SELL SETUP – Gold (XAU/USD) – Smart Money + FundamentalsTechnical Analysis:
Price has created a lower-high structure after rejecting the major supply zone (4110–4135). The market recently tapped into a mitigation zone (4080–4090) — a previous support turned resistance (RBS) — and showed rejection signs. Liquidity above that area has been cleared, indicating distribution before the next impulsive bearish move.
Targeting liquidity resting below 3976, where a demand imbalance sits waiting to be filled. Structure remains bearish unless price breaks above 4110.
Trade Plan:
Entry: 4085–4090
Stop Loss: 4110
Take Profit: 3976
Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:3
Fundamental Analysis:
Gold continues to face bearish pressure as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens amid hawkish Fed expectations and recent positive U.S. economic data.
Interest rates: Market anticipates rates to stay elevated longer, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical tone: With current global tensions stable and no major escalation, safe-haven demand remains limited.
Bond yields: Rising U.S. Treasury yields further support USD strength, adding weight to short-term downside in gold.
Concept:
This setup aligns Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with macroeconomic sentiment, anticipating institutional selling continuation toward lower liquidity pools.
