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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Bullish day's are nothing new lately on gold and today believe it or not, was another one! We had the higher oval as a potential target which was completed, then the red boxes with the break above 4240 which consequently led to all the targets being completed again! Now, just like yesterday, the same plan. Unless we get a deep pull back, not interested in going long up here unless they're quick scalps level to level. Otherwise, the oval again, potential region to watch for an attack! Price: 4229 RED BOXES: Break above 4240 for 4250✅, 4255✅ and 4265✅ in extension of the move Break below 4220 for 4210, 4203 and 4190 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3
Buy gold at 4203-4205, and profit from the deep V bottom again! Gold has now bottomed out at 4203 and rebounded to 4240, showing clear signs of short-term pressure. A broad decline could lead to a rapid short-term bull-bear reversal. Avoid chasing the upside or selling the downside. If the price breaks back above 4240, gold will likely continue its upward trend around 4250-4260. For now, avoid chasing the upside while it consolidates. In short, if gold breaks above 4200 again, as long as it doesn't break below, buy at 4205-4210, targeting 4225-4230. Short sellers can try selling with a small position after it breaks below 4240, targeting 4230-4220. (But remember: buying on dips is the key strategy, everyone!)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PalmerRobert6064
2
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4104.Colleagues, gold is going up steadily and right now it is hard to say where the correction will be. If we look at the wave structure, I expect the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the middle order wave ‘5’. because wave “5” completes the impulse - it complicates the concept of where exactly this wave will end. I think the psychological level of 4100-4105 is suitable for this target. I expect the price to reach the 4104 resistance area. Fundamental context Gold recently broke above $4,000, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Central banks continue to accumulate gold, supporting demand structurally. Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 target to $4,000, citing a weak dollar and sustained global demand. Given the strength and stretched momentum, a pullback is plausible — but the exact timing remains unclear. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD shows a bullish takeover after rebounding from the support line near 4,219, confirming buyers’ control in the short-term structure. ● Price is now trading within an ascending channel, aiming toward the 4,240–4,250 resistance area, with intraday pullbacks likely forming higher lows. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold gains support from softer U.S. yields and cautious Fed remarks, improving sentiment for safe-haven assets. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 4,219; objectives 4,240–4,250. Strong bullish candle and favorable macro backdrop confirm short-term upward momentum. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
3
Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders, In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter. From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion. A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists. Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence) Bias: Bullish while above this level Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
8
XAUUSD detects the Cup and Handle patternThe market context on XAUUSD is still clearly bullish. The latest movement has shown a stable recovery, pushing towards the expected channel top. But let's pay attention to what happens at this price level. The price tested it once... and then bounced down. It’s coming back... And now, for the third time, we’re waiting for buyers to defend this level again... This looks a lot like a Cup and Handle pattern, a strong signal that buyers are building significant bullish momentum. Now, let’s break it down: The real confirmation comes when the price breaks through the neckline, the resistance level connecting the peaks. That breakout tells us the change is real! Strong and clear. And right now, the market is consolidating. This is the Cup and Handle pattern: a continuation pattern signaling an uptrend. When the price breaks out of the handle, it’s the confirmation that buyers are back, and the new bullish trend is starting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kiliann_Dang
5
GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices will hit 5 000 + USDBottom line If 1% of Treasuries ($278B) rotates into gold, $5,000/oz is not only plausible—it sits inside the low end of what flow math + today’s market microstructure can deliver. The path (and whether we print $8k+ spikes) hinges on how much of that flow shows up as short-dated calls—because that is what turns steady demand into a self-feeding gamma loop. ________________________________________ Executive summary • A 1% rotation out of U.S. Treasuries is roughly $278B of new gold demand (using SIFMA’s latest estimate that Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T). • At today’s context (gold ~$3.53k/oz on Sep 2–5, 2025), $278B buys ~79.4M oz ≈ 2,471 tonnes; at $5k/oz it buys ~55.6M oz ≈ 1,729 tonnes. For scale, annual mine supply ≈ 3,661 t and total above-ground stocks ≈ 216,265 t (bars/coins+ETFs ≈ 48,634 t). • That flow is huge relative to both quarterly demand value (Q2’25 ≈ $132B) and typical daily trading turnover (~$290B/day across OTC, futures & ETFs). Even spread out, it materially tilts the tape; if concentrated and routed via options, it can produce dealer hedging feedback—i.e., a gamma squeeze. • Price targets (framework, not prophecy): o Conservative flow-only: +40–60% → $4,900–$5,600/oz o Base case (flow + some options reflexivity): +70–110% → $6,000–$7,500/oz o Squeeze/overshoot window (short-dated calls heavy): episodic spikes >$8,000/oz possible, but hard to sustain without continued flow. These bands come from scaling prior ETF-driven episodes (notably ~877 t ETF inflow in 2020 alongside a ~+36% price run) and sizing against current market depth, while layering a realistic options-hedging multiplier (details below). ________________________________________ 1) What a “gamma squeeze” in gold means (and why it can happen) Definition (in one line): When call buying concentrates near-dated, near-the-money strikes, dealers short gamma must buy futures as price rises (and sell if it falls) to keep neutral—this feedback accelerates upside (“gamma squeeze”). Why it’s plausible in gold right now: • The listed derivatives stack is large. As of Fri, Sep 5, 2025, CME’s daily bulletin shows COMEX gold options open interest ~0.80M contracts (calls ~0.49–0.69M; puts ~0.30–0.38M depending on line item), each on 100 oz—i.e., option OI notionally ties to ~2,400–2,800 t of gold. That is the powder keg a call-wave can act on. • Implied vol is moderate (GVZ ~18 for 30-day GLD options), so vega is “affordable,” gamma is punchy in the front end. • CME’s CVOL framework and open-interest tools confirm where strikes/expiries cluster; when OI stacks close to spot and near expiry, market-wide gamma becomes most sensitive. Back-of-envelope hedging math (illustrative): For a 30-day, at-the-money option with σ≈18%, the Black-Scholes gamma is about Γ≈ϕ(0)SσT≈0.399S⋅0.18⋅30/365\Gamma \approx \frac{\phi(0)}{S\sigma\sqrt{T}} \approx \frac{0.399}{S\cdot 0.18 \cdot \sqrt{30/365}}. At S=$3,500/oz, that’s ~0.0022 per $. A +1% move (+$35) bumps delta by ~0.077 per option. If just 150k near-ATM front-tenor calls are held by customers (dealers short gamma), hedge buying ≈ 150,000 × 100 oz × 0.077 ≈ 1.16M oz ≈ 36 t—per 1% price pop. That’s only a slice of total OI; a broader crowding raises this number. Compare with ~2,500 t/day of global turnover and you can see how concentrated dealer hedging can move price intraday. ________________________________________ 2) Sizing a 1% Treasury → gold rotation Treasury base: latest SIFMA comment put U.S. Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T (Q1’25). 1% → $278B. Gold the rotation would buy: • At $3,500/oz: $278B → ~79.4M oz → ~2,471 t • At $5,000/oz: $278B → ~55.6M oz → ~1,729 t For scale: • Annual mine supply (2024): ~3,661 t; total supply (incl. recycling): ~4,974 t. A $278B buy ticket equals 47–67% of a year’s mine output (depending on price), or ~35–50% of total annual supply. • ETF precedent: In 2020, ~877 t net ETF inflow (~$48B) coincided with a ~+36% move from Jan→Aug 2020. Today’s $278B is ~5–6× that dollar size (and ~2–3× the tonnes, depending on price), hinting at large flow-driven upside even before any options reflexivity. • Turnover lens: WGC puts average daily trading across OTC/futures/ETFs at roughly $290B/day recently. A $278B program is ~one day’s global turnover. Pushed quickly (or skewed to options), that’s impactful; stretched over months, the price impact softens but still accumulates. Futures-only lens (capacity check): At $3,500/oz, one COMEX GC contract notionally = $350k (100 oz). $278B equals ~794k GC contracts. Current futures OI is ~0.49M contracts, so this exceeds all COMEX OI—you cannot push that much via futures quickly without major repricing. Even at $5,000/oz (~$500k/contract), it’s ~556k contracts, still comparable to the entire OI. ________________________________________ 3) Price-target framework (with the math that gets you there) Think of the price in layers: (A) base flow impact + (B) options-gamma reflexivity + (C) second-round effects (short-covering, momentum, FX, central banks). A) Flow-only impact (calibrated to 2020) • 2020 anchor: 877 t ETF inflow ↔ ~+36% price. Using a simple proportionality, 1,729–2,471 t (your $278B) maps to ~+71% to +101%. • Apply to spot ≈ $3,532/oz (early Sep 2025): o +71% → ~$6,050/oz o +101% → ~$7,100/oz Caveat: 2020 had unique macro tailwinds, so I treat this as upper-middle of base range. B) Options reflexivity / gamma squeeze overlay If 20–30% of the $278B rotation expresses via short-dated calls (common for levered macro expressions), dealer hedging can amplify flow impact: • From the OI math earlier, a mere 1% up-move can demand ~20–40 t of dealer hedge buying if near-ATM OI is thick. A 3–5% multi-day grind can easily cascade into 100–200 t of incremental buying from hedgers alone. That’s non-trivial vs. mine supply pace, and it pulls forward upside. • Result: add another +10–20% to the flow-only levels during a squeeze while it lasts. C) Second-round effects • Central banks: still persistent net buyers (>1,000 t/yr pace in recent years), tending to fade dips rather than rallies—a structural bid. • FX & rates: the GVZ ~18 regime means bursts of vol aren’t “expensive”; a weakening USD or policy shocks can tilt the target higher. Putting it together—scenario bands Scenario Assumptions Implied move Target Conservative $278B spread over 6–9 months, mostly physical/ETFs; limited options +40–60% $4,900–$5,600 Base case 50–70% to physical/ETFs, 30–50% to futures/options; moderate dealer short-gamma +70–110% $6,000–$7,500 Squeeze / overshoot Short-dated call concentration, dealers persistently short gamma; flow bunches in weeks +120–>150% (episodic) >$8,000 (brief spikes) $5,000 target is well within the conservative band if any meaningful fraction of the $278B pushes through quickly, even without a full-blown gamma loop. ________________________________________ 4) Why the market could mechanically gap higher • Market size vs. flow: Q2’25 total demand value = $132B. Dropping $278B into this ecosystem is a 2× quarterly shock. • Trading capacity: $278B ≈ one full day of global turnover; price impact is convex when the risk-absorption (dealers, miners, recyclers) cannot scale linearly day-by-day. • Derivatives gearing: With ~0.8M options contracts OI outstanding and futures OI ~0.49M, even a partial shift into calls forces hedge-buys on the way up, the hallmark of a squeeze. ________________________________________ 5) Key risks / reality checks • Time profile of the rotation matters. A slow, programmatic shift spreads impact; a front-loaded move can overshoot then mean-revert as gamma decays. • Elasticity is asymmetric. Jewelry/fabrication falls at high prices (demand destruction), recycling rises, both cushioning extremes. That moderates how long >$7k can persist without continued flow. • Volatility regimes change. If GVZ spikes to high-20s/30s, option premia jump, slowing new call demand; conversely, put demand can flip net gamma long for dealers, dampening squeezes. ________________________________________ References (most load-bearing) • Treasury base: SIFMA—Treasuries outstanding $27.8T (Feb 2025). • Gold supply & stocks: WGC—Above-ground stock 216,265 t (end-2024); bars/coins+ETFs 48,634 t; mine supply 2024 ≈ 3,661 t. • Trading turnover: WGC—gold trading ≈ $290B/day. • ETF precedent: WGC—2020 ETF inflows 877 t (~$47.9B) alongside major price rise. • Current price context: Reuters—record highs $3,532/oz set in early Sep 2025. ( • Options/hedging plumbing: CME daily bulletin (Sep 5, 2025) showing gold options OI ~0.8M contracts; CME CVOL/tools; Cboe GVZ ~18 as 30-day IV. ________________________________________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
41
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading around the $4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision. After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum. Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg. • Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity. • The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone. • Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB. • Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215 SL: 4224 TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160 🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058 SL: 4050 TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup. • Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels. • If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored. • Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions. The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
7
#XAUUSD: Targeting $4200, An 1800+ Pips Swing ViewDear traders, Since we posted our previous idea on the gold price has reversed as we had anticipated. However, when we examine smaller time frames we gain greater clarity on the price’s progression. As of now, the price is trading at 4015 and may open with a positive gap on Monday. Our primary objective should be to allow the market to open on Monday. Once the price has settled, we can execute a more secure and well-managed RR trade. Please do not consider this as a guarantee. Instead, use it as an educational perspective or bias. Conduct your own analysis and trade safely. Team Setupsfx_
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
4
Gold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market UpdateGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update ________________________________________ • This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind. • Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s. • Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return). • Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move. • Outlook: Base case from the Street: $3,700 by end-’25 and ~$4,000 by mid-’26; upside to $4,500 if flows accelerate. ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats 1) 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980) • Gain: ~2,330% • Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress. • Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run. 2) 1999–2011/12 • Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12) • Gain: ~650% • Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid. 3) 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle) • Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025) • Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor) • Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout. ________________________________________ 📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025) Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% (so far) ⏲️ Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing) 💔 Max Drawdown ~–45% (’74–’76) ~–30% (’08) ~–20% (2022) 🏦 Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks (dominant) 🏛️ Pattern Secular parabolic Cyclical ramps 13-yr base → breakout (’24) Notes: current cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & technical breakout in Mar 2024. ________________________________________ 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull (2025) 1. Price & ATHs: Spot $3,75–$3,79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025. 2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD (best since the late ’70s). 3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (3rd straight 1k+ year). H1’25 ≈ 415 t (still elevated). 4. ETF Flows: Strongest half-year inflows since 2020, aiding the surge. 5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD. 6. Jewelry Demand: Price strength is crimping tonnage (2024 down ~11%; Q2’25 –14% y/y), even as value hits records. 7. Gold–Silver Ratio: Now around ~85–88 (silver catching up as it pushes $43–$44). 8. Macro Link: Strong safe-haven bid + rate-cut hopes supporting new highs. 9. Technical: Confirmed cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend. 10. Street Forecasts: DB lifts 2026 to $4,000; GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26, upside $4,500 with bigger private-investor rotation. ________________________________________ 🔄 What Makes This Bull Different (2025 Edition) • 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Official sector is the anchor buyer (3rd straight 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 tracking strong despite Q2 deceleration). • ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Pullbacks have been shallower and shorter vs the 1970s analog. • 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — Rare combo: gold ATHs with equities up YTD suggests a macro hedge bid alongside optimism in select risk assets. • 📐 Structural Breakout — The 13-year base cleared in 2024 set multi-year targets. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy Ideas (2025 & Beyond) Core • Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties. • Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity. Satellite/Leverage • Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With the GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners. • Factor Tilt in Miners: Focus on low AISC, strong balance sheets, growing reserves, and jurisdictions with rule-of-law. Risk-Management • Define max drawdown tolerance per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike). ________________________________________ 🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull? • Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained), dampening non-yielding assets. • Sharp halt in official-sector buying (e.g., policy shifts). • Rapid growth re-acceleration reducing safe-haven & rate-cut expectations. ________________________________________ 🧭 Quick Reference Tables 🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current Feature 1968–80 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing) Correction ~–45% ~–30% ~–20% (’22) Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks Pattern Parabolic Cyclical Cup & Handle → Secular 🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook • If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations. • If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge. • If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-Box Adds 💼 Role in a Portfolio (example frameworks) • Resilience sleeve (5–10%): Physical + broad ETF. • Offense sleeve (2–5%): Quality miners/royalties; optional silver tilt. • Tactical (0–3%): Trend-following overlay (breakouts/consolidations). 🧭 Decision Checkpoints (quarterly) • Central-bank net purchases (WGC). • ETF flows (Western markets). • Real yields (10y TIPS), USD trend, and GSR. ________________________________________ 🔚 Key Takeaways (Updated) • Relentless official-sector demand + technical breakout are the twin pillars of this cycle. • Macro mix (policy easing expectations, geopolitics, diversification from USD reserves) supports an extended run. • Base case: Street sees $3.7k by end-’25 and ~$4k by mid-’26, with upside to $4.5k if private capital rotation accelerates. Manage risk; embrace volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
87
XAUUSD: Shakeout Before the Next Takeoff?Gold dropped more than 2% on October 17 after hitting a record high above $4,340/oz . The main reason came from a strong rebound in the U.S. dollar and President Donald Trump’s more dovish remarks . He stated that a “comprehensive” tariff on China would be unsustainable and confirmed plans to meet with the Chinese President — a move that helped ease trade tensions and cooled down safe-haven demand. On the H4 timeframe, gold remains within a steady ascending channel, though currently undergoing a short-term correction after touching the upper resistance boundary. The EMA34 around $4,187 serves as temporary support, while the $4,130 zone — aligned with the main ascending trendline — acts as stronger support. The technical structure suggests a likely pullback before the uptrend resumes. The preferred scenario is that gold will dip toward $4,130, where buyers may step back in. If this level holds and forms a higher low pattern, price could rebound toward $4,350, a key resistance zone overlapping the previous high. The overall trend remains bullish, but a technical correction is needed to build momentum for the next rally. Trading Plan: Wait to buy around $4,130 – $4,140, set SL below $4,090, and take profit at $4,280 – $4,350. This pullback looks only temporary — the bulls are still in control. Let’s see how gold reacts around $4,130 before its next upward leg.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Octaviuss
4
XAUUSD: Detecting the Rising Wedge PatternOANDA:XAUUSD has experienced a significant rise recently, but we are currently seeing the formation of a Rising Wedge pattern, which often signals buyer exhaustion and a potential reversal toward a bearish trend. As the structure tightens near the top, the upward momentum starts to weaken, indicating that the buying pressure is fading. A strong breakout below the trendline would confirm selling pressure and could signal a move toward the 4,130 level. However, until that happens, patience is key. It’s important to wait for a clear breakout with high volume to avoid false signals. In summary, don’t rush into the market too early. Caution and waiting for a clear signal are essential to maximize your chances of success. Best of luck and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kiliann_Dang
4
Gold continues to rise. Bulls and bears clash.Last week, gold prices intensified risk aversion amid Trump's tariff policy. Subsequent rhetoric of peace has tempered risk sentiment, but gold prices haven't fallen. Gold opened the week stronger, hitting new all-time highs. Currently, the market's gains are primarily due to a lack of bearish catalysts, allowing prices to rise by inertia. From an information analysis perspective, as the Federal Reserve continues its dovish policy response, real interest rates may continue to decline, which will support the long-term upward trend of gold. At present, gold is still rising slowly, breaking through highs continuously, and the upward trend is still continuing. It is still unknown whether it can break through 4100. The first retracement point that can be seen at present is 4060. If it unexpectedly falls below, it will test the 4030 line, but it seems a bit difficult at the moment. The 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, and gold bulls still have upward momentum, but we need to pay attention to the correction after the price surges. The overall strong upward trend of the hourly line has not changed. There may be small fluctuations in the short term, and you can try to enter the market operation. The short-term resistance level is temporarily focused on the 4100 mark, and the support level is around 4060. Trading Strategy: Go long on a pullback near 4060, with a stop loss at 4050. Profit range: 4085-4090-4100. Short around 4095, with a defense at 4105. Profit range: 4070-4060-4050.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
2
XAU/USD: Consolidating Above Breakout Zone with Bullish MomentumXAU/USD maintains its bullish structure inside the ascending channel, forming a new A-B-C pattern following a clean breakout above the compression zone. Price is currently consolidating above the 4200 level, establishing a potential base for the next impulsive leg. A sustained move above 4200 could open the way for a rally toward 4290, retesting the resistance zone. With higher highs and channel integrity in place, momentum remains strong, supporting the continuation of the broader uptrend.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
3
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Resistances Here are the next potentially significant psychological resistances too look at on Gold for pullback. Resistance 1: 2198 - 2203 area Resistance 2: 2248 - 2253 area Resistance 3: 2298 - 2303 area In case of a start of a bearish move, consider the underlined supports for buying. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Pullback From Record HighsThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD market continues to navigate through considerable volatility as it pulls back from the recent spike that tested zone below the $4,400 resistance zone. After achieving a new all-time high, the metal is now experiencing natural selling pressure and technical correction, bringing some gravitational force into the equation. Despite this near-term weakness, the underlying trend structure remains constructively bullish, suggesting any substantial decline could present attractive entry opportunities for those seeking value. The technical landscape reveals gold trading within a well-defined upward channel that has guided the rally since late September. The recent rejection from resistance has brought price action back toward the mid-channel area around $4,200, which aligns with the previous Monday high below and represents a crucial inflection, optimal entry point. The triangle pattern that formed during the consolidation phase earlier in the trend provided the springboard for the explosive breakout, and now the market may repeat this pattern, creating continuation formation. The key support zone sits at $4,130-$4,135, and holding above this level would keep the bullish structure intact for another potential test of $4,400 and beyond toward the $4,500 projection zone. However, failure to hold could trigger deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary near $4,000 or even the stronger support at $3,730-$3,780, which would actually offer more compelling risk-reward for strategic accumulation. The coming week will clarify whether this represents healthy digestion or something more corrective in nature. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
3
Gold Performance Recap for the weekThe XAU witnessed a "surge, pullback and rebound" trend this week, recording the largest weekly volatility since 2025. The movement can be divided into three phases: 1 Monday: A record-breaking sharp rally 2 Tuesday-Wednesday: High-level consolidation and a second rally 3 Thursday-Friday: Volatile swings driven by policy divergences Looking ahead to next week, if the Federal Reserve's October interest rate decision delivers the anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut as scheduled, gold prices are expected to challenge the 4,080 resistance level; if signals of a "rate cut pause" are released, a deep correction may be triggered with the support level eyed at 3900. We also need to monitor whether the historical high of 4,057 can be effectively broken and the strength of support around the weekly consolidation center at 3,989.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
7