Gold is trending sideways ahead of major news.1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term rising trendline (black dotted):
Price is still moving above the trendline → the uptrend remains valid. Every pullback continues to find support.
Long-term rising trendline (below):
This is the major structural support, crucial for determining the medium-term trend if it gets broken.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,260 – 4,265:
A strong resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times → strong selling pressure.
➜ Break and close above this zone: opens a new upside expansion.
➜ Failure to break out: likely leads to a corrective move.
3️⃣ Support
4,165 – 4,170:
Short-term support, a confluence of the rising trendline and a previous demand zone.
Below 4,165:
Price may slide quickly toward a lower rising trendline → higher risk of a deeper correction.
4️⃣ Main scenarios
Primary scenario: Sideways consolidation below resistance → pullback toward 4,165, then watch for price reaction.
Strong bullish scenario: Only valid if price decisively breaks above 4,265 with volume confirmation.
👉 Strategy: Avoid FOMO at resistance. Focus on price reaction at support or clear, confirmed breakouts.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,169 – 4,067
Stop Loss: 4,159
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,263 – 4,265
Stop Loss: 4,275
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Trade ideas
XAUUSD H4✅ 1. Current Market Structure
Bearish 5-wave completion
Price has completed:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5) → Final liquidity sweep
Wave (5) made a low below wave (3) and tapped liquidity → this supports a Spring scenario.
Wyckoff Context
The final low = Spring Phase C
Expect a Test (B wave) and then a Sign of Strength → rally
✅ 2. Liquidity Zones & Reaction Points
🔹 Demand (Spring Zone)
4,176 – 4,187
Marked by the 0.786 retracement
Overlaps with volume imbalance + LQ sweep
→ High probability reversal zone
Your chart is correct: this is the B-wave target.
🔹 FVG + Supply Zone
At 4,216 – 4,224
Price already reacted at this zone = Wave (A) completion.
This zone becomes the first liquidity magnet on the next reversal.
✅ 3. Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC Correction)
Wave (A)
Already completed at the supply/FVG.
Wave (B)
Currently forming a retracement.
Ideal retracement levels for B wave:
4,195 (0.5)
4,183–4,187 (0.786) → most likely
4,176 → deeper Spring Test
Your projection correctly aims for the 0.786 retracement, aligning with liquidity + Wyckoff test.
Wave (C)
Projected to be a strong move up toward:
🎯 Target Zone:
4,241.81 (first break)
4,254.80 (Wyckoff UTAD / liquidity sweep)
The big shaded target zone (4,242–4,255) is correct because:
It's a previous swing high
Heavy liquidity pools sit above
Confluence of Wyckoff Sign of Strength final rally
Wave C commonly reaches 1.0–1.272 Fibonacci extension
📌 4. Outlook Scenario (High Probability)
Bullish Scenario (Main):
Price dips into 4,183–4,187
Completes Wave (B)
Strong bullish rejection → start of Wave (C)
Rally into 4,242
Final liquidity sweep to 4,254–4,260
Distribution or reversal from the top
This matches your chart perfectly.
XAUUSD 9/12/2025 SHORTTrade Setup (Bearish):
Reason: Price is compressing within a bear flag pattern after a prior decline, suggesting a continuation move is likely. It's testing the lower boundary of the pattern near key support (4,189.98). The presence of three take-profit levels far below indicates the chart owner expects a significant drop.
Insight: The convergence of the blue and red trendlines shows volatility contraction, which often precedes a sharp expansion. The sell pressure is visible with the immediate resistance just above at 4,204.40
Trigger: Sell on a confirmed breakdown and close below 4,189.98, targeting TP1: 4,170.46.
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high or upper trendline, near 4,222.36.
Invalidation: A break and hold above 4,222.36 negates the bearish structure and suggests a reversal.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Trading leveraged products like Forex/CFDs carries high risk. You can lose more than your initial deposit. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is not investment advice. The analysis is based on a single timeframe (1h) and pattern; always confirm with multiple timeframes and your own risk management.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup - Targeting $4400 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently trading within a clear ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, indicating a strong short-to-medium-term uptrend. After a recent correction, the price found solid support on the lower channel boundary (around Nov 25th) and has since broken above a key diagonal resistance line.
We are anticipating a bullish continuation move, following the path of the projected arrow.
Trade Plan: I'm looking for a classic breakout and retest setup to confirm the upward movement.
Expected Entry: I'll be looking to enter on a pullback that retests the broken diagonal trendline and the key support zone around $4,123 - $4,157. This offers a high-probability entry point near the channel support.
Target: The primary target is the top of the ascending channel and the previous high, set at $4,381.73 / $4,400.00.
Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): My trade is invalidated if the price closes below the swing low at 4,031.61, as this would signal a breakdown of the entire bullish channel structure.
Current Status: The price is currently consolidating near 4,218.00. Watching for the anticipated retest before entering the long position!
Remember: Always manage your risk.
XAUUSD AND A PENDANT ON THE 1H TIME FRAMEHI GUYS GOLD HAS BROKEN THROUGH THE BOTTOM OF A PENDANT SITTING ON A CONSOLIDATED RANGE
IS TIS A VALID PATTREN OR IS IT JUST A TRIANGULAR PATTERN
IN ANY CASE IT HAS BROKEN THROUGH THE BOTTOM OOF THIS PATTERN A
lets have a clear look at what the indicators are telling us
on the 30min time line
we see the rsi is under 30 this a bearish signal
looking at the price action we see a bearish flag clear as day forming
we see that btcoin is also under the ichimoku cloud
on the 1 hour we still see bitcoin is under the cloud
the flag is more condensed the bearish flag is clear
the 4h time line shows just a sight reversal a standard pattern be fore more down swing.
in terms of indicatords
the rsi on the 30min is bearish under 50 it stays in this pisiton up till the 4h time line
giving a strong indication that for the 30min time line for a short positon
the macd
on the 30min the macd is showing a bullish cross over but there was no strong up swing rather the bearish flag where the market moved upwards in a sides was manner
the 1h time is also showing a potential cross over to bullish on the macd
the 4h is showing no turn signal
the adx
the adx is sitting under 20 from the 30 right up to the 4h timeline
to me this is a clear indication of the range we are currently in on gold
so horizontal support and resistance breaking is the key to a turn of events
a triangular pattern inside the range can also be used as a break out pattern and the bearish flag froming under the pattern is a good indicator for a sell
the indicators mentioned supports this also but as we know
with out a confirmation of a sell we need to trade with cuation
if you going to ender short on this trade enter with a small lot size wait for the break at
4183 for a early entry
other wise wait for a close below 4175 a strong close below this could be a confirmation of the bearish flag .
Gold Extends Limited Gains as Markets Await USD Data📉 Technical Analysis
🔥 Key Resistance
1. ~4,280 – 4,285 USD/oz — recent testing zone
2. ~4,300 USD/oz — major psychological and technical barrier
🟢 Key Support Levels
1. ~4,240 USD/oz — short-term support
2. ~4,200 USD/oz — psychological & technical support area
📊 EMA & Trend
• EMA09: Price is hovering around the EMA09, showing a neutral / sideways structure with no clear breakout.
📉 Candlestick / Volume / Momentum
• Short-term charts show narrow ranges and divergence in buying/selling pressure — momentum remains weak as gold consolidates ahead of major data.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to move within a tight range or see a light pullback if it fails to break above the ~4,280 level. A strong breakout and sustained move above 4,300 USD/oz would signal a clearer short-term bullish trend.
________________________________________
💡 Trade Ideas
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,282 – 4,285
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,288.5
🔼 BUY XAU/USD: 4,242 – 4,245
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,238.5
FOMC DAY XAUUSD is cranky Todays the Fed’s interest rate decision
The 4220 level continues to act as a key resistance & 4190-4180 act as Strong support
yesterday’s recovery by the bulls has weakened the bearish momentum, making a sharp decline less likely for now.
For this reason, we continue to favor buying opportunities in the 4190–4180 zone.
Targetshould be 4220, If 4220 breaks, the next level to watch is 4230.
Caution ⚠️
H1-H4 candle closes below 4175 no more Buy &wait for the Drop towards 4145.
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1)
Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term.
Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave.
2. Important technical zones on the chart
🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197
Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline.
This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces.
🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163
Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom.
This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards.
🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x
Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month.
If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave.
3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow
🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario)
Activation conditions:
Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x
Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing
Targets:
TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity)
TP2: 4,154
TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115
Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model.
🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL)
After completing the decline to liquidity zones:
BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163
Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave
BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy)
If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x
This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom
Targets for both BUY zones:
TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest)
TP2: 4,210
TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x
Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618)
4. Important notes & risk management
Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation.
SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone.
BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110.
Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
As long as the trend support holds, the outlook remains bullish#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Looking at the intraday trend, the overall volatility was very limited, but it did not break the upward trend line. The short-term support level to watch is 4200-4185. If the price does not break through the support level on the first pullback, we can continue to consider going long on gold. Pay attention to the short-term resistance level at 4235-4245.
Gold – 4H Trendline Analysis (Updated)🟡 Gold – 4H Trendline Analysis (Updated)
The red bullish trendline is already broken and retested, meaning the bullish structure has weakened and the market is preparing for a possible shift.
However — the sell side is NOT activated yet.
📉 Sell Activation Rule
A sell becomes valid ONLY after price breaks and closes below the 4176 zone.
Why this level?
4176 is the last protective support of the current structure.
Breaking it confirms:
Loss of bullish momentum
Break + retest of the red trendline turning into bearish
Bearish continuation toward 4128 → 4090
So even though the red trendline has already been broken, the official sell trigger remains at 4176.
📌 Until 4176 Breaks
The market is still not bearish.
No sell positions are activated.
Price may still fluctuate inside the structure or retest upper levels.
XAU - Potential False Breakout Before Correction in Bearish FlagI expect a move toward the upper boundary of the bearish flag, with a possible false breakout before the market begins a deeper correction.
Upside targets are $4,450–$4,500, while the potential downside correction zone lies around $3,850–$3,800.
XAU/USD 12 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 02 December 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700. This is how price printed.
Price has now tapped into a previous H4 demand zone and is continuing it's bullish trajectory, therefore, I am unable to confirm fractal high.
Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Allow price to continue with its bullish trajectory as there has been no pause to confirm fractal high.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Just Paused at a Strange Level What is Coming Nex🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H)
Market State:
– Price has broken out of the short-term consolidation, followed by a clean retest structure forming right at the breakout zone a classic continuation signal.
Key Levels from Chart:
– Entry Zone: around the retest area just above 4280–4286
– Stop Loss: 4262 – 4264
– Take Profit 1: 4317
– Take Profit 2: 4381
Next Move:
– As long as price holds above the SL zone and respects the breakout retest structure, XAU/USD is positioned for a continuation leg toward 4317, with potential extension toward 4381.
Gold (XAUUSD) - 12 Dec | Pullback to Key POIs in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 12 December
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold continues in strong bullish momentum .
• In yesterday’s session, the H4 previous swing high 4264.6 was taken out, along with the M15 previous swing high 4247.8 , confirming bullish continuation on both timeframes.
• After this breakout, a healthy pullback is expected before the next leg upward.
Key Observations
• Our first POI for short-term long setup is the 4244.8–4230 OB zone .
If price pulls back into this zone and we get LTF bullish confirmation , we will plan our long setup accordingly.
• Our second POI is a high-probability, strong demand zone at 4198.7–4182.1 .
This zone is unmitigated and sits just below the recent HL at 4204, making it a key reaction level.
If price reaches this zone with LTF confirmation , we will plan our long setup from here.
Execution Plan
• Observe price reaction at 4244.8–4230 first.
• If invalidated, wait patiently for price to approach the deeper 4198.7–4182.1 demand zone.
• Maintain bullish bias while M15 structure remains intact.
• No confirmation, no entry.
Structure reveals the direction — confirmation reveals the timing.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Important Note*
Over the next month, due to Christmas and New Year period, market conditions may become choppy and unpredictable. Price action may not form cleanly, and setups may fail more frequently. Trade cautiously, manage risk strictly, or consider staying on the sidelines until around 15 January 2026 for smoother conditions.
GOLD Buying Trade idea From the Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Forecast - Trade Zones & Setup Before FOMCGold is still trading weak under the descending trendline and the price continues to reject the 4220–4230 resistance zone. As long as it stays below this area the chart suggests bearish pressure toward 4170 and possibly 4145–4130 where strong liquidity sits.
With the Fed rate decision tomorrow volatility is expected to increase so price may remain choppy within this range until the announcement. A clear bullish shift only comes if gold breaks and holds above 4225 which could reopen the path toward 4250–4260. For now structure remains bearish with lower-high formations and clean downside targets visible.
🔵 Buy Zone
- 4165–4175 → This is the main demand zone.
- Buy Trigger: A strong bullish candle / rejection wick from 4165–4170 confirms buyers stepping in.
- Upside Target: 4200 → 4220 → 4230.
🔴 Sell Zone
- 4220–4230 → Major supply + trendline resistance.
- Sell Trigger: If price retests 4220–4230 and gives rejection or bearish engulfing, downside resumes.
- Downside Target: 4170 → 4145 → 4130.
⚠️ Important Note (Fed Rates Tomorrow):
Before the announcement, gold may stay inside 4200–4170 range, so triggers will be cleaner after the news when volatility expands.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAU/USD Daily OutlookXAU/USD Daily Outlook – Price Still Favors a Retracement Before Any Bullish Continuation
Gold continues to trade inside a corrective structure on the H1 chart, with price reacting strongly from the demand zone around 4161–4170, which represents a strong low in the current bullish leg. Despite the latest bounce, market structure still leans bearish as long as the short-term lower-high sequence remains intact.
The chart highlights a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, followed by a liquidity sweep and a weak reaction toward the mid-range. This suggests that the market may test deeper liquidity pools before forming a high-probability long setup.
Key Technical Zones
Resistance Levels
4198 – 4205: Nearest intraday resistance and imbalance fill.
4220 – 4235: Fibonacci 61.8% retracement + previous CHoCH zone.
4250 – 4260: Higher-timeframe supply, weak high still intact.
Support Levels
4170 – 4161: Fresh demand zone and strong low (key structure).
4148 – 4155: Liquidity pocket below equal lows.
4135 – 4140: Final support before a structural shift on H4.
Trendline & EMA Context
Price is currently trading below the EMA20 and EMA50, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
The descending trendline from the recent swing high remains intact, suggesting the market may retest this trendline before continuing downward.
Fibonacci Confluence
Measured from the swing high to the recent low:
38.2% Fib → 4198 area (first reaction point)
61.8% Fib → 4225 zone (major sell interest)
This aligns with prior BOS and CHoCH areas — a strong confluence for possible bearish continuation.
Intraday Bias: Bearish Retracement
Current structure favors a move toward 4198 – 4205 to rebalance inefficiency before the next potential bearish leg toward 4161. If this strong low breaks, deeper liquidity targets become exposed.
Trading Strategies
1. Sell-the-Retracement Strategy
Sell Zone: 4198 – 4205
Stop Loss: Above 4212
Targets:
TP1: 4175
TP2: 4161
TP3: 4150
This setup aligns with EMA resistance, trendline touch, and Fibonacci confluence.
2. Break-and-Retest Long Setup
Trigger only if price protects the strong low at 4161.
Entry Zone: 4165 – 4170
Stop Loss: 4155
Targets:
TP1: 4198
TP2: 4220
TP3: 4235
This only activates if the market confirms bullish intention with a CHoCH on lower timeframes.
Market Outlook
Gold remains in a corrective phase. Liquidity beneath the strong low is key. As long as price trades below the 4220 supply zone, bearish retracement setups offer better risk–reward. Monitor how the market reacts around 4198; this level will define the direction for the rest of the session.
Gold Buying RecommendationI maintain my analytical approach. For any rebound, we should focus on the short-term resistance level around 4225-30. Our strategy remains focused on buying on dips and rebounds. Don't assume that Friday's pullback has dampened bullish sentiment. As long as the key support level of 4163-75 isn't broken, the bulls will likely make a comeback. On the downside, we continue to watch the short-term support level of 4190-95. Our strategy remains to buy on dips.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the key resistance level to watch is 4245-60, with short-term resistance at 4225-30. On the downside, we watch the key support level of 4165-75. Technically, the current consolidation suggests a bias towards buying on pullbacks.
Buy gold around 4175-4165, stop loss at 4157, target 4245-50, hold if it breaks through.






















