Sept 10, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Yesterday, price surged to a high of 3675 before dropping back to 3627, likely due to profit-taking by bulls.
This intraday spike-and-drop creates uncertainty for Wednesday’s trading.
From my view, the market has given bearish signals, and with the 3628 support already broken, today’s main plan is to sell rallies into resistance.
📌 Summary:
The trend shows early signs of weakness after yesterday’s sharp reversal.
Bias shifts to shorting rallies into resistance as long as price stays below broken support.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3650–3651 – Resistance
• 3646 – Resistance
• 3642 – Resistance
• 3637.5 – Resistance
• 3629–3632 – Key intraday support/resistance
• 3623 – Support
• 3615 – Support
• 3600 – Support
• 3579 – Support
• 3573 – Short-term bull–bear pivot
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3521 → target 3515, with further downside toward 3508, 3504, 3500
BUY: If price holds above 3529 → target 3532, with further upside toward 3538, 3542, 3546
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
Okay, here is a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar). Okay, here is a brief analysis of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar).
**Fundamental Analysis:**
As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold's price is primarily driven by real interest rates (particularly the US 10-year TIPS yield), the strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY), geopolitical risks, and global macroeconomic uncertainty. Gold typically performs well when markets anticipate Fed rate cuts (leading to lower real yields), a weaker US dollar, or periods of turmoil. Conversely, hawkish monetary policy, a strong dollar, and rising risk appetite tend to suppress its price.
**Technical Analysis:**
XAUUSD has been consolidating near all-time highs with an overall upward trend. Key technical levels include the psychological barrier of $2300 per ounce and the record high (around $2450), which act as significant resistance. Important support lies in the $2150-$2200 zone (formed by previous highs and trendlines). A decisive break above the all-time high could open the door for further upward movement.
**Summary and Outlook:**
The long-term thesis for gold centers on global central bank purchasing, de-dollarization trends, and its role as a hedge against potential economic recession. Short-term price action remains tightly correlated to Federal Reserve policy expectations and key economic data releases (like CPI and NFP). It is currently consolidating at high levels, awaiting further macro cues for direction.
***
*Disclaimer: The above content is market analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are risky; invest with caution.*
XAUUSD 1H - Breakout or Rejection SetupStructure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold is consolidating between the demand zone (3,620-3,636) and breakout zone (3,645-3,658). Lower highs show bearish pressure, but buyers are holding demand, creating a decision point.
Market Overview
Price action suggests a compression phase. If 3,640-3,645 breaks with bullish momentum, the market can rally strongly. On the other hand, rejection here may send gold back to the demand zone.
Key Scenarios
Bullish Case
(above 3,645-3,658)
Target 1: 3,660
• Target 2: 3,674
•* Target 3: 3,697
X Bearish Case
• Target 1: 3,620
Target 2: 3
3,615
* Target 3: 3,605
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance
: 3,645-3,658 / 3,674
Support
: 3,620 / 3,613
+
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only.
Not financial advice.
XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Tonight | Captain Vincent 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
The probability of the FED cutting rates in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost a certainty.
FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation, combined with previously weak economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold.
US–Japan deal: US reduces chip import tariffs to 15% , in return Japan invests $550B + purchases $8B worth of agricultural products. Positive, but not game-changing since markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation.
Trump: Threatens to impose tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns.
NFP & Unemployment Rate at 07:30 Us → key event, potential for very strong volatility.
⏩ Captain’s Summary:
Flows remain tilted toward BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term whipsaws may occur before/after the news.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
M30 BOS : Gold just created a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish.
Captain’s Shield (Support) : 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone).
Storm Breaker (Resistance) : 3575 – 3593 (aligns with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618).
If Gold breaks above 3591 – 3593 → opens the path toward new ATH at 3608 – 3610 or higher.
If rejected at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back upward.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3484 – 3486
SL: 3478
TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3575 – 3577
SL: 3585
TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance)
Entry: 3591 – 3593
SL: 3600
TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship sails smoothly as the FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe haven to continue riding the bullish wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may spark big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us northward.”
GOLD TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW📉 GOLD TRADE SETUP – CHECK NOW
🔑 Potential Entry Zone: 3640 – 3635
❌ Stop Loss (Invalidation Level): 3630
🎯 Target Levels:
✔️ TP1 – 3655
✔️ TP2 – 3666
✔️ TP3 – 3778
💡 This is my personal market outlook based on chart structure & price action. Always apply proper risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content is shared for educational and informational purposes only.
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
Sells to buy reversal set upXAUUSD Trade Update
Currently in a sell position – tight stop, strong RR. Eyeing that 30-min order block & potential liquidity sweep for the next move.
Price rejected key zones across multiple timeframes – confluence is stacking. Risk is higher as trade started against momentum, but gold is starting to mirror BTC again… interesting correlation!
Risk will be managed as always – moving to break-even when possible.
📊 What’s your bias here – bullish or bearish?
💬 Drop your thoughts below & let’s discuss setups!
Gold Under Pressure Time To Short XAUUSD?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3533, and bearish momentum is gaining strength as sellers dominate the market. Price action indicates a strong rejection from the recent highs, signaling potential continuation to the downside. The next major target is 3450, and if selling pressure remains strong, we could see further dips toward deeper support zones. Keep an eye on key levels and trend confirmations before entering positions. Maintain strict risk management and adjust positions according to volatility. A break below current support could open the way for extended bearish movement, making this a crucial opportunity for short traders."
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time For Correction
Gold nicely respected 3600 psychological level.
The market was rejected from that on Friday
and formed a bearish imbalance candle before closing.
I think that we can expect a retracement at least to 3577 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish after Break Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish after Break - 3536
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
CPI Showdown – Will Gold Claim 3675+ or Collapse First?Gold at the Gates – CPI Will Choose the Winner
Gold has been climbing relentlessly, step by step, like a king walking through open gates. The last breakout above 3640 was no accident — it was structure unfolding with precision.
Now, we stand in front of tomorrow’s battlefield: CPI and Jobless Claims. These are not just numbers; they’re the spark that can ignite a trend continuation… or flip the script in one violent sweep.
If bulls defend 3628–3635, the road is clear to 3660, and then the higher ground at 3675–3685.
But if the floor breaks, expect a sharp liquidity grab under 3635 before any recovery.
This is not a random range. It’s the decision point, where market makers will show their hand.
⚡ Tomorrow, the question is simple: will Gold march higher into uncharted territory, or will CPI pull the rug first?
⚡ If this plan gives you clarity, smash the like ❤️, drop your comment 💬, and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for daily precision maps 🚀
XAU/USD | Breakout in Progress – Are You Ready for the Next ATH?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our analysis two days ago, the price began its bullish move from the $3383 zone and successfully hit all four targets at $3393, $3398, $3404, and $3409 — but it didn’t stop there! Gold continued its rally beyond those levels.
As anticipated in yesterday’s outlook, we closely watched the $3419–$3429 supply zone for a potential bearish reaction. When price reached $3424, it dropped to $3404, validating our second scenario as well. Although the drop could’ve extended further, the combined result of both scenarios delivered over 500 pips of total profit!
After hitting $3404, gold gained demand again — and with the release of the U.S. Core PCE data, this bullish trend strengthened, pushing price up toward its all-time high (ATH) near $3500. Gold is now trading around $3447, just 500 pips away from that historic level.
Given the increasing odds of a Fed rate cut in September, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. In my view, a new ATH for gold could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.
Hope this analysis helps you ride the wave — make the most of it! 💰📈
THE LATEST ANALYSIS 👇🏼
Will $3500 be the next stop for gold? 👀
👇 Drop your thoughts below & don’t miss the next update!
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 8–12, 2025Hello traders, this week we enter a heavy calendar for the USD with PPI (Sep 10), CPI + Unemployment Claims (Sep 11), and UoM Sentiment (Sep 12). Gold just printed new highs around 3600, breaking out of the summer consolidation, and the macro stage is set for another volatile ride. Let’s map the battlefield 👇
🔸 Macro Context
Inflation data dominates the week. PPI/CPI will steer the USD narrative – hotter prints may strengthen USD and trigger corrections in gold, while softer data could fuel further upside.
RSI on the weekly is at 70+, showing strong momentum but also an overextended condition that makes retracements likely.
Geopolitical tensions + global demand for safe havens remain supportive for gold in the bigger picture.
🔸 Weekly Structure & Trend
The weekly chart shows a clear bullish trend, with all EMAs (5, 21, 50, 100, 200) stacked in perfect alignment and price locked above them.
Momentum candles are wide and aggressive → signaling institutional push.
Bias: Bullish with corrective pullback risk.
🔑 Weekly Structural Zones
🔴Upside (Premium levels / Supply)
3669–3700 → First resistance cluster, near-term profit-taking zone.
3815–3860 → Next major supply block, aligning with Fibo extension from last leg.
3960–4000 → Psychological milestone + HTF supply above.
🟢Downside (Discount levels / Demand)
3525–3480 → First strong demand zone if CPI/PPI triggers retracement. Aligned with EMA5/21 support.
3375–3325 → Mid-range demand, previous breakout base.
3220–3180 → Deep correction zone, strong institutional support if major reversal occurs.
📌 Scenarios
Bullish case:
If USD data comes in softer, gold could extend above 3669–3700, targeting 3815+.
Continuation requires holding 3525+ as support.
Bearish case:
Hot CPI/PPI + stronger USD could drag gold into a correction.
A clean break below 3525 exposes 3375–3325 as the deeper retest zone.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
This week is a macro-driven battlefield. The 3600 breakout confirms bullish control, but price is extended and reactive to inflation data. Watch 3525–3480 as the key defense line for bulls, and 3669–3700 as the immediate supply ceiling. Beyond that, momentum could unlock the 3815–3860 zone.
Trade with confirmation around these institutional levels — this week is not about chasing, but about reacting with precision to data and structure.
✨ What do you think — will CPI unlock the 3700+ rally, or is gold due for a pullback into 3525? Drop your thoughts below 👇 and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more weekly and daily precision plans 🚀
XAUUSD Stable uptrend eyes quick rise to $3695Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a short-term Channel Up on the 1H time-frame lately, fueled mainly by its 1H MA20 (red trend-line), with the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as the last Support.
Right now it is holding the 1H MA20 and as long as it does, we expect it to repeat at least a +1.87% Bullish Leg, similar to the last two. Our immediate Target is $3695.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
short correction, continue to create new ATH⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates near record highs just below $3,600 on Monday, pausing after Friday’s surge. A modest US Dollar rebound and upbeat equity sentiment cap gains, though expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and continued central bank buying underpin the metal. Overbought conditions may limit fresh upside ahead of key US inflation data later this week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure, short-term profit taking at ATH 3600. Gold price adjusted down to accumulate for the upcoming big uptrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3612- 3614 SL 3619
TP1: $3600
TP2: $3590
TP3: $3580
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3563-$3561 SL $3556
TP1: $3570
TP2: $3580
TP3: $3590
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Gold continues the stretch after the break out of a long-term range. We have to be cautious here now as the measured move is slightly higher so a pull back is well overdue. We managed to stay above the region mentioned in the report and hit the targets we wanted completing the red box targets and targeting that high as mentioned. A pull back would have been nice however in order to load again.
Now, we have resistance above at the 3540-2 level and support 3420 which if held can take us higher into the 3555 level. We need to wait now for a structure to form if we're going to stay up here, otherwise, we'll look for the reversal as the liquidity indicators are showing extreme levels.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3480 for 3484✅ and 3490✅ and 3502✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3465 for 3459, 3455 and 3449 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold at a Crossroad – 3645 Wall vs 3610 Base👋 Hello traders,
Gold is trading now around 3636 after printing the ATH at 3674. Since then, price has been rejected twice from the 3645–3650 supply zone, forming clear lower highs and showing signs of distribution.
🔸 HTF Picture (D1–H4):
Momentum is cooling, RSI is coming down from overbought, and EMAs are starting to lose their bullish slope. Structure is heavy under 3645, but the higher timeframe uptrend is still intact as long as 3610–3600 holds.
🔸 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3645–3650 → strong supply, rejection zone.
Support: 3610–3600 → structural base, must hold to avoid deeper correction.
⚡ Friday Context:
We have red USD news (UoM sentiment + inflation expectations). On top of that, it’s Friday, and gold often plays dirty before weekly close – fake spikes, liquidity grabs, and manipulation are common.
🎯 The battlefield is clear: 3610 vs 3645. If bulls defend the base, we could see another push higher. If sellers keep control below the wall, more downside opens.
📊 What’s your play here? Buy the dip or fade the wall?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments, hit the like button if this helps your trading, and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for daily precision updates 🚀✨ ma refer la text, asta era textul
XAUUSD – Breakout in Action, Next Liquidity Zones AheadMarket View:
Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken out of consolidation, confirming bullish momentum. After the accumulation phase, price surged strongly, showing buyers remain in control. The focus now shifts to the next liquidity zones above, with upside momentum still dominant.
Key Levels (H1/H15):
Immediate Resistance: 3621 – 3633
Next Liquidity Sell Zone: 3649 – 3650
Extended Target: 3669 – 3678
Support: 3595 – 3580 – 3572
Technical Outlook:
Breakout confirms continuation of the bullish trend.
As long as price holds above 3595, the structure stays intact.
A clean break through 3621–3633 opens the path towards 3649–3669.
Trading Plan:
BUY (preferred):
Buy on retest around 3595–3600
SL: 3580
TP: 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669+
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if strong rejection occurs at 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3625 → 3630 → 3620
Summary:
✅ Breakout confirmed, bullish momentum remains strong.
👉 Watch 3621–3633 and 3649–3650 closely for the next trading opportunities.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for more updates and execution setups!
Gold: eyes $3,6K?Gold's rally continued also during the previous week, supported by the weaker than expected US non-farm payrolls data and expectations that the Fed might have a solid ground for the rate cut at September's FOMC meeting. The price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.599 at Friday's trading session, after the publication of August NFP data of only 22K, significantly below market expectation of 75K. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4,3% in August, which is another indication of a clearly weakening jobs market in the US. Analysts are noting that this might be the solid ground for further surge in the price of gold till the end of this year.
With the latest push of the price of gold to the upside, the RSI entered into strongly overbought territory, moving above the level of 70 from the start of September. Technical analysis suggests that these levels of RSI would imply a short term correction in the value of the asset, however, considering currently strong demand for gold, the indicator might hold higher levels for at least one week ahead. The MA50 again started its divergence from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is not near.
The start of the week might bring some modest consolidation in the price of gold, mostly due to profit-taking of investors, considering the historically highest level of gold. However, at this point on charts, there is no clear indication of a potential reversal to the down side. It should be considered that the week ahead brings US inflation data in August, which might bring further confirmation that the Fed will cut rates in a two weeks period. The market is also currently set to reach the $3,6K target. In this sense, there is an equal probability for both sides in a week ahead, where the profit-taking moves of investors will decide the move of the price of gold toward the downside.