Gold buy1. Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Around 3645.53
Stop Loss: 3635.54 (approx. 10 points below entry)
Take profit 1:3655
Take Profit2: 3669.77
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.05
Position Size: 22 contracts
P&L Targets:
Risk: ~11.2 (0.31%)
Reward: ~23.0 (0.63%)
This is a long (buy) trade setup with favorable risk/reward above 2:1.
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2. Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance (Target Zone): 3669.7 – this aligns with a recent swing high and liquidity cluster.
Immediate Support: 3635.5 – stop placement just below local structure support.
Mid Support: 3641.2 zone – a demand level (highlighted with green boxes / FVG-BPR).
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3. Market Structure
Price is consolidating with higher lows forming since Sept 9, showing accumulation.
Several fair value gap (FVG) zones have been plotted, acting as liquidity magnets.
Currently, price is bouncing near support and attempting a move toward higher liquidity at
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
GOLD - BEARISH TO $3,588 (1H UPDATE)Like I said on yesterday’s update, we’re yet to see ‘Minor Wave 4’ correction on Gold, as part of the bigger Wave 3 bullish cycle.
We’ve seen a ‘Break of Structure’ as price broke below previous ‘Wave IV’ yesterday. I’ve placed a ‘Sell Stop’ order at $3,629. If this activates, I’ll be targeting $3,588📉
If this doesn’t activate, then our buy positions keep pushing higher into profit!
Excellent Profits of current Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: My position: I am constantly using my dip Buying strategy and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points (excellent Profits by now) Buying Gold from #3,630.80 many times throughout yesterday's session. #3,645.80 is keeping Gold away from touching #3,652.80 benchmark.
I have firstly waited for #3,645.80 and Bought Gold aggressively (#7 orders with #50 Volume) closed all on #3,651.80 and waited for second chance to re-Buy Gold on #3,627.80 reversal which delivered excellent Profits.
My position: As advised many times, do not Sell Gold at all costs as wherever you Buy Gold on this market, you won't be wrong. I have Bought Gold on #3,652.80 and #3,654.80 minutes ago and closed all on #3,657.80 extension. Keep Buying Gold on each dip is my practical suggestion.
XAUUSD EXPECTATION BEFORE INFLATION DATA RELASE Hi Traders,
Here my Analysis for OANDA:XAUUSD . As we seen the NFP data release last week shown the weak to USD and already achieve on the monthly zone using my own fibonacci retracement. The inflation data would be the main point for this week.
The Daily candle created 9/9/2025 show the seller give a hint to make a push for short, I will looking for the best price for retracement to continue short for a while for this week with the data release and fundamental.
3644 - 3647 is the range price im looking for short entry. and will looking for price action first before execute the entry.
For support level would be on my TP1 zone , which have a demand on H4 timeframe while the best support level would be my TP2.
If you have any comment or ideas very welcome to share it in comment. Thank you and have a good trade!!
XAUUSD – Outlook Ahead of PPI ReleaseXAUUSD – Outlook Ahead of PPI Release
Good day Traders,
Gold recently advanced towards the Fibonacci 2.618 extension before meeting resistance and reacting lower. Price has also broken through the most recent minor low within the upward structure, which, in my view, represents a violation of the prevailing bullish trend. A further leg would still be required to establish a durable reversal structure, yet the case for a bearish bias is already forming.
Fundamental Context
Later today, the US PPI data will be released. Expectations are for 0.3%, down from 0.9% previously. Should the forecast materialise, gold could extend higher in the short term. However, I believe the figure may not prove as weak as projected, and therefore it is prudent to monitor the market’s response to the data before committing to fresh positions.
Technical Levels of Interest
3660: A potential retest of this zone could provide another reaction and may represent the most attractive level to initiate short exposure.
3318: If gold confirms a lower structure in line with Dow theory and decisively breaks beneath prior support, the market could extend towards this deeper downside target.
Trading Approach
The preferred strategy for today is to seek selling opportunities:
Ideal entry: around 3660, should price retest and reject the level.
Strong confirmation: a decisive candle close beneath old support would validate further downside and provide a clear short entry.
Short-term traders may also consider scalping within the corrective range created during yesterday’s US session, as the market redistributes price action.
This is my perspective on gold for the day. Traders should use it as a guide and align it with their own analysis and risk management.
Sell according to the recovery from 3,675 to 3,516 - 3,4181. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is still in a strong uptrend since late August.
The ascending trendline (dashed gray) indicates steady bullish momentum.
However, price just touched resistance (red trendline) around 3,675 – 3,680 and pulled back.
2. Technical Pattern
A possible Double Top is forming around 3,675.
After failing to break resistance, price started a corrective move down (as shown by the blue arrows).
A deeper pullback is possible if the short-term uptrend line is broken.
3. Key Fibonacci Levels
0.786 (3,586): first minor support.
0.618 (3,516): strong support, often a key retracement point.
0.5 (3,467): neutral level, price may react here.
0.382 (3,418): aligns with the marked SUPPORT zone (blue box). High probability of a bounce.
0.236 (3,358): deeper support, likely only if selling pressure is strong.
4. Scenarios
Bearish correction (short-term bias):
Price could retrace to the 3,516 – 3,418 zone for a support test.
This area is likely to attract buyers again.
Continuation of bullish trend (long-term bias):
If price holds above 3,418 – 3,467, it may rebound and retest 3,675 – 3,700.
A breakout above this resistance would confirm the long-term bullish continuation.
5. Trading Strategy (for reference)
Buy with the trend: Wait for a pullback into 3,418 – 3,467, then look for bullish reversal signals (Pin bar, Engulfing) to go long.
Short-term Sell: Possible to short the retracement from 3,675 toward 3,516 – 3,418, but stop loss should be placed above 3,680.
👉 Summary: Gold is correcting after hitting resistance at 3,675. The critical support zone is 3,418 – 3,467. Whether price holds here will decide if the long-term uptrend continues.
XAUUSD 1H – Rising Channel | Possible Rejection | CORRECTIONFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is trading inside a rising channel, recently hitting an overextended zone near 3675 where sellers stepped in. Current movement shows bearish rejection with downside pressure.
Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming bullish structure. However, the latest rejection from the channel top signals weakness, with sellers taking control in the short term. Demand zones below may provide temporary support, but risk of a breakdown remains if 3626/3613 levels are breached.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 3626 zone could send price back toward 3649 and possibly retest 3675.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clear break below 3626/3613 opens the path toward 3575, with extended downside into 3511 liquidity zone.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3649 – 3675
Support 🟢: 3626 – 3613 | 3575 | 3511
Trade Setup (Short-Term)
🎯 Target 1: 3626
🎯 Target 2: 3613
🎯 Target 3: 3575
⛔ Stoploss: 3675 (Invalidation above channel top)
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
World gold price todayGold prices rose steadily in the first trading session of the week in the US, hitting a new contract/historic peak, extending the growth cycle as expectations grew that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will make three 0.25 percentage point interest rate cuts before the end of 2025.
Friday's jobs report showed the US labor market continued to "cool" in August, with non-farm payrolls increasing by just 22,000 jobs, much lower than the forecast of 75,000 jobs and down sharply from the revised 79,000 jobs in July. The US unemployment rate inched up to 4.3%, the highest since 2021, indicating a slowdown in hiring momentum. The market interpreted the data as meaning the Fed will cut interest rates by at least 0.75% for the rest of the year. Low interest rates are typically supportive of commodity markets, thereby boosting demand.
September 8 Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy:
Strong market expectations of a Fed rate cut pushed gold prices to a record high. Technical overbought signals suggest increased short-term volatility.
1. Fundamental Analysis
Weak non-farm payroll data: US non-farm payrolls increased by only 22,000 in August, far below market expectations of 75,000, and the June figure was revised downward to -13,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, indicating a significant deterioration in the labor market.
Rate Cut Expectations Strengthened: Weak non-farm payroll data has significantly increased market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September. Current futures market pricing indicates a near-100% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with an even approximately 10% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
The US dollar and US Treasury yields fell: Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the US dollar index fell nearly 0.6% to 97.74; the US 10-year Treasury yield fell over 8.5 basis points to 4.076%, providing strong support for gold prices.
Risk Factors: Despite rising expectations for rate cuts, inflationary pressures have not completely subsided. Price uncertainty caused by Trump's tariff rhetoric may limit the Fed's pace of easing. An unexpectedly higher CPI data next week could limit the extent of rate cuts.
2 Technical Analysis
Daily Chart: Gold closed lower for the first time after seven consecutive days of gains, but this is typically a single-day correction. The 5-day moving average has moved up to the 3550-3545 area, becoming a key support level. As long as gold prices hold this level, the strong unilateral upward trend will remain unchanged.
4-Hour Chart: The middle Bollinger Band (3555 area) provides important support. A break above this level will maintain a relatively strong trend; a break could trigger a periodic pullback.
Technical indicators: The relative strength index (RSI) is in overbought conditions, indicating that there may be a risk of a technical pullback in the short term.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,600-3,610 (round-number level + historical high)
Support: $3,570-3,560 (recent swing low), $3,550-3,545 (5-day moving average)
Next Week's Forecast
Based on a comprehensive analysis of fundamentals and technicals, gold is likely to maintain its strong performance next week, but a technical correction is possible. The market will closely watch the CPI data released next week, which will provide more clues on the Fed's policy path.
4. Trading Strategy Recommendations:
Short-term traders can adopt a strategy of "primarily buying on dips, supplemented by selling on rebounds":
Long Opportunities: Consider going long when gold prices stabilize at the 3570-3560 support level, with a target of 3600-3610 and a stop-loss below 3550.
Short Opportunities: Consider going short when gold prices rebound to the 3600-3610 resistance level, with a target of 3580 and a stop-loss above 3620.
Medium- to long-term investors should continue to hold long gold positions, and any technical pullbacks should be considered as opportunities to increase their holdings. The gold bull market is not over, and the possibility of gold reaching a new all-time high in 2025 remains high.
Risk control is crucial:
Avoid excessive leverage.
Set a reasonable stop-loss (exit long positions if the price falls below $3540).
5. Conclusion
The gold market has entered a sensitive zone after reaching a new all-time high. Given the intertwined bullish and bearish factors, be wary of high volatility risks. The overall trend remains bullish, but there may be short-term fluctuations due to technical overbought and high valuations. Any pullback can be seen as a buying opportunity, with a focus on the performance of the 3550-3555 support area.
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3617.4
Sl - 3624.9
Tp -3601.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD – Early Week Trading OutlookXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
The Asian session opened the new week with only mild fluctuations in gold, before price rotated back into the major liquidity zone formed during last week’s advance.
Currently, gold is testing the 3585 support. A decisive close below this level on the M15 timeframe would suggest a short-term correction, opening the door for a light sell opportunity with downside potential towards 3560.
The 3560 level is technically significant as it coincides with the ascending trendline, making it a key area for long positions in line with the broader uptrend. From here, price could extend further, with the possibility of retesting all-time highs. Should price return to the trendline, traders considering fresh shorts must remain cautious and wait for clear reversal confirmation.
A further buying opportunity may also present itself near 3516, where the market previously cleared liquidity from the closest FVG zone.
In summary, corrective moves are likely before gold continues its broader trajectory. Any short exposure should be contingent upon strong confirmation, while the long side remains favoured at identified support levels.
If price breaks out strongly above 3600, gold may rally towards Central Banks Slow Gold Buying but Remain Net Buyers
Despite the strong rally in gold prices, central banks (including the Reserve Bank of India) have shown signs of slowing their gold purchases. However, purchases continued at 10 tonnes in July — reflecting the long-term trend of diversifying reserves away from the USD
1. Resistance Zone
Current price around 3587 is testing the strong resistance area 3590 – 3600 (highlighted in pink).
This also coincides with the upward trendline (red line), which adds selling pressure.
📌 Conclusion: 3590–3600 is a key barrier that’s hard to break in the short term.
2. Support Zones (Fibonacci Levels)
Support levels based on Fibonacci Retracement:
0.786 → 3529
0.618 → 3473
0.5 → 3434 (aligns with the blue support zone).
Lower supports: 0.382 → 3395, 0.236 → 3347.
📌 The 3430–3470 range is seen as strong support for the medium term.
3. Trends & Scenarios
Price has surged strongly since late August.
Now it is facing heavy resistance around 3590–3600, with high probability of a pullback.
Scenario 1 (Short-term correction 🔻)
Price tests 3590–3600 but fails to break.
Possible pullback towards 3529 – 3473 (0.786 & 0.618 levels).
If broken further, the next target is 3430–3440.
Scenario 2 (Bullish continuation 🔺)
If price breaks out strongly above 3600, gold may rally towards 3640–3660.
This requires supportive news (e.g., Fed dovish stance, weak USD, poor US data).
4. Summary
Main resistance: 3590–3600
Key supports: 3529 – 3473 – 3430
Bias: Price is hitting resistance → short-term correction is more likely.
👉 Traders may consider short around 3590–3600, SL above 3610, TP around 3530–3470.
👉 If price breaks and holds above 3600, the bullish trend may extend further.
Gold hourly outlookHello, good day,
1H timeframe and personal outlook along with invalidation levels:
The structure is still bullish; we are at the liquidity high, and the 1H buyers’ TP has not yet been touched. (As long as the 1H candle does not close and confirm below 3548, the defined TP for 1H buyers will remain 3606).
Therefore, it can be assumed that from the marked breaker block zone, or with a slight hunt around the 3553 area, a buy trigger could appear for a liquidity grab at the high.
For the invalidation condition: if the 1H candle comes from any of these three support zones toward the high, it should not close above 3600–3606. If it only hunts liquidity, then we can consider the continuation of the move down to the internal liquidity hunt (internal choch). From there, one could again look for a buy trigger, with the 3503 level under the internal choch acting as support.
Personally, I’m watching the breaker block, 3553, and 3543 for buys at the beginning of next week to see how the market reacts to the high
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,586.96
Target Level: 3,559.28
Stop Loss: 3,605.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Short for Gold . My proposed gold price correction model leverages Elliott Wave Theory to identify high-probability reversal zones. By analyzing wave patterns and Fibonacci retracement levels, the model anticipates key turning points in gold’s price cycle — offering traders a structured, rule-based approach to timing entries and exits with greater precision .
How do you think 💬