Get started
GOLD MINI CFDGOLD MINI CFDGOLD MINI CFD

GOLD MINI CFD

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonals

Trade ideas

XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Gold? Gold experienced a sharp decline last week, but found support around the $4,000 zone, leading to a modest rebound. Since then, the price has entered a range-bound phase, oscillating between key support and resistance levels. Current Outlook: The next directional move depends on a breakout from this consolidation range: A break above the resistance zone could trigger a move toward the previous high. Conversely, a break below the support zone would likely signal a deeper bearish continuation and formation of new lows. For now, gold remains in a neutral range, and it’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before taking new positions. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by HAMED_AZ
50
XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours! After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051. Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 . The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
99
Gold 1979 vs 2025 — When History Whispers and Markets Listen 🌕 1. The Echo of 1979 In 1979, the world watched Gold do the impossible. The metal surged from $226 to over $850 per ounce in less than a year, a 275% explosion that turned fear into fortune. The triggers were seismic. 🇮🇷 The Iranian Revolution disrupted global oil flows. 🏛️ The U.S. Embassy hostage crisis fueled geopolitical panic. ⚔️ The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan reignited Cold War fears. 💸 And double-digit inflation in the U.S. shredded faith in the dollar. By early 1980, panic replaced logic. Every newspaper screamed, “Buy Gold before it’s too late!” Then came Paul Volcker’s shock therapy as interest rates jumped above 15% and COMEX doubled margin requirements. Within eight weeks, Gold fell more than 40%, marking the end of one of the most dramatic speculative manias in modern history. 🔁 2. Fast-Forward to 2025: The Parallels Are Uncanny The world of 2025 looks hauntingly similar. 🕰️ 1979 🔮 2025 Iranian Revolution and Cold War tensions Gaza war, U.S.–China decoupling, and regional instability Oil shock and inflation Energy disruptions and persistent post-pandemic inflation Dollar under pressure Record U.S. debt and fiscal erosion Panic buying of Gold Central bank accumulation and retail FOMO Fed under Volcker turns hawkish Fed under Powell trapped between cuts and control By late August 2025, gold sat quietly near $3,415, then erupted into a seven-week vertical rally above $4,300, a mirror image of 1979’s euphoric climb. But just like back then, euphoria was the prelude to exhaustion. ⚠️ 3. The Anatomy of the Current Crash On October 17, 2025, Gold plunged $250 in one day, a shocking 5–6% drop that broke its parabolic structure and sent fear rippling across markets. What triggered it? 🏦 A hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve’s language as officials hinted rate cuts might be delayed. 💰 Real yields surged, breaking the inverse correlation that had fueled gold’s climb. 🏛️ Institutional profit-taking hit record levels, confirmed by rising COMEX open interest and volume. 🗞️ Sentiment flipped overnight as headlines shifted from “Gold to $5000” to “Gold crashes $250.” The move marked the first true break of structure (CHoCH) since the rally began, historically the signal that smart money is quietly exiting. 🔍 4. Lessons from 1980 — The Signs of a Top Before gold crashed in 1980, five clear warning signs appeared. ⚙️ 1979–1980 Signal 💡 2025 Equivalent 🧭 Status Fed turns hawkish Powell signals “pause / higher for longer” ⚠️ Emerging Rising bond yields vs. flat Gold Real yield divergence ✅ Confirmed Parabolic candles Daily range above $100 ✅ Seen Media frenzy “Gold to $5000” hype ✅ Seen Margin hikes and record OI Record COMEX participation ⚠️ Rising Four out of five signals are already flashing. History teaches that when everyone believes Gold can only rise, it’s often about to fall. 🧭 5. What Smart Traders Should Do Now 🟡 Phase 1 – Immediate Protection (Next 24 Hours) If you’re long, secure 50–75% of gains and protect above $3,950. If you’re short, trail stops to $4,200 and look for targets at $3,950 → $3,800 → $3,600. If you’re flat, stay patient and wait for at least two daily candles of stabilization before acting. 🟠 Phase 2 – Stabilization (Next 3–5 Days) Watch for: 🕯️ Long lower wicks on daily candles show buyer absorption. 📉 Shrinking COMEX volume indicates exhaustion of sellers. 📊 Flat or falling real yields confirming support. 🔵 Phase 3 – Re-evaluation (Next 1–2 Weeks) If gold reclaims $4,000+ with strength and Fed tone softens, a controlled re-rally may begin. If Gold stays below $3,800, the correction likely extends toward $3,500, the same 30–40% retracement seen in 1980. 🧘‍♀️ 6. Beyond the Chart — Discipline Over Drama When a $250 candle appears, instincts scream, “Do something!” But professionals know the truth: reaction destroys capital, observation preserves it. The coming days are not about prediction but about posture. Stay liquid, track sentiment, watch real yields, and remember that even in 1980, Gold’s crash didn’t end its story — it simply reset the cycle for the next era of accumulation. ✨ History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. In 1979, Gold taught us that fear creates bubbles. In 2025, it’s reminding us that even truth needs a pullback before it shines again. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
72
( Gold Protocol ) Bullish & Bearish Reversal Detected➕ Bearish Reversal " 4115 Zone ➕ Bullish Reversal : 3990 🩸 Volume Surge Confirmed — Institutional buyers active 🩸 Session Aligned — Timing matches liquidity expansion window 🩸 Cluster Shield Formed — Demand imbalance verified 🩸 Delta Shift Positive — Accumulation phase confirmed 🩸 POC Retest Completed — Weak shorts absorbed 🩸 Structure Break Pending — Bullish intention verified Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction. 💯 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
46
Gold Preparing to Continue Its Bullish Move After ConsolidationHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Gold has maintained a strong bullish structure over the recent period, forming a clear ascending channel that has been respected multiple times. Each correction has been followed by strong bullish impulses, confirming that buyers remain in control of the long-term direction. After reaching the 4,368 Resistance Level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel — the market entered a range phase, signaling consolidation after an extended rally. The current price action has formed a secondary support zone near 4,050 – 4,080, also aligned with the ascending support line of the broader channel. Currently, the price is moving inside a range structure (Buyer Zone to Seller Zone), consolidating just above the main ascending support line. In my opinion, this area represents a critical accumulation zone, where buyers are likely preparing for another upward push. I expect that after testing the Buyer Zone, the price will find strong support and initiate a new bullish wave toward the Seller Zone and the Resistance Level at 4,368. A confirmed breakout above the resistance line of the local descending structure would validate this bullish continuation scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
31
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4134 and a gap below at 4090. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4134 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4134 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4174 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4174 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4236 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4288 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4288 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4331 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4360 BEARISH TARGETS 4090 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4042 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4122 4075 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE 3987 3939 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
29
XAUUSD: Healthy Pullback or the Start of a Downtrend?👋Hello everyone! What do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Looking at last week’s movement, gold experienced a pullback after nine consecutive weeks of gains. By the end of Friday’s session, price action remained relatively calm, consolidating around the $4115 area while maintaining the psychological support near $4000. From a technical perspective, it’s still too early to conclude whether this marks the beginning of a bearish trend or just a temporary correction. However, in the short term, from my view — and that of many others — this looks more like a healthy correction than a full trend reversal. The fundamental reasons supporting gold’s strength haven’t disappeared. The U.S. government shutdown continues, meaning we’re not receiving key economic data — increasing overall uncertainty. Meanwhile, central banks like Russia and China keep accumulating gold aggressively, and ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding the war in Ukraine continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset. Technically, after forming a double top, gold has entered an accumulation phase, potentially setting up for a new bullish structure. If price can break above the current resistance zone, it could open the door for a strong upward continuation. And you — what’s your view on the future of this precious metal? 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
50
XAUUSD: Will Gold Continue to Rise or Fall?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? As of writing, gold is trading around $4115, partially recovering from the sharp decline of the past few days. To explain the steep drop in gold prices on Tuesday, there’s no need for any conspiracy theories — the previous meteoric rise was already a big enough reason. Earlier, gold reached extremely high levels, and the rally had matured; any irrational market could fall without a clear reason. Despite this, while gold remains under technical selling pressure after the shock, the market is holding the initial support level above $4,000. After this volatility, it may take longer than expected for precious metals to regain stability. However, it’s still too early to conclude whether this is a "market crash" or just a short-term correction. From a technical perspective, gold is reacting well to the $4000 support I had previously anticipated . If it can hold, the next challenge to watch will be the first resistance zone around $4200 - $4230. As long as the support holds, I’m still betting on an upward trend. What about you? What do you think about gold prices? Will it continue to rise or fall? 💬Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
48
Gold’s recent rollercoaster- A Lifetime of LessonsThere are plenty of lessons to take from Gold’s recent rollercoaster — lessons about volatility, psychology, and how easily conviction can turn into chaos. But before we get into technicalities, let’s look at what really happened… and what it means for us as traders. ________________________________________ 1️⃣ The Illusion of Strength When Gold went straight from 4000 to 4400 in just a few days, the move looked unstoppable. Social media was full of confidence — “China is buying”, “5k incoming”, “This is the new era for Gold.” But markets don’t move in straight lines forever. Every parabolic rise eventually collapses under its own weight. And when it does, it doesn’t just destroy buy positions — it destroys false convictions. The first lesson? Moves that look too strong to fade are usually too weak to sustain. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Confidence Can Be Expensive Believing too much in one direction — especially when price already exploded (see the rise from 3300 to 4k in one month) — is one of the fastest ways to lose money. A trader who bought at 4350 because he was “sure” China would keep buying quickly learned how expensive “sure” can be. The market doesn’t reward conviction. It rewards discipline, flexibility, and risk control. Confidence without control is just another form of gambling. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading ≠ Investing This move also reminded everyone of a fundamental truth: You are not China. China buys Gold as a store of value, not as a speculative trade. They bought at 2500, 3k, 3.5k and 4400 — not to take profit in two days, but to build long-term reserves. You, as a trader, operate in a completely different universe. Mixing trading logic with investment narratives is a silent killer. You might tell yourself, “If China buys, I’m safe.” But China doesn’t use a stop loss and don't trade in margin (use laverage),— YOU DO. If you don’t understand the difference, better stay on the sidelines and watch. At least you won’t lose money while learning the hard way. And if you want a more down-to-earth comparison — my mother started buying Gold in the early ’70s, as a store of value through the communist period. She bought through the gold bubble of the late 1970s, bought at the bottom afterward, continued through the 1990s, and kept doing it until she retired in 2005. She wasn’t trading — she was preserving value. That’s what investing is. What we do here, every day, is something entirely different. ________________________________________ 4️⃣ Right vs. Wrong? It’s Not About That And now that we’ve made the distinction between investing and trading clear,we must also understand something even more important: Trading is not about being right or wrong — it’s about timing, money management, and perspective. Let’s take a few real examples from last few day's chaos: • On Friday, if you bought at 4275 and the price spiked overnight, you could’ve closed with 1000 pips profit — you were “right.” • But if someone else sold at 4370 during that same night, they were also “right,” catching the drop. • If you had bought the dip from the all-time high, around 4300, you’d likely be down 1000 pips in drawdown quickly same Friday — and let’s be honest, who really holds that? • If you sold at 4300 on Monday near resistance, you would have been stopped out as price revisited the ATH — even though your direction was correct eventually. • Likewise, if you bought yesterday at 4200 during the drop, you’d have been liquidated on the next 2000-pip fall. And if Gold now rises again to 4400 or even 5000 — how does that help you? Obviously, these are illustrative examples, just to express the point — not literal trades. And for those who commented under previous posts — either out of boredom or the need to contradict — I have two things to say: 1️⃣ If you don’t understand what I just explained, you have no business being in trading. 2️⃣ If you do understand but still feel the urge to argue, your comment is nothing more than trolling and emotional projection. Because this isn’t about numbers or ego — it’s about understanding how the market really works, beyond the noise and the narratives. ________________________________________ 5️⃣ The Real Lesson The 4000–4400 move wasn’t just a chart pattern. It was a psychological test — a reminder that the market exists to expose overconfidence. When something looks “certain,” that’s usually when it’s most dangerous. In trading, survival matters more than prediction. And sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all. ________________________________________ 6️⃣ Final Thoughts Gold’s rollercoaster taught more than a dozen books on trading psychology ever could. It reminded us that: • Parabolic moves end violently. • Overconfidence without a stop loss is suicide. • You’re not an investor — you’re a trader. • Being “right” means nothing without timing. • And sometimes, the best position is to stay out. The market didn’t just move from 4000 to 4400 and back. It moved through the hearts and minds of every trader watching it —and left behind a few lessons worth remembering for a lifetime.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
29
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation. 📝Levels to watch: $4,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
23
Dow Theory – A Compass to Help Traders Read Market TrendsHello everyone, While Fibonacci, Trendlines, or Price Action can help you find precise entry points, nothing is more fundamental and reliable for understanding the market’s overall movement than Dow Theory . This isn’t an obscure or overly academic concept—it’s very practical. In fact, it underpins most of the trend-following strategies that traders use today. Whether you trade Forex, Gold, Stocks, or Crypto, the core question remains the same: Is the market trending up, trending down, or just in a temporary correction? If you can’t answer this, all other technical analyses become meaningless. That’s why Dow Theory was developed—to serve as a compass, helping traders grasp the trend and make precise decisions. Applying Dow Theory in Trading The key to using Dow isn’t memorizing its principles; it’s about reading the real market and turning insights into action. When combined with tools like EMA and MACD , the market picture becomes much clearer: EMA shows the direction and momentum of price, while MACD alerts you to potential reversals. For example, when prices are rising and EMA is pointing up, a MACD crossover or divergence signals a potential entry along the trend. At the same time, watching price patterns such as Head & Shoulders or Double Top/Bottom helps you anticipate trend reversals, avoiding false moves and short-term traps. Of course, all these tools only work effectively if you manage your risk carefully , set Stop Loss levels based on price structure, and risk only a small portion of your account per trade. Dow reminds us that a trend continues until there’s a clear reversal signal, so don’t fight the market just because of a few opposing candles. Once you grasp this principle, reading charts , identifying trends , and trading with the flow of money becomes natural and precise, without guesswork. More importantly, you’ll know when to stay out to preserve capital and when to step in to maximize profits. That’s why Dow Theory remains a solid foundation for any trader looking to trade with the trend, whether in Forex, Gold, Stocks, or Crypto. So, are you ready to catch the market waves with Dow and capitalize on every swing?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by EmmaChartist
36
Why Is Gold Called the King of Assets?👋Hello everyone! If you are an investor, you have probably heard the saying: “Gold is the king of assets.” But why gold? Why does gold always hold a special place in the financial markets and is considered a safe haven in all circumstances? Let’s explore why gold deserves this title and why it remains a favorite choice among millions of people around the world! 1.Gold Is the Guarantee of Safety When the stock market plunges, when economies face crises, or when inflation erodes the value of currencies, gold is always the first choice of smart investors. While other assets can lose value quickly, gold tends to hold its worth — and can even rise. This is why gold is regarded as a “safe haven” in times of uncertainty. Gold is not only favored by individual investors but also by governments and central banks around the world. They accumulate gold as a way to protect their nations’ economies from global financial shocks. 2.Gold: An Asset That Cannot Be Printed Like Money There’s one thing we must understand clearly: gold has a limited supply. Unlike money, which can be printed at the discretion of central banks, the supply of gold is fixed and can only increase through mining — a costly and time-consuming process. This natural scarcity makes gold a sustainably valuable asset. 3.Gold Is a Symbol of History Gold is not a new type of asset. It has been intertwined with human history for thousands of years. Since the dawn of civilization, gold has been used as a medium of exchange, a precious possession, and even as the foundation of global monetary systems. From ancient Egypt to the modern day, gold has always held a special place in society. This gives gold a level of longevity that few other assets can match. When you own gold, you don’t just own a valuable physical item — you own a piece of history. 4.Gold Is Easily Convertible and Highly Liquid Wherever you are in the world, gold can easily be converted into cash. Unlike most other assets, you can sell gold in almost any country and in nearly any circumstance without major restrictions. Therefore, gold is not only valuable but also highly liquid, allowing you to turn it into cash whenever you need it. 5.Gold Is a Tool to Diversify Risk While stocks or bonds can fluctuate wildly and cause anxiety, gold can serve as a perfect diversification tool. Suppose you have investments in stocks or real estate — allocating a small portion of your portfolio to gold can help reduce risk during times of market turbulence. Gold helps you protect your wealth and maintain stability in an unpredictable world. 6.Gold: An Asset Anyone Can Own Gold isn’t just for billionaires or big institutions. You don’t need a million-dollar account to own gold. With the rise of online gold trading and products such as small gold bars, jewelry, and even digital gold, anyone can own it conveniently and affordably. 7.Gold Never Goes Out of Style One unique thing about gold is that its appeal never fades. Every time the price rises, more people rush to buy it. Gold isn’t just valued for its stability and ability to preserve wealth — it’s also a symbol of prosperity and success. A gold ring or a small bar of gold always carries a sense of pride for its owner. With all these reasons, it’s no surprise that gold is called the “King of Assets.” It can protect you during tough times, provide opportunities for profit in uncertain markets, and remain timeless through generations. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or a beginner, gold will always be a valuable and worthy investment choice. Would you like to become a billionaire — a true gold trading expert? 💬Share your thoughts about gold below, and don’t forget to hit that like button — it means a lot to me!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Kevinn_Nguyen
32
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Analysis: Parabolic Pause or Peak?OANDA:XAUUSD experienced significant turbulence this week, initially pushing higher before encountering firm resistance and subsequently breaking down sharply toward the critical $4,000 psychological support level. This aggressive pullback, fueled by rising volume, signals a potential exhaustion of the parabolic rally seen in recent weeks. A move toward $3,900 is not a collapse, but a necessary, healthy correction — allowing momentum to reset and positioning the market for a sustainable next leg higher. The 4H chart shows that after an explosive run into the all-time high zone near $4,380, price met fierce resistance. The subsequent drop formed a textbook corrective channel, confirming the market’s need to digest gains. What we should watch most closely? The upward trendline remains intact, acting as a dynamic support level. As long as price holds above this upward trendline and the broader upward channel, the primary uptrend remains alive. A break below $3,900 would be a red flag; a bounce from there could ignite a powerful retest of the ATH zone. Zooming into the 1H chart, we see the formation of a classic double top pattern at the resistance area, followed by a decisive breakdown. This bearish signal was quickly countered by a strong rebound, now forming an ascending triangle. This pattern is inherently bullish — it represents consolidation before a breakout. The key trigger? A decisive close above the triangle’s upper resistance line would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend and likely propel gold toward new highs, targeting the $4,400 level. In essence, gold is not broken — it’s breathing. The market is resetting its momentum, and the technical structure still favors the bulls. We should watch the $3,900 - $4,000 support and the ascending triangle breakout like a hawk. The next move could be explosive. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
38
What Do Global Experts Say About the XAUUSD Trend?👋Hello everyone , great to see you again! Let’s take a closer look at OANDA:XAUUSD today. At the start of this new trading week, gold is showing a mild pullback, trading around $4,070 — down more than $44 at the time of writing. In the short term, many Wall Street analysts are leaning toward a sideways or bearish outlook for gold. Among them, Jim Wyckoff, a veteran analyst at Kitco, predicts that gold will remain volatile with a downside bias this week: “Large swings are pushing both buyers and sellers out of the market in the same session. When speculators retreat due to risk aversion, the trend often tilts lower.” However, he also emphasizes that medium- to long-term support for gold remains intact. The U.S. government shutdown has now extended into its fourth week, and the lack of key economic data is adding to uncertainty — a backdrop where gold continues to serve as a safe-haven asset. From my personal perspective, gold currently appears to be moving sideways and entering a phase of accumulation. The metal market looks somewhat exhausted after multiple strong rallies, and many traders seem to be waiting for a deeper correction before re-entering. The key support zone to watch lies around $4,030–$4,000 . If this level breaks, I would avoid buying immediately and wait for a more stable setup to emerge. What about you — how do you see the gold trend unfolding next? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and good luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
XAU/USD : Gold Breaks $4,000 Support – Can Bulls Hold the Line?By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after rising to $4,138 and entering the marked supply zone, gold faced strong selling pressure and continued to drop, finally breaking below the $4,000 support and reaching $3,971. As shown on the chart, this area is a key demand zone, and we expected a reaction here. If gold manages to hold above the current level, we could see a short-term bounce toward $4,015. This analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
45
Gold: Watch for a corrective pullback toward 4,230Price was in a strong bullish trend. However, momentum started to fade as price created a double top pattern, a classic signal of buyer exhaustion. After the second top, sellers stepped in aggressively, breaking below the neckline, confirming a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This breakdown accelerated as trapped buyers began exiting their positions, fueling a sharp decline. From here, a short-term bullish pullback may develop, buyers could push price back toward the 4,230, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
23
Gold Bull Market Outlook And Targets: 5000 USD/7500 USDGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update ________________________________________ 🌊 Five-Wave Roadmap — Targets & Timing • Wave 1 (2016–2020): From ~$1,050–1,200 to the COVID-era spike; established secular up-trend. • Wave 2 (2020–2022): Consolidation/corrective pullback (~–20%). • Wave 3 (2023–2025/26): Power leg to ATHs (current). Room to extend toward $4,200–$4,500 on flow surges before pausing. • Wave 4 (2026, base case): Re-accumulation/consolidation ~12 months; likely range-bound –10% to –15% from the Wave-3 peak as institutional buying digests gains. • Wave 5 (2027–2030/32): Final thrust to the cycle’s terminal zone: – First objective: $5,000–$5,500 (consistent with 2026 Street “bull wave” scenarios). – Terminal extension: $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 (our desk’s stretch path if real yields stay muted, official-sector demand persists, and private capital rotation broadens). Why Wave-4 can last ~12 months: prior secular bulls often paused for a full year near major breakouts while flows “change hands.” Expect lower realized vol, fading retail FOMO, and steady official accumulation to define the tape. 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull 2025 1. Price & ATHs: Spot ~$3.75–$3.79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025. 2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD 3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (later revised to ~1,086 t as lagged data came in). H1/Q1’25 tracking remained elevated. 4. ETF Flows: Back-to-back strong quarters; Q2’25 total demand 1,249 t, value US$132bn (+45% y/y) with ETFs instrumental. 5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD. 6. Jewelry Demand: Tonnage softened as prices surged; value at records (2024 down y/y; weakness persisted into H1’25). 7. Gold–Silver Ratio: ~85–88 (silver torque improving as it pushes into the mid-$40s). 8. Macro Link: Safe-haven bid + expected policy easing keep real-yield headwinds contained. 9. Technical: Confirmed 13-yr cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend. 10. Street Forecasts: GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26; bulled-up houses (HSBC/BofA) flag $4.9–$5.0k potential into 2026 if private/ETF rotation persists. • This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind. • Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s. • Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return). • Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move. • Outlook: Street base cases cluster near $4,000 by mid-’26; several houses now publish $4,900–$5,000 stretch targets into 2026 as flows accelerate. ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats 1. 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980) • Gain: ~2,330% • Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress. • Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run. 2. 1999–2011/12 • Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12) • Gain: ~650% • Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid. 3. 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle) • Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025) • Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor) • Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout. ________________________________________ 📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025) Metric | 1968–80 Super Bull | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% (so far) ⏲️ Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) 💔 Max Drawdown | ~–45% (’74–’76) | ~–30% (’08) | ~–20% (2022) 🏦 Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks 🏛️ Pattern | Secular parabolic | Cyclical ramps | 13-yr base → breakout (’24) Notes: current-cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & the 2024 technical breakout. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🔄 What Makes This Bull Different 2025 Edition • 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Third consecutive 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 is still tracking strong on a run-rate basis. This “sticky” demand is from price-insensitive reserve managers. • ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Drawdowns are shallower/shorter vs the 1970s analog, consistent with a structural rather than speculative buyer base. • 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — ATHs with equities positive YTD = macro hedge + diversification bid, not just “panic buying.” • 📐 Structural Breakout — 13-yr base cleared in 2024; market now in multi-year price discovery. ________________________________________ 🎯 Strategy Ideas 2025 & Beyond • Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties. • Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity and tactical tilts. Satellite/Leverage • Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners. • Factor Tilt in Miners: Prioritize low AISC, strong balance sheets, reserve growth, rule-of-law jurisdictions; emphasize free-cash-flow yield and disciplined capex. Risk-Management • Define max drawdown per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike). • Use options overlays (collars on miners; long-dated calls on physical proxies) to shape payoff in Wave-3 late innings and Wave-4 digestion. ________________________________________ 🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull? • Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained) → compress gold’s opportunity cost. • Official-sector buying stalls (policy or FX-reserve shifts) → removes the anchor bid. • Growth re-acceleration + faster-than-expected disinflation → weaker safe-haven + fewer rate cuts. • Technical break: a persistent move below ~$3,600–3,700 would question Wave-3 extension and pull forward Wave-4. ________________________________________ 🧭 Quick Reference Tables 🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current Feature | 1968–80 | 1999–2012 | 2016/18–2025 Total Gain | ~2,330% | ~650% | ~215–260% Duration | 12 yrs | 13 yrs | 7–9 yrs (ongoing) Correction | ~–45% | ~–30% | ~–20% (’22) Main Buyer | Retail/Europe | Funds/EM | Central Banks Pattern | Parabolic | Cyclical | Cup & Handle → Secular 🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook • If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations. • If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge. • If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque. ________________________________________ 🔚 Key Takeaways Updated • Twin pillars: relentless official-sector demand + 2024 structural breakout. • Base case: Street ~$3.7–4.0k by mid-’26 with upside to $4.5–5.0k on accelerated private/ETF rotation. • Roadmap: Extend Wave-3 → Wave-4 re-accumulation (~12 months) → Wave-5 to $5,000–$5,500, then $7,500–$8,000 by 2030–2032 under favorable macro/flow dynamics. • Operating stance: keep core, add on dips/sideways phases, manage beta and drawdowns proactively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
50
Gold next week Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE 🏆 High/Close: $4,380 → ~$4,112 — lower close within range; momentum cooled but holding the $4,000 handle. 📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; oversold into $4.1k—setup favors reflex bounce. 🛡 Supports: $4,120–$4,080 → $4,020–$3,988 (bullish liquidity) → $4,000/3,980 must hold. 🚧 Resistances: $4,200 / $4,250 (bearish liquidity) / $4,300 → stretch $4,350–$4,380. 🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip $4,020–$3,988; momentum regain above $4,200 targets $4,250 → $4,300–$4,350. Invalidation < $3,980 risks a deeper flush to $3,950. 🌍 Macro tailwinds: • Policy: Easing real yields supportive on dips. • FX: Softer USD tone = constructive backdrop. • Flows: Central-bank buying + tactical ETF interest underpin $4k. • Geopolitics: Trade/tariff & regional tensions keep safety bids alive. 🎯 Street view: Select houses still float $5,000/oz by 2026 on policy easing & reserve-diversification narratives. ________________________________________ 🔝 Key Resistance Zones • $4,200–$4,230 immediate supply from the weekly close • $4,250 bearish liquidity / primary target • $4,300–$4,350 extension band • $4,380 prior spike high / stretch 🛡 Support Zones • $4,120–$4,080 first retest band below close • $4,020–$3,988 buy zone (bullish liquidity) • $4,000 / $3,980 must-hold shelf ________________________________________ ⚖️ Base Case Scenario Expect pullbacks into $4,120–$4,080 and $4,020–$3,988 to attract buyers, rotating price back toward $4,200 then $4,250. Acceptance above $4,250 invites a drive into $4,300–$4,350. 🚀 Breakout Trigger A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,250 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380 if momentum persists. 💡 Market Drivers • Real-yield drift lower (supportive carry backdrop) • USD softness aiding metals • Ongoing CB accumulation; ETF flows stabilizing on dips • Headline risk (trade/geopolitics) sustaining safe-haven demand 🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines • Bullish above: $4,020–$4,100 (buyers defend pullbacks) • Bearish below: $3,980 (risk expands; threatens $3,950) 🧭 Strategy Buy low from bullish liquidity (~$3,988) with a target at $4,250; oversold conditions favor a strong bounce. Add on strength above $4,200 toward $4,300–$4,350. Keep risk tight below $3,980–$4,000 to invalidate.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
41
Gold Price in Free Fall👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD and see what’s happening! At the time of writing, the precious metal continues to move within a downward wave. At one point, gold dropped close to the $4,000 mark, down more than $350 compared to the same time in the previous session — a decline of nearly 5%. This marks the sharpest drop after nine consecutive weeks of gains. The main reasons behind this move are the strengthening U.S. dollar, profit-taking pressure, and diminishing caution as U.S.–China trade tensions show signs of easing. In addition, optimism over the potential reopening of the U.S. government, reduced political uncertainty, and improving trade sentiment have lessened investors’ urgent demand for safe-haven assets like gold. From a technical perspective: Gold had previously fallen after forming a double-top pattern, breaking through several key support levels. It is now reacting around $4,100, gaining temporary momentum from the $4,000 support zone. In the short term, I expect a minor rebound before the downtrend may resume, but from a medium to long-term view, I remain optimistic, supported by expectations that the Fed will soon ease monetary policy, Trump’s tariff measures, and continued gold buying by central banks. What about you — how do you see gold’s next move today? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below. Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Support Hold Long OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD pulled back sharply from the resistance and printed a higher low right at the confluence of the uptrend and above previous week low 4,050. Structurally, the broader upward channel remains intact while price retested the downward trendline from above, keeping the higher-low sequence alive. If 4,000–4,050 support continues to hold, it favor a rebound toward 4,245 and, if momentum extends, a run at 4,400; a daily close back below 4,043 would defer the bounce. Broader momentum still skews bullish with successive higher lows, suggesting the recent drop is a corrective pullback within the trend rather than a top. ⚠️ Risks: A decisive break below 4,000 that invalidates the uptrend confluence could extend losses toward 3,950–3,900. Strong USD and higher real yields on hawkish Fed rhetoric/data may cap upside or accelerate downside. Diminishing geopolitical risk or risk-on equity strength could sap haven demand for gold. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
31
GOLD Analysis: Watching for Reaction Near Buyer ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been in a strong bullish trend for quite some time, forming a clear upward channel structure. Each impulse has been followed by a short consolidation phase (range), allowing the market to gather liquidity for the next push higher. However, after reaching the key Resistance Level near 4368, the price entered a Seller Zone where heavy supply emerged, triggering a sharp correction. This move broke the short-term market structure and pushed the price down towards the Buyer Zone — an important support area that previously acted as a base for a strong rally. Currently, Gold is trading near the bottom of a descending correction channel, approaching a crucial decision point. I expect the market to make a small corrective move to retest the Resistance Line of this channel, and if rejection follows, it could open the way for another bearish leg toward my TP around 4020. From a broader perspective, this decline still looks like a healthy correction within a major uptrend, so I’ll be watching closely how the price reacts inside the Buyer Zone — it might offer great opportunities for the next bullish impulse later on. Thank you for reading! Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16