Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
Gold Bulls Reload: Technical Confirm, Fundamentals SupportHello traders,
Gold recently dipped in a minor correction, retracing toward its rising trendline support, a level that has historically provided strong reactions. After a liquidity sweep below Monday’s low and a confirmed break in market structure, I see potential for another bullish leg developing from here.
My Trading Plan:
With a break in market structure already in play, I’ll be looking for longs in the 3640–3646 zone.
First target: previous day’s high at 3635.67.
On the bigger picture, I still expect Gold to test new record highs, so extending beyond yesterday’s high looks reasonable.
Invalidation: a clean 1H candle close below 3620.
Why Fundamentals Support the Bulls:
Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets are pricing a 92% chance of a 25 bp rate cut in September, as weak job data and rising unemployment (4.3%) signal a slowing economy.
Inflation Risks: Even with slowing growth, “sticky” inflation, driven in part by tariffs, remains above the Fed’s target, keeping real yields pressured. This supports gold as an inflation hedge.
Political Pressure: Tensions around Fed independence, with political criticism of Chair Powell, are adding safe-haven demand.
Geopolitics: Escalations in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, plus central bank gold buying (especially from BRICS+), continue to underpin long-term bullish flows.
With both technical signals and macro forces aligned, gold’s case for another upside push looks solid.
What’s your take on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments. If this idea adds value, please show your support with a boost.
XAU/USD: Expectations Triggered For New ATH At 3645 ?The chart shows that **Gold is currently in a strong upward (bullish) trend**. After a long period of sideways movement (a consolidation phase), the price finally **broke out above a key resistance zone**—this breakout is what we call an "order break." This event signaled the beginning of a new upward trend.
Once the breakout happened, a **long trade (buy entry)** was taken. The entry was made in a safe zone after confirming that the breakout was valid. The initial **target was reached successfully**, indicating a well-planned trade.
Since then, the price has been **moving steadily higher within a rising channel**, supported by three short-term support levels (labeled S1, S2, and S3). These support zones are acting as strong areas where buyers are stepping in to keep pushing the price up.
In the most recent move, Gold broke out above the top of this rising channel, suggesting a **continuation of the bullish momentum**. The chart indicates a new potential target around **$3,645.620**, which could lead to the formation of a **new all-time high (ATH)** if the trend continues.
Additionally, several support levels have now **combined to form a strong base** under the current price, adding further confidence that the upward trend could remain intact.
Summary in Simple Terms:
Gold is in a healthy uptrend.
The breakout was clean, the entry was smart, and the price is rising steadily.
As long as Gold stays above the support areas, it has a strong chance of reaching the next target at $3,645.620 — possibly setting a new record high.
Gold near record highs on rate cut expectationsGold near record highs on rate cut expectations
Gold hovers close to $3,620, testing the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent rejection from this level signals a potential short-term pullback.
Soft U.S. labor data—sluggish job growth and the highest unemployment rate since 2021—has strengthened market bets on a 92% probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut this month. Additionally, tariff exemptions on gold and concerns over Fed independence continue to fuel safe-haven demand.
If the Fed confirms a cut, the U.S. dollar could weaken further, reinforcing gold’s bullish momentum. Below $3,580, a deeper correction toward $3,550 becomes likely. A breakout above $3,620 could open the door to $3,640 and possibly new record highs.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook ( Sept 8th - 13th )Hello Traders,
🔥 Gold has powered into $3600 — right on track with our plan. If you didn’t ride the full wave, no worries — price action always gifts new entries and exits.
Now comes the big question: Do we run straight to $3700, or pull back toward $3550 first?
This week’s spotlight: Inflation data (PPI & CPI).
Hot prints → stronger USD → possible gold correction
Soft prints → weaker USD → fuel for further upside
Technical : Weekly RSI >70 → momentum is strong, but conditions are stretched, making retracements possible.
Macro: Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven demand keep the bigger bullish picture intact.
👉 Our stance: Still bullish, with targets now extended to $3745. Here is the breakdown :
Weekly Price Map & Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
Base Case: Gold consolidates around $3,600, building on the breakout.
Upside Target: Move toward $3,689–3,700 by week’s end, aligned with algorithmic and institutional forecasts.
Extended Target: If momentum accelerates, institutional optics suggest extension toward $4,000+.
Sideways / Neutral
Expect range-bound trading between $3,600–3,650 early in the week. This gives way to breakout moves in response to macro cues (employment data, Fed tone).
Bearish Risk
Though unlikely given current momentum, a hawkish Fed or strong U.S. data could stall the trend. In that scenario, look for pullback levels near $3,550–3,570 as support.
🔑 Key Levels
Support (demand zones):
3550–3530 → Bulls’ lifeline (EMA support).
3525–3480 → Strong base if deeper retrace.
3375–3325 → Mid-range defence, breakout base.
Resistance (supply zones):
3620–3640 → First ceiling.
3665–3700 → Major supply cluster.
3810–3860 → Extended bullish target if CPI comes soft.
📌 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Path
Hold above 3550 → push toward 3620–3665.
Break & hold above 3700 → unlocks 3810–3860.
🔴 Bearish Path
Rejection at 3620/3665 → correction into 3550–3520.
Hot CPI/PPI → break below 3525 → opens 3375–3325.
✅ Action Plan
Above 3550 = bullish continuation bias.
Below 3525 = correction bias.
Gold - A+ Trade Setup🔎 Weekly View (Macro Bias)
Trend: Strong bullish trend intact with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirming upward continuation.
Resistance: Price has cleared a prior major resistance near 3,400 and is pushing higher.
Implication: Weekly bias remains bullish unless we see a sharp rejection back under 3,400 – 3,450 demand.
📉 Daily View (Intermediate Bias)
Trend: Clear bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: Broken at 3,100, now acting as historical support.
Support Zone: Fresh daily demand sits around 3,450 – 3,500.
Implication: As long as daily demand holds, expectation is for continuation into 3,600+.
⏱ 8H View (Execution Frame)
Structure: Bullish channel still intact. Price broke above resistance and is holding well above 3,560–3,570 demand.
Scenario: Possible retest of the 3,560 – 3,570 zone (aligned with bullish trendline) before continuation upward.
Upside Target: 3,600 – 3,620 in the near-term.
⏱ 30M View (Fine-Tuned Entry)
Recent Action: Price rallied sharply after clearing resistance and is now consolidating.
Fib Level: The 71% retracement aligns with prior breakout structure near 3,570, offering a strong intraday buy zone.
Plan: Intraday longs on retests into 3,570 – 3,580 with continuation toward 3,600 – 3,610.
✅ Trade Outlook
Bias: Bullish on all timeframes.
Setup:
Buy retracements into 3,570 – 3,580 (30M / 8H demand).
Hold for continuation into 3,600 – 3,620 near-term.
Invalidation: Clean break below 3,550 (trendline + demand zone) would suggest a deeper pullback toward 3,450 – 3,500.
If gold stays above 3,585 and breaks 3,680, it could target 3,70 External News Factors
Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, which continues to drive safe-haven inflows.
Additionally, geopolitical tensions (Russia–Ukraine, Middle East) and concerns over the U.S. debt crisis (interest payments surpassing $1.1 trillion, fiscal deficit nearing $2 trillion) further strengthen gold’s bullish momentum.
The U.S. dollar is showing slight weakness, adding more fuel to gold’s upside.
Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend, clearly shown by the steep rally from the support area around ~3,420 USD.
Price has already broken through several key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now testing the upper resistance zone (~3,650 – 3,680 USD).
Key Support and Resistance
Main Resistance: 3,650 – 3,681 USD (red zone on the chart). This is a strong supply zone where price is consolidating.
Nearest Support: Around 3,585 – 3,517 USD (Fibo 0.786 and 0.618 levels).
Major Support: 3,420 USD (aligned with Fibo 0.382 and the previous consolidation area marked “SUPPORT”).
Price Pattern
Within the resistance zone, price is showing signs of forming a triangle/sideways accumulation pattern.
A breakout to the upside could confirm a continuation pattern (trend continuation).
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (preferred): If gold holds above 3,585 and breaks through 3,680, the next target would be the psychological level of 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
Bearish/Correction Scenario: If price fails to hold 3,585, it could retrace deeper to 3,517 or even 3,420 before buyers step in again.
👉 In summary: The main trend remains bullish. Gold needs to consolidate and decisively break above 3,680 to aim for 3,700+. If it fails, a pullback towards 3,585 – 3,517 is likely before another buying opportunity.
Stay bullish, stick to the direction.Gold prices did not continue to rise but instead fluctuated at high levels. Such fluctuations do not mean a short-term peak; only a drop back below $3,600 would warrant considering short-term short positions. The high-level consolidation on the 1-hour chart has not broken down, and after such a substantial rally, a minor short-term pullback is perfectly normal—there's no need for excessive concern. What's more important is to grasp the overall trend; pullbacks are just opportunities to get on board at a better price.
The market is currently focused on next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which will be the real game-changing news. Therefore, holding the $3,600 level is crucial. As long as this level remains unbroken, the bullish momentum will continue to stay strong.
I will closely track and analyze the market daily. If you're losing direction in this kind of market, feel free to follow me or leave me a message.
GOLD PREMIUM SETUP CHECKOUT NOW📉 GOLD TRADE SETUP – CHECK NOW
🔑 Potential Entry Zone: 3640 – 3630
❌ Stop Loss (Invalidation Level): 3620
🎯 Target Levels:
✔️ TP1 – 3680
✔️ TP2 – 3690
✔️ TP3 – 3700
💡 This is my personal market outlook based on chart structure & price action. Always apply proper risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content is shared for educational and informational purposes only.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 10thGold Technical Analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3650/3700, support: 3539
Four-hour chart resistance: 3680, support: 3612/3589
One-hour chart resistance: 3650, support: 3633
Gold News Analysis: Gold prices experienced a roller-coaster ride on Tuesday, volatile gains to new all-time highs before retracing gains. During the Asia-Europe session, gold prices fluctuated between 3630 and 3660. During the New York session, gold prices briefly reached a new all-time high of 3674 before falling back below 3630, ultimately closing at 3626. Despite the revised employment data released by the US Department of Labor falling short of market expectations, gold bulls took advantage of the opportunity to take profits. The rebound of the US dollar index from a near seven-week low and US Treasury yields from a near five-month low also gave gold bulls pause. Furthermore, the continued rise of US stocks to new all-time highs has slightly weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Investors are currently focused on the upcoming US inflation data this week, leading to increased wait-and-see sentiment.
Gold prices plunged sharply yesterday. Whether it's peaking or correcting to continue rising, the continuity of the bearish trend is crucial. Currently, we believe it will continue to rise after the correction. Therefore, the key to bullish and bearish trading is the 3589 area. A break below it would signal a market peak, at least on the daily chart.
Gold Trading Recommendations: Based on the current 4-hour analysis, short-term support is currently focused on the 3612-3589 range. The short-term bullish trend line has moved up to around 3589, and we should continue to follow the bullish trend from this level. Monitor support reactions at various levels and buy on dips.
Buy: near 3633
Buy: near 3612
Buy: near 3589
correction Considering the price behavior in the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. If the price crosses the resistance range, the continuation of the upward trend is likely.
Otherwise, the continuation of the corrective trend to the specified support levels is possible.
Gold prices are expected to fluctuate significantly: 3660-3600.Gold prices are expected to fluctuate significantly: 3660-3600.
Gold bulls clearly took advantage of today's positive news to take profits, causing the price to drop sharply by nearly $50.
Gold prices are likely to fluctuate significantly in the coming days.
Intraday Strategy:
SELL: 3645-3650
SL: 3660
TP: 3635-3628-3615-3600
The above strategy is suitable for intraday trading. Contrarian short selling depends on market sentiment, which in turn determines the intraday trend of gold prices.
When short selling, it is important to remain vigilant and exit as soon as profits are seen.
As shown in Figure 2h:
Gold's key support area is around 3628-3630.
The key turning point for gold prices is in the 3580-3600 range.
The market is likely to continue to fluctuate widely over the next day, with a high probability of repeated fluctuations and momentum accumulation, making trading more difficult. I believe that over the next few days, we should focus on key support and resistance levels to buy low and sell high.
Gold prices may struggle to reach 3670+ in the short term.
The likely range of fluctuation is 3600-3660.
A wide range of fluctuations is the most reasonable approach to future gold price trends.
GOLD: Bulls Continue To Bully Their Way ThroughI'm looking for a dip to buy...
(H4)
Gold has extended higher and is now trading firmly inside the 3630–3645 area.
Structure remains bullish, but price is reaching into premium levels so we could get a pull back.
Buyside liquidity sits around 3650
(H1)
A strong push from 3585 to 3634 left some imbalance behind:
3610–3618 FVG (fresh demand)
3588–3595 (deeper OB if price pulls back more aggressively)
(M15)
Bullish but candles at 3634 are showing some exhaustion.
Liquidity has been swept at 3630–3635, so we may see a correction to fill imbalances before continuation.
As long as price holds above 3610, bulls are still in control.