Trade ideas
GOLD | Pullback Resistance AheadBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 4,370.70, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,946.74, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Gold Trading Strategy for Next MondayGold Trading Strategy for Next Monday
Looking ahead to gold prices next week, the market is currently experiencing a combination of short-term technical adjustments and long-term positive factors.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices have formed a converging triangle pattern between the key support level of $4,000 and the near-term resistance level of $4,180.
Large Range: $4,000-4,180
Small Range: $4,050-4,150
Policy Expectations: The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but the US government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic data, leaving the market in a "data vacuum." Divergence on the future policy path has exacerbated short-term volatility.
Geopolitical: Events such as the deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to create uncertainty, boosting gold's safe-haven demand.
Central Bank Gold Purchases: A Goldman Sachs report indicates that global central banks are expected to continue their gold purchasing trend, which will provide solid support for gold prices from the perspective of long-term demand and market sentiment.
Long-term bullish
The current technical picture shows typical consolidation characteristics:
Range: Gold prices have formed a range-bound trend between $4,000 and $4,180. On shorter timeframes, the market may also fluctuate within a tighter range, such as $4,050-4,100-4,150.
Market Structure: After the previous sharp rise in gold prices, the market needs to experience volatility to digest profit-taking and accumulate energy for subsequent directional choices.
Trading Strategy for Next Monday:
Given the current volatile market, "buy low, sell high" is the core strategy. The key is to seize trading opportunities on both sides of the range.
Shorting the upper range limit:
Sell: $4170-4180
Stop loss: Above $4200
Target price: $4120 / $4080 / $4050
Longing the lower range limit:
Buy: $4015-4025
Stop loss: Below $4000
Target price: $4050 / $4080 / $4100
Key Points:
Breakout follow-up: Closely monitor price tests of the range boundaries.
If gold prices break below the $4,000 support level, investors should avoid blindly buying on dips and remain vigilant to the risk of further declines.
Conversely, if gold prices break through and stabilize above $4,180, investors may consider buying on the trend, targeting the previous high.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating between $4,132 resistance and $4,091 support. Price rejected from the resistance zone and is currently sliding lower. The structure shows a potential bearish continuation if sellers defend $4,128–$4,132, with downside pressure targeting the $4,091–$4,088 zone.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,128–$4,135 (near resistance rejection)
Stop Loss: $4,135
Take Profit: $4,091 → $4,088
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.26
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains under pressure as traders focus on U.S. CPI data (Sep) due later today, expected at 3.1% YoY. Renewed USD demand and seasonal demand slowdown after India’s Diwali festival are capping upside momentum. However, safe-haven flows could reemerge amid the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and US-China trade talks set during the APEC summit. The Fed is still expected to cut rates by 25bps in November and December, which provides medium-term support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,128 – $4,132
Support Zone: $4,091 – $4,088
Breakout Levels: Above $4,140 = bullish invalidation, Below $4,085 = continuation lower
📋 Trade Summary
The bias remains bearish intraday below $4,132 resistance. CPI data and trade headlines may cause volatility spikes. Short positions near resistance offer better R:R as long as $4,135 is not breached.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
My Trading Setup for Gold Today #xauusd
A good trader doesn't chase the market. They identify a specific price area (a "zone") where their strategy signals a high-probability entry. This is based on technical levels like support, Fibonacci retracements, or order blocks.
· Check Sentiment: Before entering, you must understand the broader market mood. Is the overall trend still bullish? What is the higher time frame (like 1H or 4H) doing? This ensures your 15-minute trade aligns with the larger market flow.
· Tick your checklist: Every trading strategy should have a concrete checklist (e.g., RSI above 50, price above a key moving average, a specific candlestick pattern). This removes guesswork and ensures you only take trades that meet all your criteria.
3. The Risk Management: "SL+4057| Logical SL"
· This is arguably the most important part. "SL" stands for Stop Loss.
· "SL+4057": The exact price level where the trade will be closed for a loss if the market moves against them. This defines the risk upfront.
· "Logical SL": The stop loss isn't arbitrary. A "logical" SL is placed just beyond a technical level that, if broken, would invalidate the entire reason for entering the trade. For example, below a recent swing low or a key support zone. This is professional risk management.
#TradingEducation #RiskManagement #ForexTrader #DayTrading #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #AlgorithmicTrading #Investing #FinancialMarkets
Oct 22, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Yesterday formed the largest daily bearish candle in history, breaking below my previously defined bull–bear pivot at 4189.
This confirms that bearish momentum has taken control.
Watch 4186 closely — this is today’s key level:
Below 4186 → focus on selling rallies into resistance.
Above 4186 → I’ll need to carefully assess whether bearish pressure has weakened before attempting buying pullbacks into support.
Stay with the trend and avoid overtrading against the main direction.
I once read a line in a trading book that I’d like to share with everyone:
“The market takes the stairs up but the elevator down.”
Don’t rush to catch the bottom — it’s always safer to wait for a clear reversal signal and then trade the pullback that confirms it.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4200 – Psychological level
• 4186 – Key bull–bear pivot
• 4165 – Resistance
• 4150 – Mid-level zone
• 4126 – Resistance
• 4100 – Psychological level / Major support
• 4080 – Support
• 4060 – Support
• 4045 – Support
• 4024 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4165 → target 4150, with further downside toward 4126, 4100, 4080
BUY: If price holds above 4186 → target 4190, with further upside toward 4195, 4200
If $GOLD is at its peak, is $BTC next?Gold has been rejected at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci channel on the 3M chart.
The Stoch RSI demonstrates a striking similarity to past cycles:
The bullish structure, which continued in the overbought region in October 2010, peaked 273 days later in July 2011.
Momentum, which continued in the overbought region again in October 2019, reached its peak 365 days later in October 2020.
Today, history paints a similar picture once again.
The bullish structure, which began in the overbought region in October 2024, may have reached its peak approximately one year later, in October 2025, just as in previous cycles.
Gold appears to be completing its historical rhythm once again.
Note: The Bitcoin / Gold pair is developing in the opposite direction.
Gold Forms Double Top — Bears May Target 4150Gold ultimately formed a double top, and the decline followed a similar pattern to last Friday. Similarly, it failed to hold above 4352 amidst volatility, falling to around 4317 before rebounding. However, the rebound also failed to effectively convert resistance near 41 into support, leading to a rapid decline! The price has once again returned to support near the MA30 on the 4H chart.
A rapid decline is often accompanied by a rebound, but if the rebound fails to break through resistance, it can only serve as a buffer during the downtrend. If the pattern arrangement and indicators also favor a bearish trend, the subsequent decline is likely to be even more drastic (absent breaking news).
Now the price has rebounded to the resistance zone, and the strong resistance is still around 4300. If the rebound cannot gradually recover, then we must pay attention to the trend support. If it falls below, a similar trend as marked in the figure is likely to appear, and the short position may point to around 4150 or even lower.
XAUUSD- 1H bullish setup🟢 Bullish Confluences:
Strong Rejection from Key Demand Zone
Price has sharply bounced from the lower green Keltner Channel band, indicating strong buyer interest around $4,245–$4,257.
This area aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent leg (4233.35 to 4297.76), a classic golden ratio zone for reversals.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction
A long lower wick shows clear rejection of lower prices and potential reversal strength.
Suggests that bulls are stepping in after a steep decline.
Keltner Channel Support Bounce
The price is reacting well from the lower Keltner band and may now aim toward the mid to upper bands as dynamic resistance, which aligns with key Fibonacci levels.
Fibonacci Retracement Overlay
The recent drop seems to be a corrective pullback, and the overlay of the Fibonacci retracement levels gives us clear potential targets on a bullish reversal.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets (Upside Levels):
Based on the move from the low around 4233.35 to the recent swing high around 4297.76, the bullish targets are:
Target 1 – 38.2% Level
📍 4322.36 First resistance and profit-taking zone.
Also aligns with mid-Keltner resistance.
Target 2 – 61.8% Level
📍 4337.57 Strong Fibonacci level where deeper pullbacks usually end.
May act as a major resistance zone if price continues upward.
Target 3 – 100% Extension / Full Move Recovery
📍 4362.17 Full recovery of the prior high.
If momentum remains strong, price may test this zone.
Gold tests below $4,300 amid strengthening USD October 21Joint statement Ukraine – EU – Trump – Europe:
=> Call for an immediate ceasefire and start peace negotiations.
=> The market reacts risk-on, money flows out of gold => gold drops sharply.
echnical analysis: H1 is in the process of correction after continuously setting the ATH peak, gradually forming a head and shoulders pattern, buyers right at the 4178-4180 area are quite clear.
BUY GOLD : 4180 - 4178
SL: 4172
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
SELL GOLD : 4320 - 4322
SL: 4330
TP: 50 - 200 - 400PIPS
Trade according to price trends, do not trade predictions, manage and be responsible for your account !
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart ( Buy Scalp In Progress )Hello traders. As per my last chart, I took the trade at the green line marked on the chart. I caught around 80 pips or so and closed 75% of the trade. The remaining 25% of the trade is my runner. My stop loss as well above my entry point, so zero loss. One trade, boom. Done for the day. Big G gets my thanks. Hope some of you caught the move up.
15 minute structure updateThe sellers' target for this time frame has been touched.
In the meantime, the 4051 liquidity level has been built, which will be a return to the liquidity hunt and a pullback to the specified support areas, which will be the selling position for lower targets and liquidity. In the 1-hour time frame, the current bottom has sellers' liquidity, so the sellers will return the price to this bottom.
Analysis link:
Gold Towards ATH after Healthy Correction!Gold showed a very healthy correction recently after going up for 9 weeks straight.
Now, on 1H timeframe, it is forming a Bullish Trend after showing a minor Bullish Divergence on RSI. If it continues to go up, we can take a Buy-Stop trade, longing it for a 1:2 setup. However, if you guys want, you can ride it till its current ATH which is very likely to hit.
Let's see how it goes.
Gold (XAU/USD) M30 Smart Money Setup – Price Action Analysis📊 Current Structure:
On the M30 timeframe, CHOCH (Change of Character) has formed around 4186, confirming a possible bearish shift in market structure. The previous low stands at 4004, which acts as a major liquidity zone and final bearish target.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Overview
After the CHOCH at 4186, Gold is expected to retrace to premium zones before continuing its bearish move. The market has created two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — potential supply areas where price may react.
⚙️ Key Zones
1️⃣ 1st FVG (4231 – 4246) → Minor retracement zone 🟠
2️⃣ 2nd FVG (4302 – 4322) → Strong supply zone 🔴
📍 Stop Loss (SL): 4346
🎯 Target (TP): 4001
🧭 Trading Plan
Wait for price to tap into any FVG zone (4231–4322).
Confirm bearish reaction using candlestick rejection or CHOCH on lower TFs (M5–M15).
Enter short positions aiming for the 4001 target.
Risk management: keep SL tight above 4346.
📉 Conclusion
Gold currently shows strong bearish pressure after CHOCH confirmation. Smart money traders will be looking for short entries from FVG zones toward the 4001 liquidity target. Manage your trade wisely and follow structure confirmation before entry. 🧩
💡 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. 📚
Analysis Wed 22 Oct Let's see what the market will do today!
Big dropped yesterday, Sellers won!
Let's see for today!
Expecting Buyers to get in and bring the price higher, creating an hourly trend up.
Till where?! We will see
Stay tuned for the next update before the New York session.
Observation Session - No Trade before the chart gives more data.
@TeamWePrint






















