XAU/USD OUTLOOK 11-09-25Hey Guys,
I'm more in Bullish bias, anyway here are both ways where we can cash in today.
XAUUSD 15M Analysis(11th September 2025)
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3649.76 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bullish CHoCH at the 3649.76 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on BUYS towards the 3675.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 3635.28 level.
2) Retest the 15m Bearish CHoCH at the 3635.28 level.
3)Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3612.90 level.
Trade Smart, Trade Safe guys. Cheers!
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
Mitigation: Where Smart Money Reloads“The first touch after a shift is often the cleanest. But only if you know where to wait.”
After a ChoCH or Break of Structure , price often returns to the origin of the move.
This return is called Mitigation — where big players close remaining positions and open new ones in the direction of the fresh trend.
Why Mitigation Matters
Most traders jump in immediately after a BoS, afraid of missing the move.
But professional traders understand something crucial:
The market almost always comes back.
Mitigation is where the market “refuels” before continuing.
It offers:
Smaller stop losses (tighter risk)
Clear invalidation points
Cleaner entries with better risk-reward
How to Spot Mitigation Zones
Find the last opposing candle before the strong move (bearish candle before a bullish rally, bullish candle before a sell-off).
Mark its open–close range as your mitigation block.
Wait for price to return to this area — patience is key.
Drop to a lower timeframe (M15 or M1) and wait for confirmation (ChoCH/BOS) before entry.
Practical Example (Gold)
Suppose Gold breaks structure upward (BoS).
Instead of buying the breakout, look left to locate the last bearish candle before that strong rally.
Price often revisits this candle’s range.
When it does, observe lower timeframe structure:
If it holds, that’s your entry — right where smart money is filling orders.
This is why the first pullback after a BoS is often the cleanest trade — it’s not random.
It’s the market completing unfinished business.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you seen this play out on your own charts?
Share your thoughts — where did price last revisit a zone before making a big move?
Gold (XAUUSD) – 5 Sep | Bullish Bias, Watching 3550–3546 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 5 September
Market Context
As highlighted in yesterday’s analysis, after printing new highs near 3578.6 , gold retraced and broke the M15 Demand / HL Zone (3530–3526) , forming an M15 ChoCH and signaling a short-term structure shift.
However, the strong bullish piercing candle that followed suggested a classic liquidity grab rather than a full trend reversal. Price held above 3526, reclaiming the same HL demand zone that was briefly taken out — confirming the move as a liquidity sweep. Since then, price action has turned internally bullish.
Current Price Action
Gold is currently trading around 3558–3560 , consolidating near intraday highs.
Key POI for Today
🔹 M15 Demand Zone : 3550–3546
This is my preferred POI for fresh long setups. If price retests this zone and gives M1 confirmation , I will plan a long trade from this zone.
Execution Plan
📈 Long Bias Only
• Wait for price to tap into 3550–3546 zone
• Enter long only after M1 confirmation
• SL : 40 pips (fixed)
• TP : 120 pips (fixed, targeting continuation toward new highs)
If this zone fails and price closes decisively below 3546, I will reassess and prepare for a deeper H4 pullback.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold Set to Extend Gains as Fed Rate Cuts Loom📊 Market Developments:
Gold is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, lowering the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Recent U.S. labor market data showed weakness, with higher jobless claims and downward revisions in nonfarm payrolls.
CPI inflation remains elevated, while PPI softened slightly, reinforcing bets on policy easing.
A weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields further boost gold’s appeal.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,670 – $3,674, with further upside potential toward $3,700–$3,730.
• Nearest Support: $3,600; if broken, next levels at $3,561–$3,536.
• EMA: Price is trading above EMA50 and EMA200, keeping the bullish structure intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum: RSI remains elevated, showing strong upward momentum though slightly overbought; dips are being bought quickly.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if Fed maintains a dovish stance and U.S. data remain soft.
However, stronger-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed signals could trigger a pullback toward $3,600 or lower.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• SELL XAU/USD: $3,682 – $3,685
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3688
• BUY XAU/USD: $3,617 – $3,620
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3614
GOLD GOLD BULLS WINS ON ECONOMIC DATA REPORT .
BREAKDOWN.
Indicator Current Forecast Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Non-Farm Employment Change 22,000 75,000 79,000
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
Fed Interpretation:
Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% m/m): In line with forecasts and previous data, showing steady wage growth. Stable wage growth suggests moderate inflation pressure from labor costs.
Non-Farm Employment Change (22,000): Significantly below forecast (75,000) and previous month (79,000), indicating a sharp slowdown in job creation. This suggests labor market cooling, potentially reflecting economic slowdown or more cautious hiring by employers.
The agency responsible for the US Non-Farm Employment Change data is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor
The report, often released on the first Friday of each month, measures the change in the number of people employed in the US excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
It is based on the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey which covers about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 worksites.
The data provides detailed insights into employment, hours worked, and earnings across various industries.
The report is closely watched as a key indicator of labor market health and overall economic performance.
Unemployment Rate (4.3%): Slightly increased from previous 4.2%, matching forecast. A rising unemployment rate confirms some softening in labor market conditions.
The agency responsible for measuring and reporting the Unemployment Rate in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL).
Key Points:
The Unemployment Rate is part of the monthly Employment Situation Report produced by the BLS.
It measures the percentage of the labor force that is jobless but actively seeking work.
Data for the unemployment rate is collected through the Current Population Survey (CPS), which surveys approximately 60,000 households.
The BLS releases the unemployment rate and other labor statistics on the first Friday of every month.
The Department of Labor oversees the BLS, which is responsible for gathering and disseminating this critical labor market data that influences economic policy, including Federal Reserve decisions.
Summary:
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): the official source for the unemployment rate.
U.S. Department of Labor (DOL): the parent department supervising BLS operations.
The unemployment rate data helps assess economic health and guides policy decisions on employment and inflation.
Overall Fed Takeaway:
The marked slowdown in job growth combined with a slight rise in unemployment signals weakening labor market strength
Stable wage growth limits upside inflation risks from labor costs.
These signals suggest easing inflation pressures and a slowing economy, which might encourage the Fed to pause further rate hikes or consider cutting rates soon to support growth.
The Fed will likely weigh this data alongside other inflation and economic indicators to decide the next policy step but may lean cautiously towards easing given the weaker jobs data.
In summary, today’s data points to a moderating labor market with controlled wage inflation that supports a more dovish Fed approach in upcoming meetings.
DXY DEFENDED 97,428 ON DATA RPORT AND CLOSE THE 4HR ABOVE KEY SUPPORT STRUCTURE TO 97.722 AS AT REPORTING.
THE US 10Y BOND YIELD 4.056% SINKING TODAY BUT ON STRUCTURE THE US10Y IS ON DEMANDFLOOR AND BOND BUYING COULD OFFSET GOLS GAINS TODAY.
OPEN OF NEXT WEEK GOLD WILL CORRECT BECAUSE ITS OVER BOUGHT.
#GOLD #DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR
XAUUSD 06 Sep 2025Elliott Wave Structure
The chart shows a completed corrective structure (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E) in a triangle pattern.
From there, price began a bullish impulsive sequence labeled Wave (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), (v).
Currently, price is in the Wave (iii) peak zone around 3600 and is expected to retrace into Wave (iv) before continuing towards Wave (v).
Key Fibonacci Levels
Retracement zones for Wave (iv) are marked:
0.236 = 3547 – 3554
0.382 = 3511 – 3519
0.5 = 3488 – 3495
0.618 = 3464 – 3473
These zones act as support areas for a potential bullish continuation.
Projection / Target
The Fibonacci extension -0.27 at 3679 becomes a possible Wave (v) target.
If support holds at one of the retracement levels, price may push higher towards this target zone.
Market Sentiment
Short-term: Expect a pullback (correction) into the 3545–3470 zone.
Medium-term: Potential bullish continuation towards 3670–3680 if structure remains valid.
Risk: If price breaks below 3440–3460, bullish momentum weakens, and deeper correction could form.
The Secret Formula: Time + Structure = 80% Win Rate!Hello everyone,
If you’re struggling to combine Time (multi-timeframe analysis) and Structure (market framework) to build a solid foundation for predicting what’s likely to happen in the market, this post will reveal the secret many professionals use — with up to 80% win probability!
1. The Core Mindset – Time & Structure
Every timeframe speaks a different language:
- H4, D1 = the bigger picture (overall trend).
- M15, M5, M1 = the micro view (entry signals, internal flow).
The key is: never rely on one timeframe alone – always align them.
2. POI – Points of Interest
- Each timeframe has its own POI (Points of Interest).
- Example: When you find a POI on H4 , don’t rush in.
Zoom into M15 or M5 to see what’s happening inside that zone.
3. Multi-Timeframe Alignment – The Smart Money Way
For example:
- H4: Price taps into a demand zone.
- M15: Structure shifts from bearish → bullish inside that demand zone.
This means H4 is preparing for a rally, and M15 confirms your BUY entry with higher precision.
When multiple timeframes align in the same direction, your probability skyrockets.
4. Why Always Respect the Bigger Picture?
- LTF (Lower Timeframe) = just noise or details.
- HTF (Higher Timeframe) = the real storyline.
If M15 shows a BUY but H4 is strongly bearish, you’re fighting the market.
But if M15 and H4 point the same way , you have a High Probability Setup .
5. Keys to High-Probability Trading
Identify the higher timeframe trend (H4, D1).
Mark strong POIs.
Drop to lower timeframes (M15, M5, M1) to watch for structure shifts.
Only trade when Time & Structure are aligned.
Always manage risk – place SL beyond OB/POI zones.
6. Final Takeaway
High-probability trades appear when multiple timeframes confirm the same direction.
Don’t trade on gut feeling — let Time + Structure guide you, just like Smart Money does.
Gold Sellgold is in up trend and has reached to level of resistance as we can gold is having accumilation on this point and possibly could move downwards we can observe this through volume and volume drop is the key here as seller are gaining power and buyer seems not to be intrested in buying more so we can sell it 3579 level of support a possible sell move
Remember its an Up trend
Gold Pulls Back Short-Term After Hitting $3,673📊 Market Overview:
• Gold eased after touching $3,673, pressured by profit-taking and a slight rebound in the U.S. Dollar.
• Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold in the medium term, but near-term correction pressure is dominant.
• Geopolitical tensions and bullish forecasts of $3,800–$4,000 remain longer-term supportive factors.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,645 – $3,670
• Nearest Support: $3,600, further down $3,585
• EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA 09, signaling short-term bearish pressure.
• Candles / Momentum: After peaking at $3,673, gold formed a corrective sequence; RSI has cooled off from overbought, confirming selling pressure in the short term.
• Fibonacci Extensions: A breakout above $3,670 could open the way toward $3,697 and $3,725.
📌 Outlook:
In the short term, gold is likely to continue correcting toward $3,600 before buyers may step back in. A reclaim of EMA 09 and a breakout above $3,670 could extend the bullish move toward $3,697 – $3,725.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3,670 – $3,673
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3676
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3,602 – $3,605
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3,599
Gold prices are still supporting price increases⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) inches higher in Friday’s Asian session, extending its rebound from the $3,500 level and staying close to this week’s record highs. Expectations of at least two Fed rate cuts this year, starting in September, keep the US Dollar subdued and support the safe-haven metal, while trade tensions add to its appeal. However, upbeat risk sentiment and overbought conditions could cap gains as traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls report later today for fresh cues on Fed policy.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is expecting continued good news for gold, rate cuts and gold hitting above 3600.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3600- 3598 SL 3605
TP1: $3585
TP2: $3568
TP3: $3552
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3482-$3484 SL $3477
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3500
TP3: $3510
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We kicked off the week strong with our bullish targets at 3458 and then 3477 getting hit. Price is now facing rejection at this zone.
If EMA5 breaks above this level and locks, we could see an extension toward 3497.
If not, we may revisit lower Goldturns to test support before the weighted level bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Surge: Is This Just the Beginning?Hey everyone, what’s your take on the OANDA:XAUUSD trend right now?
Gold just made a huge move, just as we predicted! It soared from 3612 USD to 3653 USD, jumping over 400 pips in no time. That’s the power of the yellow metal in action!
So, what’s behind this? The new unemployment claims hit the USD, giving XAU/USD the chance to hold its ground despite the slightly higher-than-expected August CPI data.
As the USD weakens, gold shines brighter, becoming the safe haven for investors, and pushing the price even higher.
Looking at the charts, gold has broken past its previous downtrend, conquering 3650 USD. Sure, a pullback might happen, but with the current market momentum, the bullish trend is here to stay. 3675 USD is the next target!
What do you think? Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to like the post – I’m eager to hear your opinions!
GOLD TECHNICAL & ORDER FLOW ANALYSISOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Breakdown
1. Confirmed Retest
• Price left the distribution zone and came back to test the support zone.
• This acts as a retest, showing buyers are still in control.
2. Fake Out + Rejection
• Before moving higher, liquidity was taken with a fake out.
• The rejection at support confirms bullish continuation.
3. Bullish Structure
• Previous BOS and ChoCh confirm the bullish order flow.
• Demand is defended → institutions are holding the upside momentum.
4. Entry & Target
• Entry after retracement confirmation (clear rejection at support).
• Target: new Higher High (HH) at 3,675.
🔑 Lesson: Waiting for the retest prevents fake entries and gives clean setups with better risk-to-reward. GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
Is gold at its peak?Gold has staged a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was bullish for gold, yet gold plummeted after the data release. There’s no need for confusion—it’s not as you might think, that bullish data means the price rises and bearish data means it falls. If it were that simple, everyone would be making money.
Data and fundamentals are reflected in prices, but such reflections can be ahead of time, lagging, exceeding expectations, or falling short of expectations. Judging which scenario it is depends solely on the historical database one has accumulated and long-term real-trading experience.
Today, I added to my gold positions twice and am still holding them. Even if the price falls further, my profits won’t decrease. This is because I believe today’s decline is most likely a result of some profit-taking traders closing their positions on the opportunity—after all, there have been no major bearish factors in the fundamentals yet. Whether a daily-level correction will occur still requires further observation. After all, since the rally started on August 20, there has been no real daily-level correction except for the sharp intraday pullback on September 4, and a correction would actually make the trend healthier.
The period from now to next week is a critical short-term window for gold. I will closely track and analyze the market every day. If you lose your direction in such a market, you can follow me or leave me a message.
GOLD | Waiting for PullbackPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish overall
HTF (4H): Market extended; expecting corrective pullback.
MTF (30M): Inducement forming into $3,500–$3,465 demand zone.
LTF (5M): Look for CHoCH + OB entry confirmation inside that zone.
Targets:
1. TP1: Next clean 5M highs that form if price holds — first leg confirmation.
2. TP2: Extended leg to $3,600–$3,640+ — higher-timeframe liquidity zone.
Mindset Note: Don’t chase highs. Let the market collect liquidity in the pullback zone, confirm via 5M structure, then step in. Patience > impulse.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
XAUUSD Gold Intraday Move 12.09.2025Intraday Analysis
The market has recently broken out of a descending trendline, showing signs of bullish momentum. After the breakout, price retraced toward previous supply turned demand zones, creating potential buying opportunities at key levels.
Key Observations:
Trendline Breakout:
The downward trendline has been broken, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Retests of the broken structure often provide high-probability entries.
Demand Zones:
Zone 1 (3630–3633): This level aligns with a prior consolidation area and trendline retest. A bounce here could trigger continuation toward higher resistance.
Zone 2 (3612–3616): This is a deeper support zone and serves as a secondary buying opportunity if the first level fails.
Targets and Risk Management:
For Zone 1, the upside target is 3657 with a protective stop below 3622.
For Zone 2, the upside target is 3640 with a stop below 3606.
Both setups provide a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Confirmation Requirement:
Entries should only be considered once at least two confirmations are present. Possible confirmations include:
Bullish candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection wicks).
Break of minor intraday structure to the upside.
Volume spike or momentum divergence supporting the bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The bias remains bullish while above 3612. The first area of interest is 3630–3633 for a potential long entry toward 3657. If price dips deeper, the 3612–3616 zone provides the next opportunity for a bounce targeting 3640. Proper confirmation is essential before committing to trades, and stops should be respected to manage risk effectively.
Gold will it be the Bull/ bears with upcoming Retail Sales m/m Today's reading on the CPI didn't move the Market as expected, as the reading came in neutral.
I am waiting for next week's Tuesday Retail Sales Data This will be my spark plug. If Retail Sales come in hotter than the last reading of 0.5 % yields and the gold will have to mitigate the 3,600–3,565 zone. But if the reading comes in coller than the previous reading of 0.5 %, then bulls will take over the bullion and drive it all the way to our 3,660–3,680. handle
Bulls setup will be (if price holds above 3,620 and breaks 3,642)
Trigger: 4H close above 3,642 (RTO zone).
Buy pullback into 3,635–3,642.
Targets:
TP1 → 3,660
TP2 → 3,675–3,680 (liquidity zone)
Stop: Below 3,620 (fair value gap invalidation).
But if the reading on Tuesday comes in Hotter than the previous reading of retail sales
This will be my bearish setup
(if price rejects 3,642 and breaks 3,620)
Trigger: Strong rejection from 3,642 OR 4H close below 3,620.
Entry: Sell pullback into 3,620–3,630.
Targets:
TP1 → 3,603 (discount zone retest)
TP2 → 3,565 (unmitigated liquidity zone)
Stop: Above 3,642.
Note will still be waiting for the Fed cut on the 17th. That said, if Gold does what it does and mitigates the liquidity, I think on the 17th, we will have enough fuel to rocket to the Moon
CPI data is confusing,gold is fluctuating in a bearish directionGold Technical Analysis: Looking back at the recent trend, gold surged and then retreated on Tuesday, forming a shooting star pattern. However, the decline did not continue on Wednesday, indicating that the pullback was merely a one-off adjustment and lacks sustainability. It is a normal correction after a significant rally. Even if the market peaks, it will not be so simple. It will at least undergo a process of "high-level fluctuations turning bearish" or "second upward attack to lure more investors and then decline." In the short term, the rebound will continue to fluctuate, and it is unlikely to see significant rises or falls in a short period of time. Looking at the daily gold chart, the daily gold line has slowed down slightly. After continuous large volume, the daily line has turned into a small Yinxing candlestick pattern for consolidation. There is a need for a short-term pullback. Considering the short-term chart, the second high-point test failed to break through the previous high, the previous continuous large volume without a pullback, and the pressure from the second upward test. If there is no new high in the short term, there will be a partial correction around 3675-3657. The pattern will determine whether it is a deep pullback or a sideways consolidation.
Judging from the 4-hour gold chart, yesterday's gold price failed to achieve results in its attempt to rise again. There are signs of a downward correction. The 4-hour chart lost the middle track, breaking the unilateral upward momentum. At the same time, there is a need to further retrace to the lower track. Combined with the second high in the hourly chart near 3657, the second pressure turned into a decline. The strong market is to retrace and then break the high. Once the breaking power is stopped, it will go into a shock correction. Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy recommends shorting on rebounds as the main strategy, and buying on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3640-3650 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3610-3600 support line.
GOLD H1 | Bearish reversal off swing high resistanceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 3,573.66, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,573.66, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,484.30, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report📊 Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Gold remains supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and central bank policies. With global inflation pressures stabilizing but geopolitical tensions persisting, institutional demand for gold as a hedge is intact. The US dollar’s fluctuations and interest rate expectations continue to influence short-term moves, but central banks’ ongoing gold accumulation provides strong long-term demand. Investor sentiment leans toward risk-hedging assets, keeping gold fundamentally supported.
🔹 Technical Structure
This week’s chart shows that gold has recently completed a downward corrective phase and executed a clear breakout from its descending channel. The breakout has been followed by strong bullish momentum, suggesting renewed institutional buying interest.
The market is now showing a healthy impulsive leg upward, with higher highs and higher lows forming. After this strong move, short-term price action indicates a potential cooling-off period—a common consolidation stage before continuation.
Volume flow reflects increasing participation during the breakout, confirming strength in the move. The broader price structure remains trend-reversal aligned, favoring further upside if momentum sustains.