XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Following the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday, gold surged to the 3600 level before entering a corrective phase from that resistance.
We expect this pullback to extend further, potentially reaching lower support zones in the short term.
If gold finds support and reacts positively, a new bullish wave may begin.
A confirmed breakout above the 3600 level would open the door for a move toward the next key resistance around 3700.
As long as gold holds above the key support area, this bullish scenario remains valid.
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GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
GOLD → Strong bullish trend. What are the targets?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally on positive fundamentals that emerged at the end of last week. The market is pricing in an almost 100% cut in interest rates, which is weakening the dollar and supporting the metal...
Gold is holding close to its record high of $3,600 after extremely weak US employment data for August. This has reinforced expectations of a 25 bp Fed rate cut this month.
This week, attention is focused on the release of US inflation data (CPI and PPI). Inflation data in the US will confirm or adjust expectations for Fed policy easing. If inflation remains high, this could delay aggressive rate cuts and cause a correction in gold. For now, the bullish trend continues.
Resistance levels: 3615, 3634, 3650
Support levels: 3600, 3578
Technically, a strong bullish trend. Growth may continue after price consolidation above 3614-3615 or after a slight correction to support at 3600 relative to the current local rally.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth FX:XAUUSD is undergoing a correction amid revised unemployment data, but this has not disrupted the overall technical situation. The market is still anticipating an aggressive reduction in interest rates...
The price resumed its growth on Wednesday amid escalating geopolitical tensions and a weakening dollar ahead of the release of US inflation data (PPI). The price is correcting after a record high of $3675, but retains the potential for further growth.
The escalation of the situation in Eastern Europe and the Middle East is increasing demand for safe assets. Expectations of Fed policy easing and a revision of employment data are weighing on the USD.
PPI inflation data: Today's release may temporarily support the USD if the figures exceed forecasts, but the overall trend remains bearish for the dollar.
PPI data is ahead, which may cause short-term volatility, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact.
Support levels: 3640, 3628
Resistance levels: 3657, 3675
Technically, I expect to see a correction from local resistance to the 3645-3640 area, from which growth may continue. A breakout of 3657 could trigger a continuation of the momentum.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Cut Bets Drive Rally ?OANDA:XAUUSD surged Friday after disappointing payroll data showing just 22K jobs added versus 75K expected, solidifying Fed rate cut expectations at 87.8% probability for September's meeting. The precious metal has already hit record highs above $3,500, gaining over 30% year-to-date as weakening labor conditions fuel aggressive easing bets.
The 4-hour chart reveals gold touched above the $3,600 resistance zone with bullish momentum intact. If the market pulls back then there's 38.2% fibo retracement level to consider. Overall gain of 4.75% in one week suggests minor consolidation might occur before targeting the upper resistance around $3,650. The ascending channel remains unbroken, supporting continued upward movement.
The broader perspective shows gold emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, with the recent breakout confirming a major $3,500 level. Gold initially demonstrated its first impulse leg, then moved sideways for four months, and is now in the process of forming its second impulse leg, which will end at around $3,660.
Some economists now debate whether the Fed might deliver a jumbo 50-basis-point cut given consecutive weak employment reports, which could propel gold toward the $3,660-3,700 correction zone upper boundary. Key support lies at $3500-3530, while sustained weakness could test the major trendline near $3,450.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD → As prices continue to rise, so do the risks...FX:XAUUSD continues to rise, setting new highs. New ATH 3659. Focus on current consolidation, as the structure remains bullish...
Gold hit a new record high, surpassing $3,650, amid a weakening dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing. However, overbought conditions and profit-taking risks may limit further growth.
The USD is at 7-week lows due to fears of stagflation and deteriorating employment data. The probability of a rate cut on September 17 is 89.4% (25 bps), with a chance of 50 bps. Markets are expecting more than two cuts in 2024.
Risks for gold: “Sell the fact”: If the NFP revision turns out to be weak (as expected), investors may start to take profits.
Technically, gold remains bullish, but a near-term correction is likely due to technical factors and a possible reaction to the data. The long-term trend remains bullish thanks to a weak USD and the Fed's dovish policy.
Resistance levels: 3657, 3675, 3700
Support levels: 3636, 3628, 3620
Gold is consolidating. At the moment, the fundamental background is stable, and no news is expected today except for those that are impossible to predict (comments, rumors, etc.). Before further growth, gold may test the support area and the liquidity hidden behind it.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋 Hello everyone , what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
After Friday’s impressive breakout, gold is now showing signs of a pullback at the upper resistance zone, forming lower highs and currently trading around 3590 USD.
The main scenario still favors the bullish side, but I believe a correction is likely before the primary uptrend resumes. That’s the reason behind today’s retracement. The first key support to watch is 3577 USD, followed by the 3565 – 3560 USD zone.
And you—do you think gold will pull back further or continue its rally? Leave your thoughts in the comments and give this post a like if you agree with my view.
Good luck!
GOLD: Israeli Airstrike Hits Hamas leaders in QatarGOLD: Israeli Airstrike Hits Hamas leaders in Qatar
🚨 Breaking NEWS:
Several blasts heard in Qatar’s capital after Israeli airstrike on Hamas leadership
The Israel Defence Forces (IDF) said it had carried out a targeted attack on Hamas officials, shortly after the militant group claimed responsibility for an attack on a bus stop in Jerusalem that killed six people.
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The previous time Israel, Iran and the US started the conflict and GOLD fell and did not rise at a time when everyone thought it would explode.
The price is rising inside an ascending channel. A price reaction has already started. If it breaks out of the channel, then it may fall further as shown in the chart.
It may repeat the same pattern as last time. Drop at a moment that everyone is waiting for 4000.
Someone else may close the profits made so far.
Maybe the news we had today was news that someone else knew in advance. This could be a strong reason why GOLD rose for no reason in the previous days.
⚠️It is better if you avoid trading gold
⚠️I don't want you to sell GOLD, but is better if you know that also this scenario is possible if the price breaks down from the channel
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAU/USD (Gold) - Trendline Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3583
2nd Support – 3546
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XAU/USD | Gold Faces Rejection Zone $3654–$3675 – Pullback AheadBy analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has continued its rally since our last analysis, setting new highs one after another, with the latest peak at $3,675. Currently, gold is trading around $3,644, and we still don’t see any clear change in market structure to suggest a strong reversal.
However, the $3,654–$3,675 zone is considered a rejection block. If the price manages to close below this zone within the next 12 hours, I expect a price correction. The possible downside targets for this pullback are $3,635, $3,625, and $3,616.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold (XAU/USD) –> Two Scenarios Hello guys!
Gold has been moving strongly inside an ascending channel on the 1H chart, showing consistent bullish momentum. Price is currently testing a key resistance area around $3,585 – $3,590. From here, one of two scenarios is most likely to play out:
Scenario 1: A short-term pullback toward $3,563 support, followed by a bounce that could fuel another leg higher. target will be near $3,630 – $3,650.
Scenario 2: A short-term pullback toward $3,580 support, pushing price toward the upper channel resistance near $3,630 – $3,650.
Both scenarios remain bullish as long as gold trades above $3,560. Only a clean break below this level would weaken the structure.
Overall, gold is set for further upside; the path depends on whether we see a retest first or an immediate breakout.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | GOLD Correction Phase - Momentum Cooling Off ?OANDA:XAUUSD has reached the resistance zone near 3,650, stalling after a strong bullish run within the upward channel. The chart shows a clear top formation, with sellers defending this area and hinting at a potential corrective move. If gold fails to break and hold above 3,650, price could retrace toward 3,546 as the next key support. The overall structure still favors bulls in the longer term, but near-term momentum points to a pullback phase. Consolidation here may also depend on upcoming economic data.
💡 Risks:
A weaker-than-expected US CPI or labor data release could reignite strong buying and push gold beyond 3,650.
Geopolitical tensions may drive safe-haven demand, supporting further upside despite technical rejection.
A dovish Fed shift could restore bullish flows, reducing the likelihood of a sustained correction.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Explodes Every Second👋 Hello everyone, let’s dive into OANDA:XAUUSD together!
Yesterday, gold continued its shocking rally, hitting 3600 USD for the first time in history, making the precious metal more attractive than ever – jumping over 500 pips in just a few hours.
This bullish momentum has been fueled by recent US economic data, especially the latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
📊 The figures show:
-Actual: 22K
-Forecast: 75K
-Previous: 79K
This is a strong bullish signal: far fewer jobs were created than expected, showing weakness in the US labor market → USD weakens → gold explodes higher!
On the chart, XAUUSD remains steady, currently retracing around 3586 USD. Supports keep forming, suggesting that after this pullback, another leg up is likely. The current environment is acting as a “tailwind” for gold – the strategy remains: Buy on dip with the main trend.
💬 What about you? Where do you think gold will head next? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold Promises New Highs👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to hold a strong bullish trend, currently trading around 3,630 USD with a short-term pullback serving as momentum for the next move.
The key support zone is located around 3,600 – 3,580 USD. If this level holds, the upside remains open with the first psychological target at 3,700 USD. Two major indicators to watch are PPI (Sept 10) and CPI (Sept 11), which could act as the next catalysts for XAUUSD. Keep a close eye to catch trading opportunities.
Scalping Strategy – Optimal Profit Management
✔️ TP1 or 30 Pips: Close bad entry and move SL to entry
✔️ TP2 or 50–70 Pips: Close half of remaining profit, move SL to TP1
✔️ TP3: Close all
From my personal perspective, the main trend remains bullish. Pullbacks only serve as opportunities for safer long entries. And you—what do you think about gold’s trend?
GOLD → Retest 3620 - 3600 (imbalance zones) on the uptrendFX:XAUUSD is consolidating ahead of important news. The market is currently testing support, but the bullish pattern remains intact despite the intraday correction.
Gold is trading near $3650 in anticipation of US inflation data (CPI), which will determine the further trend. So far, the metal is consolidating below a record high of $3675.
High CPI data: will strengthen the dollar and weaken gold (bets on Fed easing will decline).
Low data: will push gold to new highs (the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts will be confirmed).
At the moment, the probability of a rate cut on September 17 is 92% (25 bps), with an 8% chance of 50 bps.
Technically, the chart is forming a consolidation against the backdrop of a bullish trend, the market is testing support, and if the bulls hold their ground in the key zone, traders may return to buying.
Resistance levels: 3638, 3649, 3657
Support levels: 3620, 3607, 3600
There is a battle for the 3620 zone. Consolidation above this zone will confirm bullish strength; otherwise, we can expect a deeper correction to the 3607-3600 zone to retest the imbalance area before further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG report we said we would be watching the open for a support level to form below and price to attempt the red box, which worked well. It’s that red box we said needed to be watched for the break, which if happened would see us attempt higher price starting with 3468 and above that 3485-90. Again, we broke, hit our targets on the chart and the red box targets early week.
We then released the NFP Report which gave the key level and the bias for the move. As you can see on that report, we managed to get almost a pip prefect move from the key level upside, nearly into the target level where we suggested the opportunity to short may come from this week
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we have Cpi and PPi midweek so there is potential for this to either range up here, or, like we suggested in the NFP Report, a tap above and a move downside. What we would ideally like to see here is support attacked, defended, a move upside in to the 3606-10 region with extension into the 3620 level and a rejection from above. So, in this scenario, due to the stretch, we’re happy to test these levels with sensible risk but due to that stretch and the mean being way below, if we break above that 3620 level, we’re happy to let it go to where it wants before looking for a reversal.
We’re going to keep it simple, lets see how we open and then we’ll have a better idea of what to expect for the rest of the week.
As usual, we’ll update traders through the week with our plans and trades.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Lingrid | GOLD Price Deceleration: Short-Term Retracement The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a fresh all-time high within the upward channel but is now showing price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone, suggesting exhaustion. Price action is forming smaller candles in the profit-taking area, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward 3,590, with deeper downside potential toward 3,470 if sellers sustain control. The broader structure highlights a possible correction unfolding following A-B-C movement from this overextended zone.
💡 Risks:
A softer US CPI could reignite bullish flows and invalidate the sell scenario.
Renewed geopolitical tensions may increase safe-haven demand and push gold higher.
A dovish Federal Reserve shift could restore strong buying pressure and reverse any correction.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Understand This, and You Will Always Be the Winner👋Welcome, everyone!
Have you ever wondered what causes the market to rise and fall? You may have seen in my analysis that I always refer to the news, and yes, that’s the answer. In addition to technical analysis, news always plays a crucial role as a catalyst, driving stronger trends. Let’s explore more!
TOPIC: Identifying The News Groups That Strongly Affect Gold Prices
Not all news is important. Gold often fluctuates strongly due to the following factors:
-Interest rates & FED policies (FOMC, FED chairman’s speech)
-Inflation data: CPI, PCE, Core CPI
-USD strength: DXY index, employment report (NFP)
-Geopolitics: Conflict, war, financial crisis
➡️ If the news falls into these 4 groups, pay close attention.
💡 Understand the basic logic of USD and gold
🔼 When the USD strengthens (due to good news about the U.S. economy, the FED raising interest rates) → gold usually decreases.
🔽 When the USD weakens (bad news, the FED loosens, high inflation) → gold usually increases.
🚫 When there is instability (crisis, war, risk) → safe-haven money flows into gold.
➡️ By understanding this logic, you don’t need to memorize too much.
📢 Read the news in 3 steps
When the news is released:
-Compare the actual results with the forecast and previous period.
-Place gold in the logic above to speculate on the initial direction.
-Combine with the chart to find a reasonable entry instead of entering immediately when the news is released (avoid getting stopped out).
⭐️ Real example: OANDA:XAUUSD A strong rally to 3600 USD.
Cause: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) released on September 6.
📊 The data showed:
-Actual: 22K
-Forecast: 75K
-Previous: 79K
This is a strong bullish signal: the number of jobs created was much lower than expected, showing a weakening U.S. labor market → USD weakens → gold surges, providing a great buying opportunity.
📌 In conclusion: Reading the news doesn’t have to be complicated. Just remember:
✅ Important news that affects gold.
✅ USD and gold are almost opposites.
✅ Always combine news + technical analysis for safe entries.
Now, it’s your turn to put the knowledge into practice. Please like this post if you understand everything and are looking forward to the next lessons, it will be a great encouragement for me.
Wishing you all the best on your way to becoming an expert!
XAUUSD – Bulls Gaining the Edge?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, the market received a series of key US data, sending gold into constant swings. Here’s a quick breakdown of the impact on the precious metal:
🔻 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 54K < 73K (forecast) < 106K (previous) → Labor market weakens → USD down → Gold supported.
🔻 Unemployment Claims: 237K > 230K (forecast) > 229K (previous) → Jobless claims rise → USD down → Gold supported.
🔺 ISM Services PMI: 52.0 > 50.9 (forecast) > 50.1 (previous) → Services expand → USD stronger → Gold under pressure.
👉 Overall: 2 out of 3 data points came in negative for the USD, creating downward pressure on the dollar and supporting gold. Even though services data was positive, market sentiment still leans toward expectations of a less hawkish Fed → easing yields → gold benefits.
Preferred Strategy: Look for potential buying zones at support and Fibonacci retracement levels. The main target is a safe move above the trendline, with 3575 in focus.
Risk: If price closes below support, wait for fresh signals to identify safer entry points.
So, what do you think? Where will XAUUSD head next, and at what price will today’s session end?
Good luck!
Gold Next levelsThis chart analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD, 1H timeframe) shows that price is currently holding above a rising trendline, indicating bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is around 3620, where price has already bounced. If the bullish structure continues, the upside targets are:
Target 1: 3657
Target 2: 3673
Target 3 / New High Zone: 3708
As long as price stays above the trendline and 3620 support, the outlook remains bullish with potential continuation towards new highs.
Gold in Focus: Pullback Sets Stage for Next MoveGOLD has been moving within a rising parallel channel. And recently price just pulled back sharply from the channel’s top and touched the lower boundary, where it was strongly rejected. That rejection wick indicates that buyers stepped in already.
If momentum picks up again, the channel top could even break and extend the rally further. I would target the top of the channel, taking into account the market context, it's achievable.
The risk, however, comes if price closes strongly below the channel’s lower boundary. In that case, the bullish structure breaks and the move could start downwards short term.
XAU/USD | Gold at Record Highs – Can NFP Stop the Rally?By analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its rally today, reaching $3,578 and printing a new all-time high (ATH)! After hitting this level, gold made a slight pullback to $3,510. Right now, the price has bounced back and is trading around $3,550.
So far, there are no clear signs on the higher timeframes that gold is ready to reverse from here. For that, we would need to see stronger bearish moves. The current momentum still supports further upside unless proven otherwise. That’s why it’s better to stay patient and wait for a real break or shift in market structure before looking for attractive trade setups.
Also, tomorrow we have the NFP report, which could trigger a drop in gold if the data comes in stronger than expected. Until then, we’ll wait — and if you guys strongly support this post, I’ll share my updated personal analysis a few hours before the release. Stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3593 and a gap below at 3562. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3593 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3613
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3613 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3638
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3638 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3658
BEARISH TARGETS
3562
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3562 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3528
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3528 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3492
3470
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3470 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3438
3408
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX