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GOLDMINICFD trade ideas

Will gold prices continue to fall on September 10th? Core view: Gold hit a record high driven by strong expectations of interest rate cuts, and the overall technical outlook showed a strong bullish pattern. The future market trend will be highly dependent on the key data to be released soon (non-farm payroll revisions, CPI, PPI), and "buy on dips" is the core strategy. I. Trend Analysis 1. News Analysis: Rate Cut Expectations Dominate the Market Policy Expectations: Gold's record high reflects a shift in market expectations from a "25 basis point" rate cut to a "50 basis point" rate cut. This week's CPI and PPI inflation data will be the next key test: Meltable inflation will reinforce expectations of a significant rate cut, boosting gold prices. Inflation exceeding expectations will only create short-term pressure and will hardly alter the overall bullish outlook. Market sentiment: Before the data was released, market sentiment was "cautiously optimistic" and bulls did not withdraw on a large scale. Gold's safe-haven properties provided it with high support. 2. Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Solid Weekly: A large bullish candlestick broke through the key psychological level of $3,600, confirming medium-term strength. There are two possible scenarios for the market going forward: Directly accelerating upward (closing with another large bullish candle this week). It rose and then fell back to consolidate (closed with a doji), and then attacked again after accumulating strength. Conclusion: Any pullback presents a potential buying opportunity on the dip. Daily: Monday's positive close confirms the continuation of the uptrend. The 5-day moving average (~3,600) provides core dynamic support. Market momentum is strong, and a deeper decline is unlikely. 4-Hourly: Consolidation at high levels followed by a strong upward move. Key short-term support lies at $3,620. The candlestick chart is steadily rising along the moving average system, with no signs of a peak. The upward trend is expected to continue after a technical correction. Upper Target: $3,650 → $3,680 → $3,700. II. Trading Strategy Key Strategy: Invest primarily on dips to lower levels, supplemented by short positions on rebounds to higher levels. Key Levels: Resistance: $3665-3675 Support: $3625-3615 Trading Recommendations: Long Strategy (Primary): Wait for gold prices to stabilize at the 3625-3615 support level, then place long orders in batches with stop-loss orders below 3600. Targets are 3650, 3670, and above. Short Strategy (Secondary): If gold prices rapidly rise to the strong resistance level of 3665-3675 and show clear signs of resistance (such as upper shadows or bearish candlestick patterns), try shorting with a small position, entering and exiting quickly. Set a stop-loss order above 3680, with a target of 3640-3630. Risk Warning: This week's key data (non-farm payroll revisions, CPI, and PPI) will trigger significant market volatility. Please ensure you manage your positions and set strict stop-loss orders. Pay close attention to the real-time changes in market expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, which is the most core factor driving gold prices at present.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Compas
CURRENT CONTEXT📌 CURRENT CONTEXT - Gold price is now moving around 3640–3650, after bouncing strongly from the Demand Zone 3620–3625. - The uptrend line is still intact, showing that the Higher High – Higher Low structure continues. - Volume Profile shows VAH 3635 and POC 3629 still provide support below, while the Supply Zone 3668–3670 is the key resistance target. 🎯 TRADING SCENARIOS (FOLLOWING CURRENT PRICE) 🔹 SCENARIO 1 – BUY RETEST Entry: 3635–3637 (previous VAH + trendline + volume support) SL: Below 3620 TP: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone) Conditions: Price pulls back slightly but does not break the trendline Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar on M15/M30 at VAH zone Low volume on pullback, strong volume when price bounces 🟢 This is a trend-following scenario, safer according to System X. 🔹 SCENARIO 2 – BUY BREAKOUT Entry: When H1 candle closes above 3655–3658 with strong breakout volume SL: Below breakout candle TP: 3670–3675 Conditions: Breaks out of the 3645–3655 consolidation zone Breakout confirmed by high volume (large candle, strong volume) 🟢 For momentum traders, but requires clear confirmation. 🔹 SCENARIO 3 – SELL REACTION (LIMIT AT SUPPLY) Entry: 3668–3670 (Supply Zone) SL: Above 3675 TP: 3635–3638 Conditions: Price quickly touches supply zone without strong breakout volume Reversal signal appears (Bearish Pin Bar / Engulfing on M15/H1) RSI overbought / short-term divergence 🔴 A reaction scenario, higher risk, SL must be tight. 🔹 SCENARIO 4 – SELL ON TRENDLINE BREAK Entry: When price breaks 3620 + uptrend line SL: Above 3630 TP: 3590 – 3570 Conditions: Break of uptrend line + H1 candle closes below support Strong selling volume pushing down Clear reversal momentum 🔴 Short-term trend reversal scenario, volume needs to be monitored carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones: >> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570 >> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700 >>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN >>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Good luck guys!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by anfibo_trading
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) soared past $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), hitting a new all-time high as weak US jobs data cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut next week. With a 38% YTD surge following a 27% rally in 2024, gold’s unstoppable—driven by a weak USD, central bank buying, easing policies, and global uncertainty. Let’s break down today’s (09/09/2025) market and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Keeps Charging? 🌟 Historic Surge: Weak US jobs data (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates make non-yielding gold shine! 📈 Expert Insight: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals predicts gold could hit $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with short pullbacks as buying opportunities. Ongoing labor market weakness and Fed easing into 2026 provide solid support. Global Drivers: China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to 10 months in August. A falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near a 5-month low boost gold’s allure. Key Data Ahead: Watch US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for more Fed policy clues. Geopolitical and tariff tensions further fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal. Gold’s red-hot—can it conquer new highs? Technical Analysis: Breakout Mode with Traps—Prioritize BUY! 📉 Gold’s relentless rally smashed through 3600, showing no signs of slowing. Keep an eye on the Fibo 2.618 level at 3685 as a potential pause point. Strong bullish momentum favors BUY setups, but beware of FVG traps from rapid surges. Focus on 3641: a break below could trigger a pullback to 3600, while holding above keeps bulls in charge, targeting 3685. Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690 Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675 SL: 3679 TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655 Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686 SL: 3694 TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639 SL: 3635 TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659 Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603 SL: 3595 TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open Gold’s in breakout territory, but traps are lurking—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could charge to 3685. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700?Is the gold price still rising, targeting 3700? As shown in Figure 2h, 1: The orange rising channel becomes the primary rising channel. 2: The white triangle becomes the breakout triangle of the previous uptrend. Based on these two technical patterns, we draw the following conclusions: Current trend support level: 3600 Current key support level: 3628 Current uptrend targets: 3660-3680-3700 3: Trading strategy: As long as the gold price is above $3628, enter a low-cost long position with a stop-loss at $3625. As long as the gold price is above $3600, the bullish trend remains the primary trend, and there is no possibility of a reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
triangle pattern1. Ascending Triangle (Bullish) • Flat resistance on top (buyers testing the same level repeatedly). • Rising support trendline (higher lows). • Usually breaks upward. • Entry: Buy when price breaks above resistance. 2. Descending Triangle (Bearish) • Flat support at the bottom (sellers holding one level). • Falling resistance trendline (lower highs). • Usually breaks downward. • Entry: Sell when price breaks below support. 3. Symmetrical Triangle (Neutral → Continuation) • Both trendlines converge (lower highs & higher lows). • Breakout can be in any direction, but usually follows the prior trend. • Entry: Trade in breakout direction with volume
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Umairsajjad
Gold on upswingTechnical analysis: As discussed on my previous commentary about fragile DX standard (right now it's few percents up) Gold is already giving new signs of Buying continuation (however it is important to keep Bullish underlying Medium-term trend on top of the importance list as well). Current Buying spike on Gold came as no surprise however Gold does not represent anymore (as it has been) sole hedge asset against Inflation, as current Trading week is projected to be Bearish for DX due NFP debacle (still without firm recovery and near Higher Low’s extension), hence Bullish and should be adding Buying pressure on Hourly 4 chart’s on Gold. Technically, I am certain also that Gold should Price in a Top here (temporary or not) since it is critically Overbought / if Support zone near Higher Low’s break and continuation of Technical Bearish perspective (once the Fundamental pressure is Priced in and digested by market where Price-action is expected to engage the correction). Taking all aspects in consideration and ignoring Technical necessity for a correction, I expect aggressive uptrend extension towards #3,700.80 psychological benchmark posing as an Higher High’s extension as well, if #3,652.80 - #3,662.80 Resistance zone gives away. If Support zone breaks however (#3,622.80 - #3,627.80), expect contact with #3,600.80 benchmark. My position: I am constantly using my dip Buying strategy and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points (excellent Profits by now) Buying Gold from #3,630.80 many times throughout yesterday's session. #3,645.80 is keeping Gold away from touching #3,652.80 benchmark.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Will gold prices continue to rise on September 8th? I. Fundamental Analysis The release of the US non-farm payroll data for August, released on Friday (September 5th), caused a significant market turmoil and provided strong fundamental momentum for gold's rise. The data was extremely weak: only 22,000 new non-farm payrolls were added, far below the expected 75,000. More notably, the June data was significantly revised downward to -13,000, indicating that the labor market's weakness is not a fluke but rather a trend of stalling. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, further confirming that the momentum of the US economy is slowing down. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have sharply increased: Such weak data has significantly strengthened market bets on a Fed rate cut. Currently, the market generally believes a September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut approaching 100%, and even discussions of a 50 basis point cut are emerging. This strong expectation of easing is the core driver of gold prices. Potential Risks and Uncertainties: While the prospect of a rate cut is positive, investors should remain vigilant to potential uncertainties. Inflationary pressures have not yet been fully overcome. If the CPI data released next week unexpectedly rises, it could constrain the Fed's easing efforts. Furthermore, the outlook for the US election and related tariff rhetoric could create new inflationary uncertainties, limiting gold's short-term upside potential. Fundamental Conclusion: The non-farm payroll data has solidified strong market expectations for a rate cut, creating an overall environment that is extremely bullish for gold. Any weak or dovish economic data would boost gold prices, while an unexpected rebound in inflation could trigger short-term volatility. II. Technical Analysis Trend Positioning: Gold is currently in a strong, unilateral upward trend, with the overall technical structure intact and targeting all-time highs. Key Support (Long-Term Support): The 5-day moving average has now moved up to the 3545-3550 area. This is the first key support level maintaining the extremely strong short-term trend. As long as gold prices close above this moving average, the upward trend will remain intact. Even if there is a false move to break down this position during the trading session (to lure a short), there is no need to panic as long as the price can be recovered in the end. 4-Hour Bollinger Band Middle Line: Currently moving up to around 3555. This level is the watershed between short-term bullish and bearish strength. If the middle line holds, prices will maintain a relatively strong upward trend. A break below it could trigger a deeper correction, but this will provide a better opportunity to "get on board" for further gains. Key Resistance: The upper short-term target resistance level is 3600-3610, a key area to overcome in the near term. A break above will open up further upside potential. Technical Conclusion: The technical pattern resonates with the fundamentals, indicating a clear bullish trend. Operationally, the key strategy should be to follow the trend, focusing on looking for opportunities to buy at low levels. III. Trading Strategy for Next Week Key Strategy: Focus on buying on dips to lows, and be cautious about rallies to higher levels. Long Strategy (Main Strategy): Ideal Long Range: 3560-3570. If gold prices pull back into this range and show signs of stabilization (such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candlestick on the 4-hour chart), this could be considered a good dip-buying opportunity. Aggressive long position: around 3555 (4-hour middle candlestick). As long as this support holds, it can be considered an entry point during a strong rally. Stop-loss: Recommended stop-loss: Below key support, around 3540. Targets: First target: 3600; second target: 3610 or above. Short strategy (secondary strategy): Only when gold prices first rebound to the strong resistance zone of 3600-3610 and show clear signs of resistance (such as a long upper shadow or bearish engulfing candlestick), consider a short-term short position with a small position, entering and exiting quickly to capitalize on a technical pullback. Remember: Shorting against the trend is risky, so strictly control your position size and stop-loss (place the stop-loss above 3615). The core strategy remains to go long with the trend. Risk Warning: Pay close attention to next week's US CPI data, as its results could trigger a market repricing of the extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts, causing significant gold price fluctuations. Investors are advised to manage their positions prudently and exercise effective risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to Watch |08/09/25Gold is trading around $3,612, extending higher after a clean break above the $3,594 resistance, now turned short-term support. If bulls sustain pressure above $3,594, upside targets open toward $3,617 a clean hold above could open $3,630, followed by $3,644. Failure to hold above $3,594 could invite a retest of the $3,564 pullback zone, where the 50MA aligns, making it a key decision area. A deeper correction would expose $3,532 → $3,501 (Support Zone), which is critical to maintain the bullish structure. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,617 $3,630 $3,644 Support: $3,594 $3,564 $3,532 $3,501 $3,471 🔎Fundamental Focus – Week Ahead This week is packed with key U.S. inflation data: Wednesday: Core PPI & PPI Thursday: Core CPI, CPI y/y, and Jobless Claims Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations ⚠️ Note: Expect heightened volatility midweek into Friday, especially around CPI and inflation expectations. The daily structure remains strongly bullish, with price trending well above key moving averages. However, after such a steep rally, the risk of a pullback or profit-taking phase is elevated. Short-term dips into support zones are likely to attract buyers as long as gold holds above $3,500.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Market Context🔹 Market Context - H1 structure remains Higher High – Higher Low - Price has just broken above 3560 (previous VAH) - Now accumulating above 3575–3585, potentially forming a short-term distribution zone - High chance of a short pullback to support zone before continuing the bullish trend 📌 Scenario 1: SHORT at 3585–3590 (short-term reaction only) 🔹 Conditions: - Price reacts at 3585–3590 - Bearish engulfing or pin bar on M15 - Weak breakout volume or RSI divergence 🔹 Logic: - Retest of recent swing high → profit-taking likely - This is short-term VAH on volume profile 🎯 Entry: 3585–3590 🎯 Target: 3535 (POC) 🛡 SL: Above 3600 📌 Scenario 2: BUY pullback at POC 3530–3535 🔹 Conditions: - Price pulls back to 3530–3535 with bullish confirmation (M15 Engulfing) - signs of recovery 🔹 Logic: - This is the Point of Control → strong volume support - Fits “buy the dip” in bullish structure 🎯 Entry: 3530–3535 🎯 Target: 3580–3590 🛡 SL: Below 3520 📌 Scenario 3: BUY at LVN 3508–3515 (scalp idea) 🔹 Conditions: - Fast drop + strong candle reaction on M15 - Aligns with rising H1 trendline 🔹 Logic: - This is a Low Volume Node → high probability bounce zone - Strong support within bullish momentum 🎯 Entry: 3510–3515 🎯 Target: 3550 🛡 SL: Below 3500 📌 Scenario 4: BUY on breakout & retest 3590–3600 🔹 Conditions: - Strong breakout above 3590 with volume - Retest 3590–3595 with bullish candle 🔹 Logic: - Breakout of recent resistance → continuation signal - Aligned with bullish trend 🎯 Entry: 3590–3595 (on retest) 🎯 Target: 3620 🛡 SL: Below 3580
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
XAUUSD IDEATrade Plan – Bullish Setup on 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) Price is approaching a key 1-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3573.39. The strategy is to wait for confirmation before entering long. ✅ Entry Criteria: Wait for a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 3M or 5M timeframe. Confirmation requires a candle body close above the CHoCH level. After confirmation, anticipate a retest of the 3M/5M CHoCH or FVG zone as an optimal entry point. 🎯 Targets: Primary Target (TP1): 3620 (partial take-profit) Final Target (TP2): 3650 🛡️ Stop Loss Placement: Conservative SL: Below the 1H FVG low (3573.39) Aggressive SL: Below the most recent 3M/5M swing low formed before CHoCH 📌 Key Levels: 1H Bullish FVG: 3573.39 Target Zone: 3620 3650 ⚖️ Risk Management & Confluence: Ensure position size fits your risk parameters ( 1–2% of account). Confirm alignment with higher timeframe bullish structure before execution.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FOREXRSMV
Best Trend-Following Price Model For Gold XAUUSD Trading In this article, I will show you a powerful chart setup for profitable trend following trading Gold. I will break down how it works with examples. Here is how this price model looks: It is based on 5 important conditions that should be strictly met. 1 - Gold should trade in a global bullish trend. The price should consistently update Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HL. 2 - Higher Lows should respect a rising trend line, acting as a support. It should be respected by at least 3 consequent bullish movements from that. 3 - After a formation of a high above a trend line, the price should start a correctional movement in a minor trend in a bullish flag pattern. It can be a horizontal, parallel or expanding channel. 4 - Correcting, Gold should test a major rising trend line, being within a flag. 5 - A bullish movement should initiate after a trend line test and the price should break and close above a resistance line of a flag. When all these 5 conditions are met, we can expect a bullish movement on Gold at least to a level of a current high from where a correction started. A broken resistance line of a flag and a major rising trend line will compose a safe zone to buy Gold from. The best time frame for this model will be a daily. Let's study a real example of such a price model on Gold chart on a daily. Examine a price chart of Gold on a daily time frame above. All 5 conditions are met, and we can anticipate a rise to the underlined red resistance. Our buy zone will be based on a broken resistance of the flag and a major rising trend line. You can see that our goal was successfully reached. Here is the proof - This price model will help you to predict strong bullish waves , trading Gold. A simple combination of a trend analysis and a price action are the 2 basic components that you need to study to identify that properly. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
6
Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup — VWAP SMC + Liquidity Sweep ConfirmatiOn the 1H chart of Gold (XAUUSD), price has swept liquidity below recent lows (ABS & BT confirmation), then reclaimed Weekly VWAP support with strong bullish momentum. The AlcoTrade Omega — VWAP SMC with Liquidity Sweeps indicator shows: HTF Bias: LONG Score above threshold (Score L 2.0 vs Thr 1.3) Clear absorption and BigTrades aligning with VWAP band support Trade Idea: Entry: After bullish reclaim of VWAP band Stop Loss: Below recent swing low / VWAP band support Target: Previous highs and Weekly VAH Risk-to-Reward ratio is favorable (>1.5). This aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles: liquidity grab → VWAP confirmation → trend continuation. Tags: #XAUUSD #Gold #VWAP #SMC #LiquiditySweep #OrderFlow #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy #VolumeAnalysis #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ALCOTRADE2
2