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Double top on hourly chart, beware of callback riskAccording to the U.S. Treasury Secretary, Trump will interview 3-4 candidates for Federal Reserve Chairman after Thanksgiving, and emphasized that "open mind" is a key condition. But this move seems to be affecting market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, coupled with the ongoing US government shutdown and the trade war between China and the United States. There is still a lot of positive information in the market. Therefore, in the medium and long term, the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. However, gold in the U.S. market has continued to fluctuate and wash out. Judging from the hourly chart, there are signs of forming a double top, so we still need to be vigilant about potential callback threats in the evening. Pay attention to the short-term resistance of 4200-4210 on the upside. If gold cannot break through this resistance range, it will fall further and test the support again. Below, watch the 4H MA10 moving average, which also marks the low of the afternoon's pullback near 4164. If this level breaks, gold will test the strong support level of 4140. Tonight trading will continue to focus on buying on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Especially those brothers who are not sure about the current market can wait patiently for a pullback to a low level before participating in long transactions. If you want to quickly recover losses or realize profits, you can also contact me for more professional help. For more real-time updates, please visit the professional personal homepage information OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Success in forex trading requires a disciplined combination of education, strategy, and risk management. First, thoroughly understand how currency markets work, including technical and fundamental analysis, and stay updated on global economic events. Develop a clear trading plan with defined entry and exit points, and stick to it consistently to avoid emotional decisions. Use proper risk management, never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade, and always set stop-loss orders to limit losses. Practice patience, as consistent profits come over time rather than quick wins, and continuously review and refine your strategies based on performance and market changes.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by HavalMamar
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 14, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum has started to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting that the bullish pressure may continue throughout the week. H4: On the H4 chart, momentum is stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating that a reversal could occur at any moment. Currently, there have been 13 consecutive bullish candles in the H4 momentum cycle — a typical length before a reversal often appears. 👉 Therefore, avoid chasing long positions (Buy) at this stage. H1: H1 momentum is also deep in the overbought area, which means a short-term correction could take place soon. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1: The current pattern shows that Wave 5 is extending, which makes it difficult to project the exact target using Fibonacci ratios. However, an extended fifth wave usually ends with a sharp and decisive decline, which serves as a confirmation that Wave 5 has completed. H4: Price is currently forming Wave 5 (yellow), which also represents Wave 3 (purple) in the higher degree. Thus, the uptrend is still intact for now. Once Wave 5 (yellow) — equivalent to Wave 3 (purple) — finishes, the market will likely enter a corrective phase (Wave 4 purple), which would align with a momentum reversal on H4. H1: On the Elliott channel drawn from Wave 2 → Wave 4 → Wave 3 (yellow), price has broken above the upper boundary, which could be a throw-over pattern. If price returns and closes back inside the channel, it would confirm the completion of Wave 5. Connecting Wave 1 and Wave 3 highs, we can see that price is now above this trendline, and the 4157 zone coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of Waves 1–3 — forming a strong confluence area where a correction is likely to begin. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan At the moment, price is sitting around a major top, where the Monthly Wave 3 and the Weekly Wave 5 structures converge. 👉 This means volatility could be high and unpredictable. For now: • Avoid swing trades, • Focus only on short-term scalp opportunities with tight targets, • Wait for a clear confirmation signal at the top zone before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
#4,200.80 mark almost tested / #4,100.80 achieved alreadyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.' My position: So far so good as my both Targets on current Bull run are met earlier than I expected and as soon as I spotted that Gold tested #4,100.80 benchmark, I established my Support zone on #4,088.80 - #4,092.80 and started Buying Gold (aggressive Scalps) and when #4,103.80 was tested I stopped, waiting for pullback. On #4,092.80 test, I have Bought Gold aggressively (two times #25 Lots) with #4,127.80 Target which was hit, delivering excellent Profits over-night however now it seems that I have set my Target much Lower as Gold tested #4,180's. However, I am very satisfied with my Profits on current multi-Month Bull run and will continue Buying Gold until #4,200.80 mark is realized from my key re-Buy points. I repeat, I receive many messages of Traders getting trapped or liquidated in attempt to Sell Gold, do not Sell at all cost regardless the Technical opportunity to do so.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Will Gold Break Through 4,400 on October 21st? 📈 I. Market Dynamics & Core Drivers Safe-Haven Demand & Rate Cut Expectations Market pricing for a Fed rate cut next week is near 100%, with expectations for another cut in December. The low-interest-rate environment enhances gold's appeal. The US government shutdown enters its 20th day, delaying key economic data (like CPI), creating a "data vacuum" and amplifying market uncertainty. US-China Trade Talk Developments Trump confirmed he will meet with Chinese leaders, but his previous comments triggered a sharp drop in gold prices last Friday. Be wary of negotiation volatility. Gold retreated after hitting a record high of $4,378.69 last Friday, reflecting market sensitivity to trade developments. 📊 II. Technical Analysis Overview Trend Structure Bullish structure intact: The 1-hour moving average shows a golden cross upward, and the price broke through key resistance at $4325, indicating continued short-term strength. Pivot Level: $4270 has turned into support and now serves as a key level for trend reversal. Key Levels Support Zones: 4300-4320 (Strong Support), 4270 (Trend Pivot) Resistance Zones: 4375-4380 (Previous High Pressure), 4400 (Psychological Barrier) 🎯 III. Trading Strategy Suggestions Long Strategy (Primary Approach) Entry Zone: Look to buy on dips in the $4320-4325 range, building position in batches. Stop Loss: Below $4320 (8$-10$). Targets: 4350 → 4360 → 4380 (Hold if broken above). Rationale: Supported by safe-haven sentiment + technical retest confirming support. Short Strategy (Secondary Approach) Entry Zone: Look to sell on rallies in the $4375-4380 range, building position in batches. Stop Loss: Above $4380 (8$-10$). Targets: 4350 → 4330 → 4320. Rationale: Technical pullback potential exists near the previous high resistance area. ⚠️ IV. Risk Warnings Data & Event Risks The release of US CPI data could trigger volatility; stronger-than-expected inflation might weaken rate cut probabilities. Closely monitor US-China trade talks and Trump's comments; any unexpected news could trigger sharp rises/declines. Trading Discipline Strict position management: single trade risk should not exceed 2% of capital. Avoid chasing prices; prioritize waiting for confirmation of reversal signals at key levels. 📆 V. Key Levels to Watch Today Resistance Breakout: If price stabilizes above $4380, watch for further upside towards $4400 and beyond. Support Breakdown: If price breaks below $4300, be cautious of a deeper correction below $4270. Summary: Gold is supported short-term by both safe-haven demand and rate cut expectations. The technical picture is biased bullish. Operationally, focus on buying the dips as the primary strategy, with light short positions near the previous high resistance zone. Stay alert to policy and data developments, adjusting strategies flexibly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Opportunities
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 4,269.79. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 4,298.66 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD Pullback in Play Focus on 4330 SupportXAUUSD shows early signs of bearish correction after failing to hold above 4380. The pair is forming lower highs on intraday charts, signaling a potential swing move toward 4330 if momentum continues to favor sellers. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 4365 Take Profit: 4330 Stop Loss: 4380 Reasoning: Technically, the structure has shifted to the downside, with bearish candles confirming pressure under 4380 resistance. A break below short-term support suggests the start of a corrective leg toward 4330. Fundamentally, gold remains under pressure as U.S. dollar strength and firm Treasury yields weigh on investor sentiment. Traders await key U.S. inflation data, which could further influence gold’s short term direction. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and follow your individual plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped. The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift. ⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure 🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal. 🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by InsideTradeVision
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – October 21, 2025Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum after bouncing sharply from the 4,160 support area. The recent corrective leg formed a clean “V-reversal” structure, suggesting renewed buyer interest as price approaches the mid-channel resistance zone around 4,340–4,360 USD. On the 1-hour chart, the structure shows a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming ongoing trend strength. The short-term pullback was absorbed quickly, and current price action indicates a potential breakout retest setup. Key Technical Levels Support 1: 4,290 – 4,300 (Fib 0.382 retracement & short-term EMA support) Support 2: 4,160 – 4,180 (previous demand & trendline confluence) Resistance 1: 4,360 – 4,380 (local swing high, short-term target) Resistance 2: 4,440 – 4,470 (upper channel boundary / potential take-profit zone) Trading Strategy Primary bias: Buy on dips within the ascending channel - Look for bullish confirmation around 4,300–4,310 to join the prevailing trend. - Target short-term 4,380, extend to 4,450+ if momentum persists. - Stop loss below 4,270 to maintain favorable risk-reward. Alternative scenario: If gold breaks below 4,270, expect deeper retracement toward 4,180 where strong buyers may re-enter. Technical Outlook EMA trend: Price remains above the 50-EMA on H1, confirming bullish control. RSI: Currently near 60, leaving room for further upside before overbought levels. Fibonacci structure: The 0.618 retracement aligns with the 4,300 zone — a key decision point for intraday traders. Conclusion Gold maintains a strong bullish structure supported by trendline and Fibonacci confluence. Short-term corrections are seen as opportunities to buy dips toward 4,300 with targets near 4,440–4,470. Traders should watch the 4,270 level as the key invalidation zone for the bullish setup. Stay disciplined, and follow to receive more intraday trading strategies and market insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAUUSD: Strong recovery, will gold continue to make new highs?OANDA:XAUUSD had a significant correction in the trading session at the end of last week, for most of yesterday's trading session we have not seen too strong bullish momentum. However, during the New York Session, gold rose sharply under the push of large cash flows and with the emergence of some unsettling news, typically the fact that China could pay 155% tariffs if there is no agreement before November 1 (President Trump). Looking at the options market in today's trading session, most traders are still apprehensive as the price is trading above the peak of 4350 – 4370 (calculated through the price of CFDs). However, most of the market is involved by longcall contracts, so I assess that in today's trading session, the price will continue to above $4400/ounce. Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session: Resistance: , Support: Support: Strong support: Margin Zone support: Fair value gap (FVG): Margin Zone + Strong suport + FVG => This will be a strong support zone in today's trading session Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones => Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely. Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView