RSI + Morningstar-V + EMA DefendRSI coming up from a low of c.20%, variation Morningstar candle pattern printed. With the MACD starting to turn a bit, not as much as I would like, but bearish histo bars getting smaller. Also if price is going to respect EMA 200 this is it. If not we will be looking for bears later.
News still saying - record highs etc.
Put TP at end of FVG. SL below structure.
Nice 1:5 if it goes all the way.
Not A+ setup but pretty good.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - NFP UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We published the NFP report earlier together with the red boxes and the targets above the key level which as you can see have worked very well today. We're not approaching the final destination but we're too high for anyone to attempt going long here! We're also too late in the session on a Friday to attempt any more trades so we'll leave it there and mark it completed.
Support now stands at the 3570-5 level with resistance 3600-10.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3555 for 3561✅, 3568✅, 3576✅ and 3588✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead, and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week.
Please do take some time to hit that boost button on the reports we share, without your support there is no point in us sharing this for free.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD (Gold) 15M chart XAU/USD (Gold) chart with volume profile zones and marked demand areas.
3,664 – 3,668 (as shown in the box at the right).
Here’s the target analysis based on the visible levels:
Immediate Support Zone (Demand Zone): 3,650 – 3,655
Upside Target Zones (Supply/Resistance from Volume Profile):
1. First target: 3,620 – 3,625
2. Second target: 3,580 – 3590 (stronger supply area marked in green at the top)
A Healthy Market Breathes. Gold Hasn’t Exhaled Yet.I remain bullish on Gold overall — that’s not in question.
On 24 August, I even shared a complete cross-market outlook arguing that acceleration to the upside could be the next big move. And indeed, we got it.
But here’s the paradox of markets: sometimes, the stronger the rally, the more fragile it becomes.
________________________________________
Why I Warned About a Steep Correction
• Yesterday, I flagged the risk of a sharp pullback. My stop loss was triggered, yes, but my conviction hasn’t changed. If anything, the higher Gold pushes, the more probable and violent the correction could be.
• The daily chart says it all: since the local bottom around 3300, Gold has moved almost vertically higher.
• From 26 August onward, with the sole exception of the 4 September red candle, every single day closed green — and not just small gains, but +1% or more.
This type of move is powerful, but also unsustainable.
________________________________________
Market Psychology at Work
Markets move in cycles of fear and greed, tension and release. A one-sided move — especially a vertical one — compresses tension like a coiled spring. Traders get trapped:
• Late buyers rush in from FOMO, convinced “it will never stop going up.”
• Sellers get squeezed, forced to cover, adding fuel to the fire.
• But eventually, when there’s no one left to buy at higher prices, even a small wave of selling can cascade into a steep correction.
This is why not even Bitcoin, in its glory days, could sustain vertical rises for long. The pattern was always the same: euphoric rise → brutal drop . Gold is no different.
________________________________________
Where We Stand Now
• At the time of writing, Gold trades at 3647, after touching 3660 and marking a new ATH.
• Is this the local top? Hard to say with certainty. But in my book, until we see a strong correction, there is no valid buy trade here.
________________________________________
My Trading Plan
Today, I will look to sell again. Not because I doubt the long-term bullish trend, but because the short-term imbalance is glaring.
A healthy market breathes, and Gold hasn’t exhaled yet.
🚀 Long term: bullish.
⚠️ Short term: vulnerable.
🎯 Until a correction resets the board, my play is on the short side.
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to trade sideways around the $3,650 mark. The recent surge in new unemployment claims has negatively impacted the US Dollar, allowing XAU/USD to maintain its high position, despite August CPI data coming in slightly higher than analysts’ estimates.
From a technical perspective: The recent highs around $3,655 - $3,657 could serve as key resistance levels, beyond which gold might test its all-time high around $3,675. Additional buying orders could allow XAU/USD to continue its recent breakout and aim for the $3,700 level, especially as the H1 trendline shows signs of breaking.
The support levels to watch are $3,630 - $3,615 , and eventually the psychological $3,600 level. If these hold, short-term buying strategies remain favored. Remember, "The trend is your friend."
What do you think? How will gold move from here? Hit like if you agree with my analysis!
Good luck!
5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Forex, Gold Trading
What are the best key levels to trade?
This year I analyzed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading.
As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame . So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily .
Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own.
1. Clear historical significance
The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance.
Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame.
2. Psychological significance
The structure that you identified should match with round numbers.
All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers.
3. Confluence with other technical tools
The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines or Fibonacci levels , strengthening its significance.
After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls.
4. Volume
The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money.
All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume.
5. Multiple touches
The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2).
Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones.
That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Faces 3700 USD Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Currently, gold is trading around 3645 USD in a price box, almost unchanged compared to the same session yesterday. Alternating rises and pullbacks indicate accumulation. Investors are now eagerly waiting for the upcoming CPI and Unemployment Claims data. If results come out weaker for the USD, gold may find an opportunity to challenge the key 3700 USD level.
Let’s wait for the results and see how gold will move!
Good luck!
GOLD (XAUUSD): New ATH & More GrowthThe price of 📈GOLD reached a new all-time high today following the release of US news.
The market has successfully surpassed and closed above a previously identified resistance level within an accumulation pattern on a 4-hour timeframe.
Further upward movement is anticipated, and the pair is expected to approach the 3620 level in the near future.
Sorry, I'm going to buy out this time.Four hours later, the preliminary revision of the non-farm payrolls benchmark will be released. The market expects a downward revision of up to 800,000. If the employment momentum is falsified, it may open up room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Market volatility will then be significant. Investors are advised to be aware of the associated risks. ‼️‼️‼️
XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar).XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Based on the annotations in My Chart :
Current price: $3,613.28
Support area (green zone): around $3,589 – $3,600
Trendline is intact (uptrend).
Cloud (Ichimoku) is below price = bullish structure.
The chart shows a target point at ~$3,640 (marked with the blue arrow).
📌 Target Zone:
Your marked projection suggests $3,640 as the next resistance/target level.
⚠ Keep in mind:
If price breaks below the green support zone (~$3,589), it could test lower supports around $3,570 – $3,560.
If bullish momentum continues, the next extension beyond $3,640 could be toward $3,660 – $3,670.
👉 target = $3,640.
DeGRAM | GOLD above the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is climbing within an ascending channel, holding above 3,600 support after reclaiming the mid-range trendline.
● Price momentum is targeting the 3,620 resistance; a breakout could extend gains toward 3,640, keeping the short-term structure bullish.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is buoyed by softer US inflation expectations and a slight pullback in Treasury yields, while investor demand for safe havens remains firm amid geopolitical concerns.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,600; targets 3,620 → 3,640. Invalidation on a close below 3,580.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Price broke below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD CrossPrice below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD bearish cross - Tokyo.
Entered this trade a few hours ago during Tokyo session. Price finally broke through the EMA200 on M15 putting us into sell territory. A shooting star had been printed and the MACD produced a bearish cross.
As several of you noted, there’s a clean FVG stack below — I placed my TP at the end of that block.
SL was set just above the most recent structure high, giving this trade a strong R:R of nearly 1:9.
RSI is already oversold, but in strong trending conditions, it can remain that way for a while.
Looks like we’re (hopefully lol) printing the closing leg of a clean M-pattern.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not bad for today with the lower hot spot holding and giving the move upside into the hot spot above for a decent long capture. We managed a couple of trades on the intraday red boxes but the up and down ranging was enough for us to stop and call it a day.
Now, we have support lower at the 3630 level and resistance higher at the 3660-5 region. With Cpi tomorrow, we would expect this to potentially spike but remain close to the mean. As long as we stay relatively below the red box we should test lower. Let's play caution though and wait for the breaks.
Apart from that, nothing else to report, an unusually quiet day on gold for a change.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - NFP THE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this months NFP, due to the aggressive stretch on gold upside, we’re only looking for the extreme levels to attempt the trade. Even then, we’re of the view that we will let this play out for today and next week look for a clean reversal before getting in and taking what is needed.
We have the immediate level of support below 3550-40, which needs to be held in order to attempt the upside levels of 3580-5 and if that level is broken 3603-10. It’s that higher level that we feel if attempted, could present a decent opportunity to attempt the short trade, unless broken of course.
Lower down, the red box bias level is sitting at 3540 which needs a clean break below to then confirm the bearish move has started and we can then either capture the retracements in attempt to target the 3480-5 level or, wait lower for price to exhaust, and once a clean reversal is formed, attempt the long trade back upside.
The ideal scenario here is a break above the 3585 level an attempt on 3600, exhaustion there and then a possible short for next week. It’s been a choppy week but we’ve hit all of our bullish targets so lets observe more than we trade today.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3555 for 3561, 3568, 3576 and 3588 in extension of the move
Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: Eyeing a Break Above 3,600Hello everyone, gold is approaching a critical juncture where both fundamentals and technicals appear aligned in favour of further upside.
Weak US labour data combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have weighed on yields and the dollar, creating a supportive backdrop for gold. The next key catalysts lie in US inflation prints (CPI/PPI). As long as easing expectations dominate, the metal enjoys a clear tailwind.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud with solid demand layers at 3,565–3,555 and 3,545–3,535. The 3,595–3,600 zone is the immediate psychological barrier, yet selling pressure looks insufficient to derail the trend.
My view: gold is likely to push through 3,600 soon, extending towards 3,615–3,630, with potential to reach 3,650 if momentum holds.
Do you think gold will clear 3,600 decisively this week? Share your thoughts below.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time To Fall!?Gold appears to be respecting a falling trend line on a 4H time frame.
A strong bearish pattern seems to be emerging. The price has formed a cup and handle pattern and is currently testing its neckline.
The next confirmation for a bearish trend is to watch for a breakout. A 4-hour candle closing below the 3620 level would validate the breakout.
Subsequently, a bearish reversal could be anticipated, potentially leading towards the next support level.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Sunday we stated that we had the weekly body close above the channel top at 3576 and now opened the door to the larger 3659 long-term gap target.
- this target is now complete
We will now look for a close above 3659 for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into lower levels for support.
🔹 Range Support Levels
3576 and 3482 now act as layered support levels to keep the bullish case intact within this range.
Updated Levels to Watch
📉 Support – 3482 & 3576
Key supports for this new range. Holding above 3576 strengthens the case for continuation toward 3659. A failure back below 3576 puts 3482 into play as the next defensive level.
📈 Resistance – 3732
This becomes the next upside objective if structure holds above 3659.
Thanks as always for your support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
This is still a follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play with the final gap still in range.
Previously we had our Bullish target 3424 and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499. This gap was filled last week just like we analysed followed with another cross and lock above 3499 opening 3561, which was also hit.
We now finished off last week with a cross and lock above 3561 leaving 3615 open. Failure to test this final target will see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2615 -
BEARISH TARGETS
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3277
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3234
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Roadmap | Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) created a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day this week.
How long do you think this upward trend in Gold will continue?
Reasons for Gold's upward trend this week:
Announcement of the US economic indexes.
Geopolitical issues that occurred in the world(China meeting, possible tension between Venezuela and the US, etc.)
Gold is currently moving between the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Fibonacci levels and touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) and Support lines, we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold remains bullish next week, poised to reach 3,600!
The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best path. Trade immediately when the trend emerges; don't try to go against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading; the market is a cure-all for any kind of resentment. I'm sure many of you have experienced this: enduring losses only to see them pile up, leading to sleepless nights and poor sleep, and wasted opportunities. If you need help, I'll always be here, but if you don't even offer a hand, how can I help you?
Gold's trend this week is consistent with our analysis from last weekend, with bullish sentiment and long positions decisively winning. Combined with Friday's non-farm payroll data, we also successfully predicted a potential push for gold towards the 3600 level. By the close of the week, gold had reached a high of 3600 before fluctuating back to 3586. Gold still hasn't shown any signs of a significant unilateral decline, and bulls remain strong. Next week, we will continue to prioritize buying on pullbacks. Considering the 3600 level was touched before the close, if bulls continue their upward momentum, 3600 will be difficult to withstand. A break above 3600 is inevitable, but this process may require pullbacks to build momentum before a surge. Next week, we will continue to prioritize buying on pullbacks, as bullish sentiment remains the primary trend. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to discuss your options!
Gold prices this week reached a high of 3600 before fluctuating lower. Downside support is expected at 3558-3563, with 3538-45 as a key support level. The short-term bullish trend line has moved up to 3510. Once it stabilizes above 35530, the trend remains unchanged, with a continued push back to buy low. Avoid counter-trend short positions. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Go long on gold if it retraces to 3558-3565, targeting 3595-3600. Continue holding if it breaks below.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update
Range Break, Gap Confirmation & Next Target Achieved
As anticipated in our previous update, price finally pushed through for a test of 3433, confirming the strength of the upside momentum we discussed. This test produced a candle body close gap open for 3564, which has now been successfully achieved just as projected.
The close above 3564 further unlocks 3683 as the next long-term upside target. An EMA5 lock will serve as added confirmation for continuation toward this zone. Meanwhile, both 3564 and 3433 now transition into key support levels for this chart idea.
Current Outlook
🔹 3564 Target Reached
Our gap target has now been completed with a decisive candle body close above. This confirms bullish continuation and shifts focus to the next zone.
🔹 Next Objective – 3683
The successful 3564 break opens a fresh long-term target at 3683. EMA5 lock confirmation will strengthen the case for this move.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272 (pivotal floor)
📉 Short Term Supports – 3433 & 3564
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3683
Thanks as always for your continued support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold: News Tailwinds, Trend Stays Strong – Target 3,670 → 3,700Hello everyone, let’s analyse OANDA:XAUUSD today.
Current news provides strong support for gold. Expectations of a Fed rate cut remain firm, with notable inflows into gold ETFs over the past month, especially low-cost, long-term strategic funds. Meanwhile, weak Asian macro data (Japan’s GDP, China’s trade) has added to safe-haven demand.
On the 2H chart, the uptrend remains clear: price holds above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with demand FVGs stacked like “steps” below. The recent top sits around 3,645–3,650, while supports are layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and deeper at 3,580–3,565 (cloud edge).
I lean towards gold consolidating just under 3,650 before breaking towards 3,670–3,685; if momentum holds, price could stretch to 3,700–3,715. This view only weakens if 2H candles close below 3,595 (signalling a dip to 3,580–3,565), and turns negative if 3,565 breaks (risking a slide to 3,540–3,525).
Key drivers to watch are US CPI/PPI and the 10Y yield; continued yield decline would make a break above 3,650 even more convincing.
Do you think gold can reach 3,700? Leave me a comment and let me know!