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Gold? Launch 11/12 Hi, We had a launch few hours ago. Up 1% from trajectory. *trailling The washing of profits are real :) haha So in the chart. Multiple targets. You see.. everyone sees it differently. Dont judge them or indulge with an obsession of opinion. Because scenario change, news data, flows are always ongoing. Some see it BULLISH from 1min perspective ; he's right . even though end of day it close lowest of the week (in the red) Some see BULLISH even though he's down -100$-200$ or -5%, he see it as a safe haven. And sees it be up 20K or 50K per ounce. Well there is no lack in opinions. Most important, you should have your own! Timing, entry, SL , targets & judgements. Only wish the best. Not a guru, no alpha here.. :)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by reazosman
XAUUSD PATHThe possibility that will occur with gold is a temporary surge caused by uncertainty or due to the liquidation of traders who use excessive leverage. We know that after this FOMC meeting, the direction of the US economy will become clear, although there are many other factors such as global tensions between China and Japan, which have recently caused uncertainty, Japan's interest rate hike, the unresolved conflict between Iran and Israel, and the unfinished peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. However, looking at several catalysts for 2026, I believe gold prices have already been priced in. My analysis may be incorrect if gold manages to break through the $5,000 mark due to increased uncertainty. However, what is currently visible is that 2026-2027 will be a year of weakening and ranging prices for gold. Therefore, take advantage of this for short-term trading with proper money management so that you can beat the bookies. I hope my analysis is helpful to you. Please leave your questions and comments. I will try to respond to them. Good luck
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LaurentWilvyne
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 4196.0 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 4203.1 Recommended Stop Loss - 4192.0 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
Will the Fed continue cutting rates?Some institutions — such as J.P. Morgan Global Research — previously predicted that the Federal Reserve might cut rates a few more times in 2025. Global employment, inflation, and consumer data remain unstable, and if these indicators weaken, the Fed may lower rates again to support a soft landing. However, there are still many uncertainties. I think gold may drop first and then rebound today. Trading range: 4260–4160. I’ll continue updating this post later with more trading signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mr-K-Analyst
Golden Reversal from FVG Zone [XAUUSD]OANDA:XAUUSD Golden Reversal from FVG Zone Signal: BUYEntry: 4,189.32 (0.618 Fib + FVG zone) TP1: 4,218.10 (0.382 Fib + VRVP node) TP2: 4,235.00 (local supply zone) TP3: 4,260.00 (volume gap fill) SL: 4,168.83 (below 0.786 Fib + liquidity sweep) Insights: Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap near the 0.618 Fib, aligning with a high-volume node on VRVP. RSI is neutral (~50), suggesting potential for upside momentum; MACD histogram shows early bullish crossover. Market structure shows BOS to the upside, confirming bullish intent post-liquidity sweep. #FVGEntry #SmartMoneyBuy #GoldScalpSetup#VolumeConfluence #FibPrecision #HunterSignals 🌟 Trade Like Hunter ✅ High-Probability Setup: Confluence of FVG, 0.618 Fib, VRVP node, and bullish MACD crossover 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.8 (SL to TP3) 🔑 Liquidity Zone Confirmation: Entry sits inside imbalance zone post-sell-side liquidity sweep 🧠 Market Psychology: Accumulation phase post-BOS, prepping for bullish expansion ⚡ Probability Score: 80% High Probability📈 Scalability: Setup aligns with H1 and H4 structure for multi-timeframe robustness 🔒 Risk Disclaimer: Always use proper lot sizing and risk management. No setup guarantees success—manage trades wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LonaGoldHunter
Gold Faces Pressure at 4200, Start Buying Near 4170From a fundamental perspective, the market’s expectation for a 25 bps rate cut remains as high as 89%, and this has not shown any major change. Geopolitically, the prolonged Russia–Ukraine conflict and Trump’s proposed tariff hikes on multiple categories continue to provide a safe-haven cushion for gold. However, the repeated fluctuations in the U.S. Dollar Index and U.S. Treasury yields are simultaneously suppressing gold’s upside momentum. Therefore, for the first half of this week, the overall outlook should still be treated as range-bound, with the main focus remaining on Wednesday’s interest rate decision. From a technical standpoint, gold failed to stabilize above 4215 yesterday and subsequently retreated to around 4176. Although price rebounded toward 4200 today, it still failed to break through and has since oscillated lower, even piercing 4170. The 4170 level offers weak support, while the more significant support zone remains at 4156–4143. If price can pull back into this area today, it would present a relatively ideal opportunity for long positions. The immediate upside resistance is located at 4196–4210. Regarding yesterday’s trades: After gold failed to hold above 4215, a follow-through short position yielded a small profit; Later, a light-position long below 4185 also produced a modest gain. Overall profits were not impressive, mainly because the price did not reach the ideal trading zones. 💵 Trading Strategy for Today 📉 Sell on Rebounds Watch around 4200 as resistance. If price fails to break through, consider light short positions. If a strong breakout occurs, monitor the 4210–4215 area for continuation. 📈Buy on Pullbacks Focus on the 4170–4160 support zone → suitable for light long entries. If price extends lower toward 4156 or even 4140-4130, consider adding long positions gradually.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanPierce
Gold: A Correctional Pause Before a New RiseGold continues to trade within an upward trend, which remains valid even amid short-term corrections. After reaching local highs, the market shifted into a pullback phase, yet key support levels are holding, confirming the strength of buyers. The current dynamics suggest that the asset is building a base for a new impulse. Corrective moves remain limited, while interest in gold persists due to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy and increased demand for safe-haven assets. This strengthens the likelihood that, once consolidation ends, gold will resume its upward movement. It is important to note that short-term fluctuations do not alter the broader picture: higher-degree waves continue to set the bullish direction. Thus, XAUUSD is in an energy accumulation phase, where the market’s next steps will determine the scale of future movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
How to find an entry point within a trading range#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold rebounded as expected after retracing to around 4170. Those who followed this strategy and executed long trades may consider taking profits and exiting the market. From the daily chart, the short-term gold price is below the MA5 and MA10, indicating a weak market. If it cannot effectively break through the short-term resistance of 4185-4195 and hold above the daily MA5 and MA10, then gold still has room for a pullback. Meanwhile, looking at both the daily and weekly charts, in the absence of major news events, there is strong support at 4150-4140, which may trigger short-term fluctuations. The first pullback to this level could present an opportunity to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Bull-Bear_Indicator
Report 9/12/25Report Summary: Markets are entering the Fed decision priced for an easing continuation, with risk assets resilient but increasingly sensitive to cross-currents from Japan, commodities and U.S. politics. Odds of a 25 bp cut were widely seen near the high-80s into the meeting, with major U.S. indices hovering just under record highs last week before softening on Monday as investors stood pat for the FOMC and fresh labor updates. The dollar has been bleeding lower into the meeting; gold and copper remain firm (copper at records on supply worries), while crude trades heavy in the high-$50s. Together, this mix argues for a “lower real rates but bumpier growth” regime that supports quality equities and precious metals, but keeps FX and energy volatile. Market reaction snapshot U.S. equities ended last week with modest gains, S&P 500 +0.3%, Dow +0.5%, Nasdaq +0.9%, as a delayed read of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge came in near expectations; small caps outperformed mid-week on rate-cut hopes. Monday saw a mild pullback across the three benchmarks as traders squared books ahead of the Fed. Treasury 10-year yields firmed toward ~4.17%, reflecting an uptick in term premium and supply as Treasury auctions continued. The WSJ Dollar Index fell for seven straight sessions into Thursday, its longest slide since 2020, while positioning rotated into cyclicals and AI infrastructure plays. What’s changed since last week The macro narrative has tilted toward “insurance easing” amid a softer private-sector jobs signal (ADP reported –32k for November) and stable but not collapsing unemployment proxies (initial claims at 191k into Nov. 29). Markets now look through data delays caused by the shutdown and lean on alt-data confirming slower hiring. That backdrop kept the Fed cut well-discounted and tightened the range for the statement and dots. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan signaled it may nudge policy tighter later this month, pushing USDJPY toward historically sensitive levels and raising odds of FX intervention if volatility spikes. Policy, fiscal and politics Two U.S. policy threads matter for pricing: first, the FOMC’s path, where traders expect a quarter-point cut now and a more generous easing path through 2026 than the Fed projected in September; second, Washington’s near-term fiscal stance, including a Senate vote on extending enhanced ACA subsidies and the Treasury’s auction cadence. The political calculus is that subsidy lapse risks voter blowback; the Senate is set to test a two-year extension but 60 votes look tough, keeping fiscal optics in flux. On supply, the latest three-year note priced at a 3.614% high yield with heavy take-up, underscoring steady demand at the front of the curve even as 10s back up. New tax legislation earlier in the year (OBBBA) locked in low statutory rates and a higher 2026 estate exemption, shaping year-end tax behavior and after-tax returns. Commodities signal sheet Copper set fresh records on a structural squeeze, mine growth lagging just as power grids, EVs and AI-led data-center buildouts pull demand forward, keeping the “green and compute metals” bid intact into 2026. Gold holds near elevated levels into the Fed as the dollar softens and real-rate expectations drift lower. By contrast, crude oil remains weak near the high-$50s per barrel, a function of growth worries, ample supply and position de-risking ahead of year-end. This divergence, strong copper and gold vs. soft oil, maps to a world priced for capex-heavy electrification and easing central banks, but patchy global growth. Asset-by-asset impact XAUUSD (Gold). The path of least resistance is still higher while the Fed leans easy into a slowing labor tape and the dollar’s trend remains down. With the WSJ Dollar Index falling and breakevens stable, a benign real-rates drift supports dips; a clean break higher is most likely if the statement/dots hint at more 2026 easing than September’s SEP. Near-term risk is a hawkish surprise that lifts real yields; medium-term tailwind is diversification demand and elevated geopolitical premia. S&P 500. Earnings breadth has quietly improved, and seasonality plus “policy put” expectations support a year-end grind; tech/AI infra remains leadership, cyclicals participate when yields ease. The near-term risk is a “cut but cautious” message or softer profit guidance from megacap bellwethers later this week. Into 2026, the mix of lower funding costs and still-positive nominal growth argues for quality-growth and capex beneficiaries over highly leveraged balance sheets.  Dow Jones Industrial Average. Old-economy bellwethers and healthcare led on rate-cut hopes and deal/news idiosyncrasies; Monday’s dip is positioning rather than a trend shift. If the curve bull-steepens on the dots, high-quality dividend names should see renewed demand; if the long end sells on supply, factor leadership tilts back toward cash-rich growth. USDJPY. The most asymmetric two-way risk. If the Fed doubles down on easing while BoJ tightens incrementally (or jawbones), USDJPY’s upside is capped by rising intervention risk; a dovish BoJ or risk-off in equities would re-weaken the yen. Expect high gamma around MoF rhetoric and JGB yield dynamics into month-end.  DXY (broad dollar). The dollar’s multi-session slide reflects converging policy, U.S. easing vs. a less-dovish rest of world, and the market’s growing comfort with slower U.S. growth. A shallow cut paired with dots that resist aggressive 2026 easing could spark a knee-jerk DXY bounce; otherwise, the path remains gently lower into Q1, supportive for EM FX with solid external balances.  Crude oil (WTI/Brent). Macro trumps micro near term. With demand concerns and ample supply, oil remains heavy; a softer dollar has not rescued prices. Watch for OPEC+ chatter and product cracks; the risk skew is still to episodic squeezes on geopolitics, but the base case is range-bound/high-$50s until clear evidence of re-acceleration. Strategic forecasts (3–6 month horizon) Base case: the Fed signals “cuts continue but are data-dependent,” the dots nudge down modestly for 2026, and the market keeps a slightly more dovish path than the Fed. Equities hold a constructive tone with periodic factor rotations; gold grinds higher on lower real rates; DXY trends sideways-to-lower; USDJPY trades capped with BoJ risk; oil stays range-bound unless global PMIs inflect. Bull case: a dovish-leaning statement and softer labor prints catalyze a durable risk-on with small-cap outperformance and EM relief. Bear case: the Fed cuts but stresses inflation vigilance, long USTs sell on supply, the dollar squeezes and risk assets wobble into year-end. Risks to monitor Macro risks cluster in three places. First, policy divergence: if BoJ tightens into a fragile JGB market, volatility can spill into global rates and USDJPY. Second, U.S. fiscal and supply: heavy auction calendars and policy brinkmanship (e.g., ACA subsidy extension politics) can reprice term premia. Third, growth momentum: private hiring softness and post-shutdown data volatility raise the odds of negative surprises that reprice earnings and energy demand. Opportunities Lean into beneficiaries of lower real rates and capex seculars. Quality U.S. large-cap growth and AI infrastructure plays retain leadership if the Fed validates easing; copper-levered miners and grid-capex vendors ride the structural squeeze; gold exposure is an efficient portfolio hedge in a dollar-down, policy-easing tape. Select small caps can outperform if funding costs fall and the curve bull-steepens, but balance-sheet quality is crucial. Airlines and travel cyclicals are more idiosyncratic after shutdown-related hits and fuel-cost noise, stock-picking over beta there.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
XAUUSD Breakout Retest – Bearish Continuation SetupChart Analysis (XAUUSD) Here’s a clear breakdown of what the chart shows and what the setup implies: 1. Market Structure Price previously made a strong push upward, then entered a sideways consolidation zone (highlighted in yellow). This zone represents accumulation/distribution, where buyers and sellers balanced out before a breakout. 2. Breakout & Retest Price broke down below the consolidation zone, indicating bearish intent. After the drop, price is currently doing a retest of the breakout level (where the red horizontal line sits at around 4191.953). This retest commonly acts as a point where sellers look to re-enter. 3. Trade Setup A sell position is plotted from the retest area. The shaded region above represents stop-loss territory. The two blue arrows mark: Half Take-Profit (TP 50%) — a mid-level target for partial exit Full Target — deeper downward continuation expectation 4. Bias The structure, breakout, and retest all favor a bearish continuation as long as price stays below the retest zone. The chart suggests a momentum continuation to the downside, targeting the lower green line. 5. Risk Considerations If price closes back above the red line, the setup becomes invalid. Consolidation after the breakdown shows indecision — strong bearish confirmation may come only after a clean push down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Rejection at 4219 Shifts Momentum LowerYesterday’s analysis is playing out — after failing to break the 4219 resistance, gold reversed and tested the lower boundary of the Reaction Zone. Price is currently trading below the Reaction Zone and also below both the MA50 and MA200, signaling potential downside continuation toward the Support Area if selling pressure persists. For any meaningful upside, buyers must first reclaim 4185 (previous support now turned resistance). A break and hold above 4185 would open the door for another test of 4219. A clean break above 4219 would shift short-term momentum and open the path toward 4251. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4185 4219 4251 Support: 4144 4102 4049 4014 🔎Fundamental focus: With the FOMC decision approaching tomorrow, markets tend to behave erratically: quick wicks, fake outs, fast reversals and increased volatility are typical. This is not the time to over-leverage — protect your capital and expect sudden moves in both directions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
WEEKLY CRT Last week, our analysis was primarily based on a single engulfing candle, which aligned with our expectations, yielding over 600 pips with a risk-reward ratio of 1:15. This week, we return with another analysis, shifting our focus from the weekly to lower time frames. *Weekly Analysis** On the weekly chart, we failed to close above the previous candle, ending within the range of the prior week's candle. This suggests the possibility of bearish momentum developing this week. *Daily Analysis** Examining the daily time frame, we observe that the market is struggling to break through the 4266 zone, having spent nearly six days in this effort. This has resulted in a consolidation phase. *Hourly Analysis (H1)** Switching to the hourly chart, we note that the market has produced a movement of nearly 600 pips on the sell side, effectively breaking the bullish momentum. However, it has not established a lower low (LL), indicating that the market remains bullish. 1=Upon reviewing the SSL, I find that there are few fresh zones for the market to test, as all demand zones have been previously engaged. 2-The market has created a H1 imbalance that needs to be addressed. It is likely consolidating to fill this imbalance while accumulating sufficient liquidity. 3-There are several potential sell zones on the buy side, and I believe the market may complete the weekly correction if there are no significant fundamental influences.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by imHaik
XAUUSD Intraday Plan – Recovery Attempt or More Downside?Gold is attempting to recover after Friday’s drop, currently trading around 4213. Price is being supported by the MA200, while the MA50 is flattening, signaling reduced momentum for now. The immediate resistance sits at 4219 — a confirmed break and hold above this level would open the path toward 4251. If price fails to clear the 4219 resistance, a full retest of the First Reaction Zone becomes likely. If that zone fails to hold, we could see price slide deeper toward the Support Zone, where buyers may attempt to step back in. 📌Key levels watch: Resistance: 4219 4251 4285 Support: 4185 4144 4102 🔎Fundamental focus: This week the spotlight is firmly on the FOMC meeting, projections, and Powell’s statement. Until the FOMC is out, markets may remain choppy and directional follow-through could be limited. Manage risk carefully — spreads and volatility tend to expand significantly around these releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAUUSD – Rejection From PDH | Price Respecting Demand ZoneGold swept Previous Day High (4258), grabbed buy-side liquidity, and sharply rejected. Price has now returned to the demand zone around PD Low (4192–4201) where buyers previously stepped in. Key Observations: Daily Wick 50% acted as intraday resistance Strong reaction from weekly liquidity zone above Bullish recovery forming from demand Break above 4234 may open path back toward PDH & Weekly High Bias: As long as price holds above PD Low, intraday bullish continuation is favored. A breakdown below the yellow zone shifts bias toward deeper sell-side liquidity. Levels to Watch: Resistance: 4234 / 4258 / 4264 Support: 4201 / 4192 Price is rebuilding structure — waiting for confirmation before the next impulse.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWallstreetCapital
$XAUUSD - Channel Rejection & Continuation Short SetupOANDA:XAUUSD ​Chart Timeframe: M30 ​📝 Technical Analysis: The Structure ​The price of Gold (XAUUSD) is currently structured within a well-defined Ascending Channel (Bull Flag pattern). This pattern suggests that while the short-term trend is upward (higher highs and higher lows), price rotation is expected between the boundaries. ​Channel Resistance Hit: Price has successfully tagged and found strong rejection at the upper channel boundary (around the 4,240 region). ​Bearish Pressure Confirmation: The subsequent sharp decline confirms the strength of this overhead resistance, suggesting sellers are active at the top of the range. ​Anticipated Rotation: The annotated white arrow precisely plots the expected price rotation: a minor counter-trend move back up toward the resistance before a decisive move lower to capitalize on the channel's rhythmic oscillation.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by GeorgeSylva