Trade ideas
Gold flying further high, Next move till 4240..Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is flying high and high and now currently it has break the resistance and now forming more bullish candles.. the level of resistance is 4180/4169.. according to me Gold will move further high because going with trend is more better then go against the trend. Gold will move further high till the target area around 4240.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 4184
Target 4240
Stop Loss 4165
Resistance 4180/4179
Gold: The M-top pattern indicates a downward risk📈Gold’s situation today is quite complex, marked by sharp volatility. Looking at the price trend, after a rare steep drop the previous night, the Gold continued to slide following today’s opening, touching a low of 4004.5. It then staged a short-term rebound of over $100, fluctuating around 4100 and peaking at 4161.It then continued to decline.
📝In terms of influencing factors:
The cooling of safe-haven sentiment is one of the key reasons for Gold’s decline. Europe’s support for Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations, the expected resolution of the U.S. government shutdown crisis, and the easing of Sino-U.S. trade tensions have all led to a significant drop in market demand for safe-haven assets.
📈Gold had risen too sharply in the earlier stage, fueling strong sentiment among investors to take profits at high levels. A large number of sell orders pushed its price down sharply.
Additionally, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar during the day has also exerted certain pressure on gold prices.
📝From a technical perspective:
The Gold closed with a long bearish candlestick on the daily chart, accompanied by a simple M-top formation. This indicates the risk of the market continuing to move downward. The upper resistance zone is between 4150 and 4180, the key lower support level is at the 4000 integer mark, and further downside support lies between 3900 and 3904.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4075 - 4085
SL 4060
TP 4115 - 4125 - 4135
Sell 4150 - 4160
SL 4175
TP 4085 - 4100 - 4115
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAU/USD 22 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal.
BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Look for a volatile upward correction of 4200-4220Good morning, bros. Although the market did not provide us with suitable trading opportunities last night, this did not prevent the market from confirming Allen's advanced trading vision. Even if the long orders at 4060-4050 were stopped out, the gold price still fell back to around 4000 as expected. Continuing to go long can not only turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, but also ensure substantial profits. how is it? Although we were unable to participate in this transaction, the final trend and results always prove the high accuracy of Allen's advanced trading vision and strategic analysis.
As the candle chart closed with a long lower shadow that was nearly twice the length of the body, the short-term bottom was found near 4000. Therefore, I believe that gold may be in a state of volatile upward repair today. After a rapid decline and rebound this morning, the current price is once again around 4120-4130. Judging from the hourly chart, there is a rudimentary form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern in the short term. If the gold price retreats again, thus prompting the formation of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, then when the gold price falls back to around 4105-4095, we can also try to go long on gold with a light position. If gold continues to rise, we will pay attention to the performance of 4160-4170 above, which is both a short-term resistance and the daily MA10 moving average. If the bulls want to return to the market, they must first stand firm on the MA10 moving average to have greater hope. Therefore, this resistance range is also the focus of our short-term attention. Once it stabilizes above the MA10 moving average, gold will be expected to rebound to 4200-4220.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Today's trading strategy for gold is hoped to be helpful to you.The core logic: The key reasons behind the price changes
1.Long - term support remains: This year, the price of gold has risen from $3000 all the way to an all - time high of over $4380. Several major factors are at play. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates in September and may continue to do so in the future. The cost of holding gold has become lower, making everyone more willing to buy. On the other hand, the continuous government shutdown in the United States, coupled with the unresolved tense situations in the Middle East, Eurasia and other places, has made the market's concerns about the economy more prominent, thus highlighting the safe - haven value of gold. Another important support is that central banks around the world have been buying gold. Many countries, such as China and Poland, have been increasing their holdings. These long - term purchases can underpin the price of gold and reduce the possibility of a sharp decline.
2.Reasons for short - term fluctuations: Recently, the price of gold has dropped from around $4380 to $4090. Mainly, it is because the previous increase was too fast, and some investors sold to take profits, bringing selling pressure. In addition, there is news that the U.S. government shutdown may end this week, which has temporarily reduced part of the safe - haven demand and also led to a price decline. However, from the perspective of the trend, this correction is more like a short - term rest rather than a trend reversal.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd@buy:4080-4100
pt:4130-4150
sl:4030
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 21stGold prices rebounded sharply yesterday, fully recovering the $200 drop from last Friday as of today's Asian time.
From a structural perspective, after the downward risk in gold is released and there's no continuation, it will face renewed pressure to challenge new highs, with 4400 likely to be reached this week. While there will be some volatility before the Fed's rate cut at the end of the month, gold's trend inertia remains. A slow rise amidst fluctuations will allow the market to gradually absorb the new buying pressure until the next imbalance between bulls and bears.
Of course, the confirmation of a double top pattern in gold is also crucial on the 4-hour chart. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are about to form another downward death cross. If gold fails to hold above 4300 today, yesterday's rebound will be merely a final push by buyers.
Even if gold breaks above 4400 again this week, I believe the upward trend will be short-lived, with a volatile bull-bear tug-of-war continuing to dominate the market for the foreseeable future.
The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 4295. Today, focus on the support levels of 4245 and 4185. Buy once the price stabilizes. If it falls below 4185, it will test the support levels of 4146 and 4100.
BUY: 4245 near
BUY: 4185 near
SELL: 4295 near
XAUUSD Bearish analysis EMA50 Breakdown 📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Update 💰
Gold faced strong rejection from the major supply zone around 4375 🔻
After breaking below the 50 EMA, bearish momentum is clearly building on the 30M timeframe ⚙️
Current Price: 4330 🟡
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 4313 – First support level
2️⃣ 4287 – Second target zone
📍 Key Demand Zone: Around 4207, where buyers may look to step in again 🏦
💡 Bias: Bearish below 4375 / Watch for reactions near 4313 and 4287 for potential short-term scalps or pullbacks.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #BearishTrend 📊
Defend 4305-4295, break to see M-shaped neckline#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold rebounded several times during the day to test the resistance level of 4365-4380, but failed to break through effectively, and the gold price once again experienced a correction. Judging from the long-term trend chart, the short-term structure has the rudiments of an M-shaped double top, so be cautious in chasing the rise in intraday trading and beware of a large market correction.
The primary focus below is the support of 4335-4320. Once this position is lost, gold will further test 4307-4290, which is also the point we need to focus on defending. It is both the low point of yesterday's rebound and the 38.2% golden ratio position. If it retreats to this range, you can try to intervene with a light position and go long. If this position is also lost, then gold may accelerate to 4255-4235, or even advance towards the M-shaped neckline position near 4205.
Then our trading goal is very clear. In the European session, we will focus on the support level of 4335-4320. If it breaks, we will focus on the support level of 4307-4290. We will follow up with a light position and go long.
XAUUSD Long TP 4460This is not financial advice
This is just an idea from a Human Trader fighting for financial freedom
XAUUSD Pullback in Play Focus on 4330 SupportXAUUSD shows early signs of bearish correction after failing to hold above 4380. The pair is forming lower highs on intraday charts, signaling a potential swing move toward 4330 if momentum continues to favor sellers.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 4365
Take Profit: 4330
Stop Loss: 4380
Reasoning:
Technically, the structure has shifted to the downside, with bearish candles confirming pressure under 4380 resistance. A break below short-term support suggests the start of a corrective leg toward 4330.
Fundamentally, gold remains under pressure as U.S. dollar strength and firm Treasury yields weigh on investor sentiment. Traders await key U.S. inflation data, which could further influence gold’s short term direction.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and follow your individual plan.
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped.
The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift.
⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure
🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal.
🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – October 21, 2025Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum after bouncing sharply from the 4,160 support area. The recent corrective leg formed a clean “V-reversal” structure, suggesting renewed buyer interest as price approaches the mid-channel resistance zone around 4,340–4,360 USD.
On the 1-hour chart, the structure shows a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming ongoing trend strength. The short-term pullback was absorbed quickly, and current price action indicates a potential breakout retest setup.
Key Technical Levels
Support 1: 4,290 – 4,300 (Fib 0.382 retracement & short-term EMA support)
Support 2: 4,160 – 4,180 (previous demand & trendline confluence)
Resistance 1: 4,360 – 4,380 (local swing high, short-term target)
Resistance 2: 4,440 – 4,470 (upper channel boundary / potential take-profit zone)
Trading Strategy
Primary bias: Buy on dips within the ascending channel
- Look for bullish confirmation around 4,300–4,310 to join the prevailing trend.
- Target short-term 4,380, extend to 4,450+ if momentum persists.
- Stop loss below 4,270 to maintain favorable risk-reward.
Alternative scenario:
If gold breaks below 4,270, expect deeper retracement toward 4,180 where strong buyers may re-enter.
Technical Outlook
EMA trend: Price remains above the 50-EMA on H1, confirming bullish control.
RSI: Currently near 60, leaving room for further upside before overbought levels.
Fibonacci structure: The 0.618 retracement aligns with the 4,300 zone — a key decision point for intraday traders.
Conclusion
Gold maintains a strong bullish structure supported by trendline and Fibonacci confluence. Short-term corrections are seen as opportunities to buy dips toward 4,300 with targets near 4,440–4,470. Traders should watch the 4,270 level as the key invalidation zone for the bullish setup.
Stay disciplined, and follow to receive more intraday trading strategies and market insights.
Watch me make $876.45 trading goldIn this video I explain how I was able to recoup from my previous loss yesterday and make 800 today trading simple support & resistance with candle pattern recognition for extra confluence before placing entry
Gold Trading Strategy | October 20-21✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Since rebounding from the 4186.62 low, gold has continued to strengthen, currently trading around the 4340–4350 zone and approaching the upper resistance area.
The moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have formed a golden cross, while MA20 is turning upward, indicating that the short-term trend has shifted from weak to strong. Both MA60 and MA120 remain in an upward slope, confirming that the medium-term structure is still bullish.
The Bollinger Bands show the upper band near 4369, the middle around 4265, and the lower near 4160. The price has regained the middle band and is now approaching the upper band, suggesting the market has shifted from previous consolidation to a rebound recovery phase.
If gold breaks through the 4365–4375 area, it may further test the previous high at 4379.52, and potentially challenge the 4400 level.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis: After rallying from its recent low, gold has formed a clear upward channel. The upper Bollinger Band is around 4356, the middle near 4278, and the lower around 4200.
The price is trading near the upper band, showing strong short-term bullish momentum, though caution is warranted near the 4350–4370 resistance area where profit-taking may occur.
The short-term trend remains strong; however, if gold fails to break 4355–4375, it may face a mild consolidation. Key support lies around 4320–4300.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4355–4375 / 4400
🟢 Support Levels: 4320–4300 / 4265
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price breaks and stabilizes above 4375, consider light long positions, targeting 4400–4415, with a stop loss below 4350.
🔰 If the price rebounds to 4350–4375 and faces resistance, consider taking partial profits or short-term selling opportunities.
🔰 If the price pulls back to 4320–4300 and stabilizes, consider re-entering long positions for another upward move.
📊 Gold’s overall trend remains bullish, with the short-term rebound still in progress.
The 4-hour chart indicates the medium-term bullish structure remains intact, while the 1-hour chart shows strong short-term momentum.
If gold breaks above 4375–4380 during the U.S. session, it could re-enter a strong upward trend channel; however, if it faces resistance and falls below 4320, it may return to a high-level consolidation phase.
XAU potential sell incoming If the current zone breaks, a new ATH will come in. OTherwise, trendline break and retest is saying, lets retrace and clear liquidity along the way
Gold price analysis October 20GOLD UPDATE – Breakout Confirms Uptrend
Gold price has officially broken the 4267 accumulation zone, opening up an upward momentum towards the next resistance zone around 4317. The 4377 zone is currently considered a potential ATH resistance zone and is also an area where the market may have a notable reaction in the near future.
The current strategy still prioritizes BUY following the trend, taking advantage of the support rebounds to increase buying positions.
Trading plan:
✅ BUY immediately at 4277
🔁 BUY Trigger when there is a price rejection signal at the 4267 support zone
🎯 Target: 4317
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – October 20, 2025 (1H Chart)Gold continues to move within a steady ascending channel, maintaining a clear bullish structure across multiple timeframes. After a sharp correction from the upper trendline, the market found support near the confluence of EMA100 and EMA200, signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control.
At the moment, price is stabilizing around the EMA50 zone and showing early signs of recovery. A confirmed break and close above 4265 could trigger a new bullish leg targeting the upper boundary of the channel around 4470 – 4480.
Technical Overview
Trend: Overall bullish; the market continues to form higher highs and higher lows.
EMA structure: 20 > 50 > 100 > 200, confirming long-term bullish alignment.
Price behavior: Recent rejection from EMA200 and strong recovery momentum.
Fibonacci retracement: The 0.5–0.618 zone aligns with 4250 – 4240, acting as a key re-entry point for buyers.
Trading Plan
Primary bias: Buy on pullback continuation
Entry zone: 4255 – 4265
Stop loss: below 4210
Take profit: 4465 – 4480
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:3, suitable for both intraday and short-term swing trades.
Key Levels
4250 – 4265;EMA20 + Fibo 0.618 zone;Major Support
4210 – 4220;EMA100/200 confluence;Short-term Resistance
4330 – 4340;Previous local high;Major Resistance
4470 – 4480;Channel upper boundary
Market Outlook
The overall bias remains bullish. The recent pullback is viewed as a healthy correction before the next potential upward move. A confirmed close above 4270 would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario, while a break below 4210 would invalidate it.
Keep monitoring the 4250 – 4260 area closely; it may serve as a critical launching point for the next upward swing. Stay tuned for further market updates and strategy insights.
Analysis and possible path of goldHi traders
One-hour structure of gold:
The structure of the one-hour time frame and above is still the bullish structure and the movement that can be imagined this week. The liquidity points and three resistance / support are marked on the chart. They are the market reaction points that can be triggered to enter at these levels in the lower time.
The area of 4202 is the choch-hunt line that can act as a support pullback and even the main positive reaction can be formed from this area, but ideally the current bottom is collected once again and rises from one of the three supports below the bottom.
Have a good week
Gold skyrockets from $4,000 to $4,400 in just 10 days! Global risks are rising — fears of a major economic recession, falling stock markets, and growing military & trade tensions have pushed both retail and institutional investors (even banks) toward gold.
In major cities like Sydney, people are literally lining up to buy physical gold.
All indicators are showing overbought, but the real question is: how far can this demand pressure break through every chart and model? 📈🔥
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 4307.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 4291.5
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4335.3
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, US SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Analyst Team
⸻
🧭 Market Overview
Gold has entered a corrective phase after failing to break and sustain above 4,379, the current weekly high. During the London session, price fell sharply to 4,305–4,313, testing the ascending trendline support and the Fibonacci Golden Zone from the latest bullish swing.
The daily chart remains bullish in structure, but intraday momentum has shifted bearish short-term, suggesting a potential retest deeper into support before a continuation to the upside.
⸻
📊 Technical Breakdown
1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1)
• Structure: Uptrend intact — higher highs & higher lows.
• RSI: 85.0 → Overbought, signaling possible cooling phase.
• Support Zone: 4,290–4,273 (near 38.2% retracement).
• Bias: Medium-term bullish; short-term correction.
2️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1)
• Price broke minor structure at 4,336 and tapped the lower channel.
• Currently consolidating around 4,313, forming potential base support.
• 50EMA flattening; momentum slowing.
• Bias: Neutral to bearish short-term until 4,336 is reclaimed.
3️⃣ 15M–5M Chart
• MACD bearish, histogram red — short-term selling pressure.
• RSI rebounding from oversold (33) — early signs of intraday support reaction.
• Liquidity below 4,300 remains uncollected — could attract a final sweep before reversal.
⸻
📐 FIBONACCI ANALYSIS (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379)
Level Price Confluence
38.2% 4,336 EMA50 / previous structure
50.0% 4,326 Key mid-range
61.8% 4,318 Trendline & intraday liquidity
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone → 4,318–4,336
This remains the key reaction zone for re-entry confirmation or next leg down if broken.
⸻
🎯 HIGH-PROBABILITY TRADE SCENARIOS
✅ BUY SETUP (Primary Bias – After Confirmation)
• Break & Retest: Above 4,336, confirming buyers reclaim control.
• Retest Zone: 4,330–4,336
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,350
• TP2 → 4,363
• TP3 → 4,379
• Stop-Loss: Below 4,318
(Re-entry within Golden Zone only if we see bullish engulfing / strong volume candle.)
⸻
⚠️ SELL SETUP (Active Short-Term Bias)
• Break & Retest: Below 4,305, confirming downside continuation.
• Retest Zone: 4,305–4,313
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,290
• TP2 → 4,273
• TP3 → 4,250
• Stop-Loss: Above 4,336
(This would confirm Golden Zone break and shift momentum bearish toward 4,273.)
⸻
🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive)
• Trigger: Break & retest above 4,379 (previous high).
• Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379
• Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428
• Stop-Loss: Below 4,355
⸻
🕐 FUNDAMENTAL WATCH
• DXY: Hovering around 104.90 — slight rebound causing gold weakness.
• Bond Yields: Stable; no risk-off catalyst for new gold strength yet.
• Upcoming US Data: Michigan Consumer Sentiment — could add volatility later.
• Institutional Flow: Still net-long on gold, suggesting corrections are accumulation phases.
⸻
⚙️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
Type Levels
Resistance 4,336 / 4,363 / 4,379
Support 4,318 / 4,305 / 4,273
Trendline Support 4,305 (critical for maintaining bullish structure)
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum has shifted bearish following repeated rejections from 4,379.
Current retracement into 4,318–4,305 is a critical decision zone — if this holds, expect recovery toward 4,350–4,379.
However, a clean break below 4,305 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4,273–4,250 before the next major wave higher.
⸻
📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,318 – Watch for re-entry confirmation.
📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish below 4,305 – Short toward 4,273.
