Gold bullish surge With weekly high pierced I'm looking to take a buy around 3423.5 - 3430 area where there is previous support, I should be targeting 3467.03 area. i will not jump on the shorting band wagon, will observe price action and will take it from there. but initial bias is long
But if the price does not respect my buy area, I have another zone to take a long from, the area is 3414.871 - 3420 respectively. The market does whatever it wants so let's observe and be patient.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
XAUUSD Holds Above Pivot — Bulls Target $3,401 NextGold – Live Update
Bullish Trend Holds Above Pivot
Gold reached our projected target around 3,392 as mentioned in the previous idea.
Currently, the price is trading above the 3,374 pivot line, maintaining bullish momentum.
🔹 Technical Outlook
✅ As long as price holds above 3,374, the bullish trend should continue toward 3,384 → 3,401 → 3,412.
⚠️ A move below 3,374 would trigger a correction to 3,363, with deeper downside toward 3,350.
🔹 Key Levels
Pivot: 3,374
Resistance: 3,384 – 3,401 – 3,412
Support: 3,363 – 3,350
✅ Summary:
Gold continues to respect bullish momentum above the pivot. Watch 3,374 as the decision zone — holding above favors continuation higher, while a break below shifts focus to 3,363 and 3,350.
previous idea:
Gold Continues Strong Rise – Will the PCE Decide the Trend?XAUUSD is currently in a strong uptrend, breaking through key resistance levels and staying above the EMA (34) and EMA (89), with support at 3,363 USD. The next resistance levels for gold are at 3,400 USD , with TP1 at 3,408 USD and TP2 at 3,435 USD. If gold stays above these support levels and breaks through 3,400 USD, the uptrend will continue, targeting higher levels.
From a fundamental perspective, a few days ago, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks indicated expectations to maintain a tightening policy if economic data continues to support it. The core PCE index on August 29 will be the deciding factor for gold's trend. If the PCE index is higher than expected (0.3%), the USD could strengthen, putting downward pressure on gold. On the other hand, if the index is lower than expected, the USD will weaken, and gold could continue its strong uptrend.
In conclusion, if gold stays above 3,361 USD and breaks through the 3,400 USD resistance level, the uptrend will continue, with targets of 3,408 USD (TP1) and 3,435 USD (TP2). However, the upcoming PCE index results will be the deciding factor for whether gold can continue its rise. Stay tuned and keep an eye on the market!
XAUUSD Q4 is Coming; September Reset for Gold Traders
Summer is leaving its mark already. For some, it’s the heat of missed trades. For others, it’s the frustration of chop: false breaks, liquidity traps, the kind of price action that tests your patience more than your strategy. Another batch of traders comes back refreshed from their holidays...
But every year, like clockwork, September arrives.
And this month is different.
It’s the reset button. Liquidity returns as big players come back from summer. Volumes rise. Market makers shift gears. What looked like a bit of chaotic moves in July and August begin to make sense in September, because the context changes.
1️⃣ Why September Matters
Think of it as the gateway to Q4.
It’s not just “another month”, but the bridge between the summer ranges and the final push of the year.
• Institutions reposition.
• Central banks set the tone for year-end.
• Physical demand from India and China accelerates into festivals and holidays.
This is when the market stops drifting and starts building direction.
2️⃣ Q4: The Final Act
October to December is rarely quiet. It’s when portfolios get rebalanced, reports closed, and big narratives find their conclusion.
For Gold, Q4 often means:
• Volatility with a purpose. Not just random spikes, but moves that make a mark.
• Trends that can define the whole year. One or two big swings can make all the difference.
• Liquidity sweeps early, momentum later. September often tests both sides before revealing the path.
3️⃣ The Psychology of the Season
This is where traders win or lose more in their minds than on their charts.
• Patience over FOMO. September rewards those who wait for clarity.
• Confidence over ego. Don’t chase every move to “make up” for the passed summer.
• Preparation over reaction. Mark your levels, define your risk, and let the market come to you and your reaction zones.
It’s not about catching the first candle of the move. It’s about being ready for the real trend when it reveals itself.
4️⃣ How to Prepare
• Treat September as a filtering month. Don’t overtrade; study how XAUUSD reacts around key liquidity pools.
• When October–November come, be ready to scale into clean moves.
• In December, remember that thinner liquidity can still hide powerful setups — but choose them carefully.
✨ A Note for Serious Traders
The edge isn’t in chasing signals, it’s in building structure and a sure plan with a few great trades/week. Every trader stepping into Q4 should have:
• A clear bias based on higher timeframes, then move to the lower ones.
• Defined key levels & reaction zones marked in advance. Do your homework on the charts.
• Discipline to avoid impulsive trades and wait for price to come to the plan.
That’s how you survive September and thrive in Q4. Outlooks and daily bias updates — when done properly — bring in good/great results and fewer SL.
Let's get ready for XAUUSD fall trading!
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Gold Holds Above 3402 Ahead of PCE – Key Pivot at 3413GOLD – Update
Gold futures eased slightly but remain on track to end the week higher, supported by growing bets on a September Fed rate cut. While recent U.S. economic data added uncertainty that could temper the rally, ongoing geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook:
Price stabilized above 3402, maintaining bullish momentum toward 3422 as previously highlighted.
In the near term, a correction back to 3402 is possible.
If PCE prints hotter than expected, gold could extend losses toward 3393 → 3383.
If PCE comes in softer or in line, bullish momentum should resume from 3402, targeting 3420 → 3436 → 3450.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3413
Support: 3402 – 3393 – 3383
Resistance: 3420 – 3436 – 3450
📌 Bias: Neutral into the PCE release. Watch the 3402–3413 zone for directional confirmation.
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown SetupGold is trading inside a rising wedge, a pattern that often signals bearish reversal.
📉 Price is testing resistance around 3415 – 3425. Failure to break higher could trigger a drop.
Trading Plan:
Short on rejection or break below 3408 support
🎯 Targets: 3390 → 3370 → 3354
❌ Invalidation: Close above 3425
Bias remains bearish unless bulls reclaim higher levels.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #Trading #Forex #ChartAnalysis
3470 or 3404? Gold’s Critical Levels You Need to KnowGold had a strong bullish run today, but the real opportunity comes tomorrow.
Here’s the simple breakdown:
🔺 Resistance Zone : 3455 – 3460 → Break & hold above = next wave higher
🟩 Buy Zone 1 (Dynamic Support): 3438 – 3440 → quick bounce area with trendline support
🟩 Buy Zone 2 (Strong Demand): 3425 – 3428 → deeper entry, high probability zone
❌ Invalidation : Below 3404 the bullish outlook flips
The plan is clear → Buy dips, target 3455–3470, and respect 3404 as the risk marker.
Whenever gold sets up for a clean move, I share my exact plays with my private community first — that’s where we catch these moves together in real time. Stay sharp 🚀
XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Long on GoldFor the past years, Gold has been longing. However, it has been ranging in Aug using the daily or 4 hrs time frame. But, tracking down to the smaller time frame, using your support and resistance level, and chart patterns, you can easily identify the next movement. Also, on the lower time frame, it is easy to identify the higher highs and higher lows and lower highs and lower lows.
Gold Tests $3,401 – Breakout or Pullback Ahead?📊 Market Dynamics:
Gold is trading around $3,401/oz, testing a key technical resistance.
The upcoming U.S. PCE data is in focus, with markets pricing in over 88% probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut, which supports bullish sentiment for gold.
RBC maintains a long-term bullish outlook, forecasting gold could reach $3,722 – $3,813 by 2025–2026.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $3,401 → $3,416 – $3,435
• Support: $3,374 – $3,389 (pivot $3,350 – $3,375)
• Indicators: RSI has eased from overbought; MA50 still supports short-term upside; overall MA signals: Strong Buy.
📌 Outlook:
• Above $3,401: potential extension to $3,416 – $3,435, possibly $3,440.
• Failure to break: a pullback toward $3,374 – $3,389 is possible.
💡 Trading Strategies:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,401 – $3,404
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3,407
🔼 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,394 – $3,398
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3,391
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical OverviewPrice is currently moving within the 3445–3450 range, showing short-term bearish pressure. The area around 3430 is an important level to watch.
A sustained H4 close below 3430 could open the way toward the next support zone near 3405–3390.
If price instead shows a bullish reversal from the 3430 region, upside retests toward the 3460 resistance area may follow.
This setup highlights 3430 as a key pivot for short-term directional bias. Traders should monitor how price reacts around this zone before planning the next steps.
Gold Plan (28/08) – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Gold at Storm Breaker 3400: Consolidation before breaking ATH?
1. Market Waves 🌍
Throughout last week, gold consistently formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain dominant.
Currently, price is moving around 3,394 – 3,400, right at Storm Breaker 🌊 – the critical barrier before aiming at the previous ATH 3,424.
The big question: Will gold consolidate and then smash through ATH, or does it need a pullback towards key support before surging stronger in September?
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Major Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (previous ATH). This is the gateway gold must conquer to unlock a new bullish trend.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence of FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects.
Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – pullback priority)
Entry: 3353 – 3355
SL: 3349
TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL reaction – previous ATH)
Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested)
SL: 3430
TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold ship is now approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 .
If it breaks through, a vast ocean opens with a new bullish trend.
But if rough waves push it back, patience at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will secure the anchor and prepare for September’s big wave.”
Gold Price Analysis August 27Gold is seeing some selling pressure in early Tokyo trading. Looking towards key support areas for today's BUY trading strategy. 3371 and 3357 continue to be in focus for today's BUY strategies looking towards 3400 and higher.
BUY GOLD 3371 Stoploss 3365
BUY GOLD 3359 Stoploss 3353
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading OutlookXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Outlook
Hello traders,
Gold is now entering the final stage of its flag formation. Medium-term traders are watching closely for a clear breakout confirmation, as this will define the next medium- to long-term move. Once price confirms the break, the plan is to enter immediately in the direction of that breakout.
In the meantime, short-term and intraday traders can continue trading within the flag, taking advantage of scalping opportunities inside the range.
From my perspective, the probability of an upside breakout and continuation of the broader bullish trend is fairly high after such a long consolidation. To optimise entries, it makes sense to buy near the lower boundary of the trendline, with stop-losses placed immediately if the pattern breaks down. The key level to watch is the Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354 – an area that acts as both dynamic and static support, as well as a critical Fibonacci level. This is a strong zone for long-term buy setups.
Additionally, an earlier entry can be considered around 3372, where the previous candle showed strong buying momentum. Traders entering here should keep stops tight, just below the nearest support.
This bullish outlook would only be invalidated if price breaks below the lower trendline and closes firmly underneath it, confirming a reversal.
Wishing you success with this trading plan. If you share a similar outlook, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss further.
XAUUSD Forming Raising TriangleOn the daily chart, gold is consolidating within a rising triangle formation, supported by a trendline that has been respected multiple times since April. This structure demonstrates sustained demand and accumulation. The price action is now inching closer to the upper boundary around the $3,430–$3,450 region. If gold breaks and holds above this critical resistance, the path toward the $3,700–$4,000 zone opens, particularly if positive momentum returns.
Fundamentally, the setup is strongly bullish. The Federal Reserve is increasingly expected to begin cutting rates in September, which would reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold—only 13% chance of a cut has now flipped to an 87% probability. Gold demand remains structurally robust: central banks are aggressively accumulating reserves—1,000+ tonnes are forecasted for 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of record purchases. Meanwhile, institutional players like Goldman Sachs and UBS are projecting gold to reach \$3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,000 by mid-2026.
Despite short-term price pullbacks due to dollar strength, gold's long-term narrative remains intact. Recent inflows into gold ETFs and recovery from trendline support positions gold well for the next leg higher.
Gold analysis Through the recent movement of gold and the incoming buying signals, we conclude that it will certainly continue to rise to target 3410, then 3440, and after that to our final target before the next analysis, 3485. Then we will see where gold is heading, and it is also expected to break through the 3500 areas!
Gold Breaking Out of Falling Wedge Pattern – Rally Ahead?After creating a fake break below the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose again above this zone and the Monthly Pivot Point .
If we look at the Gold chart on the 2-hour time frame from a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, we can see a falling reversal pattern , with Gold currently breaking the upper line of this pattern .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that Gold is completing a corrective wave , and we should wait for the next impulse wave .
I expect Gold to start rising from the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and rise to at least $3,369.
Second Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) = $3,402-$3,388
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,320
Note: From today until Friday, important indexes will be released from the US, which can create excitement in financial markets, especially Gold, and even change the market trend when released.
FOMC Meeting Minutes = Today
Unemployment Claims = Tomorrow
Flash Manufacturing /Services PMI = Tomorrow
Fed Chair Powell Speaks = Friday
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup
Gold has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern to the upside, signaling potential bullish continuation. Price has retested the breakout zone (trendline + demand zone) and is now showing strong bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
- Entry Zone: Breakout retest area (highlighted in blue)
- TP: Previous supply zone (marked above)
- SL: Below trendline and demand zone
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Trendline breakout + demand zone confluence + market structure shift.
Monitoring price action closely for confirmation and continuation towards the higher supply zone.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Breakout #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendline #PriceAction