XAUUSD is REVERSE in BULLISH PHASEChart Description (Wyckoff Accumulation Phase – XAUUSD)
Gold is currently performing exactly according to the Wyckoff Accumulation Phase, completing the Spring and Test phase and preparing for a strong bullish rally.
After a prolonged markdown and the formation price successfully complete its projections confirming the Wyckoff Spring.
📈 Entry Zone: Around the Test level near support — ideal for early accumulation.
🎯 Target: Previous resistance and new All-Time Highs (Phase E expansion).
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the Test zone to manage risk effectively.
This setup represents a classic Wyckoff re-accumulation structure, suggesting that Gold (XAUUSD) is ready to continue its bullish cycle and potentially break into new all-time highs.
Trade ideas
Gold Volatility Over? Maybe Not Yet!Gold volatility hit new heights last week when a push from opening levels at 4243 on Monday (Oct 20th) up to a new record high of 4381 was immediately followed on Tuesday (Oct 21st) by a crash back to lows at 4004 as traders were forced to liquidate weak long positions after key short term technical support levels gave way.
If price moves last week were dominated by positioning, moves in the week ahead could be more events driven providing traders with a lot for to focus on and potentially further excessive volatility to navigate.
Weekend news has so far provided positive soundbites on progress towards de-escalating trade tensions between the US and China. President Trump has stated he is confident of a deal after US and Chinese trade representatives concluded a 2-day meeting in Malaysia (Reuters), while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant commented that he believes the two negotiating teams have agreed on a successful framework for President Trump and President Xi to discuss when they meet on Thursday (Oct 30th), their first face to face meeting in 6 years. This has already led to a sell-off in Gold prices from Friday’s closing level at 4112 to a low of 4053 this morning.
Geo-politics remains in focus as Ukrainian and Russian forces trade drone strikes in Ukraine, while a Kremlin spokesperson said it was too early to talk about the cancellation of a meeting between President’s Putin and Trump, despite the White House’s blacklisting of Russia’s main 2 oil producers, Rosneft and Lukoil last Wednesday complicating the issue.
Also on Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve announce their next interest rate decision at 1800 GMT, with the press conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell commencing at 1830 GMT. While a 25bps (0.25%) rate cut is expected from Fed policymakers, the press conference could be the main volatility driver for Gold prices, as Chairman Powell provides traders with an update on whether a further rate cut is likely in December as anticipated, or if an on-going US government shutdown, which has stopped key US economic growth and labour market data releases, has clouded the issue.
Technical trends may also have a significant impact on where Gold moves next.
Technical Update: Is the Bollinger Mid-Average Key?
Gold’s sharp 8.60% sell-off from the October 20th all-time high at 4381 prompted speculation over a possible sentiment shift that could mean an end to the recent strong advance. However, the rising Bollinger mid-average has so far contained the decline as can be seen on the chart below.
This rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 4069, held the latest Gold decline, suggesting it might be a key support focus again this week. How the Gold price behaves around this level on a closing basis may offer clues to the next directional bias, either marking stabilisation or opening the risk of a deeper phase of weakness.
If the Bollinger Mid-Average Holds Price Weakness:
If the support at 4069 continues to hold on a closing basis, Gold may see renewed attempts at strength. Traders could then be focused on how potential resistance at 4150, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the latest decline, is defended.
While the mid-average support remains intact, a closing break above 4150, could lead to further upside possibilities, shifting focus to 4239, the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline, or even extending toward 4381 the October 20th all-time high again.
If the Bollinger Mid-Average Support is Broken:
While 4069 has so far contained Gold’s recent selling pressure, it may not hold indefinitely. A closing break below this level might raise the risk of a more extended phase of weakness, opening deeper corrective themes.
Closes below 4069 in Gold could shift trader focus to 3957, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the July 30th to October 20th rally. If this support gives way, downside risks may in turn extend toward 3825, a level which marks the deeper 50% retracement level.
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Up again for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a correction up and another downmove for the finish of a bigger correction wave 4 (orange). After that price consolidated.
So next week we could see the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Gold Intra-day Analysis 22-Oct-25
A quick short video on Gold after the strong profit taking we saw yesterday.
We are focusing on higher time frame areas in interest to watch for the price action as we reach them.
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 27, 2025)Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 27, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
• D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum remains clustered, suggesting that a bullish reversal could occur at any time. However, since momentum has not yet separated clearly, short-term downside pressure still exists.
• H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, meaning that the downtrend could continue. We need to wait for H4 momentum to reach the oversold area and observe the market’s reaction there to determine whether the current drop is complete.
• H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is rising slightly, indicating the potential for a short-term rebound. However, since H4 is still in a down phase, any upward movement could face resistance near the 4098 level.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe:
Price is currently moving sideways while D1 momentum remains stuck together, signaling a possible upcoming 5-day rally once D1 momentum turns upward into the overbought zone.
o If price fails to break above wave (3) yellow, this move is likely a wave (4) yellow correction.
o Conversely, if price breaks above wave (3) yellow, the current correction may only be a minor wave within wave (3) yellow.
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🔹 Two Main Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (WXY blue completed):
If the WXY blue corrective structure has finished, the market may start a new wave (5) purple uptrend.
In this case:
• As H4 momentum moves into the oversold area, price should not fall deeply toward 4004.
• A sharp and decisive rebound from that zone would confirm this bullish scenario.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Correction still in progress):
If the correction is not yet complete, the H4 decline could continue:
• Price might break below 4004, or at least retest it.
• If that happens, the downtrend could extend toward 3953 or 3927.
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🔹 H1 Structure – Triangle Formation
On the H1 chart, price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, suggesting sideways accumulation with two possible interpretations:
• Scenario 1:
The triangle represents wave X of the WXY black structure.
When H4 momentum reaches the oversold zone and price holds above 4004, we may see an impulsive breakout toward the previous high at 4381, completing a flat correction of wave (4) yellow (D1).
• Scenario 2:
The triangle is wave (4) of wave Y blue, meaning that once completed, price could decline further toward 3953 or 3927 to finish wave Y. After that, a more stable upward wave is expected.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Currently, price remains inside the triangle pattern:
• For experienced traders:
Wait for a breakout of either side of the triangle for direct entry.
• For more conservative traders:
Wait for Buy opportunities near strong support below.
🎯 Buy Zone: 3930 – 3927
🛑 Stop Loss: 3917
🎯 TP1: 4004
👉 If price breaks above 4149, we can look for Buy entries upon breakout, expecting an extended upward move toward 4268 or higher.
XAUUSD: A strong rebound toward 4,235 looks highly likelyHey everyone, it’s Erik here.
I’m closely watching a potential reversal zone on XAUUSD, which I’ve highlighted on my chart. Based on the current market structure, I expect price to face some rejection before continuing its move upward toward the 4,235 level.
This area could be a key decision point for the market. If buyers manage to hold the support, we could see a strong rebound and a continuation of the bullish momentum. But if price breaks below this zone, it could open the door for a deeper move down as liquidity builds beneath.
Should we get a clear bullish impulse, the next area I’ll be watching is T2. From there, we might see a period of accumulation or another sharp reaction, depending on the broader market sentiment at that time.
I’m simply sharing my personal view of the chart — this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your own setups and manage your risk with patience and discipline.
Gold to 4300 peak. Massive liquidation around 4300Gold is over extended to the upside. Bullish dollar seems on the horizon, as it confirmed CHOC to the upside. By analyzing the massive wave, I can infer from past experience with gold, that the leg to the upside is getting exhausted at 4300, warranting a very strong bearish momentum to the downside. Massive correction possible around 4300 as shown in my chart analysis.
I have been analyzing gold for very long time. My first nominations for the gold's peak was 3500 in 2023. However, after looking at the price behavior, it seems this is similar to the post covid leg. It is only a matter of catching the breakout zones, and drawing a resistance line on those peaks. You have Feb 2024 and May 2019 inducement, where the breakout begins. You can easily plot your way up from there.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 24thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4380, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4165, Support: 4015
1-Hour Resistance: 4105, Support: 4015
On the 1-hour chart, the candlestick pattern forms a short-term rounded top, with the moving averages moving in a downward trend. Watch for the continuation of the decline in the European and American markets. Short-term upward resistance is at 4165, followed by 4200, the short-term bull-bear boundary. The overall rebound momentum for gold prices is limited, so the impact of the NY CPI data will be closely monitored.
After plummeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, gold prices rebounded yesterday, but the strength was modest, failing to break through Wednesday's high of 4160, let alone return to 4185 or even 4200.
Since the rebound was weak and consolidating at a low level, a new round of decline is likely brewing, likely below 4000. After all, this correction is at the daily level and will not end so quickly.
Yesterday, I said a return to around 3800 would be a reasonable level, representing the 50% and 61.8% golden ratios of the rally from around 3311 in mid-August. While this target may seem distant, judging by the pace of decline at the beginning of the week, it might only take two days.
In today's NY market, we will continue to sell on rallies.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4105near
SELL: 4145near
More Analysis →
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD rebounded from the 4,226 support area, confirming the strength of the rising trendline and signaling a potential short-term recovery.
● A break above 4,254 could trigger a bullish continuation toward 4,307, with the upward trajectory supported by a well-formed correction structure after the recent drop.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains support from weaker U.S. yields and safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical concerns and Fed policy uncertainty.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,226; targets 4,254–4,307. Trendline support and improving fundamentals favor a short-term bullish rebound.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Rebound Prepares for Next Waveb]🔍 Market Context
After reaching a peak at the ATH GOLD 4,391 USD region, gold has undergone a technical correction — reflecting temporary profit-taking following a strong upward trend.
The market structure still maintains a bullish bias as the support zones below (FVG + OB) remain intact and untested.
Currently, the price is hovering around 4,325 USD, indicating that selling pressure has weakened.
Buyers are likely to return at two strategic zones below — where institutional money (Smart Money) typically accumulates positions before the next upward wave.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,391 USD
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,465 – 4,424 USD → the upper liquidity zone, the main target for the next upward wave.
FVG Zone: 4,284 – 4,267 USD → an unfilled gap, likely to be retested.
Order Block Zone: 4,244 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluence with Fibo 0.786, high probability of strong reaction.
Liquidity Clear $$$: 4,186 – 4,190 USD → the last defense zone of the main upward trend.
Overall structure remains bullish ; the current decline is merely a phase of adjustment to “accumulate liquidity” before continuing the upward momentum.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – FVG Zone 4,267 USD
Entry: 4,267 – 4,270
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,330 → 4,366 → 4,391
✅ Condition: Confirming bullish candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) at the FVG zone or a small BoS appears on M15.
➡️ Short-term “buy-the-dip” setup, leveraging the unfilled FVG zone — where technical buyers often initiate positions first.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Order Block Zone 4,244 USD
Entry: 4,244 – 4,230
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,284 → 4,366 → 4,391 → 4,424
✅ Condition: Strong confirming candle (engulfing bullish) or a retracement pattern breaking a small BoS back up.
➡️ Swing-buy setup at deep discount zone — confluence of OB + Fibo 0.786, high probability and optimal R:R.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range (4,320–4,340).
Prioritize waiting for clear reactions at 4,267 and 4,244 before entering trades.
If the price closes an H1 candle below 4,210 → pause all buy orders, re-evaluate price action at 4,186.
Maintain moderate trading volume during the current rebound phase.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a phase of healthy technical correction within a major upward trend.
The two zones 4,267 USD (FVG Zone) and 4,244 USD (Order Block Zone) are key “accumulation” areas for large capital.
When bullish confirmation signals appear, these will be safe buy positions before gold heads back to the peak 4,391 – 4,465 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy at 4,267 – 4,270 USD if reversal confirmation occurs.
Buy at 4,244 – 4,230 USD if a strong OB reaction signal appears.
🔥 “Smart money waits at precise levels — not at the top. The next gold wave will emerge between 4.267 and 4.244.”
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/21/2025Yesterday gold found support around 4220 and rose by more than 1600 pips to reach previous ATH around 4380. This is crazy, one single day of 1.6k pips difference. As forecasted in my weekly post, I did mention that I see the upside in the initial stage of the week.
Currently gold is at the resistance and if this holds, we could see it drop to 4280. If 4380 resistance is broken, gold could rise to 4425 and even 4481. Otherwise, we could see price actions when it reach 4280.
Gold Slippery Slide - Rebound or Breakdown Ahead?Gold has pulled back sharply from its all-time high of 4380, slipping to the key psychological level of 4000 — and today, that threshold gave way, printing a low of 3972.
This breach opens the door to deeper liquidity zones around 3900, 3800, and even 3700, where resting orders may be swept.
Yet despite the drop, the broader uptrend remains intact, suggesting potential for a rebound once liquidity is harvested.
As price approaches these pivotal levels, it's crucial beneath monitor lower timeframes for signs of a reversal (especially when structure shifts beneath the surface)
GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure.
The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish.
🔹 Technical Breakdown
We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg.
Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D.
Key Zone to Watch:
🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion).
If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum.
🔹 Daily Chart View
On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish.
🔹 Weekly Chart Insight
Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles.
From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases.
This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability.
🧭 Final BIAS
The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup.
If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
Weekly Analysis on GoldFor next week i will hold my buy position and modify it once it runs in profits. If it get stop out then i will wait for further information from the candles until it shows a possible bullish run again. I am looking for buys since gold is still in a strong bullish trend. If the market shows a chance for taking a sell going to weekly fib zone then i will execute a trade with lesser risk and ride the move to the weekly fib zone.
GOLD LONDON OPENGOLD 4104 DEMAND LEVEL is awaiting liquidity+volatility,if this layer dont get demand during London session open then GOLD could drop below 4000 again and the structure has us backed for a sudden drop and where to enter a decent buy again.
however a drop below 4100 will be watched in the 4058-4068 zone another potential buy zone .
if we swing up hold your buy gains till first take profit 4180 ,4250-4245 ,4210-4206.
on daily the price action is double top and a retest of the neckline of the broken double top structure will be a bearish confirmation.so watch for up swing into 4250-4245 from daily chart.
layer by layer strategy and know when to stop trading
GOODLUCK
XAU.usd watch $4313-39: Gold about to hit Double Golden fibsGold continues its relentless climb into new highs.
Nearing Double Golden fibs at $4313.98 - 4339.07
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest entries.
IF there is a top anywhere near here,
then THIS will be the ideal spot for it.
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See "Related Pubications" for previous plots such as this PERFECT DIP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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