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Sept 8, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📌 Summary: Last week’s breakout above 3500 and touch of 3600 confirms strong bullish momentum. The broader strategy remains buying pullbacks into support. Key levels 3573 – 3545 – 3511 are critical: a break of any of these could temporarily open further downside. In short: bullish strength is intact, buy dips into support, and avoid shorting without clear signals. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3623 – Bullish target • 3615 – Bullish target • 3608 – Bullish target • 3600 – Resistance • 3579 – Support • 3573 – Short-term bull–bear pivot • 3560–3566 – Support zone • 3545–3550 – Key support zone • 3526 – Support • 3512 – Critical support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3573 → target 3565, with further downside toward 3560, 3555, 3550 BUY: If price holds above 3590 → target 3595, with further upside toward 3600, 3608, 3615 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
1
Sept 10, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: Yesterday, price surged to a high of 3675 before dropping back to 3627, likely due to profit-taking by bulls. This intraday spike-and-drop creates uncertainty for Wednesday’s trading. From my view, the market has given bearish signals, and with the 3628 support already broken, today’s main plan is to sell rallies into resistance. 📌 Summary: The trend shows early signs of weakness after yesterday’s sharp reversal. Bias shifts to shorting rallies into resistance as long as price stays below broken support. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3650–3651 – Resistance • 3646 – Resistance • 3642 – Resistance • 3637.5 – Resistance • 3629–3632 – Key intraday support/resistance • 3623 – Support • 3615 – Support • 3600 – Support • 3579 – Support • 3573 – Short-term bull–bear pivot 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3521 → target 3515, with further downside toward 3508, 3504, 3500 BUY: If price holds above 3529 → target 3532, with further upside toward 3538, 3542, 3546 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
1
Okay, here is a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar). Okay, here is a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar). **Fundamental Analysis:** As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold's price is primarily driven by real interest rates (particularly the US 10-year TIPS yield), the strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY), geopolitical risks, and global macroeconomic uncertainty. Gold typically performs well when markets anticipate Fed rate cuts (leading to lower real yields), a weaker US dollar, or periods of turmoil. Conversely, hawkish monetary policy, a strong dollar, and rising risk appetite tend to suppress its price. **Technical Analysis:** XAUUSD has been consolidating near all-time highs with an overall upward trend. Key technical levels include the psychological barrier of $2300 per ounce and the record high (around $2450), which act as significant resistance. Important support lies in the $2150-$2200 zone (formed by previous highs and trendlines). A decisive break above the all-time high could open the door for further upward movement. **Summary and Outlook:** The long-term thesis for gold centers on global central bank purchasing, de-dollarization trends, and its role as a hedge against potential economic recession. Short-term price action remains tightly correlated to Federal Reserve policy expectations and key economic data releases (like CPI and NFP). It is currently consolidating at high levels, awaiting further macro cues for direction. *** *Disclaimer: The above content is market analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are risky; invest with caution.*
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by trade1638
1
XAUUSD 1H - Breakout or Rejection SetupStructure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Gold is consolidating between the demand zone (3,620-3,636) and breakout zone (3,645-3,658). Lower highs show bearish pressure, but buyers are holding demand, creating a decision point. Market Overview Price action suggests a compression phase. If 3,640-3,645 breaks with bullish momentum, the market can rally strongly. On the other hand, rejection here may send gold back to the demand zone. Key Scenarios Bullish Case (above 3,645-3,658) Target 1: 3,660 • Target 2: 3,674 •* Target 3: 3,697 X Bearish Case • Target 1: 3,620 Target 2: 3 3,615 * Target 3: 3,605 Current Levels to Watch Resistance : 3,645-3,658 / 3,674 Support : 3,620 / 3,613 + Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:GOLD
by Keswantrades
1
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently. Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session. After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions. Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again. The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP-Halson
1
GOLD What Next? SELL! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3579.7 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 3586.7 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3568.5 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
2
Gold Pops 5% as Fed Fears Drive Demand. New Record High Soon?Gold bugs are doing well this summer. The yellow metal OANDA:XAUUSD just logged its best monthly performance since April, climbing nearly 5% in August and closing at $3,447 per ounce on Friday – its highest level since mid-June. As stock bros take a break for Labor Day on Monday, gold bugs are pushing higher, challenging the current all-time high with another leg up to $3,490. But before the ATH hits, let's see how we got here. Between Fed drama, Trump-vs-Lisa Cook headlines, and falling yields , gold suddenly looks like the life raft everyone wants. 🕺🏻 Let’s break it down. 🤸‍♀️ 🏦 Fed Drama Meets Gold Fever When politics and monetary policy collide, volatility follows – and gold traders have been feasting on it. President Donald Trump’s latest target? Lisa Cook, a Biden-appointed Fed governor and one of the crew of seven responsible for setting interest rates. Trump wants her out, she wants to stay , and a federal court hearing wrapped Friday without a ruling on whether he can fire her while her lawsuit plays out. The bigger picture: this fight is about Fed independence – or what’s left of it. A perceived White House grip on rate decisions injects more uncertainty into markets, and when things get murky, gold shines. Traders don’t just buy bullion for safe-haven vibes; they’re hedging against the possibility that the Fed is less independent than we thought. The Trump-vs-Lisa Cook fight is a precedent, a sight never seen in the history of America. 📉 Rate Cut Bets Are Back on the Table Friday’s inflation data – the Personal Consumption Expenditures ECONOMICS:USPCEPI price index – came in exactly as expected, up 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year. Core PCE clocked in at 2.9%, in line with consensus. That’s the Fed's favored inflation metric so it holds big weight when central bankers get together to decide whether to keep, hike, or cut borrowing costs. Last month's readout showed predictable numbers that set off a chain reaction: markets are now pricing in a 90% chance of a September rate cut, as per the CME FedWatch tool. Rates are instrumental in adjusting the prices of gold because it doesn’t pay any yield. In a high-rate world, holding bullion means losing out on returns you’d get from Treasuries or savings accounts – a classic opportunity cost, in economic lingo. But when rates drop, that cost shrinks, and the shiny metal suddenly looks far more attractive as a store of value rather than a drag on returns. In short, lower yields + lower dollar = stronger demand for gold. And with the dollar down 2.2% in August, the tailwind is getting stronger, helping explain gold’s upswing. 📈 A Double Top… or a Line Crossed? Here’s where things get spicy for chart-watchers. Friday’s rally pushed gold right up against its mid-June peak above $3,440 per ounce, forming what looked suspiciously like a double top pattern – a bearish setup where prices stall twice at the same resistance level before heading lower. Only that, it didn't take long for momentum to carry gold past the double-top pattern and into record-close territory. Fast fact: gold’s record high is just about $10 to $30 away from current market prices. The precious metal hit $3,500 in late April, just before shaving off some $200 in a bruising two-day wipeout . 🛍️ Why Gold Is Back in Fashion Gold’s rally is about technicals as much as it is about vibes and fundamentals. And right now, the macro backdrop is doing the heavy lifting: Fed policy uncertainty is making traders nervous Political drama over Fed independence is adding fuel Falling yields are pulling investors into non-yielding assets Dollar weakness is inviting overseas buyers to pile in 👀 What Traders Should Watch Next This week could be pivotal for gold’s next leg: The upcoming nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report on Friday will set the tone. Prediction gurus have pinned their expectations at 78,000 hires in August, about the same as the previous month’s 73,000. What about revisions? That’s a thing now, after the last reading trimmed 258,000 jobs off May and June. A weak jobs print would reinforce fears of a slowing economy, cementing expectations of a September rate cut – a potentially bullish setup for gold. On the flip side, a blowout number could cool the rally. Also on deck: more chatter from the Federal Reserve ahead of its September 16-17 meeting, especially around the firing of Lisa Cook. For now, traders are watching the $3,450–$3,460 resistance zone like hawks. That’s the line between a short-term top and a fresh breakout. 👉 The Takeaway Gold just had its best monthly run in four months, but it’s walking a tightrope at a critical resistance level. With prices less than 1% away from the all-time high, the next move could define the rest of the quarter for bullion (and maybe even the fourth quarter). If you’re trading this, two camps are emerging: Breakout believers think falling yields and the mosaic of data are about to send prices ripping above $3,500. Doom-and-gloom permabears see more froth than substance, saying prices can only go one way from here. Off to you: Which side are you on? Share your thoughts and observations in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingView
12
Gold Market Live Update Bulls Broke 3500 USD S/R💰 Gold Prices Live Update • Spot gold consolidating $3,535–$3,545/oz, after a decisive breakout above the multi-month range ($3,300–$3,450). • Fresh all-time highs were set this week, with spot hitting $3,575 and U.S. futures spiking to $3,602 intraday. • Current pullback appears mild and orderly, suggesting profit-taking post-breakout rather than trend reversal. ________________________________________ 📰 Fresh headlines • Gold powers to record highs on safe-haven demand. • Breakout above $3,500 confirms bullish momentum. • Futures hit $3,600+ as central banks, ETFs add to positions. • Weekly close strong despite pullback, as rate-cut bets intensify. • ETF holdings surge to highest since 2022; central banks remain active buyers. • Analysts eye $3,600–$3,900 near-term targets. ________________________________________ 🔧 What’s driving the breakout • Technical breakout: Months of range-bound trade ($3,300–$3,450) built a strong base; breach above $3,500 unleashed momentum buying. • Macro tailwinds: Fed rate-cut expectations and falling real yields are lifting gold’s appeal. • Haven demand: Political tensions and policy uncertainty amplify defensive flows. • Institutional support: ETF inflows accelerating, GLD holdings climbing. • Official sector: PBoC and other central banks continue steady accumulation. • Physical drag: India demand subdued at elevated prices; local imports hit multi-year lows. ________________________________________ 🌍 Regional quick read • 🇨🇳 China: PBoC extends buying streak; local ETFs resilient. • 🇮🇳 India: Imports at 2-year low, physical discounts widen as prices bite. • 🇺🇸 U.S.: Futures volumes surge on breakout; non-farm payrolls eyed for near-term volatility. ________________________________________ 🧭 Key levels • Immediate support: $3,500 (psychological + breakout retest). • Secondary support: $3,430 (prior range top). • Deeper pullback zone: $3,150 (major base support if correction extends). • Upside targets: $3,600 already tested; $3,750–$3,900 in play if flows persist. • Positioning: Open interest + volumes confirm breakout conviction; current dip orderly. ________________________________________ 🔭 Q4-2025 outlook • JPMorgan: avg $3,675, path to $4,000 in 2026. • Goldman Sachs: $3,700 by year-end. • BofA: $3,356 baseline, $4,000 stretch case. • Citi: Near-term $3,500+, but warns of risks if demand fades. • Consensus: $3,500–$3,750 base case; bullish tail $3,900, bearish tail $3,250–$3,400. ________________________________________ 🧱 Risks & swing factors • U.S. payrolls + Fed meeting: Short-term catalysts for volatility. • ETF flows + lease rates: Critical to sustaining momentum. • Geopolitical noise: Keeps haven demand sticky. • Physical demand weakness: Especially in India, could cap rallies. ________________________________________ ⚡ Key takeaways • 💥 Breakout confirmed: Gold shattered the $3,300–$3,450 range, powered through $3,500, and tagged $3,575 — clearing multi-month resistance. • 📈 Pullback healthy: Current drift lower looks like mild profit-taking, not distribution. • 🏦 Flows remain bullish: Central banks + ETFs underpinning the rally. • 🧭 Q4 outlook intact: $3,500–$3,750 base case; $3,900 bullish tail / $3,300 bearish tail. • 🇮🇳 Physical demand soft: Indian weakness may keep rallies from overheating.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
47
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not. Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ). Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves . I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) . Second Target: Support lines Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Let me share my thoughts on gold! Gold may face a pullback and correction over the next two days. Don't chase long positions at high levels. I've been saying this for a while now. Let's see if there's a sharp drop in the Asian session today. The daily chart has already seen seven consecutive days of gains, so a correction is urgently needed. And in the last two days of this week, two important data releases are coming: today's ADP and tomorrow's non-farm payroll figures. Try to avoid data risks. The non-farm payroll figures for May and June saw significant downward revisions. So, was the 73,000 jobs figure for July inflated? There's also significant uncertainty, and a downward correction is possible. Therefore, this non-farm payroll data may improve, which could be bearish for gold and trigger a correction. Therefore, gold is bullish over the next two days, but don't chase long positions. Focus on confirming support before turning bullish. Today's support is seen between 3510 and 3500, with upward pressure seen between 3550 and 3565. However, it's important to note that the two-day pullback is merely a correction in bullish positions, not a reversal of the bearish trend. Even with negative non-farm payroll data, it won't change expectations of a Fed rate cut on September 18th. Therefore, any pullbacks still present opportunities, so wait for the right position to continue buying. This week, the main trend for gold has been a rally in the Asian session, a correction in the European session, and continued gains in the US session. Therefore, capitalizing on this trend, you can try to trade near key support and resistance levels. Today, I'll continue shorting at 3560 in the Asian session, capitalizing on this dip. I'm neither exclusively long nor exclusively short. When a trend emerges, I prioritize it. Never chase gains or losses, and avoid putting yourself in potentially dangerous situations. Stability is paramount.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NormanConrad
3