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Gold Analysis – Volatility Rules the GameYesterday marked another strong bullish session for Gold, as the price completely erased Friday’s losses, confirming that buyers are far from done. Regardless of how high the market has already climbed, momentum remains firmly on the bullish side. Technically, Gold managed to reclaim and break above the 4285–4300 resistance zone, which triggered a sharp acceleration toward the recent all-time high around 4380. At the time of writing, the market is undergoing a normal retracement, which is a healthy technical reaction after such an aggressive move. The 4300 area has now turned into key short-term support, and as long as bulls defend this level, the probability of a new ATH remains high. From a trading perspective, however, volatility has reached extreme levels. This type of price action often favors large players with fundamental reasons rather than discretionary traders. For that reason, I prefer to stay on the sidelines today, waiting for volatility to stabilize before engaging again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell entriesLast week both buy and sell levels hit for over 1000 pips each. This will probably be my last chart for awhile as i dont think theres much intrest in this ### XAUUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis #### **Key Levels Identified** The chart shows critical **support/resistance zones** based on Fibonacci retracements, historical price action, and labeled key levels. Below is a breakdown of actionable buy/sell levels: --- ### **1. Buy Levels (Long Entry)** These levels represent potential support where price may reverse upward: - **Primary Buy Zone**: `4,126` (labeled "Buy 4126" on the chart) - **Why?** This level aligns with the **0.236 Fibonacci retracement** of the recent swing high (4,164) to swing low (4,004). Historically, price has bounced here. - **Entry Trigger**: Wait for bullish reversal signals (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI divergence, or price closing above the 5-period EMA). - **Stop Loss**: `4,095` (below the "Sell 4100" resistance level). - **Take Profit**: Target `4,160` (Key 4160 resistance), then `4,180` and `4,184`. - **Secondary Buy Zone**: `4,110–4,115` (near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at `4,113.253`) - **Why?** The price is consolidating here after a dip. A hold above `4,100` (Sell 4100 level) suggests bullish momentum. - **Stop Loss**: `4,095` (as above). - **Take Profit**: Same as primary zone (`4,160` and beyond). --- ### **2. Sell Levels (Short Entry)** These levels represent potential resistance where price may reverse downward: - **Primary Sell Zone**: `4,132` (0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the swing high/low) - **Why?** This level is a strong resistance zone where the price often reverses after a rally. - **Entry Trigger**: Wait for bearish reversal signals (e.g., bearish pin bar, RSI divergence, or price rejecting the level). - **Stop Loss**: `4,135` (above the resistance level). - **Take Profit**: Target `4,099` (0.5 Fib), then `4,086` (0.382 Fib), and `4,050` (Key 4050 support). - **Secondary Sell Zone**: `4,160` (labeled "Key 4160") - **Why?** This is the **major swing high** (4,164) and a key psychological resistance level. A rejection here confirms a bearish trend. - **Entry Trigger**: Price must break above `4,160` and then fail to hold (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern at the level). - **Stop Loss**: `4,165` (above the resistance level). - **Take Profit**: Same as primary sell zone (`4,099` and below). --- ### **Critical Context** - **Current Price**: `4,111.797` (EMA 5 close). This is **above support (`4,100`)** and **below resistance (`4,132`)**. - **Trend**: Short-term downward momentum after the 4,164 high, but price is recovering from a low. Wait for confirmation of reversal. - **Fibonacci Retracement**: - `0.786` (4,132) and `0.618` (4,113) act as key resistance/support. - `0.5` (4,099) and `0.382` (4,086) are stronger support levels. - **Risk Management**: - Always use a stop loss to limit downside risk. - Target levels should align with the broader trend (e.g., if the trend is bearish, prioritize sell setups). --- ### **Summary of Actionable Levels** | **Trade Type** | **Entry Level** | **Stop Loss** | **Take Profit** | **Confirmation Signal** | |----------------|-----------------|---------------|-----------------|-------------------------| | **Buy** | 4,126 (primary)4,110–4,115 (secondary) | 4,095 | 4,160 → 4,180 → 4,184 | Bullish reversal candle, RSI divergence | | **Sell** | 4,132 (primary)4,160 (secondary) | 4,135 → 4,165 | 4,099 → 4,086 → 4,050 | Bearish reversal candle, RSI divergence | > **Note**: Always validate entries with additional indicators (e.g., RSI, volume) and avoid trading during low-volume periods. The 4-hour timeframe favors medium-term trades (1–3 days), so patience is key.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
3
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon: 🔎Analysis summary: After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top. 📝Levels to watch: $4,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
30
The Art of the Stop Hunt Trading. Hey traders In this post, you’ll learn how to the liquidity is engendered and how to avoid being stop hunted and actually use stop hunts to your advantage 📌If you placing your stop loss below the level before it was visited to grab the liquidity, you will become the liquidity. In the fact market makers doesn't care about your or mine stop loss, its too small money. But they come there because they have to in order to move the market. 📌 Every trader has seen it happen: you take a position at the “obvious” level, only to get stopped out by a quick wick — and then the market runs exactly where you expected. That wasn’t bad luck. That was stop hunt in other words liquidity grab ‼️ Don't be a liquidity Price doesn’t move randomly inside ranges. It hunts liquidity at the edges. • Retail trap: Traders pile orders right at the Double top / bottoms and ranges • Smart money: Hunt's double top / bottoms and ranges starting the move. 📌 Double Top / Double bottom sometimes price leave this formation, sometime even triple top / Bottom. It's on purpose and its telling us price will go there again, Im using these as the targets. Traders still think that if price rejected somewhere for few times that its strong level and its safe to put stop loss above or below and thats the problem. As many traders thinks this way its create a huge stop loss cluster = Liquidity zone which is attractive for the market makers. ‼️ If you see a double top / bottom then never enter before price dip in to it. Not even when there is clear trend line break its trap. Wait , you will get much sharper and better risk reward trade. If a pivot level gets tapped multiple times, it's on purpose. Smart money are creating illusion of strong support / Resistance so they cant manipulate price above / bellow where they grab the liquidity and reverse the market. 🧪 Example 1 - Triple top stop hunt, if you enter before you would serve as liqudity 🧪 Example 2 - Triple top stop hunt, even if you are right with the direction, not eating for the stop hunt first will ruin your trade 🧪 Example 3 - Double top stop hunt - he was nice trend line break which attracted more sellers and as you can see they been right with the direction but setting your stop loss just right above double top is not working 🧪 Example 4 - market makers used triple top used to offload positions above this liquidity level. 💊 Les informed traders trades patterns like : Double bottom, Double top and they put the stop losses above the range - This creates a Liquidity cluster which smart money needs to execute their orders. They will come for it before the real move happen. 🧩 How to use this information for your advantage train your eyes and focus on the double tops / bottoms thats where the liquidity mostly will be resting. Always wait for the stop hunt after that is your time enter the market. Im looking for the trades always after the stop hunt in other words range manipulation. Let's check few ideas bellow. 🧪 EURUSD - after double top liquidity manipulated Im targeting opposing double bottom liquidity. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/OI08qVGB-EURUSD-I-Weekly-Range-I-Manipulation-Time-for-pullback/ 🧪 DOLLAR - Weekly Range Low liquidity was taken - now targeting double top liquidity as easy target. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇 🧪 USDCHF - Double bottom liquidity taken, targeting opposing side 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 🧪 DOGE - Liquidity take and targeting opposing range. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development This is happening over and over again across all assets 👉Once you see it you cant unsee it. Focus on the stop hunts and you will see the market structure differently. Not like higher highs, higher lows and vice versa but rather something like this. 📌 Uptrend Price is in a bullish move and is consistently breaking abovehighs and rejecting below lows. (Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF liqudity 📌 Downtrend Price is in a bearish move and is consistently breaking below lows and rejecting above highs.(Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF range liquidity whole new world will open for you. You will be entering only after stop hunts. ⭐ I have whole strategy build on that click the picture below for more inspiration and the most powerful thing is that price is fractal what you just learned in the post above is possible to scale down. So for example you analyze Monthly range manipulation and you have opposing target. Its target for the next few weeks until the price reaches the monthly target and if you scale down to Daily then you trade Daily ranges in the Monthly range sequence. 📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌BearishLTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. Shift from being the exit liquidity to being the trader who patiently waits, confirms, and executes with precision. 🩸 Spot the Liquidity. 🩸 Wait for stop hunt. 🩸 Trade with intention. Don't trust me and check this on your chart find the true. David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
31
When Everyone Was Hyped, We Warned We called the bearish turn on gold right on time: After we posted the analysis, gold printed one of its sharpest daily drops in years—momentum the market hadn’t seen in a long time. The core view stands: after brief, counter-trend bounces, the primary path remains down. Revisit the previous analysis; the expectation is continued downside after in-trend corrections. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🚀 Who am I? I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory. I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors. 📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks 💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress 🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by mahdiomidi
1
The bottom of gold price is still under construction News： On Thursday (October 23rd), gold prices regained safe-haven support after a recent pullback, primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and expectations of new US export restrictions. Risk aversion reignited, while investors awaited Friday's US CPI data to assess the Federal Reserve's policy path. After hitting a record high of $4,381.21, gold prices recently came under short-term pressure, entering a technical correction. Gold prices found renewed support this week amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty and rising US policy risks. Specifically: Gold daily chart: Yesterday, the price stabilized at the middle line, closing with a long lower shadow candlestick. This suggests the 4000 low has temporarily stabilized. Whether it effectively serves as the bottom of a short-term correction will require further confirmation. On the 4-hour chart, gold prices broke below the neckline of the double top pattern, strengthening bearish momentum. The neckline area (4225-4220) will now become new resistance, and bears may be positioned there with a stop-loss placed above resistance, aiming for a further break below the trendline. Trading strategy: Buy: 4190-4185, SL: 4205, TP: 4120-4090
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
2
Gold has reached its peak and is about to undergo a reversal?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart. The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles: The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011. Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020. Today, history paints a similar picture once again. The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles. Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Victo
1
How to Short Gold as a Stock Trader and Profit on the DropGold is at historically high levels due to several key factors Geopolitical Tensions: Trade disputes, regional conflicts, and global uncertainty are pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like gold Monetary Policy Expectations: Anticipated interest rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive compared to bonds or cash Weakening U.S. Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold cheaper for international buyers, boosting demand Central Bank and Institutional Demand: Many central banks are increasing gold reserves, and institutional investors are allocating more to gold as a hedge against economic instability Market Sentiment and Speculation: Bullish sentiment and speculative positioning are adding upward pressure on prices If these factors start to ease, such as trade tensions reducing (highly likely with the next Trump Tweet), interest rates staying the same or even rising (less likely), or the dollar strengthening (likely), gold could start to pull back and given how aggressive its run has been, it could be a significant pull back. For investors looking to profit from declines, inverse gold ETFs provide a way to benefit when prices fall, offering a strategic tool for hedging or directional trading. They are a MUCH riskier type of trade - especially leverage ETFs so please do your research beforehand and definitely do not invest any money you can't do without if it all goes horribly wrong and Gold does indeed continue to head up past $5k. Crazy times - hence probably why Gold is doing so well. Buyer / bear - beware :)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by zAngus
7
GOLD - DCL TargetsAfter today's monster drop I would like to set some targets for profit taking. I'm short from 4236$ in this idea: The first target was the 200 EMA at 4129$. If you are happy with the 120$ drop in 2 days you just take profits and find the next trade. If you want a bit more you can wait for the DCL. I think we still have 140-150$ minimum more to drop as the DCL is forming at or below the Fibonacci 38.2 level. So minimum 3974 will be tagged at the DCL. The Fibonacci 50.0 is also not off of the table at 3848$. These kind of DCLs usually last for 5-6 days , so you can wait till next Tuesday or Wednesday before you close the short position. Don't forget 29th October FOMC, so I suggest to close Wednesday the latest . FOMC meetings can cause lots of volatility in the gold market... I'm also watching the 6 RSI and the Slow Stochastic to get oversold. These are the main parameters for me to take profit: I will not hold the position during the Wednesday FOMC meeting, if we tag 3848$ before next Wednesday I will close immediately. Otherwise I wait for the RSi 6 and SlowSToch to get oversold at around 3974$.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by chartwatchers
2
Gold Market Nearing a Bottom — Trade with CautionAfter yesterday’s sharp decline, the market is likely entering a gradual bottoming phase. As I mentioned on Saturday, there are still unfilled gaps at 4019–4024 and 3887–3898. If the bears remain dominant, the 4019 gap could be filled, though a move toward 3887 seems less likely unless major negative news triggers it. During any rebound, pay close attention to the 4200–4250 resistance area. If prices fail to stabilize there, the weekly chart pattern will weaken, increasing the risk of a drop toward the 3887 gap. Overall, trade with caution in the near term — the market is being influenced by multiple factors, leading to heightened volatility and risk. Being cautious never hurts. While making profits is important, protecting your account comes first — otherwise, gains mean little. If you prefer fewer, safer trades, focus on the key price zones mentioned above and observe the market more than you act. For those continuing with short-term or scalping strategies, be sure to control your target prices strictly, especially now as the broader trend direction is still being established. Of course, everyone has his or her own trading methods and theories. I will not comment too much here, but just share my own views. If you think it is useful, use it. If it is not useful, just watch the fun.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1
Gold on Support levels / #6,100.80 Medium-term TargetTechnical analysis: This week's huge red Daily candlestick pattern is an indication of increased tension and war / conflict escalation negativity as geopolitical tensions arise which invalidated Buyers intent and comforted Short-term Gold’s Sellers early on. Gold was once again on High demand as Investors used the metal as an traditional safe-haven asset where capital strongly flew into Gold, pushing the Price-action way above the #13-Month High’s however due Profit taking of most Buyers (Long-term Investors) Gold dipped on Friday's session traditional Profit taking and was testing #4,000.80 benchmark and as (by my personal opinion) DX skyrocketed and engaged Short-term Buy-off rally where Selling pressure from DX de-escalated Gold towards June #1 High’s again (currently even Lower) and currently it is the question where market will be headed next. Gold was on hard Resistance levels and current consolidation levels (historical regression analysis) points that when Trading for Long on those levels, strong downside direction comes in form of #100 to 200 point + decline. Besides this, nothing else Supports the downwards argument (except current High Impact factor) since all Charts turned critically Bearish on Short-term. #4,000.80 mark is now new / old Support and by my calculation chances for breaking it again without new news are Technically really impossible (too far fetched and without catalyst to take the Price-action towards those / current High’s). My position: However, in each market situation, Trader has to adapt. Therefore, do not take strong bets on the market, Buy and Sell current Intra-day timeframe with aggressive Scalps (#3 to #5-points) and close your order, calling it for the week. Expect new instructions with my Monday-session commentary. Also my #6,100.80 benchmark is posing as my new Medium-term Target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
2
Market Analysis: Gold Dips From HighsMarket Analysis: Gold Dips From Highs Gold price started a downside correction from $4,380. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price climbed higher toward the $4,380 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar. - It traded below a bullish trend line with support at $4,300 on the hourly chart of gold. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold, the price climbed above $4,200. The price even spiked above $4,300 before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $4,380 before there was a fresh decline below a bullish trend line with support at $4,300. There was a move below the $4,200 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $4,120 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $4,000 zone. A low is formed near $4,002 and the price is now correcting losses. There was a minor move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,381 swing high to the $4,002 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near $4,190 and the 50% Fib retracement. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be $4,235 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The main barrier for the bulls could be near the $4,380 level, above which the price could test the $4,500 zone. Any more gains might call for a move toward $4,650. An upside break above $4,650 could send Gold price toward $5,000. Initial support on the downside is near $4,090 level. The next key level is $4,000. If there is a downside break below $4,000, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,800. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
2
XAU/USD: Bullish Rally to 4225?OANDA:XAUUSD is priming for a bullish rally on the 1-hour chart , with price pulling back to a critical support zone after a sharp decline, forming a potential reversal point as buyers defend against further downside amid overall uptrend signals. This setup highlights a classic dip-buy opportunity near the confluence of support and recent lows. Entry zone between 4007-4037 for a long position. Target at 4225 near the resistance zone for attractive upside potential. 📊 Set a stop loss on a close below 3991 to manage risk effectively. 🌟 Keep an eye on confirmation through a bullish engulfing pattern or increased volume pushing above the entry, leveraging gold's volatility in response to USD movements. Fundamentally , today's US Initial Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales data could introduce volatility to gold and the dollar—Jobless Claims are forecasted at around 233K, while Existing Home Sales are expected near 4.00M, potentially strengthening USD if figures beat expectations and pressuring gold prices. 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: $4,007 – $4,037 (buy zone near support) ❌ Stop Loss: Close below $3,991 🎯 Target: $4,225 (resistance zone / take-profit area) 💎 Risk-to-Reward: More than 1:4, offering a strong technical edge. What's your outlook on this trade? Share below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Master_Hunter
2
GOLD- Resistance Often Acts as a SupportPrice took resistance near previous highs and moved rapidly down back to a key level zone near 4268.270, which may now act as support as this was previously a resistance. Remember? Previous resistance often acts as support. The price is still swinging in a wide range so no clear directional bias for the short term. However, a small scalping opportunity and it could be a done trade with 1% gain or 0.5% loss. A buy setup at this level could give a nice 1:2 trade. Assumption behind this idea is that the large bearish candle near support was just a shakeout and the price may proceed in the direction of the main trend, which is up. What do you do at this point? Do you sell because of short term selling pressure or buy because overall trend is up. #This is not a buy sell recommendation..just for educational purpose.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bravetotrade
2
Gold mania ends in a $4000 reality check? Thousands queuing for hours in central Sydney to buy gold last week was a potential warning sign that gold was vulnerable to correction. Today, gold prices saw their largest one-day fall in over ten years. After several failed attempts to break above 4,400, resistance held and momentum reversed sharply. The first key support now potentially sits near 4,000 (200% retracement). Despite the correction, long-term outlooks might remain positive. Ongoing inflation risk, lower interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and U.S. government dysfunction are still ever present. This might be why Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 price target to 4,900 per ounce, up from 4,300, citing Silver also slumped more than 7%, marking their biggest daily loss since 2021, as overbought signals flashed extremes.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
1
Stay out. Let others make money if they can.Gold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard. On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction, yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall. Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes. Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm... Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable. Can it keep going higher? Of course. How high? Nobody knows. At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air. Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside. My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can. A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears. At some point, it will settle down and define its levels. Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Miracle-Victo
1