XAUUSD at a Critical Level – Breakout or Rejection?
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Technical Analysis (4H)
Gold (XAUUSD) is forming an **Ascending Triangle** pattern on the 4H chart.
🔹 Key Resistance
* The **3400 – 3440** zone is acting as a strong ceiling for price.
* A breakout and consolidation above this level could trigger the next bullish wave.
🔹 Supports
* Dynamic Support: Short-term ascending trendline.
* Static Supports: **3320 – 3340**, and if broken, the next support lies at **3260 – 3280**.
🔹 Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and holds above **3440**, next targets may extend towards **3480 – 3520** and even **3560**.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the ascending trendline and **3320** support fail, a deeper correction towards **3260 – 3280** is likely.
🔹 Volume
Decreasing volume in recent moves indicates the market is in a **waiting phase** for a decisive breakout either up or down.
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📌 Summary:
The current structure suggests buyers have the upper hand, but confirmation will only come with a breakout above **3440**. Risk management is crucial in this area.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Reversal and break out Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Break Out - 3373
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3386
-------
🩸Bearish Break Out - 3358
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3346
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Strong start to the week on our 1H chart route map. We first saw our bearish target at 3365 hit, followed by a no cross and a lock below the Goldturn, confirming rejection. This set up the perfect bounce, aligning with our buy-the-dip strategy and giving us a solid catch. The bullish gap 3390 still remains open for the test.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3365 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3365 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3324 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3400.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3400.00when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
The day after a new higher highHello fellow traders! 👋
It seems like so many times again, the market went in a different direction than you may have expected. 🤷♀️
After multiple positive words from members of the Fed, a rate cut is likely to happen and is getting priced in. 📉 On Friday, July 29, we got some good economic data from the U.S., but the market acted differently. 🤔 Why is this? The data wasn't worse than expected; it was as expected. The market is taking this as a sign—a sign for higher prices. But, and this is a fact, many retail traders aren't. 😥
It's not about confusion; it's about the market (and us as traders) not having priced in all the possibilities. 🤯
The truth is, they are lying to you. They (the government) are telling people and the news that things are about to get fixed and will be good, but they aren't. 🤥 If you think the data we got on Friday is true, think again. Look at the data; you'll see the forecast was as expected, but in reality, the numbers are better than before. Do you get it? The obvious conclusion isn't always the real one. 💡 In my opinion, the U.S. economic data everyone is talking about is much better than many people think because the news is written to make it seem bad. 😒 You can think whatever you want, of course!
Price went up, not down, and a rally was chased. Many stop-loss orders were hit and turned into a cascade of higher prices. 📈 Institutions are buying gold, yes, because the dollar is cheap (?), and a rate cut is coming with a very high probability. 💰 So they buy gold, which results in many people's (and that's a good thing) stop-loss orders being executed. 👏 (sorry)
I've seen it in the past, and you can see it too if you look at my data table. Whenever a very high gold price was reached, a correction followed. 📉
I expect a correction on Monday or Tuesday, and this correction will lead to at least $3418, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In my view, $3403 is the 0.5 level and more realistic. If you look at the table I put in the image, you can see that the day after a high price like we had today, the correction was always at the 0.5 Fibonacci level or more! 📊
Don't think it won't happen; they will trap you in any way they can, such as with fakeouts... 😈
Believe in the market and its structure because, until now, there has never been a day without a correction after a rally like this! 💪
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to test that 3550-55 region and hopefully get a rejection there taking us downside into the lower levels and targets. This move worked well, although we got 3358 it completed into the red box defence. It’s at that defence level and the one below that we said opportunities to long may arise, which as you can see they did.
We then released the back test and report for Jackson hole mid-week. In this report we said we would be looking for a test on the low, and as long as it held we should see price push upside into the red box target levels. Again, a point to point, level to level move on this report hitting that target to a tee on the close!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re going to stick with the Jackson Hole report for the first couple of days of the week.
As you can see from last week the low held us well and the move completed into the red box that we wanted. We did have a arrow down here suggesting a short, and there was a reaction from this point, however, it’s a new week now so we’ll play price up here.
We have resistance above at the 3385-90 level with support below at the 3365-70 level. These are the levels that need to be watched hence we’ve put a range box on the chart. What we’re looking for here is price to attempt to play between the red boxes and inside this range due to there being now news in the early part of the week.
If we break above and support 3370, we’re likely to see this attempt the break of 3400 but the first destination is only slightly above 3420-25. A break below and we would hope to see price correct the whole move from Jackson Hole before then again attempting to rise, which for us is the ideal scenario here.
What we want traders to understand is that although we saw volume for Jackson Hole, we’re still playing the same range we’ve been in for the last two months. Price is simply in one huge accumulation before a bigger breakout!
That’s all for this report, as always, we’ll update as we go along through the week.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378, 3383, 3385, 3388 and 3392 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355, 3351, 3345 and 3335 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Holds Firm at $3,375 – Bullish Trend in FocusHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current OANDA:XAUUSD trend?
After a slight dip at the start of yesterday’s session, gold quickly recovered and is now stable around $3,375/oz. The main driver behind this rebound comes from growing expectations that the Fed will cut rates in September, while ongoing political tensions in the US continue to weigh on the dollar, reinforcing gold’s role as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical perspective, the bullish trend remains intact as the market continues to form a series of Break of Structure (BOS), reflecting steady buying pressure. This suggests the most reasonable scenario is to maintain a trend-following strategy, favouring long positions with the next targets being supply zones and key resistance levels ahead.
Do you think gold has enough strength to break through and conquer higher resistance levels this week?
Feel free to share your views in the comments — let’s discuss together!
gold view , still i am wait for drop,then buyShort-term: Possible correction / consolidation between 3,000 – 3,300.
Medium-term: Bounce expected from support → retest resistance ~3,500.
Long-term: Breakout above resistance opens the way to 3,800 – 4,200 (next Fibonacci extensions).
Bias: Long-term bullish, but short-term correction is possible.
Watch Zone: 3,000 – 3,200 → crucial support for trend continuation.
Targets: If support holds → 3,800 → 4,200.
Risk: A weekly close below ~2,950 would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper retracement.
Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report📊 Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Gold remains supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and central bank policies. With global inflation pressures stabilizing but geopolitical tensions persisting, institutional demand for gold as a hedge is intact. The US dollar’s fluctuations and interest rate expectations continue to influence short-term moves, but central banks’ ongoing gold accumulation provides strong long-term demand. Investor sentiment leans toward risk-hedging assets, keeping gold fundamentally supported.
🔹 Technical Structure
This week’s chart shows that gold has recently completed a downward corrective phase and executed a clear breakout from its descending channel. The breakout has been followed by strong bullish momentum, suggesting renewed institutional buying interest.
The market is now showing a healthy impulsive leg upward, with higher highs and higher lows forming. After this strong move, short-term price action indicates a potential cooling-off period—a common consolidation stage before continuation.
Volume flow reflects increasing participation during the breakout, confirming strength in the move. The broader price structure remains trend-reversal aligned, favoring further upside if momentum sustains.
Gold will continue to rise!!Gold has been moving within a medium-term ascending channel and recently managed to break above a major resistance area that had previously rejected price multiple times.
Currently, the price is facing a psychological and technical barrier at the $3500 level, acting as the next resistance.
Price is expected to consolidate slightly below $3500 before attempting another push higher.
As long as price holds above the broken resistance and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A successful breakout above $3500 could open the path toward targets at $3600 – $3700-$3900 in the medium term.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook What a crazy bullish move initiated on 📈Gold on Friday, Following the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Friday,
It is anticipated that this positive momentum will persist into the upcoming week.
Our primary resistance level is situated within the 3400-3409 range, which is expected to be tested.
Furthermore, a potential retracement from this level is possible.
Should a decline occur, a bearish correction towards the 3350 level is anticipated.
I will continue to monitor the market and provide further updates.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERN....XAUUSD (Gold) Bearish Setup 📉
Gold is showing weakness after failing to hold above the intraday highs, and sellers are stepping in strongly from 3384, making it a prime Sell Entry Zone.
🔑 Key Support: 3366 → This is the first level where price may attempt a small bounce, but if broken, it confirms bearish continuation.
🛡 Major Support: 3348 → This is the decisive level. If price reaches here, it will complete the bearish move and lock in profits for sellers.
🎯 Target 1: 3366 (Key Support)
🎯 Target 2: 3348 (Major Support)
⚠️ Bearish Bias: As long as price stays below 3384 resistance, sellers remain in control. Breaks below 3366 open the path directly toward 3348.
Gold Shines Bright - Strong Buy Zone XAUUSD Buy Setup – Gold is maintaining strong bullish momentum after holding the 3375 support level. Market sentiment remains positive, with buyers stepping in and pushing price higher. As long as price sustains above 3375, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
The next bullish targets are set at 3425 and 3450, where we expect potential profit-taking. A break and close above 3425 could accelerate momentum toward 3450. Traders should monitor intraday pullbacks for fresh buying opportunities, keeping stop-losses below the support zone to protect capital.
Gold Faces Resistance at 3,380–3,385: Downside Move PreferredHello everyone,
Looking at the H4 chart of OANDA:XAUUSD , gold is struggling to clear the heavy resistance zone between $3,380 and $3,385, which coincides with both a supply-based Fair Value Gap and the upper edge of the Kumo cloud. Price action here shows strong selling pressure, with short-bodied candles, long wicks, and muted volume, all of which suggest that buyers lack the conviction to push higher. Unless this zone is decisively broken, momentum points towards a short-term pullback, potentially dragging prices back to $3,355 and then $3,345.
From a macro perspective, today’s release of the US PCE inflation index will be critical. A stronger-than-expected print could reinforce expectations of tighter Fed policy, weighing on gold. Political uncertainty following President Trump’s move against a Fed governor adds another layer of volatility. Traders are now faced with a key question: does gold lose steam and retreat, or is a breakout towards $3,400–$3,425 still on the cards?
What do you think about this setup? Share your thoughts below!
Bullish bounce off?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,350.47
1st Support: 3,307.78
1st Resistance: 3,431.19
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Gold's Wild Ride: Is the Bearish Pressure Coming?Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, gold experienced a significant move, briefly hitting 3,399 USD before pulling back slightly. It is currently fluctuating around 3,390 USD.
At the moment, gold is attracting attention from investors as a safe-haven asset, especially amid rising concerns about the independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), following recent criticism of Chairman Jerome Powell by President Trump.
From a technical standpoint, gold is forming a rising wedge, signaling a potential bearish reversal. As the price of gold nears the top of this pattern, the risk of a price decline becomes more apparent. If gold drops below 3,385 USD, a sharp pullback is likely, with the next target potentially at 3,375 USD or lower.
What do you think, will XAUUSD continue to drop? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below!
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
Whether gold can hold steady at 3400 is the keyThe current market is bullish, primarily due to the developments surrounding Trump's proposed firing of Cook. Of the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board, three already support a rate cut: Bowman, Milan, and Waller. With the addition of another supporter, Trump's goal would be achieved. If Cook were to be fired and a more compliant candidate were to be promoted, the rate cut would be achieved, but the Fed's independence would also be undermined.
The dollar, US stocks, and US Treasuries would all be affected, and gold, the best safe-haven asset, would inevitably soar.
Today, we're focusing on two levels: 3400 and 3380.
If gold can stabilize above 3400 OANDA:XAUUSD , it's likely to head towards 3430-3450. At that point, you could consider buying around 3400.
Conversely, if it can't hold above 3400, it could test support at 3380. As long as it doesn't fall below 3380, it would be a good buying opportunity.
Good luck to everyone💪
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold’s Relentless Rally: Hard Lessons Every Trader Must Face💥This past week, Gold surged without a single technical pullback. The rally was so sharp and one–sided that many traders who were holding Sell positions had no chance to exit safely. The result? Blown accounts, heavy drawdowns, and a painful reminder of what happens when we ignore risk.
📉 When the Market Ignores Technicals
Technical Analysis (TA) works—until the market decides otherwise.
In periods of aggressive flows, patterns, indicators, and even trendlines can fail completely.
At such times, the only thing that separates survivors from blown accounts is risk management and discipline.
🔑 Trading Lessons You Can’t Afford to Ignore
1️⃣ Stop Loss is your life jacket – Without it, one wrong move can sink your entire capital.
2️⃣ Never hold onto losing trades hoping for a reversal – The market doesn’t care about your hopes.
3️⃣ Capital management is more important than perfect analysis – One bad trade should never define your future.
4️⃣ Accept losses to survive – The best traders aren’t always right, but they always live to fight another day.
💡 A Message to Every Trader
Last week’s move in Gold taught us one brutal truth:
👉 No discipline = No capital.
👉 No capital = No trading career.
If you’ve taken heavy losses, don’t let it break you. See it as a turning point to rebuild with stronger rules and discipline. Markets will always offer opportunities, but only for those who protect themselves first.
✅ Final Takeaway
This week, don’t just stare at charts—revisit your trading plan and strengthen your discipline.
Remember: discipline may not make you rich overnight, but it will keep you alive long enough to get there.
Safe-Haven Flows Boost GoldHello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, as expected, gold surged strongly and is now holding its bullish momentum, trading around $3,385 in Wednesday’s Asian session after bouncing from a low of $3,367 — a move of more than 200 pips.
Gold gained after the USD weakened following President Trump’s unexpected decision to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook, prompting safe-haven flows into gold. At the same time, signals from Fed Chair Powell about a potential rate cut further support the bullish outlook, as gold typically benefits in a lower interest rate environment.
From a technical perspective, gold remains in an uptrend, with price holding above key EMAs and trendline support. Current pullbacks appear healthy, consolidating strength for the broader bullish structure. As long as this structure is intact, short-term upside momentum remains dominant.
The key levels to watch from a broader technical perspective are $3,400, and above that, $3,415 comes back into play.
Looking ahead, the market will closely watch the U.S. PCE inflation report on August 29, a key gauge for the Fed’s policy direction. Expectations of a policy shift could weigh further on the USD and provide additional support for gold. Meanwhile, rising geopolitical risks worldwide continue to position gold as a leading safe-haven asset.
Follow me for more updates! Don’t forget to like this post and share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck!
Gold Surges $70+ – Extreme Volatility, Traders Stay Sharp!Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) has just witnessed a shocking $70+ rally, sparking intense volatility across global markets.
Rising geopolitical tensions are driving safe-haven demand to the extreme, making gold the centre of attention worldwide.
In this highly tense and unpredictable environment, every entry decision could be a make-or-break moment for traders.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Geopolitical risks → Money continues to flow into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD & bond yields are not strong enough to halt the momentum.
📊 Upcoming PCE data & Fed policy decisions could inject even more volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4)
After the explosive rally, gold consolidated within CP Zone H4 before breaking out higher.
Key Support Zones
3,462 – 3,443 → Critical levels to sustain the bullish structure.
Key Resistance Zones
3,487 – 3,518 → Possible reaction area before correction.
A breakout could open the path to 3,536 and beyond.
📌 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Preferred)
✅ Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and potentially breaks towards 3,536.
Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
⚠️ If 3,462 fails → Price may retest 3,443 before regaining upward momentum.
🎯 Trading Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, fuelled by geopolitical risk and macro flows.
Yet after such an aggressive move, a technical correction is highly likely.
Traders should carefully monitor price action around support/resistance zones for optimal entries.
❗ Most importantly: stick to risk management & Stop Loss discipline – in markets like this, survival comes before profit.