XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for October 27.Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4210, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4140, Support: 4005
1-Hour Resistance: 4100, Support: 4015
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices have retreated, dropping over $300. Friday's close confirms the onset of a weekly downturn.
In terms of indicators, the RSI has begun to fall back below the 80 level, and on the daily chart, it has even broken through the 4050 bull-bear dividing line. The MACD fast and slow lines have formed a death cross, and the green momentum bar is declining with increasing volume. In short, it's clear that the broader cycle is quietly turning, or more accurately, the upward trend is pausing.
From the hourly chart, today's Asian session opened sharply lower. This is partly a reaction to weekend news, and partly due to the inherent weakness of the market, which requires adjustment. The subsequent rebound failed to even break the upward closing gap, and then began a rapid decline. This is the result of bearish dominance.
The 1-hour chart is currently in a bearish flag consolidation pattern. The 4000 level is likely to be retested or even broken, so today's strategy is to sell high and buy low.
SELL: near 4100
SELL: near 4140
BUY: near 4005
More Analysis →
Trade ideas
GOLD aka XAUUSD is heading to the downside!!Last week XAUUSD (Gold) had a very bearish week! It ended its bullish streak of years and declined to the downside. It only recently broke a very strong support zone (the green trendline) and struggled to break above the resistance zone (red trendline). It should drop all the way down further all the way to the 3833 level.
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD – Triangle Breakdown Potential Toward 3,900 ZoneGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend for the past few months, recently reaching new highs above US $4,300 before showing signs of slowing down. In your chart, the price has formed a triangle pattern (labelled A–B–C–D) after a sharp drop from the peak. This pattern usually means the market is taking a pause and preparing for the next move — either a breakout up or down. Based on the structure, momentum, and recent price behavior, the pattern looks more likely to break downward, which could send the price toward the support zone around US $3,900–3,950 (the blue area on your chart).
From a technical view, this makes sense because:
The strong rally lost strength after the sharp fall from the top.
The triangle is getting tighter, meaning volatility is compressing before a breakout.
Indicators like the RSI and Awesome Oscillator (AO) are showing bearish divergence, signaling weaker buying pressure.
If price breaks below US $4,100–4,050, it would confirm a bearish breakout and likely trigger a move to the support area marked in blue.
From a fundamental view, gold recently rallied due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, high inflation, and strong central bank demand. But in late October 2025, the market is cooling because the U.S. dollar has strengthened slightly and Treasury yields have bounced, causing short-term selling pressure on gold. Many traders are also taking profits after such a strong run.
Putting both sides together, the technical chart and the current fundamentals support a short-term bearish correction — a pullback that could test the US $3,900 zone before the next big move. However, if the price fails to break below the triangle and instead closes above US $4,180–4,250, it would cancel the bearish setup and signal a possible continuation of the uptrend toward new highs above US $4,350–4,400.
In short:
Bias: Short-term bearish correction
Breakdown trigger: Below US $4,050–4,100
Target zone: Around US $3,900
Invalidation: Above US $4,250
YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Weekly Comprehensive📘 EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
All times Africa/Cairo (+03:00)
🟡 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Weekly Comprehensive (Approved Protocol)
Version: v2025-Approved • Report time: Sun, 26 Oct 2025 — 11:57
Spot ref: 4,108.70 • GC1: 4,137.8 • GC2: 4,171.5 → Term spread +0.81% → Contango
— GC futures curve explainer —
• Contango → GC2 > GC1 (normal upward curve; storage/carry cost priced in; not bearish by itself).
• Backwardation → GC2 < GC1 (near-term demand/supply stress; often bullish spot impulse).
• Term spread (%) → (GC2 − GC1) / GC1 × 100 → shows curve slope/steepness.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
0) FOMC THIS WEEK — timing, expectations & official rhetoric
• When: Tue–Wed Oct 28–29, 2025. Policy statement 2:00 pm ET (**9:00 pm Cairo**) and Chair press conference 2:30 pm ET (**9:30 pm Cairo**). :contentReference {index=0}
• Market base case: Another ¼-point cut (to ~**3.75–4.00%** target range) is widely priced via Fed funds futures (FedWatch). :contentReference {index=1}
• Recent Fed rhetoric:
– Powell: hiring slowdown is an increasing risk; tone supports more cuts this year if labor weakens. :contentReference {index=2}
– Williams (NY Fed) & Daly (SF Fed): open to further cuts given labor risks; emphasize “risk-management” approach. :contentReference {index=3}
– Gov. Barr: urges caution due to inflation risk; wants more data before additional easing. :contentReference {index=4}
• Read-through for gold: Pre-FOMC compression likely; first move can be a head-fake. A cut + soft guidance → weaker USD / firmer gold; a cautious tone or higher inflation focus → USD bid / gold caps near weekly supply.
1) WEEKLY SYNOPSIS (what the market is doing)
• Bias map: Weekly still “uploading” from the green accumulation band; overhead “offloading” cap sits in 4,28x–4,33x then 4,38x (weekly high box on your chart pack).
• Structure: Last two weeks printed balance → failed expansion → re-balance around ~4,10xx; 38.2% Fib pivot ~4,125 is the mid-rail that keeps getting tested.
• Flow tells: RVOL mixed; compression oscillates mid-range → expect expansion on macro catalysts mid-week (rates & growth data).
• Bottom line: Respect 4,09xx–4,07xx demand shelf for dip-buys; sell responsive spikes into 4,28x–4,33x unless volume confirms absorption → breakout.
2) MULTI-TF SNAPSHOT & MAP (15m / 1h / 4h / W1 / M1)
• 15m: Sideways micro-auction around 4,10xx with frequent delta flips; use session VWAP & micro POC for scalps.
• 1h: Mean-revert regime; higher-low attempts above 4,09xx; momentum modest.
• 4h: Range with positive skew; “reload (shallow)” band sits just under 4,10xx on your panel.
• W1: Uploading phase intact while > 4,03x–4,06x; weekly offload zone begins ~4,29x.
• M1: Month still green but thin at the top; month-end + FOMC → expect volatility pockets.
3) WEEK AHEAD — KEY ECON EVENTS (Oct 27–31, 2025)
• FOMC decision & press conference Wed 29 Oct (see §0). :contentReference {index=5}
• Thu 30 Oct: US GDP (advance); Eurozone GDP; German CPI; ECB & BoJ decisions (timing varies).
• Fri 31 Oct: US Core PCE; Eurozone CPI (flash); China PMIs; German retail sales.
• Note: Some U.S. releases may still face shutdown-related delays; trade the tape, not the calendar. :contentReference {index=8}
4) MARKET HOLIDAYS (liquidity watch)
• Mon 27 Oct: New Zealand Labour Day — NZ markets closed. • Wed 29 Oct: Hong Kong Chung Yeung Festival — HK closed. :contentReference {index=9}
5) CROSS-ASSET DASH (context one-liners)
• DXY soft-to-flat near ~99 on your watchlist; equities bid; VIX mid-teens → dips in gold bought; breakouts need volume confirmation (esp. into/after FOMC).
6) VALUE / VWAP / PROFILE
• Weekly fulcrum ~**4,125 (38.2%)**.
• Green “uploading” floor clusters ~**4,06x–4,09x**; red “offloading” supply 4,28x–4,33x then 4,381.
• Execute around session VWAP/POC/VAL/VAH per your panel.
7) ICHIMOKU REGIME QUICK READ
• H1: Price near cloud top; Tenkan≈Kijun chop → patience.
• H4: Above Kijun, below weekly supply; Chikou clear → constructive while >4,09x.
• W1: Bullish-tilt as long as >4,03x–4,06x base.
8) MOMENTUM & VOL (diagnostics)
• RVOL mixed (line ~0.9–2.0 this month); compression mid-band → primed for catalyst-driven move.
• RSI/MFI slopes on your HUD: turning up from neutral intraday; weekly still positive.
9) GC FUTURES STRUCTURE (XCM)
• Curve: Contango with ~**+0.81%** term spread (GC2>GC1) → neutral carry; no spot-stress signal. :contentReference {index=10}
• Read-through: Favors “buy dips / fade euphoric spikes” unless macro flips curve toward backwardation.
10) SESSION GAME PLAN (London/NY execution notes)
• London: Fade edges back to VWAP inside 4,10xx–4,14x; protect against headline spikes.
• NY (FOMC week): Expect pre-Fed compression → post-Fed impulse; first move can be fake → wait for retest + delta confirmation.
11) WEEKLY LEVELS (from your panels)
• Support: 4,090 • 4,076 • 4,044
• Pivot/Control: 4,125 (38.2%)
• Resistance/Supply: 4,184 • 4,228 • 4,295–4,330 • 4,381
12) EXECUTION CHECKLIST
□ Higher-TF bias aligned (H1/H4/W1)?
□ Value vs imbalance? (VWAP/POC/VAL/VAH)
□ Catalyst risk within 60–90 min?
□ RVOL ≥1.2 on break; absorption confirmed?
□ Hard SL placed (ATR/structure), risk ≤1R.
13) TRADE SCENARIOS (educational examples; not signals)
A) Swing — Buy the dip into value
• Entry: 4,092–4,098 (absorption in green “reload”) • SL: 4,062
• TP1: 4,125 • TP2: 4,184 • TP3: 4,228 • Stretch: 4,295
• Prob: ~63% if DXY soft & RVOL ≥1.1
B) Reversal — Fade weekly supply
• Entry: 4,224–4,235 on stall/neg. delta • SL: 4,255
• TP1: 4,184 • TP2: 4,152 • TP3: 4,125
• Prob: ~58% pre-FOMC; ~50% post-Fed if risk-on
C) Scalp — VWAP reversion
• Long on VWAP holds >4,10xx; short on rejection >4,18x → VWAP
• SL: 0.7–1.0×ATR(15) • TPs: 0.5R / 1.0R / trail via micro-POCs
• Prob: ~65% in range; avoid 15–30m into top-tier data
D) Continuation — Break & retest
• Long >4,184 (close + retest + RVOL≥1.4) → 4,228 → 4,295
• Short <4,076 (close + retest + RVOL≥1.4) → 4,044 → 4,00x
• Prob: ~57% (needs volume)
14) “MONTH-CLOSE” WATCH (special)
• Month ends Fri, 31 Oct — same day as US Core PCE, one day after FOMC. Expect re-hedging/window-dressing; ranges can expand late-week.
• Track: (i) M1 hold >4,09x to keep green body; slip <4,07x risks wick-off. (ii) Curve shift toward backwardation post-Fed would favor spot-led squeezes. (iii) Widen stops post-FOMC; reduce size near Friday fix.
15) RISK NOTES
• Some U.S. data may be delayed; react to price/volume, not forecasts. :contentReference {index=12}
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week
1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term.
2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released.
3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
Selling Pressure will result in Change of story by tapping 3950Gold Technical Outlook
The selling pressure in Gold since the London session opened has been extremely strong. This momentum could lead to a mitigation of the major support zone around $3,950 – $3,980.
A downward parallel channel is clearly visible on the chart, providing an additional confluence for bearish momentum.
As long as the 1-hour candle does not close above $4,065 , the bearish bias remains valid.
🔹 Trade Setup (Sell Plan)
Entry Zone : $4,055 – $4,060
Stop Loss : $4,072
Targets : Major support zone at $3,950 – $3,980
🧭 Bias : Strongly Bearish
💡 Watch for any break and close above $4,065 to
XAUUSD: The return of CPI and PPI newsAfter a series of absences from news, in today's trading session two CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) will be announced. Therefore, OANDA:XAUUSD can be very volatile and we should be cautious in the last trading session of the week.
The CPI is forecast to be favorable for the dollar and the PPI is forecast to be slightly lower than the previous period , but we still need clearer confirmation to assess the trend of gold in the near future.
Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session:
Resistance: , ,
Support:
Support:
Strong support:
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones.
Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely.
Note : Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Time for GOLD To DROP! (XAUUSD is heading to the downside!)For many weeks gold (XAUUSD) has been sky rocketing to the upside, however there have been many new signals indicating that it could be a bearish move to the downside. Nothing keeps going up forever! Gold has broken major support levels including the trendline that has been holding it up for weeks. It has also been struggling to break above the fibonacci level of 0.50! Time to sell!
XAUUSD Geoplolitical move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Sell IdeaGold is still strongly bearish on the daily timeframe, though there is a slight pullback. Dialing back to the 6hr timeframe, the Aroon (1) gave a sell signal and the RSI (3) dipped below 50. On the 2hr timeframe, a Supertrend (2, 1.2) has also fully formed. SL at high of recent pullback and RR is 1:2. Gl
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD ,As the Asian session opens we will be following the price action to swing based on price movement.
key sell zone aligns with the retest trendline and few indicators to back our claims .
from the demand floor the 15 min descending trend line will be our buy floor .
layer by layer.
#gold #xauusd
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase.
📝Market sentiment and fund flow:
Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session.
The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold.
At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious.
📝Technical analysis:
From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range,then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000.
💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy.
💎Trading Strategy:
BUY 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
POSSIBLE XAUUSD SHORT SETUPANALYSIS
>Mon purged and reverted off last week high
>Tue price action formed the FRD(first red day )also closing below Mon lower high(swing low)
>Wed closed in breakout
>Thurs anticipation: purge and revert off wed high tapping into the FVGOB(fair value gap order block ) thats @ the FVG partition (4196.86 - 4179.29)
Price still in upwards channelAlright, here's the thing with gold. Recently, the price dropped sharply, almost 6%, which might sound alarming. But when we look at the bigger picture, gold is still in an upward channel or a rising trend. What does that mean? It shows that, despite this dip, gold still holds its value in the long run. Think of it like a staircase—sometimes you step down a bit, but you're still climbing higher overall. This is good news for investors because it means gold continues to act as a safe haven and a reliable hedge against things like inflation or economic uncertainty. The short-term drop could be due to temporary factors, but the long-term trend gives confidence that gold remains strong.
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,107.17
Target Level: 3,579.84
Stop Loss: 4,459.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New forecast👨💻👨💻
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec...
xauusd Gold is showing a clear Head & Shoulders structure forming on the 2H chart 🧠
🔹 Price is currently testing the neckline zone around 4110 – 4120
🔹 A potential retest of this area could trigger the next big move
🔹 If rejection happens, we could see a drop toward the Weekly Support (4013)
🔹 A deeper bearish continuation may extend toward the Monthly Support (3877)
However — if bulls manage to break above the neckline, expect a sharp move back toward 4320–4350 resistance zone 🔥
🎯 Key Levels:
Neckline: 4110 – 4120
Weekly Support: 4013
Monthly Support: 3877
Resistance: 4320 – 4350
💬 Comment your bias below – Bullish or Bearish? 👇
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StressFreeTrading






















