XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support).
We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14
Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49
Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven.
🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660.
Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621.
Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 12.10.2025 ???After breaking the H1 uptrend line, Gold returned to the Fibo retracement zone 0.5 with a strong rebound, the current price is moving around the price zone 3655 and still maintains a strong rebound. Pay attention to the following important zones for today's strategy:
>> SELL SCALP: 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3655 - 3625 - 3600
>> BUY SCALP: around 3595, SL 3588, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice weekend guys! :D
XAUUSD – Gold Faces Strong ResistanceTechnical Outlook
Main Trend: Gold has been rallying within an ascending channel since late August but recently broke out and is now consolidating below resistance.
Key Resistance: 3,665 – 3,670 USD. Price has been rejected multiple times here, showing strong selling pressure.
Key Support: 3,600 – 3,605 USD. A break below this zone may trigger further bearish omentum.
EMA & RSI: Price is testing short-term EMAs while RSI shows bearish divergence – signaling potential downside pressure.
Fibonacci Levels: The 3,600 zone aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the latest bullish leg, making it a critical pivot.
Trading Strategies
Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup)
Look for Short opportunities if price fails at 3,665 – 3,670.
Target 1: 3,630
Target 2: 3,600
Stop Loss: Above 3,675
Bullish Scenario (Alternative Setup)
If price closes above 3,670 (H1/H4 with volume confirmation), bullish momentum could resume.
Target: 3,700 – 3,720
Conclusion
Gold is currently testing a major resistance area. A short-term correction toward 3,600 is likely before the next clear direction develops. Watch price action closely at 3,665 and 3,600 for confirmation of entry.
- Follow for more intraday strategies and save this analysis if you find it useful.
Gold market remains firmly bullishThe gold market remains firmly bullish following the latest economic data release, which came with no surprises. Unemployment claims surged to 265,000, signaling a weaker labor market — a negative for the U.S. dollar. In response, gold extended its rally, pumping into the 3670’s.
<<>>Key Highlights:
Unemployment Claims: 265K (bearish USD)
Market Reaction: Bullish gold momentum
Current High: 3670’s
Gold Spot (XAU/USD), 1H timeframePair & Timeframe
Gold Spot (XAU/USD), 1H timeframe
Chart Pattern
You can see a falling wedge forming (marked by two converging downward trendlines).
Falling wedges are usually bullish reversal patterns, meaning the expectation is for price to break upward.
However, the trader here expects a fakeout or continuation downward first to a support zone before reversing up.
Trade Setup
Limit Order (Buy): Around 3598.36 – 3590.53
→ This is where the trader expects price to dip into before bouncing back.
Stop Loss (SL): Around 3569.99
→ If price breaks under this level, the setup is invalidated.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3665.26
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3733.33
Risk-to-Reward
Entry ~3598 → SL ~3570 → Risk ≈ 28 points.
TP1 = ~67 points → RR ~ 2.4:1.
TP2 = ~135 points → RR ~ 4.8:1.
→ This is a strong risk-to-reward setup.
Idea Summary
Price is consolidating inside a falling wedge.
Trader expects one last dip into the limit order zone (3590–3600).
From there, a strong bounce is expected, targeting 3665 first, and possibly 3733.
Stop loss is placed safely below structure at 3569.
This is basically a “Buy the Dip” swing idea using wedge + support confluence with very favorable RR.
Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620.Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620.
As shown in Figure 2h:
Technical Analysis
1: Gold prices are clearly in a period of profit-taking this week.
2: Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are currently fluctuating near historical highs.
3: So far this week, major news and data have been positive, but gold prices have not risen further.
Summary: Gold prices are unlikely to break new highs this week. The market is clearly relying on positive news to drive gold prices higher, followed by selling at high levels. This suggests that gold prices will continue to fluctuate downward, and the expected price range for this pullback is between 3580-3600.
Swing Strategy:
Wait for the 3580-3600 range to bottom out and stabilize before continuing to go long.
Set a stop-loss in the 3665-3670 range.
Intraday Strategy:
Short at high levels, targeting a pullback. Today, our target price range for gold's decline is 3620-3600.
Sell: 3640-3650 (Ideal Entry Range)
Sell: 3635-3645 (Aggressive Strategy)
Stop Loss: 3655
----------------------------
Target Price: 3630
Target Price: 3620
Target Price: 3615-3600
Summary:
1: Gold prices are expected to enter a wide range (3620-3660), consistent with our recent analysis.
2: Bulls are actively selling. Long-term long positions should patiently wait for gold prices to bottom (3580-3600).
3: Trading gold prices will be difficult during this range-bound trading; observe and wait for the highs and lows of the range whenever possible.
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).1. Price Structure
Gold has surged strongly from 3,360 → 3,657, forming a steep uptrend inside a rising wedge channel.
Currently, price is near the upper boundary of the wedge and has just made a pullback.
2. Pattern & Technical Signals
A rising wedge pattern is visible, which often signals downside pressure when price touches the upper boundary.
The recent candlestick shows a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure around the 3,657 top.
The blue arrow on the chart highlights a potential correction back toward the wedge’s lower trendline.
3. Fibonacci Support Levels
From the rally 3,360 → 3,657:
Fib 0.786 = 3,573: short-term support, likely to be tested.
Fib 0.618 = 3,508: key medium-term support.
Fib 0.382 = 3,417: if this breaks, the short-term uptrend could reverse.
Red zone (3,360 – 3,417): a strong demand zone, may attract buying interest again.
4. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary):
Price continues to correct down toward 3,573 – 3,508, then rebounds if the trendline holds.
Suitable for trend-following buys if reversal signals appear around the 0.618 Fib.
Scenario 2 (breakdown of wedge):
If price breaks below the wedge and Fib 0.5/0.382, it could drop back to 3,360 – 3,417.
In that case, the short-term bullish trend weakens → short opportunities may open up.
5. Conclusion
Gold is currently in a correction phase after a strong rally.
Key levels to watch:
3,573 – 3,508 (decisive for holding or losing the uptrend).
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).
👉 Short-term: wait for price action signals around 0.786 – 0.618 Fib zone to consider buying with the trend.
👉 Medium-term: if 3,417 breaks, bearish momentum could return.
XAU/USD Sell Idea | Setup Based on Liquidity & Break of StructuHello fellow traders,
In this analysis, we'll break down a potential short scenario for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe, based on Price Action and Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
The Rationale for the Setup:
Liquidity Hunt: As seen on the chart, the price first engineered a liquidity hunt, grabbing the buy-side liquidity (BSL) at the HUNT zone. This move is often a precursor to a strong reversal.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Following the liquidity grab, we witnessed a powerful downward impulse, resulting in a break of a key low and creating a "Change of Character" (CHoCH). This is a clear indication of a potential short-term shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone: To enter a short position, we are waiting for a price pullback into a premium area of value. This zone, identified using the Fibonacci tool, contains a confluence of a Breaker Block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence adds significant validation to our entry area.
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,660.364
Stop Loss: 3,676.024 (Placed just above the original high where liquidity was taken)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,646.075 (Recent swing low)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,635.179 (Targeting the area near the Previous Day's Low - PDL)
Risk Management:
This analysis is purely an idea and not a financial signal. Please conduct your own due diligence and apply strict risk management before entering any trade. It's advisable to take partial profits at TP1 and move the stop loss to breakeven.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SMC #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdea #PriceAction #SmartMoney
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart)
Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively.
Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart).
Key Support Levels:
3,561 USD (near-term support)
3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken)
📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens.
Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks.
Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
Never predict the top; go long with the trendThe bullish momentum for gold is unstoppable, with basically no significant pullbacks. Therefore, gold will only continue to stay strong for now. It is basically impossible to wait for a major pullback in gold at the moment—if a sharp pullback starts, it will no longer be a correction. The current market follows the rule: "A strong trend sees no correction; a correction means no strength."
The 1-hour moving averages of gold remain in a bullish divergence pattern with a golden cross trending upward. After breaking above the 3,600 level, gold has continued to move higher. Now that it has broken through and held above 3,600, this level will become a key support for gold in the short term. In such a strong market, gold usually resumes its strength after a pullback of around 20 US dollars. Those who haven’t entered the market can go long on dips around 3,620 in line with the trend. Those who already hold positions can just keep holding.
A real trending market won’t end so soon. Gold is now in a major bull market cycle—there’s no need to predict the top during a rally. Following the trend means going long; we’ll keep the gold bullish trade going all the way.
If you feel confused about the future market trend, or if you have not yet made profits in such a market, follow me and leave me a message – let me help you resolve this issue.
Gold Uptrend – 3,563–3,575 Key to 3,600+Hello everyone, last week gold staged a strong rally, consistently building new steps upward, gaining around 50–60 USD from the 3,520 zone. On the H1 chart, the structure remains very clean: price is holding above the upward-sloping Ichimoku cloud, with layered FVG blocks beneath – clear signs that buying flow is still maintaining momentum. The recent dip only tested the edge of the cloud before bouncing back, leaving the trend intact.
The immediate key lies in the 3,563–3,575 cluster (a confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fib and recent highs). A decisive H1 close above this area could open the path to 3,595–3,600, and further to 3,610–3,620. On the downside, nearby supports sit at 3,538–3,532, followed by 3,520–3,525. Structure would only turn weaker if price closes below 3,512 – in which case risks shift towards a broader consolidation phase.
In short, I still favour the scenario of a shallow pullback before continuation, as long as price holds above the cloud and the FVG floors.
What do you think – will 3,563–3,575 have the strength to unlock 3,600+? Feel free to share your view.
XAUUSD LongGold has been in a short-term uptrend, marked by consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside at $3,606 and $3,646. The last confirmed higher high (HH) formed at $3,646 before sellers stepped in, initiating a retracement. Despite this pullback, no confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) has yet occurred at a key low, which means the structure still leans bullish until $3,620 breaks.
Supply & Demand Zones
The upper supply zone between $3,640–$3,646 is significant—this is where price dropped sharply after printing the recent HH, confirming active sellers. A smaller intraday supply sits around $3,635–$3,638, where price stalled and retraced earlier. On the demand side, the $3,625–$3,628 zone remains important, where buyers previously stepped in with strength to push price higher. A deeper demand zone sits near $3,612–$3,617, where stronger buying was observed earlier in the session.
Price Action in the Marked Region
Currently, gold is consolidating near $3,633, sitting just above the 50% retracement of the last swing. Price is showing signs of building a base around this level, suggesting buyers may attempt another push into the supply above. The marked projection suggests a bounce from the current level toward the $3,638–$3,646 supply zone. If price breaks through and sustains above $3,646, it would confirm continuation of the bullish structure.
Trade Bias & Outlook
The trade bias is bullish in the short term, expecting price to rally into supply.
Expected direction: A move toward $3,638–$3,646.
Invalidation level: A break and 5m close below $3,620 (CHoCH level) would invalidate the bullish outlook and shift bias bearish toward $3,612.
Momentum & Candle Behavior
Momentum is currently neutral-to-slightly bullish, with price holding higher lows but lacking strong follow-through candles. If buyers print large-bodied bullish candles off $3,633 support, it would confirm renewed strength. Conversely, hesitation at $3,638 supply would signal seller pressure is still dominant.
Gold uptrend continuation breakout support at 3573The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3573 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3573 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3645 – initial resistance
3670 – psychological and structural level
3705 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3573 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3542 – minor support
3510 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3573. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Soars 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Woes & Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has surged 37% from the start of 2025, following a 27% rally in 2024 – fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, easing monetary policies, and broader economic/geopolitical uncertainty. With US jobs growth slowing sharply in August 2025 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, markets are heavily betting on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let's analyze today's (08/09/2025) volatile market and spot trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold's Rally Isn't Slowing Down? 🌟
Impressive Growth: Gold is thriving in a low-rate environment amid uncertainty – non-yielding assets like this shine when rates drop and risks rise! 📈
US Jobs Factor: August data confirms a cooling labor market, bolstering Fed easing expectations and safe-haven demand.
Fed Independence Drama: Trump's pressure to oust Governor Lisa Cook and push for rate cuts has triggered legal disputes, eroding USD confidence and elevating gold as a hedge against Fed interference. Standard Chartered forecasts more upside from tariff tensions and central bank concerns.
Global Demand Slowdown: Top consumers China and India saw physical gold demand ease this week due to record prices – but overall sentiment stays bullish.
Gold is the ultimate safe haven in this volatile setup – will the Fed deliver the cuts the market craves?
Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Sweeps – Avoid FOMO! 📉
In the early Asian session today, gold dipped to the 358x zone before a quick rebound, breaking last week's ATH resistance at 3600 and advancing to 361x. No major news drove this surge, but continuous ATHs signal rapid liquidity sweeps – watch for traps! Avoid FOMO: Target broken round levels for BUY opportunities, or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but be cautious of fakeouts.
Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644
Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626
SL: 3630
TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606
Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636
SL: 3644
TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596
Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594
SL: 3591
TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614
Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579
SL: 3571
TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619
Gold is in breakout mode, but traps lurk – wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could target new highs. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #Trump #CentralBanks
Gold on extended upswing fuelled by NFPTechnical analysis: Price-action was on the way and very close to erasing all the losses of current #1M (Monthly) candle (merely # +6.53%) with aggressively Bullish stance, in addition candle sequence which indicates uptrend continuation. This is an important step throughout standard Medium-term Buying processes on financial assets after sharp uptrends (remember that Gold was and is currently on non-stop rise on #4 consecutive weeks). Traders are still almost halfway through the Month though so no safe conclusions can be made regarding potential reversal, especially since the Price-action invalidated Daily chart’s Ascending Channel with an estimated Higher High’s Upper zone test and break-out to the upside even more. My Medium-term estimate is now aligned with the Hourly 4 chart’s borders. As I mentioned on my remarks, Hourly 4 chart was putting all obstacles above #3,552.80 psychological benchmark as there are many Moving Averages seen Trading and to get invalidated in order for Weekly chart (#1W) to turn Bearish again. I am looking at #3,652.80 benchmark test initially.
My position: Of course I will continue Buying every Low's on Gold and as Gold became very sensitive to every Bullish Fundamental development, #3,600.80 benchmark was tested on NFP aftermath. If NFP delivered upside surprise, Gold would not decline as much as it was soaring on different scenario so remember, always give advantage of Gold soaring aggressively on each Fundamental going in Buyers favor rather than Seller one.
Gold high probability tradeGold overbought on every time frame. Of course trend is very bullish but expect a correction and gold to maintain its bullish form. High probability trade looking for 3600 to reject or take the red path finding res @ 3620 and down. Preference is the red path. Target 3470 and then bulls to start to creep back In. Sell positions 3600 & 3620 pending SL on 1HR is 3640
Xauusd📌 Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario (favored)
If 3580 support holds, price likely retests 3600–3615.
Break & H4 close above 3617 → opens road to 3650–3670.
Swing extension possible to 3720.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (short-term correction)
Rejection at 3600–3615 could trigger pullback.
Targets: 3570, then 3545.
If 3490 breaks → deeper correction toward 3420–3350.