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GOLDMINICFD trade ideas

Gold is approaching $3,900, is $4,000 still far away? News： On Wednesday (October 1st), the US government shutdown officially took effect in the early hours of US Eastern Time. Congress failed to reach a consensus on a temporary funding bill (CR) for fiscal year 2025, resulting in the suspension of operations of agencies such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The release of the non-farm payroll report (originally scheduled for October 3rd) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data (October 15th) have been delayed indefinitely (depending on the duration of the shutdown). This has heightened uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's decision-making. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the originally scheduled October 28-29 meeting has fallen from 90% to approximately 80%. The market has turned to alternative indicators such as the ADP employment data, but these alternative sources are less accurate and may lead to a more conservative policy path. The current US dollar index (DXY) is at 97.78, down 0.1% on the day and down nearly 10% this year. The RSI is neutral to weak (47.6), reflecting that the safe-haven demand has not been significantly activated; spot gold (XAU/USD) is at $3,883, up 0.6% on the day, and the RSI is overbought (64), setting a record high, highlighting its role as a non-US dollar safe-haven asset; the 10-year US Treasury yield remained stable at 4.15%, with limited intraday fluctuations. Market concerns about supply disruptions were offset by short-term safe-haven buying. Specifically: Judging from the 1-hour market trend, the bulls are fluctuating at a high level with a positive closing. Short-term support below is at 3860-50, and the important support at 3830 is also on the agenda. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. The main strategy is to buy on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide detailed operation strategies in the channel, so please pay attention to them. Strategy： Long Position3850-3860，SL:3720，Target:3900
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 30-min chart you shared: --- Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Setup (M30 Chart) Market Structure: Price is moving inside a bullish ascending channel. Current retracement is pulling back toward a fair value gap (FVG, H4) highlighted in yellow. Price is still holding above the 50 EMA (3806.16) and 200 EMA (3766.40), both sloping upward → confirming bullish momentum. Key Levels: Support Zone (Demand / FVG H4): 3810 – 3820 region (yellow box). EMA 50: Acting as dynamic short-term support around 3806. EMA 200: Stronger bullish base at 3766. Target Point: 3857.19 (resistance zone & top of channel). Price Expectation: Likely scenario: Price may retrace into the FVG support zone → bounce upward → continue inside the channel toward the target point 3857. As long as the structure holds above 3806 (EMA 50), the bullish setup remains valid. Mr SMC Trading point --- Bias: Bullish Target: 3857.19 Key Support: 3810 – 3820 zone (FVG + EMA confluence) Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3817.13 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 3826.1 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3799.8 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal - 3750 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
8
Gold eases off records on profit-takingGold continued its remarkable rally today, briefly touching a new record high of $3,871, before easing on profit-taking to turn lower at the time of writing. Despite last week's small dollar strength from upbeat US data, the metal decisively broke above the next round handle of $3,800, where it was still holding today. The bullish structure remains intact as long as the higher highs and lows persist. Key drivers for gold include strong central bank demand, ongoing geopolitical risks, de-dollarisation trends, and concerns over US debt and policy credibility. While Fed rate cut expectations have been pared back slightly, the overall case for gold remains resilient, underpinned by structural factors rather than short-term policy shifts. This week’s focus turns to critical US labour market data, including JOLTS and non-farm payrolls, which could sway the dollar’s direction and gold’s short-term momentum. Technically, gold’s next upside targets are $3,900 and $4,000, while support lies around $3,790–$3,800 initially. Below this area, you have the short-term trend line and then nothing significant until $3,700. Meanwhile, the RSI is flashing big warning signs on multiple time frames. But despite overbought conditions, momentum remains strong, making dip-buying the preferred strategy in the near term. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
GOLD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD rejects a horizontal supply area with clear SMC reaction. Liquidity engineered above 3,790$ suggests downside continuation toward 3,770$ imbalance. Time Frame 30M. ------------------- Stop Loss: 3,791$ Take Profit: 3,769$ Entry: 3,782$ Time Frame: 30M ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
Gold rebounds? Latest analysis here.Gold faced resistance and declined around the $3900 level, with significant downward pressure, confirming strong support at the 5-day moving average (3830-3820). The daily trend has been consistent this week, with the market repeatedly testing and finding support at the 5-day moving average. If this pattern continues, gold is likely to test the 10-day moving average on Friday, potentially stabilizing and consolidating around that level. If the 10-day moving average is broken, the price is likely to fall further, approaching the middle Bollinger Band. The 1-hour chart shows that the resistance zone of 3855-3890 has been broken to the downside, with 3855 now acting as short-term resistance. On Friday, during the Asian session, the price is likely to initially test 3860, potentially triggering further declines. However, if the 1-hour chart breaks above this level and sustains upward movement, adjust your trading strategy accordingly. If the downward trend continues, key support levels to watch are 3800-3790.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Outlook📊 Chart Breakdown Price was trending under a descending trendline until we got a breakout to the upside. That breakout signals that bears lost control (at least short-term). After the breakout, price pulled back into the blue support zone (~$3,750 area). This zone is acting as the retest level — where bulls need to defend for the breakout to stay valid. There’s a clear invalid level at $3,725 (red dotted line). A drop below there would cancel the bullish case and open the door for deeper downside. 🚦 Scenarios 👉 Bullish Path: If price holds the $3,750 support zone and shows strength (wicks rejecting, higher closes, volume uptick), gold could push higher and continue the bullish breakout leg. 👉 Bearish Path: If price breaks back below $3,750 and especially $3,725, the breakout becomes a fakeout. That would flip momentum bearish again and increase the risk of a deeper correction. 🧭 My Take This is a retest moment. Bulls need to defend $3,750 to keep the breakout alive. If they do, we ride higher. If not, patience and protection first — don’t fight the trend if support fails. 💬 What do you think about this scenario? Only share your idea if you’ve got another opinion — otherwise just hit that button 👍
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by peyfx
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - DON'T SELL IT TODAY AT ANY COST [01.10.2025]Hello, Anfibo's here! OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD continues its impressive rally, printing new ATHs one after another. The buy zone recommendation around 3785 – 3795 from yesterday has already delivered nearly 🎯 1000 PIPS 🎯 in profit – an outstanding result that once again showcases the strength of this trend. Truly, the profits from gold are extraordinary – enough for me to say: “I can take my family on another vacation thanks to OANDA:XAUUSD !” Looking ahead, unless there are major unexpected shifts in fundamentals, gold is poised to keep conquering new highs. With global geopolitical tensions still simmering, safe-haven demand remains robust, and this continues to fuel the bullish momentum. At this stage, we prioritize the buy side over sell side, until gold decisively breaks its trend structure. Technical Outlook Short-term trend: Strong bullish continuation on both H4 and Daily timeframes. Momentum: Healthy and sustainable, with steady higher highs and higher lows. SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES: 3870 - 3834 - 3816 - 3800 RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES: 3904 - 3918 - 4000 Trading Plan Today >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3860 - 3871 SL: 3750 TP: 3915 - ATH >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3815 - 3820 SL: 3710 TP: 3870 - 3915 - ATH Risk Management - Favor long trades in line with the prevailing trend; sell setups only for intraday scalps at key resistances. - Keep a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2. - Control position sizing and avoid overtrading during consolidation phases. - Stay alert to global news headlines, as unexpected geopolitical updates may trigger high volatility. Conclusion Gold remains in a strong bullish cycle, consistently breaking into new ATH territory. Our plan continues to focus on buying dips and breakouts, riding the prevailing uptrend. Key strategy: Buy dips around 3800 - 3816 – 3870 . Near-term targets: 3900 – 3920 – 3950, while higher levels remain possible if momentum persists. Gold is rewarding those who stay aligned with the trend – and for now, the bulls are still firmly in control. HAVE A NICE DAY FRIENDS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2
XAU / USD Weekly ChartHello traders. This is just a random late night chart. So, after 7 weeks of green candles. I think a pullback is inevitable. Obviously I would need a lot of confirmation, and we still could push up a bit more this week. Tomorrow is the start of a new month. This is purely speculation, but we had a lot of upside. Let's see how the next day or two go. Maybe a push up, a move down to take out all the Longs that have been in profit / swing traders. Just speculation for now. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
XAUUSD SHORT SCALPINGXAUUSD (Gold) – Sell Setup (15M Chart) Entry: 3,826.04 Price is testing the supply/resistance zone, making it a potential entry point for shorts. Stop Loss (SL): 3,831.53 Placed above the resistance area. If broken, the sell setup is invalid as it signals stronger bullish momentum. Take Profit (TP): 3,805.41 Targeting the lower support zone, offering clear downside potential. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) This trade offers a favorable R:R ratio of around 1:3, meaning the potential profit is significantly larger than the risk. Price Outlook Price is expected to reject the resistance area around 3,826 – 3,831 and move downward toward 3,805. The sell scenario remains valid as long as price does not break above 3,831.53. Conclusion: This is a short setup with a structured plan: Entry 3,826.04 | SL 3,831.53 | TP 3,805.41. The structure favors bearish continuation if resistance holds.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by rdwicahyonugroho
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,XAUUSD STRUCTURE on 2hrs is critical and i have key demand floors to watch for reference. demand floor one on 2hrs cross from the line chart perspective 3741 and close of Friday low at 3758-3760 zone . if the market opens and we have 2hr candle break below the 3758-3760 then we will wait for more discount in price as that will be considered as break of demand floor showing a strong bearish order from our strategy. then the next demand floor will be 3684-3690 zone and early reaction with high liquidity draw down will be in the zone of 3700-3706. if the market opens and respects the 3758-3760 zone we will buy into 3785-3782 neckline of the double top. break and close of 3785-3782 scale down to 5min and look for long position target will be 3845-3840 based on the structure on probability. GOODLUCK TO EVERYONE. TRADING IS A SPIRITUAL EXERCISE,HOPE YOUR ARE READY. #GOLD #XAUUSD #DOLLAR #US10Y
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3692 and a gap below at 3673. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3692 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3692 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3717 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3742 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3742 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3768 BEARISH TARGETS 3673 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3673 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3650 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3650 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3622 3592 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3592 WILL OPEN THESECONDARY SWING RANGE 3556 3528 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
Gold Holds Near Records as Fed Cut Bets Offset Shutdown RisksGOLD – Bullish Above 3,893, Shutdown Keeps Safe-Haven Demand Strong – Near Record Highs on Fed Cut Bets & Shutdown Gold prices remain close to record highs, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts this year and ongoing uncertainty following the U.S. government shutdown. While long-term momentum is bullish, short-term corrections remain possible. Technical Outlook Gold holds a bullish bias overall, but while below 3,886, it may correct lower to test 3,869 before resuming higher. A confirmed 15M close above 3,893 would confirm renewed upside momentum, targeting 3,914 → 3,927. Failure to hold above 3,869 could expose deeper supports at 3,859 → 3,844. Pivot: 3,886 Support: 3,870 – 3,859 – 3,844 Resistance: 3,893 – 3,914 – 3,927
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi