case. I think gold in spot will soon hit the 4200 psych level or slightly above it before we see a slow down. As always trade, only trade with money you can afford to lose, and set a stop loss, even if its below where it might wick down for liquidity.
TVC:GOLD
by polarity
Will Gold Break Through 4,400 on October 21st? 📈 I. Market Dynamics & Core Drivers Safe-Haven Demand & Rate Cut Expectations Market pricing for a Fed rate cut next week is near 100%, with expectations for another cut in December. The low-interest-rate environment enhances gold's appeal. The US government shutdown enters its 20th day, delaying key economic data (like CPI), creating a "data vacuum" and amplifying market uncertainty. US-China Trade Talk Developments Trump confirmed he will meet with Chinese leaders, but his previous comments triggered a sharp drop in gold prices last Friday. Be wary of negotiation volatility. Gold retreated after hitting a record high of $4,378.69 last Friday, reflecting market sensitivity to trade developments. 📊 II. Technical Analysis Overview Trend Structure Bullish structure intact: The 1-hour moving average shows a golden cross upward, and the price broke through key resistance at $4325, indicating continued short-term strength. Pivot Level: $4270 has turned into support and now serves as a key level for trend reversal. Key Levels Support Zones: 4300-4320 (Strong Support), 4270 (Trend Pivot) Resistance Zones: 4375-4380 (Previous High Pressure), 4400 (Psychological Barrier) 🎯 III. Trading Strategy Suggestions Long Strategy (Primary Approach) Entry Zone: Look to buy on dips in the $4320-4325 range, building position in batches. Stop Loss: Below $4320 (8$-10$). Targets: 4350 → 4360 → 4380 (Hold if broken above). Rationale: Supported by safe-haven sentiment + technical retest confirming support. Short Strategy (Secondary Approach) Entry Zone: Look to sell on rallies in the $4375-4380 range, building position in batches. Stop Loss: Above $4380 (8$-10$). Targets: 4350 → 4330 → 4320. Rationale: Technical pullback potential exists near the previous high resistance area. ⚠️ IV. Risk Warnings Data & Event Risks The release of US CPI data could trigger volatility; stronger-than-expected inflation might weaken rate cut probabilities. Closely monitor US-China trade talks and Trump's comments; any unexpected news could trigger sharp rises/declines. Trading Discipline Strict position management: single trade risk should not exceed 2% of capital. Avoid chasing prices; prioritize waiting for confirmation of reversal signals at key levels. 📆 V. Key Levels to Watch Today Resistance Breakout: If price stabilizes above $4380, watch for further upside towards $4400 and beyond. Support Breakdown: If price breaks below $4300, be cautious of a deeper correction below $4270. Summary: Gold is supported short-term by both safe-haven demand and rate cut expectations. The technical picture is biased bullish. Operationally, focus on buying the dips as the primary strategy, with light short positions near the previous high resistance zone. Stay alert to policy and data developments, adjusting strategies flexibly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Opportunities