Gold Trade Plan 03/12/2025Dear traders,
The market is ranging around the 4200 zone without any news of a Russia–Ukraine agreement or reduced tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela. The buy zone is very risky, but as long as no agreement is announced, the price is likely to move upward given the weakness of the dollar. With the first news of a peace agreement, I expect a sharp move on gold.
Regards,
Alireza!
Trade ideas
XAUUSD: Pullbacks are opportunities; remain bullishThe direction I've been aiming for these past two days has been correct, but unfortunately, the limited pullback in gold prices hasn't provided a suitable entry opportunity.
Currently, gold remains in an overall bullish trend. Gold has been consistently hitting new recent highs, indicating continued bullish strength. Pullbacks during the US session present buying opportunities. Now that gold is testing lower levels again, consider buying in the 4220-4230 support zone.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are still in a bullish golden cross and diverging upwards, suggesting further upward momentum and potential for continued gains.
Gold is currently in a bullish trend; pullbacks present buying opportunities. Trade with the trend.
Trading strategy:
Buy gold at 4220-4230
TP1: 4255
TP2: 4280
Set your stop-loss order according to your own situation. Good luck!
The $4200 Re-Fueling Scenario Before $4300 Blast Off?Market Scenario: Gold is expected to enter a consolidation (ranging) phase between $4170 and $4200 to gather the necessary liquidity and energy.
Bullish Condition: To confirm the move higher, the price must decisively break the $4200 resistance and successfully flip it into support.
Ultimate Target: If the consolidation and breakout are successful, the next target is $4300.
GOLD breaks out of accumulation phaseOANDA:XAUUSD has moved from a consolidation phase to an active bull run: spot is trading around ~$4,200/oz, supported by expectations of Fed easing (markets are pricing in ~89% probability of a 25bp cut in December), central bank buying and a still uncertain geopolitical backdrop. In this context, a $5,000/oz target is no longer a pipe dream but a conceivable scenario, but only if a number of technical and fundamental conditions align.
Analysis (fundamentals — geopolitics)
1. Fundamentals: Central banks’ net buying (WGC: strong net buying), a weaker USD and falling real Treasury yields are the three fundamentals supporting gold. Recent weak US economic data (weak manufacturing PMI, ADP and PCE potentials reinforce cooling sentiment) push the market to price in higher interest rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
2. Geopolitics: Russia-Ukraine negotiations remain uncertain; regional tensions (Middle East, US-Venezuela relations…) maintain safe-haven demand. External shocks could spur rapid and strong demand for gold.
Conditions for the $5,000 scenario (necessary & sufficient)
• Necessary: The Fed makes at least one 25 bps cut in the near term (December) or the market is certain of a rate cut cycle; real yields continue to fall; the USD remains weak; the central bank continues to buy net.
• Sufficient: Price breaks the $4,216–$4,226 resistance zone on higher than average volume, accompanied by a sustained decline in real yields (-real basket) and no sharp reversal in the USD. When all three factors (technical break, real yield decline, sustained official demand) are present, the $5,000 target becomes a trackable possibility in the medium-long term.
Risks
Bear case risks include: the Fed unexpectedly takes a hard/clear stance without cutting, the USD strengthens again (e.g. due to better employment data), or market liquidity declines leading to massive profit-taking by funds. These factors could push gold back below $4,000 and break the short-term bullish structure.
In summary, the journey to $5,000 is a structurally plausible scenario: the macro fundamentals and the official demand flow are tilted to the upside, but that scenario will only be triggered by a volume-driven technical breakout combined with a sustained decline in real yields. I maintain a cautiously positive stance, closely monitoring the underlying geopolitical developments and yield developments to assess the sustainability of this rally.
Technical analysis and recommendations OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is maintaining a clear bullish structure as it continues to follow the medium-term rising channel and holds the important support zone around 4,128 – 4,130 USD/ounce (Fibo 0.236). The price continuously making higher lows and bouncing back above the short-term MA shows that active buying power is still dominant. The most recent candlestick pattern shows strong absorption at the support zone, implying that money flow is protecting the uptrend.
With no break below 3,973 USD/ounce (Fibo 0.382), the bullish structure continues to be consolidated. The next target of the current cycle is 4,300 – 4,380 USD/ounce, corresponding to the top of the rising channel and the extended Fibo zone. RSI is recovering from the neutral zone, showing that the upside momentum still has room to grow.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4277 - 4275⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4281
→Take Profit 1 4269
↨
→Take Profit 2 4263
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4191 - 4193⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4187
→Take Profit 1 4199
↨
→Take Profit 2 4205
XAU/USD Looking sell from supply zone at 4240 strong sellXAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Bearish Setup
Price is currently reacting from the 4240 supply zone, showing signs of weakness on the 1-hour timeframe.
I’m looking for a sell opportunity at the 4220 level.
Targets:
• TP1: 4207
• TP2: 4190
• TP3: 4171
Market structure remains bearish for now, but always remember:
✔️ Follow your trading plan
✔️ Use proper risk management
✔️ Protect your capital first
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Gold market daily projection Gold market opened the Asian session at 4204, initially moved to mitigate 4229.
Price has since revisited 4205, breaking the earlier pullback structure formed from the 4229 mitigation.
With this shift in momentum, gold now holds a potential revisit toward the 4240’s, aligning with the current bullish trajectory and ongoing daily projection. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
XAUUSD / GOLDGold retesting a strong support zone after breaking out of a downward trendline. This support area separates the market into two zones:
Buy Side Area: If price holds above the support and breaks back above the trendline, buyers may push price toward the 1st target near 4,251 and the 2nd target around 4,300.
Sell Side Area: If price fails to hold this support, it may drop back into the lower zone around 4,165 or further.
Overall, the structure suggests that gold is preparing for a potential bullish reversal, but confirmation comes only if price breaks upward from the support and buy zone
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Gold Coiled Tight – 4,200–4,214 Breakout LoadingGold (XAU/USD) – Quick 5M Update Price stuck in a super-tight 4,200–4,214 range after repeated rejections at the top, flat 200MA, volume drying up fast. Classic coil setting up for a violent breakout. Bullish trigger: close above 4,216 → fast move to 4,240+
Bearish trigger: close below 4,200 → drop to 4,180–4,170
Fade the edges or wait for the break. #XAUUSD #Gold #BreakoutImminent #RangeCompression #Trading Not financial advice – trade at your own risk.
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Rising, Monitor BUY at📊 Market Structure
Gold is in an accumulation phase after a short-term drop creating ChoCH at lower price levels.
The current structure shows that the price has formed an Equal High (EqH) around 4,235 – a sign that the market may be holding liquidity above to support the next push.
The price returns to test the area 4,192 – 4,193 USD — this is the nearest support zone, and also the point where previous buying pressure created an upward BoS . If this area continues to hold, the short-term upward structure will be reactivated.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Support Zone (Buy Zone): 4,192 – 4,193 USD
• Invalidation: below 4,170 USD
• Target 1: 4,237 USD
• Target 2: 4,249 USD
• Target 3: 4,264 USD
• Target 4: 4,284 USD
• Liquidity Zone: 4,323 USD
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY Priority
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Support 4,192
If the price retests the area 4,192 – 4,193 and a bullish candlestick signal appears (rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 4,192 – 4,193
• SL: 4,170
• TP1: 4,237
• TP2: 4,249
• TP3: 4,264
• TP4: 4,284
• TP5: 4,323 (sweep liquidity EqH)
→ This is a setup in line with the short-term trend, as liquidity above the EqH peak remains and is likely to be swept.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only
If the price retests higher resistance zones and reacts with a strong decline:
• Waiting SELL Zone:
– 4,249
– 4,264
– 4,284
• Short TP: back to 4,225 – 4,216
→ This setup only trades against the trend when clear rejection is observed.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current trend still supports the continuation of the upward expansion.
The 4,192 USD area is crucial: holding this area → prioritize BUY; losing this area → the market will need to sweep deeper before rising again.
⚡ “Follow the liquidity — the market always returns to collect what it left behind.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 03/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Recovery - Gold price continues to increase above 4200✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/01/2025 - 12/05/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) pulls back from its two-week high near $4,200 in early European trading on Friday, sliding toward the lower end of its intraday range. A firmer US Dollar—extending its rebound from a one-and-a-half-week low—combined with upbeat equity sentiment is redirecting flows away from the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to recover as December rate cut odds increase: heading towards resistance 4244, 4356
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4244, $4356
Support: $4145, $4089
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Bullish Continuation or Pullback MoveXAU/USD is maintaining a strong bullish structure after recovering from the major demand zone area and pushing through multiple resistance levels. Price action shows a clean transition from accumulation to expansion, supported by an upside channel, indicating consistent buyer control.
After the liquidity sweep below the range, the market formed a rounded base and began creating higher highs along the curve line. Even though the curve line was briefly broken, buyers quickly regained momentum, driving price back into the buyer zone near 4,250. This zone remains a critical decision area; holding above it may trigger a continuation toward the upper supply zone and the immediate bullish target around 4,360.
If price rejects from the buyer zone, a corrective pullback toward 4,180–4,140 is possible before another attempt upward. However, as long as the higher-timeframe demand zone remains protected, the main bias stays bullish. Market structure, channel formation, and prior liquidity sweeps all support the likelihood of further upside continuation.
Gold prices continue to recover 4277⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades firmer near $4,230 in early Asian hours on Monday, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. Markets now look ahead to Monday’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI for further direction.
Speculation of continued Fed easing remains a key driver for gold, with weaker US data and dovish comments from policymakers boosting bets on a December cut. The CME FedWatch Tool now shows an 87% probability of a rate reduction at the December 9–10 meeting, up from 71% last week. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, further supporting the metal
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Continued recovery momentum - gold price maintained its increase above 4205. Bulls believe in the last rate cut in December 2025
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4275 - 4277 SL 4282
TP1: $4260
TP2: $4245
TP3: $4230
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4195 - 4193 SL 4188
TP1: $4210
TP2: $4225
TP3: $4240
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Analysis - Breakout Retest and High Probability BuyGold is pulling back toward the breakout zone but still holding above the key support area around 4175-4200. Anyway as long as this level holds the structure remains bullish and price can climb back toward 4245–4250 and a clean break above that opens the way toward the next targets around 4380 and 4460. Only a drop below 4175 would weaken the bullish outlook otherwise still favors continuation to the upside.
Price is still moving above the rising trendline and above multiple bullish structures, which keeps the bigger outlook strongly bullish.
Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4205-4185 only if price shows support or a bounce
Breakout Buy: 4250 Breakout and Retest
Targets: TP1 4245–4250, TP2 4320, TP3 4380
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD – Major Rejection Zone! | Intraday Sell Setup (1H)Gold just tapped into a strong 1H supply zone (red area) after a clean bullish climb.
Price is now reacting exactly where it previously dropped aggressively.
This makes the current area a high-probability reversal zone.
🟥 Supply Zone (Sell Area)
Price is testing the same zone that caused the last big sell-off
Clear exhaustion wicks forming
Buyers losing momentum near resistance
Perfect location for a potential intraday sell setup
🟩 Demand Zone (Take Profit Area)
If sellers take control, my target remains the major 1H demand zone (green area)
This level has held multiple times and created strong bullish reactions.
📌 My Bias
🔻 SHORT from the supply zone
🎯 Targets: 1H demand zone
⛔ Invalidation: Break and close above the supply zone
🔥 Why This Setup Matters
Price is forming a textbook lower-high structure
Liquidity taken above recent highs
Momentum shift visible
Clean imbalance below waiting to be filled
📊 What I’m Watching Next
Confirmation candle on the 1H
Break of minor structure
Increasing volume on sellers
Retest entries for better RR
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Been a week or so since I took a trade or posted a chart. Been spending time buying dips on BTC and ETH. So I am looking to see if a scalp postion comes around in either direction. Watching the current 4 hour candle. I will see how the overnight session bring. This is just an idea, and not a reason to take a trade. DYOR before clicking that button. Nothing worse than being a new trader, using leverage and taking a trade in hopes that it goes your way, that is not trading that is gambling. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. I will not be renewing my subscription on tradingview when it is up in a few months. Thanks for these last few years, it's been a wild, amazing ride.
Gold Is Coiling for a Big Move — Triangle Breakout Incoming?Gold has formed a symmetrical triangle after a strong vertical rally.
Price is currently breaking out of the upper triangle boundary, which can signal continuation of the larger bullish trend.
Bullish Scenario (Confirmed breakout)
Upside Targets:
• 4320
• 4380 (major resistance)
• 4450 if momentum expands
Bearish Scenario (Failed breakout / breakdown)
Downside Targets:
• 4050
• 3950
• 3850 (major structural support)
Stop Loss
• Long: below 4160
• Short: above 4230
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis (3rd December 2025)Hey Guys, This is just a trade idea nd not a financial advise.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close the 4216.23 level.
2)Retest the 1H Bullish CHOCH at the 4216.23 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4264.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4202.89 level.
2) Retest the 1H Bearish CHOCH at the 4202.89 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 4163.50 level.
Trade smart, Trade according plan!
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (02/12/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold begins the Asia session trading around $4,205–$4,207, following a controlled pullback from the $4,264.58 1H swing high. Yesterday’s decline created a clean corrective structure, now sitting below the 1H Fibonacci Golden Zone.
The market currently shows:
• Bearish corrective momentum
• Lower-timeframe exhaustion
• Untested liquidity below at 4190 → 4181
Asia session is positioned to determine whether price forms a continuation leg down toward deeper liquidity, or if a reclaim of the Golden Zone signals a bullish reaccumulation phase.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Macro bullish trend intact above 4,150.
• Price rejected the 4,262 zone with a long upper wick — a textbook sign of exhaustion.
• RSI ~53 and flattening → market still balanced but favors retracement toward 4,150 if structure weakens.
• A daily close back above 4,230 would shift momentum toward another retest of 4,264 → 4,315.
⸻
🔹 1H Chart
• Corrective bearish structure from 4264.58 is clean and orderly.
• Price sits below the 50EMA, 100EMA, and under bearish CHoCH.
• Fresh supply formed at 4213 → 4223, aligning exactly with the 1H fib 50–61.8% zone.
• Demand zones: 4200 → 4190 → 4181.23.
• Reclaiming 4226 would be the first sign of bullish recovery.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Micro-trend bearish with lower highs under 4213–4216.
• MACD still negative, no sign of bullish momentum shift yet.
• Liquidity layers below: 4195, 4188, 4181 remain untouched → magnets for Asia.
• Reversal requires BOS + strong rejection wick + MACD flip.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (1H Swing: 4181.23 → 4264.58)
• 38.2% = 4232.63
• 50.0% = 4222.90
• 61.8% = 4213.17
🎯 Golden Zone = 4232.63 – 4213.17
(Currently below → bearish pressure confirmed)
This fib selection is ideal for sessions where momentum is corrective but the larger trend is bullish — allowing for both continuation sells AND potential reaccumulation signals.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Scenario (Primary Bias)
Best option as long as price stays under the Golden Zone.
Sell Zone:
• 4213 – 4223 (61.8–50% fib retest)
• Secondary: 4230–4233 (38.2 fib + structure flip)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4238
⚡ Confirmation:
Bearish rejection wicks + BOS on 5M.
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close below 4200
Retest: 4203–4205 failing
🎯 Targets:
4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 SL: Above 4213
⸻
📈 BUY Scenario (Countertrend)
Valid only at liquidity sweep zones.
Buy Zone:
• 4188 – 4181 (major 1H liquidity + previous structure low)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4213 → 4223
🛑 SL: Below 4174
⚡ Must see:
Strong BOS + volume shift + RSI divergence.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Aggressive Trigger:
4226 (clears 5M swing high)
Safer Trigger:
4233 (reclaim of fib 38.2% + structure)
Retest: 4220–4223
🎯 Targets:
4245 → 4260 → 4264.58
🛑 SL: Below 4213
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia low liquidity but strong positioning ahead of London.
• No major news early, US events later may dictate trend continuation.
• DXY stable; gold reacting primarily to technical structure.
• Key watch today: 4200 support and 4226 resistance.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4213 / 4223 / 4233 / 4260
Support: 4200 / 4190 / 4181 / 4170
Golden Zone: 4232.63 – 4213.17
Break Buy Trigger: > 4226 (aggressive) or > 4233 (safe)
Break Sell Trigger: < 4200
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a controlled correction under the 1H Fib Golden Zone.
As long as price stays below 4213–4223, bearish continuation into 4200 → 4181 is the highest-probability scenario.
Only after reclaiming 4226–4233 does bullish momentum return meaningfully.
A sweep of 4181 could form the base for the next macro leg up.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → toward 4200 → 4181
📈 Alternative Bullish Bias: Only above 4226–4233
🎯 Key Decision Levels: 4200 & 4226
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 02/12/2025 🥇
📌 DAILY RESULTS
✅ BUY +40 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +470 PIPS
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY +100 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +70 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION ▶️
✅ SELL +120 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +120 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,090 PIPS
📊 12 Signals → 11 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: ~92%
Great start to December continues – structured entries, strong swings and solid intraday gains.
Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1 Dec | Watching Pullback to Key POIs🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 1 December
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold continues in strong bullish momentum — the previous H4 high 4245.195 has been taken out, confirming bullish alignment on both H4 and M15 .
• As per our 28 November analysis , the 4154–4149 POI zone reacted beautifully and our long setup achieved all of its targets.
• Now the market is in a healthy pullback phase after taking out the H4 high — perfectly normal within an uptrend.
• As long as M15 remains bullish, we will continue focusing on long setups only.
Key Observations
• The first POI for long setup lies at the 4210–4204 zone .
• If this zone is respected with LTF bullish confirmation , we will execute our long setup accordingly.
• The next strong demand zone is lower at 4179.5–4168.5 .
• If price retraces deeper, we will observe reactions here for a secondary long opportunity.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to tap 4210–4204 or 4179.5–4168.5 zones.
• Only execute on LTF confirmation — no confirmation, no entry.
• Maintain bullish bias while M15 structure remains intact.
• The market is very volatile — manage your position size and risk accordingly .
A pullback into strength is not fear — it’s opportunity returning home.
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