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Gold Wave Analysis – 21 October 2025 - Gold reversed from key resistance level 4370.00 - Likely to fall to support level 4000.00 Gold falling strongly after the price made 3rd failed attempt to break above the key resistance level 4370.00 standing well above the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from the resistance level 4370.00 will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bearish Engulfing – strong sell signal for Gold. Given the abnormally long period of overbought daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to fall to the next round support level 4000.00.
FXPRO:XAUUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
Accurately grasp every trading opportunity,do you dare to followGold prices fell sharply in the evening due to the news, with a daily drop of nearly $300. Judging from the daily chart, the large real negative line almost swallowed up all the gains last week, and the bears have absolute control over the market. Since this morning, Allen has been reminding everyone to pay attention to the M-shaped double-top structure and be alert to the possible sharp market correction. Even if you fail to keep up with our trading rhythm, as long as you refer to my ideas and read them carefully, you can at least effectively avoid being washed out by the market. As gold continues to fall, various voices have appeared in the market. Bros must keep their eyes open when referring to them. After all, not everyone is as brave as Allen in facing mistakes and losses. As I said, the bears are currently dominating the market. Although the decline has stagnated slightly in the short term, the downward trend has not completely stopped. It will be difficult for the bulls to recover all their lost ground tonight. The current gold price is hovering around 4110. If it continues to fall, you can pay attention to the short-term support of 4060-4050 below. Try to go long with a light position, set a stop loss, and look for support at the 4000 integer mark if it breaks. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Analysis and trading position for gold Hello traders The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
Plan XAU day: Oct 21, 2025Related Information:!!! U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that comprehensive tariffs on China would not be sustainable. Trump added on Sunday that both nations would reach a great deal, although he warned that if no agreement is made, China could face tariffs of up to 155%. This keeps attention focused on the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks next week. personal opinion:!!! After several days of setting record highs, gold prices have entered a sharp correction phase, with XAU dropping to around $4,000. Important price zone to consider : !!! Resistance zone point: 4100 zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VU8F2026 EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:VV6X2025 EURONEXT:V26X2025 EURONEXT:NS8Z2025 EURONEXT:YG8F2026 Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold’s Record High: What’s Next?Spot gold edged lower on Tuesday after hitting fresh record levels, pressured by a recovering US dollar and improved global risk sentiment. However, the downside appears limited. Growing concerns over a potential US government shutdown and its economic impact, alongside strong market expectations for another Fed rate cut this year, continue to weigh on the dollar – providing key underlying support for gold. Additionally, persistent trade tensions and geopolitical risks reinforce gold's role as a preferred safe-haven asset. Amid these crosscurrents, the market is seeking its next clear directional catalyst. Technically, yesterday's strong bullish candle erased the prior session's decline and pushed to new highs, confirming sustained buying interest. Still, after such a sharp move, signs of short-term exhaustion are emerging near the highs, suggesting a possible shift from the previous one-way rally to a phase of wide-range consolidation. While the extreme volatility may moderate, the risk of sudden sharp swings remains. Trading Strategy: Favor buying on dips within the expected range rather than chasing the rally at elevated levels. Key resistance sits at 4300–4320 – a clear break above opens the next leg higher. Major support lies in the 4245–4230 zone, where a firm hold could offer a reference for establishing new long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by High-Class
XAUUSD POENTIAL CORRECTIONIf gold (XAUUSD) breaks convincingly below the $4,200 level, it could signal a deeper technical correction. While gold's overall trend remains bullish, a drop below this significant support could trigger further selling toward lower price levels. Key factors and potential outcomes if XAUUSD falls below $4,200: Next support levels: Technical analysis suggests that the next potential support levels below $4,200 would be around $4,180, followed by $4,059, $4,023, and potentially the psychologically significant $4,000 mark. Shift in short-term momentum: A break below $4,200 could signal a shift from the current strong bullish momentum to a period of consolidation or a more pronounced correction. Profit-taking: The recent record-setting rally saw gold briefly dip below $4,200 due to profit-taking. A more sustained break could indicate a more widespread correction is underway, rather than just a temporary fluctuation. Underlying bullish trend: Despite a potential break, the overall bullish trend would remain intact unless there is a complete breakdown of the "higher highs and higher lows" pattern. A dip could be seen as a healthy consolidation before another upward leg, with institutional buyers likely to re-engage around the next major base, such as $4,000.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by malcomgwinyaimuriro
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold resumed its upward momentum on Monday, primarily driven by multiple positive factors. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a wait-and-see stance ahead of its monetary policy meeting, with the upcoming inflation data set to serve as a key guide. Meanwhile, the U.S. government’s fiscal deadlock has introduced uncertainty, providing additional safe-haven premium for gold. The persistence of heightened tensions in the Middle East has further highlighted gold’s hedging function.​ In the long run, the steady gold purchase demand from global central banks and ETF holdings have formed solid support for gold prices, effectively offsetting short-term volatility. Additionally, the performance of traditional safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen, together with the U.S. dollar, has jointly influenced gold’s appeal.​ From the 4-hour chart analysis, gold oscillated below the critical level of 4,380. However, driven by safe-haven buying in the evening, it broke through this resistance level strongly, indicating that bulls have regained dominance. This breakthrough confirms the short-term strong pattern, and the key focus for the intraday downside is the 4,300 level, which has now transformed into a new support zone.​ In terms of operation, the strategy should shift to following the trend and going long, prioritizing opportunities to enter positions on pullbacks to lower levels. This rapid rally and recovery of lost ground have once again verified the strength of the current bullish momentum. Given the high market volatility, it is advisable to remain patient, wait for price corrections to enter long positions, and set stop-losses properly. Today's Gold Trading Strategy xauusd@buy:4310-4320 pt:4340-4350 sl:4295
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold has once again tested the $4,380 resistance zone, where repeated rejections highlight a strong supply barrier. Price is now consolidating toward the $4,293–$4,301 support zone, which coincides with a rising trendline. If buyers defend this level, the bullish structure remains valid with potential to revisit $4,377–$4,384. A deeper pullback below $4,285 would weaken the bullish outlook and expose $4,260–$4,270. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 4,293–4,301 (support retest) Stop Loss: 4,288 Take Profit: 4,377 / 4,384 R:R: ≈ 1 : 6.18 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally has stalled near $4,380 as markets shift focus to US-China trade talks. While safe-haven demand remains strong, optimism around potential negotiations has allowed the US Dollar to recover modestly. Meanwhile, the prolonged US government shutdown and Trump’s threat of a 155% tariff on China from November 1 add fresh uncertainty, supporting the case for safe-haven flows. Additionally, markets are pricing in two more Fed rate cuts this year, keeping gold well-bid on dips. Investors will closely monitor US CPI data on Friday and earnings from major US companies for directional cues. 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,377 / 4,384 / 4,390 Support: 4,301 / 4,293 / 4,260 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a buy-on-dips mode as long as $4,301 support holds. Short-term pullbacks offer potential entry opportunities toward $4,380 resistance, but repeated rejections at this zone highlight the importance of risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Watch for gold price fluctuations in the 4180-4330 range.Watch for gold price fluctuations in the 4180-4330 range. As shown in Figure 4h: The three most likely gold price trends This week, we will focus on a range-bound pattern between 4180 and 4330. First, it's important to clarify: The current international gold price is around $4263/oz. After hitting a record high, the gold market is in a critical period of high-level fluctuations and faces downward pressure. From a technical perspective, the market may enter a period of short-term volatile correction. The long-term bull trend remains intact, but short-term pressure is present, and short-term upward momentum may be exhausted. Upward Resistance: $4280-4305 is a strong resistance range in the near term. If it breaks through, it could challenge the all-time high again. Downward Support: First support level: $4215-4220. Second support level: $4180-4190, which is also close to the low of last Friday's decline. Key Support Levels: If the above support levels fail, gold prices could fall further to around $4,100 or $4,160. Trading Strategy Reference Day Traders: Range Trading: Test a short position near the $4,280-4,300 resistance area, with a stop-loss above $4,310 and a target of $4,220, and further towards $4,190. Caution in Buying: Buying is not recommended until gold clearly breaks through the $4,300 mark. If gold prices fall back to the $4,180-4,200-4,220-4,240 support area and stabilize, consider a light long position with a stop-loss below $4,178 and a target of $4,270-4,280. Main Strategy: Continue to focus on buying at low prices. Buy 1: 4240 Buy 2: 4220 Buy 3: 4200 Buy 4: 4180 Stop Loss: 4160 Target Price: 4280-4300-4330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber01
1
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins ...LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins - Watch for Selling at Key Resistance Zone Hello traders community, After a surge due to geopolitical tensions, XAUUSD (Gold) is starting to show signs of a mid-term correction. The upward momentum has stalled, and prices are showing weakness from the peak region. The market is currently in a state of tug-of-war, influenced by various macro factors, creating clear two-way trading opportunities. 📰 Macro Analysis: Interwoven Market Gold prices are currently caught between three main streams of information: Support (Bullish): The Israel–Hamas conflict and escalating geopolitical risks remain the main "safe haven" factor, keeping Gold prices anchored at high levels. Pressure (Bearish): Signs of "cooling down" in US-China trade tensions reduce the demand for safe haven assets and restrain Gold's upward momentum. Long Term (Bullish): Expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates continue to support Gold in the long term, although it does not have a strong short-term impact. This contradiction makes it difficult for the market to break further, instead necessitating a technical correction. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart clearly shows the correction structure forming: Declining Structure: Prices have formed a distinct peak and dropped sharply, breaking short-term upward structures. The current uptrend is merely a technical recovery wave. Dominant Sell Zone: The $4306 zone is an extremely important confluence area. This is: The 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level, a common retracement ratio. An old support zone that has been broken, now becoming strong resistance ("Sell fibonacci and support" on the chart). A large previous liquidity area, where sellers will strongly defend this region. Price Decline Target: The main target for this decline is the VAL (Value Area Low) zone of the Volume Profile indicator, around $4180. This is a high-volume trading area, where buyers are likely to return. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main priority is to watch for selling at Fibonacci resistance zones. Scenario 1: Sell Correction (Sell) 📉 Entry: $4306 Stop Loss (SL): $4312 (A tight, safe SL above the resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): $4288 - $4265 - $4233 - $4210 - $4190 (Final target is the VAL zone) Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support Zone (Buy) 📈 Entry: Watch for buying when prices correct deeply to the VAL $4178 zone. Stop Loss (SL): $4170 Take Profit (TP): $4198 - $4225 - $4246 - $4270 Summary Although long-term macro factors continue to support Gold, technically, a mid-term correction has begun. The optimal strategy is to watch for selling (Sell) when prices recover to the confluence resistance zone $4306 and take profits at the targets below, especially the VAL $4180 zone. Always manage your capital tightly. Wishing traders a successful week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX