Gold Trade Set Up Oct 21 2025Gold failed to create ATH last night during Asia session and dumped hard shifting to a bearish structure during London session. So now i will mostly be looking for sells. If we get a 15m close under most recent swing low 4214 i will want to see 5m BSl swept at at 4233 before looking for sells but if price closes above 4214 and makes HL on the 15m i will look for short term buys into 5m supply and BSL at 4260 before looking for sells again
Trade ideas
XAUUSD (Gold) - Long Idea from Liquidity (LIQ) ZoneStrategy: Liquidity / Demand Zone
The chart shows a strong bullish market structure, confirmed by the previous "Break of Structure" (BoS).
The price is currently pulling back into a key area of interest, which is marked as a "LIQ" (Liquidity) zone. This area is likely a demand zone or an order block where we can expect a bullish reversal.
This trade idea is to buy (go long) as the price taps into this liquidity zone.
Trade Parameters:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Entry: $4,245.867
Stop Loss (SL): $4,234.520
Take Profit (TP): $4,379.504
Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an exceptional Risk/Reward ratio of approximately 1:12
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold attempted another run-up yesterday but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a renewed pullback this session. Price is currently trading around 4259, slipping below the MA50 as short-term momentum softens after repeated rejections from the 4362 resistance zone.
Despite the rejection the broader trend remains bullish above the MA200, though short-term momentum has clearly weakened. If buyers manage to reclaim 4321, gold could reattempt the upside toward 4362 and 4406.
However, a break below 4,279 would expose the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192), where buyers will likely defend to maintain trend structure. A deeper breakdown beneath this area could open the way toward 4,151–4,117 near the MA200.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4321
4362
4406
Support:
4279
4227
4192
4151
4117
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown continues to pressure risk sentiment, with political negotiations showing little progress. Several key data releases this week, including PMI and durable goods orders, remain uncertain due to the data blackout, adding to market caution.
Gold h1Gold Update (H1 Timeframe):
Gold formed an FVG on the H1 chart along with a CRT. After that, an Order Block was created, and the same FVG turned into an Inversion FVG. Once the market retests the IFVG or the Order Block, we’ll be looking for a buy setup with confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Bullish Bias Toward $4,400+🌍 Fundamental Overview
Gold is trading around $4,135–$4,155/oz, staying firm despite mild USD recovery.
Friday’s U.S. data (Michigan Consumer Sentiment, inflation expectations) came slightly higher, but Fed cut expectations remain unchanged — markets still price 99% chance of a rate cut in October.
Geopolitical backdrop remains tense — Middle East concerns, ongoing U.S.–China trade friction, and soft global growth outlook keep gold demand resilient.
ETF inflows show renewed interest; central banks (China, Turkey, India) continue accumulating.
Short-term: Profit-taking possible early this week; medium-term trend remains bullish toward $4,300+.
📊 Technical Overview
Current Price Range: $4,135 – $4,155
Support Zones:
$4,120 (minor intraday support)
$4,080 (major short-term floor)
$4,050 (psychological & structural support)
Resistance Levels:
$4,180
$4,200 (key breakout zone)
$4,300 (next major upside target)
Trend: Bullish consolidation — healthy sideways price action above $4,100 zone.
RSI (H4): Resetting from overbought, suggesting space for renewed upside momentum.
🎯 Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Buy Dip Setup
Entry: $4,090–$4,120
SL: below $4,050
TP: $4,180 → $4,220
2️⃣ Breakout Buy
Entry: above $4,180 (confirmed 1H close)
SL: below $4,150
TP: $4,250 → $4,300
3️⃣ Short Scalp (Counter-trend)
Entry: $4,180–$4,200 (if rejection appears)
SL: above $4,220
TP: $4,120 → $4,080
📌 Bias: Bullish above $4,080 — watch for early-week volatility and liquidity traps.
Beyond the Chart - GOLD Market Technicals & Fundamentals🟡 XAUUSD Daily OG FlowMaster Zones
Gold is testing the key 3,930-3,910 demand region after rejecting the 4,250 distribution zone. The market is in a mid-term correction phase within a broader bullish structure.
🔴 Short-Term
If 3,910 breaks, expect a continuation toward 3,750 → 3,500 — next OG accumulation layers where liquidity may build again.
🟢 Mid-Term
Holding above 3,900 could trigger a bounce toward 4,100–4,250 (previous imbalance zone) before the next decision phase.
⚙️ Accumulation / Distribution Map
Distribution: 4,250–4,300
Current Reaction: 3,910
Next Demand Pools: 3,750 → 3,500
📰 Market Data Watch
Upcoming U.S. inflation, bond yields, and Fed tone can sharply impact gold’s volatility and decide if the correction extends or reverses.
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VU8F2026 EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:VV6X2025 EURONEXT:V26X2025 EURONEXT:NS8Z2025 EURONEXT:YG8F2026 Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour
Current Price: 4,253.975
Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal)
📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines)
Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels.
The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone)
Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance.
Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence.
3. Structure Retest and Potential Move
After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance).
The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern.
4. Target Zone
The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support.
This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions.
📊 Summary of Key Levels
Zone Type Range / Level
4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone
4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area
3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone
⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical)
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance)
Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better
🧭 Conclusion
The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior.
Gold bulls are powerless to recover rebound continues to bearishThis week, global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with real interest rates. Rate cuts typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thus supporting prices. In the current environment of rising risk appetite, even if the Fed cuts rates as expected, gold's safe-haven appeal may be offset by trade optimism.
Yesterday, gold prices broke through the psychologically important 4,000 level as expected, and we saw significant returns on both short positions. After consolidating below the 4,160 high, gold is poised to break lower, generally in line with expectations. The daily candlestick pattern formed a doji candlestick pattern, followed by a mid-sized bearish candlestick pattern that engulfed the lower level, continuing its downward trend. The daily and weekly corrections are still ongoing. The daily chart finally closed at 3982, with a long black candlestick with a long upper shadow. Today's market continues to short. Gold's resistance level is currently moving downwards. The four-hour chart is entirely filled with long black candlesticks. Any rebound is easily swallowed by these large black candlesticks. These large black candlestick bodies demonstrate the strength of the bears, breaking through all support levels. The only lower support level is around 3950. If this breaks down, bears will target around 3800. Therefore, we will continue to focus on long positions, clearly at yesterday's support point, around 4040.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is showing clear bearish signals on the one-hour chart. The moving averages are showing a bearish alignment, with the short-term moving averages pushing downward, indicating that short-term bears have the upper hand. Furthermore, the MACD indicator's death cross continues to diverge, and the growing green momentum bar further confirms the downward price trend. During the Asian session, watch for a rebound in gold prices to the 4035-4040 range. A small position can be entered into a short position with a stop-loss above 4050 to protect against losses from a sudden price reversal. Target prices can initially target the 4000 mark, with further downside potential targeting the 3980-3950 range.
GOLD Bull Market Over?Gold has fallen yet again today. Busting through some major technical support.
Gold is falling for 3 main reasons;
1. Trump / XI (USA vs China) meeting is expecting positive negotiations.
2. Mega Cap Tech Earnings: markets love to chase tech higher.
3. FOMC rate cut expectations.
We believe gold had a strong chance at retesting the daily 200 MA.
Picked up some GLD calls today.
XAUUSD/GOLD SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 27.10.25Pattern Context
There’s a descending triangle or M-pattern that has been broken to the downside.
Labels such as “BREAKED M PATTERN NECKLINE HERE” and “BREAKED TRIANGLE PATTERN” indicate bearish structure.
Trade Setup
The chart projects a sell limit order in the region around 4,062–4,083 (highlighted red zone).
Stop loss is above the recent high — around 4,083.185.
Entry appears to be at the retest zone near 4,062.189 (“BREAKER ZONE RETEST & SELL”).
The target (take-profit area) points toward temporary support at approximately 4,031.150, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Trend Lines
A broken uptrend line and triangle breakout support the short bias.
The blue uptrend line and black triangle structure confirm the confluence zone where the retest and rejection may occur.
Summary of Bias
Direction: Bearish (Sell setup).
Confirmation: Triangle & M-pattern breakdown, retest expected.
Risk Management: Stop above 4,083; target near 4,031 (risk-reward ratio ≈ 1:2 depending on entry).
XAUUSD Gold testing support, correction possibleAfter a strong rally, gold entered a correction phase. Price broke the ascending channel and now trades around 4030–4050. The chart structure suggests a potential retest near 4070–4090 before continuation to 3960 (Target 1) and 3856 (Target 2).
CCI confirms weak buying momentum and volume profile shows high liquidity zones above current price — favoring a pullback.
Investors are taking profits after gold’s rally amid softer Fed outlook and possible dollar rebound. While long-term fundamentals stay bullish, short-term correction looks likely.
Sell setup from 4070–4090 zone with targets 3960 and 3856, stop 4110.
Valid while price remains below 4110.
Gold?
Hi,
Although we have emotional/ perception that gold has value etc2. News solidify these claims.
But Double Top = represents SELL (theoretically, technically charts)
Soooo..
I changed view to. bearish till proven otherwise (price breaks)
Now: I see as a new formation of down flag.
Will be proven.. when breaks 4066.
I'm meddling.. sell now. with SLs
(finding sell setups)
All the best
Not a guru
Not a guru
SIGNAL' BUY ASSET GOLD[XAUUSD]Bullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry:
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
Analysis and trading position for gold
Hello traders
The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now
The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.






















