Trade ideas
Is gold about to experience a new rally?Is gold about to experience a new rally?
Currently, the gold market is experiencing significant volatility at high levels, and it's time to choose a direction, as shown in the chart.
After a series of sharp gains, there has been a significant technical pullback this week, but the core logic driving gold's long-term upward trend remains unchanged.
Policy expectations are in focus:
The market currently generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at next week's meeting.
This is the most important event currently hanging over the market, and any unexpected announcement could trigger significant market volatility.
Beware of volatility amplification: Due to unstable market sentiment and major events expected next week, gold price volatility has significantly increased.
Exchanges have also increased margin requirements for gold futures, which may force some leveraged traders to exit the market, further exacerbating market volatility.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Technical Analysis: Strong support exists in the $4,000-4,050 range. The pullback from the high has formed a bearish flag pattern, with significant resistance above.
Current Position: After plummeting from its all-time high of $4,379 to $4,010, gold is currently stabilizing above the key psychological level of $4,100.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support: $4,080, $4,030, and $4,000 are three key support levels.
If $4,000 falls below, the correction could intensify.
Key Resistance: Upside resistance lies near $4,170 and $4,220. A break above $4,220 could lead to a retest of $4,300.
Technical Pattern: Short-term consolidation.
The key trading strategy for Monday (October 28) is range-bound trading.
Key Trading Strategy:
Buy on dips: If gold can hold between $4,090 and $4,100 after Monday's opening, consider building a position in batches, with a short-term target of $4,150 to $4,170.
Short on rallies: If gold rebounds to resistance near $4170 or $4220 and shows signs of resistance, consider shorting with a small position, with a short-term target below $4100.
Risk Management Tips:
Stop-loss for long positions: It is recommended to set a stop-loss below $4080. If the price falls below $4080, be wary of the risk of a further decline to $4030.
Stop-loss for short positions: It is recommended to set a stop-loss above a key resistance level (such as $4220).
Important Tips:
Trade cautiously and maintain a small position: With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision expected early next Thursday (October 31st), market uncertainty is extremely high.
It is recommended to reduce positions and avoid heavy holdings before mid-next week.
Avoid chasing highs and lows: In the current volatile market, chasing orders is extremely risky and can easily be wiped out by short-term fluctuations.
Always wait for the price to retreat to support or rebound to resistance before taking action.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish OutlookGold is currently showing signs of weakness after forming a double top pattern, followed by a strong bearish impulse. The recent recovery appears corrective and is now approaching a key resistance zone around the 4,185 area — a level that previously acted as strong supply.
The price is forming a potential right shoulder, suggesting a continuation of the broader downtrend. If rejection occurs from this zone, we could see a move back toward the 4,050 – 3,950 support range.
🔹 Resistance: 4,185
🔹 Support: 4,050 / 3,950
🔹 Bias: Bearish below 4,185
🔹 Potential Target: 3,950
Structure remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above the resistance zone.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under downside pressure after failing to hold above the 4151 resistance yesterday, with price now trading around 4104. The metal continues to trade below both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that short-term momentum remains bearish within a broader corrective phase.
If buyers can reclaim 4117 and 4151, a corrective bounce toward 4192 and 4227 may follow. However, failure to defend 4075 could trigger another wave of selling toward 4020, and potentially deeper into the 3984-3953 zone, where fresh demand could start building up.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4117
4151
4192
4227
Support:
4075
4044
4020
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
Gold continues to trade under macro uncertainty as the U.S. government shutdown drags on, delaying major data releases and weighing on investor confidence. The lack of economic transparency has led to erratic price swings, while persistent U.S.–China trade tensions and weaker manufacturing sentiment add further risk aversion.
CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ) Symmetrical Triangle Squeeze Setup!TVC:GOLD
🟡 CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ) Symmetrical Triangle Squeeze Setup! 📊
TVC:GOLD 's been on a rollercoaster since early Oct! 🚀 Starting from a solid base at Point A (~$3,730 on Oct 3) 🏗️, it powered up in a steep ascending channel 📈, smashing through resistance to hit euphoric highs at Point B (~$4,600 by Oct 15) – a whopping +23% pump fueled by green marubozu candles, surging volume, and RSI blasting overbought at 75 amid safe-haven flows. But greed turned to fear: A sharp reversal kicked in at Point C, forming a classic symmetrical triangle consolidation 🔺 between ascending support (blue line from A-B) and descending resistance (from C), coiling tight over 10+ days with contracting volatility – MACD flattening, Bollinger Bands squeezing like a spring ready to pop!
Fast-forward to Oct 27: Price's testing the apex near $3,989 (up +3.989% short-term) ⚖️, hovering at the 0.47 Fib retracement level from the A-B swing 🕸️ (key support at $3,950, resistance at $4,070). Breakout north? Bulls could rocket to $4,200 (5.5% quick gain) or full measured move to $4,600 retest for +15.5% profit 💰 from here – ideal for longs with stops below $3,900. Bear breach? Down to $3,700 (-7%) for shorts. Geopolitics + Fed whispers = high octane – watch volume explosion! ⚠️
#GoldTrading #CFDs #CommodityBreakout
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 24✅ From the 4-hour structure:
Gold has formed a continuous downtrend after a period of high-level consolidation, showing a clear bearish pattern. The price is currently moving near the lower Bollinger Band, around the 4050–4060 zone.
The moving averages (MA5 < MA10 < MA20) are arranged in a bearish formation, with MA10 and MA20 sloping downward, indicating that the medium- to short-term trend remains in a decline phase. The current candles are trading below all major MAs, suggesting that upward rebounds will face heavy resistance. If gold breaks below 4026, it could open further downside potential toward 3980 support.
✅ From the 1-hour chart:
Gold has fallen continuously after facing resistance at 4154.69, breaking below the 4115 support level. The price is now consolidating around 4050, with bearish pressure still dominating.
Currently, the candles are near the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term technical rebound is possible; however, since the lower band continues to expand downward, the rebound is likely to be limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075 / 4115 / 4155
🟢 Support Levels: 4050 / 4025 / 3985
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to the 4070–4080 zone but fails to break above, consider light short positions, with a stop loss above 4090 and targets at 4045–4025.
🔰 If the price pulls back to the 4025–4030 area and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions targeting 4050–4060.
✅ The medium-term trend remains bearish. Unless the price firmly holds above 4115–4120, the overall strategy should still focus on selling the rallies.
XAU/USD – Gold eyes breakout towards 4370 and 4550 zonesGold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after consolidating around the 4110–4120 support zone. The market has been forming a short-term ascending structure on the 1H timeframe, suggesting accumulation before a possible breakout.
Technical outlook:
Key support: 4110 – 4100
Immediate resistance: 4160
Major resistance zones: 4370 and 4550
Indicators: RSI recovering from mid-range, price holding above short-term trendline, EMA cluster flattening around 4140 indicating potential energy build-up.
If bulls can push the price decisively above 4160, it may trigger a momentum move towards 4370, with an extended target at 4550, aligning with the upper Fibonacci retracement zone from the last major swing high.
However, failure to hold above 4100 could invalidate the bullish scenario and bring the price back to test 4050 or even 3980.
Trading strategy:
Buy zone: 4115 – 4125 (confirmation after breakout above 4160)
Take profit: 4370 / 4550
Stop loss: below 4095
This setup favors short-term swing traders watching for a trend continuation after a period of accumulation.
Stay disciplined with your entries and risk management—momentum confirmation above 4160 will be crucial before entering.
Follow for more daily setups and advanced Fibonacci-trendline strategies on Gold.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Trump-Induced Dip to BUY Zone
Trump's comments have sparked a corrective move in Gold, pushing it into a key demand zone. This presents a high-risk, high-reward buying opportunity for a rebound towards . The fundamental shock is seen as temporary against the broader bullish structure. #Gold #Trading #XAUUSD #BuyTheDip
XAU/ USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
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Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
Timeframe: 1H (OANDA)
Technical Basis: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + EMA Confluence
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Market Structure
Current trend: Bearish, price respecting a descending wedge/channel.
Recent Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish momentum continuation.
Price is retracing after forming a new low and may move back to mitigate imbalance (FVG).
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Key Technical Areas
Retracement Levels:
0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci zone marks the premium shorting area.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between 0.62–0.79 levels is the ideal entry region.
EMA Resistance:
EMA-50 ≈ 4,067
EMA-200 ≈ 4,120
Both EMAs align with the supply zone, strengthening sell bias.
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Projected Move
1. Expected retracement toward the 4,067–4,100 zone (supply/FVG region).
2. Potential short entry within that area.
3. Bearish continuation targeting the next structural low at 3,960 (as marked).
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Targets
Next Target (retracement zone): 4,089
Final Bearish Target: 3,960
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Gold remains under bearish pressure within a contracting structure. A retracement to the premium zone (4,067–4,100) offers potential short opportunities aligned with structure and EMA resistance. A break below 3,995 would further confirm bearish continuation toward 3,960.
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Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gold rebounds from lows – key levels to watch: 4100 & 40081. Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) recovered from an early drop to $4054, now trading around $4069–$4070 as technical buying emerges near support. The market is consolidating after last week’s decline, with short-term momentum turning neutral.
2. Technical Analysis
• Resistance 1: $4100 – short-term top with EMA50 (H4) confluence.
• Resistance 2: $4135 – strong medium-term barrier.
• Support 1: $4045 – key intraday base.
• Support 2: $4008 – major medium-term floor.
• EMA20 (H1): $4078 acting as dynamic resistance.
• RSI (H1): recovering to 50 → neutral zone.
The overall structure remains slightly bearish, but candles show buyers defending the $4050 area effectively.
3.Outlook
Gold is in a technical recovery within a broader downtrend. A confirmed breakout above $4085–$4100 could target $4118–$4135.
Failure to hold above $4045 may reopen a path toward $4022–$4008.
4.Trading Plan
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $4102–$4105
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4109
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $4045–$4048
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4041
XAUUSD 4H Short Setup: Selling the FVG RetraceKey Observations:
Recent Structure: The price has experienced a strong move down (impulse leg) followed by a small retracement and then further downside movement. The overall momentum is currently bearish.
Fair Value Gap FVG: The key focus is the Fair Value Gap FVG, marked by the blue/gray box. This is an area of price inefficiency left behind during the strong bearish move. It typically acts as a target for price to retrace to before the dominant trend continues.
Setup Rationale: The analysis suggests the current price movement (around 4,064.9 will see a retracement higher (green arrow up) to fill the FVG and potentially touch the liquidity zone marked by the red box (often representing an optimal entry or order block within the FVG.
Trade Projection: After reaching this inefficiency zone ($\sim\text{4,085}$ to $\sim\text{4,105}$), the projection is for a strong bearish continuation (green arrow down), aiming for the downside target in the green shaded area 4,045.
Conclusion:This setup anticipates a bounce into resistance FVG zone before a continuation of the selling pressure. The core strategy is selling a retracement in a short-term bearish market.
Gold Trade Plan 26/10/2025Dear Traders,
ased on Trump's initial comments regarding a trade war agreement with China, we will likely see selling pressure at resistance levels. The first area where the price is likely to react well is the 4200–4220 range. Considering the high liquidation above this level, I expect a 300–500 pip drop in the first reaction to this range. Also, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday is very important.
Regards,
Aireza!
XAUUSD (Gold) - Long Setup with Key News Risk Ahead
We are identifying a potential long entry in Gold, targeting a move of approximately 50 pips.
Trading Plan:
This is a short-term tactical play. We are patient for this scenario to develop.
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⚠️ CRITICAL RISK DISCLAIMER & NEWS TO CONSIDER
While the technical setup is valid, traders MUST be aware of a significant fundamental event that could override this analysis.
· Key Risk:President Trump's Trip to East Asia.
· Any statements on trade, geopolitics, or fiscal policy from this trip have the high potential to cause volatility and a sharp bearish shift in market sentiment.
· A "risk-on" mood could weaken gold, while escalated tensions could cause a spike. Be prepared for both outcomes.
Final Recommendation:
This long setup is valid but HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO NEWS. Check the sentiment and news feeds constantly. Consider reducing position size or using a wider stop to account for the increased volatility from this geopolitical event.
Always trade what you see, not what you believe.
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#XAUUSD #GOLD #TradingSetup #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Geopolitics
Gold CompressionGold has made a strong move in 2025, with a high recently of 4381.44.
We can see a consolidation of price following the Tariff Tantrum from April to August 2025, into an ascending triangle. This is reflected in the ATR contracting , momentum moving to its base and RSI hovering around the midlevel.
Following this base, a strong impulse propels price over 1000 USD in a matter of weeks. The RSI sits perpetually in the Oversold region and the ATR more than doubles.
The parabolic move ended with a 5 sigma day on Tuesday as the Bears stepped in. The remainder of the week sees Gold staying above the 4000 level.
Where from here ?
The market can breath out by either expending price or time. Given the fundamental background of Dollar Debasement, Dedollarization, Gold Consumption by Central Banks and Brics initiatives, it is likely Gold moves into consolidation from here into early 2026.
Support - offered by the 50 MAV and Fib 50-61.8 levels.
Target - 5000 beyond Q1 2026.
GoldRiders, are you ready for another golden day?Today’s Range as of now: 4,375 – 4,318
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
Entry: Above 4,356
Targets: (4,368–4,372) – (4,379–4,381) – 4,390 – (4,398–4,402) – 4,415 – 4,423 – 4,430 – 4,450
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Entry: As long as the price remains below 4,330 – selling opportunities prevail.
Targets: (4,322–4,318) – 4,310 – 4,305 – 4,294 – 4,282 – 4,271 – 4,260 – 4,247 – 4,232 – 4,219 – 4,204 – 4,191 – 4,176
GoldRider Notes:
Extreme volatility continues — traders are chasing every move.
Stick to your risk management plan, avoid emotional trading, and always follow GoldRider’s key levels and updates.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves high risk, and all decisions are the trader’s sole responsibility.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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