XAUUSD Long: Price continues to trade inside ascending channelHello, traders! I want share with you my opinion about XAUUSD. On the 2H timeframe, gold continues to trade inside an ascending channel, showing a steady bullish structure after the recent breakout and minor pullback.
Currently, the price corrected to the Demand Zone (around $4,200), which also aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This confluence created a strong support area, from which price has already shown signs of recovery.
My scenario is a continuation of the bullish movement. I expect the price can continue grow and reach $4,340. Manage your risk!
Trade ideas
When will gold continue to rise? 4300?โญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) advances toward $4,210 during Thursdayโs Asian session, hovering near a fresh record high as Fed rate-cut expectations and renewed trade tensions lift safe-haven demand. Traders now await comments from Fed officials, including Michael Barr, Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Michelle Bowman, for policy cues. Earlier this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that slowing job growth poses a risk to the US economy, reinforcing prospects for two more rate cuts this yearโsupportive of the non-yielding yellow metal.
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
The buying power shows no signs of stopping, breaking 4217 and continuing to increase in price. The whole market is very excited and focusing on investing in gold as the safest asset.
โญ๏ธSET UP GOLD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone: 4275 - 4277 SL 4282
TP1: $4265
TP2: $4250
TP3: $4240
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $4154-$4152 SL $4147
TP1: $4165
TP2: $4180
TP3: $4190
โญ๏ธTechnical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
โญ๏ธNOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100
From our previous analysis, GOLD respected the bullish scenario. This came with a confirmation during the night trading session as I explained in the previous post.
With this move above 3895, the price confirmed a bullish triangle pattern that shows signs of a strong bullish momentum.
From our chart we can observe that it is the same similar move as it was before. The bullish flags show a healthy uptrend and we all know that gold is in a crazy bullish move supported by the geopolitical situation or other factors. Everyone talks about its strength, but I am not sure if we know the Truth.
Truth is not a Luxury for ordinary people ๐
The price has broken above the $3,895 - $3,900 resistance area as I explained for the bullish scenario in the previous analysis and may retest it before continuing higher.
Targets:
$3,950
$4,000
$4,050
$4,100
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
โค๏ธPS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading dayโค๏ธ
How to Short Gold as a Stock Trader and Profit on the DropGold is at historically high levels due to several key factors
Geopolitical Tensions: Trade disputes, regional conflicts, and global uncertainty are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold
Monetary Policy Expectations: Anticipated interest rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive compared to bonds or cash
Weakening U.S. Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold cheaper for international buyers, boosting demand
Central Bank and Institutional Demand: Many central banks are increasing gold reserves, and institutional investors are allocating more to gold as a hedge against economic instability
Market Sentiment and Speculation: Bullish sentiment and speculative positioning are adding upward pressure on prices
If these factors start to ease, such as trade tensions reducing (highly likely with the next Trump Tweet), interest rates staying the same or even rising (less likely), or the dollar strengthening (likely), gold could start to pull back and given how aggressive its run has been, it could be a significant pull back.
For investors looking to profit from declines, inverse gold ETFs provide a way to benefit when prices fall, offering a strategic tool for hedging or directional trading.
They are a MUCH riskier type of trade - especially leverage ETFs so please do your research beforehand and definitely do not invest any money you can't do without if it all goes horribly wrong and Gold does indeed continue to head up past $5k.
Crazy times - hence probably why Gold is doing so well.
Buyer / bear - beware :)
Gold Performance Recap for the week๐This week, the price of Gold first rose and then fell. The specific trend is as follows:
Monday: Gold broke through the 4059 mark in the Asian trading session, setting a new historical record
Tuesday- Wednesday: The price continued to rise.
Thursday: Gold reached a maximum of 4298.64.
Friday: First, the price surged after the opening, reaching a high of 4379.44, followed by a sharp decline, touching a low of 4186.17. As of now, the price of Gold is 4247.02, continuing to fall compared to the previous day's closing price.
๐The driving factors are as follows:
๐กUpward factors in the early stage
1-Impact of Federal Reserve's loose policy expectations: The Federal Reserve launched a new round of interest - rate - cutting cycle in September. The market anticipates that there may be two consecutive interest - rate cuts in October and December. The expected decline in both nominal and real interest rates has increased the attractiveness of holding non - interest - bearing assets such as gold.
2-Surge in geopolitical risks and safe - haven demand: Factors such as the escalation of the China-US trade war and the US's containment of China's chip sector have intensified market panic, and funds have accelerated their inflow into gold as a safe haven.
3-Drive from global central banksโ gold purchase demand: According to data from the World Gold Council, global central banksโ gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter of 2025. The Peopleโs Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, which has strengthened market confidence in gold.
๐กDownward factors in the later stage:
1-Technical level: The 4280 - 4330 area is a key monthly - level resistance zone. On Friday, Gold broke through the important support level of 4280, triggering a large number of stop-loss orders for long positions. Program based trading triggered SL selling, forming a vicious cycle of "breakdown - SL - further decline".
2-Change in risk appetite: On Friday, US President Trump made moderate remarks on trade issues. Market safe-haven sentiment cooled rapidly, leading to a sharp sell-off of gold.
XAU/USD | Gold Recovers After Sharp Selloff (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, following the announcement of peace between Hamas and Israel, gold experienced a sharp drop โ falling from $4029 to $3943, which means a decline of over 850 pips (and about 1140 pips from the $4058 level!).
After reaching the demand zone between $3941 and $3951, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to around $4022. Following this strong rebound, gold has started a short-term correction back toward the $4000 level.
Now, the key question is whether the price can hold above $3994 โ if it does, we could see another bullish move.
The next upside targets are $4006, $4016, and $4028.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Targeting #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 ahead of #4,500.80 markAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session Highโs, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).'
My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.
The last upward wave of GOLDInitially, our expectation was that wave-(i) of (E) would be a diametric, which in the analyses we said its wave-g could move up to $4200, and gold touched $4180. But a corrective wave formed from around 4058 to 3942, and given the high price similarity between the waves, the scenario of forming a symmetrical has been strengthened.
If the gold price can powerfully break above 4200, we can expect gold to continue its growth to the range of 4330-4401 dollars.
Given that we are in the final upward waves of gold, I should add one point to the above:
- Until a strong, fast, and large downward movement bigger than waves b-d-f-h occurs in the market, we cannot confirm the completion of wave-(i) of (E). In the higher degree pattern, wave-(E) in my opinion can grow at most to 4401 dollars. If this level is broken, it will not be very stable.
Long-term Analysis ๐๐
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
XAU/USD 4H Analysis โ Bearish SetupGold has reached an overextended zone near the upper volatility bands after a strong bullish rally. Momentum shows early exhaustion, and price is reacting from a Fibonacci resistance area with rejection candles forming.
๐ป Bearish Confluences
Upper Band Rejection โ Price touched the top volatility channel, signaling overbought conditions and potential for mean reversion.
Fibonacci Resistance Zone โ Current rejection occurs around the 0.618 retracement (โ $4,253), a key reversal level.
Candle Weakness โ Wicks on recent candles show rejection of higher prices, indicating seller absorption near resistance.
๐ Fibonacci Downside Targets
Measured from the latest swing high to the local low:
Target 1: 0.382 โ $4,166 โ first support / partial TP zone.
Target 2: 0.618 โ $4,098 โ major confluence with mid-channel EMA cluster.
Target 3: 1.000 โ $3,985 โ full retracement target and potential bounce area.
โ ๏ธ Invalidation
A 4H candle close above $4,255 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
Watch for opportunities around 4218-4220!
Technically, the daily K-line chart shows a stair-step upward trend, with rising lows and rising highs. As long as this rhythm is maintained, the overall trend is bullish, with a northbound trendline. The medium-term bull-bear watershed is 4145. Above this level, the bullish trend remains unchanged, focusing on the swing and mid-line. As the market moves upward, we should actively support the rise above the short-term watershed of 4200. If this level is broken, the price will likely continue to fall southward in the short term. If 4200 is broken, the lows of 4180-60 will likely be retested. From a spatial perspective, if a retracement retests these two levels, the short-term trend is basically confirmed. A rebound below 4200 will support a short-term decline until 4145! Regarding the potential for gains in the Asian session, 4218 was broken, initially retracing back to 10 points before bottoming out and rebounding to a new high of 4235. Looking at the potential, a pullback to 4218-4220 would be the initial uptrend. A second opportunity would be to watch for 4205-4203.
Thus, overall, a short-term buy signal on a rebound is recommended (watch for pressure signals at 4200 for a continued short-term decline). Long positions above 4218-4220 represent the initial uptrend. A second opportunity would be to watch for 4205-4203. For upward shorting opportunities, watch for 4248-4250, with a 10-15 point pullback. Today's Asian session target of 4215-4217 is rapidly approaching, with a target of 40. My strength is undeniable!
GOLD (XAUUSD): New ATH & Next Resistances
As I predicted, Gold updated the ATH this morning.
The next strong resistances that I see are:
Resistance 1: 4098 - 4103 area
Resistance 2: 4148 - 4153 area
Get ready for more growth.
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
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GOLD LONG TERM Target Hello everyone, I hope you are well
In this idea, I will share with you some of the expectations I see on the price of gold in the long term
I expect that the price has approached the target and will be in the rectangle shown in the idea
Which is between $4200 and $5000
After that, the price will enter a downward trend that may last for years
Remember this is not investment advice. You are responsible for the buying and selling decision
Beware of using leverage. The reason is that this is not an accurate recommendation
Good Luck
GOLD - Signals That Gold is On The MoonGOLD
Is now hitting the ultra long term 2.272 taking the pivots from the 1980 bear market.
Long term does not mean high accuracy expected and it may well have a loose relationship with the eventual top.
But its another signal that GOLD is very high.
In addition, the month RSI is suddenly as high as its ever been since 1980.
Soooo, its time for a cautious trader to take profit.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider that crypto is a dangerous market.
Gold Trade Plan 15/10/2025Dear Traders,
๐ XAUUSD 4H Analysis
Gold continues to move inside a clean ascending channel, respecting both the midline and the upper boundary perfectly.
Price is now approaching a strong resistance zone, which overlaps with the top of the channel โ making it a potential reversal area.
๐ฃ If we see rejection around this zone, a short-term correction toward the support area (purple zone) or the midline of the channel could follow.
๐ข However, if bulls break above the resistance with strong momentum, we might see a new impulsive leg aiming toward $4,300 โ $4,350.
๐ Structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the lower trendline.
โจ #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #Forex #SmartMoney #ChannelTrading #Bullish #MarketStructure
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold Breaking $4200 : Intra-Day Analysis 15-Oct-25
Several Fundamental factors have been supporting Gold bullish momentum, starting Central banks purchases, Hedging against USD, Market expectations of rate cut, US Debt fear, and Trade war tensions.
These factors are leading Gold to print new historical highs on Weekly and sometimes on Daily basis.
In this video, we breakdown the technical and the areas of interest to focus on.
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Gold Pullback Could Be the Next Buying OpportunityHello, traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been trading within a clear bullish structure, forming an ascending channel since breaking out from the earlier range near the 4,050โ4,100 zone. The breakout from that consolidation led to strong upward momentum, with price making consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the market faced strong selling pressure from the Seller Zone near 4,366, which aligns with the Resistance Level. After a retest of this supply area, price rejected and started a correction within the channel. The price is approaching the Buyer Zone around 4,205, which also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the previous support level. This confluence makes the area significant for potential bullish reactions. I expect Gold to retest the Buyer Zone (4,205) and, if buyers show strength, a bounce toward 4,320โ4,366 could follow. This would represent the continuation of the uptrend within the ascending channel. However, if price breaks below 4,205, it would signal a possible shift in structure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the 4,100 area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
XAU/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) โ Bullish Continuation Setup (1H Chart)
Technical Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Current Price: $4,238
Target Price: $4,303
Potential Move: +1.91% (approx. +80 points)
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Chart Analysis:
1. Key Zone (Yellow Box):
This area represents a bullish order block / demand zone where price previously reacted strongly.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists within this zone, suggesting that price may retrace to fill it before continuing higher.
2. Price Action:
After a strong bullish impulsive move, price is currently showing a retracement back toward the order block zone.
The expectation is for price to retest this support zone and form a higher low, confirming continuation of the uptrend.
3. Moving Averages:
EMA 50 (Red) is above EMA 200 (Blue) โ indicates a bullish trend structure.
Both EMAs are pointing upward, supporting bullish momentum.
4. Projected Move:
Once the retracement completes, a bullish push toward the target level at 4,303 is expected.
This level aligns with previous structure highs and potential liquidity targets.
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Trading Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Within the highlighted yellow order block / FVG area
Target Point: 4,303
Invalidation: A 1-hour candle close below the order block would weaken the bullish scenario
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, with momentum favoring further upside after a short retracement. Watching for confirmation signals (bullish engulfing, market structure shift) within the order block zone could provide a high-probability long setup.
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