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XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VU8F2026 EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:VV6X2025 EURONEXT:V26X2025 EURONEXT:NS8Z2025 EURONEXT:YG8F2026 Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold’s Record High: What’s Next?Spot gold edged lower on Tuesday after hitting fresh record levels, pressured by a recovering US dollar and improved global risk sentiment. However, the downside appears limited. Growing concerns over a potential US government shutdown and its economic impact, alongside strong market expectations for another Fed rate cut this year, continue to weigh on the dollar – providing key underlying support for gold. Additionally, persistent trade tensions and geopolitical risks reinforce gold's role as a preferred safe-haven asset. Amid these crosscurrents, the market is seeking its next clear directional catalyst. Technically, yesterday's strong bullish candle erased the prior session's decline and pushed to new highs, confirming sustained buying interest. Still, after such a sharp move, signs of short-term exhaustion are emerging near the highs, suggesting a possible shift from the previous one-way rally to a phase of wide-range consolidation. While the extreme volatility may moderate, the risk of sudden sharp swings remains. Trading Strategy: Favor buying on dips within the expected range rather than chasing the rally at elevated levels. Key resistance sits at 4300–4320 – a clear break above opens the next leg higher. Major support lies in the 4245–4230 zone, where a firm hold could offer a reference for establishing new long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by High-Class
XAUUSD POENTIAL CORRECTIONIf gold (XAUUSD) breaks convincingly below the $4,200 level, it could signal a deeper technical correction. While gold's overall trend remains bullish, a drop below this significant support could trigger further selling toward lower price levels. Key factors and potential outcomes if XAUUSD falls below $4,200: Next support levels: Technical analysis suggests that the next potential support levels below $4,200 would be around $4,180, followed by $4,059, $4,023, and potentially the psychologically significant $4,000 mark. Shift in short-term momentum: A break below $4,200 could signal a shift from the current strong bullish momentum to a period of consolidation or a more pronounced correction. Profit-taking: The recent record-setting rally saw gold briefly dip below $4,200 due to profit-taking. A more sustained break could indicate a more widespread correction is underway, rather than just a temporary fluctuation. Underlying bullish trend: Despite a potential break, the overall bullish trend would remain intact unless there is a complete breakdown of the "higher highs and higher lows" pattern. A dip could be seen as a healthy consolidation before another upward leg, with institutional buyers likely to re-engage around the next major base, such as $4,000.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by malcomgwinyaimuriro
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold resumed its upward momentum on Monday, primarily driven by multiple positive factors. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a wait-and-see stance ahead of its monetary policy meeting, with the upcoming inflation data set to serve as a key guide. Meanwhile, the U.S. government’s fiscal deadlock has introduced uncertainty, providing additional safe-haven premium for gold. The persistence of heightened tensions in the Middle East has further highlighted gold’s hedging function.​ In the long run, the steady gold purchase demand from global central banks and ETF holdings have formed solid support for gold prices, effectively offsetting short-term volatility. Additionally, the performance of traditional safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen, together with the U.S. dollar, has jointly influenced gold’s appeal.​ From the 4-hour chart analysis, gold oscillated below the critical level of 4,380. However, driven by safe-haven buying in the evening, it broke through this resistance level strongly, indicating that bulls have regained dominance. This breakthrough confirms the short-term strong pattern, and the key focus for the intraday downside is the 4,300 level, which has now transformed into a new support zone.​ In terms of operation, the strategy should shift to following the trend and going long, prioritizing opportunities to enter positions on pullbacks to lower levels. This rapid rally and recovery of lost ground have once again verified the strength of the current bullish momentum. Given the high market volatility, it is advisable to remain patient, wait for price corrections to enter long positions, and set stop-losses properly. Today's Gold Trading Strategy xauusd@buy:4310-4320 pt:4340-4350 sl:4295
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold has once again tested the $4,380 resistance zone, where repeated rejections highlight a strong supply barrier. Price is now consolidating toward the $4,293–$4,301 support zone, which coincides with a rising trendline. If buyers defend this level, the bullish structure remains valid with potential to revisit $4,377–$4,384. A deeper pullback below $4,285 would weaken the bullish outlook and expose $4,260–$4,270. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 4,293–4,301 (support retest) Stop Loss: 4,288 Take Profit: 4,377 / 4,384 R:R: ≈ 1 : 6.18 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally has stalled near $4,380 as markets shift focus to US-China trade talks. While safe-haven demand remains strong, optimism around potential negotiations has allowed the US Dollar to recover modestly. Meanwhile, the prolonged US government shutdown and Trump’s threat of a 155% tariff on China from November 1 add fresh uncertainty, supporting the case for safe-haven flows. Additionally, markets are pricing in two more Fed rate cuts this year, keeping gold well-bid on dips. Investors will closely monitor US CPI data on Friday and earnings from major US companies for directional cues. 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,377 / 4,384 / 4,390 Support: 4,301 / 4,293 / 4,260 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a buy-on-dips mode as long as $4,301 support holds. Short-term pullbacks offer potential entry opportunities toward $4,380 resistance, but repeated rejections at this zone highlight the importance of risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Watch for gold price fluctuations in the 4180-4330 range.Watch for gold price fluctuations in the 4180-4330 range. As shown in Figure 4h: The three most likely gold price trends This week, we will focus on a range-bound pattern between 4180 and 4330. First, it's important to clarify: The current international gold price is around $4263/oz. After hitting a record high, the gold market is in a critical period of high-level fluctuations and faces downward pressure. From a technical perspective, the market may enter a period of short-term volatile correction. The long-term bull trend remains intact, but short-term pressure is present, and short-term upward momentum may be exhausted. Upward Resistance: $4280-4305 is a strong resistance range in the near term. If it breaks through, it could challenge the all-time high again. Downward Support: First support level: $4215-4220. Second support level: $4180-4190, which is also close to the low of last Friday's decline. Key Support Levels: If the above support levels fail, gold prices could fall further to around $4,100 or $4,160. Trading Strategy Reference Day Traders: Range Trading: Test a short position near the $4,280-4,300 resistance area, with a stop-loss above $4,310 and a target of $4,220, and further towards $4,190. Caution in Buying: Buying is not recommended until gold clearly breaks through the $4,300 mark. If gold prices fall back to the $4,180-4,200-4,220-4,240 support area and stabilize, consider a light long position with a stop-loss below $4,178 and a target of $4,270-4,280. Main Strategy: Continue to focus on buying at low prices. Buy 1: 4240 Buy 2: 4220 Buy 3: 4200 Buy 4: 4180 Stop Loss: 4160 Target Price: 4280-4300-4330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber01
1
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins ...LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins - Watch for Selling at Key Resistance Zone Hello traders community, After a surge due to geopolitical tensions, XAUUSD (Gold) is starting to show signs of a mid-term correction. The upward momentum has stalled, and prices are showing weakness from the peak region. The market is currently in a state of tug-of-war, influenced by various macro factors, creating clear two-way trading opportunities. 📰 Macro Analysis: Interwoven Market Gold prices are currently caught between three main streams of information: Support (Bullish): The Israel–Hamas conflict and escalating geopolitical risks remain the main "safe haven" factor, keeping Gold prices anchored at high levels. Pressure (Bearish): Signs of "cooling down" in US-China trade tensions reduce the demand for safe haven assets and restrain Gold's upward momentum. Long Term (Bullish): Expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates continue to support Gold in the long term, although it does not have a strong short-term impact. This contradiction makes it difficult for the market to break further, instead necessitating a technical correction. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart clearly shows the correction structure forming: Declining Structure: Prices have formed a distinct peak and dropped sharply, breaking short-term upward structures. The current uptrend is merely a technical recovery wave. Dominant Sell Zone: The $4306 zone is an extremely important confluence area. This is: The 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level, a common retracement ratio. An old support zone that has been broken, now becoming strong resistance ("Sell fibonacci and support" on the chart). A large previous liquidity area, where sellers will strongly defend this region. Price Decline Target: The main target for this decline is the VAL (Value Area Low) zone of the Volume Profile indicator, around $4180. This is a high-volume trading area, where buyers are likely to return. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main priority is to watch for selling at Fibonacci resistance zones. Scenario 1: Sell Correction (Sell) 📉 Entry: $4306 Stop Loss (SL): $4312 (A tight, safe SL above the resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): $4288 - $4265 - $4233 - $4210 - $4190 (Final target is the VAL zone) Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support Zone (Buy) 📈 Entry: Watch for buying when prices correct deeply to the VAL $4178 zone. Stop Loss (SL): $4170 Take Profit (TP): $4198 - $4225 - $4246 - $4270 Summary Although long-term macro factors continue to support Gold, technically, a mid-term correction has begun. The optimal strategy is to watch for selling (Sell) when prices recover to the confluence resistance zone $4306 and take profits at the targets below, especially the VAL $4180 zone. Always manage your capital tightly. Wishing traders a successful week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup: Post-Correction Rally to ?Key Observations and Strategy:Prior Momentum: The market showed a strong, rapid bullish move throughout October 2025.Current Price Action: The price is undergoing a healthy pullback (correction) from its recent high, currently sitting around 4,246.78. Support Zone: The critical demand area is highlighted in light blue, acting as a Support zone roughly between 4,155}$ and 4,223. This is where buying pressure is expected to resume. Trade Setup (Long/Buy): The strategy is to enter a long position (buy) on a rebound from the support area, banking on the continuation of the primary uptrend. Stop-Loss: The trade is protected by a Stop-Loss placed just below the support at 4,155.67. This is the point where the bullish view would be invalidated. Target (Take Profit): The anticipated peak for this move is the Target at 4,426.70. Conclusion: This setup represents a high-probability trade for a bullish continuation pattern following a recent, significant rally.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
9 Weeks Bull Run Is Over, $4000 In Sight Gold has officially broken out of its 9-week bullish rally, marking a shift in market structure. The recent breakout below the ascending channel signals the end of the strong upward momentum. Now, price is clearly respecting key support levels on its way down. Each level is acting as a temporary pause in the move, but momentum remains bearish. If this structure continues to hold, we anticipate a continued correction toward the $4000 zone, which aligns with previous demand and technical confluence. Bearish Outlook Bullish channel broken Price respecting lower support zones Correction likely to extend to $4000 Note: A clean break below each support zone increases the probability of reaching the $4000 target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hamza_Gold
GOLD - $4000+ in the 2020s I believe gold is real wealth. You can hold in your hand, protect it and use it as you see fit. Hold a stack of gold coins in your hand and see for yourself that there is nothing else quite like it. There is also the metaphysical property of gold to attract more wealth, acknowledged in many cultures. This has been true for me since I started accumulating physical gold. So I am price agnostic about it. I buy it and hold it because I like it. I believe it is a unique way to store wealth energy in this world. Looking at the chart, the days of buying physical gold at these sub $2000 prices may soon come to an end. We have a huge cup, and a developed handle that is taking its time to break upwards. The breakout was already rejected once. That will make the breakout all the more violent when it finally comes. According to the minimum target of a cup and handle pattern, the gold price per oz will have a "4" handle before this decade is finished. If you can, hold physical gold, in secret, well-guarded. The fundamentals for a gold resurgence have been there for years now - fiat currency inflation and a scramble to store wealth. Most people are still in a mindset of playing the trading game, or the interest - bearing game. Trying to beat the market and get something for nothing. Those are net loss games now, and for the near future. There is a risk in holding your money in paper assets that few are talking about. Those games will return when we create sound money again. Good luck and enjoy!
TVC:GOLDLong
by funtimes
Gold testing session lowsGold finally succumbed to profit-taking pressure today as it sold off nearly $180 from its intraday record high of $4380, representing a sizeable drop. Hardly a surprise to be fair, with the market being so severely overbought. Potentially it is not the end of the trend, but a large bearish engulfing candle at the peak here does point to at least a temp top, which wouldnt be a bad thing. Anyway, the metal has rolled over and the metal was now trading near $4200, on track for its worst day in a LONG time. Let's see how it closes the session, but i wouldn't be surprised if it were to head back down to $4K in the week ahead, before potentially consolidating. By Fawad Razaqzda, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (17/10/2025)🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: The D1 momentum is now fully in the overbought zone → the probability of a reversal is very high. A corrective move could occur either today or on Monday next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum has been sticking together in the overbought zone. Currently, there are about 5 candles holding the oscillator at this level — typically, 5 to 8 candles mark a potential reversal cycle. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is still rising → price may extend slightly higher or move sideways to accumulate before a clearer signal appears. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Chart: The recent D1 candles are steep and impulsive, showing strong bullish pressure — indicating we are likely in Wave 3 (yellow). I’ve adjusted the wave labels for better accuracy with current price structure. Once D1 momentum reverses, we can expect the start of Wave 4 (yellow) correction. H4 Chart: • Waves (1) and (3) in blue are similar in length → suggesting Wave (5) blue may become an extended wave. • Since price has broken above the Elliott channel, we should wait for a strong downward reaction together with momentum reversal on H4 to confirm: ✅ Wave (5) blue is complete, ✅ and Wave (3) purple has also finished. ⇒ Then, the market would begin Wave (4) purple correction. 💡 Note: During an extended Wave (5), avoid selling against the trend. Be patient and wait for the first downward move — if it’s not deep, then buying from the next pullback would be a more reasonable strategy. H1 Chart: Within the blue Wave (5) on H1, we can see a five-wave red structure developing, and price is now in red Wave (3). Inside red Wave (3), there’s another five-wave black sub-structure, currently in black Wave (4). By drawing the Elliott channel, we can see that black Wave (4) is likely forming a flat correction, and one final small drop may still occur to complete the structure. 🎯 Ideal Target Zone: • The high-liquidity area around 4297. • This is a likely completion zone for the current flat pattern. • If price doesn’t reach that level, we’ll use channel support confluence to identify the next valid entry area. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4298 – 4296 Stop Loss: 4276 Take Profit 1: 4363
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX