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GOLD / XAUUSD – DAILY PLAN (Oct 17, 2025)🧭 MARKET CONTEXT Main timeframe: M30 / H1 Current structure remains bullish, forming clear HH – HL sequences. After a strong rally, price is now in a retracement phase toward a nearby demand zone aligned with the ascending trendline. No sign of structure break yet (no BOS below the previous HL). 📈 PRIMARY SCENARIO (BUY SETUP) ➤ Entry Zone 1: BUY GOLD 4280 – 4278 Stop Loss: 4275 Target 1: 4335 Target 2: 4350 (new HH) Reason: This is a Bullish Order Block (OB) and BOS retest zone, aligned with the rising trendline. Expecting a strong bullish reaction (rejection candle or engulfing bar) before triggering the buy limit. ➤ Entry Zone 2 (CP Setup – Confirmation Point) BUY 4247 – 4245 Stop Loss: 4239 Target: 4300 / 4330 / 4350 Reason: This is the final demand zone near the main trendline, confluence of prior BOS + SSS (Structure Shift Support). If price breaks below 4280 without reaction, patiently wait for confirmation around CP zone. ⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (STRUCTURE FAILURE) If price closes below 4235 on M30, the bullish structure is invalidated. → The buy plan is canceled — wait for a pullback sell setup from 4280–4300 resistance. If the buy stop loss is hit at 4239, monitor 4200 zone as the next H4 demand area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement. 📝Levels to watch: $4.000, $4.500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
20
Today's trading strategy for gold is hoped to be helpful to you.The core logic: The key reasons behind the price changes 1.Long - term support remains: This year, the price of gold has risen from $3000 all the way to an all - time high of over $4380. Several major factors are at play. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates in September and may continue to do so in the future. The cost of holding gold has become lower, making everyone more willing to buy. On the other hand, the continuous government shutdown in the United States, coupled with the unresolved tense situations in the Middle East, Eurasia and other places, has made the market's concerns about the economy more prominent, thus highlighting the safe - haven value of gold. Another important support is that central banks around the world have been buying gold. Many countries, such as China and Poland, have been increasing their holdings. These long - term purchases can underpin the price of gold and reduce the possibility of a sharp decline. 2.Reasons for short - term fluctuations: Recently, the price of gold has dropped from around $4380 to $4090. Mainly, it is because the previous increase was too fast, and some investors sold to take profits, bringing selling pressure. In addition, there is news that the U.S. government shutdown may end this week, which has temporarily reduced part of the safe - haven demand and also led to a price decline. However, from the perspective of the trend, this correction is more like a short - term rest rather than a trend reversal. Today's Gold Trading Strategy xauusd@buy:4080-4100 pt:4130-4150 sl:4030
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Will gold continue to fall on October 22? Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy (Based on Broken M-Top Pattern) I. Core Technical View Trend Assessment: Bearish Bias. The daily chart has formed a complete M-top pattern, and the key neckline support (4185) has been decisively broken, indicating a potential reversal of the prior uptrend. Pattern Targets: Base Target Zone: 4050 - 4000 area (1x measured move). Extended Target Zone: Around 3950 (1.5x measured move, coinciding with the daily trendline support). Momentum Confirmation: The 1-hour chart's moving average system has turned downward, forming a bearish alignment. A double top pattern is also visible on the 1-hour chart, reinforcing short-term downward momentum. II. Key Level Framework Core Resistance Zone: 4185 - 4190 (the broken neckline acting as new resistance - 'Support Turned Resistance', and the key defensive line for bears). Near-Term Resistance Zone: 4170 - 4180 (Primary area for selling on rallies). Near-Term Support Zone: 4080 - 4000 (Short-term bearish target and key support area). Ultimate Support Zone: Around 3950 (Pattern extended target and trendline confluence). III. Detailed Trading Strategy 【Primary Strategy: Sell on Rallies】 Entry Zone: Near the 4170 - 4180 area, establish short positions in batches. Stop Loss: Place above 4190, recommended 8-10 USD. Profit Targets (Tiered): First Target: 4130 - 4100 Second Target: After breaking below 4080, aim for the 4050 - 4000 zone. Extended Target: If the decline is strong, can further target 3950. 【Secondary Strategy: Buy on Dips (Counter-Trend)】 Entry Condition: Upon the first pullback to the 4070 - 4080 support area, AND if bullish reversal candlestick signals appear on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart (e.g., Hammer, Bullish Engulfing). Stop Loss: Place below 4060, recommended 8-10 USD. Profit Targets (Tiered): Base Target: 4100 - 4120 Breakout Target: If resistance is broken strongly, can aim for around 4150. IV. Risk Control & Trading Discipline Position Sizing: Suggested risk per trade should not exceed 2%-5% of total capital. Strict Stop-Loss Adherence: Stops must be set without exception. Monitor Key Levels: Closely watch the 4185-4190 zone. If the price reclaims this area strongly, the M-top breakdown is invalidated, and the bearish strategy requires reassessment. Trade Timing: For the primary short strategy, patiently wait for price to rally into the ideal resistance zone. Avoid chasing the market down.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Golden_Opportunities
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 21stGold prices rebounded sharply yesterday, fully recovering the $200 drop from last Friday as of today's Asian time. From a structural perspective, after the downward risk in gold is released and there's no continuation, it will face renewed pressure to challenge new highs, with 4400 likely to be reached this week. While there will be some volatility before the Fed's rate cut at the end of the month, gold's trend inertia remains. A slow rise amidst fluctuations will allow the market to gradually absorb the new buying pressure until the next imbalance between bulls and bears. Of course, the confirmation of a double top pattern in gold is also crucial on the 4-hour chart. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are about to form another downward death cross. If gold fails to hold above 4300 today, yesterday's rebound will be merely a final push by buyers. Even if gold breaks above 4400 again this week, I believe the upward trend will be short-lived, with a volatile bull-bear tug-of-war continuing to dominate the market for the foreseeable future. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 4295. Today, focus on the support levels of 4245 and 4185. Buy once the price stabilizes. If it falls below 4185, it will test the support levels of 4146 and 4100. BUY: 4245 near BUY: 4185 near SELL: 4295 near
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Bearish analysis EMA50 Breakdown 📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Update 💰 Gold faced strong rejection from the major supply zone around 4375 🔻 After breaking below the 50 EMA, bearish momentum is clearly building on the 30M timeframe ⚙️ Current Price: 4330 🟡 🎯 Technical Targets: 1️⃣ 4313 – First support level 2️⃣ 4287 – Second target zone 📍 Key Demand Zone: Around 4207, where buyers may look to step in again 🏦 💡 Bias: Bearish below 4375 / Watch for reactions near 4313 and 4287 for potential short-term scalps or pullbacks. #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #BearishTrend 📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ExpertTraderASK
2
Defend 4305-4295, break to see M-shaped neckline#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold rebounded several times during the day to test the resistance level of 4365-4380, but failed to break through effectively, and the gold price once again experienced a correction. Judging from the long-term trend chart, the short-term structure has the rudiments of an M-shaped double top, so be cautious in chasing the rise in intraday trading and beware of a large market correction. The primary focus below is the support of 4335-4320. Once this position is lost, gold will further test 4307-4290, which is also the point we need to focus on defending. It is both the low point of yesterday's rebound and the 38.2% golden ratio position. If it retreats to this range, you can try to intervene with a light position and go long. If this position is also lost, then gold may accelerate to 4255-4235, or even advance towards the M-shaped neckline position near 4205. Then our trading goal is very clear. In the European session, we will focus on the support level of 4335-4320. If it breaks, we will focus on the support level of 4307-4290. We will follow up with a light position and go long.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Gold-Hunter_Garrick
XAUUSD Pullback in Play Focus on 4330 SupportXAUUSD shows early signs of bearish correction after failing to hold above 4380. The pair is forming lower highs on intraday charts, signaling a potential swing move toward 4330 if momentum continues to favor sellers. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 4365 Take Profit: 4330 Stop Loss: 4380 Reasoning: Technically, the structure has shifted to the downside, with bearish candles confirming pressure under 4380 resistance. A break below short-term support suggests the start of a corrective leg toward 4330. Fundamentally, gold remains under pressure as U.S. dollar strength and firm Treasury yields weigh on investor sentiment. Traders await key U.S. inflation data, which could further influence gold’s short term direction. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and follow your individual plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
XAU/USD | The Art of Trendline Liquidity & OB ReactionGold continues to respect the structural rhythm of Smart Money flow. Price recently formed Equal Highs (EQH) before a potential retracement into OB + FVG confluence zone, where liquidity beneath trendline support remains untapped. The idea anticipates a sweep of short-term liquidity before a possible bullish continuation — aligning with the current market structure shift. ⚙️ Concepts used: OB | FVG | EQH/EQL | Trendline Liquidity | Market Structure 🧠 This idea is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes — not a signal. 🔁 Feel free to share your perspective in the comments — every chart tells a story!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by InsideTradeVision