XAUUSD Double Top Breakdown and Bearish Flag in PlayGold has completed a double top reversal, hitting its measured target before forming a bearish flag under the key supply zone.
As price remains capped below $4,050–$4,200, bearish momentum could continue toward the $3,700 region, aligning with the flag target.
We should watch the $4,020 POI zone closely any retest and rejection from that area could confirm continuation to the downside.
💬 Share your thoughts below and don’t forget to like & share if this analysis adds value!
Trade ideas
XAUUSD 1H – EW Long SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential long setup. Price seems to have completed wave 4 and is reacting from the golden box area, suggesting that wave 5 may now start unfolding to the upside.
The invalidation level at 4004.72 represents my expected end of the correction, although the setup remains valid even if price moves slightly lower. My Stop Loss is set at 3940.00, which would confirm structural failure if reached. The Take Profit is positioned at 4437.36, targeting the projected completion of wave 5.
Good luck and trade safe!
GOLD $4091 | a Short Position basic rule is when one sees a parabolic move
it's time to sell on the way up instead of aping in
difficult to contain fomo however
just have to pull t he trigger after a week of confirmation or red candle
the bounce should be opportunity to size up
and STOPS ha s to be higher
as you can get wicked ouot
How Smart Money Moves Gold (XAUUSD)🟡 Gold never moves randomly — it moves with intention.
Every spike, every fake breakout, every sharp reversal… it’s all part of a bigger plan by smart money (institutions) to trap emotional traders and collect liquidity.
Let’s break it down 👇
⚡ 1️⃣ Liquidity Grab (The Trap Phase)
Before any real move, gold sweeps stop-losses above highs or below lows.
Retail traders think it’s a breakout — but it’s actually a liquidity hunt.
Smart money fills large positions here while emotions run high.
⚡ 2️⃣ Market Structure Shift (The Clue)
After collecting liquidity, watch for a BOS (Break of Structure) or CHoCH (Change of Character) — these reveal when the real move is starting.
⚡ 3️⃣ Smart Money Entry (The Real Move)
Once the trap is set, gold often makes a strong impulsive push.
This is where institutions enter — and where smart traders follow with confirmation, not emotion.
⚡ 4️⃣ Emotional Traders Lose, Logical Traders Win
The market doesn’t hate you — it simply feeds on emotional reactions.
Be patient, wait for liquidity sweep ➜ structure shift ➜ confirmation entry.
🧭 Pro Tip:
👉 Stop chasing candles.
👉 Study liquidity and market structure.
👉 Let the chart show who’s trapped — and then trade against them.
💬 Remember:
“The market rewards patience, not panic.”
💎 Gold (XAUUSD) moves on liquidity — not luck.
#TradeSmart #ThinkLikeInstitutions #XAUUSD
Gold price tries to recover back to 4200⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drops below $4,100 in Wednesday’s Asian session, extending its sharpest selloff in over a decade as traders lock in profits after a nine-week record-breaking rally. Easing US-China trade tensions ahead of the November 1 tariff deadline further dampen safe-haven demand.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is accumulating, trying to recover back to 4163, 4200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4163 - 4165 SL 4170
TP1: $4150
TP2: $4135
TP3: $4120
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4003 - 4001 SL 3996
TP1: $4020
TP2: $4035
TP3: $4050
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD SMC based setup forming after price mitigated the horizontal supply area and showed clear rejection. Smart money is likely offloading long positions here before targeting liquidity below recent equal lows.
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Stop Loss: 4,188$
Take Profit: 4,093$
Entry: 4,139$
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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The Historical Crashes of Gold — What Really Caused Them ?Hello Traders 🐺
Throughout history, every major bear market in gold has been deeply connected to macro factors, monetary policy, and investor psychology.
Here I’ve summarized the key factors behind gold’s biggest crashes since the 1970s 👇
🧩 Key Factors Behind Historical Gold Crashes
1️⃣ Rising Real Interest Rates (↑)
The biggest historical enemy of gold.
Since gold has no yield, when real interest rates (nominal rates – inflation) turn positive, investors prefer bonds or the U.S. dollar.
Example:
In the 1980s, Fed Chair Paul Volcker raised rates above 15% to fight inflation.
Result: gold dropped from $850 (1980) to around $300 by the mid-80s — a 65% crash, marking the longest bear market in gold’s history (1980–1999).
2️⃣ A Stronger Dollar (DXY ↑)
Gold usually moves inversely to the dollar index.
When the dollar strengthens (especially vs EUR and JPY), gold comes under pressure.
Example:
Between 2011–2015, DXY rose from 73 → 100, while gold fell from $1920 → $1050 (≈45% decline).
3️⃣ End of Crises or Return of Market Confidence
When fear fades and confidence returns (e.g., after financial crises or geopolitical tensions ease), investors move away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Example:
After the 2008 crisis, once markets stabilized, gold entered a prolonged bear market (2012–2015).
4️⃣ Central Banks Stopping Gold Purchases
When central banks reduce or halt their gold accumulation, supply pressure builds.
Example:
In the late 1990s, European central banks sold large portions of their reserves (known as the Central Bank Gold Agreement 1999), which accelerated gold’s decline.
5️⃣ Strong Stock Market Returns
When equities deliver strong real returns, capital often rotates out of gold.
Example:
From 1995–2000, the S&P 500 rallied massively, while gold suffered one of its weakest decades.
6️⃣ Low Inflation & Economic Stability
Gold thrives on uncertainty and high inflation.
When inflation is low and stable, investors see little reason to hold gold.
Example:
Between 1985–2000, inflation in the U.S. stayed low — and gold traded sideways between $250–$400 for nearly 20 years.
7️⃣ Technical & Sentiment Breakdown
When key supports break and sentiment turns bearish, fear-driven selling usually accelerates the downtrend.
Example:
In 2013, gold broke below the $1550 support, triggering a rapid 20% selloff within months.
My final thought:
Every time gold enters a euphoric phase, history reminds us that the higher it climbs, the harder it falls.
So what do you think right know ? is GOLD about to fall ? let me know in the comment section down below this idea 😉🤔
So stay disciplined, watch the macro shifts carefully — and as always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Gold: Quest for new equilibriumGold has experienced a strong rally since the beginning of September, as investors sought safety amid elevated market uncertainties, including risks of a U.S. government shutdown and fresh trade-tariff tensions. The short term reversal was expected at some point, with higher uncertainty of when this moment might actually happen. Some exhaustion in the price level occurred during the previous week. Tuesday was the day when the gold pulled back from $4.374 down to $4.085. The weakening continued for the rest of the week, however, the price of gold is still in the quest for a new equilibrium level, from the technical point of view.
For the first time in almost two months, the RSI went out from a highly overbought market side, down to the level of 58. The indicator is still showing that the market is not ready to take a clear path toward the oversold market side. There are no changes with both MA50 and MA200, given the circumstances, both lines could only move within an uptrend.
From the point of the technical analysis, movements during the last three trading days show that investors are still within a wait-and-see mood. The level of $4.150 currently represents the level of short resistance. On the opposite side, the lowest weekly level of $4K represents a sort of supporting level. Levels should be considered within a broader view. Namely, a lot of funds were transferred into gold from both equity and crypto markets in a previous period due to investors' fears. As these fears slow down, the funds will be reverted back toward riskier assets. That means further weakening of the gold. For the moment, the $4K level should hold, but with increasing probability for downside.
XAUUSD (Gold) 1-Hour Timeframe Swing Trading - Long PositionXAUUSD (Gold) 1-Hour Time frame Swing Trading - Long Position
Wait for a pullback on the smaller time frame to find a long entry opportunity.
- Entry Level: Around 4100 USD.
- Stop-Loss Level: Set at 4047 USD.
- First Target Level: Look for around 4200 USD; reduce position size by half and trail the stop-loss.
- Second Target Level: Look for around 4310 USD; reduce position size by half again and trail the stop-loss.
- Third Target Level: Look for around 4450 USD; reduce position size by half once more and trail the stop-loss.
- Let the remaining position run freely, continuing to reduce position size and trail the stop-loss as the trade progresses.
XAUUSD Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Longer-TermFundamental approach:
- Gold prices traded lower this week after setting fresh record highs earlier in Oct, pressured by profit-taking and cautious sentiment ahead of delayed US inflation data.
- Geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of further Fed easing continued to support underlying demand for safe havens in the longer term.
- US President Trump'sTrump's new sanctions on Russia and export restrictions toward China, alongside the prolonged US government shutdown, reinforced demand early in the week. At the same time, stabilization in trade rhetoric and rising yields curbed momentum later.
- However, a stronger US dollar and rising Treasury yields amid improved global risk appetite and optimism around an upcoming US. China dialogue also reduced safe-haven demand in the short term, especially with today's CPI, which is expected to rise.
Technical approach:
- Gold consolidated within the range of 4054-4113. The price is below the converging EMAs, indicating that a bearish momentum persists.
- If the XAUUSD breaches the support at 4054, the price may decline further toward the next support level at 3950.
- On the contrary, remaining above 4054 may prompt a retest of the upper range at 4143, confluenced with the EMA21.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DeGRAM | GOLD broke an ascending structure📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within a descending channel but recently bounced off its lower boundary near 4,070, showing early signs of bullish correction.
● A breakout above 4,149 could trigger momentum toward 4,192 and 4,236, supported by a double rejection at the channel’s lower trendline.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is gaining mild strength as lower U.S. Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions boost demand for safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,070; targets 4,149–4,236. Technical recovery and safe-haven demand support short-term bullish momentum.
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Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you.
At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally.
From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase .
I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction .
Second target:$4,143
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe ...Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud setup with Fibonacci or horizontal resistance levels marked.
Here’s the analysis breakdown:
Current price: around $4,261
Ichimoku cloud: price is retesting the cloud top, showing potential for bullish continuation if it holds above the cloud.
My drawn levels and arrows indicate a pullback to around $4,250–$4,260, followed by a bounce toward the upside.
🎯 Target Point (based on my chart and Fibonacci zones)
The blue arrow and upper red arrow point toward:
Target zone: around $4,360 – $4,380 USD
🔍 Summary
Element Level (Approx.)
Current Price $4,261
Support / Cloud Base $4,240 – $4,250
Resistance / Target $4,360 – $4,380
Stop-loss (suggested) Below $4,230 (below the cloud and recent low)
This suggests a potential bullish move of about $100–$120 from current levels if the price confirms above the cloud and breaks $4,300 resistance.
Gold – Madness in MotionGold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far ) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard.
On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction , yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall.
Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes.
Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm...
Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable.
Can it keep going higher? Of course.
How high? Nobody knows.
At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air.
Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside.
My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can.
A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears.
At some point, it will settle down and define its levels.
Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
Gold Trade Plan 22/10/205Dear Traders,
The 4050–4060 zone should be the reversal area for gold. Considering gold’s panic moves, be cautious — the price could drop down to the 1.27 Fibonacci level around 3950 if that level is broken. However, if today the price closes above 4120, it will enter the 4200 channel.
Regards,
Alireza!
DeGRAM | GOLD is declining in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD remains confined within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lows, reinforcing bearish control.
● Price recently rejected the 4,140 resistance and is targeting the 3,950 support zone, confirming short-term continuation within the channel structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure from a stronger USD and rising Treasury yields, as traders scale back expectations of early Fed rate cuts.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,140; targets 4,000–3,950. Technical rejection and macro strength in USD sustain bearish momentum.
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Gold have chance for growth again what's should nextGold has entered a correction phase following a strong bullish move earlier in the month. The price action is currently consolidating within a range, suggesting the market is preparing for its next directional move.
Technically, gold recently reached a record high, prompting many traders to close long positions and take profit. This has led to a gradual shift in market sentiment, with short-term pressure toward the downside at present, the 4,000 level is emerging as a key support zone, where buyers may look to re-enter the market. If the price holds above this area, a bullish recovery could follow on the upside, the next resistance levels are seen at 4,100 and 4,150.
A sustained break above these zones could open the way for renewed bullish momentum.
However, the broader dynamics will depend heavily on upcoming fundamental catalysts, particularly developments in global trade negotiations and macroeconomic data influencing risk sentiment and the U.S. dollar.
You can find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely / Best of luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
FED cuts interest rates - gold prices rise next week ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 10/27/2025 - 10/31/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds over 0.10% on Friday, trading near $4,127 after recovering from $4,043 lows, as softer-than-expected US inflation data reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut next week. The CPI report broadly met forecasts but offered little support for hawkish policymakers.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers, positive next week when FED almost continues to reduce interest rate by 0.25%. Opportunity for gold to return above 4200, 4300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4153, $4237, $4380
Support: $4045, $3944
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
DeGRAM | GOLD is continuing to decline📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within a descending channel after a double-top rejection near 4,360, with momentum now pressing below 4,106 resistance.
● Consecutive lower highs and breakdown retests suggest continuation toward 4,015 and possibly 3,953 as bears maintain control.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold weakens as U.S. Treasury yields rebound and market sentiment shifts to risk-on, reducing demand for safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,106; targets 4,015–3,953. Technical and macro pressure align for extended downside in the medium term.
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“I Am Become Meme, Destroyer of Short-Sellers”: Gold at $4,200Remember those days where you could short gold and turn a profit? They’re gone. The precious metal is relentlessly pushing higher, breaking every short-seller’s dreams and portfolio.
It’s official — gold has gone full meme. The shiny metal that your grandparents swore by is now trending on Reddit threads, popping in Discord chats, and somehow getting the same hype energy as Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in 2023 and Dogecoin COINBASE:DOGEUSD in 2021.
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD just crossed $4,200 per ounce early Wednesday, notching a 60% gain year-to-date — its best run in modern history and enough to make short-sellers lose sleep and tons of cash.
Its market cap now sits near $30 trillion, which means there’s more money parked in gold than the nominal GDP of every country not named the United States.
Let’s unpack what’s fueling this blistering rally and why traders just can’t stop buying.
🪙 Gold as the Trade of 2025?
Not too long ago, gold was a boring asset that just sat there like a pet rock. Not anymore. The OG store of value is finding new meaning as the “asset for uncertain times.” That is, even amid an ongoing earnings season .
What’s driving it? Pretty much everything that usually rattles markets.
• Rate cut expectations: The Fed’s recent pivot toward easing has taken real yields lower — and gold loves that. Non-yielding assets look a lot more appealing when Treasuries don’t pay much.
• Geopolitical jitters: The Trump-Xi trade tension reboot has everyone looking for a hedge that doesn’t involve a risk disclaimer the size of a novel.
• ETF inflows: Gold-backed ETFs are hoovering up bullion at record pace as everyone seeks exposure to the precious metal.
Add in central bank hoarding — especially from China, India, and Turkey — and you’ve got a near-perfect cocktail for demand.
💰 Meme Metal or Market Masterclass?
Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets is now flooded with gold posts, some featuring rocket emojis other saying it’s one big bubble. Regardless, the retail crowd is buzzing with memes, showing that the age-old asset has reached its youngest audience.
Individual traders are clearly in on the move, and the narrative is simple enough to spread like wildfire — gold is going up, it’s at record highs, and there’s a clean number to chase: $5,000 .
Is it rational? Maybe not entirely. If 2021 taught markets anything, it’s that “meme energy” can be a legitimate technical indicator. But it will take more than undergrads buying on their iPads to move this $30 trillion behemoth.
⚖️ The Case for (Even) Higher Prices
The $5,000 target — just 20% away — doesn’t sound crazy to gold bulls. Here’s why:
• Fed momentum: With the labor market showing signs of cracking, two more rate cuts are priced in for this year.
• Central bank accumulation: Global reserves are quietly diversifying away from the dollar. It’s a structural de-dollarization move and (likely) not a phase.
• Broader liquidity wave: Investors are flush with cash, even amid the AI boom, and some of that money inevitably spills into gold.
😬 The Other Side of the Coin
But before you run to your local pawn shop with diamond hands, it’s worth noting: no rally goes vertical forever.
Gold’s RSI has hovered above 70 for weeks — deep in overbought territory. Historically, every time the metal’s gone this far this fast, there’s been a pullback of 10-15% to shake out the latecomers.
Add in profit-taking, potential surprise Fed commentary, and a stronger dollar bounce, and you could see a retest of support near $3,850–$3,900.
And don’t forget the opportunity cost. When rates eventually bottom, stocks and crypto could start reclaiming their allure. Gold doesn’t pay yield, doesn’t innovate, and doesn’t post memes — it just sits there, shiny and smug.
🥈 The Silver Lining
If gold’s story sounds wild, silver’s chart looks even wilder. Silver OANDA:XAGUSD topped $53.60 earlier this week — up 83% year-to-date — riding on both industrial demand and good old FOMO.
ETFs tracking silver have seen some of their largest inflows ever, with some day traders even rotating profits from gold to silver in hopes of juicing returns.
When both metals rally together, it usually signals broad market uncertainty — and a collective “we don’t trust anything else right now” mood.
Off to you : How are you navigating the gold rush? Are you in already, looking to get in, or calling tops and lower from here? Share your views in the comments!
GOLD | Bearish Bias Holds Below $3,944 Amid Trade OptimismGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Trades Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Rises
Gold continues to slide, as optimism over a potential U.S.–China trade deal and improving global outlook weakens demand for safe-haven assets.
The metal is now down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $4,377 (Oct 20), with the recent rally losing steam as traders take profits amid signs of progress in trade negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.
Technical Overview
Gold dropped nearly $150, exactly as projected in our previous outlook.
The price remains under bearish pressure while below 3,944, targeting 3,893, and a break below that could extend the decline toward 3,855 → 3,818.
However, a 1H close above 3,944 would indicate a potential reversal, opening the way for a retest of 3,970 → 4,011.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 3,932 – 3,944
Support: 3,893 · 3,855 · 3,819
Resistance: 3,970 · 4,011 · 4,053
Outlook:
Gold stays bearish below 3,944, with downside potential toward 3,855 if trade optimism persists.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 3,944 would shift bias back to short-term bullish toward 4,011.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Safe & Sure Buy Signal💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Safe & Sure Buy Signal
📈 Buy Entry: 4109
🎯 Targets: 4135 – 4155 – 4176 (Final Target)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 4088 (Safe Zone Protection)
Analysis:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum from the 4109 support level. As long as price stays above this zone, buyers are likely to push the market toward the 4176 resistance area. This setup is a safe and sure buy opportunity with a clear upside path and controlled risk.






















