GOLD Could Fall Back to 3325GOLD Could Fall Back to 3325
Gold hit a strong resistance area near 3378 on Friday. It hasn’t moved higher since Powell hinted at a possible rate cut in September.
Today we also saw Bitcoin move lower and the US dollar strengthen, increasing the chances of gold falling back from this area.
It’s very risky as we don’t have confirmation, but it could only fall in the same way that Bitcoin has already done and the US dollar strengthened today.
Targets: 3353; 3344 and 3325
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GOLDMINI trade ideas
The day after a new higher highHello fellow traders! 👋
It seems like so many times again, the market went in a different direction than you may have expected. 🤷♀️
After multiple positive words from members of the Fed, a rate cut is likely to happen and is getting priced in. 📉 On Friday, July 29, we got some good economic data from the U.S., but the market acted differently. 🤔 Why is this? The data wasn't worse than expected; it was as expected. The market is taking this as a sign—a sign for higher prices. But, and this is a fact, many retail traders aren't. 😥
It's not about confusion; it's about the market (and us as traders) not having priced in all the possibilities. 🤯
The truth is, they are lying to you. They (the government) are telling people and the news that things are about to get fixed and will be good, but they aren't. 🤥 If you think the data we got on Friday is true, think again. Look at the data; you'll see the forecast was as expected, but in reality, the numbers are better than before. Do you get it? The obvious conclusion isn't always the real one. 💡 In my opinion, the U.S. economic data everyone is talking about is much better than many people think because the news is written to make it seem bad. 😒 You can think whatever you want, of course!
Price went up, not down, and a rally was chased. Many stop-loss orders were hit and turned into a cascade of higher prices. 📈 Institutions are buying gold, yes, because the dollar is cheap (?), and a rate cut is coming with a very high probability. 💰 So they buy gold, which results in many people's (and that's a good thing) stop-loss orders being executed. 👏 (sorry)
I've seen it in the past, and you can see it too if you look at my data table. Whenever a very high gold price was reached, a correction followed. 📉
I expect a correction on Monday or Tuesday, and this correction will lead to at least $3418, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In my view, $3403 is the 0.5 level and more realistic. If you look at the table I put in the image, you can see that the day after a high price like we had today, the correction was always at the 0.5 Fibonacci level or more! 📊
Don't think it won't happen; they will trap you in any way they can, such as with fakeouts... 😈
Believe in the market and its structure because, until now, there has never been a day without a correction after a rally like this! 💪
Downtrend Broken! Watch These Liquidity Zones for Big MoveMMFLOW Trading Plan | 26 Aug 2025 ⚡️
💰Gold is gearing up for a strong move!
Gold has broken the H4 downtrend line, showing strong buying momentum and liquidity sweeps, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
⚠️Warning: wide support zones below may trigger quick pullbacks to collect liquidity.
📊Market Context
USD is weakening amid political and Fed uncertainty
Trump attempting to influence lower interest rates, supporting gold
H4 downtrend line broken → buyers in control
Short-term: expect sideways movement + liquidity tests
Watch for quick spikes – FOMO buy zones are often targeted
⚡️Key Levels
Resistance: 3378 → 3384 → 3400
Support: 3363 → 3354 → 3340
🔥Trading Scenarios
✅BUY SCALP (Quick Moves – Short-term)
🔵Entry: 3355 – 3353
🔴Stop Loss: 3349
✔️Targets: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
✅BUY ZONE (Longer Setup – Swing)
🔵Entry: 3341 – 3339
🔴Stop Loss: 3335
✔️Targets: 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
💠SELL SCALP (Quick Reversals)
🔵Entry: 3382 – 3384
🔴Stop Loss: 3388
✔️Targets: 3378 → 3374 → 3370 → 3365 → 3360 → 3350
💠SELL ZONE (High Risk – Big Moves)
🔵Entry: 3400 – 3402
🔴Stop Loss: 3406
✔️Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️Risk Notes
Expect fast drops or spikes – stops can trigger quickly
Sideways movement likely in sessions + retests of highs
Only trade when price action confirms key zones
🎯Key Takeaways
Gold is poised for strong bullish continuation, but pullbacks will occur to collect liquidity
Use support/liquidity zones for entries, resistance zones for exits
MMFLOW = Market Rule | Key Levels = Profit
gold view , still i am wait for drop,then buyShort-term: Possible correction / consolidation between 3,000 – 3,300.
Medium-term: Bounce expected from support → retest resistance ~3,500.
Long-term: Breakout above resistance opens the way to 3,800 – 4,200 (next Fibonacci extensions).
Bias: Long-term bullish, but short-term correction is possible.
Watch Zone: 3,000 – 3,200 → crucial support for trend continuation.
Targets: If support holds → 3,800 → 4,200.
Risk: A weekly close below ~2,950 would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper retracement.
Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report📊 Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Gold remains supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and central bank policies. With global inflation pressures stabilizing but geopolitical tensions persisting, institutional demand for gold as a hedge is intact. The US dollar’s fluctuations and interest rate expectations continue to influence short-term moves, but central banks’ ongoing gold accumulation provides strong long-term demand. Investor sentiment leans toward risk-hedging assets, keeping gold fundamentally supported.
🔹 Technical Structure
This week’s chart shows that gold has recently completed a downward corrective phase and executed a clear breakout from its descending channel. The breakout has been followed by strong bullish momentum, suggesting renewed institutional buying interest.
The market is now showing a healthy impulsive leg upward, with higher highs and higher lows forming. After this strong move, short-term price action indicates a potential cooling-off period—a common consolidation stage before continuation.
Volume flow reflects increasing participation during the breakout, confirming strength in the move. The broader price structure remains trend-reversal aligned, favoring further upside if momentum sustains.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERN....XAUUSD (Gold) Bearish Setup 📉
Gold is showing weakness after failing to hold above the intraday highs, and sellers are stepping in strongly from 3384, making it a prime Sell Entry Zone.
🔑 Key Support: 3366 → This is the first level where price may attempt a small bounce, but if broken, it confirms bearish continuation.
🛡 Major Support: 3348 → This is the decisive level. If price reaches here, it will complete the bearish move and lock in profits for sellers.
🎯 Target 1: 3366 (Key Support)
🎯 Target 2: 3348 (Major Support)
⚠️ Bearish Bias: As long as price stays below 3384 resistance, sellers remain in control. Breaks below 3366 open the path directly toward 3348.
Gold Faces Resistance at 3,380–3,385: Downside Move PreferredHello everyone,
Looking at the H4 chart of OANDA:XAUUSD , gold is struggling to clear the heavy resistance zone between $3,380 and $3,385, which coincides with both a supply-based Fair Value Gap and the upper edge of the Kumo cloud. Price action here shows strong selling pressure, with short-bodied candles, long wicks, and muted volume, all of which suggest that buyers lack the conviction to push higher. Unless this zone is decisively broken, momentum points towards a short-term pullback, potentially dragging prices back to $3,355 and then $3,345.
From a macro perspective, today’s release of the US PCE inflation index will be critical. A stronger-than-expected print could reinforce expectations of tighter Fed policy, weighing on gold. Political uncertainty following President Trump’s move against a Fed governor adds another layer of volatility. Traders are now faced with a key question: does gold lose steam and retreat, or is a breakout towards $3,400–$3,425 still on the cards?
What do you think about this setup? Share your thoughts below!
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell ClearedHere is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last week start between 3350.00 to 3470.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3450.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3500.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3500.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3450.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Potential Resistances
As Gold is now trading in a no man's land, here are
2 potentially strong resistances that I spotted.
Psychological Resistance 1: 3550
Psychological Resistance 2: 3600
The price is heading toward Resistance 1.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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Uptrend continues today. 3400 today?✏️The continuation of the uptrend will continue today. Mainly waiting for support zones to execute BUY strategies. 3370 is considered the immediate support zone that the pair has to face. This is the 50% zone of the h4 candle with buying force formed at the beginning of the Asian session. The 3358 candle wick will be an important zone in the current bullish wave structure. The increase is extended to 3428 today and the days of the week.
📉 Key Levels
BUY triggers price rejection 3370 zone (50% of the h4 candle with full buying force)
BUY 3358 Liquid candle wick zone (3370 will be break zone)
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3367.50 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3367.50 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
Whether gold can hold steady at 3400 is the keyThe current market is bullish, primarily due to the developments surrounding Trump's proposed firing of Cook. Of the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board, three already support a rate cut: Bowman, Milan, and Waller. With the addition of another supporter, Trump's goal would be achieved. If Cook were to be fired and a more compliant candidate were to be promoted, the rate cut would be achieved, but the Fed's independence would also be undermined.
The dollar, US stocks, and US Treasuries would all be affected, and gold, the best safe-haven asset, would inevitably soar.
Today, we're focusing on two levels: 3400 and 3380.
If gold can stabilize above 3400 OANDA:XAUUSD , it's likely to head towards 3430-3450. At that point, you could consider buying around 3400.
Conversely, if it can't hold above 3400, it could test support at 3380. As long as it doesn't fall below 3380, it would be a good buying opportunity.
Good luck to everyone💪
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Uptrend is back, ready to BUY✏️As analyzed, the increase in gold price met some selling pressure around 3378. The formation of the gold trend On Friday, a new structure of Gold was re-established. The market tends to be easy to trade at the moment. The uptrend is followed by the main candle of the h4 frame. Waiting for some buyers to take profit to get good prices at the support zones to buy to the resistance of 3400.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger 3359 Strong support zone
BUY trigger Rejection of the price zone 3345
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold Price: End-2025 Scenarios According to the FedThe evolution of gold prices by the end of 2025 will largely depend on the monetary policy decisions taken by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). After a year marked by a weaker dollar and falling rates that supported the precious metal, market attention is now focused on the next three key Fed meetings: September 17, October 29, and December 10. Five main scenarios can be considered, each with distinct implications for the trend of gold.
1. No Pivot: Bearish Scenario for Gold
In this first case, the Fed keeps its policy rates unchanged throughout 2025. This choice would stem from inflation returning toward 3%, prompting Powell and the FOMC members to remain restrictive.
The absence of a pivot would support bond yields and the US dollar on the FX market. Historically, both factors exert downward pressure on gold. Thus, this scenario would imply a bearish trend for the metal, with most of this year’s gains having been fueled by the dollar’s decline.
2. Technical Pivot Linked to the Labor Market: Moderate Support
The second case corresponds to a single rate cut in September or October, driven by labor market weakness. This would not constitute a true easing cycle, since inflation would remain too high to justify a series of cuts.
The impact on gold would be relatively neutral to slightly bullish. On one hand, a stable dollar would limit gold’s upside. On the other, persistent concerns about growth and employment would provide some support. This scenario would result in a trendless evolution with phases of volatility.
3. Real and Healthy Pivot: Measured Increase
A third scenario assumes the Fed engages in a true pivot from September or October, initiating a series of rate cuts. This decision would be enabled by confirmed disinflation around 2%, combined with a controlled labor market.
In this context, the impact would be bullish but measured. Falling rates and a weaker dollar would support gold, but a stable labor market would push flows toward risk assets such as equities, limiting the extent of gold’s rally.
4. Unhealthy Pivot: Strong Rise in Gold
A more critical scenario would see the Fed forced into a pivot by labor market deterioration, despite inflation persisting around 3%. Such cuts would be perceived as defensive, increasing risk aversion.
In this environment, gold would benefit massively: weaker dollar, lower yields, and, above all, safe-haven demand amid rising unemployment. The impact on gold would be strongly bullish.
5. The “Fed Put”: Explosive Scenario for Gold
Finally, the extreme case corresponds to an emergency Fed intervention. Faced with soaring unemployment and a confirmed recession in the US, the central bank would launch massive easing, combining rapid and steep rate cuts.
This situation would trigger a sharp fall in the dollar and bond yields. Gold, the ultimate safe haven, would then experience a spectacular surge to new all-time highs. The scale of the move would be amplified by the recessionary backdrop, pushing investors away from risk assets.
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Gold’s Relentless Rally: Hard Lessons Every Trader Must Face💥This past week, Gold surged without a single technical pullback. The rally was so sharp and one–sided that many traders who were holding Sell positions had no chance to exit safely. The result? Blown accounts, heavy drawdowns, and a painful reminder of what happens when we ignore risk.
📉 When the Market Ignores Technicals
Technical Analysis (TA) works—until the market decides otherwise.
In periods of aggressive flows, patterns, indicators, and even trendlines can fail completely.
At such times, the only thing that separates survivors from blown accounts is risk management and discipline.
🔑 Trading Lessons You Can’t Afford to Ignore
1️⃣ Stop Loss is your life jacket – Without it, one wrong move can sink your entire capital.
2️⃣ Never hold onto losing trades hoping for a reversal – The market doesn’t care about your hopes.
3️⃣ Capital management is more important than perfect analysis – One bad trade should never define your future.
4️⃣ Accept losses to survive – The best traders aren’t always right, but they always live to fight another day.
💡 A Message to Every Trader
Last week’s move in Gold taught us one brutal truth:
👉 No discipline = No capital.
👉 No capital = No trading career.
If you’ve taken heavy losses, don’t let it break you. See it as a turning point to rebuild with stronger rules and discipline. Markets will always offer opportunities, but only for those who protect themselves first.
✅ Final Takeaway
This week, don’t just stare at charts—revisit your trading plan and strengthen your discipline.
Remember: discipline may not make you rich overnight, but it will keep you alive long enough to get there.
Gold Surges $70+ – Extreme Volatility, Traders Stay Sharp!Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) has just witnessed a shocking $70+ rally, sparking intense volatility across global markets.
Rising geopolitical tensions are driving safe-haven demand to the extreme, making gold the centre of attention worldwide.
In this highly tense and unpredictable environment, every entry decision could be a make-or-break moment for traders.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Geopolitical risks → Money continues to flow into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD & bond yields are not strong enough to halt the momentum.
📊 Upcoming PCE data & Fed policy decisions could inject even more volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4)
After the explosive rally, gold consolidated within CP Zone H4 before breaking out higher.
Key Support Zones
3,462 – 3,443 → Critical levels to sustain the bullish structure.
Key Resistance Zones
3,487 – 3,518 → Possible reaction area before correction.
A breakout could open the path to 3,536 and beyond.
📌 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Preferred)
✅ Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and potentially breaks towards 3,536.
Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
⚠️ If 3,462 fails → Price may retest 3,443 before regaining upward momentum.
🎯 Trading Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, fuelled by geopolitical risk and macro flows.
Yet after such an aggressive move, a technical correction is highly likely.
Traders should carefully monitor price action around support/resistance zones for optimal entries.
❗ Most importantly: stick to risk management & Stop Loss discipline – in markets like this, survival comes before profit.
XAU/USD: Gold Dip to 3351? FX:XAUUSD is signaling a potential bearish move on the 1-hour chart , with an entry zone between 3400-3407 near a resistance level.
The target range of 3363-3351 aligns with key support zones, offering a clear downside play. 📈 Set a stop loss on a close above 3418 to manage risk effectively.
A break below 3395 with increasing volume could confirm this dip, driven by profit-taking and USD strength. Watch economic data releases! 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 3400 – 3407 (resistance area)
❌ Stop Loss: close above 3418 to manage risk
🎯 Target Zone 1: 3363 – 3351 (key support levels)
Ready for this drop? Drop your take below! 👇
Gold retreats, buying opportunity reappearsAfter stabilizing at 3400 yesterday, gold prices continued their upward trend, reaching a high of 3423. This is very consistent with my view yesterday. The only regret is that gold prices did not return to 3400 after the article was published, and we missed this wave of gains.
Yesterday, in his speech on monetary policy, Waller expressed support for a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September and predicted further rate cuts within the next three to six months. If the employment data shows "significant weakness" in the US economy, he may support a larger rate cut (which is bullish for gold).
Based on gold's trend, 3400 OANDA:XAUUSD is definitely a key level. After yesterday's breakthrough, it has clearly become strong support. Therefore, I believe that as long as gold prices remain above 3400, the range of gold prices will likely be between 3400 and 3450.
Gold prices just retreated again. Not wanting to miss out, I bought around 3405, with a take-profit of $10-30 depending on the situation, and a stop-loss of $3395-3390.
If the 3395-3390 range is broken, don't go long on gold.
“Layers of Liquidity: The Hidden Brushstrokes in XAUUSD”“Layers of Liquidity: The Hidden Brushstrokes in XAUUSD”
When I observe this chart, it feels much like studying a Renaissance painting—full of depth, contrast, and hidden meaning. Every candle tells a story, just like brushstrokes on a canvas.
The strong support zone at 3260–3300 acts like the foundation of the painting, the solid base on which the entire composition stands. Just as an artist relies on balance in structure, the market relies on this level for equilibrium.
The resistance zone near 3440–3460 resembles the sky in a painting—bright and tempting, yet out of reach for now. The fake breakout projected above this level can be compared to an illusion of light in art: it draws the eye upward, but the truth lies in the shadow beneath.
Every higher low crafted along the way mirrors the gradual layering technique used by master painters, building depth and strength in the image. It is not a random stroke—it’s deliberate, showing that buyers are stepping in consistently, giving the chart rhythm and structure.
The liquidity sweep resembles the hidden symbolism often placed in classical artworks. At first glance, it might look chaotic, but its purpose is intentional—to trap participants and prepare for the next phase of movement.
From an educational perspective, this chart demonstrates that markets, like art, are a mixture of illusion and reality. Breakouts may be false, supports may be tested, but the true skill lies in learning how to interpret these strokes. Just as art critics read the layers of paint, traders must read the layers of price action.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook What a crazy bullish move initiated on 📈Gold on Friday, Following the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Friday,
It is anticipated that this positive momentum will persist into the upcoming week.
Our primary resistance level is situated within the 3400-3409 range, which is expected to be tested.
Furthermore, a potential retracement from this level is possible.
Should a decline occur, a bearish correction towards the 3350 level is anticipated.
I will continue to monitor the market and provide further updates.
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3400.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3400.00when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .