XAUUSD 1H Analysis(27th October 2025) ASIA/LondonBUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body candle close above 4096.72 level.
2) Retest the failed 1H Bearish FVG at 4096.72
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1H Bearish FVG at the 4088.59
2) Create 1 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 4000 level.
Trade smart, Trade safe guys. Execute trades only with these confirmations!!
Trade ideas
10.24 US market technical analysis!!!Gold hourly level: It stabilized and rebounded at 4105 overnight, and fell again in Asian session today, only rebounded from a double bottom at 4105 to 4144, and the price re-stood on the 66-day key moving average, because the Japanese and US sessions suppressed this moving average and fluctuated downward all the way; then after the positive line closed and broke through it, it was thought that if it held 4105, it could continue an upward trend. As a result, it consolidated for several hours and broke below 4100 in the afternoon, triggering a wave of decline, and hit the trend line of 4044 at the lowest, and got a certain rebound effect. After breaking through 4100, we will see the bullish trend, and the key support lies at 4150-4160.
ANOTHER BUY AND HOLD SUNDAY/MONDAY No matter where price closes today there is another buy and hold i will post any moment after tomorrow morning because once you understand the language of the market you analyze and predict before price comes to obey it if it's not changing direction, you don't wait for price to pass before analyzing.
OLD – Short-Term Technical OutlookChart Pattern: Expanding Triangle (Broadening Wedge)
Current Formation: Double Bottom (noted as “Double TOP formation” in label, but structurally it’s acting as a double bottom reversal)
Key Levels
Type Level Remarks
Support 3980–4000 Strong rebound zone; lower wedge boundary
Immediate Resistance 4160 First profit-booking zone
Secondary Resistance 4400 Pattern completion target
Stop-Loss (Swing) 3920 Below last swing low to protect reversal invalidation
Technical View
Momentum Bias: Bullish reversal underway
Chart Pattern: Expanding Triangle breakout setup
Confirmation Trigger: Break and close above 4100 with strong candle
Expected Move: 5–6% upside in short term
Conclusion
GOLD appears to have completed a corrective phase and is preparing for an impulsive upside breakout. A close above 4100 would confirm momentum strength toward 4160, and sustained buying could push prices to 4400.
Traders can look for confirmation candles with volume before entering long positions.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence or consult a registered financial advisor before making trading decisions.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal.
BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Latest Gold Price Analysis and Trading Strategy:
I. Fundamental Overview
Price Fluctuations
Gold experienced a significant correction, with spot gold falling 6.3% in a single day, marking its largest single-day drop since April 2013.
having rebounded after touching a low of $4005/oz during the Asian trading session.
Main Bearish Factors
Easing Geopolitical Tensions: European efforts to promote a ceasefire and peace talks, along with a thaw in China-US trade frictions, have reduced safe-haven demand.
Stronger US Dollar: The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to near 98.97, putting pressure on dollar-denominated gold.
Technical Selling Pressure: Profit-taking intensified after the significant year-to-date gains, triggering a correction from technically overbought conditions.
Adjusted Institutional Views: Citibank turned bearish in the short term, setting a 1-3 month target price of $4000/oz.
Long-Term Supporting Factors
The core bullish drivers remain intact: expectations of Fed rate cuts, continued gold purchases by global central banks (e.g., China increased holdings for the 11th consecutive month), de-dollarization trends, and global debt concerns. The medium to long-term fundamental backdrop remains solid.
II. Today's Trading Strategy
Core Approach
Market volatility is high, and a top pattern is emerging. Adopt a cautious stance, favoring or range-trading strategies. Avoid chasing rallies or selling into sharp declines.
Key Levels
Resistance: $4150-$4160/oz (Conservative Range), $4192/oz (Strong Resistance).
Support: $4080/oz (Initial Support), $4000-$4010/oz (Key Psychological & Technical Support, coinciding with the 100-day Moving Average).
Specific Trading Recommendations
Short Opportunities:
If the price rallies to the $4150-$4160 range, consider initiating light short positions.
Set stop-loss above $4170/oz.
Take profit targets: $4080/oz initially, with a further extension towards $4000/oz if broken.
Long Opportunities:
If the price pulls back and stabilizes in the $4000-$4010 area, consider light long positions.
Set stop-loss below $3980/oz.
Take profit targets: $4080/oz initially, with a further extension towards $4150/oz if broken.
Breakout Scenarios:
If the price breaks decisively above $4190/oz, pause short strategies and monitor for directional confirmation.
Risk Warnings
Key Focus Events: Speeches from Fed officials, US economic data, and the ECB President's speech could trigger significant volatility.
Position Management: Allocate no more than 20% of total capital to a single trade. Implement stop-loss orders strictly to manage risks associated with high volatility.
Summary: Short-term technicals lean bearish, but potential for rebounds exists near key support levels. Adopt flexible range-trading tactics, enforce strict risk control, and await new fundamental catalysts.
Gold buyers showing signs of activityHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept.
Daily Timeframe
We can see that volume is starting to appear from the buyer zone located at the base of the last buyer initiative.
Yesterday’s seller activity didn’t bring any visible result — the candle closed inside the previous one.
Still, this leaves hope that there is a buyer active in this area, and we may soon see a move from their side.
1-hour timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, a sideways range has formed.
The buyer initiative currently has a target at 4127 — let’s watch how this movement develops.
Inside this initiative, we now have a key seller bar - IC on the chart, which was absorbed by the buyer.
There has already been a first attempt of a rebound from this buyer zone, and it’s currently unfolding. We’ll see how it plays out.
If the first attempt fails, we can look for local long opportunities from the support level around 4065 or 4004.
Wishing you profitable trades!
XAU updatedQuick one here we need this 4h on close upside for NY!!!
Looking to get the low deleted then move off for close!…
If not let the next play and the time stamp to watch will be 10am NY!!!
Closures from that point forward will tell us what she wants to do. As I said! Keep close eyes on $4204 for that closure.
Safest bet on longs is to allow price back over $4281 then we can run out 300 and 318 which will put us on way to the bank! 🏦
🫶🏽
XAU/USD 21 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025.
I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has made a strong correction last week but found a liquidity pool at the lower levels, and we are seeing a local accumulation phase. Then a bullish breakout is likely with the price moving towards the higher liquidity levels again following a strong uptrend!
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Dip Strategy: Avoid Shorts, Wait for Long EntriesThe current pullback in gold is characterized by upper shadow formations on candles, indicating underlying strength rather than structural weakness. Previous lows may now hold as reliable support. The true test of support strength lies in the velocity and conviction of bounces – repeated retests of a level typically signal weakening support, whereas strong trends don't constantly revisit lower shadows.
Price action shows yesterday's overnight session broke above the European session high, confirming a consolidation pattern. Today's dip appears to be a technical correction following that overnight strength, increasing the probability of a recovery toward session highs.
Trading Approach:
If trading this range-bound strength scenario, consider light long exposure above 4072 with strict stops below this support zone. Recent gold volatility has intensified – $20 daily ranges are now common – requiring flexible position sizing and close attention to price reactions at key levels.
🟡 Gold Trading Plan
Enter long lightly at 4072
Add to longs on a dip to 4063-4058
Stop loss: 4050
Target: 4100-4120
XAU/USD: US/RUSSIA TENSION RISING – WHERE NEXT FOR GOLD?Gold (£4,140/oz) has bounced back after a recent sharp drop from its record high. This strength is due to fresh US sanctions on Russia stirring geopolitical risk, and anticipation ahead of the key US Inflation Data (due 24/10). Fundamentals are putting a solid floor under the yellow metal.
📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN
The Crucial Resistance: $4,180 - $4,186
Action: Look to SELL if price hits this level and shows clear signs of rejection. Only BUY for a continuation if it breaks decisively above $4,186 (The "Line in the Sand").
The 'Sweet Spot' Support: $4,085 - $4,091
Action: Bias BUY. This is the ideal area for a 'Buy The Dip' trade, supported by strong macro-fundamentals and recent buying interest.
The Safety Net (Stop-Loss): Below $4,057
If this level breaks, the pressure is on for a drop towards $4,000.
💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY
Gold is currently consolidating. Given the fierce geopolitical news flow, the best strategy is to look for long entries around that crucial support zone.
Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091
Stop Loss (SL): Tight, just below $4,057
Target (TP): Aim for a re-test of $4,180
Keep your eyes peeled! And remember to watch that US Inflation figure! 🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #Geopolitics #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradingStrategy #BuyTheDip #UKTraders
XAUUSD Case Study/Trend Continuation in Action📅 20 Oct 2025 | 15M Chart | Yogiraj Trading Academy
After a strong reversal confirmation, Gold has perfectly respected the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure on the 15-minute chart.
As highlighted earlier, the key breakout zones of 4323 and 4380 acted as the decision points — once broken and sustained, the market confirmed trend continuation.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
Breakout Zone: 4323–4380
Current Status: Breakout confirmed; retest expected
Next Target: 4440+ zone
Stop-loss Zone: Below 4280 (structure invalidation)
⚙️ Market Psychology:
This setup shows how markets transition from accumulation to expansion.
Traders who entered prematurely during consolidation faced whipsaws, while disciplined traders who waited for neckline breakout confirmation entered at optimal risk-reward points.
🧘 Lesson from This Case:
Confirmation > Prediction.
Patterns reflect emotions — fear at lows, greed near breakouts.
Structure-based entries build long-term consistency.
🚩 Yogiraj Trading Academy Insight:
At Yogiraj Trading Academy, we integrate Technical Analysis + Trading Psychology + Discipline to guide traders toward independence and emotional mastery.
Always trade with risk management, clarity, and patience — the real pillars of professional trading.
📊 Watchlist Levels:
Support: 4280 / 4250
Resistance: 4380 / 4440
Continuation likely if sustained above 4380
⚔️ Trade at your own risk with proper discipline and capital protection.
#YogirajTradingAcademy #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #HeadAndShoulders #TrendContinuation #TradingMindset #yogeshonale
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD ,As the Asian session opens we will be following the price action to swing based on price movement.
key sell zone aligns with the retest trendline and few indicators to back our claims .
from the demand floor the 15 min descending trend line will be our buy floor .
layer by layer.
#gold #xauusd
GOLD PLAN TODAY | BEARISH TREND AROUND 4093| XAUUSD OCT 23.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 23 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Market Context
🔤Gold is currently trading around 4093, showing a temporary recovery after a deep selloff from the 4360–4370 region.
🔤The market structure clearly displays a dominant bearish order flow, with consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside and multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left unfilled above current price.
🔤While short-term retracements are possible, overall price remains within a premium zone for selling.
💡Trading plan
🔽Scenario 1: Continuation SELL from 4160–4180
🔤Reason: Retest of bearish FVG + previous BOS zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Price retraces into FVG and forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30.
🔤Bias: Aligns with overall bearish order flow.
🔼Scenario 2: Short-term BUY from 4000–4020
🔤Reason: Price has swept liquidity below prior lows and created a bullish CHoCH near the discount zone.
🔤Entry Condition: Look for bullish BOS after CHoCH + small FVG confirmation.
🔤Bias: Counter-trend, best suited for intraday recovery plays.
🔽Scenario 3: Rejection SELL from 4200–4220
🔤Reason: Strong premium zone aligning with multiple FVGs and liquidity pools.
🔤Entry Condition: Sweep of previous highs (above 4180) followed by bearish CHoCH.
🔤Bias: Ideal swing setup if retracement extends deeper.
XAUUSD SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISTarget hit for upside and downside both. Check my previous post.
Go "LONG" if it breaks 4097.28 with 4126.59 as the first target. If it breaks that then might touch 4156.22 and breaking that might lead to 4201.
If it breaks above 4160 then we can plan for 4215 & 4265 as the possible targets (This is for the long term)
Go "SHORT" if it breaks 4097.28 with 4067.96 as the 1st target and breaking that might lead to 4038.47
Till it stays below 4160 then 4010 &3945 should be are downside targets (This is fir the long term)
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 22Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4380, Support: 3900
4-Hour Resistance: 4180, Support: 4000
1-Hour Resistance: 4160, Support: 4000
Technically, gold fell by $380, temporarily halting its decline near 4000. Technical indicators are recovering, and the market is taking a brief breather. Bull markets are prone to large swings, so it's unclear whether gold has truly reversed in the short term.
Gold has tested the 4000 support level twice. Watch for the continuation of the short-term downtrend. The moving average price has broken through the upward trend line in the short term, and the indicators are in a state of recovery, but the Bollinger Bands remain upward. The 4170/4180 levels on the daily chart are key. If they are successfully recaptured, the market is poised for a strong bullish resurgence. Otherwise, the market will continue to fluctuate downwards in the short term, looking for support. Focus on the 4000 level. If it breaks below, it will continue to move towards 3900.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the candlestick pattern has broken below the neckline of the M-shaped top. Market bearish sentiment is being released, and indicators continue to move downward rapidly. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is between 4188 and 4208. Short-term rebound momentum is limited, and the NY market remains bearish.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4000-4005near
SELL: 4160near
SELL: 4178near
More Shares →
XAUUSD – Sharp 5% Drop as Traders Take Profit Ahead of US CPIMarket Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) slumped over 5.5% on Tuesday, marking its largest daily decline in months as traders took profits ahead of the upcoming US CPI data (October 24).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded 0.36% to 98.94, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
This correction also coincides with renewed optimism over potential easing of US–China trade tensions, after President Trump confirmed plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week.
While this sharp move caught many traders off guard, it appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure, as investors remain cautious before major data and the upcoming Fed policy meeting next week.
Technical Outlook (M30):
After the heavy selloff from the 4,375 high, gold found near-term support around 4,003 – 4,010, forming a potential accumulation base.
The pair now trades near 4,150, showing early signs of recovery toward key confluence zones.
Key Technical Levels:
OBS Sell Zone: 4,338 – 4,340
CP Zone Down / OBS Sell Zone: 4,259 – 4,260
CP Zone Up / OBS Buy Zone: 4,092 – 4,094
Deep Buy Zone: 4,003 – 4,008
The current structure outlines a 5-wave projection, where price may complete Wave II near 4,092, then advance toward Wave III at 4,259, followed by a correction (Wave IV) and another push toward Wave V near 4,338.
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY ZONE#1 (Short-Term Recovery)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,094
Stop Loss: 4,080
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,259 → 4,338
🔹 BUY ZONE #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,003 – 4,008
Stop Loss: 3,990
Take Profit: 4,090 → 4,259
🔹 SELL ZONE (Countertrend Reaction)
Entry: 4,259 – 4,260
Stop Loss: 4,272
Take Profit: 4,145 → 4,092
Summary:
The recent 5% correction is viewed as a profit-taking phase ahead of CPI data, not a structural breakdown.
Gold is expected to stabilise above 4,092, with buyers likely stepping in near the OBS Buy Zone.
Focus remains on 4,259 for a short-term reaction and 4,338 as the next potential liquidity target if momentum continues.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement before CPI, or the start of a deeper shift?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional-grade setups and smart money structure updates.






















