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Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out: 🔎Analysis summary: After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top. 📝Levels to watch: $3.500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
11
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone, The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand. On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge. My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone. In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region. What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
5
Gold: Shallow pullback, target remains 3.65xAfter the BLS labour revision, gold on the H1 chart went through a sharp two-way move. Normally this release isn’t a big market driver, but this year it acted as a strong catalyst, causing heavy swings. The uptrend structure is still intact: price is holding along the Ichimoku edge, each higher low confirms buyers are active, and there’s an FVG layer supporting near 3.62x. If a stronger sell-off comes, 3.60x around the cloud body remains a familiar magnet for balance. From the macro side, today’s US PPI and tomorrow’s CPI, alongside jobless claims and the ECB press conference, will be key. Softer data could weigh on yields and the dollar, giving gold the tailwind to retest 3.64x–3.65x, with possible extension to 3.66x–3.67x. On the contrary, hot data risks dragging the metal back to 3.62x or even 3.60x before resuming higher. My bias still favours a shallow retracement as long as 3.60x holds. The 3.64x–3.65x band is the near-term lid: a firm candle close above strengthens the breakout case. Before the data, though, I’d rather wait for candle confirmation than chase intra-bar spikes. What about you? Do you think gold will break above 3.65x in this move, or will it need another balance around 3.60x first? Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
7
Gold: “Soft Data – Tailwind”, Watching 3,660–3,670 BreakHello everyone, today I want to quickly share my view on gold after the latest US data. Jobless claims jumped to 263k – the highest since 2021 – signalling that the labour market is cooling. This scenario usually pushes USD and yields lower, giving gold room to rebound from session lows. On the other hand, August CPI rose to 2.9% y/y, showing inflation is not completely “cool”, but overall the backdrop remains supportive for the precious metal. Add to this the ECB holding rates steady, crude falling around $62.5, US 10Y yields easing to 4.01%, and ETF flows alongside the PBoC still buying gold, I think the current macro environment leans bullish. On the 6H chart, the uptrend structure is intact: price sticks above the Ichimoku cloud with layered FVGs below – signs of active demand. The sideways move now is simply “compression” near fresh highs, as short-bodied candles appear repeatedly, showing sellers lack momentum. What I’m waiting for is a breakout above 3,660–3,670. If we see a clear 6H close, momentum should quickly lift price to 3,690–3,705, and possibly extend to 3.72x. If there’s a dip, 3,630–3,620 will be the first cushion; deeper is 3,605–3,595. Only a 6H close under 3,570 would call the trend into question. Do you think gold has enough strength to break this range? Share your view in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
6
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥” The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market. 🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: Previous Liquidity Sweep Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August. This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure. Strong Impulsive Rally From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback. However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction. Resistance & PRZ Reaction The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level. Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback. 🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move: 1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500 This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point. Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support) If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
Trading GOLD At All-Time Highs - 2 Methods for Profit TakingGold has broken out to all-time highs, leaving traders asking: “Where should I take profits when there’s no structure to target?” In this video, I’ll walk you through two proven methods for setting profit targets when trading in uncharted territory: 🔹 Price Action & Technical Tools – measured moves, AB=CD patterns, Fibonacci extensions (127 & 1618), and wedge breakout projections. 🔹 Indicator-Based Exits – using RSI, stochastics, and volatility bands (Keltner Channels / Bollinger Bands) to identify exhaustion and exit signals. You’ll learn: ✅ How to set profit targets without previous structure ✅ Why thinking like the “other trader” gives you an edge ✅ Why catching part of the move beats chasing the very top If you have any questions or comments, please leave them below. Akil
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Akil_Stokes
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend ContinuesGOLD is currently exhibiting a robust bullish trend, having recently reached a new higher high. Following this upward movement, the market entered a phase of consolidation within a narrow parallel channel on the hourly time frame. The recent violation of the resistance indicates a likely continuation of this upward trend. Given these technical indicators, I anticipate that GOLD will reach the significant psychological level of 3560, reflecting sustained bullish momentum in the market.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by linofx1
19
Gold XAU$, 1M TF, 18/03/2023 and the Odyssey to $3600OANDA:XAUUSD The Gold Odyssey: From $1,983 to $3,600 and Beyond Once upon a time on TradingView back on March 18, 2023 (1M TF), gold (XAUUSD) was trading at $1,983.68. That’s when the chart of destiny was drawn — A bull flag breakout projection 75.14% with a bold target of $3,600. ⏳ 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days later, the projection hit on 08/09/2025— the beautiful patience and the satisfaction of this hodl is overwhelming. Back in Q1–Q2 of 2023, many traders like @day0 echoed the same view. This cart was posted on the TradingView Gold community room walls multiple time getting MODED🤑 which went on for months😉 "GOLD CARTEL" The journey was both technical and emotional — the "disciples of the (HODL) discipline" brought satisfaction as the chart aligned with macro reality. While I did take 10% profit at \$3,600 for validation of this projection, well the narrative isn’t over — now the charts point toward $4,000. 📈 The Timeline of Gold’s Rally 🔹March 18, 2023 – The Trigger Gold surged post the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and accelerated central bank buying, breaking decisively above $2,000/oz. 🔹 2024 – The Sustained Rally Through persistent inflation, geopolitical flashpoints, and a weakening dollar, gold extended gains. By year-end, it reached around $2,690/oz (+31%). 🔹 April 2025 – Breaching History Gold shattered the $3,500/oz barrier, fueled by " record central bank accumulation " 🪙 and " dollar fragility ", cementing its safe-haven role. 🔹 April 9, 2025 – The Spike The biggest daily jump since 2023, a 3% surge driven by bond sell-offs and safe-haven demand. 🔹 September 8, 2025 – The Mark of $3,600 Gold reached fresh record highs at $3,526/oz, supported by a weakening dollar, dovish Fed expectations, and global instability. The climax: $3,600 achieved — bulls eye 🎯. The Chart Came First (March 18, 2023) Gold was trading at $1,983. A bull flag breakout projection pointed to $3,600, based purely on technical structure — no headlines, no hindsight. “Gold’s journey from $1,983 to $3,600 wasn’t foretold by headlines — it was written in the charts first. Exactly — this is a textbook example of that famous trader’s maxim: "Show me the charts, and I’ll tell you the news.” (TA + Philosophy): When I first charted gold at $1,983 in March 2023, the bull flag projected a trajectory toward $3,600. At that time, there was no Silicon Valley Bank collapse, no April 2025 breakout, no Fed policy pivot — just a chart whispering its truth. Fast-forward 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days, every piece of “news” that followed — inflation spikes, central bank hoarding, bond sell-offs, dollar weakness — merely played its role as fuel for a path the chart had already mapped. This is the essence of market psychology: technical encode the collective positioning and pressure before fundamentals are written into the headlines. The gold move isn’t just about price — it’s about patience, conviction, and the timeless charting. "nerves of steel with a Rush of Gold✨" 💡 Reflection: The gold chart wasn’t predicting the exact news events (SVB collapse, Fed stance, dollar weakness). Instead, it revealed the underlying accumulation and pressure that would need some catalyst to unlock — and when those catalysts arrived, price delivered. So yes — this is a perfect case study of “show me the charts and I’ll tell you the news.” Thanks for reading, Thank you Trading View 🌟Note: This was never just a chart — it was a story of patience, macro forces, and market psychology converging. From $1,983 to $3,600, the bull flag wasn’t just a pattern, it was a prophecy. Now, as gold eyes $4,000, the question isn’t "if", but "when" Always DYOR, Trade Safely -See you on the other side- -Jova A
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jova-A
2
Gold Analysis – ATH Again, But Correction Ahead?1. Yesterday’s Move Yesterday, after a small intraday correction to the 3470 zone, Gold quickly reversed and pushed higher, printing a new all-time high near 3550. The bullish trend remains intact, but the latest surge looks overextended. 2. Key Question Has Gold finished its run for now, or will we see another immediate push higher without a deeper correction? 3. Why a Correction is Probable • The recent move is stretched, with limited room for risk-reward on the long side at these highs. • 3470 stands out as a confluence support, and markets often retest such levels before continuation. • Chasing longs at ATHs leaves traders vulnerable to sharp pullbacks. 4. Trading Plan The best setup is to wait for price to retrace into 3470 and look for buying opportunities in that zone, aiming to rejoin the broader uptrend. Selling here is very risky – high probability of upside spikes could easily hit stop losses before any meaningful retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold Hits Record $3,625 – Bulls Eye 3,636/3,650Gold – Overview Gold surged to a record high at $3,625, following weaker U.S. hiring data that fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. Momentum remains strong, with traders watching if there’s more room to the upside. Technical Outlook: 📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price trades above 3,612, momentum favors a move toward 3,636. A confirmed stabilization above 3,637 would extend the rally toward 3,650. 📉 Bearish scenario: A confirmed 1H close below 3,612 would trigger a correction, targeting 3,600 → 3,580. Key Levels: Pivot: 3,618 Resistance: 3,636 – 3,650 Support: 3,612 – 3,600 – 3,580 Bias: Bullish above 3,612; bearish correction only if price closes below this leve previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
XAUUSD SELL NOW 3625🔴 XAUUSD – Short Setup at 3625 | Tactical Bearish Play Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key resistance level around 3625, where price action has repeatedly shown signs of exhaustion. After a strong bullish leg, the market is now stalling, with momentum indicators flashing early warnings of a potential reversal. This setup offers a clean intraday short opportunity with tight risk and favorable reward. 📌 Trade Parameters - Entry: 3625 - Stop Loss: 3630 (above resistance wick and intraday high) - Take Profit: 3610 (near support zone and previous demand area) - Risk/Reward Ratio: 3:1 📊 Technical Confluence - Bearish Candlestick Formation: Multiple rejection wicks on 15M and 1H charts - RSI Divergence: RSI failing to make new highs while price pushes upward - MACD Histogram: Fading bullish momentum, signaling potential crossover - Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on bullish candles, indicating buyer fatigue - Trendline Resistance: Price reacting to descending trendline from previous swing highs 💬 Trade Narrative Gold has rallied into a resistance zone but failed to break above 3625 with conviction. The current price structure suggests a short-term correction is likely, especially if price breaks below 3618. This trade is designed for intraday execution, capitalizing on momentum loss and technical rejection. If price breaches 3630 with strength, the setup is invalidated and risk is contained. Fundamentally, gold remains sensitive to macroeconomic data and interest rate expectations. With mixed signals from global markets and rising yields, short-term volatility favors tactical plays like this one. 📣 Trader’s Note: Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes before scaling in. If price accelerates below 3615, consider trailing stop to lock in profits. This setup is ideal for disciplined traders who prioritize precision and risk management.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
2
GOLD → Consolidation before continuing growth to 3700 FX:XAUUSD resumed its growth on Friday, approaching the $3,650 level, amid growing expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The metal remains near record highs and is poised for a fourth consecutive week of gains. Key drivers: Probability of a 25 bp rate cut on September 17 — 92%, chance of a 50 bp cut — 8%. Markets are expecting three cuts in 2024. US plans to impose new tariffs on India and China are supporting demand for safe havens. Gold remains in a bullish trend. The weak US economy and geopolitics are pushing it to new highs, but profit-taking at current levels is possible. There is no news today, so trading may be relatively calm. Technically, if the price does not retest 3738 but begins to consolidate near 3657 and attempts a breakout, the chances of continued growth will increase. Support levels: 3638, 3630 Resistance levels: 3649, 3657 I expect the market to reach the liquidity zone of 3638 before returning to retest the trigger. However, if MM deems this maneuver unnecessary and forms a trading range between 3657 and 3649, then closing above 3657 could lead to another bullish distribution. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
2
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal : 3645 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
I am pessimistic about gold.Gold describing a possible bearish setup in gold. Let me reframe your analysis more clearly Gold is trading inside an ascending channel A downside reaction has already started while most expected an upside breakout. if gold breaks down from the ascending channel, it could extend the fall. You see 3620 → 3580 as the likely downside zones. This means you’re expecting the channel breakdown to confirm weakness, and those levels to act as the next supports. i will request to all investor support me with like and comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpringGrant
2
Forget the USD–Gold Correlation: Trade What MattersI took my first steps in the markets back in 2002 with stock investments. Real trading, however—the kind involving leverage, speculation, and active decision-making—began for me in 2004. Like any responsible beginner, I started by taking courses and reading the classic trading books. One of the first lessons drilled into me was the inverse correlation between the US dollar and gold. Fast forward more than 20 years, and for the past 15, XAUUSD has been my primary focus. And here’s the truth: I’m here to tell you that relying on USD–gold correlation is a mistake. In this article, I’ll explain why you should avoid it, and more importantly, I’ll show you how to think like a “sophisticated” trader—especially if you can’t resist looking at the DXY . Let’s Dissect the Myth And for those who will say: “How on earth can you call this a mistake? Everyone knows gold moves opposite to the dollar!” — let’s dissect this step by step. There couldn’t be a better example than 2025. We’re in the middle of a clear bullish trend in gold. Prices are climbing steadily, but not only against USD. If gold were truly just the inverse of DXY, this overall rally wouldn’t exist. But it does. Why? Because the real driver isn’t the dollar falling — it’s demand for gold itself . Central banks are buying, funds are reallocating, and investors see gold as a store of value. The Simple Logic That Breaks the Correlation If it were truly a mirror correlation, then XAU/EUR would have been flat for years. Think about it: if gold only moved as the “inverse of the dollar,” then against other currencies it should show no trend at all. But the charts tell a completely different story. Gold has been rising not just in USD terms, but also in EUR, GBP, and JPY. That means the move is not about the dollar being weak — it’s about gold being in demand. This simple observation destroys the illusion of a strict USD–gold inverse correlation. If gold climbs across multiple currencies at the same time, the driver can’t be the dollar. The driver must be gold itself. Why Correlation Thinking Creates Frustration This is exactly why I tell you to ignore the so-called correlation: because it distracts you. You end up staring at the DXY when in reality, you’re trading the price of gold. And that’s where frustration kicks in. You’re sitting on a position, watching the dollar index going higher, and you start yelling at the screen: “DXY is going up, so why isn’t gold falling? Why is my short position bleeding instead of working?” I’ve been there many years ago, I know that feeling. But here’s the truth: gold doesn’t care about your correlation. It doesn’t care that DXY is green, red or pink. It moves on its own flows. And when you finally accept that, your trading becomes much cleaner. You stop being trapped by illusions and start focusing on the only thing that matters: the demand and supply of gold itself. Where the Confusion Comes From So where does all this confusion come from? Let’s take an example: imagine we get a very bad NFP number. That translates into a weaker USD. What happens? XAUUSD ticks higher. Now, most traders immediately scream: “See? Inverse correlation!” But that’s not what’s really happening. The move you’re seeing is just a re-alignment of gold’s price in dollar terms. It’s noise, not a fundamental shift in gold’s trend. If gold is in a downtrend overall, this kind of move doesn’t suddenly make it bullish. It’s just a temporary adjustment because the denominator (USD) weakened. On the other hand, if gold itself is already strong, such an event can act as an accelerator, pushing the trend even stronger. The key is this: the dollar can influence the short-term pricing of XauUsd, but it doesn’t define the trend of gold. That trend is driven by demand for gold as an asset. A Recent Example That Says It All Let’s take a very recent example. Over the past month, DXY has been stuck in a range — no breakout, no major trend. Yet gold hasn’t just pushed higher in USD terms, it has made new all-time highs in XAU/EUR, XAU/GBP, and other currencies as well. Why? Because gold rose. Not because the dollar fell, not because of some neat inverse chart overlay. Gold as an asset was in demand — globally, across currencies. This is the ultimate proof that gold trades on its own flows. When buyers want gold, they don’t care whether DXY is flat, rising, or falling. They buy gold, and the charts across multiple currencies show it. What Sophistication Really Looks Like If you really want to be sophisticated, here’s what you do: You see a clear bullish trend in XAUUSD. At the same time, you notice a clear bearish trend in EURUSD — which means the dollar is strong. Most traders get stuck here. Their brain short-circuits: “Wait, how can gold rise if the dollar is also strong?” But the sophisticated trader doesn’t waste time arguing with a textbook correlation. Instead, they look for the trade that makes sense: buy XAU/EUR. Because if gold is strong and the euro is weak, the real opportunity isn’t in fighting with DXY — it’s in positioning yourself where you can earn more. That’s not correlation thinking. That’s flow thinking. Final Thoughts The dollar–gold inverse correlation is a myth that refuses to die. Traders cling to it because it feels simple and safe. But real trading requires letting go of illusions and facing complexity head-on. Gold is an independent asset. It rises and falls because of demand, not because the dollar happens to be moving the other way. Once you stop staring at DXY and start trading the flows that actually drive gold, you’ll leave frustration behind and step into sophistication. 🚀 If you still need DXY to tell you where gold is going, you’re not trading gold — you’re trading your own illusions.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Market Analysis: Gold Rockets to New HighMarket Analysis: Gold Rockets to New High Gold price rallied to a new all-time high above $3,670. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a major increase from $3,500 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,635 on the hourly chart of gold. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed a base above $3,500. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $3,550. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,620. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,640 and $3,650 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed to a new all-time high at $3,674 before there was a pullback. The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,511 swing low to the $3,674 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,635 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,635. The first major support is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,592. If there is a downside break below $3,592, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,575. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,510. Immediate resistance is near $3,655. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $3,675. An upside break above $3,675 could send Gold price toward $3,688. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $3,700. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels (4 hour chart)Trend: Strong uptrend with higher highs/lows. Momentum pullbacks have been shallow, so fading strength is riskier unless the structure actually breaks. Range/structure: We have a consolidation box roughly 3550–3595 with repeated tests. 3604 is just above the range highs; 3577 is near the middle/edge of that structure. There’s a visible supply band overhead around 3619–3630 and again near 3649–3671; supports step down at 3550, 3534/3531, 3516, 3488, 3460. Key takeaway: 3604 is a momentum continuation trigger into immediate supply. 3577 is a structure-break trigger for a mean-reversion leg back into the lower supports. Trade plans around your levels Buy stop 3604 (trend-following): Trigger: Only on a 4H close above 3604 or a strong impulse through it with expanding volume/ATR. Initial take-profits: 3619–3630 (major supply), 3649, then 3671/3700 if a catalyst sends it. Protective stop: Below reclaimed structure at 3588–3592. If you need more room, 3577 is your last-ditch invalidation. Notes: R:R is tight if your first TP is 3619–3630. Improve it by either: Scaling in on a retest of 3590–3600 after the breakout, or Letting price clear 3610–3615 and using a tighter trailing stop once it holds above 3604. Sell stop 3577 (countertrend/structure break): Trigger: 4H close below 3577 or a breakdown plus a failed retest of 3577–3585 from beneath. Initial take-profits: 3550, 3534/3531, then 3516; stretch to 3488 if risk-off unwinds and USD/real yields rip higher. Protective stop: Above 3592–3600; hard invalidation on a reclaim and hold above 3604. Notes: This setup usually offers better initial R:R, but you’re trading against the higher-timeframe trend unless macro flips risk-off into USD strength and higher real yields. Event risk and how it ties to these levels Most impactful drivers for gold in the week ahead are the USD and real yields around major data and central-bank communication. Typical heavy hitters to watch on your calendar: US CPI/PPI, Fed speakers/FOMC blackout windows, ECB/BoE decisions or guidance, US Retail Sales/ISM, and any geopolitical flare-ups (Middle East, Ukraine, Taiwan). Check your economic calendar for exact dates/times this week. Conditional map: Softer US inflation/data or dovish tones → lower real yields/softer USD → favors the 3604 breakout holding; look to trail into 3619–3649+. Hot inflation/strong data or hawkish repricing → higher real yields/firm USD → increases odds of a failed breakout and breakdown through 3577 toward 3550/3534. Geopolitical escalations usually bid gold on spikes; if that’s the catalyst, expect slippage through 3604 and fast tags of 3619/3649. Execution notes Avoid entering right into scheduled releases; let the first impulse print and then go with the close Trade safe as always use proper risk management
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
1
XAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might PauseXAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might Pause Today’s XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to set records in September. The price has risen above $3,650 per ounce for the first time in history – one of the main drivers being expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Wednesday, 17 September. Easier monetary policy is generally seen as boosting gold’s appeal – this has pushed XAU/USD nearly 6% higher since the start of September. However, the chart highlights three reasons why further upside may be limited. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart 1. Long-term channel: Over the course of 2025, gold price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), and today XAU/USD is trading close to its median line. This is where supply and demand typically balance out. Buyers may consider the post-September rally overstretched, while sellers could view the all-time high as an opportunity to take profits. 2. Rectangle pattern target reached: The range between $3,250 and $3,440 that developed mid-year can be interpreted as a rectangle pattern. Following the bullish breakout, the implied target of $3,630 has already been achieved. 3. RSI signals risk: The RSI indicator is close to forming a bearish divergence. Given the steep angle of the orange support line, a correction – for example, towards the psychological level of $3,550 – might occur. In summary, gold’s upward momentum may start to slow. At the same time, given the market’s inertia, traders may have little reason to expect a decisive shift away from bullish dominance. Still, next Wednesday could bring surprises. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
XAUUSD – Should You Trade the Red News… or Let Them Trade You?🌟The Hype vs. Reality Every NFP Friday, you’ll see traders flexing $500 to $5,000+ in one candle. But the reality check is that 95% of accounts are blown by spreads, slippage, and whipsaws. News looks like payday, but for the market, it is traps set both ways for retail traders. Why Gold + Red USD News Is a Dangerous Mix XAUUSD reacts harder with momentum than any other Forex pair. NFP, CPI, FOMC, PCE — every release creates engineered chaos. Typical pattern: spike one way → sweep stops the other way → only then trend resumes. Example: NFP prints strong, Gold dumps 100+ pips, sweeps liquidity, then rips 350+ pips bullish with the higher-timeframe trend. 🔴When You Shouldn’t Touch It (Beginners) If you’re still learning structure, stay flat. Here’s why: • Spreads jump 10–30 pips instantly. • SLs get slipped or completely ignored. • First candle is pure manipulation. • Emotions peak → revenge trades blow the account. • Best move: study the reaction and wait for a safe entry, repeat 100+ times X more. 🟢When You Can Consider It (Intermediate Traders) For traders with experience 1year+ on the charts: • Before the release: position based on HTF bias, with very small risk. • After the release: wait for the spike to finish, then take structure-backed entries. Example: CPI prints weak, Gold jumps → once the fakeout clears and structure reclaims, you trade the continuation. 🖊️The Truth Nobody Likes to Hear News doesn’t set the trend; instead, it likes to accelerate the story the chart was already telling. If you can’t trade Gold without news, why would you dream of lying to yourself that an Unemployment Claims would make you instantly rich? Final Note: Trading XAUUSD over Red folder news is not proving catching the spikes. You need to show by sitting put, waiting for the dust to settle, that you trade with structure. Beginners should grab some popcorn, watch it, and study for a while. Intermediate traders can use news as fuel. But if you dive in blind, remember XAUUSD doesn’t care about your trade; most likely, it will feed on it while you are volunteering as liquidity. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
2
Break of Rising wedge XAUUSD breaks the H1 Rising wedge pattern and almost Overbought on D1. All eyes no 3640-3645 zone. What possible scenario we have? • XAUUSD on undisputed bullish rising wedge I'm selling from 3635-3640 range and my Targets will be 3615 the 3605 with two session if golds remains below 3635-3640. •  secondly if H4 candle closes above 3645 then our analysis will be invalid and market will test the lower trendline at 3680 . All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
1