Gold: Maintain Bullish Strategy, Target 4180–4220 ZoneYesterday, the market overall remained in a bottom-building phase. There were several intraday rebounds, but each time the price eventually returned near the lows. Compared to recent sessions, the volatility wasn’t extreme, though still relatively large when measured against previous market conditions.
At the moment, the price is approaching the MA20 resistance on the 2-hour chart, with both the structure and indicators leaning bullish. On the 30-minute chart, minor support lies near 4070, with secondary support around 4043, while strong resistance remains in the 4180–4200 and 4250 zones.
The trading strategy remains unchanged — continue to buy in batches near the lows and stay patient while waiting for the price to recover.
Trade ideas
3rd GOLD setup.After losing the 4k support I am waiting for the price to fall to the next white line which will be the next line of support. I left the Sl pretty close since the Gold looks really weak right now.
From the 3950 the price will bounce to the upper white line that will become the next resistance.
Let me know what you think. Any advice or comment means alot.
Methodology: Smart Money Concept (SMC) 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Analysis
1. Market Context
• The chart is XAU/USD on the 5M timeframe.
• A BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside was followed by a ChoCH (Change of Character) to the downside.
• This shows a possible liquidity trap where buyers were induced before price shifts bearish.
2. Liquidity Zone
• Below the marked lows there is Sell-Side Liquidity, where retail buy-side stop losses are resting.
• A Fake Out already occurred, sweeping liquidity.
3. Point of Interest (POI)
• A 5M Order Block (OB-5M) is marked inside the Resistance Zone.
• This is the key institutional area for a potential rejection.
• Planned Sell entry: 3,997.
4. Trade Management
• Stop Loss (SL): 4,013, above the resistance zone.
• Take Profit (TP): 3,951, aligned with liquidity targets.
• Risk/Reward (R/R): 1:2.88, solid for intraday setups.
5. Price Narrative
• Price is expected to retest the OB-5M rejection zone at 3,997.
• After that, the projection is a bearish move with a distribution phase.
• Final target: liquidity sweep around 3,951.
🚀 Motivational Note
“Patience is your edge: wait for price to reach your zone, trust the plan, and let risk management protect you. Consistency comes from discipline, not prediction.” ✨📉💪
GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
10, 23 gold is still expected to fall!!!This week, gold hit $4380 for the second time before retreating, forming a double top. The upward rebound was interrupted by a break below 4293. A break below the previous low of 4186 marked the first time a secondary decline has occurred, breaking the previous correction pattern. Previous declines have not resulted in a secondary break below the previous low, let alone a downward extension. Therefore, this time represents a shift in rhythm, a pause in the bull market, and a period of rest and consolidation. The bull market needs rest!
Short-term, yesterday's Asian session rebounded, reaching 4161 before retreating around 2:00 PM. Today, we will focus on the overnight rebound high of 4118 and the 2:00 PM timeframe. Specifically, relying on the resistance at 4118, we can short in the European session and continue to watch for a decline.
Specifically, keep an eye on the resistance at 4118 and consider shorting when the time is right.
Analysis of gold price trends next weekShort-term catalyst: Risk disturbances and technological stabilization form a synergy
Geopolitical "tail risks" continue to escalate: The escalation of US sanctions against Russian energy giants, the intensification of competition in the technology sector between China and the US, coupled with the 23-day government shutdown crisis in the US, have continuously fuelled market risk aversion. What is even more alarming is that the new restrictions in the Russian energy sector have spilled over to the transportation costs of commodities, and if this potential risk unfolds, it will rapidly drive funds into gold.
Stabilization after sharp decline validates support strength: On October 21, the spot price of gold in London dropped by more than 6% from its historical high of 4,381 US dollars, approaching the 4,100 US dollar mark, but then rebounded rapidly. On October 23, the intraday gain was over 1.27%, recovering most of the lost ground. This "sharp decline without collapse" trend fully confirms the strong support effect in the 4,000-4,100 US dollar range and also reflects the market's recognition of the long-term value of gold.
Technical aspect presents "strong consolidation" characteristics: The daily chart shows that after the price decline, it still operates above the middle band (3,964.72 US dollars) of the Bollinger Bands, without disrupting the upward trend; the RSI indicator has dropped from the overbought zone to the middle-high level of 58.19, which is a healthy "cooling without breaking through". Currently, the price is in the stabilization stage after the correction, and as long as the key support is held, the second upward attack momentum will gradually accumulate.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
XAUUSD – Contracting Triangle BreakdownGold has completed a 5-wave contracting triangle (labeled (1)–(5)), signaling a potential continuation of the prior downtrend. The breakout from the triangle’s lower boundary confirms momentum shift and continuation potential toward Fibonacci support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish continuation
⚠️ Invalidation Level: Break above 4,130 (top of the triangle – would negate the bearish structure).
🎯 Profit Targets:
0.618 = 3,904
0.786 = 3,840
1.0 = 3,758 (main profit zone)
1.13–1.272 = 3,710–3,655 (extended zone for exhaustion)
The structure likely represents a Wave B triangle, with the current leg unfolding as Wave C to the downside. Breakdown volume and price action confirm the shift from consolidation to impulsive decline.
💡 Key Insight:
Triangles often act as continuation patterns before the final move in the trend direction. With the lower boundary broken, gold could accelerate toward the 1.0–1.272 Fibonacci extension zone before forming a meaningful base.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #TrianglePattern #TechnicalAnalysis #Commodities #Forex #TradingView
XAUUSD Bearish Structure Breakdown and Retest SetupSimple Analysis & Description:
The chart shows a Change of Character (CHOCH) at the top, signaling a possible end to the bullish trend.
Two major breakdowns occurred after price failed to maintain the ascending trendline, confirming bearish momentum.
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) formed, shifting market direction from bullish to bearish.
Price made a retest of the broken structure (highlighted yellow zone), which often acts as a new supply zone.
The gray zone below marks the next potential demand area or target zone, where price could react or find support.
The Ichimoku Cloud is now above the candles, indicating bearish pressure and potential continuation to the downside.
Summary:
➡️ Trend: Bearish
➡️ Key Zone: 4,297–4,329 (supply / retest zone)
➡️ Target Zone: 4,221 area (potential demand/support)
GOLD Moonshot An idea for gold suggesting a massive further breakout of this triangle, similar to the first move up into the triangle.
The triangle encompasses a massive period of time for gold on this Weekly timeframe
I would call it an ascending triangle. Or a bullish rising wedge.
Hard to call the top.
$4,005 BROKEN! GOLD READY FOR CPI COLLAPSE.FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan (H1 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has attracted sellers and is now trading below $4,100. With the US CPI release looming and $4,000 support under threat, the DOWNSIDE scenario is our primary focus!
1. Sharp Technical Analysis
The H1 chart confirms Gold is currently consolidating in a Sideway Zone between $4,159 (Resistance) and $4,005 (Critical Support).
Key Breakdown: The recent price action has broken below the $4,100 mark, validating the downward pressure.
Sideway Zone: Price is trapped between $4,159.686 (Breakout Zone/Resistance) and $4,005.438 (Breakdown Zone/Support).
Dominant Risk: A decisive break below $4,005.438 will confirm the continuation of the major bearish trend, targeting $3,889$.
Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN!
Fundamental Analysis (FA): CPI & USD Demand Fueling Sellers
USD Strength: The recovery of the USD is pressuring Gold, attracting sellers in the early European session.
Diwali Factor: The end of the Diwali festival in India may reduce physical demand and weaken the price.
Key Event: US CPI: All eyes are on the US CPI inflation data for September, due later today.
Forecast: CPI is expected to rise 0.4% MoM (3.1% YoY). Core CPI is expected to show a 0.3% MoM increase (3.1% YoY).
Impact: A hotter-than-expected CPI number will fuel the USD, almost certainly triggering a break below $4,005$ towards $3,889$.
Breakdown Scenario (SHORT)
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005.438$. Wait for an H1 candle to close decisively beneath this level.
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159.686$. Placed safely above the current Sideway Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,938.128$ (Fibo Target).
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.330$ (Ultimate Structural Target).
The CPI report is here! Do you believe the inflation data will be hot enough to smash $4,005$? Or is the Sideway Zone here to stay?
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is pulling back after reaching its recent peak. This retracement is mainly due to profit-taking by investors after gold hit a near-record high around $4,380.
However, the overall long-term trend still favors the bulls. The main driving force behind this remains strong technical buying momentum. Investors are increasingly turning to gold amid global uncertainties, seeking a safe haven to protect their capital.
Ongoing risks — from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, escalating U.S.–China trade tensions, political instability in France, and heightened currency volatility — continue to push capital flows into gold, reinforcing its status as the “king of assets.”
From my personal perspective, based on current market momentum, I remain optimistic about gold’s outlook. The next key support levels are around $4,200, followed by $4,100.
💬What about you — how do you see the next move for this precious metal?
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters!
DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS )
Central Bank Buying
Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026.
ETF Inflows & Sentiment
Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+.
Macro & Geopolitical Events
Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow.
Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI.
Silver Deficit
Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops
Futures & Options Flow
CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes
Fundamentals & Forecast
Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
XAUUSD Best level to sell is this.Gold (XAUUSD) has turned bearish, at least on the short-term, as it broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in a month and is headed for its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
Having made a Double Top at the start of the downtrend, the pattern that seems to be emerging is a Channel Down, with the last such formation seen in April - May.
So far the 4H RSI sequences between the two patterns are identical, so we expect a rebound now, which can give us the most optimal level to short again near the top of the Channel Down.
A break above 0.786 invalidates this, but as long as it holds, our Target will be the -0.236 Fibonacci extension at 3920 just like on May 15, which also hit its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supports to Watch
As Gold continues an extended correction,
here are significant supports to watch.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 4040 - 4060 area
Support 2: 3942 - 3959 area
Support 3: 3870 - 3897 area
Support 4: 3766 - 3831 area
Support 5: 3691 - 3735 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
A trend line and horizontal Support 1 compose a demand zone.
That will be the first potentially significant zone for a pullback.
In case of its breakout, the price will reach at least Support 2 then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Buy Pressure Building on GoldGold is displaying signs of buyer re-entry after a period of controlled downside movement. The recent liquidity sweep around the lower range indicates that short-term selling pressure has been largely absorbed, creating favorable conditions for a potential upward expansion.
Market activity suggests renewed interest from institutional participants accumulating within the current price zone. The consolidation phase appears to be forming a base, signaling the possibility of a directional shift as liquidity gradually migrates upward. Increasing momentum on the lower end of the range reflects confidence returning to the market, setting the stage for a possible continuation toward higher valuation areas.
The outlook remains constructive as long as current accumulation behavior sustains, with market sentiment leaning toward a recovery-driven advance in the near term.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold), 4H timeframe — here’s the detailed breakdown 👇
---
Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup — XAU/USD
Market Context
Gold has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Price has recently broken above the previous resistance zone, signaling bullish continuation.
---
Key Technical Points
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Zone
The chart highlights an FVG area around 4,060–4,080, which now acts as a potential retracement zone.
Smart money often drives price back into these imbalances to mitigate orders before continuing the move up.
2. Retest Opportunity
Expect a pullback into the FVG zone, followed by bullish confirmation (rejection candle or structure shift).
This creates a high-probability long entry zone aligned with the prevailing bullish order flow.
3. Key Support Level
The 3,940–3,970 zone below acts as a major support / demand area, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
4. Target Point
The projected target point is around 4,250, based on the measured move from the FVG breakout structure.
This aligns with liquidity resting above previous highs — a likely take-profit zone for institutional traders.
---
Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for price to retrace and show bullish confirmation inside the 4,060–4,080 (FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Below 4,040 (beneath imbalance / last swing low).
Take Profit: 4,250 target zone — completion of the bullish leg.
---
Market Logic
This idea follows Smart Money flow principles:
Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish control.
Retracement to FVG provides a discounted entry.
Target liquidity above prior highs for exit.
--- Mr SMC Trading point
Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase — look for retracement entries into the FVG for continuation toward 4,250.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
GOLD | Awaits CPI Data for Next Direction GOLD | Awaits CPI Data for Next Direction
Gold prices are set for a strong move ahead of the U.S. CPI release.
Key Levels
Pivot: 4,053
Resistance: 4,101 · 4,124 · 4,163
Support: 4,011 · 3,985 · 3,945
Trading Plan
🔼 Buy Setup: Longs valid above 4,053, targeting 4,101 / 4,124 / 4,163 — supported if CPI prints below 3.1%.
🔽 Sell Setup: Shorts valid below 4,053, targeting 4,011 / 3,985 / 3,945 — favored if CPI comes above expectations.
📌 Premium Takeaway
Gold is poised for a strong reaction to inflation data.
A softer CPI favors bullish continuation toward 4,124–4,163,
while a hotter CPI could trigger a bearish correction toward 4,011–3,945.
Don't rush into gold; it's still going to fall!Although current market news is generally bullish for gold, the recent decline in gold prices is primarily driven by large-scale profit-taking and a technical correction that has been stronger than expected. Gold is currently at a critical turning point. Tuesday's sharp drop has indeed weakened the short-term trend, but Wednesday's rebound and the bullish engulfing pattern formed on the 4-hour chart clearly indicate solid buying support below. Overall, gold prices are likely to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term between 3980 and 4145-4155, awaiting new directional catalysts. Gold is currently in a correction cycle, with overall momentum weak. Therefore, the recommended trading strategy is to short on rallies. Sell on rallies!!!
Double top resistance has pulled back as expected.Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term resistance is currently at 4380-4383 on the upside, while support is at 4280-4293 on the downside. If bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakout, a period of volatile correction is imminent. Trading strategies should prioritize range-bound trading. In the middle, be cautious about buying orders and wait patiently for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Short gold with a light position at 4375-4383, targeting 4295-4303. Hold if it breaks through!
Go long on gold if it retraces to 4285-4293, targeting 4365-4370. Hold if it breaks through!
Gold is Targeting #5,100.80 benchmark / Medium-termGold's Short-term: Gold reached my personal maximum (regarding Short-term of course) of almost invalidating #4,400.80 benchmark / both Short and Medium-term Buyers / investors started taking Profits and as Naturally, asset cannot only Trade in one direction, Gold dipped creating aggressive Descending Channel and is now testing the Lower Low’s pressure point. However, #4,000.80 is very strong Support zone for the fractal which won't be invalidated without serious cause and even with Short-term development (due current decline) Investors drawing capital from Gold to more riskier assets - I doubt Gold has more potential to go Lower below my Support zones on the chart regarding Short-term. The current Selling accumulation pattern on Hourly 4 chart is now on total Neutrality but attempting to break towards last week’s Lower Low's. Current Fed loan climate is Gold friendly as Gold often demonstrates resilience during early phases of Fed tightening cycles before investment flows adjust to Higher Rates. If Rates go down more aggressively, Gold will soar more (another reason why I am Bullish on Gold).
#MA50 and #MA200 observation: Keep both lines on your Weekly (#1W) chart, as they are pointers for Long-term. As Long as Gold is Trading above them, Bullish Long-term stance remains and Gold will Target upper levels.
Fundamental commentary: Gold was Trading on #1,800.80 on mid-October #2023 Year, and currently tested #4,400.80 benchmark which records one of the most aggressive rises of Gold in history. It was up almost (# +65.00%) lately / when confidence in financial system is on a decline (which is the case in current and last few Years), Gold is soaring as hedge. U.S. Dollar just had one of its weakest first halves in #50 Years, down more than (# -10.00%) against other major currencies. Massive debt (# 315 trillion globally), rising government spending and tariff regulation and impact on the markets have shaken confidence in the system world-wide. When U.S. Dollar weakens, Investors are in search of asset that feels more stable to store their money / it is always one and almost only option - Gold. In addition, Central banks have been Buying Gold in bulk / over #1,000 tons annually for the past #3-Year fractal, most since #1,967 Year which is not surprise or weird / something is going on. Part of that started with Middle East conflict escalation #2,023 Year, U.S. freezing #300 million Russian reserves in #2,022 Year, showcasing other countries that their Dollars can be shut off as political leverage.
Recapitulation: Segment which makes the almost (# +65.00%) increase on Gold unusual is that both Gold and Stock markets are both hitting record Highs at the same time. Institutions are still sitting on trillions in cash. Many are still not deciding to go "all in" on Stocks at these levels. Also on the contrary, they also don't want to lose to Inflation sitting on the sidelines / so they're parking most of the money in Gold as a temporary middle ground and that demand is helping push Gold Higher from big institutions, and also independent Investors world-wide. Even with all the questions and uncertainty right now, keep this in mind: Gold is used to protect wealth, not grow it. Gold usually spikes when confidence in the financial system drops, but it can dip just as fast once confidence returns. In #1,980 Year, Gold hit a record of #850.80 per ounce then dropped (# -50.00%) by #1,982 Year. After peaking at #1,920.80 in #2,011 Year, it took nearly a decade to recover and if full confidence returns, Gold may fall fast as mention above, however confidence for financial system is far from delivered or happening.
My personal thoughts: All Traders are well aware that I am well known Seller of the market however what made me triple my account, is switching to being a Bull in recent times as Trading against the trend is disastrous for a Trader. I do believe that even if Gold dips, near Lower Low's is maximum as illustrated on my chart and #5,100.80 benchmark is my next point of interest and my next Medium to Long-term Target. #6,100.80 - #6,200.80 represents Ultimate Top's for now and stabilization zone where another aggressive dip is possible, fuel only for Gold to soar further. I do believe Financial system is about to collapse even more and with ever-growing Inflation world-wide, Gold will skyrocket and I am here to Buy it / Trade it even more than ever, expecting my Targets to be met. Remember, trend is your friend and hope all of Sellers which got liquidated accounts, sending me many messages will turn their Technicals and finally start Buying Gold. Yours, goldenBear88
GOLD REBOUNDS AS INVESTORS BUY THE DIP AFTER ETF SELL-OFFGOLD | Prices Rebound Despite ETF Outflows 💰
Gold prices recovered after an earlier dip triggered by the largest single-day ETF outflow in five months, signaling profit-taking and a technical correction.
Despite investor caution, the metal maintains bullish momentum while trading above 4101, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty ahead of U.S.–China trade talks.
Technically, as long as gold trades above 4101, upside targets remain 4124 → 4163 → 4189.
A clean 1H close below 4075 would shift momentum bearish, opening room toward 4053 and 4011.
Pivot Line: 4101
Resistance: 4124 – 4163 – 4190
Support: 4075 – 4053 – 4011






















