Get started
GOLD MINI CFDGOLD MINI CFDGOLD MINI CFD

GOLD MINI CFD

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

GOLDMINICFD trade ideas

Gold Outlook: Macro, Bonds, and Geopolitics Driving the Rally 1. Labor Market Weakness → Fed Pivot Risk The latest NFP showed just 22K jobs vs. 75K expected, with unemployment climbing to 4.3%. Revisions were deeply negative (-258K), confirming labor market deterioration. Historically, recessions often follow once unemployment rises 0.5–1% from cycle lows — we’re already in that zone. This means the Fed is boxed in: growth is slowing but inflation is still sticky. Markets are pricing in a September Fed rate cut, weakening USD and boosting safe-haven demand for Gold. 2. Bonds & Yield Curve Dynamics US Treasury Yields have started to retreat as bond traders price in Fed cuts. The 2-year yield, which tracks Fed expectations, is easing from highs, signaling policy loosening ahead. A steeper yield curve could emerge if short-term yields fall faster than long-term, historically bullish for Gold as opportunity cost declines. Real yields (inflation-adjusted) matter most for Gold. With core inflation at 3.1% and slowing growth, if nominal yields fall but inflation stays sticky, real yields compress lower → Gold rallies. 3. Inflation & Stagflation Risk Inflation is at 3.1%, above the Fed’s 2% target, while growth is slowing. This is classic stagflation risk: weak labor + sticky inflation = policy paralysis. For Gold, stagflation is one of the strongest bullish regimes: fiat currencies lose real value, while safe-havens gain demand. 4. Geopolitical Tailwinds Tariff pressures and trade disputes are pushing input costs higher. Tariffs are inflationary and growth-negative — another stagflation driver. Rising geopolitical tensions (trade wars, supply chain disruptions, regional conflicts) add a risk premium. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, central banks (China, India, Middle East) often increase Gold reserves as a hedge against USD exposure. BRICS talk of de-dollarization is structurally supportive: even a small reserve shift from USD to Gold creates steady demand. 5. Forward Outlook Near-term (1–3 months): Fed cut in September almost certain. USD likely to weaken further, Gold stays bid. Volatility spikes around CPI (Sept 11) and FOMC (Sept 17). Medium-term (3–6 months): If inflation doesn’t fall below 3%, Fed may slow rate cuts, but Gold could still benefit from safe-haven + central bank buying. Key Catalysts to Monitor: September CPI, Fed meetings, earnings season (margin compression risk), geopolitical escalations, tariff policies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_Trading_Path
XAU/USD 4HTechnical Analysis Rising Channel with strong bullish The price action shows: A parabolic uptrend inside a rising channel (or pitchfork structure). Recent breakout attempt toward the upper band. Fibonacci retracements drawn for pullback projections. This looks like a rising channel / ascending channel with parabolic acceleration. --- 🔹 Targets From your chart: Immediate target shown is around 3700 USD (upper channel resistance). If bullish momentum continues, extension targets are 3750 – 3800 USD. --- 🔹 Stop Loss A good protective stop is below the mid-channel line, around 3400 – 3450 USD. A tighter stop could be just under the last breakout zone: 3550 – 3580 USD (aggressive). --- 🔹 Support Levels 1. 3550 – 3580 USD → short-term support. 2. 3450 – 3480 USD → mid support (channel median + Fib zone). 3. 3300 – 3350 USD → strong support (Fib + previous base). --- 🔹 Resistance Levels 1. 3700 – 3720 USD (current key resistance). 2. 3800 USD (upper channel / Fib extension). 3. 4000 USD psychological level (long-term projection). --- ✅ Suggested Trading Plan (swing perspective): Entry: On dips near 3550–3600 USD or breakout above 3700 USD. Target: 3720 → 3800 USD. Stop Loss: Below 3450 USD (swing safe) or 3580 USD (tight).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The-Trend-Mindset
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
GOLD- COMPLEX WOLFE WAVE FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed The chart shows a Complex Wolfe Wave structure with points 1–2–3–4–5 clearly mapped. Price has reached point 5 near the upper resistance (~3,650–3,670 USD). Wolfe principle: After point 5, price targets the 1–4 trendline → this is your projected drop zone. 🔹 Current Situation Current Gold price: ~3,645 USD. Strong rally completed wave 5. Chart marks Immediate Target: ~3,300 USD. 🔹 Levels & Targets Resistance: 3,650–3,670 (pattern top). Immediate Target Zone: 3,300 (near support + Wolfe line). Extended Target: 3,200–3,150 (if selling pressure deepens). Invalidation: Above 3,700 (new highs would negate Wolfe setup). 🔹 Trading Implication Bias: Bearish after wave 5 completion. Entry: Short near 3,650–3,670 (with confirmation candle). Stop Loss: Above 3,700. Targets: T1 = 3,450 T2 = 3,350 T3 = 3,300 This gives ~350 point downside vs ~50 point risk → R:R ~1:6 if trade is taken near the top. ✅ Conclusion Gold has likely completed wave 5 of Wolfe structure near 3,650–3,670. Short-term expectation is a fall toward 3,300, aligning with Wolfe target zone. Important NOTE - Risk management is crucial — pattern invalidates above 3,700. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading commodities and derivatives involves substantial risk of capital loss. Please consult your financial advisor before acting on this view.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Key Level (Pivot): 3630 If price holds above 3630, bullish momentum may extend towards: 🎯 First target: 3656 (resistance) 🎯 If 3656 breaks strongly → continuation towards: 🎯 Second target: 3675 🎯 Third target: 3697 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If price fails and sustains below 3630, bearish move may develop towards: 🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone) 🎯 If 3595 breaks decisively → continuation towards: 🎯 Second target: 3546 📌 Summary: 3630 = decision zone 3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets 3595, 3546 = downside targets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
Gold | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders, 🧐 Market Overview: Over the last 3 weeks, gold has rallied just under 10% — a massive move. While my longer-term outlook remains bullish, my system is currently flagging a potential short. On the 4-hour chart, a double top pattern is forming, signaling a possible pullback. My system looks for rsi divergence, which is currently present. It also needs to see lower volume on the second top, also already confirmed. My system has given the green light for opening a short. Now I am just waiting for a good entry point. Time to be patient and follow all my rules. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.5 Entry: 3 664.5 Stop Loss: 3 691.4 Take Profit 1 (50%): 3 592 Take Profit 2 (50%): 3 551 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Trading is about probability. This means I need to take every single trade when my edge is available. It also means I need to follow my rules on every single trade. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you think gold will respect this double top or continue its bullish momentum? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
3
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? |Buy strategy at support XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context Probability of a -50bps FED cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while the -25bps scenario remains almost certain. US Jobless Claims surged unexpectedly → reflecting labor market weakness, reinforcing expectations of FED easing. Tonight (21:00): release of University of Michigan Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (1Y–5Y) – data that could further impact the Dollar. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Dollar weakness + declining bond yields = Gold remains supported to the upside. However, short-term corrections may appear before breaking higher. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier) Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (retest highs, possible short-term reversal) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : OB Dock: 3636 – 3638 Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623 Market Structure : On H1, Gold has created multiple BoS and formed Equal Highs (EqH) around 3645 – 3650. An FVG appeared → signal that liquidity gap may need filling before continuation. Preferred scenario: pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621 , then rebound toward 3675 – 3680. Break above 3680 → potential expansion toward a new ATH above 3700 . 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority with trend) Buy OB: 3636 – 3638 | SL: 3628 | TP: 3645 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 36xx Deep Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone: 3675 – 3677 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The dovish wind from the FED continues to carry the Golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before the next voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may raise strong waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main journey still points north. If 3680 is broken, the Golden ship will expand its voyage toward new peaks above 3700.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Technical Analysis – September 12, 2025Gold is currently trading around 3,643 USD/oz, after bouncing from a short-term descending channel. However, price is now testing a key resistance zone at 3,650 – 3,668 USD, where selling pressure could return. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,650 – 3,668 USD (previous highs + 61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Support: 3,585 – 3,600 USD (previous low + EMA confluence). Technical Outlook On the H1 timeframe, price retested the descending trendline after a channel breakout. RSI is flattening near the overbought zone, signaling weakening bullish momentum. EMA is turning sideways, confirming indecision at this level. Trading Strategy Primary Scenario (Short from Resistance): Entry: 3,646 – 3,650 USD Stop-loss: above 3,668 USD Take-profit: 3,600 – 3,590 USD Alternative Scenario (Long on Breakout): If price breaks and closes above 3,670 USD, bullish momentum could extend toward 3,700 – 3,715 USD. Conclusion Gold is facing strong resistance, making a short-term pullback the favored setup. Watch how price reacts around 3,650 – 3,668 USD for trade confirmation. Follow for more daily gold strategies and remember to save this analysis if you find it useful.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Gold Price Analysis September 12Gold continues to maintain a strong upward momentum in recent sessions and has not yet shown clear signs of a significant correction. Today's strategy still prioritizes looking for buying opportunities, especially in breakout areas - where buyers' money is waiting to push prices to the historical peak (ATH). In the Tokyo session, the price broke the downtrend line on the H1 frame and completed the DOW pattern, opening up new upward momentum with a target of 3690. 📌 Important observation area: Key Level 3340: If the price closes below this area, selling pressure will return and the market may enter short-term corrections. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY at the newly formed DOW area BUY when the price rejects support at 3640 BUY DCA when breaking resistance at 3660 🎯 Target: 3690
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price reverses, is the previous high of 3675 within reach?Gold price reverses, is the previous high of 3675 within reach? The recently released US CPI for August rose 2.9% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations. Meanwhile, initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, a three-year high. This combination of rising inflation and weak employment further reinforces market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Current market pricing indicates a 100% probability of a September Fed rate cut, with a 91% probability of a 25 basis point cut. The low interest rate environment continues to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, providing solid support for gold prices. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has fallen nearly 10% year-to-date, significantly increasing the attractiveness of dollar-denominated gold. Geopolitical uncertainties, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have also strengthened gold's value as a traditional safe-haven asset. Technically, gold prices initially declined before rising yesterday. Gold prices continued to fall under pressure near the 3650 level during the Asian and European trading sessions. It briefly dipped to around 3613 in the evening before stabilizing and rebounding, ultimately closing above 3630, with a small bearish daily close. Gold prices strengthened again in today's Asian session, re-crossing the 3640 level, indicating valid support at the 3610 level and maintaining a bullish overall trend. Gold prices have stabilized and are expected to test resistance near the previous high of 3675. Trading strategy: Continue to buy on dips. Key support below is the 3625-3633 area, with the 3600 level as a strong support level. Opportunities to enter long positions within this support area are recommended, but caution is advised against short positions against the trend. Long positions: Go long on dips to the 3625-3633 area. Cover on 3607-3615 levels. Set a stop-loss at 3596, with a target of 3645-3650. Hold on to target the previous high. Gold prices are showing strength again, and the trend remains unchanged. A pullback presents an opportunity. Hold on to your bullish strategy and wait for gold to shine again!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold-Pulse